Not to be quoted without prior reference to the authors © Crown Copyright 2008 Fisheries Research Services Internal Report No 14/08 SURVEY OF SOLWAY COCKLE GROUNDS 2007 T R W Howell, S E B Davis, N A Brown, J Drewery, H A McLay, P Gibson, L Allen and A Tait 2007 Fisheries Research Services Marine Laboratory Victoria Road Aberdeen AB11 9DB Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 SURVEY OF SOLWAY COCKLE GROUNDS 2007 T R W Howell, S E B Davis, N A Brown, J Drewery, H A McLay, P Gibson, L Allen, A Tait, Fisheries Research Services, Marine Laboratory 375 Victoria Road, Aberdeen, AB11 9DB INTRODUCTION This report provides details of the 2007 survey of the cockle (Cerastoderma edule) stocks of the Scottish Solway Firth. Although the survey continues a series conducted annually in the Solway Firth by Fisheries Research Services (FRS) the 2007 survey differs from recent surveys in the series in a number of respects. The differences are allied to the management of the fishery and include changes to the timing, the species assessed, the grounds surveyed. These changes required some modifications to the survey design. Details are given below. History of the Fishery and its Management The present Solway cockle fishery originates from the late 1980s when it developed rapidly in from small scale hand gathering activity, to a significant mechanised fishery producing in excess of 4500 tonnes in 1991 (Table 1). During the period from 1990 to 1994 stock surveys revealed substantial declines in cockle density and abundance, along with poor recruitment of young cockles. This resulted in the closure of the fishery to vessels on 6 October 1992 and subsequently to tractor dredging from 1 November 1994. The decisions to close the fishery to mechanical fishing methods were taken in the interests of long term viability of the cockle stocks and populations of other organisms dependent on them for food. At that time no action was required to prevent commercial hand gathering of cockles since such activity was negligible during the early nineties. By 1997, however, the stocks had recovered to the point where hand gathering became a viable commercial proposition on some Solway grounds. A steady increase in hand gathering followed until about 1999; it increased rapidly thereafter. During this period, official statistics were unavailable making the exact level of hand extraction hard to establish, but in 2000 landings certainly exceeded 2000 tonnes (Howell et al., 2003). The 2001 FRS survey showed a pronounced fall in the overall biomass since 2000, which was associated with an increase in overall cockle mortality, including fishing mortality (Howell et al., 2001b). Against a background of widespread decline in the cockle stocks on the larger grounds, a possible escalation of unrestricted fishing activity (Howell et al., 2002), and generally poor recruitment, the existing vessel and tractor dredge closure Orders were amended by The Inshore Fishing (Prohibition of Fishing for Cockles) (Scotland) Amendment Order 2001). This extended the prohibition of fishing for cockles within the Scottish Solway Firth to cover fishing by any method and came into force on 1 January 2002. In 2005 a further amendment to the Inshore Fishing (Prohibition on Fishing for Cockles) (Scotland) was required to remove any doubt about the Scotland/England border and this came into force on 9th March 2005 (Davis et al., 2005). Since the late 1990s it was increasingly apparent that some form of locally based management would be advantageous for the Solway cockle fishery, not least because of the number of locally contentious issues involving the fishery and its partial coverage by Special Protection Area (SPA) and Special Area of Conservation (SAC) designation. A fisheries 2 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 Regulating Order (RO) was identified as the most suitable mechanism to provide the kind of responsive local management envisioned. After a protracted consultation process involving the formulation of a management plan a RO was granted under The Solway Firth Regulated Fishery (Scotland) Order 2006 (SI 2206 No 57) on 13 March 2006. This delegated responsibility for managing the cockle fishery to the Solway Shellfish Management Association (SSMA), a local partnership established specifically for this purpose. Management measures include the issuing of licences and the opening and closing of the Fishery seasonally. An associated Order, The Inshore Fishing (Prohibition of Fishing for Cockles) (Scotland) Order 2006, was made around the same time to lift the restrictions which had been put in place previously. Under the Regulating, Order the SSMA initially issued 100 licences to hand gatherers, 6 licences to fishing vessels and (on a trial basis) one tractor dredging licence. A Total Allowable Catch (TAC) for the fishery, based on scientific advice, was divided between licence holders with tonnage distributed amongst the three main fishing methods in accordance with the agreed management plan. After a successful period of fishing the fishery was closed by the SSMA on 28 April with the intention of allowing new cockle spat to settle undisturbed. The fishery was reopened to licence holders on 13 November 2006 using TACs calculated on updated scientific advice. For the first time this advice took into account the feeding requirements of important shorebird populations within the SPA, as determined by a simple ration model (West, 2006). The fishery closed on 15 April 2007. Shore Based Surveys Shore based surveys of Solway cockles continued after the 1992 closure so that fluctuations in the stock could be monitored. Following a period of poor recruitment, the lowest biomass of older cockles of exploitable size was recorded during the 1996 survey. However, the same survey also showed signs of improved numbers of one-year-old pre-recruits (Howell et al., 1996). These contributed to an increase in the biomass of commercially aged cockles (two years and older) in 1997 when there were further signs of improving recruitment, with one year-olds from the 1996 settlement accounting for about 79% of abundance. The 1996 year class went on to make a significant contribution to the exploitable stock in 1998 and 1999. Although there was poor settlement in 1997, an improved settlement in 1998 survived to provide about two thirds of the overall Solway cockle abundance in 1999. By 2000, despite some broadening of the age structure, the overall Solway biomass was largely maintained through the continued survival of the 1996 and 1998 year classes on one ground, and there was evidence of only modest recruitment in 1999. As indicated above, the 2001 survey indicated limited recruitment from the 2000 year class and declining stocks reliant on adult cockles remaining from the 1998 settlement. However, during the winter of 2001/2002 the first indications of a large 2001 settlement emerged from an independent survey, commissioned by the Solway Shellfish Hand Operators Federation (SSHOF) and later confirmed by the 2002 FRS survey carried out in April/May. In 2003, the FRS survey showed that the 2001 year class had continued to experience good survival and growth contributing to a substantial increase in overall biomass. By 2004 the 2001 year class experienced some mortality but this was offset by good growth so that there was a negligible drop in the overall biomass in the Solway from 33926 tonnes to 33872 tonnes. In 2005 the still dominant 2001 year class experienced increased mortality which, although partially offset by good growth, led to a decline in the total biomass from 33872 tonnes in 2004 to 19305 tonnes in 2005. On the grounds covered by the FRS surveys recruitment was comparatively low between 2001 and 2006 which, along with further mortality of the 2001 year class, led a decline in the overall biomass to 8469 tonnes by 2006. During 2006 the SSMA commissioned Marine Ecological Surveys Limited (MESL) to carry out an additional survey of the reformed Carsethorn bank. This survey, carried out in September, estimated 4559 tonnes of cockles (MESL, 2006) on Carsethorn which, assuming 3 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 the FRS April/May estimate remained static, gave an overall biomass of 13028 tonnes. In 2007 the SSMA commissioned another survey by MESL, carried out between 29 May and 1 June, to assess the abundance bivalves, to estimate cockle mortality on the Carse Sands, and to provide information for cockle growth rate calculations. This information was required for the development of an individual-based shorebird interaction model which is being developed by Dr. Richard Stillman of Bournemouth University. The model uses information from the MESL survey along with cockle and other bivalve data from the 2007 FRS survey described in this report. The 2007 FRS Survey As indicated above there were substantial changes to the FRS survey in 2007 driven largely by the requirements of the individual-based shorebird interaction model which is used in setting the TAC for the fishery. The changes were threefold: the timing of the survey, carried out later in the year from 29 July to 7 August as compared with April/May; the survey would include all bivalves; and Wigtown Bay would not be surveyed to allow time for surveys on Carsethorn and also Arbigland – a previously un-surveyed area of the upper Firth where cockles stocks have been reported. As in previous FRS shore-based surveys All Terrain Vehicles (ATVs) were used to collect samples during periods of low tide. All bivalves were sampled at each station using established FRS cockle survey methods therefore the sampling strategy for all species was based on the distribution of cockles. Two stage adaptive sampling (Bailey et al., 1998) was used again on the North Bank and Barnhourie while stratified random surveys were used on all other grounds. The survey method for targeting sampling effort on the North Bank area (Davis et al., 2004) was further modified for 2007. SURVEY METHODS General The grounds surveyed in 2007 are shown in Figure 1. They were: (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (P) Barnhourie Bank North Bank Carsethorn Auchencairn Bay Orchardton Bay Glenisle Rough Island Arbigland The names used here are those used by cockle fishermen during the era of suction dredge surveys in the early 1990s and have been retained in survey reports for continuity. The "Barnhourie" or "Barnhourie Bank", (area A), includes the Barnhourie Bank and the Mersehead Sands. Similarly, the area referred to collectively as the "North Bank", (area B), includes the Blackshaw Bank, Priestside Bank, Middle Bank, and North Bank as shown within the "unsurveyed" region on Admiralty Chart 1346 (2001 edition). In order to gain safe access to Carsethorn and to transport staff and equipment a cockle fishing vessel, The Second Degree, was arranged by SSMA. Samples from Glenisle were collected on foot. Access to Arbigland was arranged through the Arbigland estate. 4 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 Computed random sampling positions were fixed by GPS satellite navigation equipment mounted on the ATVs, or carried by hand. The distribution of sampling stations is shown in Figure 1 and sampling details for each ground are summarised in Table 2. Stratified Random Survey Design Carsethorn (C), Auchencairn (D), Orchardton Bay (E), Glenisle (F), Rough Island (G), and Arbigland (P) A conventional stratified random survey was carried out on areas (C), (D), (E), (F), (G), and (P). For each area a notional grid of squares (strata) was constructed covering the extent of the cockle ground. Within each stratum one quadrat sample was taken from each of two randomly positioned stations, the positions were generated computationally prior to the survey and then located using GPS navigation. All samples were taken using a 0.1 m2 quadrat frame, from which sediment was removed to a depth of up to 100 mm and passed through a 5 mm mesh sieve. All cockles from the samples were aged, measured and weighed and the results used in the estimates of abundance and biomass as described below. All other bivalves from the samples were measured and weighed (age not determined). The results and procedures used to estimate abundance and biomass are described in Appendix 3. Stratified Random Survey Design and Adaptive Procedure Barnhourie Bank (A) For Barnhourie Bank the two stage adaptive process employed since 1998 was used. The first stage consisted of a conventional stratified random survey based on a grid of squares as described above. The second stage involves allocating additional stations to strata based on the mean square abundance of 2+ cockles (i.e. two years old and older) observed during the first stage. This increases the number of samples taken in the areas of highest density. The number of additional stations sampled in Stage 2 was set to about 25% of the total number of stations. The cockles gathered in Stage 2 were then aged, measured and weighed. A full description of these methods is given in the 1998 report (Bailey et al., 1998). The estimates of abundance and biomass were calculated in the following manner. For each stratum the mean density (number·m-2) of each age group, of 2 and over, and of all ages, was raised to the area of the stratum and the stratum variance of the mean calculated. The estimates were summed across the strata to give an overall estimate of abundance and variance and the Standard Error (SE) was calculated. The choice of appropriate values of the t statistic in order to apply confidence intervals is subject to the same caveats expressed before (Bailey et al, 1998) but a value of two has been assumed throughout this report. The calculations were repeated using sample weights (derived from the weight-length relationship described below) to provide estimates of biomass. Again, a full description of the method is available in the 1998 report. Modified Stratified Random Survey Design and Adaptive Procedure North Bank (B) For 2007 the North Bank was split into 3 areas rather than the two equal halves used in 2006 (Figures 1 and 2c). The eastern area was the same as the eastern half used in 2006 (where abundance was low from 2002 to 2006). Here, strata four times the conventional size applied to North Bank surveys before 2004 were used, with 2 random samples taken from each. For 2007 these large strata were also used in the upper (north) western area but 5 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 smaller conventionally sized strata were used in the lower (south) western area (Figure 2c). Three random samples were taken from all accessible western strata, large or small. A second adaptive stage was carried out in the smaller strata area where relatively high abundances were found from 2002 to 2006. The rationale for this change in sampling strategy is explained in the discussion section. Weight- Length Relationships The weight-length relationships of cockles from the grounds in the Solway in surveyed in 2007 were compared using analysis of covariance. The relationship for the North Bank was found to be significantly different from that for the other grounds. Accordingly a separate relationship was used for North Bank and a single combined relationship was used for the other grounds: Wt = 0.000479 Length2.93 (North Bank) Wt = 0.000319 Length3.07 (All other areas) RESULTS