Horizontal transport and the dehydration of the stratosphere James R. Holton University of Washington, Seattle, Washington Andrew Gettelman National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado Abstract. The coldest tropopause temperatures occur over the equatorial West Pacific during Northern Hemisphere winter. Horizontal transport through this “cold trap” region causes air parcels that reach the tropopause at other longitudes to be dehydrated to the very low saturation mixing ratios characteristic of the cold trap, and hence can explain why observed tropical stratospheric water vapor mixing ratios are often lower than the saturation mixing ratio at the mean tropopause temperature. Horizontal transport of water vapor can also explain how a persistent layer of subvisible cirrus can exist near the tropopause in the cold trap even though observations suggest that there is diabatic cooling and subsidence, rather than diabatic heating and rising through the tropopause in this region. Thus, horizontal transport in the tropical transition layer in the vicinity of the tropopause plays an important role in the water balance of the stratosphere. 1. Introduction It is now recognized [e.g., Highwood and Hoskins, 1998] that the tropical tropopause is not a sharp boundary. Rather, there is a tropical transition layer (TTL) between about 14-19 km, in which the dynamical and chemical properties of the atmosphere gradually change from those characteristic of the troposphere to those characteristic of the stratosphere. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate that horizontal motion within the TTL plays an important role in the dehydration of the stratosphere. Since the work of Brewer [1949] explanations for the observed aridity of the stratosphere have focused on vertical transport across the tropical tropopause accompanied by freeze drying to the saturation mixing ratio characteristic of the local tropopause. Although Brewer’s qualitative model is now generally accepted, the space and time scales of the motions, and the dynamical, radiative, and physical processes involved remain controversial. In focusing solely on vertical motions, previous studies have ignored the fact that the ratio of the characteristic horizontal velocity (~5 m s-1) to the global-scale mean vertical velocity (~0.5 mm s-1) is about 104 near the tropical tropopause. Thus, air parcels moving with the mean wind in the TTL travel horizontally several thousand kilometers while ascending only a few hundred meters. Saturation mixing ratios for such parcels will be influenced by horizontal temperature gradients as well as by vertical gradients. Hence, insofar as large-scale motions dominate transport in the TTL, it is not appropriate to consider only vertical advection of air parcels. If, however, overshooting cumulus convective turrets were to account for the bulk of the irreversible transport across the tropical tropopause, the ratio of horizontal to vertical displacement would be far smaller, and processes associated with horizontal advection would be secondary. Some studies [e.g., Danielsen, 1982; Sherwood and Dessler, 2001] have in fact suggested that dehydration is controlled by convective scale motions. In this model, convective overshooting creates anomalously cold air parcels with very low ice saturation mixing ratios. This is followed by detrainment and subsequent mixing of cloud air with stratospheric air. Efficient dehydration requires, however, that an air parcel remain at or near the temperature of the tropical tropopause for sufficiently long so that ice crystals formed by the freeze drying process can sediment out. It is by no means clear that the convective overshooting model could meet this requirement. Furthermore, recent studies [e.g., Highwood and Hoskins, 1998; Folkins et al., 1999; Gettelman et al., 2001] suggest that overshooting of tropical convection into the interior of the TTL is not a common occurrence, and that the characteristics of the bulk of the TTL are not primarily controlled by convective fluxes. Detrainment from convection does, however, apparently provide a significant fraction of the mass input into the lower half of the TTL [Dessler, 2001], though there is little evidence for convective input above about the 16 km level. Thus, the bulk of evidence suggests that large-scale slow vertical ascent dominates mass transport across the tropical tropopause, and that slow ascent is required for effective dehydration. It has long been generally believed, however, that the ice saturation mixing ratio at the mean temperature of the tropical tropopause is too high to account for observed stratospheric mixing ratios if