VOL: XLVIII, No. 01 Printed by Karunaratne & Sons (Pvt) Ltd. January 2015 ISSN 1800-1122 VOL: XLVIII,, No. 01 January 2015 ISSN 1800-1122 ENGINEER CONTENTS Vol.: XLVIII, No. 01, January 2015 ISSN 1800-1122 JOURNAL OF THE INSTITUTION OF ENGINEERS, SRI LANKA * 43rd Year of Publication * EDITORIAL BOARD From the Editor ... Eng. (Dr.) S. B. Wijekoon - President (Chairman) Eng. R. G. Rubasinghe - Chairman, L&P Com Eng. (Prof.) T. M. Pallewatta - Editor ‘ENGINEER’ Eng. (Dr.) K. E. D. Sumanasiri - Editor Transactions Eng. (Dr.) U. P. Nawagamuwa - Editor ‘SLEN’ Eng. W. J. L. S. Fernando Eng. (Prof.) (Mrs.) N. Rathnayaka Eng. (Prof.) K. P. P. Pathirana Eng. (Dr.) D. A. R. Dolage Eng. W. Gamage Eng. (Miss.) Arundathi Wimalasuriya Eng. (Dr.) K. S. Wanniarachchi SECTION I The Institution of Engineers, Sri Lanka 120/15, Wijerama Mawatha, Colombo - 00700 Sri Lanka. Telephone: 94-11-2698426, 2685490, 2699210 Fax: 94-11-2699202 E-mail: iesl@slt.lk E-mail (Publications): ed@sltnet.lk Website: http://www.iesl.lk The statements made or opinions expressed in the “Engineer” do not necessarily reflect the views of the Council or a Committee of the Institution of Engineers Sri Lanka, unless expressly stated. COVER PAGE VOL: XLVIII,, No. 01 January 2015 ISSN 1800-1122 III HEC-HMS Model for Runoff Simulation in a Tropical Catchment with Intra-Basin Diversions – Case Study of the Deduru Oya River Basin, Sri Lanka by: Eng. D. S. Sampath, Eng. (Prof.) S. B. Weerakoon and Prof. Srikantha Herath III 1 Analysis on Energy Efficiency and Optimality of LED and Photovoltaic Based Street Lighting System by: Eng. Chandana Kulasooriyage, Dr. Satish S. Namasivayam and Dr. Lanka Udawatta 11 Mitigation of Construction Delays Attributable to the Contractors in the Construction Industry of Sri Lanka by: Eng. (Dr.) D. A. R. Dolage and Eng. T. Pathmarajah 21 Use of Dynamites, Watergels and Emulsion Explosives in Sri Lankan Quarrying/Mining Practice by: Eng. P. V. A. Hemalal, Prof. P. G. R. Dharmarathne and Eng. P. I. Kumarage 31 An Approach to Seismic Analysis and Design 39 of (Engineered) Buildings in Sri Lanka by: Eng. (Dr.) C. S. Lewangamage and Miss. H. G. S. R. Kularathna Printed by Karunaratne & Sons (Pvt) Ltd. Daduru Oya Reservoir Project The fourth largest river in Sri Lanka, ‘Daduru Oya’ runs through four districts, fed by a catchment of over 2600 km2, discharges close to a billion cubic meters of water annually. The multipurpose hydro scheme reservoir impounding 75 million cubic meters and spread over an area of 2000 Hectares is contained by a 2.4 km long earthen dam with an 8 radial gated spill. The reservoir is capable of discharging at a combined rate of 15.5 m3/s through twin sluices to left and right bank canals for irrigating over 11,000 Hectares. Further, 1.5 MW of hydro electric power is also expected to be generated through this project. Contributed by: Eng. B. A. S. S. Perera Director of Irrigation Kurunegala. SECTION II Monitoring of Exhaust Gas Parameters of 51 Stationary Combustion Systems - In View of Environmental Standards by: Eng. K. T. Jayasinghe Notes: ENGINEER, established in 1973, is a Quarterly Journal, published in the months of January, April, July & October of the year. All published articles have been refereed in anonymity by at least two subject specialists. Section I contains articles based on Engineering Research while Section II contains articles of Professional Interest. Projecting turbidity levels in future river flow: A mathematical modeling approach by: Eng. (Dr.) (Mrs.) T. N. Wickramaarachchi, Eng. (Dr.) H. Ishidaira, Eng. (Dr.) J. Magome and Eng. (Dr.) T. M. N. Wijayaratna 61 The above Paper was placed First in the „Over 35 years of age‟ Category at the Competition on “Eco Friendly Water Infrastructure for Sustainable Development and Management Experiences gained from Integrated Water Resources Development and Management in Sri Lanka” 2013/2014 Sponsored by: St. Anthony’s Industries Group (Pvt) Ltd. Coastal Investigations for sustainable development of fisheries infrastructure by : 81 Eng. A. H. R. Ratnasooriya and Eng. (Prof.) S. P. Samarawickrama The above Paper was placed Second in the „Over 35 years of age‟ Category at the Competition on “Eco Friendly Water Infrastructure for Sustainable Development and Management Experiences gained from Integrated Water Resources Development and Management in Sri Lanka” 2013/2014 Sponsored by: St. Anthony’s Industries Group (Pvt) Ltd. II FROM THE EDITOR………….. Once again we are in a position to proudly talk about a project of our own. An Irrigation/hydro Power project in our own country, designed by our own Engineers, managed by our own Engineering organizations, constructed by our own workforce and funded by our own government, indeed places this project on this pedestal. Being the fourth longest river in Sri Lanka, Daduru Oya, originating in the western slopes of the wet zone hill country has passed through some of the dry plains in the north-west of the island for centuries without bestowing full potential benefits to the inhabitants. The Daduru Oya reservoir project by the Department of Irrigation is another historical step in harnessing the beneficial potential from near a billion cubic meters of water flowing through this river fed by many tributaries at various levels. Apart from building the potential to irrigate over 11,00 Hectares of rice cultivation in both Yala and Maha seasons, the proposed reservoir would enable potable water supply for an area housing over 50,000 families and generate 1.5 MW of electric power. As further benefits this project is expected to control floods, recharge ground water table and fulfil the baseline requirements for enhancing the infrastructure of the area. Our island country may not have many of the natural resources valued by the present day economists, such as petroleum, coal or metal ores, but has been blessed with a cartwheel of waterways enriching the peripheries. As our ancestors have done throughout the recorded history, it is our sacred duty to harness the maximum potential of these for the benefit of all the inhabitants. The Daduru Oya project will be a contribution of this generation and especially the Engineers of this generation, to this historical quest. Eng. (Prof.) T. M. Pallewatta, Int. PEng (SL), C. Eng, FIE(SL), FIAE(SL) Editor, ‘ENGINEER’, Journal of The Institution of Engineers. III III SECTION I ENGINEER - Vol. XLVIII, No. 01, pp. [1-9], 2015 ENGINEER - Vol. XLVIII, No. 01, pp. [page range], 2015 © The Institution of Engineers, Sri Lanka © The Institution of Engineers, Sri Lanka HEC-HMS Model for Runoff Simulation in a Tropical Catchment with Intra-Basin Diversions – Case Study of the Deduru Oya River Basin, Sri Lanka D. S. Sampath, S. B. Weerakoon and S. Herath Abstract: Hydrological modeling is a commonly used tool by water resource planners to simulate the hydrological response in a basin due to precipitation for the purpose of management of basin water. With the increasing demand for limited water resources in every basin, careful management of water resources becomes more important. The Deduru Oya river in Sri Lanka supplies water to number of new and ancient irrigation systems and the management of water resources in the Deduru Oya river basin, which has an area of 2620 km2, is important for optimum utilization of water for these irrigation systems. This paper describes a case study of continuous rainfall-runoff modeling in part of the Deduru Oya basin with intra-basin diversions and storage irrigation systems using the Hydrologic Engineering Center – Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC–HMS) version 3.0.1 to estimate runoff in the Deduru Oya river. Long term daily rainfall data at several rain gauging stations, evaporation, land use and soil data in the river basin, daily river runoff at a stream gauging station, intra-basin diversions from the river into a storage reservoir, irrigation releases from the reservoir and drainage flow returned to the river from irrigation systems were used to set up the HEC-HMS model. Five-layer soil moisture accounting loss method, Clark unit hydrograph transformation method, and recession base flow method of the HECHMS model were used. Temporally varying irrigation water uses, storages and losses in the basin were taken into account in the analysis. The results depict the capability of HEC–HMS to reproduce stream flows in the basin to a high accuracy with averaged computed Nash Sutcliffe efficiencies of 0.80. The study demonstrates potential HEC–HMS application in flow estimation from tropical catchments with intra-basin diversions and irrigation storages. The model developed is a tool for water management in the Deduru Oya river basin. Keywords: Deduru Oya basin, HEC-HMS, Hydrological Modeling, Irrigation, Magalla tank 1. Introduction and the objective of the hydrological prediction in the basin. Sustainable management of limited fresh water sources is a major challenge and is extremely important for the people living in the world. Failure to manage the water sources in an effective manner will adversely affect the society and the economy of the country. Management of water resources in a basin essentially requires understanding of dynamics of basin water and assessment of basin water availability for development use. The HEC–HMS, developed by Hydrologic Engineering Center of U.S. Army Corps of Engineers is a hydrological model that supports both lumped parameter based modeling as well as distributed parameter based modeling [15]. HEC-HMS is a set of mathematical models to simulate the precipitation runoff-routing processes of dendritic watershed system. Eng. D. S. Sampath, B. Sc. Eng.(Hons)(Peradeniya), AMIE(Sri Lanka), Lecturer (Probationary), Dept. of Civil Engineering, University of Jaffna, Ariviyal Nagar, Kilinochchi, Sri Lanka and M. Phil. candidate, Dept. of Civil Engineering, University of Peradeniya, Peradeniya, Sri Lanka. Eng. (Prof.) S. B. Weerakoon, B.Sc.Eng.(Peradeniya), M.Eng., D.Eng. (Tokyo), FIE(Sri Lanka), Int. PE SL, C. Eng, Professor of Civil Engineering, Dept. of Civil Engineering, University of Peradeniya, Peradeniya, Sri Lanka. Prof. Srikantha Herath, B.Sc.Eng.(Peradeniya), M.Eng. (AIT), D.Eng. (Tokyo), Senior Academic Programme Director, UNU-IAS, Tokyo, Japan. Hydrological modeling is a commonly used tool to estimate the basin’s hydrological response due to precipitation. Various types of hydrological models from black box models which require less basin data to physically based models which require large amount of basin data have been developed [2]. The selection of the model depends on the basin ENGINEER 1 1 ENGINEER Figure 1 - Location and Topography of the Basin HEC-HMS needs three input components such as the basin model, the meteorological model, and the control specifications. The basin model is the representation of real-world objects with parameters describing their behavior. The basin model elements are sub basin, reach, junction, source, sink, reservoir, diversion, river reach, point of intersection of river reaches, input flow point to basin system, outlet of the basin system, reservoir, and diversion for a reach in the real world, respectively. Each of these elements needs some parameters to define their behavior in a hydrologic system. Each element stores the element downstream to it to facilitate the flow of water and to create a dendritic network [1]. step for simulation. Control specifications include a starting date and time, ending date and time, and a time interval [15]. The input time-series and other paired-value data are stored in HEC’s Data Storage System (DSS). The output of HEC-HMS includes peak flow and total volume for each element in the basin model. These output data are also stored in DSS [1]. HEC-HMS has been successfully applied to many basins to assess water resources including river basins in Sri Lanka [(4), (8)]. In this paper the HEC HMS Model is applied for a part of the Deduru Oya river basin (Deduru Oya river basin above Moragaswewa (79.9900 E, 7.7000 N) hereafter referred as DMW sub basin) in Sri Lanka which is a special case of practical importance where there are intra-basin diversions for irrigation systems. Irrigation systems release part of irrigated water as drainage flow to the downstream of them and these drainage flows enter into the basin drainage network and contributes to the flow at the downstream reach of the Deduru Oya river in the DMW sub basin. HEC-HMS model is used for rainfall-runoff modeling of DMW sub basin which contains intra-basin diversions and storages. The metrological model is responsible for preparing the boundary conditions that act on the watershed during a simulation. The meteorological model stores the information of precipitation falling on the watershed and evapotranspiration. HEC-HMS supports six different historical and synthetic precipitation methods as well as one evapotranspiration method [15]. The time span of a simulation is controlled by control specifications and control specification is used to describe the time period and time ENGINEER ENGINEER 2 2 1.1 DMW sub basin of Deduru Oya River basin DMW sub basin, which is an upper basin of the Deduru Oya river, has an area of 1950 km2 ranging from 30 m to 1280 m MSL extending from Moragaswewa to the central hills of Sri Lanka (Figure 1). DMW sub basin of Deduru Oya river basin covers 74% of whole Deduru Oya river basin. DMW sub basin, located between 7.3200 N and 7.8600 N latitudes, and 79.9900 E and 80.5800 E longitudes, is one of the major rice production basins in the country. The Deduru Oya river of DMW sub basin flows through Matale and Kurunegala districts. constructed under reservoir project. ongoing Deduru Rainfall is the only source of water and there are no transbasin diversions into or out of the basin at present. The rainfall in the basin has a significant temporal and spatial variation. Annual rainfall ranges from 2600 mm in the upper basin to 1100 mm in the lower basin. From the annual rainfall about 50% is received during inter monsoon months (March-April & October-November), about 35% during Southwest monsoon months (May to September), and remaining 15% during Northeast monsoon months (December to February). The Deduru Oya river carries flash floods during rainy season and very low flow during dry season. Presently nearly 1000 MCM of water flows to sea annually from Deduru Oya river basin without being used in the basin [13]. There is a strong need to store flood water carried by Deduru Oya river to use during lean season, especially for irrigation. The basin contains a number of small and large reservoirs (tanks), mostly rain-fed, used for irrigating paddy cultivation in two seasons per year. There are several weirs (anicuts) built across the river along its length to divert water for irrigation system to cultivate paddy. There are few reservoirs across tributaries of Deduru Oya river but the only reservoir intercepting the Deduru Oya river is the one being Figure 2 - Study Area 3 ENGINEER Oya ENGINEER 3 1.2 Intra-basin diversion to Magalla tank There is an intra–basin diversion of considerable volume of the Deduru Oya river flow to the right bank at its middle reach for irrigated paddy cultivation. A weir constructed across the river diverts water to an unlined canal (Ridi Bendi Ela canal) of 21 km length and 4.25 m3/s capacity to Magalla tank (Figure 2). The weir diverts almost all of the flow of the river to the Magalla tank during low river flow months. The Magalla tank with a capacity of 9 MCM stores water for the irrigation requirements in downstream areas. The basin area of Magalla tank is 32 km2. There are 2224 ha of paddy lands cultivated presently under the Magalla tank irrigation system. DRB Sub basin Magalla Sub basin Ridi Bendi Ela Magalla tank Irrigation Systems DMW-RB Sub basin The Magalla tank has three irrigation canals; Right Bank (RB) canal, Left Bank (LB) canal and Centre canal to distribute water. Capacities of the canals and the irrigable areas under each canal are shown in Table 1. The drainage water from the paddy fields at Magalla tank irrigation systems flows into the Deduru Oya river at the upstream of Moragaswewa (Figure 2). Moragaswewa gauging station Figure 3 - Schematic Diagram Table 1 - Capacities of Magalla Tank Outlet Canals and Irrigation Area Canal 2. Capacity from DRB basin outlet through Ridi Bendi Ela canal is 4.25 m3/s or maximum available at the DRB basin outlet. The flow in excess of 4.25 m3/s is an inflow to the DMW-RB basin through Deduru Oya river. Irrigation Area RB Canal 3.40 m3/s 1792 ha LB Canal 1.13 m3/s 312 ha Center Canal 0.43 m3/s 120 ha Magalla tank receives inflow from its own basin and from the Ridi Bendi Ela canal. Daily releases from Magalla reservoir for irrigation systems through the three canals depend on the irrigation requirements and available storage. Methodology Reservoir simulation was carried estimate the actual daily releases. For the application of HEC-HMS, the DMW sub basin which has an area of 1950 km2 was divided into two sub-basins; DRB sub basin of an area of 1400 km2 above the irrigation diversion at Ridi Bendi Ela and rest of the DMW basin (referred to as DMW-RB sub basin) of an area of 550 km2 (Figure 2). The schematic diagram of the HEC-HMS model setup is given in Figure 3. to 2.1 Data collection GIS data were used to identify stream paths, catchments, natural streams, land use patterns, geology and soil types in the basin. Topographic, geological and land use details were collected from the digital data of the Survey Department of Sri Lanka. A major portion of the soil in river basin was identified as reddish brown earth [(9), (11)]. Daily stream flow at the DRB basin outlet was estimated by HEC-HMS model application to the DRB basin. Diversion to Magalla reservoir ENGINEER out Irrigation requirements in the irrigation systems were estimated by CROPWAT model. Drainage flow from the irrigation systems was taken as 40 % of the total release of Magalla tank through the three canals according to loss calculation and water balance study. Ridi Bendi Ela canal was modeled as a diversion element and Magalla tank was modeled as a reservoir element. The drainage flow from the irrigation systems under Magalla tank is modeled as a reach element. ENGINEER Weir Ela canal 4 4 Daily rainfall was collected from seven stations in the basin (Figure 4), viz. Kurunegala, Delwita, Wariyapola, Millawa, Ridi Bendi Ela, Batalagoda and Nikaweratiya, for the past twenty years from 1980 to 2000. Monthly evaporation data for the same years for the agro meteorological station Mahawa was used in the study. The rainfall data and the evaporation data were obtained from the Rainfall Division of the Department of Meteorology, Colombo. Also hydro meteorological data are available at the Department of Meteorology [10]. The only flow data available for the Deduru Oya is from 1980 to 1989 at Moragswewa gauging station. Daily flow data for the latest three year from this data set was used for model calibration and validation, viz. 3 months for calibration and 3 years for validation. For the calculation of CWRs, CROPWAT needs data on evapotranspiration (ETo), rainfall, crop data and soil data. CROPWAT allows the user to either enter measured ETo values, or to input data on temperature, humidity, wind speed and sunshine, which allows CROPWAT to calculate ETo using the Penman-Monteith formulae [3]. Rainfall data are used with CROPWAT to compute effective rainfall data as input for the CWR and scheduling calculations. Crop data are needed for the CWR calculations and soil data to calculate irrigation schedules. Whereas CROPWAT normally calculates CWR and schedules for one crop, it can also calculate a scheme supply, which is basically the combined CWR of multiple crops, each with its individual planting date [3]. Figure 4 - Rain Gauge Stations and Thiesson Polygon Areas 2.2 Crop Water Requirements CROPWAT 8.0 software developed based on the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) guidelines is used for calculation of Crop Water Requirements (CWR) and irrigation requirements from climatic and crop data. The program also allows the development of irrigation schedules for different management conditions and the calculation of scheme water supply for varying crop patterns [(3), (14)]. calculated for 105 day low land paddy crop type. It was calculated using CROPWAT for paddy crop on monthly basis. Rainfall data at Nikaweratiya station in year 1980 to 2000, Mahailuppallama reference crop evapotranspiration rates and crop factors for each growth stages were used for the CROPWAT model to calculate CWR. Computations of irrigation water requirements were made using 60% application efficiency and 75% conveyance efficiency. 