General The distribution of the 732 stations sampled in the 2007 survey is shown in Figure 1. For the two adaptive surveys, 196 and 50 stations were sampled during stages 1 and 2 respectively at Barnhourie Bank; and 144 and 50 stations respectively for stages 1 and 2 at North Bank (West). The area of each sample taken was 0.1.m2. Samples at 386 stations yielded no cockles and the remaining 346 stations yielded 9848 cockles (Table 2). For comparative purposes, detailed information on the density, abundance, biomass and age composition of cockles in each area is presented in Tables 6 and 7 while Figure 5 illustrates the age structure on different grounds. Summaries of the 2007 stock position in each area and for all areas combined, in comparison with earlier results, are presented in Tables 8 and 9 and Figures 6 and 7. Table 10 gives an indication of biomass (tonnes) at a range hypothetical minimum landing sizes. The result tables and figures follow a similar format to that used in previous reports. Historical biomass and density data are provided for different grounds in appendices 1 and 2. Details of the other bivalves found on the 2007 survey are given in Appendix 3. The numbers of cockles in the samples taken in the 2007 survey greatly exceeded those in 2006. However, it should be born in mind that the 2007 survey was conducted in July/August after the majority of spat settlement is likely to have occurred appearing as '0'-group cockles in the samples: previous surveys were carried out earlier in the year in April/May, before any settlement was apparent (Bailey et al., 1998, Davis et al., 2004, 2006, and Howell et al., 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1999, 2001a, 2001b, 2002, 2003). Therefore this year’s survey includes information about ‘0’-group cockles (Tables 3 to 7). The later timing of the survey should also be born in mind when comparing abundance and biomass to previous surveys. Barnhourie Bank (A) The survey of Barnhourie Bank was undertaken using the 2 stage adaptive technique. A total of 246 stations were sampled overall (Figure 1) of which 124 contained cockles (Table 2). The maximum size of each of the 98 strata was 0.326 km2 and the total survey area was 31.23km2 (Table 2). Spacing between the stations was variable depending on the 6 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 randomisation process and the addition of stations to some strata in Stage 2 of the adaptive process (Bailey et al., 1998). The samples yielded 1400 cockles from 124 stations including both stages (Table 2) - an average of 11.3 per station. The distribution of samples in the Stage 1 process is shown in Figure 2a, grid squares with no symbols indicate inaccessible areas. The symbols indicate presence (triangles) and absence (crosses) of 2+ year old cockles across the ground and the size of the triangles indicates the relative abundance of this commercial sized group. The distribution of areas of higher abundance is clear. On the basis of these data from the first stage, calculations were made to determine into which strata the 50 Stage 2 samples should be allocated (Bailey et al., 1998). In the left half of Table 4a, the calculated values of G are listed in descending order of magnitude for each additional station, together with its position and the stratum into which it was placed. The overall pattern of allocation in Stage 2 is shown in Figure 2b where the small numbers indicate stratum labels and the large, bold figures indicate the number of additional samples allocated. The right hand side of Table 4a shows the densities of cockles obtained during Stage 2. The effectiveness of targeting sampling in this manner is illustrated by the fact that 70% of the 50 Stage 2 samples yielded 2 plus cockles, whereas only about 28% of the 196 Stage 1 samples did so. The combined figures for Stages 1 and 2 provide the basis for the construction of contour plots shown in Figure 4. Commercial aged (2+) cockles (Figure 4a) were most abundant in two patches around the mid tide level, one central and the other to the west. Two smaller low density patches can be seen to the east, also around mid tide level. Slightly further to the east of this were two dense patches of ‘0’ group cockles. Another dense patch of ‘0’ group cockles was coincident with the central patch of 2+ cockles (Figure 4b). Estimates of the overall abundance, variance and SE are provided in Table 5a for data from Stage 1 alone and for both stages combined. The inclusion of second stage samples reduces the abundance estimates for most ages and, more importantly, also reduces the variance and SE. The estimate of overall abundance of 2+ cockles is 196.2 +/- 38.2 millions. Biomass estimates, shown in the lower half of the Table 5a, behave in a similar way. Overall biomass estimated from Stage 1 alone is 2550.5 tonnes with a confidence interval of +/643.0 tonnes whereas inclusion of Stage 2 samples reduced the estimate to 2070.0 tonnes and reduced the confidence interval to +/- 446.6 tonnes. For comparative purposes, data from this area were transferred to the standard format used in previous surveys (Table 6). Numbers at age for the whole area summed and averaged across the whole ground gave a higher overall density estimate of 39.8.m2 cockles, compared to 15.3.m2 in 2006. The remaining cockles from the 2001 settlement now appear in the 6 years and above (6+) age group in tables 6 and 7. At a density of 1·m2 6+ cockles provide less than 3% of the overall abundance and about 15% of the commercial aged cockles, indicating a further decline in the 2001 year class (Table 6 and Figure 5). The most numerous year class is the ‘0’ group (i.e. the 2007 settlement) accounting for over 70% of the abundance. The 2005 and 2006 settlements, now 1 and 2 year olds, account for just over 20% of the total. The overall biomass has increased slightly compared to the April/May 2006 survey, from 2840 to 2894 tonnes. One and two year olds provide over half of the biomass with the 6+ age group providing about one sixth (Table 7). 7 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 North Bank (B) As described in the methods section, the North Bank was divided into three areas. The lower western area, surveyed using the 2 stage adaptive process, used a stratum size of 0.618 km2; while the upper western and eastern areas were each surveyed with a stratified random survey design using a stratum size 4 times larger at 2.472 km2. The 52 upper and lower western strata along with the 11 eastern strata surveyed gave a combined survey area of 65.55 km2 (Table 2). A total of 228 stations in the eastern, upper western, and both stages of the lower western survey areas were sampled (Figure 2c). Of these, 113 stations contained a total of 7063 cockles (Table 2). The distribution of first stage samples in the lower western areas and the stratified random surveys in the upper western and eastern areas are shown in Figure 2c. The strata with no symbols indicate inaccessible areas. The symbols indicate presence (triangles) and absence (crosses) of 2+ year old cockles across the ground with the area of the triangles indicating the relative abundance of this commercial sized group. The distribution of areas with higher abundance is clear. The combined results for both stages of the lower western, and the single stage upper western and eastern areas provide the basis for the construction of the contour plots shown in Figure 4c and 4d. Commercial aged (2+) cockles were found in several patches at the lower mid tide level to the south and west of the overall survey area (Figure 4c). These low density patches were dispersed around and to the east of the area where a high density patch of 2001 year class cockles was found on surveys from 2002 to 2005. Figure 4d shows the distribution of ‘0’ group and one year olds from the 2006 and 2007 settlements; they occur at high densities in the same general area as the 2+ cockles apart more dispersed patches to east at the mid to upper tide level. Estimates of the overall abundance, variance and SE for the lower western area adaptive survey from Stage 1 alone and for both stages combined are provided in Table 5b. The inclusion of second stage samples appears to reduce the abundance estimates for some ages and reduces the variance and SE giving a 2+ cockle abundance estimate of 68.2 +/18.4 millions. No 2+ cockles were found in the upper western area of the survey (Table 3b). The abundance estimates for the eastern area of the survey indicate 37.2 million 2+ cockles with a wide confidence interval similar to the estimate (Table 3a). This has the effect of widening the overall confidence interval when the abundance estimates for the three areas are combined, giving overall 2+ abundance estimate of 105.4 +/- 46.6 (Table 5c). Biomass estimates, shown in the lower half of the Tables 3a, 3b and 5b, behave in a similar way. Using the revised weight-length relationship the overall two stage lower western biomass estimate is 6007 tonnes with a confidence interval of +/- 854 tonnes. The addition of the upper western and eastern biomass estimates (Table 3a) contributes a further 1724 tonnes to the North Bank total, giving a combined overall biomass estimate of 7731 tonnes, with a confidence interval of +/- 1453.2 tonnes (Table 5c). For comparative purposes, the combined east and west survey data were transferred to the standard format used in previous surveys. Numbers raised to the overall area gave an overall density for the ground of 189.1 cockles·m-2 (Table 6) compared to 7.9 cockles·m-2 in 2006. This substantial increase in density is explained by very large numbers of ‘0’ group cockles, which overshadow an improvement in numbers of 1 year olds compared to 2006 April/May survey. The previously dominant 2001 year class is now part of the 6 years and above (6+) age group in tables 6 and 7 which, as a whole, contributes less than 1% of the 2+ abundance. The overall North Bank biomass has risen from 2207 in 2006 to 7731 tonnes in 2007. This is explained by the substantial increase in the biomass of cockles less that 2 8 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 years old: ‘0’ group cockles account for more than 50% of the biomass while the growth of surviving cockles from the 2006 settlement account for a further 30% of the total. Auchencairn (D) A stratified random survey using a maximum stratum size of 0.100 km2 for each pair of random stations was carried out on grounds at Auchencairn. The extended coverage used in 2006 was retained using strata of the same size. The survey area contained 37 strata giving a survey area of 3.457 km2, taking part strata into account, compared to 3.19 km2 in 2006. (Table 2, Figure 1). The number of sampling stations was 74 of which 29 had cockles (Table 2). Compared to the 2006 survey results, when the samples yielded 148 cockles from 36 stations, the 2007 results show a decrease to 76 cockles from 37 stations (Table 2). This is an average of 2.1 cockles per station as compared to 4.1 in 2006. The distribution of the Auchencairn survey samples, over the ground and within the numbered strata, is shown in the lower left part of Figure 3a. The strata with no symbols indicate inaccessible areas. The symbols indicate presence (triangles) and absence (crosses) of 2+ year old cockles across the ground with the area of the triangles indicating the relative abundance of this commercial sized group. Estimates of overall abundance, variance and SE from the stratified random survey are provided for this ground and the results are shown in Table 3d. The estimate of overall abundance of 2+ cockles is 22.8 +/9.2 millions. Biomass estimates, shown in the lower half of Table 3d, behave in a similar way. Overall biomass estimated is 331 tonnes with a confidence interval of +/- 151 tonnes. For comparative purposes, data from this area were transferred to the standard format used in previous surveys. Numbers raised to the overall area gave an overall density for the ground of 10.7 cockles·m-2 (Table 6) compared to 21.0 cockles.m-2 in 2006. This represents a decrease in abundance with ‘0’ group and two year olds from the 2005 year class the most numerous. These two year olds, along with 6+ cockles contributing most to the estimated overall biomass which has fallen from 126.9 to 95.8 tonnes.km-2 giving a decrease in total biomass of just over 30 tonnes for the slightly larger survey area (Table 7). Orchardton (E) A stratified random survey with a maximum stratum size of 0.242 km2 for each pair of random stations was carried out at Orchardton. The total area of the 6 strata sampled was 1.032 km2; similar to the previous year. Eight of the 12 stations yielded a total of 17 cockles (Table 2) compared to 16 from 8 stations in 2006, so the average number of cockles to remains at about 2 per occupied station. The distribution of stratified random survey samples over the ground and within the numbered strata is shown in the left of centre area in Figure 3a. The strata with no symbols indicate inaccessible areas. The symbols indicate presence (triangles) and absence (crosses) of 2+ year old cockles across the ground with the area of the triangles indicating the relative abundance of this commercial aged group. Estimates of overall abundance, variance and SE from the stratified random survey are provided for this ground and the results are shown in Table 3e. The overall abundance estimate for 2+ cockles is 9.6 +/-7.7 millions. The overall biomass estimate, shown in the lower half of the Table 3e, is 95.4 +/- 74.6 tonnes. For comparative purposes, data from this area were transferred to the standard format used in previous surveys. Numbers raised to the overall area gave an overall density for the ground of cockles 12.6·m-2 (Table 6) compared to10.6 cockles.m-2 in 2006. Over 40% of the cockles at Orchardton were two year olds which have grown sufficiently since the 2006 9 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 April/May survey to offset the declining contribution of older year classes’ to the overall biomass. This has risen from 58.3 to 102.1 tonnes.km-2 with two year olds contributing almost half of the total biomass (Table 7). Glenisle (F) A stratified random survey was carried out at Glenisle, with a maximum stratum size of 0.165.km2 as introduced in 2006. Coverage of the ground was altered slightly allowing the inclusion of two part strata to the north west of the area. This had the effect of increasing the number of strata surveyed from 6 to 8 for each pair of random stations giving an overall area of 0.659 km2, taking changes to the other part strata into account. Nine out of the sixteen stations yielded cockles - a total of 33 - giving an average number of 3.7 per station (Table 2). This represents a decrease, compared to 2006, when four stations yielded a total of 78 cockles, 19.5 per station. The distribution of the 16 stratified random survey samples over the ground and within the numbered strata is shown in the hatched area in Figure 3a. The symbols indicate presence (triangles) and absence (crosses) of 2+ year old cockles across the ground with the area of the triangles indicating the relative abundance of this commercial sized group. Estimates of overall abundance, variance and SE from the stratified random survey are provided for this ground and the results are shown in Table 3f. The estimate of overall abundance is 17.5 millions which should be viewed with caution because the confidence interval appears to exceed the estimate. This also applies to the overall biomass estimate of 28.5 tonnes shown in the lower half of Table 3f. For comparative purposes, data from this area were transferred to the standard format used in previous surveys. The numbers raised to the total survey area give a density estimate for the ground of about 26.6 cockles·m-2 (Table 6) compared to 65.6 cockles.m-2 found in 2006. The April/May 2006 survey found high numbers from the 2005 settlement and 6+ year old cockles. These age groups have both declined sharply and are now outnumbered by ‘0’ group and 1 year olds which together account for 85% of the abundance. The decline of 6+ cockles, in particular, explains the decrease in overall biomass from 439 to 28.5 tonnes (Table 7). Rough Island (G) A stratified random survey with a maximum stratum size of 0.165 km2 for each pair of random stations was carried out at Rough Island. The total area of the 16 strata sampled was 1.859 km2, taking part strata into account. Ten of the 28 stations yielded a total of 57 cockles compared to 24 from 38 stations in 2006 (Table 2) and the average number per station rose from 2.4 per station in 2006 to 5.7 per station in 2007. The distribution of stratified random survey samples over the ground and within the numbered strata is shown in the upper right area in Figure 3a. The strata with no symbols indicate inaccessible areas. The symbols indicate presence (triangles) and absence (crosses) of 2+ year old cockles across the ground with the area of the triangles indicating the relative abundance of this commercial sized group. The hatched area relates to Glenisle and was excluded from the Rough Island assessment. Estimates of the overall abundance, variance and SE are provided for this ground and the results are shown in Table 6 then the estimate of overall abundance of cockles is 14.9 +/12.4 millions. Biomass estimates, shown in the lower half of the Table 3g, behave in a similar way giving an overall biomass estimate of 107.5 +/- 89 tonnes. 