cross-tropopause motion occurs uniformly throughout the tropics [e.g., Newell and Gould-Stewart, 1981]. This belief is not universally accepted; Dessler [1998] argued, on the contrary, that dehydration of air to the saturation mixing ratio at the mean tropical tropopause temperature could indeed account for the observed stratospheric humidity. Other recent analyses [e.g., Michelsen et al., 2000; Zhou et al., 2001] suggest, however, that the mean mixing ratio of water vapor at entry to the stratosphere (~3.8 ppmv), is indeed lower than the ice saturation mixing ratio at the mean tropopause temperature (~4.5 ppmv). The apparent inability of freeze drying at the mean tropical tropopause temperature to dehydrate the stratosphere to observed water vapor mixing ratios led Newell and Gould-Stewart [1981] to propose the “stratospheric fountain” hypothesis. According to this hypothesis transport of air into the stratosphere occurs preferentially in areas where the tropical tropopause temperatures are below their annual and longitudinal mean values. The coldest tropopause conditions are in the tropical West Pacific in Northern Hemisphere winter. This region has come to be commonly known as the “fountain” region. Recent observational and model results suggest, however, that the tropical Western Pacific is actually an area with net subsidence at the tropopause [e.g., Sherwood, 2000; Gettelman et al., 2000] despite the fact that in this region the tropopause is colder than the tropical mean and subvisible cirrus clouds are commonly observed. Thus, there is a paradox: Freeze drying to the saturation mixing ratio characteristic of the exceptionally cold tropopause of the tropical Western Pacific is apparently required to account for the observed very low stratospheric water vapor mixing ratios. Such freeze drying would appear to require slow upwelling in that region to produce cooling and condensation and to allow time for the ice crystals formed in the freezing process to sediment out. Observations, however, suggest that the mean vertical motion is downward at the tropopause over the Western Pacific, not upward. Thus the term “fountain” is not appropriate. Rather, this region will be referred to below as the “cold trap”. 2. An Alternative Hypothesis for Dehydration An explanation for the observed characteristics of the cold trap region was recently proposed by Hartmann et al. [2001]. They showed that when thin cirrus clouds occur just below the tropopause, but above a thick layer of convective anvil clouds that extend to about 14 km in altitude, the tropopause layer cirrus are radiatively cooled, leading to subsidence and an anomalously low tropopause temperature. Hartmann et al. [2001] suggested that horizontal advection of air parcels that crossed the tropopause upstream of the cold trap could provide the moisture source for maintenance of the thin cirrus near the tropopause in the cold trap. At the same time, owing to particle sedimentation in the thin cirrus, passage of air through this region would dehydrate air to mixing ratios less than the saturation mixing ratio at the tropopause outside the cold trap region. For a typical horizontal velocity of 5 m s-1 and a cooling rate of 0.5 K day-1, a cooling of order 5 K would occur during passage of a parcel from the edge to the center of the cold trap (~5000 km). Owing to the relatively long time scales (several days) associated with horizontal advection in this region, ice crystals formed would be able to undergo significant sedimentation [Jensen et al., 1996; Boehm et al., 1999] and irreversible dehydration would occur. Downstream of the cold trap the newly dehydrated parcels would again become subject to diabatic heating and rise irreversibly into the stratosphere. In this alternative model, the equatorial Western Pacific region continues to play a crucial role in dehydration, but not as a preferred region of net uplifting at the tropopause. In order to elucidate the role of this region it will be necessary to contrast conditions in the TTL in the Western Pacific to those at other longitudes. Climatological analyses [e.g., Highwood and Hoskins, 1998; Simmons et al., 1999] show that during Northern Hemisphere winter the equatorial tropopause is indeed coldest over the Western Pacific. The altitude of the tropical tropopause has a relatively small longitudinal variation [Seidel et al., 2001]. Thus, the potential temperature at the tropical tropopause has a distinct minimum in the Western Pacific; isentropic surfaces are displaced upward in this region. Air parcels that have ascended to the tropopause at other longitudes will be adiabatically cooled as they are advected into the West Pacific