5 ENGINEER ENGINEER 5 it is possible to account for increased storage during the rising side of a flood wave and it is possible to account storage decreased storage during for theincreased falling side. The during the rising side of a flood wave and Muskingum K is essentially the travel time decreased falling side. through thestorage reach. during It can bethe estimated fromThe the Muskingum K is essentially the travel knowledge of the cross section properties time and through the reach. The It canMuskingum be estimatedXfrom the flow properties. is the knowledge ofbetween the cross inflow section properties and weighting and outflow flow properties. The Muskingum X is the influence [15]. weighting between inflow and outflow influence [15]. The inflow-diversion function defines the 2.3 Model calibration HEC-HMS version 3.0.1 was utilized as the 2.3 Model calibration rainfall – runoff model in Deduru Oya river HEC-HMS version was utilized as was the basin. Calibration for3.0.1 continuous modeling rainfall – runoff model in Deduru Oya river carried out by using daily rainfall occurred basin. Calibration for Dec continuous modeling was from Oct 1985 to 1985. Soil moisture carried out by using daily rainfall occurred accounting loss method, Clark unit hydrograph from Oct 1985 method, to Dec and 1985. recession Soil moisture transformation base accounting loss were method, Clark unit flow method utilized for hydrograph continuous transformation method, and recession base simulations. flow method were utilized for continuous simulations. The soil moisture accounting loss method uses amount of flow that is diverted from a given The function variable. defines The the inflow.inflow-diversion Inflow is the independent amount of flow that is diverted from a given range of inflows specified in the function inflow. the complete independent variable. The should Inflow cover isthe range of total range offrom inflows specified in the inflows upstream elements. Thefunction inflowshould cover the complete range ofin total diversion function must be defined the inflows data frommanager upstream elements. inflowpaired before it canThe be used in diversion function must be defined in the the diversion elements [15]. paired data manager before it can be used in the diversionObjective elements [15]. Normalized Function (𝑁𝑁𝑂𝑂𝐹𝐹), Nash five layers to represent the dynamics of water The soil moisture accounting lossLayers method uses movement above and in the soil. include five layers to represent the dynamics of water canopy interception, surface depression movement above and groundwater, in the soil. Layers storage, soil, upper andinclude lower canopy interception, surface depression groundwater. The soil layer is subdivided into storage, storage soil, upper groundwater, and lower tension and gravity storage [(15), (16)]. groundwater. The accounting soil layer isloss subdivided into The soil moisture method was tension storage and gravity storage [(15), (16)]. utilized for continuous simulations in all sub The soil moisture accounting loss method was basins. utilized for continuous simulations in all sub basins. unit hydrograph was selected as a Clark Sutcliffe efficiency (𝑅𝑅 ʹ ), Percentage bias (𝛿𝛿𝑏𝑏 ) Normalized Objective𝑁𝑁𝑆𝑆Function (𝑁𝑁𝑂𝑂𝐹𝐹), Nash and Root Mean Square ʹ Error (𝑅𝑅𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆𝐸𝐸) values (𝑅𝑅 ), measures Percentage Sutcliffe efficiency 𝑏𝑏 ) 𝑁𝑁𝑆𝑆 were used as quantitative forbias the (𝛿𝛿 skill andsimulations. Root Mean Past Square Errorhave (𝑅𝑅𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆𝐸𝐸) values of studies shown that were used as quantitative measures for the these parameters were successfully usedskill to of simulations. analyze goodnessPast of fitstudies [(5), (6),have (12)].shown that these parameters were successfully used to analyze goodness of fit [(5), (6), (12)]. transform method. Time of concentration and Clark unit hydrograph selected to as be a storage coefficient are thewas parameters transform method. Time ofunit concentration and defined in Clark hydrograph storage coefficient the parameters to be transformation. Thearetime of concentration defined the inmaximum Clark travel unittime hydrograph defines in the sub transformation. The time of concentration basin. It is used in the development of the defines thehydrograph. maximum travel time in the sub translation The storage coefficient basin. It is used in the development of the is used in the linear reservoir that accounts for translation hydrograph. The storage coefficient storage affects [(15), (16)]. is used in the linear reservoir that accounts for storage affects base [(15),flow (16)].method is designed to The recession ͳ 𝑁𝑁𝑂𝑂𝐹𝐹 ൌ 𝑂𝑂 ͳ 𝑁𝑁𝑂𝑂𝐹𝐹 ൌ 𝑂𝑂 𝑖𝑖ൌͳ 𝑛𝑛 ሺ𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 − 𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 ሻʹ 𝑖𝑖ൌͳ ʹ 𝑅𝑅𝑁𝑁𝑆𝑆 ൌ ͳ − 𝑛𝑛 ʹ 𝑖𝑖ൌͳ ሺ𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 − 𝑂𝑂 ሻ ʹ 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖ൌͳ ሺ𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 − 𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 ሻ ʹ 𝑅𝑅𝑁𝑁𝑆𝑆 ൌ ͳ − 𝑛𝑛 ʹ 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖ൌͳ ሺ𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 − 𝑂𝑂 ሻ 𝑖𝑖ൌͳ ሺ𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 − 𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 ሻ 𝛿𝛿𝑏𝑏 ൌ ∗ ͳͲͲΨ 𝑛𝑛 𝑂𝑂 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖−ͳ 𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖ൌͳ ሺ𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 − 𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 ሻ 𝛿𝛿𝑏𝑏 ൌ ∗ ͳͲͲΨ 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖−ͳ 𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 𝑛𝑛 approximate the typical behavior observed in The recessionwhen base flow method isflow designed to watersheds the channel recedes approximate the typical behavior in exponentially after an event. The observed initial base watersheds when the channel flow recedes flow at the beginning of a simulation must be exponentially after an event. initial base specified. Two methods areThe available for flow at the beginning of a simulation must be specifying the initial condition: initial discharge specified. Two methods are[15]. available for and initial discharge per area Here initial specifying the initial condition: initial discharge discharge was selected as one parameter. The and discharge per area [15]. Here initial otherinitial parameter, recession constant, describes discharge was selected as one parameter. The the rate at which base flow recedes between other parameter, constant, storm events. It isrecession defined as the ratiodescribes of base the rate at current which base recedes between flow at the time,flow to the base flow one storm events. It is defined as the ratio of base day earlier. There are two different methods for flow at the current base flow one determining how to time, reset to thethe base flow during day earlier. There are two different methods for a storm event: ratio to peak and threshold flow determining how to reset the base flow during [15]. Ratio to peak was selected as a parameter a storm event: ratio to peak and threshold flow in this study after several trials. [15]. Ratio to peak was selected a parameter The Muskingum routing methodasuses a simple in this study after several trials. conservation of mass approach to route flow The Muskingum routing uses a simple through the stream reach.method However, it does not conservation approach assume that of themass water surface tois route level.flow By through the stream reach. However, it does not assuming a linear, but non-level, water surface assume that the water surface is level. By assuming a linear, but non-level, water surface ENGINEER ENGINEER ENGINEER 𝑛𝑛 ͳ ሺ𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 − 𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 ሻʹ 𝑛𝑛 𝑛𝑛 ͳ 𝑖𝑖ൌͳ ሺ𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 − 𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 ሻʹ 𝑛𝑛 [1] [1] [2] [2] [3] [3] ͳ ሺ𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 − 𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 ሻʹ 𝑇𝑇 𝑛𝑛 [4] ͳ 𝑖𝑖ൌͳ 𝑅𝑅𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆𝐸𝐸 ൌ ሺ𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 − 𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 ሻʹ 𝑇𝑇 [4] Where,𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 𝑛𝑛𝑂𝑂 𝑖𝑖ൌͳ are observed discharge, simulated discharge, number of the observed or Where, 𝑂𝑂𝑖𝑖 𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 𝑛𝑛𝑂𝑂 are observed simulated data points and meandischarge, of the simulated discharge, number of the observed or observed discharge respectively. simulated data points and mean of the observed dischargeand respectively. All calibration validation graphical 𝑅𝑅𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆𝐸𝐸 ൌ representations were numerically analyzed by All calibration and validation graphical the goodness of fit according to Normalized representations were numerically analyzed by Objective Function (𝑁𝑁𝑂𝑂𝐹𝐹), Nash–Sutcliffe the goodness ʹof fit according to Normalized efficiency (𝑅𝑅𝑁𝑁𝑆𝑆 ), percentage bias (𝛿𝛿𝑏𝑏 ) and Objective Function (𝑁𝑁𝑂𝑂𝐹𝐹), Nash–Sutcliffe Root Mean Square Error (𝑅𝑅𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆𝐸𝐸) values. ʹ efficiency (𝑅𝑅𝑁𝑁𝑆𝑆 ), percentage bias (𝛿𝛿𝑏𝑏 ) and Root Mean Square Error (𝑅𝑅𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆𝐸𝐸) values. 6 6 6 there is a good agreement between the observed and simulated flows. Table 2 shows the goodness of fitting between simulated and observed flow for validation periods, and the parameters fall within acceptable ranges. The observed and simulated discharge hydrographs are shown in Figure 6 and Figure 7 respectively. If the simulated values exactly match with the ʹ , 𝛿𝛿𝑏𝑏 and𝑅𝑅𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆𝐸𝐸 would be observed,𝑁𝑁𝑂𝑂𝐹𝐹, 𝑅𝑅𝑁𝑁𝑆𝑆 equals to zero, one, zero percent and zero respectively. 3. Results and Discussions 3.1 Calibration For the calibration period, which is from Oct – Dec 1985, simulated daily discharge values were compared with observed daily discharge values. Figure 5 shows the graphical distribution of simulated discharge against ʹ , 𝛿𝛿𝑏𝑏 observed discharge. The values of 𝑂𝑂𝐹𝐹 ,𝑅𝑅𝑁𝑁𝑆𝑆 Table 2 - Goodness of Fit for Stream Flow Simulation Event and 𝑅𝑅𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆𝐸𝐸 are equal to 0.30, 0.96, 4.88% and Oct 1984 to Sept 1985 3.2 Validation The time series data from Oct 1984 to 30 Sept 1985 (1 year) and Oct 1987 to Sept 1989 (2 years) were used for validation of continuous simulation. Validation results indicate that Oct 1987 to Sept 1989 22 respectively. 𝑵𝑵𝑶𝑶𝑭𝑭 𝑹𝑹𝟐𝟐𝑵𝑵𝑺𝑺 𝜹𝜹𝒃𝒃 1.00 0.76 18% 1.00 0.7 𝑹𝑹𝑴𝑴𝑺𝑺𝑬𝑬 25 17% 34 600 Observed discharge 500 Simulated discharge Dicharge / (m3/s) 400 300 200 100 0 5-Oct-85 15-Oct-85 25-Oct-85 4-Nov-85 14-Nov-85 24-Nov-85 4-Dec-85 14-Dec-85 24-Dec-85 Time Figure 5 - Observed and Simulated Discharges at Moragaswewa for Oct - Dec 1985 400 350 Observed discharge 300 Discharge / (m3/s) Simulated discharge 250 200 150 100 50 0 3-Oct-84 22-Nov-84 11-Jan-85 2-Mar-85 21-Apr-85 10-Jun-85 30-Jul-85 18-Sep-85 Time Figure 6 - Observed and Simulated Discharges at Moragaswewa for Oct 1984 - Sept 1985 7 ENGINEER ENGINEER 7 450 400 Observed discharge 350 Simulated discharge Discharge / (m3/s) 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 3-Oct-87 11-Jan-88 20-Apr-88 29-Jul-88 6-Nov-88 14-Feb-89 25-May-89 2-Sep-89 Time Figure 7 - Observed and Simulated Discharges at Moragaswewa for Oct 1987- Sept 1989 4. Conclusions References Paper presented a case study of runoff modeling of part of Deduru Oya river basin with intra- basin diversion and storages by using the HEC–HMS model. The study used the computed skill metrics of simulated stream flow against observation as a criterion to calibrate model parameters. Simulation skills, ʹ ,𝛿𝛿𝑏𝑏 and 𝑅𝑅𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆𝐸𝐸 as described by 𝑁𝑁𝑂𝑂𝐹𝐹 ,𝑅𝑅𝑁𝑁𝑆𝑆 agree reasonably well against observed discharges. 1. 2. 3. 4. The results show that the calibrated model is capable of capturing the seasonal characteristics of stream flow satisfactorily. By using long term forecast daily rainfall, the model with the calibrated parameters can be used for estimating stream flow at the basin outlet. The study demonstrates potential HEC–HMS application in flow estimation from tropical catchments with intra-basin diversions and irrigation storages. The model developed is a useful tool for water management in the Deduru Oya river basin. 5. 6. Acknowledgements The authors would like to convey their sincere gratitude to UN-CECAR program of United Nations University, Tokyo, Japan, for the financial support for this research. The hydrological and meteorological data for the study were obtained from the Department of Irrigation and Department of Meteorology. ENGINEER ENGINEER 7. 8. 8 8 Agrawal, A., “A Data Model with Pre and Post Processor for HEC–HMS”, Report of Graduate Studies, Texas A & M Univ. College Station, 2005. Chong–yu Xu, Text book of Hydrological model, Uppsala university department of earth science and hydrology, 2002. Cropwat Reference Manual, 2009. DE Silva, M. M. G. T., Weerakoon, S. B., Herath S., Modeling of Event and Continuous Flow Hydrographs with HECHMS; A Case Study in the Kelani River basin Sri Lanka, J. of Hydrologic Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 19 No 04, 800-806, 2014. Deva, K., Borah, M., ASCE; Jeffrey, G., Arnold; Maitreyee Bera; Edward, C., Krug; and Xin-Zhong Liang, 2007, Storm Event and Continuous Hydrologic Modeling for Comprehensive and Efficient Watershed Simulations, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, Vol. 12, No. 6, November 1, 606616. Moriasi, D. N., Arnold, J. G., Van Liew, M. W., Bingner, R. L., Harmel, R. D., Veith, T. L., 2007, Model Evaluation Guidelines for Systematic Quantification of Accuracy in Watershed Simulations, American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers, ISSN 0001−2351, Vol. 50(3): 885−900. Ehret, U., and Zehe, E., Series Distance – An Intuitive Metric to Quantify Hydrograph Similarity in Terms of Occurrence, Amplitude and Timing of Hydrological Events ,J. of Hydrology and Earth System Sciences , Vol. 15., 877-896, 2011. Halwatura, D., Najim, M. M. M., “Application of the HEC-HMS Model for Runoff Simulation in a Tropical Catchment, J. of Environmental modeling and software, 46, 155-162, 2013. 10. Long-term Hydro Meteorological Data in Sri Lanka, Data Book of Hydrological Cycle in Humid Tropical Ecosystem, Part I, Ed. K. Nakagawa, H., Edagawa, V., Nandakumar & Aoki, M., Special Research Projection 1995, University of Tsukaba. 11. Mapa, R. B., Dissanayake, A. R., Nayakakorale H. B., Soil of the Intermediate Zone of Sri Lanka: Morphology characterization and classification, 2005. 12. Nash, J. E. and Sutcliffe, J. V., “River Flows Forecasting Through Conceptual Models. Part 1 a Discussion of Principles”, J. Hydrology, Vol. 27 (3), pp. 282-290, 1970. 13. Pre-feasibility Study Report of Deduru Oya and Mee Oya river basins Development Project, Planning Branch, Irrigation Department, Colombo, Sri Lanka, 2000. 14. Richard, G. A., Luis, S. P., Dirk, R., Martin, S., Crop Evapotranspiration-Guidelines for Computing Crop Water Requirements, Publication No. 56 of the Irrigation and Drainage Series of FAO, FAO, Rome, Italy, 1998. 15. Scharffenberg, W. A. and Fleming, M. J., “Hydrologic Modeling System HEC–HMS User's Manual”, US Army Corps of Engineers, Institute for Water Resources, Hydrologic Engineering Centre , 2006 16. US army corps of Engineers, Hydrological Engineering Center, HEC-HMS Technical Reference Manual., March 2000. 9 ENGINEER 9 ENGINEER ENGINEER Vol.XLVIII, XLVIII,No. No.01, 01,pp. pp.[11-20], [page range], ENGINEER -- Vol. 2015 2015 © The The Institution SriSri Lanka © InstitutionofofEngineers, Engineers, Lanka Analysis on Energy Efficiency and Optimality of LED and Photovoltaic Based Street Lighting System Chandana S. Kulasooriyage, Satish S. Namasivayam and Lanka Udawatta Abstract: This study evaluates the optimality and energy efficiency of Light Emitting Diode (LED) and Photovoltaic based street lighting systems as a part of energy conservation. This evaluation is based on the detailed review carried out through a country wide street lamp survey. Since LEDs are becoming increasingly competitive due to their rapidly increasing efficiencies and decreasing cost, this research assessed the LED fixtures which have the capability of achieving 50% to 70% energy saving potential compared to the existing established technologies based street lamps available in the country. As a case study, illumination levels were examined at two neighbouring traffic junctions in the Capital City, from Bambalapitiya junction to Kollupitiya junction. Two kinds of measurements were taken and average luminance levels were analysed for all measured points in the traffic lanes. It was found that same lighting performance could be achieved by replacing 250W HPS (High Pressure Sodium) by 150W HPS and further it was verified the same results while having 62% energy saving by replacing 250WHPS lamps with 111W LED through a simulation with Lighting RealityTM software. This change would easily meet the minimum recommended level of 7.5 Lux and average luminance of 0.5 cd/m2 as per British Standards. Even though solar powered street lighting systems need high capital outlay, it will be one of the most appropriate energy solutions for a country like Sri Lanka. Incentive program development by the government may further encourage LED street lamp and solar powered system development adoptions. This study also recommends that any such incentive program should include performance standards that consider warranty, efficacy and other important criteria as the next steps. Keywords: Street lighting, Luminance metrics, Light Emitting Diode, Solar panels, Energy efficiency. ____________________________________________________________________________________ 1. Introduction equipment, control and management practices have a direct impact on the level of greenhouse gas emissions from street lighting. Reductions in greenhouse gas emissions are directly related to reductions in energy consumption; hence the potential savings are of the same order and vice versa. Street lighting is an essential public service that provides a safer environment at night time to motorists as well as pedestrians. Proper use of street lighting as an operative tool provides economic and social benefits to the public. The electrical energy consumption of street lighting constitutes an important part of total energy consumption. Saving energy in street lamps is therefore important for total energy savings. 2. Annual Electricity consumption in Sri Lanka Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) issues a Statistical Digest in each year and it indicates the energy statistics in the particular year. Reductions in energy consumption through the installation of modern lighting Eng. Chandana S. Kulasooriyage, M.Sc. Eng. (Moratuwa), MIE(Sri Lanka), MIIE(Sri Lanka), GCGI(UK), C.Eng., I. Eng., Electrical Engineer, Ceylon Electricity Board. Dr. Satish S. Namasivayam, B.Sc.