10 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 Estimates of overall abundance, variance and SE from the stratified random survey are provided for this ground and the results are shown in Table 3g. The overall abundance estimate for 2+ cockles is 9.4 with a confidence interval close to the estimate. The overall biomass estimate, shown in the lower half of the Table 3g, is 139.5 +/- 115.7 tonnes. For comparative purposes, data from this area were transferred to the standard format used in previous surveys. Numbers raised to the total survey area gave an increased overall density for the ground of about 24.1 cockles·m-2 (Table 6) compared to 6.8 cockles.m-2 in 2006. Over 75% of the 2007 abundance were ’0’ group cockles with 3 and 6+ cockles accounting for just under 75% of the commercial aged cockles. Because of the high proportion of ‘0’ group cockles the large increase in numbers is not reflected in the increase in the estimated biomass per unit area from 48.7 tonnes·km-2 in 2006 to 75.0 tonnes·km-2 in 2007 (Table 7). Carsethorn (C) The survey of Carsethorn was undertaken using a stratified random design limited to the main bed to the west of the river Nith channel (Figure 1). A total of 70 stations were sampled of which 44 contained cockles (Table 2). The maximum size of each of the 35 strata was 0.128 km2 giving a total survey area of 4.48 km2 (Table 2). The samples yielded 1153 cockles from 44 stations (Table 2), an average of 26.2 per station. The distribution of the Carsethorn stratified random survey samples over the ground and within the numbered strata is shown in Figure 3b, grid squares with no symbols indicate inaccessible areas. The symbols indicate presence (triangles) and absence (crosses) of 2+ year old cockles across the ground and the size of the triangles is indicative of relative abundance of this commercial sized group. The figures from the stratified random survey provide the basis for the construction of contour plots shown in Figure 4e and 4f. Commercial aged (2+) cockles (Figure 4e) were most abundant around the mid tide level in a dense patch, to the east and south of this were two less dense patches. ‘0’ group and one year old cockles were widespread and particularly dense at mid tide level in the middle and to the west of the ground.(Figure 4f). Estimates of abundance, variance and SE are provided for this ground, and the results are shown in Table 3c. The abundance estimate for 2+ cockles is 34.8 +/- 13.5 millions. Biomass estimates are shown in the lower half of the Table 3c with an overall biomass estimate for the area of 850.6 +/- 222.9 tonnes. For comparative purposes, data from this area were transferred to the standard format used in the other surveys (Table 6). Numbers at age for the survey area summed and averaged across the ground gave an overall density estimate of 164.5 cockles·m-2 of which over 85% were ‘0’ group and a further 10% were 1 year old. Of the remaining cockles those of six years and older were the most prevalent accounting for nearly 60% of the 2+ numbers, and over half of the 2+ biomass(Tables 6, 7, and Figure 5). One year old cockles accounted for over a third of the total biomass. Arbigland A stratified random survey design was used at on the Arbigland ground situated to the south of Carsethorn (Figure 1). The maximum size of the 29 strata sampled was 0.223 km2 giving a total survey area of 5.284 km2, taking part strata into account (Table 2). A total of 58 stations were sampled of which 9 contained cockles. The samples yielded 9 cockles from 58 stations (Table 2), about one cockle for every six stations. 11 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 The distribution of the Arbigland stratified random survey samples over the ground and within the numbered strata is shown in Figure 3b, grid squares with no symbols indicate inaccessible areas. The symbols indicate presence (triangles) and absence (crosses) of 2+ year old cockles across the ground and the size of the triangles is indicative of relative abundance of this commercial sized group. Estimates of abundance, variance and SE are provided for this ground, and the results are shown in Table 3h. The abundance estimate for 2+ cockles is 8.1 +/- 3.1 millions, shown in the upper half of the table, while the overall biomass estimate of 148.6 +/- 60.8 tonnes for the area is shown in the lower half of the Table. For comparative purposes, data from this area were transferred to the standard format used in the other surveys (Table 6). Numbers at age for the survey area summed and averaged across the ground gave an overall density estimate of 3.6 cockles·m-2 of which 57% were ‘0’ group or 1 year old cockles. Just over 38% of the 2+ cockles were two years old. Over 90% of the overall biomass was made up of 2, 4 and 6+ year old cockles. (Tables 6 and 7, and Figure 5). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS Background The decision to adopt a locally based management system for the Solway cockle fishery was well-founded. Previously management, although well informed and intended, was remote from the Solway and regulation was achieved largely by legislation under the Inshore Fishing Act. This proved increasingly unwieldy given the fluctuations of the cockle stocks, their potential commercial value to the various fishing interests, and an increasing need to harmonize fishing activity with natural space development in the Solway. Locally based management is delivered by a fishery Regulating Order (RO) made under section 1 of the Sea Fisheries (Shellfish) Act 1967. A specially set up local partnership, the Solway Shellfish Management Association (SSMA) applied for the RO. As part of the application process the SSMA were required to submit a comprehensive management plan to the Scottish Executive (as was) for evaluation. The management plan set out the justification for the Regulating Order and included detailed proposals for managing the cockle fishery in the context of the existing nature conservation interests in the area. Additionally, because part of the fishery is subject SPA and SCA designation, SEERAD - now Scottish Government Marine Directorate – were required to carry out an Appropriate Assessment (AA) under the Habitats Directive (EEC, 1994). In 2006, after a thorough consultation process, a RO was granted to the SSMA. The SSMA is a limited company (Company Number 211971) with a Board Directors that includes representatives from Dumfries & Galloway Council, Scottish Natural Heritage, RSPB Scotland, and local Fishermen’s Associations representing the different fishing methods. The Board is therefore suitably constituted to provide a flexible responsive management system able, and required, to comply with the Solway’s various nature conservation designations. There are a number of these. The upper Solway is: a SPA and a SAC; a Ramsar site; and a Site of Special Scientific Interest (SSSI). In addition, the Wigtown Bay cockle grounds in the outer Solway are within the UK’s largest Local Nature Reserve (LNR). In March 2006 the fishery was reopened under the Regulating Order allowing fishermen with a SSMA Regulating Order licence to fish for cockles. The SSMA initially issued 100 licences to hand gatherers, 6 licences to fishing vessels and (on a trial basis) one tractor dredging licence. A Total Allowable Catch (TAC) for the fishery, based on scientific advice, was divided between licence holders with tonnage distributed amongst the three main fishing methods in accordance with the agreed management plan. After a successful period of 12 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 fishing the fishery was closed by the SSMA on 28 April to allow cockle spat to settle undisturbed. In order to reopen the fishery an updated Appropriate Assessment was required. The Appropriate Assessment concluded that the feeding requirements of important shorebird populations should subsequently be taken into account when TACs for cockle fishery are set. In 2006 this was accomplished by modelling oystercatcher, Haematopus ostralegus (L), and knot, Calidris canutus (L) populations / food requirements, against the availability of key food items, including cockles, using a simple ration model (West, 2006). This made use of data from the 2006 FRS survey and other sources. The fishery was reopened to licence holders for the period from 13 November 2006 to 15 April 2007. For future TAC calculations an individual-based shorebird interaction model is being developed by Dr. Richard Stillman of Bournemouth University. The later timing of the FRS survey in 2007 was a result of the importance placed by SGMD and the SSMA on the shorebird interaction model in decisions to reopen the fishery and for setting TACs. Previously the FRS survey results were used directly in these decisions, but in 2007 the survey results were used as input data for the shorebird model as well. The data required include “0” group cockles - an important food resource for some shorebirds - and it was therefore necessary to assess “0” group availability before the winter. The preferred timing of previous FRS surveys was in the spring before cockle settlement was apparent. It had been found in the past that large numbers of “0” group cockles in the samples increased handling time considerably, yet their presence had little predictive value proving unreliable as an indicator of future year class strength and adult stock size. This was due to the variability of first winter mortality which can be extremely high (Chapman et al, 1994) - and to which shorebirds contribute. The shorebird model also requires data on other bivalve species forming an important component of shorebird diet. Since little was known about the distribution, abundance and biomass of other bivalve species present in the Scottish Solway Firth these were also included in the FRS 2007 FRS survey. A further requirement for the survey in 2007 was coverage of two additional areas. One area was on the Carsethorn bank, reformed since the dramatic erosion of original beds (Bailey et al, 1992) and upon which recent surveys by MESL in 2006 and 2007 have confirmed the presence of cockle stocks. This area was not accessible from the shore so a vessel to transport staff and equipment to the banks was required, and this had to be taken into account in planning the 2007 survey. To gain as full a picture as possible of bivalve stocks in the upper Firth the Arbigland area was also included and was accessible from the shore. Because of the need to survey these additional areas within the restricted period of spring tides and the large amount of sample material to process, it was decided to focus on areas within or adjacent to the SPA in the upper Firth and a survey of Wigtown Bay was not carried out in 2007. Although this has implications for FRS’ cockle survey as a whole it was justified in relation to the shorebird model because Wigtown is considered to be beyond the feeding range of the modelled shorebird populations (SNH pers com). Apart from its LNR status, a number of factors make Wigtown Bay less attractive for cockling, including difficult access from the shore and relatively poor cockle growth rates: it has not been legally fished since the RO came into force. Its sediments do however, contain a substantial proportion of the Scottish Solway cockle spawning stock biomass, about 30% in 2006 (Davis, 2006), and for this reason it is important that Wigtown Bay is included in future surveys. Additional modifications to the North Bank survey design were introduced with the aim of improving sampling efficiency on this, the largest, survey area to free up time and resources required for other aspects of the 2007 survey. The modifications involved sub-dividing the western half of the North Bank area so that larger strata were used in the upper tidal reaches where consistently low abundances have been found on previous surveys. This enabled sampling effort to be concentrated on the remaining western sub division, where the second adaptive phase of the survey was carried out. This strategy did not reduced the precision of the overall North Bank abundance estimate when comparing the standard error of the 2006 13 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 estimate ( 551.2 million cockles ± se 183.4) to the standard error of the much larger 2007 estimate (12399.4 ± se 3618.3). The substantial increase in abundance is explained by the high numbers of “0” group cockles settling in 2007. The next survey of the North Bank should consider modifications of the design to take account of the wider dispersion pattern found in 2007 (Figures 4c and 4d). This will maintain the flexible approach to survey design while using comparable methods which allow measures of precision to be attached to the survey estimates. Stock Trends This series of annual cockle surveys in the Solway Firth extends back to 1990 and constitutes an extensive data set that provides detailed information on spatial and temporal stock changes of the cockle beds within the Solway area. Natural changes in the distribution of sediment on the beds mean that the area surveyed can differ from year to year. To allow comparison, estimates of the overall density and biomass.km2 have been included to provide a comparative