cold trap. More importantly, once such parcels enter the TTL over the Western Pacific, where high altitude anvil clouds are prevalent in the troposphere, they will, as shown by Hartmann et al. [2001], undergo significant diabatic cooling and subsidence. Hence, they will have reduced ice saturation mixing ratios owing both to the temperature decrease and the pressure increase. The mean Northern Hemisphere winter circulation in the TTL over the tropical Western Pacific and Maritime Continent region features a subtropical anticyclone in each hemisphere bounded on the poleward side by a subtropical westerly jet and on the equatorial side by equatorial easterlies. Back trajectory calculations [Pfister et al., 2001] indicate that air parcels in the TTL over the Indian Ocean during northern winter can be advected poleward into the subtropical jet. They are then rapidly advected eastward into the Central Pacific, where they drift equatorward. They then can return westward through the cold trap region and, if they are sufficiently close to the cold point tropopause can be dehydrated to the very low saturation mixing ratio characteristic of that region. In other words, there is potential for air that has entered the TTL in regions of warmer tropopause temperatures to be dehy- drated by quasi-horizontal transport through the cold trap. This dehydration by horizontal transport can also explain how thin cirrus can exist near the tropopause in the cold trap even in the presence of net sinking motion. The thin cirrus in turn provide evidence that dehydration is occurring in this region, and through their effect on the radiation budget provide a feedback process to maintain the cold anomaly. Thus, processing of air by horizontal transport through the cold trap has the potential to explain the observed features of the TTL in the Western Pacific and the observed water vapor budget of the stratosphere. 3. A Simple Illustration of the West Pacific Cold Trap Hypothesis The essential features of the cold trap hypothesis can be illustrated in a simple two-dimensional (longitude-height) transport model for the equatorial tropopause region. In this model an annually varying temperature distribution T(x,z,t), and zonal mean horizontal and vertical wind components (u,w) are specified; the humidity is specified at the 14-km level, and the evolution of the water vapor (qv) and the cloud ice (qi) distributions in the TTL between 14-19 km are predicted. In order to focus on the effects of the annual variation of the West Pacific cold trap a temperature distribution based on Seidel et al. [2001] is specified consisting of a time-independent standard atmosphere zonal mean, T0(z) and a seasonally varying temperature perturbation centered at x = 0, z = 16 km: z − ztrop 2 x2 T ( x, z, t ) = T0 ( z ) + Tc exp − exp − d L (1) (1 + cos(πt / 180)) / 2 where T0 has a minimum of 193 K at the tropopause (ztrop = 16.5 km), Tc = 4 K, d = 1 km, L = 2500 km, and t is the time in days. The specified temperature distribution of (1) represents the seasonally varying West Pacific cold trap, but for simplicity it does not include an annual variation of the tropopause temperature outside of the cold trap region. The cold trap temperature perturbation has a maximum negative value of 4 K, and has Gaussian distributions in the horizontal and vertical directions (see Plate 1). The background zonal and vertical velocities are specified as u = -10 m s-1, and w0 = +0.3 mm s-1, independent of longitude, height, and time. To represent the observed sinking in the cold trap region, which is assumed to be associated with the radiative cooling of subvisible cirrus lying above deep convective anvil clouds, we use the simple parameterization: x 2 w( x, z, t ) = w0 − ( 4 × 10 6 )qi exp − L (2) which for an ice mixing ratio of qi = 10-6 yields a maximum air subsidence in the cold trap of about 0.1 mm s-1. The specification of vertical velocity is based on the studies of Rosenlof [1995] and Sherwood [2000], while the ice mixing ratio is based on ice water content for thin cirrus reported by Heymsfield and McFarquhar [1996]. Water vapor and cloud ice are assumed to satisfy the following relations: ∂ 2 qv Dqv = −α ( qv − q˜ ) + K +E−C Dt ∂z 2 (3) ∂ 2 qi Dqi = −αqi + K −E+C Dt ∂z 2 (4) Here, q̃ (= 6 ppmv) designates the mean subtropical lower stratospheric water vapor mixing ratio [Randel et al., 2001]. E and C stand for evaporation and condensation, respectively. E=qi/ τE and C is zero unless qv>qs, in which case C=(qv–qs)/δt. The time scale for E is τE =1 day and the time scale for C is δt =1 hr. The rate coefficient for mixing with the subtropical air, α and the vertical diffusion coefficient, K, are