(Hons)(Colombo), M.Phil.(Colombo) , FilLic ( Uppsala) Ph.D. (Uppsala) , M.B.A ( Colombo), Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Moratuwa. Dr. Lanka Udawatta, B.Sc. Eng. (Moratuwa), M.Sc. (Saito), PhD. (Saito), Faculty of Mechatronics Engineering, Higher Colleges of Technology, UAE. Figure 1 - Annual Electricity Consumption in Year 2011 1 11 ENGINEER ENGINEER This Thisis isthetheofficial officialpublication publicationto toexpose exposethethe energy data to the public. Statistical energy data to the public. Statisticaldata data published publishedbybyCEB CEBforforannual annualelectricity electricity consumption in in SriSri Lanka - 2011 is is shown in in consumption Lanka - 2011 shown Figure 1. Figure 1. Even Eventhough thoughthethepercentage percentagevalue valueof ofstreet street lighting energy consumption is 1.1%, its energy lighting energy consumption is 1.1%, its energy wastage wastageis isfairly fairlyaccountable accountablesince sincefrequent frequent complaints have been made by the public and complaints have been made by the public and state media that the street lamps state media that the street lamps areare continuously continuouslyburning burningin indaytime daytimeat atvarious various places in the country. Even though control and places in the country. Even though control and operational work of the street lamps are done byby operational work of the street lamps are done local localauthorities, authorities,electricity electricitybills billsforforenergy energy consumption has been levied consumption has been leviedbybyCEB CEBin in accordance with prepre - prepared estimates since accordance with - prepared estimates since thethe energy meters have not fitted in each and energy meters have not fitted in each and every street lamp. While there is no mechanism every street lamp. While there is no mechanism to to update that estimates and new installations is is update that estimates and new installations being done frequently, a large amount of being done frequently, a large amount of revenue supposed to to be be gained byby CEB is is notnot revenue supposed gained CEB received annually. But, even updated data base received annually. But, even updated data base forfor thethe street lamps and its its accessories areare also street lamps and accessories also notnot available in controlling authorities or power available in controlling authorities or power utilities in in SriSri Lanka. Therefore, it was anan utmost utilities Lanka. Therefore, it was utmost requirement to conduct a street lamp census requirement to conduct a street lamp census island wide. island wide. 3. 3. The Street Lamp Census The Street Lamp Census A street lamp census hashas been carried outout byby thethe A street lamp census been carried CEB in all over the country, in between late CEB in all over the country, in between late February 2010 and mid May 2010. A monitoring February 2010 and mid May 2010. A monitoring team from each province was formed with anan team from each province was formed with Officer in Charge of each team to carry out the Officer in Charge of each team to carry out the census accurately census accurately ByBy thethe results of of thethe census it was found that a a results census it was found that majority of street lamps used in the country are majority of street lamps used in the country are mercury mercuryvapour vapourlamps lampsand andits itspercentage percentageis is 34.2%. Even though these lamps are considered 34.2%. Even though these lamps are considered to tobe behaving a long lifetime by having a long lifetime byreputed reputed manufacturers, most of of thethe local authorities useuse manufacturers, most local authorities very cheap products and as a result, lamp very cheap products and as a result, lamp . . replacements replacementsarearecounted countedfrequently frequentlyin intheir their nd highest percentage maintenance records. The 2 nd maintenance records. The 2 highest percentage goes to to CFL. Since they also give a low intensity, goes CFL. Since they also give a low intensity, these lamps are suitable for by-roads. Being their these lamps are suitable for by-roads. Being their lifelife span is between 8000 – 10000 hours, they span is between 8000 – 10000 hours, they also should be be replaced frequently [2].[2]. Hence, also should replaced frequently Hence, their maintenance cost tends to to be be higher. The their maintenance cost tends higher. The rd percentage goes to fluorescent lamps. 3 3highest rd highest percentage goes to fluorescent lamps. This type of of lamps with low wattages, which areare This type lamps with low wattages, which also fitted along by-roads, need to be replaced also fitted along by-roads, need to be replaced frequently because it it hashas lower lifelife span, and frequently because lower span, and further, the ballast consumes a considerable further, the ballast consumes a considerable amount of of power. Although thethe percentage of of amount power. Although percentage incandescent lamps is 8.5%, the number incandescent lamps is 8.5%, the numberof of lamps is is 33,024, so so that thethe power loss is is thethe lamps 33,024, that power loss highest. The percentage of sodium vapour highest. The percentage of sodium vapour lamps lampsis is4.3% 4.3%and andthese thesearearehaving havinghigher higher efficiency and longer life span. efficiency and longer life span. According to to thethe street lamp survey, some of of thethe According street lamp survey, some roads and streets are not properly lit by street roads and streets are not properly lit by street lamps butbut in in some streets, specially in in Colombo lamps some streets, specially Colombo city, it has been found that some roads areare over city, it has been found that some roads over lit.lit. Hence an illumination measurement Hence an illumination measurement program hashas been implemented byby thethe CEB to to program been implemented CEB understand the Lux level appearing on some understand the Lux level appearing on some major roads. major roads. 4. 4. Case Study Case Study Improvement of of thethe Galle road from Kollupitiya Improvement Galle road from Kollupitiya junction to Bambalapitiya junction as a model junction to Bambalapitiya junction as a model road is the latest project of the Colombo road is the latest project of the Colombo Municipal Council (CMC) which was launched Municipal Council (CMC) which was launched in in year 2010 to create a sound road network in in year 2010 to create a sound road network thethe city. An arrangement of the street lamps was city. An arrangement of the street lamps was done donein ina adiagonally diagonallyopposing opposingconfiguration configuration erected on either side of the road to to make it ait a erected on either side of the road make new design and new installation and 250W HPS new design and new installation and 250W HPS lamp fixtures were also fitted. AsAs a case study, lamp fixtures were also fitted. a case study, illumination levels were examined by the CEB, illumination levels were examined by the CEB, in in collaboration with thethe CMC, to to introduce thethe collaboration with CMC, introduce optimum street lighting system. optimum street lighting system. Table 1 -1Street lamp census in in May 2010 Table - Street lamp census May 2010 No. of of Lamps No. Lamps CEB CEB CEB CEB CEB CEB CEB CEB Regon1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 4 Regon1 Region 2 Region 3 Region Incandescent 4928 19787 4369 3940 Incandescent 4928 19787 4369 3940 Fluorescent 18476 38541 9883 17925 Fluorescent 18476 38541 9883 17925 Mercury Vapour 50383 7520 15500 Mercury Vapour 50641 50641 50383 7520 15500 Sodium Vapour 9750 3752 1277 1856 Sodium Vapour 9750 3752 1277 1856 CFL 23091 23005 30083 44388 CFL 23091 23005 30083 44388 Other 430430 729729 7 7 66 66 Other Total 107325 145197 53139 83675 Total 107325 145197 53139 83675 Type of of Lamp Type Lamp ENGINEER ENGINEER ENGINEER 2 12 2 Total Total %% 33024 8.58.5 33024 84825 21.8 84825 21.8 133044 133044 34.2 34.2 16635 4.3 16635 4.3 120567 120567 31.0 31.0 1241 0.30.3 1241 389336 100.0 389336 100.0 A A convenient convenient location location to to measure measure thethe illumination of of lamps onon thethe Galle road was illumination lamps Galle road was light intensity selected. selected.After After measuring measuring thethe light intensity of of existing HPS lamps, 4 Nos. adjacent existing 250250 WW HPS lamps, 4 Nos. of of adjacent were replaced bulbs bulbs with with opposite opposite direction direction were replaced byby new 150W HPS lamps illumination new 150W HPS lamps to to getget thethe illumination comparable with values previous ones. comparable with thethe values of of previous ones. 78 78 measurement points were laid a lane measurement points were laid outout onon a lane markingcenters centersto toform formas asa agrid gridin inthethe marking monitoring monitoring area. area. Spacing Spacing of of thethe grid grid points points of of monitored lamp fixtures along road was monitored lamp fixtures along thethe road was 5m5m between two onon alternative alternative sides. sides. The The distance distance between two adjacentgrid gridpoints pointswas was3.53.5m.m.The TheLamp Lamp adjacent Fixture mounting height goes above Fixture mounting height goes upup to to 12 12 mm above roadsurface. surface.Illumination Illuminationmeasurements measurements thetheroad were were taken taken at at a height a height of of 6 inches 6 inches above above ground, ground, light from at at around around 7.00pm 7.00pm when when natural natural light from thethe moonwas wasat ata aminimum. minimum.Two Twokinds kindsof of moon measurements were taken this case study. measurements were taken in in this case study. One measurement was taken switching ON One measurement was taken byby switching ON lamps that spacing between lamps was allall lamps so so that thethe spacing between lamps was 30m and other switching OFF alternate lamps 30m and other byby switching OFF alternate lamps area which spacing was 57m. in in thethe testtest area in in which thethe spacing was 57m. Luminance metrics were calculated identically Luminance metrics were calculated identically both fixture spacing (30m and 57m), and forfor both fixture spacing (30m and 57m), and over entire area. Average illumination over thethe entire testtest area. Average illumination levels were calculated based measured levels were calculated based onon allall measured points traffic lanes ordinary calculation points in in thethe traffic lanes byby ordinary calculation method method [4].[4]. Theuniformity uniformityof ofthethelight lightprovided providedbybythethe The lamp fixtures was measured three metrics: lamp fixtures was measured byby three metrics: Coefficientof ofVariation Variation(CV), (CV),also alsoknown knownas as Coefficient measureof ofthethedisparity disparitybetween betweenthetheactual actual measure values measured points and average values of of allall measured points and thethe average of of those values, Average-to-Minimum Uniformity those values, Average-to-Minimum Uniformity ratio ratio (AMU), (AMU), and and Maximum-to-Minimum Maximum-to-Minimum Uniformity Uniformityratio ratio(MMU). (MMU). A Alower lowerCVCVis is indicative indicative of of a more a more uniform uniform distribution distribution and and AMU AMU provides provides anan indication indication of of how how low low thethe minimum minimum measured measured level level is is compared compared to to thethe average average of of allall measured measured values. values. Thisindicates indicatesthat thatconsidering consideringallallmeasured measured This points 250W and 150W HPS lamps with 30m points of of 250W and 150W HPS lamps with 30m spacing, both have somewhat equal values spacing, both have somewhat equal values forfor AMU and MMU and that tended provide AMU and MMU and that tended to to provide a a more uniform lighting distribution both cases more uniform lighting distribution in in both cases shownin inthethesummary summaryof ofillumination illumination as asshown measurement table 2. Additionally, both cases measurement in in table 2. Additionally, both cases provide better uniformity illuminated areas provide better uniformity in in illuminated areas and 57m spacing case, it gets worse than and in in thethe 57m spacing case, it gets worse than 30mspacing spacingcase. case.Therefore, Therefore,it itcancanbe be thethe30m concludedthat thatusage usageof of150W 150WHPS HPSis ismost most concluded suitableinstead insteadof ofhigh highpowered powered250W 250WHPS HPS suitable lamps. lamps. LED Street Lamp Technology 4.14.1 LED Street Lamp Technology LightEmitting EmittingDiodes Diodes(LEDs) (LEDs)arearethethelatest latest Light technologyto toappear appearin inthethestreet streetlighting lighting technology industry. This technology is popular high industry. This technology is popular forfor its its high energy efficiency, efficiency, maintainability, maintainability, and and energy flexibility.The Themore morerecent recentLED LEDmodels modelscancan flexibility. produce over lumens light watt and produce over 100100 lumens of of light perper watt and expected work above 70% their initial areare expected to to work above 70% of of their initial light output even after 50,000 hours. Indeed, light output even after 50,000 hours. Indeed, Haitz’s Law predicts that light output Haitz’s Law predicts that thethe light output of of LEDs increases a factor every years, LEDs increases byby a factor of of 20 20 every 10 10 years, while cost decreases a factor over while thethe cost decreases byby a factor of of 10 10 over same period time time this thethe same period of of time [5].[5]. AtAt thethe time of of this research, LEDs beginning installed research, LEDs areare beginning to to be be installed in in outdoorlighting lightingin inmost mostof ofthethecountries countries outdoor because ability lamp fixture provide because of of thethe ability of of lamp fixture to to provide greater control light dispersion and greater greater control of of light dispersion and greater maintenancesavings savingscompared comparedto totraditional traditional maintenance sources. sources. 4.24.2 Street lighting design using computer Street lighting design using computer simulation method simulation method Most importantly, design street lighting Most importantly, thethe design of of street lighting system must appropriate respective roads system must be be appropriate forfor respective roads & streets and should provide sufficient level & streets and should provide thethe sufficient level illumination (Lux level) and uniformity of of illumination (Lux level) and uniformity of of lightspecified specifiedin inthethereputed reputedstreet streetlighting lighting light standardssuch suchas asBSBSENEN13201and 13201andIESNA IESNA standards Standard Grid RP–8. Standard Grid RP–8. Table 2 -2Summary of of illumination measurements Table - Summary illumination measurements Average Average Maximum Maximum Minimum Minimum Average/Minimum Average/Minimum (AMU) (AMU) Maximum/Minimum Maximum/Minimum (MMU) (MMU) Standard Standard Deviation Deviation Coefficient Coefficient of of Variation Variation (CV) (CV) 250W 250W HPS HPS 250W 250W HPS HPS 150W 150W HPS HPS ( 57m ( 57m spacing) spacing) ( 30m ( 30m spacing) spacing) ( 30m ( 30m spacing) spacing) Lux Lux Lux Lux Lux Lux 26.70 26.70 45.60 45.60 16.60 16.60 57.00 57.00 3.90 3.90 6.80 6.80 14.60 14.60 16.11 16.11 0.60 0.60 13 3 3 67.00 67.00 21.00 21.00 2.20 2.20 3.20 3.20 11.05 11.05 0.24 0.24 30.00 30.00 8.00 8.00 2.10 2.10 3.80 3.80 6.95 6.95 0.42 0.42 ENGINEER ENGINEER ENGINEER These design decisions should bebased based These These design design decisions decisions should should be be based on onon meeting oflocal local lighting requirements while meeting meeting of of local lighting lighting requirements requirements while while achieving maximum energy efficiency. achieving achieving maximum maximum energy energy efficiency. efficiency. An AnAn optimization methodology through computer optimization optimization methodology methodology through through computer computer simulation toolnamed named Lighting Reality (LR) simulation simulation tooltool named Lighting Lighting Reality Reality (LR)(LR) software hasbeen been applied inthis thisstudy study software software hashas been applied applied in in this study to to to identify optimal lamp type and wattage for identify identify optimal optimal lamp lamp typetype and and wattage wattage for for the thethe existing lamp positions Galle road section. existing existing lamp lamp positions positions in Galle in inGalle road road section. section. Street lamp design subjected meet specific Street Street lamp lamp design design is subjected is is subjected to meet to to meet specific specific horizontal illumination uniformity and horizontal horizontal illumination illumination uniformity uniformity andand luminance requirements according guidance luminance luminance requirements requirements according according to guidance to to guidance published by international international standards published published by byinternational standards standards [6]. [6].[6]. Therefore, actual figures were further verified Therefore, Therefore, actual actual figures figures were were further further verified verified by byby comparing with simulation values arrived comparing comparing with with simulation simulation values values arrived arrived by byby using Lighting Reality software, which offers using using Lighting Lighting Reality Reality software, software, which which offers offers the thethe key benefits enabling the design lighting keykey benefits benefits of enabling of of enabling the the design design of lighting of of lighting schemes with wide selection oflighting lighting schemes schemes with with a wide a awide selection selection of of lighting manufacturers’ products, conforming manufacturers’ manufacturers’ products, products, andand ofand conforming of of conforming to to to all major international standards including all all major major international international standards standards including including IES IESIES Standard Grid RP-8 and EN 13201 Standard Standard Standard Grid Grid RP-8 RP-8 and and BS BS ENBS EN 13201 13201 Standard Standard [7,8]. modal layout Lighting Reality Pro [7,8]. [7,8]. A modal A Amodal layout layout of Lighting of ofLighting Reality Reality ProPro software is shown Figure software software is shown is shown in Figure in in Figure 2. 2. 