indicator of stock condition between grounds and between years. In 2007, 732 samples were collected from the grounds with a total survey area exceeding 113km2 (Table 2), a smaller area than the 121km2 of the grounds surveyed in 2006. Although the reduction in the total area surveyed is not large it conceals notable changes to survey as a whole. For the first time in this series Wigtown Bay was not surveyed whereas Carsethorn Bank and Arbigland were. It is important that these changes are be born in mind when looking at the most recent trends. As in previous Solway cockle reports, the findings for 2007 are examined in the context of a time series of data going back to 1990. Changes in the cockle stock within each area, and for all grounds combined, are summarised in Tables 8 and 9 and illustrated in Figures 6 and 7. The three main Scottish grounds, were all showing signs of increasing biomass from a low point in the 1990s. This process continued until the estimated biomass on the Wigtown and North Bank grounds reached a peak in 1998 and began a decline that continued until 2001. At Barnhourie there was a sharp decline in biomass between 2000 and 2001. Since the mid 1990s the stock on the smaller beds fluctuated much more but with a discernible peak in 1999 followed by a decline that continued until 2001. In 2001 a very large cockle settlement occurred in the Solway Firth. The strength of this exceptional year class became apparent in 2002 when the FRS survey indicated a high density of under-aged cockles (Table 9) distributed widely over the Scottish Solway grounds. The good growth and survival of this year class between 2002 and 2003 were largely responsible for the increase in biomass on all grounds, except Orchardton, and the substantial increase in overall biomass in 2003. In 2004 the mortality of the 2001 year class was found to have varied over the grounds but was highest on the North Bank where over 60% of the known Scottish Solway cockle biomass was located. The mortality was offset by good growth rates with the result that there was remarkably little change in the estimated biomass between 2003 and 2004: 33926 tonnes in 2003 compared to 33872 tonnes in 2004 (Table 9). In 2005 however, despite continued growth, the overall biomass declined to 19305 tonnes which was attributed largely to increased mortality of the 2001 cohort on Wigtown, Barnhourie, and North Bank. The increased mortality was caused by a combination of natural mortality and fishing mortality, which occurred despite the fishery being closed (Davis 2006). By the 2006 FRS survey indicated a further decline to 8469 tonnes of which 7740 tonnes consists of cockles of 2 years old or more distributed on Barnhourie (34%), North Bank (24%), Wigtown (30%), and the remaining 12% distributed over the smaller grounds. The decline was, again, due to mortality of older cockles, particularly from the 2001 year class on the North Bank and also on Barnhourie. In contrast the biomass on Wigtown remained fairly stable benefiting from good settlement in 2004 and relatively low mortality of the 2001 year class compared to the other grounds. A survey of the reformed Carsethorn Bank also took place in 2006. This survey, commissioned by the SSMA was conducted by Marine Ecological Surveys Limited (MESL) and carried out in September, estimated 4559 tonnes of cockles (Newell, 2006) on 14 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 Carsethorn. The time elapsed since the 2006 FRS survey means that the overall biomass of 13028 tonnes, obtained by adding the two overall estimates together, should be viewed with caution in the absence of information on growth and mortality rate in the intervening period. The 2007 Survey For the first time all bivalves species were included in FRS’ 2007 survey. In addition to cockles, eight species were found: Thin tellin, Angulus tenuis (da Costa); Banded wedge shell, Donax vittatus (da Costa); Bean-like tellins, Fabulina fibula (Gmelin); Macoma, Macoma balthica (L); Sand gaper, Mya arenaria (L); Common mussel, Mytilus edulis (L); Peppery furrow shell, Scrobicularia plana (da Costa); and Spisula subtruncata (da Costa). Excluding cockles, the highest bivalve species diversity was found on Carsethorn where 6 other species were found; the lowest was at Rough Island with only two species in addition to cockles recorded. Macoma (also know as the Baltic tellin), was by far the most abundant ‘other bivalve’ species accounting for 92% of the other bivalve species abundance over the whole survey area. Mussels accounted for 6%, the thin tellin 1% and the remaining species accounted for 1% in total. Macoma were found at 430 stations out of the 447 stations where other bivalves were recorded and were more common than cockles, which were present at 346 stations. The overall abundance estimate for macoma was 15479 millions, slightly higher than for cockles, with an estimated biomass of 7245 tonnes. Further details of macoma and the other bivalve species can be found in appendix 3. The overall biomass estimate for cockles the 2007 survey was 12225 tonnes, as compared with 8469 tonnes in 2006. The 2007 commercial biomass (in the context of this report the term “commercial” refers to cockles of 2 years old or more) was estimated as 4474 tonnes compared to 7740 tonnes on the 2006 FRS survey which appears to suggest a sharp decline. However, the later timing and the different areas covered in 2007 mean that the figures are not directly comparable. For example, included in the 2007 commercial biomass are 405 tonnes from Carsethorn and 138 tonnes from Arbigland; areas which were not surveyed by FRS in 2006. Conversely, missing from 2007 are data from Wigtown Bay which in April 2006 had an overall biomass of 2408 tonnes. Historically this area has tended to have a more stable age structure and relatively slower growth compared to other Solway grounds. Uniquely, in 2006 Wigtown Bay had a particularly strong 2004 year class which as 2 year olds accounted for nearly 40% of the 2006 Wigtown biomass with good potential for further increase in 2006 and 2007, even allowing for slower growth. Additionally, one year old cockles from the 2005 year class provided over a quarter of the overall Wigtown abundance. Provided that the mortality of the 2004 and 2005 year classes have not been unusually high in the intervening period, it is probable that the 2007 Wigtown Bay contribution to the overall Solway biomass would be at least as high as in 2006. In the areas that were surveyed in 2007 most of the commercial biomass was located on Barnhourie with 2070 tonnes (46%) and North Bank with 1299 tonnes (29%) more widely dispersed over this large ground than in previous years. Of the smaller areas Carsethorn had 405 tonnes (9%), Auchencairn 323 tonnes (7%) with the remaining areas 377 tonnes (8%) distributed between them. One of most striking results of the survey was the high numbers of “0” group cockles present in August 2007 accounting for 91% of the overall cockle abundance and 37% of the biomass. Most of these juveniles were found in very dense patches distributed over the eastern and western areas of the North Bank. Although less abundant than on the North Bank, substantial numbers of juveniles were also found on the Carsethorn and Barnhourie grounds. The changes to the timing of the survey and the inclusion of all bivalves provided useful new information, notably the abundance “0” group cockles and macoma. The individuals were small: “0” group cockles ranged in mean size from 7.60mm (± sd 1.44) to 8.98mm (± sd 1.80) while macoma (all ages) ranged from 8.74mm (± sd 2.52) to 11.91mm (± sd 2.10) in 15 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 the areas surveyed. However, the abundance of both were high giving a biomass estimate of 4486 tonnes for “0” group cockles and 7245 tonnes for macoma. These data were considered to of particular importance to the shorebird interaction model. They were arranged into a suitable format and made available for inclusion into the model being developed by Dr. Richard Stillman of Bournemouth University. The results of this work are reported elsewhere. The 2006-7 Fishery After consideration of scientific advice based on FRS and MES survey data along with the shorebird feeding requirements as calculated using the West ration model, a maximum TAC of 2,500 tonnes was set for a season lasting from 13 November 2006 to 15 April 2007. The minimum landing size (mls) remained at 30mm for all areas except Carsethorn where it was 27mm. The SSMA regulated grounds fished previously reopened at the start of the season and the Carsethorn Bank opened a week later, on 20 November. As before specific areas were assigned to the three permitted fishing methods: hand gathering took place on Carsethorn Bank and a designated area on the eastern part of Barnhourie; vessel dredging took place on the North Bank and Glenisle; tractor dredging took place on a designated area on the western part of Barnhourie. Hand gathering continued on Carsethorn until the end of January 2007 and on Barnhourie until the last day of the season on 15 April. Dredging by vessels using suction or elevator dredges continued on the North Bank until the SSMA closed area on 15 February. The closure followed discussion with the vessel skippers and was prompted by concerns about fishing intensity and confirmed by the Vessel Monitoring System (VMS). Glenisle was fished by two vessels using elevator dredges during the season. The single tractor dredge worked from the beginning of the season until the first week in January. While the grounds were open a total 637 tonnes (live weight) were landed by all methods. Hand gatherers landed 254 tonnes from Carsethorn Bank, 43 tonnes from Barnhourie, and 6 tonnes from unspecified areas. Vessels landed 237 tonnes from North Bank and 80 tonnes from Glenisle. The tractor dredger landed 16 tonnes from Barnhourie (SSMA pers com). Management Considerations The 2007 FRS survey has provided a more complete picture of the bivalve distribution and abundance on the Scottish side of the Solway Firth. However, management advice for the commercial cockle fishery in the area is required to take into account the feeding requirements of important shorebird populations within the SPA. Although much of the raw data required to run the individual-based shorebird interaction model has been provided by FRS, the scientific expertise required to run the model resides elsewhere. For this reason the final management advice for this fishery is no longer provided in this report alone. However, for consistency with earlier FRS cockle survey reports, we include below comments made on the basis of single spices considerations. The overall biomass of cockles of all ages has shown an increase from 8469 to 12225 tonnes (allowing for the changes in survey timing and areas covered) but a substantial proportion of these are “0” group cockles overshadowing a reduction in commercial aged cockles compared to 2006. Table 10a gives an indication of the biomass in August 2007 above a range of hypothetical minimum sizes. It is provided for comparison with the presentation of previous years’ survey results with the figures calculated in a similar way using the nominal strata area for each ground. As before, the table indicates the total available biomass for a particular MLS for each ground. Note that these figures are not cumulative for each size, thus, for example, an estimated 1,170 tonnes of cockles of 30mm and larger were available on Barnhourie in August 2007. 16 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 On the two major grounds surveyed the biomass of cockles at 30mm and above decreased from 1625 to 1170 tonnes on Barnhourie and from 1344 to 1074 tonnes on North bank between 2006 and 2007 (Table 10a). For these two areas the contour plots for 2+ cockles, which include cockles of less than 30mm, suggest that 30mm cockles are more widely dispersed in 2007 than in 2006, particularly on the North bank (Figures 4a and 4c). Table 10a also indicates that at 30mm and above, Auchencairn has a further 261 tonnes and Carsethorn 262 tonnes of cockles and the remaining grounds 307 tonnes between them. Table 10b gives an indication of 22.5% and 30% of available biomass above a hypothetical 25mm and 30mm minimum landing size for each ground surveyed which might previously been available to the fuishery. Without taking the shorebird feeding requirements into account, at present declining adult cockle stock levels a conservative strategy of removing 22.5% of cockles 30mm and larger would be recommended. Adopting this strategy on Barnhourie, North Bank, Auchencairn and Carsethorn would give a biomass of 623 tonnes. This approach would leave a larger spawning stock on the grounds while exploiting more valuable cockles of 30mm and above. An additional consideration is that a high proportion these 30mm plus cockles are already old, and are liable to increased natural mortality as they grow older. Regarding recruitment to the Solway cockle stocks the high abundance of “0” group cockles found on the survey indicates the settlement of another substantial year class. However, its presence as an indicator of future stock levels cannot be relied upon and it must again be emphasised that subsequent natural mortality, particularly over the first winter, can be extremely high. This is well illustrated by the large settlement of “0” group cockles detected during a vessel-based survey in December 1992 which had little impact on the stocks subsequently (Table 9a). To put the size of the 2007 year class into perspective the overall density in August 2007 before their first winter is not quite as high the density of the 2001 year class as one year olds in April 2002 (Table 9a). Although attention is now focused on the fate of the 2007 year class it should also be noted that one year old cockles were reasonably abundant on Carsethorn and North Bank (Table 6, Figure 5). FRS’ 2006 report highlighted the risk to the sustainability of cockle stocks caused by illegal fishing. It was concluded that this could only be remedied by effective enforcement. Since then the enforcement situation has been strengthened under the Police, Public Order and Criminal Justice (Scotland) Act 2006 under which the Regulating Order grantee or the SFPA or both can enforce a Regulating Order. This came into force 1 September 2006 clarifying enforcement responsibilities and helping to provide more effective enforcement of the Regulating Order. SUMMARY a) A shore-based bivalve survey of Scottish Solway Firth cockle beds was carried out during periods of low tide in July/August 2007. All bivalves species in the samples were identified and included in the survey. b) Cockle grounds at Carsethorn and Arbigland were included in the survey. Wigtown Bay was not surveyed. c) Quadrat samples of 0.1 m2 were collected at 732 stations within a total survey area exceeding 113km2. d) Cockle stocks were assessed using a modified 2 stage adaptive design using varying strata size and sample allocation was used on the North Bank. A two-stage adaptive survey design was used at Barnhourie and stratified random sampling was carried out on the other areas. 