based on the estimates of Mote et al. [1998]. Here α is assumed to decrease linearly from 3.1 × 10-7 s-1 at 14 km to 2.0 × 10-8 s-1 at 19 km, and K is set to the constant value of 0.003 m2 s-1. Sedimentation of ice particles is represented by adding a fall speed of 4 mm s-1 to the vertical velocity used in (2) for computing the advection of cloud ice. This fall speed is consistent with a 5 µm particle radius [Boehm et al., 1999]. Temperature and potential temperature: Winter 19 18 17 420 400 380 420 400 380 200 420 400 380 195 16 15 360 360 360 190 x 10-6 10 Vapor mixing ratio: Winter 18 19 16 6 15 4 14 19 18.5 spring 18 summer 17.5 autumn 17 winter 8 17 x 10-6 1 Ice mixing ratio: Winter 18 17 Height (km) Height (km) 14 19 ics. This upward advection of the water vapor minimum produced by the winter cold trap produces an annual cycle with alternating upward propagating vapor minimum and maxima. During Northern Hemisphere summer the lack of a cold trap allows the air to maintain a higher mixing ratio, and at that season the hygropause (level of minimum water vapor mixing ratio) occurs well above the cold point tropopause. The seasonal cycles of temperature, water vapor mixing ratio, and ice mixing ratio at the center of the cold trap (x = 0) are shown in Figures 1-3, respectively. During the three seasons when there is a temperature minimum in the vicinity of x = 0 there is substantial dehydration, and the water vapor minimum occurs at the tropopause level, with a minimum value of about 3 ppmv at the tropopause in winter. Owing to the effect of particle sedimentation there is very little cloud ice at the tropopause. Maximum ice particle mixing ratios occur about 1 km below the cold point, which is qualitatively in accord with observations [Pfister et al., 2001]. The model presented here is a highly simplified representation of the equatorial stratosphere. In reality the background tropopause has an annual cycle both in temperature and in altitude; the 16 0.5 16 15.5 15 4000 6000 8000 0 Plate 1. Longitude-height cross sections showing the specified temperature distribution (color), potential temperature (isolines, K), water vapor mixing ratio (ppmv), and ice mixing ratio for Northern Hemisphere winter. Equations (3) and (4) are solved for the time evolution of qv and qi using a semi-Lagrangian algorithm with biquadratic interpolation (see Durran [1999], page 309). Humidity in the TTL is poorly constrained by observations. For simplicity the model is here initialized at 50% relative humidity, and is maintained at that value at the lower boundary (14 km). The domain is assumed to have a zonal scale of 18 000 km, with periodic boundary conditions. This represents the approximate distance for recirculation of air transported through the tropopause level subtropical anticyclone over the Western Pacific [Pfister et al., 2001]. After integrating (3) and (4) for less than 360 days, the transient effects of the initial condition have disappeared and a repeatable annual cycle occurs. Longitude-height sections of the temperature, the water vapor mixing ratio, and the ice-mixing ratio at winter solstice are shown in Plate 1. As expected, there are low values of water vapor mixing ratio and a thin cirrus cloud in the cold trap region. Ice particles in the cirrus descend relative to the air as parcels traverse the cold trap. This particle sedimentation causes a net dehydration of the parcels, which is clearly visible downstream of the cold trap. As air parcels move further downstream they gradually ascend and are modified by mixing from the subtrop- 15 14.5 14 188 190 192 194 196 198 200 202 204 Temperature (K) Figure 1. Vertical profiles of temperature for the four Northern Hemisphere seasons at x = 0, the longitude of maximum temperature deviation from the zonal mean. The temperature profiles are the same for autumn and spring. 19 Height (km) 14 —8000 —6000 —4000 —2000 0 2000 Distance (km) 16.5 18.5 spring 18 summer 17.5 autumn 17 winter 16.5 16 15.5 15 14.5 14 3 4 5 6 7 8 Vapor mixing ratio (ppmv) 9 10 Figure 2. Vertical profiles of water vapor mixing ratio for the four Northern Hemisphere seasons at the same location as in Fig. 1. Height (km) 19 18.5 spring 18 summer 17.5 autumn 17 winter 16.5 16 15.5 15 14.5 14 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 Ice mixing ratio (ppmv) 0.8 0.9 1 Figure 3. Vertical profiles of ice particle mixing ratio for the four Northern Hemisphere seasons at the same location as in Fig. 1. zonal mean upwelling motion depends on season and altitude; and both meridional and zonal advection play important roles in the horizontal transport. 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