2. Hence, suitable LED wasreviewed reviewed from Hence, suitable from Hence, suitable LEDLED waswas reviewed from the thethe manufacturer’s database LR software verify manufacturer’s database in in LR software to to verify manufacturer’s database in LR software to verify whether it compatible is compatible with selected standards. whether is with selected standards. whether it isitcompatible with selected standards. Therefore, LED andHPS HPS lamp fixture were Therefore, lamp fixture were Therefore, LEDLED andand HPS lamp fixture were chosen compare light intensity distribution chosen to tocompare light intensity distribution chosen to compare light intensity distribution along theselected selected Galle road section forboth both along Galle road section along the the selected Galle road section for for both 30m & 57m 57m lamp spacing in opposite opposite lamp spacing 30m30m & &57m lamp spacing in inopposite configuration. British Standards (BS EN 13201), configuration. British Standards EN 13201), configuration. British Standards (BS (BS EN 13201), recommend theoverall overall uniformity and and recommend uniformity recommend the the overall uniformity (U0)(U(U 0) 0)and longitudinal longitudinal longitudinal uniformity uniformity uniformity (U1)(Umeasured (U ) measured at the at atthethe 1) 1measured 2 and 2 and 2 0.40 2 2 2 road road road surface surface surface as as 0.35 as0.35 cd/m 0.35cd/m cd/m and0.40 cd/m 0.40cd/m cd/m respectively respectively respectively for for vehicular for vehicular vehicular roads roads roads likelike Galle like Galle Galle road road road (ME5) (ME5) (ME5) [6]. [6]. In [6].In order Inorder order to to achieve toachieve achieve even even even greater greater greater energy energy energy savings, savings, savings, CMC CMC CMC could could could substitute substitute substitute 111W 111W 111W LEDLED LED fixtures fixtures fixtures for for the forthe 250W the250W 250W HPSHPS HPS lamps lamps lamps as as as investigated investigated investigated above above above by comparing byby comparing comparing Philips Philips Philips – City – City – City soulsoul LED soul LED (ECO113-28/740, LED (ECO113-28/740, (ECO113-28/740, 11300 11300 11300 lm, lm, cool lm, cool white) cool white) white) andand GE andGE lighting GElighting lighting HPSHPS lamp HPSlamp lamp (LU250/XO/T/40, (LU250/XO/T/40, (LU250/XO/T/40, 33000 33000 33000 lm)by lm)by lm)by simulation simulation simulation results results results of of Lighting ofLighting Lighting Reality Reality Reality software software software as shown as as shown shown in Figure in in Figure Figure 3 &34.& 3 One & 4. 4. One One cancan expect canexpect expect to see to tosee the seethe same thesame same luminance luminance luminance at all at atallall points points points by having byby having having 62 % 62of 62 %energy % of of energy energy saving saving saving [9,10]. [9,10]. [9,10]. Figure – Modal layout Lighting Reality Pro software Figure –2Modal layout of of Lighting Reality software Figure 2 – 2Modal layout of Lighting Reality ProPro software Figure Figure Figure 3 - Simulation 3 -3Simulation - Simulation results results results for forfor luminance luminance luminance measurement measurement measurement for for GE for GEGE lighting 250W HPS lamp lighting lighting 250W 250W HPS HPS lamp lamp ENGINEER ENGINEER ENGINEER ENGINEER Figure Figure Figure 4 – 4Simulation –4Simulation – Simulation results results results for forfor luminance luminance luminance measurement measurement measurement for for Philips for Philips Philips 111W 111W LED LED fixture fixture 111W LED fixture 4 14 4 4 4.3 Luminance calculation The road luminance and illumination measurements are critical parameters that 4.3 Luminance calculation affect the quality of road lighting. Those The road luminance and illumination should be measured in the field and analysed measurements are critical parameters that inaffect driver’s In the case Those study, the perspectives. quality of road lighting. Lighting Reality software simulation was should be measured in the field and analysed verified with selected Galle road section in driver’s perspectives. In the case study, illumination measurements to provide Lighting Reality software simulation was sufficient comparative studies verified with selected Galle road between section expected values and actual values.to provide illumination measurements sufficient comparative studies 2. Measurement of luminance level of existing HPS lamps fixed in Galle road section 2. Measurement of luminance level of 3. LED lamp is the kind of recently existing HPS lamps fixed in Galle developed energy efficient lamp in road section newlamp generation and it special 3. LED is the kind of has recently features such as dimming facilities, developed energy efficient lamp in longgeneration life and continuous new and it has technology special improvement. in this research, features such as Hence dimming facilities, existing replacement long life andlamps continuous technology by equivalent LED selected as the improvement. Hencewas in this research, best option. The replacement selection criterion existing lamps by is equivalent was selected as the life indicated LED in Table 4. Estimated best option. The selection is spans of existing lampscriterion are extracted indicated in Table 4. Estimated life from Energy efficient Street lighting spans of existing lamps are –extracted guidelines-USAID, India 2010 [12]. between The British Standards and IESNA Standards expected values and actual values. recommend a minimum illumination of 7.5 Themeasured British Standards and IESNA Lux at the road surfaceStandards for ME5 recommend a minimum illumination 7.5 class vehicular roads. In this design, ofGalle Lux measured at the road surface for ME5 road was classified as ME5 class road having class vehicular roads. Inofthis road surface classification R3. design, Table 3 Galle gives road was classified as ME5 class road having the comparison of simulated values with road surface classification of R3. Table 3 gives actual by 250W HPS lamp replacement with the comparison of simulated values with 111W LED lamp which were used in opposite actual by 250W HPS lamp replacement with configuration in the said section. from Energy efficient Street lighting The manufacturers of high powered SSL type guidelines-USAID, India – 2010 [12]. white LED fixtures supplied to various The manufacturers of high powered SSL type countries predict the life span of the LEDs white LED fixtures supplied to various used in the fixture ranging from 50,000 to over countries predict the life span of the LEDs 100,000 hours (roughly 12 to 24 years at 4380 used in the fixture ranging from 50,000 to over hours hours per year). But 12 thetolife 100,000 (roughly 24 span years assessed at 4380 in this research was taken as 50,000 hours hours per year). But the life span assessed which in is research the lowest value that hours manufacturer's this was taken as 50,000 which It wasvalue assumed LED fixtures isclaimed. the lowest that that manufacturer's would still require some that levelLED of maintenance claimed. It was assumed fixtures costs still and require periodic routine for cleaning, would some level visits of maintenance inspection, control circuitvisits repair, so forth. costs and periodic routine for and cleaning, inspection, control repair, and so Additionally, as circuit a fixture consists of forth. multiple Additionally, a fixture consists of multiple componentsas(LEDs, driver, housing, coating, components (LEDs, driver, housing, coating, etc.), the expected useful life of the fixture etc.), useful life ofofthe theLEDs fixture maythe not expected be the same as that alone. 111W LED lamp which were used in opposite configuration in the said section. Since the existing lamp post spacing cannot be altered, selection of street lamps been Since the existing lamp post spacinghave cannot be done by evaluation of simulated & actual altered, selection of street lamps have been luminance lighting & design of done by measurements evaluation of in simulated actual this study. Results outcome by the simulation luminance measurements in lighting design of showed thatResults 111W outcome LED is by also for this study. thesuitable simulation showed that 111W also suitablewith for 57m spacing and LED it is is compatible 57m spacing and HPS it ishaving compatible with standard. But, 250W 57m spacing standard. But, 250W HPS having 57m spacing is not suitable since it is not appropriate for is appearance not suitable since it is beauty not appropriate for the of road due to low the appearance of road beauty due to low lighting level. The results of illumination lighting The lamps results are of inillumination shows that level. 250W HPS overdesign shows that 250W HPS lamps are in overdesign according to the BS standards and 150W HPS according to the BS standards and 150W HPS lamps are good enough to cater the standards. lamps are good enough to cater the standards. Those actual and simulated results confirmed Those actual and simulated results confirmed that this replacement is acceptable for energy that this replacement is acceptable for energy efficient efficient- street - streetlighting lightingsystem. system. 5.5. may not be the same as that of the LEDs alone. Due to the lack of unified international Due to the lack of unified and international technical standards product technical standards and product specifications, there are many kinds of LED specifications, there are many kinds of LED lighting products. Hence, broken lights and lighting products. Hence, broken lights and drivers should generally be replaced as a drivers should generally be replaced as a whole,resulting resultingin inmaintenance maintenance difficulties whole, difficulties and rising risingcosts. costs.However However luminous and the the luminous efficiencyofofLED LEDstreet streetlamps lamps efficiency has has beenbeen increasing yearly yearlyand andprices prices falling. increasing are are falling. Therefore, this study discusses investment Therefore, this study discusses the the investment valueofofLED LEDstreet streetlamps lamps present value at at the the present market marketvalue value Economic in Case Case Economic Analysis Analysis in studies studies This research This researchincludes includestwo two case case studies; studies; 1.1. Island available Island wide wide survey survey of available existingstreet streetlamps lamps and and existing Table3 3– –Comparison Comparisonof ofillumination illumination (lux) Road class] Table (lux)measurement measurement[ME5 [ME5 Road class] Actual Actual Lamp type Lamp type 150W 150W HPS HPS 30 57 30 57 45.60 16.60 28.30 53.76 9.81 18.64 7.5(min.) 67.00 30.00 55.77 70.91 18.64 23.02 - 21.00 8.00 8.98 30.15 4.47 13.36 7.5(min.) 250W HPS HPS 250W Spacing (m) Spacing (m) 57 57 Average 26.70 45.60 Maximum 57.00 67.00 Minimum 3.90 21.00 Min. /Avg. 0.15 0.46 Average Maximum Minimum Min. /Avg. Min. /Max. Min. /Max. Status with Status with standard standard 26.70 57.00 3.90 0.15 0.07 0.07 Not Not comply comply Simulated Simulated 30 30 30 16.60 30.00 8.00 250W 250WHPS HPS 57 28.30 55.77 8.98 30 53.76 70.91 30.15 Standard Standard value value 111W LED 111W LED 30 57 9.81 18.64 4.47 30 18.64 7.5(min.) 23.02 - 13.36 7.5(min.) 0.72 0.4(min.) 0.58 - 0.46 0.48 0.32 0.56 0.46 0.72 0.4(min.) 0.31 0.26 0.43 0.24 0.58 - Comply Comply 0.16 0.16 Not Not comply Comply Comply Comply 0.31 Comply 0.48 0.26 Comply 0.32 comply 515 5 0.56 0.43 Comply 0.46 0.24 Comply Comply ENGINEER ENGINEER ENGINEER Table 4 - Existing lamp replacement by LED Type of lamp Rated Power (W) AverageLife Span (Hrs.) No of lamp fittings Lamp input power including ballast (W) Replacement LED input power (W) Power reduction (%) LED useful life time ( hours) Lamp Details Incandes cent 100 1000 33024 100 15 85 50000 Fluores cent 40 5000 84825 60 28 53 50000 CFL 23 8000 120567 23 15 35 50000 Mercury vapour 150 5000 133044 185 75 59 50000 Sodium vapour 250 12000 16635 295 111 62 50000 LED fixture and the existing lamp fitting. The resulting Simple Payback Periods and Net Present Value (NPV) are calculated by Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis in the lamp replacement scheme as per lamp basis and it is summarized in Table 6[13]. Since the assumed life of the LED fixture is greater than the longest time period considered (12 years), end-of-life replacement costs were not included in this analysis. Fixture replacement frequency was then based on an annualized probability of failure. Annual maintenance costs were calculated based on the probability of fixture failure during and after the warranty period. It was assumed that the cost of replacement for LED fixture failure under warranty would be only labor cost, while cost of replacement after warranty included labor and fixture replacement cost. Life span and failure frequencies of existing lamps were verified by available maintenance recording data received from CMC and several local authorities. The calculations are summarized in Table 5. The payback periods in this particular case study correspond to roughly 50,000 hours of operation and are based on bulk-purchased fixture costs. Individual fixture purchases, or purchases in small numbers, would carry increased lamp fixture cost, and thereby lengthen the simple payback period. In addition, the calculated simple payback periods are sensitive to estimated maintenance savings, which are in turn highly dependent on the specific installation scenario. As a result of these uncertainties and the noted sensitivity, ranges were calculated for each economic scenario considered around the estimated annual maintenance savings. In the lamp replacement scenario, the initial investment for existing lamp installation is the lamp fitting cost plus the cost of installation. Since the cost of installation is assumed to be the same for both lamp types, the total incremental cost of installation for LED fixture is the difference in material costs between the Table 5 - Annual maintenance cost calculation of LED fixtures Existing street lamps Incandescent Watts per lamp including ballast Annual energy usage Annual energy cost 100 CFL 60 23 Mercury Vapour 185 Sodium vapour 295 (kWh) 438.00 262.80 100.74 810.30 1292.10 (Rs) 8322.00 4993.20 1914.06 15395.70 24549.90 1100.00 500.00 450.00 1000.00 1100.00 950.00 450.00 1400.00 3100.00 4300.00 Annual maintenance cost (Rs) Avg. annual Lamp cost Fluorescent (Rs) Equivalent LED lamp fixtures Watts per lamp fixture 15 Annual energy usage 65.70 122.64 65.70 328.50 486.18 1248.30 2330.16 1248.30 6241.50 9237.42 650.00 450.00 650.00 550.00 750.00 5000.00 7500.00 5000.00 45000.00 65000.00 Annual energy cost (kWh) (Rs) Annual maintenance cost (Rs) Lamp fixture cost ENGINEER ENGINEER (Rs) 28 16 6 15 75 111 Table 6 - Lamp replacement economic analysis Type of lamp Incandescent lamp replacement by 15W LED lamp Fluorescent lamp replacement by 28W LED lamp CFL replacement by 15W LED lamp Mercury vapour lamp replacement by 75W LED lamp Sodium vapour lamp replacement by 111W LED lamp 6. Incremental Cost (Rs.) Total annual saving (Rs.) Simple Payback Period ( years) 12 – year NPV (Rs.) 5000.00 7523.70 0.66 51698.36 7500.00 2713.04 2.76 12945.38 5000.00 465.70 10.74 - 1490.05 45000.00 9604.20 4.69 27376.94 65000.00 15312.48 4.15 53031.94 However environmentally, CFL disposal effects must be taken into consideration since above evaluation is based only on economic gains. Therefore, except CFL, LED replacement assessed in this option shows significant energy and maintenance savings potential, achieving 40% to 80% savings compared to the existing street lamps. Results According to the street lamp survey in 2010, approximately 390000 street lamps in different types were used island wide, consuming 155GWh/year of electricity and representing 1.55 % of total electricity consumption in Sri Lanka. Energy consumption for street lighting in year 2009 was 108 GWh as per statistics digest of CEB and this shows the percentage increase of street lamp installation could be 30% annually [15]. Most probably the newly installed street lamps also may be consisting with inefficient technologies; the energy loss will be increased annually and these should be minimized to obtain an energy efficient street lighting system. So, there are three options which are identified to fulfil this ambition, such as: 6.2 Option 2 – Replacement of all existing street lamps by solar powered LED lighting system In this scenario, economic analysis was done for replacing existing street lamps with stand alone solar powered LED lighting systems. The solar energy potential as renewable energy can be selected to power this system so that solar energy in Sri Lanka is highly reliable and available throughout the daytime [17]. Even though, the apparent maintenance cost of standalone system is very low, actual cost may be much higher because system contains rechargeable battery and electronic controller. Other than that, components of standalone system work throughout the day due to electricity accumulation during daytime and discharging it in night time. So, periodic inspection needs to be done, especially on batteries and electronic circuits. 6.1 Option 1 - Replacement of all existing street lamps by equivalent LED fixtures Economic performance was evaluated primarily by simple payback of the LED luminaries versus existing street lamps. Considering the calculation results mentioned in Table 6, it was understood that CFL bulb replacement is not economical. DCF analysis (NPV calculation) shows the figure becomes negative and hence it is not recommended to replace existing CFL by LED equivalent to get an energy efficient street lighting system. Table 7 - Lamp replacement economics for stand-alone systems Type of lamp Incandescent lamp replacement by 15W LED stand along system Fluorescent lamp replacement by 28W LED stand along system CFL replacement by 15W LED stand along system Mercury vapour lamp replacement by 75W LED stand along system Sodium vapour lamp replacement by 111W LED stand along system Incremental Cost (Rs.) Total annual saving (Rs.) Simple Payback Period ( years) 12 – year NPV (Rs.) 175000.00 8222.00 21.28 -104156.62 175000.00 4293.20 40.76 -138008.42 175000.00 1164.06 150.34 -164970.09 250000.00 15195.70 16.45 -119068.99 250000.00 23869.90 10.47 -44329.30 7 17 ENGINEER ENGINEER practical where the location is suitable for each mode or combine of them. The prices claimed by manufacturers for stand-alone solar powered system vary with the quality and the durability. Hence maintenance and incremental cost were considered according to the average values of above factors. Hence the resulting simple pay back periods and NPV are calculated for stand-alone system in the same way as done for DCF analysis for the existing lamps. These calculations are summarized in Table 7. This research has considered all the above facts and the percentage of energy reduction in each type of existing street lamps which could be converted to equivalent LED technology is shown in Table 9. Hence, it was realized through this study that it is possible to implement efficient street lighting system by combining automatic lamp controls with LED lamps for existing street lamps except CFL. The analysis shows that it is currently uneconomical to integrate a solar powered street lighting system with LED for each existing street lamp. The deployment of such a system increases the payback from 10 years to onwards and hence the incremental energy savings from selected LED lights are insufficient to justify the cost on pure economical basis. 7. Even though LED usage around the world is becoming matured and competitive, that technology is still rather new to Sri Lanka. Although the manufactures assure a very long life span for LED products, they often provide warranty only for 3 to 5 years. However, it is likely that improvements in production or added requirements could also affect the cost of LED fixtures. Despite the electrical savings, the present high upfront cost of PV based LED street lighting systems would be a barrier to their current adoption. Somehow, if solar powered technologies were implemented in conjunction with the LED lamps, there would be potential reductions of at least 70% in CO2 emissions and zero energy costs from national grid for street lighting as compared to traditional technologies. The most challengeable concern to implement above system may be finding the capital cost to initiate the system. Although the costs of the product and installation are ultimately recovered through the energy saving of the street lamps, the local authority would still hesitate to pay for the purchase and installation of the LED street lights. Therefore, an incentive program development by the Government of Sri Lanka (GOSL) may further encourage LED street lamps and standalone solar powered system development adoptions. Nowadays, Urban Development Authority (UDA) has initiated to install solar powered street lighting systems in remote areas which cannot be reached by the existing national power grid as well as in jogging areas where people do exercises. 