17 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 e) For the areas surveyed the overall biomass estimate for cockles was 12225 tonnes and the commercial biomass estimate was 4474 tonnes. f) The commercial biomass was located on Barnhourie (46%), North Bank (29%), Carsethorn (9%), and Auchencairn (7%). The remaining 8% was distributed between other areas. g) Large numbers of “0” group cockles were present in August 2007 accounting for 91% of the overall cockle abundance and 37% of the biomass. h) Excluding cockles, eight bivalve species were found on the cockle grounds. The highest bivalve species diversity was found on Carsethorn where 6 other species were found i) Excluding cockles the most abundant bivalve species was Macoma balthica accounting for 92% of the other bivalve species abundance. The overall abundance estimate for macoma was 15479 millions, slightly higher than for cockles, with a biomass of 7245 tonnes. j) The later timing of the survey allowed the inclusion of “0” group cockle data. Cockle and bivalve abundance and biomass estimates provided by this survey are being used in an individual-based shorebird interaction model the results of which will be used to inform management decisions and for setting total allowable catches. k) Without taking the shorebird feeding requirements into account and at present declining adult stock levels a conservative strategy of removing 22.5% of cockles 30mm and larger is recommended. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors would like to thank Jim Smith, skipper of the Second Degree, James Blackett of the Arbigland Estate, Craig Davis, Eric Armstrong of FRS, and Alex Watson, Tim Ewing and Alan Cairns of the SSMA for providing their help experience and enthusiasm. REFERENCES Anon., Solway Shellfish Management Association Management Plan 2004. Bailey, N., Howell, T.R.W., Chapman, C.J. and Thain, S. 1992. SOAFD Solway cockle survey 1991. Scottish Fisheries Working Paper No 19/92, pp.1-7. Bailey, N., Howell, T.R.W., Davis, S.E.B., Donald,J.W., Fryer,.R., Heine, S. and Chapman, C.J. 1998. Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 1998. Marine Laboratory Aberdeen Report No 7/98. Chapman, C.J., Howell, T.R.W., Bailey, N., and Thain, S. 1994. SOAFD Solway Cockle Surveys 1992-1993. Scottish Fisheries Working Paper No 7/94, pp.1-8. Davis, S.E.B., Howell, T.R.W., Donald, J.W., Drewery J., Tuck I., Ward B., Campbell R. J., and Fryer R. Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2004. Fisheries Research Services Internal Report No 15/03 18 Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2007 Davis, S.E.B., Howell, T.R.W., Donald, J.W., Drewery J., Harding, M., Ward B., and Campbell R. J. Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2005. Fisheries Research Services Internal Report No 07/06 European Economic Community, Habitats Directive (92/43/EEC), Article 6(3), Regulation 48, Habitats Regulations 1994 Howell, T.R.W., McKay, D.W., Chapman, C.J. and Thain, S. 1994. SOAFD Solway cockle survey 1994. Scottish Fisheries Working Paper No 8/94, pp.1-7. Howell, T.R.W., Chapman, C.J., Thain, S.E.B. and Hawkins, M. 1995. Survey of Solway cockle grounds 1995. Scottish Fisheries Working Paper No 7/95, pp.1-8. Howell, T.R.W., Chapman, C.J., Thain, S.E.B. and Hawkins, M. 1996. Survey of Solway cockle grounds 1996. Scottish Fisheries Working Paper No 4/96, pp.1-7. Howell, T.R.W., Davis, S.E.B., Donald, J.W., Bailey, N. and Chapman, C.J. 1997. Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 1997. Marine Laboratory Aberdeen Report No 8/97. Howell, T.R.W., Bailey, N., Davis, S.E.B., Donald, J.W., Hawkins, M. and Chapman, C.J. 1999. Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 1999. Marine Laboratory Aberdeen Report No3/99. Howell, T.R.W., Bailey, N., Davis, S.E.B. and Donald,J.W. 2001a. Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2000. Marine Laboratory Aberdeen Report No 06/01. Howell, T.R.W., Bailey, N., Davis, S.E.B. and Donald, J.W. 2001b. Cockle Grounds 2001. Marine Laboratory Aberdeen Report No 16/01. Survey of Solway Howell, T.R.W., Davis, S.E.B., Donald, J.W., Weetman A., Drewery J., Martin J., and Bailey, N., Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2002. Marine Laboratory, Aberdeen Report No 06/02 Howell, T.R.W., Davis, S.E.B., Donald, J.W., Drewery J., Martin J., and Ward B. Survey of Solway Cockle Grounds 2003. Fisheries Research Services Internal Report No 15/03 Newell, R.C., Seiderer, L.J., Beer, N.A. 2006. Cockle Stock Assessment in the Scottish Solway Firth. Marine Ecological Surveys Limited report. West, A.D., The Impact of the Regulated Cockle Fishery on Key Bird Species in the Solway Firth. Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Report to Solway Shellfish management Association. 19 TABLE 1 a) Tonnes of cockles landed by UK vessels in Scotland from ICES statistical rectangles 38E5 and 38E6 (Solway Firth) (all gears) 1987 - 2001. 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997* 1998* 1999* 2000* 2001* 0 426 708 120 960 350 0 80 0 0 - - - - - 0 606 1037 629 883 582 0 0 0 0 - - - - - 0 1357 442 540 1041 1413 0 0 0 0 - - - - - 209 1159 649 792 1635 18 120 0 0 0 - - - - - 209 3548 2836 2081 4519 2363 120 80 0 0 550 1300 1500 2000 - Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total * Cockles landed during 1997-2001 by one faction of hand gatherers (figures provided by Solway Shellfish Hand Operators Federation) but have not been recorded in the official statistics. See text. The Fishery was closed to all methods in January 2002 b) Tonnes of cockles landed by SSMA licensees while fishery was open between 13 March and 28 April 2006 by method. Method Tonnes landed by Licensees Hand 255.0 Tractor 24.5 Vessel 204.3 c) Tonnes of cockles landed by SSMA licensees while fishery was open from 13 November 2006 to 15 April 2007 by method. Method Tonnes landed by Licensees Hand 303 Tractor 16 Vessel 317 TABLE 2 Sampling details for the stratified random and adaptive surveys conducted in July/August 2007. Information is given on the numbers of stations, area of coverage and the sampling levels of cockles, for each ground. The survey was shore based and largely carried out using ATVs and quadrat sampling. Area Date May Method No Stations Grid sq. area (km ²) Overall Area** (km ²) Stations with cockles Cockles caught Cockles aged and measured A B (West) B (Top) B (East) C D E F G P 30 Jul - 1 Aug 3,4,6 Aug 04-Aug 03-Aug 01-Aug 02-Aug 02-Aug 29-Jul 29-Jul 05-Aug Quadrat* Quadrat* Quadrat Quadrat Quadrat Quadrat Quadrat Quadrat Quadrat Quadrat 246 194 12 22 70 74 12 16 28 58 0.326 0.618 2.470 2.473 0.128 0.100 0.242 0.165 0.165 0.223 31.227 29.664 8.687 27.203 4.480 3.457 1.032 0.659 1.859 5.284 124 99 1 13 44 29 8 9 10 9 1400 6800 2 261 1153 76 17 33 57 49 1400 6800 2 261 1153 76 17 33 57 49 113.552 346 9848 9848 Total A B C D E F G P 732 Barnhourie North Bank Carsethorn Auchencairn Bay Orchardton Bay Glenisle Rough Island Arbigland * Adaptive survey ** Based on the combined area of the strata sampled in a stratified random survey or the combined area of the strata sampled in the first phase of an adaptive survey. TABLE 3 Results of stratified random surveys for North Bank (East), North Bank (Top), Carsethorn, Auchencairn, Orchardton, Glenisle Rough Island and Arbigland. The upper part of each table shows abundance estimates, variance and standard error (SE) by age group, the lower part shows the same calculations for biomass (tonnes). (a) North Bank (East) 0 3078.9 1 111.3 2 24.8 Age 3 12.4 4 0.0 5 0.0 6+ 0.0 All ages 3227.4 2+ ages 37.2 2524725.8 2293.4 305.8 152.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2562031.8 458.7 SE 1588.9 47.9 17.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1600.6 21.4 Weight (tonnes) Overall Weight 0 889.2 1 362.1 2 261.7 12.4 Age 3 206.4 4 0.0 5 0.0 6+ 0.0 All ages 1719.4 2+ ages 468.1 Overall Variance 193373.2 27052.0 38005.0 42598.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 345815.7 80603.8 439.7 164.5 194.9 206.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 588.1 283.9 0 15.7 1 0.0 2 0.0 Age 3 0.0 4 0.0 5 0.0 6+ 0.0 All ages 15.7 2+ ages 0.0 258.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 258.4 0.0 SE 16.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.1 0.0 Weight (tonnes) Overall Weight 0 4.8 1 0.0 2 0.0 0.0 Age 3 0.0 4 0.0 5 0.0 6+ 0.0 All ages 4.8 2+ ages 0.0 Overall Variance 23.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.6 0.0 SE 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 0.0 Abundance (millions) Overall Abundance Overall Variance SE (b) North Bank (Top) Abundance (millions) Overall Abundance Overall Variance (c) Carsethorn 0 630.0 1 72.2 2 4.4 Age 3 3.7 4 3.0 5 3.8 6+ 19.9 All ages 737.0 2+ ages 34.8 20018.4 138.9 4.5 1.6 2.0 0.8 29.1 22341.6 45.5 SE 141.5 11.8 2.1 1.4 0.9 5.4 149.5 6.7 Weight (tonnes) Overall Weight 0 140.7 1 305.4 2 54.9 1.3 Age 3 55.9 4 45.2 5 38.0 6+ 210.5 All ages 850.6 2+ ages 404.5 Overall Variance 1006.1 3275.1 690.1 403.4 499.7 181.7 3278.7 12425.3 5999.9 31.7 57.2 26.3 20.1 22.4 13.5 57.3 111.5 77.5 Abundance (millions) Overall Abundance 0 13.2 1 1.0 2 11.1 Age 3 2.0 4 3.0 5 2.5 6+ 4.2 All ages 37.0 2+ ages 22.8 Overall Variance 12.2 0.5 7.5 0.5 2.0 1.8 3.1 40.1 21.0 SE 3.5 0.7 2.7 1.4 1.3 1.8 6.3 4.6 Weight (tonnes) Overall Weight 0 3.2 1 5.2 2 107.4 0.7 Age 3 28.8 4 43.4 5 44.8 6+ 98.5 All ages 331.3 2+ ages 322.9 Overall Variance 0.7 13.7 697.5 185.9 427.4 670.7 1924.0 5666.4 5599.1 SE 0.8 3.7 26.4 13.6 20.7 25.9 43.9 75.3 74.8 (e) Orchardton Abundance (millions) Overall Abundance 0 1.3 1 2.1 2 5.7 Age 3 1.2 4 2.0 5 0.0 6+ 0.7 All ages 13.0 2+ ages 9.6 Overall Variance 0.7 2.6 5.4 1.4 2.5 0.0 0.9 26.0 14.9 SE 0.8 1.6 2.3 1.6 0.0 0.9 5.1 3.9 Weight (tonnes) Overall Weight 0 0.7 1 6.1 2 49.9 1.2 Age 3 12.4 4 25.4 5 0.0 6+ 7.7 All ages 102.1 2+ ages 95.4 Overall Variance 0.7 21.0 287.0 155.0 402.9 0.0 96.2 1391.2 1203.5 SE 0.9 4.6 16.9 12.4 20.1 0.0 9.8 37.3 34.7 Abundance (millions) Overall Abundance Overall Variance SE (d) Auchencairn (f) Glenisle Abundance (millions) Overall Abundance 0 11.7 1 3.2 2 1.3 Age 3 0.8 4 0.2 5 0.2 6+ 0.2 All ages 17.5 2+ ages 2.7 Overall Variance 75.2 3.5 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.2 110.4 1.5 SE 8.7 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 10.5 1.2 Weight (tonnes) Overall Weight 0 1.5 1 5.5 2 6.6 0.8 Age 3 6.6 4 1.4 5 3.0 6+ 4.0 All ages 28.5 2+ ages 21.5 Overall Variance 1.4 8.5 28.1 45.4 15.1 42.2 60.3 174.0 136.3 SE 1.2 2.9 5.3 6.7 3.9 6.5 7.8 13.2 11.7 0 33.7 1 1.7 2 2.4 Age 3 4.0 4 0.0 5 0.0 6+ 3.0 All ages 44.8 2+ ages 9.4 673.2 0.4 0.6 11.5 0.0 0.0 2.5 746.9 21.2 SE 25.9 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.6 27.3 4.6 Weight (tonnes) Overall Weight 0 9.8 1 7.0 2 23.4 3.4 Age 3 38.1 4 0.0 5 0.0 6+ 61.3 All ages 139.5 2+ ages 122.8 Overall Variance 67.7 5.3 54.1 873.2 0.0 0.0 1211.8 3347.8 2966.1 SE 8.2 2.3 7.4 29.5 0.0 0.0 34.8 57.9 54.5 Abundance (millions) Overall Abundance 0 8.6 1 2.3 2 3.1 Age 3 0.0 4 2.4 5 0.3 6+ 2.4 All ages 19.1 2+ ages 8.1 Overall Variance 29.7 18.2 2.8 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 61.8 2.4 SE 5.5 4.3 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 7.9 1.5 Weight (tonnes) Overall Weight 0 2.2 1 8.2 2 38.9 0.0 Age 3 0.0 4 49.9 5 3.0 6+ 46.4 All ages 148.6 2+ ages 138.2 Overall Variance 2.2 218.2 556.4 0.0 128.9 31.5 98.0 925.6 729.4 SE 1.5 14.8 23.6 0.0 11.4 5.6 9.9 30.4 27.0 (g) Rough Island Abundance (millions) Overall Abundance Overall Variance (h) Arbigland TABLE 4 Calculated G values for each extra station used in Stage 2 of the Barnhourie and North Bank (West) adaptive surveys, together with position and stratum in which it was located. Densities of cockles (numbers.m2) are shown on the right. a) Barnhourie Long. Lat Number at age (number. m-2) Extra Located G Station In Number Stratum 1 72 -3.6787 54.8645 0.8679 150 50 0 0 0 0 2 57 -3.6719 54.862 0.7484 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 73 -3.6699 54.8648 0.5358 110 0 0 0 0 0 4 69 -3.7086 54.8654 0.4428 120 0 10 0 0 0 0 130 10 5 72 -3.6811 54.866 0.434 110 40 90 10 0 0 0 250 100 6 57 -3.6778 54.8635 0.3742 80 50 0 0 0 0 0 130 0 7 39 -3.6881 54.8582 0.3587 290 20 30 0 0 0 0 340 30 8 77 -3.6369 54.8649 0.2834 150 0 10 0 0 0 0 160 10 9 73 -3.676 54.8673 0.2679 20 60 30 0 0 0 0 110 30 10 72 -3.6794 54.8667 0.2604 20 60 20 0 10 20 20 150 70 11 57 -3.6712 54.8591 0.2245 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 69 -3.7087 54.8655 0.2214 90 40 0 10 0 0 0 140 10 13 71 -3.6897 54.8643 0.217 120 10 0 0 0 0 20 150 20 14 39 -3.6902 54.8569 0.1793 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 72 -3.681 54.8662 0.1736 110 70 10 10 0 0 10 210 30 16 73 -3.6698 54.8642 0.1607 140 10 0 0 0 0 0 150 0 17 83 -3.7323 54.8712 0.1594 0 50 20 10 10 0 0 90 40 18 85 -3.7157 54.8704 0.1594 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 57 -3.6722 54.8603 0.1497 200 10 20 10 0 0 10 250 40 20 77 -3.6355 54.8684 0.1417 60 20 0 0 0 0 10 90 10 21 69 -3.7074 54.8666 0.1328 50 10 0 0 10 0 10 80 20 22 72 -3.6783 54.8655 0.124 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 50 0 23 50 -3.7446 54.8606 0.1107 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 50 50 24 60 -3.6412 54.8629 0.1107 20 0 10 10 0 0 0 40 20 25 89 -3.6692 54.8731 0.1107 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 71 -3.696 54.8662 0.1085 30 90 0 0 0 0 10 130 10 27 39 -3.6929 54.8581 0.1076 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 28 73 -3.6718 54.8644 0.1072 170 10 10 10 0 0 0 200 20 29 57 -3.6743 54.8607 0.1069 240 0 10 0 0 0 0 250 10 30 72 -3.6811 54.8675 0.093 20 40 0 10 0 10 20 100 40 31 69 -3.7087 54.866 0.0886 30 20 20 0 0 10 20 100 50 32 77 -3.6353 54.8684 0.085 140 20 10 10 0 0 0 180 20 33 57 -3.6751 54.8629 0.0802 140 40 70 10 0 0 30 290 110 statistic 0 1 2 3 4 5 All Ages ages 2+ 0 200 0 0 0 0 0 110 0 6 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 83 85 73 72 39 53 55 61 84 71 69 57 72 73 77 50 60 -3.7343 -3.7096 -3.6772 -3.6866 -3.6909 -3.7152 -3.6915 -3.637 -3.7194 -3.6908 -3.7152 -3.673 -3.6807 -3.6731 -3.6294 -3.7384 -3.6402 54.8711 54.8718 54.8684 54.8647 54.8572 54.8594 54.8636 54.8624 54.8695 54.8639 54.8678 54.8616 54.8669 54.8667 54.8663 54.8617 54.8622 0.0797 0.0797 0.0765 0.0723 0.0717 0.0709 0.0709 0.0709 0.0709 0.0651 0.0633 0.0624 0.0579 0.0574 0.0567 0.0554 0.0554 30 0 90 110 0 0 40 20 40 40 20 0 50 100 230 0 0 10 60 30 50 0 0 10 0 0 30 0 0 20 0 20 0 10 20 10 70 0 0 0 30 10 0 20 30 0 10 10 0 10 0 10 0 20 0 0 0 10 0 0 10 30 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 10 0 0 10 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 10 0 0 10 0 0 20 0 0 10 0 10 0 0 70 80 250 170 0 0 100 30 40 140 80 0 100 110 260 30 10 30 20 130 10 0 0 50 10 0 70 60 0 30 10 10 30 0 b) North Bank (West) Extra Located Station Number In Stratum 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 19 19 3 4 6 8 13 26 27 31 19 19 3 4 6 8 13 26 27 Long. -3.5126 -3.5115 -3.5224 -3.5108 -3.4758 -3.4585 -3.4861 -3.5251 -3.5238 -3.4629 -3.5154 -3.5195 -3.523 -3.5099 -3.4785 -3.4479 -3.4854 -3.5324 -3.5129 Lat 54.9337 54.9335 54.9187 54.9155 54.9205 54.9183 54.9252 54.9388 54.9357 54.9365 54.9332 54.9315 54.9166 54.916 54.9208 54.916 54.9234 54.9366 54.9405 Number at age (number. m-2) G statistic 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 All ages Ages 2+ 0.0318 0.0191 0.0141 0.0141 0.0141 0.0141 0.0141 0.0141 0.0141 0.0141 0.0127 0.0091 0.0085 0.0085 0.0085 0.0085 0.0085 0.0085 0.0085 2430 2260 0 0 920 710 100 1120 520 590 500 800 0 0 1280 200 50 10 460 30 20 0 0 10 30 0 0 50 70 20 60 0 0 20 0 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 10 10 30 0 10 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2460 2290 0 0 950 750 130 1120 580 660 520 860 0 10 1310 200 100 50 480 0 10 0 0 20 10 30 0 10 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 30 20 10 North Bank (West) continued 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 31 19 3 4 6 8 13 26 27 31 19 19 3 4 6 8 13 26 27 31 10 11 12 15 22 24 34 42 19 3 4 -3.4662 -3.5208 -3.5207 -3.5086 -3.4739 -3.4545 -3.4869 -3.5329 -3.5185 -3.4604 -3.5147 -3.5217 -3.5172 -3.5047 -3.485 -3.4567 -3.4946 -3.5345 -3.5226 -3.4622 -3.5314 -3.5191 -3.4991 -3.4653 -3.4772 -3.4479 -3.5356 -3.5345 -3.5187 -3.5232 -3.5043 54.9417 54.9309 54.9215 54.9158 54.9164 54.9169 54.9244 54.9392 54.9393 54.936 54.9322 54.9338 54.918 54.9181 54.92 54.9159 54.9272 54.9398 54.9371 54.9409 54.9282 54.9254 54.9265 54.926 54.9294 54.9352 54.9438 54.9499 54.9339 54.9214 54.9163 0.0085 0.0068 0.0057 0.0057 0.0057 0.0057 0.0057 0.0057 0.0057 0.0057 0.0053 0.0042 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.0035 0.0035 0.0035 0.0035 0.0035 0.0035 0.0035 0.0035 0.0035 0.003 0.003 40 890 0 0 140 210 70 0 1200 510 2790 600 0 0 50 230 30 0 70 170 0 450 0 2600 310 200 0 80 1270 20 0 0 50 0 0 30 10 10 40 50 40 40 20 0 0 60 20 10 20 10 30 30 10 20 30 30 10 0 110 80 10 0 0 10 0 10 0 20 10 0 0 10 10 0 0 0 0 30 0 30 10 0 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 950 0 10 170 240 90 50 1250 560 2840 620 0 0 110 280 50 60 90 200 40 470 30 2660 340 210 0 190 1370 30 0 0 10 0 10 0 20 10 10 0 10 10 0 0 0 0 30 10 40 10 0 10 10 10 30 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 TABLE 5 Results of adaptive surveys on a) Barnhourie and b) North Bank for 2007. Upper part of each table shows abundance estimates, variance and standard error (SE) by age group derived from Stage 1 of survey and from Stage 1 and 2 combined. Lower part of each table shows the same calculations for biomass (tonnes). Table c) shows the overall results for the North Bank (combined west and east). a) Barnhourie Abundance Age (millions) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ All ages 2+ ages 975.9 138.7 151.1 35.7 17.9 16.2 27.5 1363.0 248.4 18584.4 604.0 433.9 79.7 23.9 15.9 66.3 21727.7 848.3 SE 136.3 24.6 20.8 8.9 4.9 4.0 8.1 147.4 29.1 First and Overall Abundance 901.0 146.5 110.0 27.9 12.6 15.8 29.9 1243.6 196.2 second Overall Variance 18116.6 498.9 182.1 28.1 12.1 13.8 37.3 21320.8 365.6 combined SE 134.6 22.3 13.5 5.3 3.5 3.7 6.1 146.0 19.1 First Weight 288.4 550.4 1291.4 369.8 211.4 196.8 481.2 3389.3 2550.5 Stage Variance 2518.5 8767.0 26863.6 8242.3 4069.7 2941.9 20502.5 137666.0 103347.0 SE 50.2 93.6 163.9 90.8 63.8 54.2 143.2 371.0 321.5 First and Overall Weight 270.6 553.2 951.5 284.5 156.4 196.1 481.4 2893.8 2070.0 second Overall Variance 2458.7 5756.5 14892.3 2833.2 2027.5 2719.0 12477.1 70388.8 49878.2 combined SE 49.6 75.9 122.0 53.2 45.0 52.1 111.7 265.3 223.3 First Abundance Stage Variance Weight (tonnes) b) North Bank (west) Abundance Age (millions) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ All ages 2+ ages 8176.4 533.9 55.8 2.1 0.0 0.0 4.2 8772.4 62.1 787365.9 5003.1 207.9 4.2 0.0 0.0 8.5 827030.9 212.1 SE 887.3 70.7 14.4 2.1 0.0 0.0 2.9 909.4 14.6 First and Overall Abundance 8567.2 520.9 53.9 7.9 4 0 2.4 9156.3 68.2 second Overall Variance 688799.2 4407.4 62.2 9.1 10.3 0.0 1.9 710706.8 84.4 combined SE 829.9 66.4 7.9 3.0 3.2 0.0 1.4 843.0 9.2 First Weight 2889.3 2103.4 615.4 37.3 0.0 0.0 68.9 5714.3 721.6 Stage Variance 100733.6 51860.2 24004.1 1391.4 0.0 0.0 2391.4 238228.9 26541.6 SE 317.4 227.7 154.9 37.3 0.0 0.0 48.9 488.1 162.9 First and Overall Weight 3163.0 2013.0 613.9 129.3 46.8 0.0 40.6 6006.6 830.6 second Overall Variance 100703.4 36828.5 8544.7 2478.8 1248.5 0.0 560.5 182095.5 12644.4 combined SE 317.3 191.9 92.4 49.8 35.3 0.0 23.7 426.7 112.4 First Abundance Stage Variance Weight (tonnes) c) North Bank (combined west and east) Abundance (millions) Age 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ All ages 2+ ages 11661.8 632.2 78.7 20.3 4.0 0.0 2.4 12399.4 105.4 3213783.4 6700.8 368.0 162.0 10.3 0.0 1.9 3272996.9 543.1 SE 1792.7 81.9 19.2 12.7 3.2 0.0 1.4 1809.1 23.3 Combined Overall Weight 4057.0 2375.1 875.6 335.7 46.8 0.0 40.6 7730.8 1298.7 West + Overall Variance 294100.3 63880.5 46549.7 45077.6 1248.5 0.0 560.5 527934.9 93248.2 East SE 542.3 252.7 215.8 212.3 35.3 0.0 23.7 726.6 305.4 Combined Overall Abundance West + Overall Variance East TABLE 6 Abundance (No, millions) and density (No.m-2) of cockles on each ground during July / August 2007 shore survey. Figures given by age and overall. For comparison with previous surveys North Bank east and west estimates have been combined. Overall Ages Area A B C D E F G P Total 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ No 901.0 146.5 110.0 27.9 12.6 15.8 29.9 No / m2 28.9 4.7 3.5 0.9 0.4 0.5 1.0 No 11661.8 632.2 78.7 20.3 4.0 0.0 2.4 No / m2 177.8 9.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 No 630.0 72.2 4.4 3.7 3.0 3.8 19.9 No / m2 140.6 16.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 4.4 No 13.2 1.0 11.1 2.0 3.0 2.5 4.2 No / m2 3.8 0.3 3.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 1.2 No 1.3 2.1 5.7 1.2 2.0 0.0 0.7 No / m2 1.2 2.1 5.5 1.1 2.0 0.0 0.7 No 11.7 3.2 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 No / m2 17.7 4.9 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 No 33.7 1.7 2.4 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 No / m2 18.1 0.9 1.3 2.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 No 8.6 2.3 3.1 0.0 2.4 0.3 2.4 No / m2 1.6 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.4 A Barnhourie B North Bank C Carsethorn D Auchencairn Bay E Orchardton Bay F Glenisle G Rough Island P Arbigland Density No/m ² 1243.6 39.8 12399.4 189.1 737.0 164.5 37.0 10.7 13.0 12.6 17.5 26.6 44.8 24.1 19.1 3.6 TABLE 7 Biomass (tonnes) and biomass per unit area (tonnes.km-2, tonnes) by age group and overall on each ground surveyed in July / August 2007. For comparison with previous surveys North Bank east and west estimates have been combined. Overall Ages Area A B C D E F G P Total 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ Biomass 270.6 553.2 951.5 284.5 156.4 196.1 481.4 tonnes.km -2 8.7 17.7 30.5 9.1 5.0 6.3 15.4 Biomass 4057.0 2375.1 875.6 335.7 46.8 0.0 40.6 tonnes.km -2 61.9 36.2 13.4 5.1 0.7 0.0 0.6 Biomass 140.7 305.4 54.9 55.9 45.2 38.0 210.5 tonnes.km -2 31.4 68.2 12.3 12.5 10.1 8.5 47.0 Biomass 3.2 5.2 107.4 28.8 43.4 44.8 98.5 tonnes.km -2 0.9 1.5 31.1 8.3 12.6 13.0 28.5 Biomass 0.7 6.1 49.9 12.4 25.4 0.0 7.7 tonnes.km -2 0.6 5.9 48.4 12.0 24.6 0.0 7.4 Biomass 1.5 5.5 6.6 6.6 1.4 3.0 4.0 tonnes.km -2 2.3 8.3 9.9 10.0 2.1 4.6 6.1 Biomass 9.8 7.0 23.4 38.1 0.0 0.0 61.3 tonnes.km -2 5.3 3.7 12.6 20.5 0.0 0.0 32.9 Biomass 2.2 8.2 38.9 0.0 49.9 3.0 46.4 tonnes.km -2 0.4 1.6 7.4 0.0 9.4 0.6 8.8 A Barnhourie B North Bank C Carsethorn D Auchencairn Bay E Orchardton Bay F Glenisle G Rough Island P Arbigland Biomass per Km-2 2893.8 92.7 7730.8 117.9 850.6 189.9 331.3 95.8 102.1 99.0 28.5 43.2 139.5 75.0 148.6 28.1 TABLE 8 Comparison of overall biomass estimates (tonnes), area surveyed (km2) and biomass per unit area (t.km-2) for each ground in annual surveys, 1990 -2007. 1990 1991 1992 1993 Ground tonnes km ² t.km-2 tonnes km ² t.km-2 tonnes km ² t.km-2 tonnes km ² t.km-2 A 5879 38.36 153.3 1028 25.04 41.0 1309 24.59 53.2 251 16.80 14.9 B 2427 15.28 158.8 1070 19.40 55.2 781 27.24 28.7 273 24.14 11.3 C 2105 2.22 948.2 2 2.22 0.9 0 0.79 0.4 D 214 0.58 369.0 22 0.58 37.9 103 0.58 177.8 11 0.70 15.9 E 146 0.36 405.6 6 0.36 16.7 53 0.36 147.0 4 0.36 11.3 F 47 0.29 162.1 66 0.39 169.2 122 0.49 248.8 59 0.49 120.1 G 55 0.27 207.7 23 0.27 85.2 341 0.27 1261.1 4 0.27 13.5 I 1822 7.16 254.5 850 5.74 148.1 1068 7.65 139.6 1496 8.84 169.3 18 0.02 1178.0 3794 61.99 61.2 2098 51.60 40.7 K Total A-K 12695 64.52 196.8 3067 1994 54.00 56.8 1995 1996 1997 Ground tonnes km ² t.km-2 tonnes km ² t.km-2 tonnes km ² t.km-2 tonnes km ² t.km-2 A 498 29.21 17.1 264 33.07 8.0 531 30.65 17.3 1525 30.81 49.5 B 24 8.60 2.8 123 40.02 3.1 447 39.94 11.2 2249 59.88 37.6 D 203 0.58 349.8 37 1.11 33.7 392 2.14 182.8 304 1.99 153.4 E 61 0.36 169.5 34 0.84 40.3 112 1.08 103.5 52 0.96 54.6 F 38 0.49 77.3 58 0.49 119.2 - - - 1 0.49 1.4 G 240 0.34 706.3 283 0.31 924.2 86 0.31 280.8 108 0.31 354.5 I 847 7.41 114.3 1600 12.20 131.1 957 10.49 91.2 1741 11.68 149.1 K 17 0.02 1144.0 7 0.02 462.0 6 0.02 422.0 1 0.02 82.0 Total A-K 1929 47.01 41.0 2406 88.06 27.3 2531 84.62 29.9 5983 106.12 82.0 England N - - - 91 12.08 7.6 319 13.62 23.4 238 12.99 18.3 O - - - 25 1.90 13.3 53 2.38 22.5 138 2.89 47.6 Total N+O - - - 117 13.98 8.3 373 16 46 375 16 66 1998 1999 2000 2001 Ground tonnes km ² t.km-2 tonnes km ² t.km-2 tonnes km ² t.km-2 tonnes km ² t.km-2 A 3010 30.97 97.2 3598 27.38 131.4 6065 31.95 189.8 3458 30.60 113.0 B 7442 53.22 139.8 5359 55.12 97 3853 65.51 58.8 206 62.40 3.3 D 625 1.83 342.3 1105 1.99 555 784 1.99 394.9 1258 3.00 419.2 E 249 1.08 230.4 307 0.96 320 62 0.84 73.8 93 0.96 97.1 G 17 0.31 55.2 205 0.31 661 105 0.31 343.1 159 0.31 520.2 I 2413 10.73 224.9 2383 10.73 222 2546 13.51 188.4 1293 12.46 103.8 K 0 0.02 0.0 - - - - - - - - - Total A-K 13756 98.15 140.2 12957 96.49 134.2 117.5 6467 109.73 58.94 13415 114.10 England N 834 15.68 53.2 154 12.32 12.5 134 17.06 7.8 - - - O 130 2.38 54.8 203 2.46 82.5 124 2.61 47.4 - - - Total N+O 965 18.06 53.4 357 14.80 24.2 258 19.67 13.1 - - - 2002 2003 2004 2005 Ground tonnes Km ² t.km-2 tonnes Km ² t.km-2 tonnes Km ² t.km-2 tonnes Km ² t.km-2 A 3201.1 29.7 107.9 6941 30.0 231.1 7560.6 29.2 258.9 4493.4 30.9 145.4 B 7306.3 68.0 107.5 22650 70.5 321.5 21457.1 67.9 315.8 11366.8 69.9 162.6 D 651.4 3.2 203.6 844 3.1 275.7 391.7 3.1 126.4 424.7 3.2 132.7 E 158 1.5 108.8 148 0.9 169.2 115.2 0.9 128 249.8 1.1 227.1 F 204.1 0.5 449.6 251 0.5 551.8 234.2 0.5 468.4 407.3 0.9 519.3 G 549.2 1.3 417.9 711 2.0 347.2 243.9 2.0 122 229.1 2.0 114.6 I 2066.3 12.8 161.2 2381 11.6 205.2 3868.8 12.7 304.6 2133.4 12.0 177.8 14136.4 117.3 120.7 33926 118.5 286.2 33871.5 116.4 291.0 19304.5 119.7 161.3 Total A-I 2006 2007 -2 t.km-2 Ground tonnes km ² t.km tonnes A 2840.3 31.2 90.9 2893.8 31.2 92.7 B 2206.8 69.9 31.6 7730.8 65.6 117.9 850.6 4.5 189.9 405.4 3.2 126.9 331.3 3.5 95.8 E 61.6 1.1 58.3 102.1 1 99 F 439.2 0.8 558.8 28.5 0.7 43.2 G 107.5 2.2 48.7 139.5 1.9 75 I 2408.3 13 184.8 148.6 5.3 28.1 12225.2 113.7 107.5 C D P km ² Total A-P A K B C D E F 8469.1 Barnhourie Balcary Bay North Bank Carsethorn Auchencairn Bay Orchardton Bay Glenisle 121.4 69.8 I G P Wigtown Bay Rough Island Arbigland N O England Cardurnock Beckfoot TABLE 9 Comparative summary of survey results for the Solway Firth, 1990-2007, showing densities (a) and biomass (b) of under- ages and commercial- aged cockles. The minimum commercial length is assumed (historically) to be 22 mm which is normally attained after one full year in most parts of the Solway. Surveys from 1995 to 2000 include English grounds. a) Densities of under aged cockles and Commercial-aged Cockles Survey Year Total survey Area (km2) 1990(Dec) 1991(Dec) 1992(Dec) 1993(May)* 1994(Apr)* 1995(Apr)* 1996 (Apr)* 1997(Apr)* 1998(Apr)* 1999(Apr)* 2000(May)* 2001(May)* 2002(April)* 2003(May)* 2004(May)* 2005(May)* 2006(April)* 2007(Aug) 64.52 54.00 61.99 51.63 47.01 102.03 100.62 121.77 116.21 111.28 133.77 109.73 117.16 118.52 116.4 119.73 Under-aged 15.36 26.11 47.69 9.82 1.43 4.96 15.23 21.28 11.64 20.35 7.19 4.64 127.49 5.87 11.0 5.70 Cockle density (No/m2) Commercial 41.18 7.11 5.03 5.86 4.92 1.98 2.43 5.62 15.44 9.84 10.18 5.61 5.69 39.55 29.2 13.80 121.35 113.55 6.97 124.37 7.43 3.43 All ages 56.54 33.22 52.72 15.68 6.35 6.94 17.67 26.90 27.08 30.19 17.37 10.25 133.18 45.42 40.2 19.50 14.39 127.80 b) Biomass of under aged cockles and Commercial-aged Cockles Survey year 1990 1991 1992 1993* 1994* 1995* 1996* 1997* 1998* 1999* 2000* 2001* 2002* 2003* 2004* 2005* 2006* 2007 Under-aged 8.8 10.4 29.3 3.8 0.9 3.2 10.9 10.4 12.1 17.4 7.9 4.3 70.2 7.4 11.7 5.9 Biomass (t/km ²) Commercial 187.9 46.3 31.9 36.8 40.2 21.6 18.0 41.8 114.6 102.2 94.3 54.6 50.4 278.8 279.3 155.3 All ages 196.7 56.7 61.2 40.6 41.0 24.8 28.9 52.2 126.7 119.6 102.2 58.9 120.7 286.2 291.0 161.2 Under-aged 571 563 1815 196 41 323 1092 1263 1401 1940 1062 476 8228 876 1357 706 Biomass (tonnes) Commercial 12123 2501 1979 1902 1888 2199 1811 5094 13318 11372 12610 5991 5908 33049 32515 18598 All ages 12694 3064 3794 2098 1929 2522 2903 6357 14721 13312 13672 6467 14136 33926 33872 19304 6.0 68.3 63.8 39.4 69.8 107.7 729 7751 7740 4474 8469 12225 *At the time of these surveys "under aged" cockles had one growth ring but had not reached commercial size, and the "0" group of the year had not yet settled. TABLE 10 a) Estimated available biomass (tonnes) available in July/August 2007 by area at hypothetical minimum landing sizes (MLS) ranging from 25mm to 35mm, based on maximum stratum size. The total biomass for each MLS is given which includes the biomass available at that size and above so, for example, the biomass for an MLS of 30mm on Barnhourie would be 1,170 tonnes (not 4,513 tonnes). MLS mm. 25* 26 27 28 29 30* 31 32 33 34 35 Barnhourie 2079 1963 1826 1651 1356 1170 950 776 666 541 411 North Bank Auchencairn Orchardton 1805 1635 1444 1288 1146 1074 939 786 691 459 379 325 322 314 289 266 261 232 200 179 156 131 121 121 112 81 70 32 19 19 19 0 0 Glenisle Rough Is. Carsthorn Arbigland 42 42 36 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 15 128 123 117 96 96 87 87 56 56 43 43 438 409 370 333 315 262 218 120 93 74 63 194 187 179 169 159 159 159 145 129 112 93 *The highlighted figures show the available biomass at the SSMA proposed lowest permissible MLS (25mm) and their suggested initial precautionary MLS of 30mm b) Indication of 22.5% and 30% of available biomass at 25mm and 30mm minimum landing sizes based on table above. Barnhourie North Bank Auchencairn Orchardton Glenisle Rough Is. Carsthorn Arbigland 25mm Landing Size Available 2079 1805 325 121 42 128 438 194 22.5% 468 406 73 27 9 29 99 44 30% 624 541 97 36 13 38 132 58 30mm Landing Size Available 1170 1074 261 32 29 87 262 159 22.5% 263 242 59 7 7 20 59 36 30% 351 322 78 10 9 26 79 48 Figure 1. Chart of Solway Firth showing cockle grounds and 2007 station sampling positions on each ground. 55.0 B A B C D E F G I P 54.9 I Barhourie/Mersehead North Bank (Top, E and W) Carsethorn Auchencairn Bay Orchardton Bay Glenisle Rough Island Wigtown Bay Arbigland C P A D,E,F + G 54.8 54.7 -4.4 -4.3 -4.2 -4.1 -4.0 -3.9 -3.8 -3.7 -3.6 -3.5 -3.4 Figure 2a. Sampling stations on Barnhourie in 2007. Size of the triangles indicate abundance of commercial sized 2+ cockles (Crosses show stations with zero 2+ cockles). 54.89 = 100.m-2 54.88 54.87 54.86 54.85 -3.76 -3.74 -3.72 -3.70 -3.68 -3.66 -3.64 -3.62 -3.60 Figure 2b. Shaded boxes indicate strata in which additional stations were allocated during stage two. The large bold figures show the numbers of extra stations allocated to each stratum. 54.89 54.88 2 54.87 54.86 1 2 2 1 5 3 1 1 8 6 4 7 2 1 4 54.85 -3.76 -3.74 -3.72 -3.70 -3.68 -3.66 -3.64 -3.62 -3.60 Figure 2c. Sampling stations on North Bank 2007 is shown by distribution of all symbols. The size of the triangles indicate abundance of 2+ cockles (Crosses show stations with zero 2+ cockles). = 50.m -2 54.97 54.96 54.95 54.94 54.93 54.92 54.91 -3.54 -3.52 -3.50 -3.48 -3.46 -3.44 -3.42 -3.40 -3.38 -3.36 -3.34 Figure 2d. Shaded boxes indicate strata in which additional stations were allocated during stage two. The large bold figures show the numbers of extra stations allocated to each stratum. 