6.3 Option 3 – Introduction of proper street lighting control system Nowadays a street lighting management system does not properly exist in most of the local authority areas. Therefore commuters can see some lamps alight during the whole daytime. Therefore, the 3rd option consists of street lamp controlling management system by 3 modes of operation such as; photocell switching, timer switching and programmable timer switching for partial night street lighting instead of manual operation. The photocells and timers are freely available in the local market and those can be easily fixed to existing street lamps or LED replacement without any significant modification. Economic analysis was done to verify the energy reduction for street lamps which were counted in the survey and a summary is shown in table 8. It was found that proper inventory updating system of street lamps has not been conducted either by local authorities or by CEB. Survey revealed that the expansion of street lamp account would be 30% annually. Hence an accurate recording system should be implemented. In addition to the replacement of existing lamps by LED equivalents, some street lamps might have been installed for a purpose that no longer exists, or they might be significantly over-or undersized for current needs. Therefore, some methods could be applied to verify the operation and status of the The research revealed that a street lamp controlling management system also should be implemented by using above discussed three modes. These modes could be taken into ENGINEER ENGINEER Conclusion 8 18 Table 8 - Energy saving by different modes of controlling in street lamps Mode of operation Daily energy saving (kWh) Percentage of energy saving (%) Simple Payback Period (Years) 83034 14.3 2.42 Mode 2 - Timer switching 103793 17.9 3.75 Mode 3 - Programmable timer switching 126611 21.8 1.16 Mode 1 - Photocell switching Table 9 - Comparison of energy saving & CO2 reduction by LED replacement with auto controlling Mercury Sodium Parameter Incandescent Fluorescent Vapour vapour No. of lamps installed 33024 84825 133044 16635 100 60 185 295 15 28 75 111 11.9 11.9 11.9 11.9 233.60 225.89 1217.91 254.72 14.86 4.24 59.87 5.82 248.46 230.13 1277.78 260.54 2956.71 2738.59 15205.60 3100.49 79.85 49.39 58.58 61.06 Reduction of CO2 emission (ton) 4917.9 4755.6 25640.2 5362.6 street lighting system by electronically tracking and reporting using modern database system such as Geographical Information System (GIS). As initial step, all parties involved in the LED upgrades need to get an accurate inventory of the street lights installed in the system, and to correct any mistakes. A Centralized Management System (CMS) can also provide the capability to control LEDs individually, by streets, and by zone, to dim, performance monitor and reprogram LED fixtures individually as well as to provide the central node to other current or future city infrastructure. This is one effective way to increase the energy savings and bill savings from the upgrades. [4] Morante, P., "Mesopic Street Lighting Demonstration and Evaluation Final Report", Lighting Research Center, pp 27-32, 2008. Total watts per lamp Wattage of equivalent LED Avg. lifetime of equivalent LED (years) Total annual energy cost saving (Rs.Mn.) Total annual maintenance cost saving (Rs.Mn.) Total annual cost saving(Rs.Mn.) Total cost saving during lifetime of LED(Rs.Mn.) Percentage of total saving(%) [5] Jackson, M., "Research Report: LED Lighting", Woodside Capital Partners International, pp 310, 2012. [6] Lighting Reality software, www.lightingreality.com [7] British Standards, BS EN 13201 1-4, Road Lighting [8] American National Standard Practice for Roadway Lighting. ANSI / IESNA RP-8-00, Approved 6/27/2000, P. 8 [9] Philips LED catalogue www.ecat.lighting.philips.com/l/led/function al-lighting/citysoul-led/22412/cat// References [10] Luminaires Catalogue, International Edition 2010/2011, GE Lighting, pp 43 – 45. [1] CEB Report, Statistical Digest – 2010, Statistical Unit, General Manager’s branch, 2011. [11] Douglas Hartley, Cassie Jurgens, Eric Zatcoff, Street light report, "Life cycle assessment of street lighting technologies", University of Pittsburgh, 2009. [2] Clinton Climate Initiative, Outdoor Lighting Program, pp 11-12. [3] LED Street Light Research Project, Pittsburgh, pp. 22, September 2011. [12] Energy Efficient Street Lighting Guidelines, USAID ECO – iii Project, version 2, pp 2-4, 2010 19 9 ENGINEER ENGINEER [13] Herbohn, J., Hattison, S., "Introduction to Discounted Cash Flow Analysis and Financial Functions in Excel", 11(2), pp 111-116 [14] CEB Report, Statistical Digest – 2011, pp 511,Statistical Unit, General Manager's branch, 2012 [15] International Commission in Illumination, CIE publications 140-2000, Technical Report, Road lighting calculations. [16] Ceylon Electricity Board, Annual Report & Accounts-2010, System control Branch, pp.55103 [17] Peiris, T. S. G., Thatill, R. O., “An alternative Modal of Solar Radiation”, Coconut Research Institute, 26-34, 1994. [18] Dowling, K., "The Future of LED Lighting", Illumination Engineering Society, 2009. [19]Highway Lighting, Bureau of design and environment manual, December 2002, 56(2) – 56(5). [20] Energy Efficient Street lighting Guidelines, USAID ECO- iii Project, Version 2, pp 2-4, 2010. [21] Tichelen, P. V., Geerken, T., Jasen, B., " Public Street Lighting – Final Report", pp 145-149, 2007. [22] Efficient Street Lighting Design Guide, Lighting Research Center, pp 4-5, 2003. [23] Roadway Lighting Design manual, Minnesota Department of Transportation, pp 28-34, 2006. ENGINEER ENGINEER 20 10 ENGINEER 01, pp. pp.[21-30], [page range], ENGINEER- -Vol. Vol. XLVIII, XLVIII, No. No. 01, 2015 2015 TheInstitution Institution of ©©The of Engineers, Engineers,Sri SriLanka Lanka Mitigation of Delays Attributable to the Contractors in the Construction Industry of Sri Lanka Consultants’ Perspective D. A. R. Dolage and T. Pathmarajah This study focuses on determining important causes of construction delays Abstract: attributable to contractors in large construction projects in Sri Lanka and the degree of severity of these causes. The causes of delay have been found based on the perceptions of the engineers working for three state affiliated establishments namely, Department of Buildings (BD), Road Development Authority (RDA) & National Water Supply and Drainage Board (NWSDB).The severity of each cause of delay is measured and represented through a severity index (SI). The causes of delay were determined and ranked in the descending order of severity. According to the findings, Poor project planning & scheduling (SI -82.54) is the most influencing factor causing delays in construction projects. In the descending order of severity, the other causes of delay are Low profit margin (SI -80.28), Inadequate cash flow management (SI -78.31), Handling of too many project sat a given time (SI -75.21), and Incompetence of the key staff (SI -74.93).Spearman rank correlation coefficient was used to determine the degree of agreement on the ranking of severity of causes of delay among the organisations. The highest degree of agreement is between BD &NWSDB (0.77). There exists an intermediate degree of agreement between RDA & NWSDB (0.73) and the lowest is between RDA & BD (0.70).The study finally makes 10 recommendations to mitigate construction delays. Construction delays, Construction industry, Causes of delay contribute to the overall construction delays. 1. Introduction The previous studies reveal that project delays are mainly due to non completion of projects Delay in completing construction projects is on time by the contractor. rampant across the world. They are invariably accompanied by cost and time overruns. A vast majority of major construction projects Naturally, construction project delays have carried out in Sri Lanka are funded through undesirable effects on smooth functioning of foreign loans which entail payments of projects, such as adversarial relationships interest. When a project is delayed, it incurs among project participants, distrust, litigation, costs by having to pay for additional salaries arbitration and cash-flow problems. for staff and escalated material prices due to Construction projects often get abandoned or inflation. Hence, if delays are contained, profits terminated due to the construction delays. If could be increased, which can be utilised by the the contractors follow systematic contractual contractor for their business development and procedures and proper project management, economic growth for the country. Therefore, the project delays can be minimised. the study aims to identify the major causes of Construction delays can be minimised only construction delays attributable to the when the causes of delay are identified and countermeasures are taken. Keywords: Eng. (Dr.) D. A. R. Dolage, CEng, FIE(Sri Lanka), BScEng. (Moratuwa), MSc (Reading), MA (Colombo), MBA (SJP), DBA (UniSA), Senior Lecturer, Department of Civil Engineering, The Open University of Sri Lanka. Eng. T. Pathmarajah, CEng, MIE(Sri Lanka), BSc Eng. (Peradeniya), MTech (OUSL), Chief Engineer, Road Development Authority, Sri Lanka. Time management of a project is usually an important requirement for both the owner and the contractor of a particular project. Although the inaction of the client and the consultant and other factors such as unfavourable government policies and „acts of God‟ also ENGINEER 1 21 ENGINEER contractors in Sri Lanka and the ways of mitigating delays in construction projects. proper construction planning, cash flow management, human resource development and further training in specialised skills, frequent site meetings and joint site inspections. The main objectives of this study are; 1. 2. 3. 2. To identify and rank the causes of delays attributable to contractors in the construction industry of Sri Lanka. To assess the degree of agreement of rankings of causes of delays among state sector construction organisations. To make recommendations to prevent or mitigate construction delays based on the analysis of its significant causes. A study was conducted by Pathiranage and Halwatura (2010) to identify the factors influencing the duration of road construction projects in Sri Lanka and propose ways to mitigate delays. This study found that the local road construction projects have experienced from 56 to 88 percent of average time overrun compared to the original (planned) project duration. According to the study, project financing by the client and the cash flow problems of the contractor is the most significant factor causing construction delays. A recent study by Dolage and Rathnamali (2013), revealed the most significant factors causing time overrun, as per the perceptions of all involved parties, are; „rainy weather‟, „poor liquidity of the contractor‟ and „inaccurate planning and scheduling of projects. Literature Review 2.1 Causes of Construction Delays A plethora of both local and international research studies conducted on causes of delays in construction projects were reviewed. Evidently, no study has been carried out to examine the delays attributable to the contractors in Sri Lanka, hence there is a potential research gap. Although similar studies have been carried out in other countries, a study devoted to examine the same aspect in the local context is of great importance. This is because of the differences in economic policies, project characteristics, practical problems and resource availability of Sri Lanka in comparison to other countries. 2.2 Methodological Approaches Most of the previous researchers have adopted questionnaire survey methods to obtain answers to the research questions. The questionnaires have been designed to evaluate the significance of causes for delays in project completion, based on the perceptions of respondents. Pathiranage and Halwatura (2010) identified the factors causing construction delays from the literature and from a pilot survey in which the participants were experienced highway specialists in Sri Lanka. In this study, a questionnaire was developed to assess the perception of contractors on the percentage delay and the relative significance index of factors influencing the duration of road construction projects in Sri Lanka. Chan and Kumaraswamy (1998) conducted a study to evaluate the relative importance of 83 potential delay factors associated with construction projects in Hong Kong and found five critical delay factors, namely: poor risk management and supervision, unforeseen site conditions, slow decision making, client-initiated variations, and work variations. A study was conducted by Jayawardane and Pandita (2003) on the topic of evaluating and mitigating the factors affecting construction delays. According to this study, both contractors and consultants have collectively ranked rainy weather, manpower skill and material shortage as the top ranking causes of construction delays. In order to minimise such delays, the study recommends the following; Dolage and Perera (2009) carried out a study on delays in the pre-construction phase of state sector building projects by adopting a questionnaire survey to evaluate the perceptions of respondents of causes of delay. Prior to the distribution of the questionnaire, interviews were conducted with four consultants, three clients and three contractors to identify the factors causing delays in the ENGINEER ENGINEER 2 22 pre-construction stage. Based on the outcome of these interviews, a questionnaire was developed to assess the perceptions of the respondents. The relative importance of various causes of delay was measured using relative importance index. experienced in project execution, 24 potential causes of delay were identified. The pertinence of these causes were verified through senior engineers, involved in the construction projects implemented by three government owned, major infrastructure construction organisations; BD, RDA and NWSDB. The selected causes were classified into three main categories, namely, management related causes, finance related causes and construction related causes, based on the origin, as follows: 2.3 Research Gap Most of the previous studies have analysed the overall project delays caused by the responsible parties with generic delays such as excusable or non excusable construction delays without considering the contract value. Management Related Causes (MRC) 1. Poor project planning & scheduling 2. Incompetence of key staff 3. Poor decision making by management 4. Poor coordination with sub contractors 5. Poor coordination among staff 6. Delays in material supply 7. Disputes with other parties 8. Internal organisational problems 9. Poor skill development 10. Fraudulent practices in the organisation In a study on construction delays, carried out in Florida, Ahamed (2003) shows that different parties are responsible for the overall project delay as follows; Contractor 44%, Owner 24%, Government 14%, Shared (between owner & consultant)12% and Consultant 6%. A study carried out on delays in public utility projects of Saudi Arabia by Khalil (1999), shows that different parties are responsible for the overall project delay in the following manner; Contractor 44%, Owner 22%, Consultant 14% and others 20%. Finance Related Causes (FRC) 1. Low profit margin 2. Inadequate cash flow management 3. Inefficiency in billing and collecting payments 4. Poor estimation practices 5. Inadequate progress reviews 6. Poor cost controlling system According to Pathiranage and Halwatura (2010), the contractor is the most responsible party for road construction delays in Sri Lanka of all the parties involved. The study also reveals the responsibility of the client is perceived to be more important than that of the consultant. However, no attempt has been made to examine contractor‟s contribution to delays in major construction projects, and proposes mitigative measures for construction delays in Sri Lanka. 3 Construction Related Causes (CRC) 1. Handling of too many projects at a given time 2. Faulty work 3. Poor communication with other parties 4. Insufficient quality control 5. Poor supervision of work 6. Insufficient availability of equipment 7. Unqualified workforce 8. Insufficient safety precautions at site Methodology 3.1 Classification of causes of delay The causes of construction delays could vary from country to country because of the differences in political, economic, social, and environmental conditions, and government regulations. In previous studies, different researchers have examined construction project delays from a different perspective and identified a number of different causes of delay. From these studies and the interviews that the authors conducted with engineers 3.2 Collection of data The knowledge required for this research came from review of literature, professional experience of the authors and interviews with the experts. The primary data was obtained through a questionnaire which was distributed to engineers attached to BD, RDA and NWSDB. The questionnaires were filled by the heads of divisions or senior engineers ENGINEER 3 23 ENGINEER individual organisations, the agreement on ranking between organisations was evaluated. of large projects. The respondents were asked to indicate the relative importance of each cause of delay on a five-point Likert scale; the points are: Strongly disagree -1, Disagree -2, Neutral -3, Agree -4 and Strongly agree -5. 4. 4.1 Severity indices The severity index of each cause of delay was computed with respect to each organisation, and presented in Table 1. As per Table 1, the top ten factors causing delays in construction projects, in the descending order of significance are as follows: Poor project planning & scheduling (SI - 82.54),Low profit margin (SI - 80.28),Inadequate cash flow management (SI - 78.31),Handling of too many projects at a given time (SI - 75.21), Incompetence of key staff (SI - 74.93), Poor decision making by management (SI 74.08),Insufficient quality control (SI - 74.08), Insufficient availability of equipment (SI 73.24), Poor supervision of work(SI - 72.11) and Delays in material supply (SI - 71.83). Figure 1 shows the severity indices of causes of delay with respect to individual organisations and when the responses of all three organisations are combined. The selected state organisations for the study have different organisational setups. The RDA is an authority dealing with construction and maintenance of large scale projects associated with A and B Class roads, airports, expressways and large bridges. The NWSDB is a statutory board concerned with construction and maintenance of major water treatment plants, sewage plants, supply lines, and water towers, while the BD is a state department dedicated to handling state sector building requirements. 3.3 Approach to Data Analysis Each cause of delay has a corresponding severity index which is computed using the following equation: Severity Index (SI) = ∑aiXi Where: i= 1,2,3,4,5 a1= 1/5 for 'Strongly disagree', a2= 2/5 for 'Disagree', a3= 3/5 for 'Neutral',a4= 4/5 for 'Agree' and a5= 5/5 for ' Strongly agree' Xi is the variable expressing the percentage of frequency for the ith response. 