54.97 54.96 54.95 1 1 54.94 4 54.93 4 4 8 1 1 1 1 5 5 4 1 1 54.92 4 4 54.91 -3.54 -3.52 -3.50 -3.48 -3.46 -3.44 -3.42 -3.40 -3.38 -3.36 -3.34 Figure 3a. Sampling stations for Auchencairn, Orchardton, Glenisle, and Rough Island in 2007 are shown by the distribution of symbols. Size of triangles indicates abundance of 2+ cockles (Crosses show stations with zero 2+ cockles). Strata are numbered separately for each sub area. Glenisle strata are indicated by hatched area. 54.88 43 44 45 46 47 Rough 48Island 49 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 -2 =50.m 54.87 Glenisle 54.86 54.86 7 Orchardton 8 54.85 5 6 3 54.85 4 1 2 54.84 54.84 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 21 Auchencairn 54.84 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 54.83 -3.86 -3.85 -3.84 -3.83 -3.82 -3.81 -3.80 -3.79 Figure 3b. Sampling stations on Carsethorn in 2007 . Size of the triangles indicate abundance of commercial sized 2+ cockles (Crosses show stations with zero 2+ cockles). =50.m-2 54.95 54.94 54.93 -3.59 -3.58 -3.57 -3.56 -3.55 -3.54 Figure 3c. Sampling stations on Arbigland in 2007 . Size of the triangles indicate abundance of commercial sized 2+ cockles (Crosses show stations with zero 2+ cockles). 54.92 -2 =50.m 54.91 54.90 54.89 54.88 -3.61 -3.60 -3.59 -3.58 -3.57 -3.56 -3.55 -3.54 Figure 4a. Contour map to show distribution of 2+ year old cockles at Barnhourie in 2007 based on two stage adaptive survey results. Values are numbers.m-2 54.89 120 54.88 100 80 54.87 60 54.86 40 20 54.85 0 -3.76 -3.74 -3.72 -3.70 -3.68 -3.66 -3.64 -3.62 -3.60 Figure 4b. Contour map to show distribution of 0 and 1 year old cockles at Barnhourie in 2007 based on two stage adaptive survey results. Values are numbers.m-2 54.89 800 750 700 54.88 650 600 550 500 54.87 450 400 350 300 54.86 250 200 150 100 54.85 50 0 -3.76 -3.74 -3.72 -3.70 -3.68 -3.66 -3.64 -3.62 -3.60 Figure 4c. Contour map to show distribution of 2+ year old cockles at North Bank in 2007, based on survey results. Values are numbers.m-2 54.97 40 54.96 35 30 54.95 25 54.94 20 54.93 15 10 54.92 5 54.91 0 -3.54 -3.52 -3.50 -3.48 -3.46 -3.44 -3.42 -3.40 -3.38 -3.36 -3.34 Figure 4d. Contour map to show distribution of 0 and 1 year old cockles at North Bank in 2007, based on survey results. Values are numbers.m-2 . 54.97 2600 2400 54.96 2200 2000 1800 54.95 1600 1400 54.94 1200 1000 54.93 800 600 54.92 400 200 54.91 0 -3.54 -3.52 -3.50 -3.48 -3.46 -3.44 -3.42 -3.40 -3.38 -3.36 -3.34 Figure 4e. Contour map to show distribution of 2+ year old cockles on Carsethorn in 2007 based on stratified random survey results. Values are numbers.m-2 130 120 110 54.95 100 90 80 70 60 54.93 50 40 30 20 54.92 10 0 -3.59 -3.58 -3.57 -3.56 -3.55 -3.54 Figure 4f. Contour map to show distribution of 0 and 1 year old cockles on Carsethorn in 2007 based on stratified random survey results. Values are numbers.m-2 1400 1300 1200 1100 54.95 1000 900 800 700 54.93 600 500 400 300 200 54.92 100 0 -3.59 -3.58 -3.57 -3.56 -3.55 -3.54 -2 Figure 5 Age compositon by Area. Numbers.m at each age Barnhourie/Mersehead North Bank 29 178 20 Numbers m2 Numbers m2 20.0 10.0 0.0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ 0 1 2 Age Auchencairn Orchardton 4 5 6+ 4 5 6+ 4 5 6+ 4 5 6+ Numbers m2 20.0 10.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ 0 1 2 Age 3 Age Glenisle Rough Island 20.0 20.0 Numbers m2 Numbers m2 3 Age 20.0 Numbers m2 10 10.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ 0 1 2 Age 3 Age Arbigland Carsthorn 141 20.0 Numbers m2 Numbers m2 20.0 10.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0 1 2 3 Age 4 5 6+ 0 1 2 3 Age Figure 6 Biomass density estimates 1990 - 2007 1000 Barnhourie 750 tonnes/k-2 tonnes/k-2 1000 500 250 North Bank 750 500 250 0 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1000 1000 Auchencairn Orchardton 750 tonnes/k-2 tonnes/k-2 750 500 250 500 250 0 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1000 1000 Glenisle 500 250 500 250 0 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1000 Carsethorne 750 tonnes/k-2 Rough Island 750 tonnes/k-2 tonnes/k-2 750 1261 500 250 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Figure 7 140 Time series plot of table 9(a) 120 100 No/m 2 80 60 40 20 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Commercial Under-aged Time series plot of table 9(b) 300 250 Tonnes/Km2 200 150 100 50 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Commercial Under-aged APPENDIX 1 Historical abundance by age for each ground surveyed since 1990 showing numbers and density. Year Area (km2) A Barnhourie 1990 32.5 No. -2 No.m 1991 25.0 No. -2 No.m 1992 24.6 No. -2 No.m 1993 16.8 No. -2 No.m 1994 29.2 No. -2 No.m 1995 33.1 No. -2 No.m 1996 30.7 No. -2 No.m 1997 30.8 No. -2 No.m 1998 31.0 No. -2 No.m 1999 27.4 No. -2 No.m 2000 32.0 No. -2 No.m 2001 30.6 No. -2 No.m 2002 29.7 No. -2 No.m 2003 30.0 No No m ² 2004 29.2 No No m ² 2005 30.9 No No m ² 2006 31.2 No No m ² 2007 31.23 No No m ² B North Bank 1990 15.3 1991 11.0 1992 9.6 1993 13.6 1994 1995 40.0 1996 39.9 1997 59.9 1998 53.2 1999 55.1 No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ Total 74.0 2.3 234.0 9.3 1040.0 42.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 901.0 28.9 950.0 29.2 35.7 1.4 43.7 1.8 125.9 7.5 18.0 0.6 51.0 1.5 401.6 13.1 440.0 14.3 229.2 7.4 871.8 31.8 182.5 5.7 240.4 7.9 1389.0 46.8 237.1 7.9 189.4 6.5 113.4 3.7 225.7 7.2 146.5 4.7 150.0 4.6 80.3 3.2 3.6 0.1 14.5 0.9 40.0 1.4 4.8 0.1 29.0 0.9 180.0 5.8 255.0 8.2 124.7 4.6 304.9 9.5 59.9 2.0 96.6 3.3 673.6 22.4 116.0 4.0 82.8 2.7 56.8 1.8 110.0 3.5 52.0 1.6 15.5 0.6 24.2 1.0 4.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 9.5 0.3 7.9 0.3 1.6 0.1 92.5 3.0 120.5 4.4 84.5 2.6 143.3 4.7 29.5 1.0 58.7 2.0 448.4 15.4 40.1 1.3 48.2 1.5 27.9 0.9 69.0 2.1 2.8 0.1 2.1 0.1 8.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.1 3.2 0.1 20.0 0.6 55.4 2.0 117.3 3.7 44.1 1.4 65.2 2.2 24 0.8 122.1 4.2 236.3 7.6 22.1 0.7 12.6 0.4 13.0 0.4 1.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8 0.1 13.7 0.5 87.6 2.7 21.9 0.7 26.7 0.9 23.9 0.8 41.3 1.4 26.1 0.8 102.5 3.3 15.8 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.5 0.1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.1 1.6 0.1 2.9 0.1 21.1 0.7 11.8 0.4 9.8 0.3 46.4 1.5 18.9 0.6 4.7 0.2 23.1 0.7 29.9 1.0 1308.0 40.2 369.8 14.8 1114.3 45.3 154.2 9.2 47.5 1.6 66.9 2.0 440.1 14.4 626.4 20.3 601.1 19.4 1189.0 43.4 797.9 25.0 521.4 17.0 1616.8 54.4 1063.7 35.4 936.1 32.1 503.4 16.3 478.5 15.3 1243.6 39.8 39.2 2.6 800.0 72.8 434.3 45.4 0.0 0.0 393.3 25.7 14.0 1.3 32.3 3.4 163.6 12.0 8.8 0.6 55.2 5.0 2.7 0.3 9.0 0.7 3.2 0.2 5.9 0.5 14.8 1.5 4.3 0.3 3.6 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.8 0.1 7.6 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 448.7 29.4 876.3 79.7 485.0 50.7 185.1 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 199.0 5.0 228.3 5.7 1300.0 21.7 680.0 12.8 430.0 0.0 0.0 41.2 1.0 120.0 2.0 590.0 11.1 110.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 0.1 35.0 0.6 79.0 1.5 230.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 0.3 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.1 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 199.0 5.0 272.7 6.8 1455.0 24.3 1371.3 25.8 798.2 i -2 2000 65.5 2001 62.4 2002 68.0 2003 70.5 2004 68.0 2005 69.9 2006 69.8 2007 65.6 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No No m ² No No m ² No No m ² No No m ² No No m ² D Auchencairn 1990 0.6 No. -2 No.m 1991 0.6 No. -2 No.m 1992 0.6 No. -2 No.m 1993 0.7 No. -2 No.m 1994 0.6 No. -2 No.m 1995 1.1 No. -2 No.m 1996 2.1 No. -2 No.m 1997 2.0 No. -2 No.m 1998 1.8 No. -2 No.m 1999 2.0 No. -2 No.m 2000 2.0 No. -2 No.m 2001 3.0 No. -2 No.m 2002 3.2 No. -2 No.m 2003 3.1 No No m ² 2004 3.1 No No m ² 2005 3.2 No No m ² 2006 3.2 No No m ² 2007 3.5 No No m ² E Orchardton 1990 0.4 1991 0.4 1992 0.4 1993 0.4 No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11661.8 177.9 7.8 371.0 5.7 182.8 2.9 12270.3 180.4 316.4 4.5 858.4 12.6 167.3 2.4 411.2 5.9 632.2 9.6 2.0 69.7 1.1 3.2 0.1 77.5 1.1 3159.5 44.8 181.3 2.7 81.0 1.2 41.3 0.6 78.7 1.2 4.2 62.0 0.9 1.6 0.0 3.1 0.0 77 1.1 1628.8 24.0 166.6 2.4 10.6 0.2 20.3 0.3 0.5 49.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.1 110.9 1.6 590.6 8.4 6.7 0.1 4.0 0.1 0.1 34.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.1 0.0 0.9 0.0 12.1 0.2 22.7 0.3 61.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.1 0.0 0 0.0 2.1 0.0 4.7 0.1 19.5 0.3 2.4 0.0 14.5 598.7 9.1 187.6 3.0 12357.1 181.7 3557.8 50.5 2793.6 41.1 1032.9 14.8 551.2 7.9 12399.4 120.5 12.0 20.7 5.3 9.1 61.6 106.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.2 3.8 33.4 57.6 0.4 0.6 3.3 5.8 3.0 4.3 3.5 6.0 18.0 16.2 50.0 23.4 44.0 22.1 7.1 3.9 200.0 100.5 12.0 6.0 32.0 10.7 15.5 4.8 11.4 3.7 11.5 3.7 0.5 0.2 38.5 12.1 1.0 0.3 2.2 3.8 1.1 1.9 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 9.3 16.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 6.5 25.0 12.6 56.0 30.6 15.0 7.5 88.0 44.2 16.0 5.3 16.5 5.2 11.4 3.7 4.0 1.3 26.1 8.2 7.6 2.4 11.1 3.2 1.8 3.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.1 0.1 2.3 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 1.5 8.7 4.4 17.0 9.3 32.0 16.1 16.0 8.0 83.0 27.7 8.5 2.7 4.3 1.4 6.8 2.2 2.9 0.9 7.8 2.4 2.0 0.6 11.0 19.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 4.7 1.6 0.8 13.0 7.1 18.0 9.0 4.0 2.0 9.0 3.0 31.5 9.8 2.9 0.9 6.1 2.0 4.1 1.3 1.0 0.3 3.0 0.9 1.1 1.9 0.7 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.8 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.5 4.8 2.4 9.5 3.2 1.5 0.5 4.1 1.3 1.0 0.3 2.1 0.7 5.8 1.8 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.1 4.6 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.8 3.2 1.7 1.6 0.8 1.6 0.8 2.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 29.4 9.6 9.5 3.1 9.2 2.9 6.4 2.0 4.2 1.2 61.5 106.0 7.8 13.4 66.6 114.9 3.7 5.3 19.7 34.0 18.0 16.2 77.2 36.1 82.5 41.4 99.5 54.4 267.6 134.5 126.4 63.5 152.0 50.7 74.0 23.1 63.6 20.8 38.9 12.6 45.0 14.1 67.1 21.0 37.0 10.7 5.7 15.8 4.5 12.4 33.6 93.3 0.0 0.0 27.5 76.4 0.1 0.2 1.8 5.1 0.9 2.4 1.7 4.8 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.5 0.0 0.1 4.0 11.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 ii 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.1 39.3 109.3 4.8 13.3 36.8 102.3 1.2 3.3 1994 0.4 1995 0.8 1996 1.1 1997 1.0 1998 1.1 1999 1.0 2000 0.8 2001 1.0 2002 1.1 2003 0.9 2004 0.9 2005 1.1 2006 1.1 2007 1.03 F Glen Isle 1990 0.3 1991 0.4 1992 0.5 1993 0.5 1994 0.5 1995 0.5 1996 1997 0.5 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 0.5 2003 0.5 2004 0.5 2005 0.6 2006 0.8 2007 0.66 No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No No m ² No No m ² No No m ² No No m ² No No m ² 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.2 0.0 0.0 3.6 4.3 14.0 13.0 19.0 19.8 6.0 5.6 40.0 41.7 1.2 1.4 8.4 8.8 22.7 19.9 0 0.0 1.2 1.3 17.1 15.6 4.3 4.1 2.1 2.1 2.4 6.7 2.4 2.9 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.5 31.0 28.7 6.0 6.3 4.8 5.7 1.2 1.3 4.0 3.5 1.2 1.4 9.7 10.8 5.2 4.7 2.5 2.3 5.7 5.5 1.2 3.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.1 2.4 2.5 9.6 8.9 9.6 10.0 1.2 1.4 7.2 7.5 5.3 4.6 6 6.9 1.2 1.3 1.9 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.4 2.4 2.2 0.0 0.0 9.6 8.9 6.0 6.3 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.3 5.8 5.1 0 0.0 2.4 2.7 5.0 4.6 0.5 0.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.2 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 3.3 1.3 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.9 2.4 2.7 0.7 0.8 4.2 3.8 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.7 4.8 13.3 7.2 8.6 21.2 19.6 23.8 24.8 56.2 52.0 64.0 66.7 8.4 10.0 18.0 18.8 41.4 36.3 9.6 11.0 15.2 16.9 37.1 33.7 11.2 10.6 13.0 12.6 No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No No m ² No No m ² No No m ² No No m ² No 6.0 20.7 3.2 8.2 6.4 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4 32.6 0.5 1.2 4.3 8.8 6.0 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 3.7 0.6 1.6 2.5 5.1 5.9 12.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.3 1.0 0.1 0.1 7.2 14.7 1.9 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 2.7 1.9 3.8 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.6 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 17.1 59.0 4.4 11.3 22.6 46.2 16.7 34.1 1.9 4.0 2.9 5.9 0.0 0.0 2.9 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7 5.7 12.6 22.7 50.0 1.1 2.2 3.4 5.5 12.2 15.6 3.2 1.1 2.4 19.3 42.5 8.0 16 0.0 0.0 2.7 3.4 1.3 0.0 0.0 2.2 4.8 11.4 22.8 19.3 31.1 1.3 1.7 0.8 1.1 2.4 1.1 2.4 1.1 2.2 13.8 22.3 3.9 4.9 0.2 4.5 9.9 2.3 5.1 2.3 4.6 6.8 11.0 6.4 8.2 0.2 19.3 42.5 7.9 17.4 2.2 4.4 5.3 8.5 25.0 31.8 0.2 31.7 69.8 55.5 122.2 26.1 52.2 48.6 78.4 51.6 65.6 17.5 iii No m ² 17.7 4.9 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 26.6 G Rough Island 1990 0.3 No. -2 No.m 1991 0.3 No. -2 No.m 1992 0.3 No. -2 No.m 1993 0.3 No. -2 No.m 1994 0.3 No. -2 No.m 1995 0.3 No. -2 No.m 1996 0.3 No. -2 No.m 1997 0.3 No. -2 No.m 1998 0.3 No. -2 No.m 1999 0.3 No. -2 No.m 2000 0.3 No. -2 No.m 2001 0.3 No. -2 No.m 2002 1.3 No. -2 No.m 2003 2.0 No No m ² 2004 2.0 No No m ² 2005 2.0 No No m ² 2006 2.2 No No m ² 2007 1.9 No No m ² 5.6 20.7 5.5 20.4 262.4 971.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.7 18.1 13.4 49.4 0.7 2.5 10.6 39.4 3.5 13.0 2.4 6.9 6.1 19.7 11.0 35.5 32.0 103.2 0.0 0.0 21.0 67.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.2 42.0 22.4 10.9 16.3 8.2 8.9 4.4 5.8 2.6 1.7 0.9 2.1 7.6 1.4 5.3 1.2 4.3 0.1 0.3 23.1 67.9 3.6 11.6 1.5 4.8 10.0 32.3 4.1 13.2 1.5 4.8 1.0 3.2 0.5 1.6 15.8 12.0 25.6 12.5 14.1 7.0 1.1 0.5 4.5 2.0 2.4 1.3 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 2.9 10.6 0.0 0.1 7.4 21.8 15.0 48.4 3.1 10.0 1.5 4.8 0.0 0.0 19.0 61.3 1.5 4.8 4.1 13.4 3.0 2.3 6.8 3.3 15.4 7.7 8.7 4.3 1.9 0.9 4.0 2.1 0.8 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.5 0.0 0.1 2.0 5.9 6.1 19.7 2.0 6.5 0.5 1.6 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.5 3.6 11.6 2.0 6.5 13.3 10.1 2 1.0 1.7 0.8 4.3 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.5 1.6 0.5 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.6 8.4 9.2 30.1 16.1 12.3 8.4 4.1 0.0 0.0 5.7 2.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.8 21.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.3 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.5 0.0 0.0 14.2 10.8 31.3 15.3 2.3 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 3.0 1.6 27.8 103.1 8.0 29.6 277.7 1028.6 3.6 13.5 36.2 106.4 31.3 101.0 18.1 58.4 45.0 145.3 4.1 13.2 44.0 142.0 10.7 34.6 15.8 51.7 117.5 89.4 96.5 47.1 49.8 24.9 29.7 14.7 14.9 6.8 44.8 24.1 736.0 102.8 352.0 61.3 976.0 151.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 216.0 30.2 76.8 13.4 27.6 4.3 167.8 21.9 22.0 3.0 94.3 7.7 430.0 41.0 510.0 43.7 120.0 11.2 570.0 53.1 337.1 24.9 45.4 3.6 94.0 13.1 47.2 8.2 25.8 4.0 21.6 2.8 81.0 10.9 32.2 2.6 33.0 3.1 170.0 14.6 360.0 33.6 64.0 6.0 237.9 17.6 94.2 7.5 4.0 0.6 29.0 5.1 31.9 4.9 40.7 5.3 9.6 1.3 57.4 4.7 12.0 1.1 45.0 3.9 62.0 5.8 130.0 12.1 21.3 1.6 54.8 4.4 7.0 1.0 2.6 0.5 14.7 2.3 81.5 10.7 14.0 1.9 12.0 1.0 21.0 2.0 12.0 1.0 4.8 0.4 62.0 5.8 74.1 5.5 9.6 0.8 7.0 1.0 0.9 0.2 1.4 0.2 64.8 8.5 7.2 1.0 29.0 2.4 0.0 0.0 12.0 1.0 9.5 0.9 12.0 1.1 22.3 1.6 18.8 1.5 3.0 0.4 2.1 0.4 29.8 4.6 3.9 0.5 16.4 2.2 17.0 1.4 9.6 0.9 9.6 0.8 12.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 9.5 0.7 6.7 0.5 1067.0 149.0 510.6 89.0 1107.1 171.6 380.3 49.7 150.2 20.3 241.9 19.8 505.6 48.2 758.6 64.9 568.3 53.0 838.0 78.1 702.2 51.9 229.5 18.4 I Wigtown 1990 7.2 1991 5.7 1992 6.5 1993 7.7 1994 7.4 1995 12.2 1996 10.5 1997 11.7 1998 10.7 1999 10.7 2000 13.5 2001 12.5 No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m No. -2 No.m iv 2002 12.8 2003 11.6 2004 12.7 2005 12.0 2006 No. -2 No.m No No m ² No No m ² No No m ² No No m ² 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1177.5 92.0 85.3 7.3 205.7 16.2 370.9 31.0 147.5 11.3 25.9 2.0 355.7 30.6 92.7 7.3 71.0 5.9 238.9 18.3 2007 v 69.3 5.4 26.7 2.3 392.1 30.9 34.7 2.9 68.1 5.2 52.7 4.1 31 2.7 81.7 6.4 101.3 8.5 22.8 1.7 8.9 0.7 19.7 1.7 20.2 1.6 33.5 2.8 55.9 4.3 30.1 2.4 18.2 1.6 33.5 2.6 30.1 2.5 38.9 3.0 1364.4 106.6 536.5 46.2 825.9 65.0 641.6 53.6 572.0 43.9 APPENDIX 2 Historical biomass by age for each ground surveyed since 1990 Year Area (km2) A Barnhourie 1990 32.52 1991 25.04 1992 24.59 1993 16.84 1994 29.21 1995 33.07 1996 30.65 1997 30.81 1998 30.97 1999 27.38 2000 31.95 2001 30.6 2002 29.7 2003 30.0 2004 29.2 2005 30.9 2006 31.2 2007 31.23 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ Total 71.7 107.5 755.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 270.6 3521.3 102.8 247.5 66.3 13.6 42.3 291.6 192.2 244.7 748.1 362.4 236.6 808.7 322.4 200.7 159.4 197.3 553.2 788.0 622.9 22.7 54.3 451.4 25.5 160.9 1225.6 1501.7 748.2 2145.6 471.0 564.4 4461.8 577.9 397.1 286.0 951.5 481.0 127.0 237.4 37.0 0.0 157.1 71.4 11.7 887.8 1123.5 906.0 1698.1 384.3 645.8 4178.1 383.1 389.6 284.5 854.9 37.4 30.4 79.3 0.0 0.0 7.2 67.7 289.5 711.0 1229.7 571.3 867.0 304.6 1597.8 2977.2 228.1 156.4 162.1 21.8 7.6 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 58.4 224.1 1150.2 300.3 416.5 399.3 640.3 499.4 1358.9 196.1 7.2 0.3 6.1 33.4 38.7 0.0 27.9 27.9 42.5 271.3 181.0 160.2 806.7 365.8 77.2 380.4 481.4 5879.0 1026.5 1301.2 251.1 498.5 263.6 531.1 1525.0 3010.0 3597.4 6065.2 3458.3 3201.1 6940.6 7560.6 4493.4 2840.3 2070.0 B North Bank 1990 15.28 1991 10.99 1992 9.56 1993 13.62 1994 1995 40.02 1996 39.94 1997 59.88 1998 53.22 1999 55.12 2000 65.51 2001 62.4 2002 68.0 2003 70.5 2004 68.0 2005 69.9 2006 69.8 2007 65.6 19.0 327.7 270.6 0.0 2235.0 92.4 210.0 67.2 64.5 565.5 37.4 59.3 40.8 67.3 243.2 43.4 57.1 8.6 15.6 93.8 8.3 7.7 1.4 7.4 2.6 0.3 2.4 1.9 2427.2 1069.5 780.6 273.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3163.0 123.4 207.4 776.0 807.7 445.1 397.8 144.5 6753.0 344.9 936.5 239.8 363.2 2013.0 0.0 205.8 995.3 5157.8 955.7 633.0 27.7 419.3 21453.5 1106.8 582.5 315.2 613.9 0.0 33.9 477.9 1148.8 3428.1 951.6 33.7 31.3 814.5 17646.4 1922.5 172.1 129.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 211.4 469.7 856.3 0.0 0.0 30.1 1517.2 8129.6 100.1 46.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 116.5 60.4 738.0 0.0 49.2 7.4 197.9 399.4 958.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 276.3 0.0 53.5 0 52.3 93.0 297.6 40.6 123.4 447.0 2249.1 7442.3 5358.9 3853.0 206.0 7306.3 22650.4 21457.1 11366.8 2206.8 830.6 D Auchencairn 1990 0.58 1991 0.58 1992 0.58 1993 0.7 1994 0.58 1995 1.11 1996 2.14 1997 1.99 1998 1.83 1999 1.99 2000 1.99 2001 3 2002 3.2 2003 3.1 2004 3.1 10.4 5.0 77.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 118.2 1.7 11.0 4.5 2.0 37.5 41.9 19.2 9.6 276.1 13.8 30.8 13.4 31.4 22.7 8.7 7.6 1.2 1.3 88.4 0.0 108.1 124.3 235.9 94.8 521.5 87.9 75.1 97.1 22.0 9.5 0.9 5.9 0.8 28.8 0.0 37.0 84.8 129.9 332.9 114.2 875.3 91.3 49.9 73.6 61.8 1.1 1.7 3.6 0.0 0.0 204.9 27.1 144.9 209.9 39.7 107.5 436.8 33.9 85.4 5.4 5.2 2.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.6 43.9 163.6 70.9 115.2 28.6 69.5 17.5 0.6 2.5 0.6 83.6 0.0 0.0 24.6 60.8 28.1 23.5 41.0 6.2 561.9 170.5 214.0 22.0 103.1 11.0 202.9 37.5 391.9 304.4 625.1 1105.4 784.0 1258.0 651.4 843.6 391.7 vi 2005 3.2 2006 3.2 2007 3.5 E Orchardton 1990 0.36 1991 0.36 1992 0.36 1993 0.36 1994 0.36 1995 0.84 1996 1.08 1997 0.96 1998 1.08 1999 0.96 2000 0.84 2001 0.96 2002 1.14 2003 0.873 2004 0.9 2005 1.1 2006 1.1 2007 1.03 0.0 0.0 3.2 1.3 43.6 5.2 99.2 52.7 107.4 30.7 80.9 28.8 60.1 13.4 43.4 31.3 88.6 44.8 202.2 126.3 98.5 424.7 405.4 322.9 4.1 3.2 27.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 95.4 0.4 8.2 1.2 0.0 5.4 11.3 18.5 2.7 42.6 0.2 3.9 9.7 0 0.3 16.0 4.5 6.1 10.0 2.2 2.6 0.4 20.8 21.1 22.9 13.1 104.5 31.0 35.5 6.2 6.5 9.9 54.0 18.7 8.4 49.9 2.7 0.1 11.1 0.4 11.6 0.0 17.2 20.8 80.5 98.5 8.8 68.4 23.0 85.6 12.8 23.0 8.8 12.4 32.3 - 1.0 1.6 0.0 7.3 51.1 0.0 61.1 86.3 17.7 14.8 59.5 0 36.5 59.6 3.8 25.4 1.1 0.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.3 0.0 0.0 48.2 0.0 0.0 16.9 0 0.0 37.7 13.3 0.0 1.9 0.4 28.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 42.3 52.2 11.6 94.8 22.9 7.7 145.5 6.3 52.9 4.1 61.0 33.9 111.8 52.5 248.9 306.5 62.0 93.0 158.0 147.7 115.2 249.8 61.6 95.4 9.0 3.8 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.7 6.3 16.3 2.8 0.0 0.0 5.7 34.6 18.9 17.0 0.0 16.7 1.8 10.3 59.9 11.7 0.0 0.0 2.4 5.5 12.6 15.3 18.2 19.7 0.2 5.0 5.5 6.6 0.0 21.4 0.0 0.0 4.2 5.4 19.7 0.0 46.8 65.6 121.9 58.9 37.9 57.8 F Glen Isle 1990 0.29 1991 0.39 1992 0.49 1993 0.49 1994 0.49 1995 0.49 1996 1997 0.49 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 0.45 2003 0.454 2004 0.454 2005 0.62 2006 0.79 2007 0.66 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 5.5 22 0.4 4.0 6.5 5.5 2.4 73.9 35.5 0.0 8.8 6.6 0.0 18.9 100.6 151.7 7.1 6.6 7.4 5.8 16.3 118.5 31.9 1.4 30.9 17.8 39.4 68.4 62.9 3.0 157.9 112.1 42.0 64.7 322.0 4.0 204.1 250.5 234.2 407.3 439.2 21.5 G Rough Island 1990 0.27 1991 0.27 1992 0.27 1993 0.27 1994 0.34 1995 0.31 1996 0.31 1997 0.31 1998 0.31 1999 0.31 2000 0.31 2001 0.31 2002 1.31 2003 2.0 2004 2.0 2005 2.0 2006 2.2 2007 1.9 3.6 2.7 247.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.8 36.1 3.8 48.1 2.6 2.9 7.2 7.6 14.1 0.0 17.8 0.0 0.0 34.4 38.6 12.6 16.4 8.0 7.0 7.7 12.6 10.6 0.4 160.5 30.1 5.6 52.0 16.9 9.1 5.9 1.3 50.9 110 62.1 5.2 26.7 23.4 0.8 1.7 28.2 0.2 47.9 169.5 37.1 16.6 0.0 143.6 14.1 31.7 23.5 58.3 121.9 74.8 24.0 38.1 5.3 0.6 4.1 0.3 16.3 68.7 28.4 9.7 0.0 26.1 31.2 17.3 109.9 21.2 28.0 62.0 14.2 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.0 0.0 7.3 7.3 9.7 0.0 8.0 29.8 108.9 161.9 57.9 0.0 54.9 25.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.0 12.5 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.0 0.0 23.6 0.0 168.6 425.5 19.3 15.9 9.4 61.3 54.7 22.7 340.5 3.6 240.1 282.8 85.9 108.5 16.9 204.6 105.0 159.0 549.2 711.5 243.9 229.1 107.5 122.8 vii I Wigtown 1990 7.16 1991 5.74 1992 6.45 1993 7.65 1994 7.41 1995 12.2 1996 10.49 1997 11.68 1998 10.73 1999 10.73 2000 13.53 2001 12.5 2002 12.8 2003 11.607 2004 12.7 2005 12.0 2006 13.0 2007 272.0 112.8 424.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 788.0 240.9 86.8 51.0 12.4 52.3 333.8 134.0 110.9 309.1 223.3 60.1 603.7 117.1 183.3 269.2 106.2 527.0 242.4 157.6 72.2 358.2 219.2 181.6 839.1 1370.1 288.6 1028.4 470.9 96.7 1404.3 338.4 258.4 909.5 36.0 187.8 245.2 228.7 73.4 581.1 117.8 318.4 564.6 899.2 150.7 439.9 526.2 184.4 2152.4 181.3 363.3 viii 81.0 23.4 129.3 613.3 124.2 136.7 201.7 98.8 50.9 709.4 680.4 83.9 458.0 262.4 619.3 811.6 166.6 81.0 11.7 14.6 488.0 63.5 419.4 0.0 207.2 116.4 176.4 303.0 167.6 69.9 207.2 179.2 309.7 479.2 37.0 30.8 9.4 43.1 215.2 190.9 121.8 143.8 200.2 0.0 159.7 70.5 311.8 205.8 396.2 303.2 383.5 1822.0 849.8 1067.6 1496.4 846.8 1599.6 956.7 1741.3 2413.1 2382.7 2546.0 1293.0 2066.3 2381.3 3868.8 2133.4 2408.3 APPENDIX 3 Other Bivalve Species General During the FRS 2007 Solway survey all bivalves were retained from each cockle quadrat sample at each sampling station. For that reason the distribution of the 732 stations, shown in Figure 1 of the main report, applies equally to the bivalve samples. This also applies to the two adaptive surveys but it should be noted that the second stages were targeted on the basis of first stage cockle distribution, and not on the distribution of other bivalve species. The samples were taken using a 0.1 m2 quadrat frame, from which sediment was removed to a depth of up to 100 mm and passed through a 5 mm mesh sieve. All bivalves were kept for analysis. The cockles were later removed from each sample, to be assessed separately, and the remaining bivalves weighed and measured but no attempt was made to age them. Apart from cockles eight species were found: Thin tellin, Angulus tenuis (da Costa); Banded wedge shell, Donax vittatus (da Costa); Bean-like tellins, Fabulina fibula (Gmelin); Macoma, Macoma balthica (L); Sand gaper, Mya arenaria (L); Common mussel, Mytilus edulis (L); Peppery furrow shell, Scrobicularia plana (da Costa); and Spisula subtruncata (da Costa). By far the most abundant and widespread other bivalve species was macoma (also know as the Baltic tellin), which accounted for 92% of the abundance of other bivalve species. Mussels, found on two of the grounds, accounted for 6%, the thin tellin 1% and the remaining species accounted for 1% in total. Of the 732 sample stations other bivalves were recorded at 447 and of these macoma were present at 430. A total of 6918 macoma were found in the survey samples. From these the abundance and biomass of macoma was calculated along with the occurrence of the other far less numerous species. The overall abundance estimate for macoma was 15479 millions, with a biomass of 7245 tonnes. Further details of macoma and the other species on the different grounds can be found in the following sections Barnhourie Bank (A) The survey of Barnhourie Bank was undertaken using the 2 stage adaptive technique. A total of 246 stations, including both stages of the survey, were sampled overall (Figure 1 of the main report) of which 128 contained macoma. The maximum size of each of the 98 strata was 0.326 km2 and the total survey area was 31.23km2. Spacing between the stations was variable depending on the randomisation process and the addition of stations to some strata in Stage 2 of the adaptive process. The samples yielded 961 macoma from the 128 stations including both stages - an average of 7.5 per station. The macoma abundance estimate, after the inclusion of the stage 2 samples was 942.7 +/- 172.1 millions giving an mean density of 30.2.m2 over the whole ground. The macoma biomass estimate was 455.0 tonnes +/- 84.0 tonnes. Other bivalve species found were: Angulus tenuis Donax vittatus Fabulina fabula Macoma balthica ix North Bank (B) The North Bank was divided into three areas. The lower western area, surveyed using the 2 stage adaptive process, used a stratum size of 0.618 km2; while the upper western and eastern areas were each surveyed with a stratified random survey design using a stratum size 4 times larger at 2.472 km2. The 52 upper and lower western strata along with the 11 eastern strata surveyed gave a combined survey area of 65.55 km2. A total of 228 stations in the eastern, upper western, and both stages of the lower western survey areas were sampled (Figure 2c). Of these, 184 stations contained a total of 4825 macoma, an average of 37.7 per station. The macoma abundance estimate, after the inclusion of both stages of the lower western area, the upper western and eastern areas was 7240.0 +/- 2291.2 millions giving an mean density of 211.0.m2 over the whole ground. The macoma biomass estimate was 6420.8 +/1066.7 tonnes Other bivalve species found were: Angulus tenuis Donax vittatus Fabulina fabula Macoma balthica Mya arenaria Auchencairn (D) A stratified random survey using a maximum stratum size of 0.100 km2 for each pair of random stations was carried out at Auchencairn. The survey area contained 37 strata giving a survey area of 3.457 km2, taking part strata into account. The number of sampling stations was 74 of which 18 had a total of 75 macoma, an average of 4.2 per station. The abundance estimate of macoma is 35.4 +/- 19.2 millions giving an mean density of 10.3.m2 over the whole ground. Biomass estimates, shown in the lower half of Table 3d, behave in a similar way. The macoma biomass estimate is 15.3 +/- 6.5 tonnes. Other bivalve species found were: Angulus tenuis Donax vittatus Fabulina fabula Macoma balthica Orchardton (E) A stratified random survey with a maximum stratum size of 0.242 km2 for each pair of random stations was carried out at Orchardton. The survey area contained 6 strata giving a survey area of 1.032 km2, taking part strata into account. Four of the 12 stations yielded a total of 41 macoma an average of 10.3 per occupied station. The abundance estimate for macoma is 26.1 +/-3.9 millions giving an mean density of 25.3.m2 over the whole ground. The macoma biomass estimate is is 12.5 +/- 18.8 tonnes. x Other bivalve species found were: Angulus tenuis Donax vittatus Fabulina fabula Macoma balthica Glenisle (F) A stratified random survey was carried out at Glenisle, with a maximum stratum size of 0.165.km2. Eight strata giving an overall area of 0.659 km2, taking part strata into account. Eleven out of the sixteen stations yielded a total of 57 macoma giving an average of 5.2 per station. The abundance estimate for macoma is 28.1+/-9.0 giving an mean density 42.6 m-2 of over the whole ground. The macoma biomass estimate is 9.1+/- 3.4 tonnes. Other bivalve species found were: Macoma balthica Scrobicularia plana Rough Island (G) A stratified random survey with a maximum stratum size of 0.165 km2 for each pair of random stations was carried out at Rough Island. The total area of the 16 strata sampled was 1.859 km2, taking part strata into account. Nine of the 28 stations yielded a total of 16 macoma giving an average of 1.8 per station. The abundance estimate for macoma is 11.0 +/-8.5 millions giving an mean density of 5.9.m2 over the whole ground. The macoma biomass estimate is 4.1 +/- 3.6 tonnes. Other bivalve species found were: Macoma balthica Scrobicularia plana Carsethorn (C) The survey of Carsethorn was undertaken using a stratified random design limited to the main bed to the west of the river Nith channel. The maximum size of each of the 35 strata was 0.128 km2 giving a total survey area of 4.48 km2. A total of 70 stations were sampled of which 46 contained 860 macoma an average of 18.7 per station. The abundance estimate for macoma is 550.4 +/- 210.6 millions giving an mean density of 122.9 macoma ·m-2. The macoma biomass estimate for the area of 305.6 +/- 141.5 tonnes. Other bivalve species found were: Angulus tenuis Donax vittatus Fabulina fabula Macoma balthica Mya arenaria Mytilus edulis Scrobicularia plana xi Arbigland A stratified random survey design was used at on the Arbigland ground situated to the south of Carsethorn. The maximum size of the 29 strata sampled was 0.223 km2 giving a total survey area of 5.284 km2, taking part strata into account. A total of 58 stations were sampled of which 30 contained 83 macoma an average of 2.8 per station. The abundance estimate for macoma is 51.0 +/- 22.0 millions giving an mean density of 9.56 macoma ·m-2. The macoma biomass estimate for the area is 22.8 +/- 13.2 tonnes. Other bivalve species found were: Angulus tenuis Macoma balthica Mytilus edulis xii