4.2 Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient The Spearman correlation coefficients between organisations were computed to determine the degree of agreement on ranking and presented in Figure 2. There is a high degree of agreement between BD & NWSDB (0.77), RDA & NWSDB (0.73) and RDA & BD (0.70). Spearman‟s rank correlation coefficient is used to measure the degree of agreement on the severity of causes of delay between responses of any two organisations. The rank correlation coefficient is calculated using the formula: The degree of agreement in the ranking of factors between two organisations can vary owing to the variation of scope of work, nature and value of projects and the setup of the organisations. In general, the projects handled by the NWSDB and the BD are almost similar in terms of scope of work, worksite administration, value of the project and use of materials. But the nature of the projects executed by the RDA is different from r =1-(6 ∑d2)/(n3-n) Where r is the Spearman rank correlation coefficient between two parties, d is the difference between the ranks assigned to a given cause of delay, and n is the number of pairs of the variables. Using the ranking of causes of construction delays for the ENGINEER ENGINEER Results and Discussion 4 24 Table 1 - Severity indices of causes of delay based on perceptions of respondents Severity Indices Causes of delay RDA NWSDB BD 79.26 85.64 83.16 1 Poor project planning & scheduling 79.26 76.82 86.32 2 Low profit margin 77.04 79.27 78.95 3 Inadequate cash flow management 73.33 72.83 81.05 4 Handling of too many projects at a given time 71.85 75.24 78.95 5 Incompetence of key staff 71.11 75.24 76.84 6 Poor decision making by management 77.04 70.43 74.74 7 Insufficient quality control 71.85 76.82 70.53 8 Insufficient availability of equipment 69.63 75.24 71.58 9 Poor supervision of work 68.15 73.65 74.74 10 Delays in material supply 73.33 68.14 71.58 11 Inadequate progress review 67.41 72.15 74.74 12 Faulty work Poor coordination with sub-contractors 69.63 72.15 70.53 13 67.41 68.14 71.58 14 Poor communication with other parties 64.44 69.60 70.53 15 Unqualified Workforce 70.37 64.12 67.37 16 Poor coordination with staff 67.32 68.80 69.47 17 Poor skill development 66.67 68.14 64.21 18 Poor cost controlling system 65.93 56.81 68.42 19 Poor estimation practices 63.70 66.46 66.32 20 Inefficiency in billing and collecting payments 68.15 64.84 61.05 21 Insufficient safety precautions at site 56.30 64.22 70.53 22 Fraudulent practices in the organisation 65.93 56.81 61.05 23 Internal organisation problems Disputes with other parties 57.78 67.23 56.84 24 100 RDA 90 BD NWSDB All 82.54 80.28 78.31 75.21 74.93 74.08 74.08 73.24 72.11 71.83 70.99 70.99 70.70 68.73 67.89 67.32 64.47 66.48 65.92 65.35 65.07 62.82 61.41 60.85 ALL ORG. Severity Index 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Delay Cause Figure 1 - Severity indices of causes of delay ENGINEER 5 25 ENGINEER CRC8 CRC7 CRC6 CRC5 CRC4 CRC3 CRC2 CRC1 FRC6 FRC5 FRC4 FRC3 FRC2 FRC1 MRC10 MRC9 MRC8 MRC7 MRC6 MRC5 MRC4 MRC3 MRC2 MRC1 0 Spearman Correlation cofficient reluctant to update schedules on a regular basis. 0.8 0.78 Projects should be planned in such a way that much of the work is executed in the months of favourable weather since wet months are less suitable for construction work. Most of the time, resources in projects either become idle or go skimp, due to improper scheduling. Contractors should schedule the work in such a way that it facilitates the continuous and uninterrupted utilisation of their resources. 0.76 0.74 0.72 0.7 0.68 0.66 RDA & BD RDA & NWSDB BD & NWSDB 4.3.2 Low profit margin Profit which is the reward for implementing a project is the amount of money realised after setting aside for the expenditure. Profit invariably depends on the risk and difficulties associated with the project execution. If the perceived risk and difficulties to be encountered in a project are high, a higher profit margin should be allocated. Besides the profit margin, which the contractor assigns to the bid determines his chances of securing the contract. Due to the increased number of contractors bidding for a single project, the margin of profit has squeezed as of late. The consequent resource problems and possible mistakes in execution of projects, could affect the profitability of projects. The government of Sri Lanka receives funds from donor countries for infrastructure development with conditions attached. One such condition is that the respective tender be awarded to a contractor from the donor country itself. Such tenders are always awarded at an exorbitantly high profit margin. Thereafter, the contractor who won the bid, negotiates with a few local contractors and subcontracts the work to the one who quoted the lowest price. Due to scarcity of work or in order to enhance cash flows, quite often they hardly keep a reasonable profit margin. In such case, the accurate estimation of project cost before bidding is of great importance to the contractor. The cost estimate of labour, construction equipment, materials, subcontracts, taxes, overheads, and surety bonds need to be calculated accurately and added to the mark-up to arrive at the final bid value. Organisations Figure 2 - Spearman rank correlation coefficient those of the NWSDB and the BD in terms of geographic areas of operation, degree of heavy machinery usage and scope of work related to the projects. Therefore, the results of rank correlation are consistent with the perceptions expected of the respondents of these organisations on causes of delays attributable to the contractors. 4.3 Mechanism of causes of delay and mitigative measures This study considered 24 significant construction causes of delay attributable to the contractor. Nevertheless, this paper analysed only the top ten causes with respect to mechanisms and mitigative measures. The mechanisms and mitigative measures for the ten causes of delay are presented below. 4.3.1 Poor project planning and scheduling The contractor should implement the project activities in the proper sequence to complete the defined stages of the project within the stipulated time frame, with designated resources. Contractors often fail to come up with a practical and practical work program at the planning stage. Project delays occur mostly due to inadequate experience of the contractors with regard to project planning. Proper scheduling should ensure that projects do not encounter resource bottlenecks at any stage of the project implementation. The contractors are usually ENGINEER ENGINEER 6 26 4.3.3 Inadequate cash flow management Inadequate cash flow management by the contractor could cause delays in the project. The availability of money on time is quite important for project success. If sufficient money for the project expenses is not available, the due payments will remain unsettled for a long time resulting in project delays. In these situations, businesses with high gearing are at a risk. resources. Therefore, the contractor should undertake only a manageable number of projects, which is commensurate with the existing capacity. 4.3.5 Incompetence of key staff Incompetence of key staff is one of the significant causes of construction delays. Some contractors are weak in project planning, implementation and controlling of site operations due to the incompetence of the key staff. Although contractors claim at the bidding stage to be having qualified project managers, they are unable to provide them once the project is in progress. Some public sector organisations take an unduly long time to settle the progress payments due to the rigorous internal procedures that are involved. Delays in receiving payments for the work completed by the contractor, directly affect the completion period of the project. The contractor is able to receive the payments for „material at site‟ and „advance for material purchase‟ in the progress payment bill if it is stipulated in the contract documents. Effective project implementation requires the services of competent personnel. It will make the following tasks efficient and effective; supervision, decision making, work planning and coordination at the site. These are the attributes necessary to achieve successful project performance. Contractors should ensure that they have the right personnel with correct qualifications and relevant experience to manage the projects. The project managers must have experience and qualifications in construction management so that they can effectively utilise the latest project management tools. A typical project management problem that results from insufficient capacity of the key staff is the slow response to the issues that occur at sites; this will badly impact on the overall work progress. 4.3.4 Handling of too many projects at a given time There are many factors a contractor should consider before determining the optimum number of projects that could handled concurrently, which are as follows; number of workers, availability of machinery and financial resources, management capability and the types of work. Both quality and progress of construction can become affected if a contractor undertakes more projects than their capacity permits. The resultant inadequate supervision invariably results in poor quality work and complaints from the consultant, followed by instructions to „rework‟. Main contractors mostly delegate works to subcontractors who may have a low motivation to perform the works as per the schedule and required quality. If a contractor undertakes too many projects, he will have to concomitantly increase the capacity of resources. The contractor has to deploy the available resources across all projects undertaken. The projects commenced later may not have sufficient resources left to continue uninterrupted. Inevitably, the contractor encounters the difficulty of executing all projects undertaken in parallel, and ultimately, none of the projects can be completed within the stipulated period. This is because, in the short run, it may not be possible to increase 4.3.6 Poor decision making by management The decision to bid for a large construction project should not be taken until all significant factors have been considered in an objective and precise manner. This decision should be satisfactory from all view points. A l l the key members of the management staff should participate in making important decisions concerning updating and regulating the company policies. 4.3.7 Insufficient quality control It is not uncommon in construction projects that completed work becomes rejected by consultants due to inferior quality. In such situations, the contractors are instructed to put it right at their own cost and time. Such ENGINEER 7 27 ENGINEER situations could lead to disputes as to who should bear the additional cost of corrective work and the extra time taken. Delays caused due to adopting improper construction methods, supplying of inferior quality materials, improper testing methods and defective work are more crucial to the contractor than to the consultant. The contractors should be more committed to conformance to project specifications. improve projects. construction Construction projects involve a series of dependent and interrelated activities which engage important resources such as money, manpower, machinery etc. If the crucial materials are not supplied in time, the respective activity cannot progress, causing delays in the dependant activities. This may also result in some machinery going idle, adding to the cost. The purchasing officer should follow the relevant procurement procedure to ensure materials are available at site, in time and in required quality and quantity. Some construction materials have to be imported from abroad. If there is any delay in importing these materials, it could cause delays in completing the project. Sometimes contractors do not use appropriate equipment in projects because either the appropriate equipment for the particular work is not available or too expensive to hire. In Sri Lanka, most of the foreign contractors complete projects on time and „as planned‟ because they use appropriate machinery and equipment for the work. 5. Conclusions and Recommendations In this study, a significant attempt has been made to identify the important causes of delays attributable to the contractor and propose mitigative measures concerning the construction industry of Sri Lanka. The contractor must adopt a very effective maintenance program to minimise major breakdowns of equipment, thus avoiding big losses. Poor maintenance of equipment results in the increasing of downtime and the decreasing of the life time of the equipment. ENGINEER productivity of 4.3.10 Delays in material supply Purchasing and supplying of materials in time is very important in construction because any delay in this could affect the work programme. Approval has to be sought in time from the consultant or client before purchasing certain materials. 4.3.8 Insufficient availability of equipment Use of equipment is very important to contractors because this could save time and money. Many of the contractors do not keep their construction equipment in good condition, so they may not be readily available for the construction work. When the construction projects undertaken are too many and too heavy, the number of equipment available to be engaged in the project may not be adequate. In this situation, the equipment could become defective due to overuse and not having sufficient time for maintenance. 4.3.9 Poor supervision of work The quality of work can become inferior due to poor supervision at site. Since there is a direct relationship between construction output and the cost, the supervision of the former is vital. Due to poor supervision of construction work, it could become substandard or defective therefore it has a chance of being rejected. The development of the capacity of the supervisory staff through workshops and technical training is an essential consideration. Quality assurance, motivational programmes and site safety systems should be established to ENGINEER the The study revealed that improper planning and scheduling of the contractor is the most significant delay factor among the 24 important causes of delay identified in this study. Based on the findings of the study, the following recommendations can be made to mitigate the causes of delays attributable to the contractor with respect to major construction projects in Sri Lanka. 1 8 28 The contractor must prepare a realistic work programme in such a way that it is commensurate with his capacity and realistic duration. It means that scheduling should ensure that the project does not experience significant resource bottlenecks. It is essential that he holds progress review meetings regularly, involving all parties to ensure that the work progresses according to the schedule. 8. 9. 2. The contractor‟s bid value should be realistic. They must ensure that they have the financial strength, necessary resources and capabilities, to complete the project at the quoted tender sum. 3. 4 5. 6. 7. The contractor should improve their productivity, cost control systems, and quality of work through appropriate follow up action. The contractor should develop human resources through proper technical training and recruiting qualified and experienced craftsmen. 10. The contractor should prepare an appropriate procurement plan for material purchasing in order to maintain the buffer stocks of material on site. They also should engage a material specialist conversant in contract specifications to decide on the type materials required for the project. The Contractor should use their financial resources effectively and manage the cash flows by utilising advanced payments and progress payments. The Contractor should also prepare the monthly payment documents in time. 11. Since the contractors are usually more responsible for construction delays in a project, the Contractors Association of Sri Lanka must prepare Guidelines on mitigating construction delays. The contractor must have a good assessment of their maximum capacity in terms of previous experience, availability and capacity of workers, machinery, management capability, and the size of their geographic operational area. References The contractor should recruit right personnel with the correct qualifications to manage their projects. The skills of applying project management techniques of the contractor‟s staff have to be updated to ensure that they are conversant with the latest techniques. The key personnel at the managerial level should be invited to participate with important decision making regarding the project execution and regulating the contractor‟s policies. The contractor's inside information should be kept in confidence at all times. The contractor should conform to the specifications when supplying construction materials, service fittings and equipment etc. The contractor should ensure that the appropriate machinery and equipment are available in time. They should adopt daily and periodic maintenance programs for the equipment, according to the manuals. ENGINEER 1. Ahmed, S., Azher, S., Castillo, M., Kappagantula, P. “Construction Delays in Florida; An Empirical Study”, 2003. 2. Al-Barak, A. A., “Causes of Contractor‟s failures in Saudi Arabia”, Master thesis, CEM Dept., KFUPM. Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, 1993. 3. Al-Khalil, M., Al-Ghafly, M., “Important Causes of Delay in Public Utility Projects in Saudi Arabia”, Construction Management and Economics,1999;17(5):647–55. 4. Assaf, S. A., Al-Halil, M., Al-Hazmi, M., “Causes of Delay in large Building Construction Projects”, Journal of Management in Engineering. ASCE1995, 45-50. 5. Assaf, S. A., Al-Hejji, S., “Causes of Delays in Large Construction Projects”, International Journal of Project Management, 2006, 24(4), 349357. 6. Chan, D. W., Kumaraswamy, M. M., (1991), “Comparative Study of Causes of Time Overruns in Hong Kong Construction Projects”, International Journal of Project Management, 1997,55–63. 9 29 ENGINEER 7. Chan, D. M., Kumaraswamy, M. M., “Contributors to Construction Delays”, Construction Management and Economics (1998), 17-29. 8. Dolage, D. A. R., and Rathnamali, D. L. G., “Causes of Time Overrun in Construction Phase of Building Projects-A Case Study on Department of Engineering Services of Sabaragamuwa Provincial Council”, EngineerJournal of Institution of Engineers Sri Lanka, XXXXV1 (03), 09-18. 9. Dolage, D. A. R. and Perera, P. W. S. (2009), “Delays in the Pre Construction Phase of State Sector Building Projects”, Engineer-Journal of Institution of Engineers Sri Lanka, Vol. XXXXII (3), 2009, 22-30. 10. Jayawardene, A. K. W., Panditha, H. G. W., “Understanding and Mitigating the Factors Affecting Construction Delay”, Engineer-Journal of Institution of Engineers Sri Lanka, XXXV1 (02), 2003, 07-14. 8. Dolage, D. A. R., and Rathnamali, D. L. G., “Causes of Time Overrun PhaseDelay 11. Jonathan, J. S.,in Construction “Construction of Building Projects-A Case Study on Computation Method”, Journal of Construction Engineering Management Services Jan/Feb 2001, Department of and Engineering of 6065. Sabaragamuwa Provincial Council”, EngineerJournal of Institution of Engineers Sri Lanka, 12. Kumaraswamy, M. M., Chan, D. W., XXXXV1 (03), 09-18. “Determinants of Construction Duration”, Construction Management and Economics, 1995; 9. Dolage, D. A. R. and Perera, P. W. S. (2009), 209–17. “Delays in the Pre Construction Phase of State Sector Building Projects”, Engineer-Journal of 13. Noulmanee, A., Wachirathamrojn, J., Institution of Engineers Sri Lanka, Vol. XXXXII Tantichattanont, P., “Internal Causes of (3), 2009, 22-30. Delays in Highway Construction Projects in Thailand”, July, 1999. 10. Jayawardene, A. K. W., Panditha, H. G. W., “Understanding and Mitigating the Factors 14. Pathiranage, Y. L., Halwatura, R. U., “Factors Affecting Construction Delay”, Engineer-Journal Influencing the duration of Road Construction of Institution of Engineers Sri Lanka, XXXV1 (02), Projects in Sri Lanka”, Engineer-Journal of 2003, 07-14. Institution of Engineers Sri Lanka, XXXXIII(04), 2010, 17-30. 11. Jonathan, J. S., “Construction Delay Computation Method”, Journal of Construction 15. Pradeep, S., “Delays in Construction Project and Engineering and Management Jan/Feb 2001, 60its Consequences”, International Journal of Project 65. management, 1999. 12. Kumaraswamy, M. M., Chan, D. W., 16. Sambasivan, M., Soon, Y. W., “Causes and “Determinants of Construction Duration”, Effects of Delays in Malaysian Construction Construction Management and Economics, 1995; Industry”, International Journal of Project 209–17. Management, 2006, 25, 517-526. 13. Noulmanee, A., Wachirathamrojn, J., Tantichattanont, P., “Internal Causes of Delays in Highway Construction Projects in Thailand”, July, 1999. ENGINEERY. L., Halwatura, R. U., “Factors 14. Pathiranage, Influencing the duration of Road Construction Projects in Sri Lanka”, Engineer-Journal of Institution of Engineers Sri Lanka, XXXXIII(04), 2010, 17-30. ENGINEER 15. Pradeep, S., “Delays in Construction Project and its Consequences”, International Journal of Project management, 1999. 10 30 ENGINEER - Vol. XLVIII, No. 01, pp. [page range], 2015 ENGINEER - Vol. XLVIII, No. 01,Sri pp.Lanka [31-37], 2015 © The Institution of Engineers, © The Institution of Engineers, Sri Lanka Use of Dynamites, Water-Gels and Emulsion Explosives in Sri Lankan Quarrying/Mining Practice P. V. A. Hemalal, P. G. R. Dharmaratne and P. I. Kumarage Abstract: In the Sri Lankan mining and quarrying industry, gelatine dynamite has been the widely used explosive for rock blasting purposes. In the recent past, it has been phased out and replaced by locally manufactured Water-gels(WG). So far, there had been only a very few tests conducted to assess the suitability and to evaluate the performance of this explosive with other available explosives. Complaints made by the users of Water-gels have been a cause of concern and prompted research to be conducted with the aim of evaluating the performance of Dynamites, Water-gels and Emulsion explosives with the measurement of major performance indicators in local mining and quarrying practice. In this research, performance comparison of WG, Dynamite and Emulsion explosives with regard to rock breakage in underground tunnelling and in metal quarrying has been carried out. Comparison of fragmentation with the evaluation of particle size distribution in concrete block blasting using the three types of explosives has been one of the main tests. Gap sensitivity, density and the determination of velocity of detonation (VOD) has also been carried out. Keywords: 1. D’Autriche’s Method, Gap Sensitivity, VOD, Explosives Density measurements and gap sensitivity has been conducted to cross check the manufacturers’ specifications on WG. Introduction Water-gel(WG) was introduced to Sri Lanka in 2011 as a substitute for dynamite. So far there had been only a very few tests conducted to assess the suitability and to evaluate the performance of this explosive in contrast to other available explosives. Measurement of VOD using D’Autriche’s method was carried out for the first time in Sri Lanka for Dynamite, Water-gel and Emulsion explosives. 2. Water-gel currently produced in Sri Lanka has been introduced to the industry by the government. The complaints made by the users with regard to the performance of watergels have been a cause of concern. Methodology 2.1 Test Blasting on Concrete Blocks Concrete blocks of 0.5mx0.5mx0.5m in size having a 32mm diameter centre hole of 30cm deep were made to facilitate explosive charging(Figure 1). Blocks were cured under same conditions for 28 days. Average compressive strength of concrete measured by sample blocks was 40.6 N/mm2. In this research, performance of water-gel explosives currently in use has been evaluated with that of emulsions and dynamite, with a view to identifying their deficiencies and propose measures to overcome them with a view to optimize its usage in Sri Lankan mining practice. Eng. P.V.A. Hemalal, M.Sc.(Hons)(Min.Eng)(Moscow), MIE(Sri Lanka), FIMMM(UK), CEng(UK & SL) Senior Lecturer, Department of Earth Resources Engineering, University of Moratuwa. Fragmentation ability of explosives has been compared using blasting in concrete blocks. Fragments were analysed using SPLIT software. Concrete blocks were used to obtain a homogenous material to obtain a better reproducibility of tests. Prof. P.G.R. Dharmarathne B.Sc. (Hons) (S.L.), M.Sc. (New Castle), Ph.D. (Leeds), C.Eng. (U.K.), FIE(Sri Lanka), F.G.A (U.K), F.G.G (Ger.), Senior Professor, Department of Earth Resources Engineering, University of Moratuwa. Underground tunnelling has been carried out both with WG and dynamite and tunnel advances has been compared with identical cut ole configurations. Eng. P. I. Kumarage B.Sc. (Hons) Eng, AMIE(Sri Lanka) , Mining Engineer 31 ENGINEER 1 Figure 3 - Delineated image by the SPLIT software Figure 1 - Concrete block dimensions Three explosive types namely, Water-gel (WG), Dynamite and Emulsion were charged in quantities of 25g and 30g to study the fragmentation level by each explosive. Quarry dust was used as stemming material and no ANFO was used. After the blast, all fragments were collected, weighed, photographed, and digitally analysed using SPLIT software. Figure 4 - Scaling with a reference object Boundaries of collected fragments were identified by the software by delineating. The delineated lines have to be manually edited to eliminate minor errors using the facilities given in the software package itself. Scaling is the identification of the actual size of the fragments with the help of a given reference object in the image. (Figure 4). After completing the image analysis, particle size distribution curve can be produced (Figure 5). These data have been exported to MSExcel for further analysis. 2.2 Underground Test blast of Water-gel vs. Gelatin dynamite. There are no complete or successful comparisons on the use of different types of explosives in underground situations in local context. Therefore several test blasts were carried out in a tunnel at Bogala mines with identical cut-hole configurations, to evaluate the performance of explosives in underground rock blasting. Figure 2 - Collected concrete fragments after the blast ENGINEER 32 2 Figure 5 - Particle size distribution curve produced by the software Cross-cut tunnel advance (as at June, 2012) of Bogala Graphite Mine, Aruggammana Graphit-Kropfmuhl (Lanka) Ltd Sri Lanka, in 191m level was used for this study. Gelatine dynamite and locally-manufactured Watergels by Kelani Fireworks Company were used as explosives. Swedish-made millisecond and half second, number 08 detonators were used in every blast as initiators. Burn cut requires high explosives as the free space available is too small. All the remaining holes of the blasting round were charged with 0.375 kg of water-gel and 0.4kg of ANFO for each hole. Since the cut hole is already blasted, it provides sufficient free space for the surrounding holes to blast into, and therefore less strength of explosives is sufficient. Whole Burn Cut made up of hole No. 2 to 9 and other stopping holes (hole No. 10 to 21) were initiated with millisecond delays while perimeter holes (hole No.22 to 37) were charged with half second delays. Adopted drill pattern consisted of 37 drillholes and is shown in Figure 6. Figure 6 Reamer hole at the centre (hole No.1) having a diameter of 45mm and charged drill holes of 35 mm diameter were drilled. Tunnel face was charged with one explosive type and the advance was measured. Test was repeated for other explosive types as well. In Figure 6, hole Nos.1 to 9 make up cut-hole round of burn cut configuration. Centre hole (hole No.1) was left un-charged to facilitate as a free space for the rock to be blasted into. Hole No. 2 to 9, the remaining holes of the burn cut hole, were charged with 0.5kg of Water-gel explosives each with no ANFO used. 33 ENGINEER 3 The test determines the ability of an explosive to transmit detonation through air from one charge to another some distance away. Figure 8 - Gap sensitivity arrangement on field 2.5 VOD Measurement. Velocity of Detonation is to be measured using the D’Autriche’s method. Figure 6 - Drilling pattern Figure 9 - Schematic arrangement Dautriche method VOD measurement. As shown in Figure 9 above, two blasting caps were inserted to the explosive column of the cartridge and the separation was measured (m). A loop was made with a detonating code with a known VOD. The middle part (centre) of the code was passed over a lead plate and taped in place. Once the explosive column was detonated, the two ends of the cord ignited successively and the two waves meet head-on on the lead plate, a distance off centred of the geometric centre of the code. Figure 7 - Measuring the tunnel advance after the blast using a reference mark on tunnel wall. 2.3 Density measurement. Density measurements were carried out by weighing and measuring the volume by water displacement. A graph was produced with weight over volume with different observed values. 2.4 Air Gap sensitivity. Placing two half cartridges with varying gap between them, one half inserted with an electric detonator of No.6 strength and directed towards the other half was blasted. The initial gap in air was taken as 2 cm as the specified gap of the locally made Water-gel explosive is 2cm. For Water-gel, this test was a cross check of the given specification. ENGINEER for After blasting, VOD of the explosive canbe calculated from equation 1, knowing the Detonating cord separation (m), off-centre distance (a) and VOD of the Detonating cord, D(M/s), VOD=Dm/2a 34 (i) (1) 4 3. 3. Results & Discussion Results & Discussion 3.2 Results of underground tunnel blasting. 3.2 Results of underground tunnel blasting. % Passing % Passing 3.1 Results of Concrete Block Blasting Following Figure 12 shows the particle size 3.1 Results of Concrete Block Blasting distributionFigure after 12 blasting of each Following showswith the 25g particle size type of explosives. distribution after blasting with 25g of each type of explosives. 100.00 90.00 100.00 80.00 90.00 70.00 80.00 60.00 70.00 50.00 60.00 40.00 50.00 30.00 40.00 20.00 30.00 10.00 20.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.10 0.10 Size [cm] Size [cm] 1.00 1.00 Figure 12 - Drilling depth and Advance after each blast Figure 12 - Drilling depth and Advance after each blast 10.00 100.00 WG 25g 10.00 100.00 Dyna 25g WG 25g Emul 25g Dyna 25g Emul 25g Figure 10 - Particle Size Distribution graph for 25g charge of explosives in the block.graph Figure 10 - Particle Size Distribution for 25g charge of explosives in the block. 100.00 90.00 100.00 % Passing % Passing 80.00 90.00 70.00 80.00 60.00 70.00 50.00 60.00 Figure 13 - Number of mucking wagons after the blast Figure 13 - Number of mucking wagons after the blast Figure 12 illustrates the drilling depths and 40.00 50.00 30.00 40.00 20.00 30.00 tunnel advances after the the drilling blast. It is clear that Figure 12 illustrates depths and dynamite is capable advances beyond tunnel advances afterofthe blast. Iteven is clear that the drilling Water-gel it beyond always dynamite is length. capable With of advances even remains a part of theWith drilling length.itAverage the drilling length. Water-gel always advance a with Dynamite is length. 113.7% Average of the remains part of the drilling drilling length, it isis92.9% with of Wateradvance with whereas Dynamite 113.7% the gel. drilling length, whereas it is 92.9% with Watergel. Number of mucking wagons, which indicates the amount of rock blasted also higher in Number of mucking wagons,iswhich indicates dynamites of water-gels the amountthan of rock blasted (Figure is also 13). higher in dynamites than of water-gels (Figure 13). Hence Tunnel advance using water-gels is less than that of dynamite the water-gels same charge Hence Tunnel advancefor using is and less samethat cut hole configurations. than of dynamite for the same charge and same cut hole configurations. 3.3 Results of density measurements. 3.3 Results of density measurements. Figure 14 shows the mass and the respective volumes14for water-gel. Hence of Figure shows the mass andthe thegradient respective the regression line is mass/volume which of is volumes for water-gel. Hence the gradient the density. regression line is mass/volume which is the density. 10.00 20.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.10 0.10Size [cm] Size [cm] 1.00 10.00 1.00 10.00 WG 30g 100.00 Dyna 30g WG 30g 100.00 Emul 30g Dyna 30g Emul 30g Figure 11 - Particle Size Distribution graph for 30g 11 charge of explosives in the blockgraph Figure - Particle Size Distribution for 30g charge of explosives in the block Figure 11 shows the particle size distribution for 30g 11 of explosive Figure shows thecharge. particle size distribution for 30g of explosive charge. From these graphs, it is clear that in both 30g and 25g charge tests, D10,that D30, From these graphs, it isallclear in D50 both and 30g D60 25g values havetests, increased fromD30, dynamite to and charge all D10, D50 and water-gel. Thisincreased clearlyfromshows D60 values have dynamitethat to fragmentation is best clearly in dynamite secondthat in This shows water-gel. emulsion and water-gels is the third. fragmentation is best in dynamite second in emulsion and water-gels is the third. 35 ENGINEER 5 5 Table 2 - Resultant VOD values from D’Autriche’s method Density of water-gel 140.00 y = 1.189x R² = 0.999 120.00 Mass (g) 100.00 80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 Explosive Type Gap between DC nodes (mm) Off set gap on lead plate (mm) VOD of DC (m/s) VOD (m/s) Water-gel Emulsion Dynamite 100 100 100 84 68 60 6,750 6,750 6,750 4,018 4,963 5,625 0.00 0.0 50.0 Volume (cm3) It is clear from Table 2 that dynamite has the highest VOD of 5,625 m/s and Water-gel has the lowest of 4,018 m/s. VOD of emulsion is in between with a value of 4963 m/s. 100.0 Figure 14 - Mass vs. Volume for WG Average density of WG was 1.19g/cc. In the same manner densities of Emulsion and Dynamite were 1.21g/cc and 1.29g/cc respectively. 4. In underground blasting water-gel is environmentally friendlier than dynamite. This is due to the absence of odour of Nitroglycerine emanating from the cartridge in the course of charging and post-blast toxic fumes causing headaches and dizziness in confined underground mining environments. Table 1- Average densities of explosives Explosive Type Water-gel Emulsion Dynamite Average Density (g/cc) 1.19 1.21 1.29 Gap sensitivity of Water-gel was found to be better than the expected value of 2cm. The results were positive even with a gap of 3cm. From the Table 1, it is clear that dynamite has the highest density equal to 1.29g/cc. Density of water-gel and emulsion lies close by with a gap of 0.02g/cc, although emulsion has slightly a high density of 1.21g/cc. Water-gel is a low energy explosive than dynamite and emulsion. Fragmentation of water-gel was found to be less than that of dynamite as demonstrated in surface concrete block blasting and underground muck pile analysis. The conclusion to be arrived is that detonation characterised by the low velocity of detonation creates a weak fracture system affecting the level of fragmentation of the rock. 3.4 Results of gap sensitivity for watergel. After the blast, the immediate environment where the donor was placed was observed. The discolouration due to burning of the location of the receptor was a clear indication of the detonation of the receptor. Hence, it could be concluded that the receptor has got the detonation through air from the donor and, the test result was positive for an air gap of 2cm. Tunnel Advance with dynamite was better than with that of Water-gels. Although the explosive material cost per blasting round is less in Water-gel due to its low price, this advantage has been overrun due to the low rate of tunnel advancements and consequent additional blasting rounds required with water-gels. Followed by successful results of the first test it was decided to carry out one more trial increasing the air gap to 3cm. The result with this increased gap was also positive. It can be conjectured that Water-gel is dead pressed in underground shot hole tunnel blasting at Bogala mines due to the close proximity blast holes in the order of few centimeters in the cut hole configuration. Therefore, explosives residues were a frequent observation. 3.5 Results of VOD measurements. Table 2 below presents the results of the D’Autriche’stest. ENGINEER Conclusions 36 6 Density of Water-gel lies within the range of the manufacturer, i.e. 1.16g/cc to 1.26g/cc. and, it is 1.29g/cc and 1.21g/cc with dynamite and emulsion respectively. It is clear that density of Water-gel is lower than that of dynamite. VOD was successfully measured by the D’Autriche’s method for the first time in Sri Lanka. By referring to Table 2 it is clear that dynamite has the highest VOD and WG has the lowest. Acknowledgement Our gratitude goes to: Messers. KDA Weerasinghe quarry, Kalutara; BogalaMines, Aruggammana, Limestone Quarry, Holcim Lanka Ltd., Aruwakkalu; Explosive controller, Deputy Controller and Assistant Controllers of explosives - Kalutara and all other organizations who assisted us in the course of field work. Prof. Manoj Pradhan, Department of Mining, National Institute of Technology (NIT), Raipur, India is gratefully acknowledged for advices given on VOD testing of explosives. References 1. Persson, P.-A., Holmberg, R., & Lee, J. “Rock Blasting and Explosives Engineering”, CRC Press (2001). 2. Jimeno, C. L., Jimeno, E. L., & Carcedo, F. J. A. “Drilling and Blasting of Rocks”. Taylor & Francis. (1995). 3. Meyer, R., Köhler, J., & Homburg, “Explosives”, Wiley-VCH. (2007). 4. Cooper, P. W. “Explosives Engineering”, WileyVCH (1997). A. 37 ENGINEER 7 ENGINEER -- Vol. Vol.XLVIII, XLVIII,No. No.01, 01,pp. pp. [page 2015 range], 2015 ENGINEER [39-48], © The The Institution InstitutionofofEngineers, Engineers, Lanka © SriSri Lanka An Approach to Seismic Analysis of (Engineered) Buildings in Sri Lanka C. S. Lewangamage and H. G. S. R. Kularathna Abstract: Even though, Sri Lanka was believed to have no seismic threats, it is now realized that Sri Lanka can no longer be considered as a country safe from seismic threats following the recent events that occurred in and around the island. The present study is therefore aimed at providing guidance on suitable analysis procedure for buildings in Sri Lanka where the seismic consideration is explicitly warranted for a structure. The proposed guidelines in this study are based on Euro Code 8 (EN 1998-1: 2004): “Design of Structures for Earthquake Resistance”. Euro Code 8 was selected for this purpose as it allows national choices in defining seismic characteristics such as peak ground accelerations, response spectra, etc. in seismic design procedure. This study mainly focuses on these national choices and suitable values are proposed and discussed, depending on the available seismic data in Sri Lanka. Whenever there is a lack of data, suitable approaches are suggested comparing similar seismic codes such as IS 1893-1: 2002 and AS 1170.4: 2007. Finally, two case studies are carried out in order to illustrate how the developed guidelines can be used in the seismic design procedure of buildings particularly in Sri Lanka. Keywords: 1. Intra-plate earthquake, seismic design guidelines, Sri Lankan National Choices to EC 8. Introduction damage caused was 4 billion Australian Dollars. Therefore, the seismic threats to Sri Lanka can no longer be ignored and the necessity for designing structures for possible seismic hazards in Sri Lanka must be identified. It is a well known fact that Sri Lanka is located within the Indo-Australian tectonic plate and it is far away from the plate boundaries (See Figure.1). The inter-plate earthquakes which take place along these boundaries are the most common and are clearly identified. However, the location of Sri Lanka would cause rare chances of occurrence of such inter-plate earthquake. Therefore, Sri Lanka was considered to have no seismic threats. However, no comprehensive studies have been carried out to develop seismic analysis and design guidelines for buildings in Sri Lanka. The only available document for this purpose is “Earthquake resistant detailing for buildings in Sri Lanka” published by the Society of Structural Engineers, Sri Lanka. Therefore, there is a strong need to establish a national building analysis and draw up design guidelines for possible seismic loads in Sri Lanka. 2. Literature Review The evolution of the seismic design procedure can be summarized in three main phases [1]. The historic approach is to assume the design seismic forces to be proportionate to the seismic mass of the structure. Figure 1 - Tectonic plate boundaries However, Sri Lanka cannot be ignored regarding earthquake risks because; intra-plate earthquakes that take place within the tectonic plates causing significant damages are still possible. The intra-plate type earthquakes can occur at any place without a warning. A good example is the earthquake (5.9 on Richter scale) that hit New-castle Australia. This region wasearlier considered as a no-risk area. The Eng. (Dr.) C.S. Lewangamage, B.Sc. Eng. Hons(Moratuwa), M.Eng. (Tokyo), Ph.D (Tokyo), C. Eng., MIE(Sri Lanka), Senior Lecturer in Civil Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka Ms. H.G.S.R.Kularathna, B.Sc.Eng.Hons(Moratuwa), M.Sc. (Moratuwa), Ph.D candidate, University of Cambridge, UK 1 39 ENGINEER ENGINEER In the conventional code approach these design seismic forces are calculated as inertial forces induced by the ground acceleration. Both these approaches are based on the force based design concept. However, the future trend is to adopt a displacement based design approach where the non-linear response of the structure is largely taken into account. in terms of their probability of exceedance. There are mainly four performance levels associated with these guidelines. They are operational, immediate occupancy, life safety and collapse prevention levels. Euro Code 8 (EN 1998-1:2004) establishes two fundamental performance requirements as the No-collapse requirement and Damage limitation requirement. However, within the framework of Euro codes the concept of limit state design is still the basis and therefore, the above two performance requirements lie within the two limit states, the ultimate limit state and serviceability limit state. Nevertheless, as indicated by the above requirements, these two performance levels are to be checked against two different levels of the seismic action, interrelated by the seismicity of the region. The modern seismic codes systematically adopt new design concepts such as performance based design methods and non-linear analysis methods. Nevertheless, they still use force based design approach while some of the codes are now trying to adopt displacement based design methods. In this review, conventional force based design approach was studied given in four main seismic standards namely US standards (Federal Emergency Management Agency – FEMA 450: NEHRP Recommended Provisions for Seismic Regulations for New Buildings and Other Structures [2]) and Euro Code 8 (EN 1998-1: 2004) [3], Australian standard (AS 1170.4: 2007) [4] and the Indian standard (IS 1893-1: 2002) [5]. All these codes follow generally a similar procedure (See Figure .2) but with some differences unique to their region such as seismicity, soil condition, etc. 2.2 Specification of hazard and defining seismic action Each code specifies the design seismic action in terms of spectral ordinates with different definitions and terminologies. In Euro Code 8 the seismic hazard at the site is defined by the Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) for rock site and it is termed as the „reference‟ peak ground acceleration for 475 year return period earthquake. The response acceleration values for the design of buildings are then represented by an elastic response spectrum. Australian standard (AS 1170.4:2007) defines the seismic hazard by peak ground acceleration similar to the EC 8 but termed as hazard factor (Z) for 500 return period of earthquake and elastic response spectra are defined to obtain the spectral acceleration value used for designing structures. 2.1 Target performance level FEMA 450-2: 2003 Commentary [6] discusses explicitly the target performance levels associated with the provisions given in FEMA 450-1. It is expected that structures designed and constructed in accordance with the provisions will generally be able to meet a number of performance criteria when subjected to earthquake ground motions of differing severity. The ground motion levels are defined Define target performance level How buildings perform during and after earthquake, Building classification Specification of hazard and Define seismic action Ground motion for which buildings are designed Structural analysis and design criteria Structural type, shape and configuration, structural analysis methods, design and detailing Figure 2 - General seismic design procedure common to seismic codes ENGINEER ENGINEER 2 40 A similar approach is given in the Indian seismic standard as well, where the seismic hazard is defined by means of peak ground acceleration term as zone factor (Z) associated with maximum considered earthquake. The response spectrum is given for obtaining response acceleration of buildings in the designing process. for a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years or 475 years return period is around 0.026g for Colombo. It also proposes that this value can be used for the whole island since the single seismic source zone used in the PSHA includes Sri Lanka. Uduweriya et al [8] presents a reliable seismic hazard assessment in Colombo area based on probabilistic approach and proposes a value of 0.1g as the peak ground acceleration at rock site for 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years (i.e. for 475 year return period). However, within the framework of FEMA 450 the ground motion hazards are defined in terms of maximum considered earthquake ground motions which are then presented within the provisions in terms of the mapped values of the spectral response acceleration at short periods, Ss, and at 1.0 second, S1, for a particular soil type. The structural design is performed for earthquake demands that are 2/3 of the maximum considered earthquake response acceleration and design response spectra as required in the design process to obtain the response acceleration for buildings are given. 2.3 Structural analysis and design criteria After selecting the ground motion, the codes present a systematic procedure to design buildings to resist the ground motion. These provisions are based on structural dynamics and hence are similar in their concept. However, the advancement of the seismic design concepts might be different in different codes. Each code specifies a preliminary screening process which decides basically the need for seismic design for a particular building, suitable structural analysis method such as linear/non-linear and static/dynamic and so forth. 3. Figure 3 - Hazard curves for Colombo[7] The above two studies show explicitly different values for the peak ground acceleration at rock site for 475 years return period. However, when these two studies are reviewed the latter study seems to be proved by the other on-going studies in the same subject. Therefore, the reference peak ground acceleration at rock site (ag,R) is taken to be 0.1g for Colombo area. As there is no any other study that considers the whole island, the same peak ground acceleration value (0.1g) is used for the buildings in other parts of Sri Lanka. Seismic Hazard Assessment for Sri Lanka 4. It is the conventional approach that the seismic hazard for a country is specified in terms of the peak ground acceleration. It is generally given by the seismic hazard map which divides the country into several seismic zones each having different peak ground acceleration values. For Sri Lanka, such seismic zonation map is not available in order to obtain the ground motion values at each location. But two important studies which propose ground motion values in Colombo area can be identified. SriLankan Approach to Euro Code 8 4.1 Use of EC 8 as the basis for seismic analysis of (engineered) buildings in Sri Lanka Design of structures to resist earthquake is being developed for many years and still new researches are undertaken all over the world to improve the buildings performance in the event of an earthquake. In Sri Lankan context, it is at its early stage and therefore, it is necessary to make use of well-established seismic design procedures used in other countries as they have carried out lots of studies and gained enormous experience in this field. Hence, it was compromised to use Euro code 8 (EN 1998-1: Peiris [7] proposes the best estimate horizontal peak ground acceleration curve with associated confidence intervals (See Figure.3). It shows that the peak ground acceleration at rock site 3 41 ENGINEER ENGINEER aspects. Therefore, importance Class II, III and IV buildings are recommended to be designed for possible seismic events (See Figure 4) and hence, the peak ground acceleration values need to be provided. 2004): Design of Structures for Earthquake Resistance as the basis for seismic design of buildings in Sri Lanka. There are mainly two important reasons for selecting the Euro Code 8 for the purpose of developing national guidelines for seismic analysis and design of buildings in Sri Lanka. They are, The future trend is to use Euro Codes as the design standards for structures in Sri Lanka. Hence, using the Euro code for the seismic design of buildings in Sri Lanka would be consistent with the future of the design standards in Sri Lanka. Euro Code 8 allows national choices for parameters defining local seismic characteristics as well as the methods for designing of buildings for local seismic action. A national annex to Euro Code 8 can be easily developed with the inclusion of local characteristics. According to the proposed methodology in Figure 4, a seismic action of 475 year return period is recommended for buildings of importance Class II. For importance Class III buildings, a seismic action of 1500 year return period and for importance Class IV buildings, a 2500 year return period are proposed. However, the peak ground acceleration values for the above seismic actions are not yet determined and therefore the importance factor (γ1) described in EC 8 can be used to obtain an approximate value for PGA values for 1500 and 2500 year return periods from the PGA value for 475 year return period as it is the only known PGA value for Sri Lanka which is recommended as 0.1g. The peak ground acceleration for 1500 and 2500 year return periods are obtained by multiplying the above selected peak ground acceleration value for 475 year return period (ag,475) by importance factors (𝛾𝛾ͳ ) assigned to the importance Class III and IV buildings as given in Eq.1. In adopting the Euro code 8 in a country, there are a set of parameters to be determined nationally which accounts for the seismic hazards of the country. Among them, the most imperative parameters are the design seismic action in terms of design peak ground acceleration for different types of structures and the elastic response spectra which is used in the seismic analysis procedure of a structure. In this study, those two parameters are given special consideration and suitable values are recommended based on the available limited seismic data. 𝑎𝑎𝑔𝑔ǡͳͷͲͲ ȀʹͷͲͲ ൌ 𝑎𝑎𝑔𝑔ǡͶͷ Ǥ 𝛾𝛾ͳ ................................... (1) The importance factors are determined using the approximate relationship (Eq.2) given in EN 1998-1/2.1 [3] as. 𝑇𝑇 𝛾𝛾ͳ ̱ሺ 𝐿𝐿𝑅𝑅 𝑇𝑇 ሻ−ͳȀ𝑘𝑘 ............................................... (2) 𝐿𝐿 Where, TLR is the reference return period (475 years in this case) and TL is defined as the return period in which the same probability of exceedance as in the TLR years is achieved. The exponent kis dependent on the seismicity associated with the country, but EC 8 specifies that it is generally in the order of 3. This relationship is illustrated for three different k (2.5, 3.0 and 4.0) values in Figure 5 and Table 2 shows the required importance factors for the return periods specific to each importance class of the structures. Based on the identified seismic hazard levels in Sri Lanka, a suitable approach to seismic analysis procedure (See Figure 4) is proposed according to the Euro Code 8. It is noted that in this study, only linear elastic analysis are considered. 4.2 Design seismic action The structures are designed for different design seismic actions in terms of return period or the probability of exceedance depending on the importance of the building in the event of an earthquake. The structures are classified into four categories as shown in Table 1. The importance Class I includes the structures which do not require an explicit seismic consideration in the design process. The importance Class II, III and IV include the structures identified as important during an earthquake considering their function, the consequences of failure and the economic ENGINEER ENGINEER 4 42 Determine the importance class of the building (See Table 1) Importance Class I Importance Class II Need not be designed for seismic action Importance Class III Design for a seismic action of 475 year return period Select the PGA value (As nationally determined) Earthquake detailing Importance Class IV Design for a seismic action 1500 year return period Select the PGA value (As nationally determined) Design for a seismic action 2500 year return period Select the PGA value (As nationally determined) Elastic response spectrum (As nationally determined) Determine the ductility class (DCM/DCH) Design response spectrum (EN 19981:2004/relevant sections) Structural analysis (EN 1998-1:2004/4.3.3) Structural regularity (EN 1998-1:2004/4.2.3) Regular (EN 19981:2004/4.2.3.2) Irregular (EN 19981:2004/4.2.3.3) Modal response spectrum analysis (EN 1998-1:2004/4.3.3.3) Static method (EN 1998-1:2004/4.3.3.2) Figure 4 - Proposed seismic analysis approach for Sri Lanka 2.50 I (k=2.5) Importance factor 2.00 I (k=3) 1.50 I (k=4) 1.00 0.50 0.00 0 1000 2000 Return period 3000 (Years) Figure 5 - Representation of the relationship between the importance factor and the return period for different values of the seismic exponent 43 5 ENGINEER ENGINEER Table 1 –Proposed building classification and importance classesbased on the guidelines given in [4] and [5] Importance Class Classification I Buildings of minor importance for safety of public and other property Examples Agricultural buildings, isolated structures, domestic structures Hotels, offices, apartment buildings of less than 10 storeys high, Factories up to 4 storeys high Buildings of lowmoderate importance for safety of public and other properties II Buildings of significant importance for safety of public and other properties III Car parking buildings, Shopping centres less than 10,000m2 gross area , Public assembly buildings for fewer than 100 persons Emergency medical and other emergency facilities not designated as post-disaster Hotels, offices, apartment buildings over 10 storeys high, Factories and heavy machinery plants over 4 storeys high Shopping centres of over 10000m2 gross area excluding parking, Public assembly buildings for more than 100 persons, Airport terminals, principal railway stations Pre-schools, Schools, colleges, universities, Major infrastructure facilities, e.g. power stations, substations Buildings of greater importance with post disaster functions for civil protection IV Medical facilities for surgery and emergency treatment, Hospitals, Fire and police stations, Ambulance facilities Buildings housing toxic or explosive substances in sufficient quantities to be dangerous to the public if released Extreme hazard facilities (Dams etc.) The classification of buildings would be revised based on the outcomes of the detailed study on seismic hazard assessment for Sri Lanka. Table 2 - Proposed importance factors and corresponding return period values Mean return period (in years) Importance Importance Class factor (γ1) k = 2.5 k = 3.0 k = 4.0 I 0.80 272 243 195 II 1.00 475 475 475 III 1.50 1309 1603 2404 IV 1.80 2065 2770 4986 ENGINEER ENGINEER 6 44 4.3 Elastic response spectra Currently, there is no elastic response spectrum which represents ground motion for buildings in Sri Lanka. Therefore, for the purpose of seismic design of buildings in Sri Lanka, the most appropriate response spectrum is selected from the recommended Type 1 and Type 2 elastic response spectra given in the Euro Code 8, the recommended elastic response spectrum in Indian seismic code (IS 1893-1: 2002) and the response spectra recommended in Australian code (AS 1170.4: 2007).The comparison of response spectra normalized by the peak ground acceleration for approximately equivalent soil types as recommended in the three codes above are shown in Figure 6a,b and c. Spectral Acceleration (g‟s) Spectral Acceleration (g‟s) However, within the scope of this study without a proper seismic hazard assessment for Sri Lanka it is not possible to predict which code approach would represent the local condition of Sri Lanka. On account of that, the use of Indian seismic code provision can be justified because it is a well-established seismic code in South Asian region and importantly Sri Lanka is situated close to India and it can be assumed that the seismicity of both countries would be approximately similar. Further, the response spectrum at rock site developed for the Colombo area [8] shows a reasonable match with the response spectrum recommended in the Indian seismic code (IS 1893-1: 2002) (See Figure 7). Period (s) Figure 7- Response spectrum for Colombo at rock site and the corresponding response spectrum in IS 1893-1: 2002 [8] Period (s) Spectral Acceleration (g‟s) (a) Therefore, in the absence of a proper study, for seismic analysis of buildings IS 1893-1:2002 recommended elastic response spectra can be used. The expressions defining the response spectra for three soil types in IS 1893-1 are modified to suit the Euro code 8 as shown in Equations 3, 4 and 5 and the corresponding parameters are given in Table 3. The basic shape of the elastic response spectrum is shown in Figure 8. Period (s) (b) Spectral Acceleration (g‟s) ͲǤͲͲ ≤ 𝑇𝑇 ≤ 𝑇𝑇𝐵𝐵 𝑆𝑆𝑎𝑎 ൌ ͳ ͳͷ𝑇𝑇.................. (3) 𝑇𝑇𝐵𝐵 ≤ 𝑇𝑇 ≤ 𝑇𝑇𝐶𝐶 𝑆𝑆𝑎𝑎 ൌ ʹǤͷ............................. (4) 𝑇𝑇𝐶𝐶 ≤ 𝑇𝑇 ≤ ͶǤͲͲ𝑆𝑆𝑎𝑎 ൌ 𝑆𝑆Ȁ𝑇𝑇.......................... (5) Table 3 - Soil types and corresponding parameters defining response spectra (IS 1893) modified to the format in EC 8 Soil Type I Period (s) (c) Figure 6 - Comparison of EC 8 Type 1 response spectra with IS 1893-1 and AS 1170.4 response spectra for the approximate equivalent soil types (Hard soil) II (Medium soil) III (Soft soil) 7 45 NSPT S TB TC >30 1 0.1 0.4 10-30 1.36 0.1 0.55 <10 1.67 0.1 0.67 ENGINEER ENGINEER Figure 8-Basic shape of the horizontal elastic response spectrum Figure 8-Basic shape of the horizontal elastic response spectrum In elastic analysis methods, the elastic horizontal response spectrum is reduced to a In elastic analysis methods, thetakes elastic design response spectrum which the horizontal response spectrum is reduced a ductile behaviour of buildings tointo design response spectrum which takes the consideration. ductile behaviour of buildings into consideration. 5. (a) Cross section of the building (a) Cross section of the building Case Studies 5. Case Studies In order to understand the significance of seismic loading in designing buildings in Sri In order to understand the significance of Lanka, two commonly found building types seismic loading in designing buildings in Sri were analysed in accordance with the above Lanka, two commonly found building types proposed approach. were analysed in accordance with the above proposed approach. 5.1 Case study 1 A three storey school building which is 5.1 Case study 1 categorized as an important buildingwhich due to isits A three storey school building high consequences of failure during categorized as an important building due to itsan earthquake was selected the caseduring study 01.an high consequences of asfailure (b) plan view of the building (b) plan view of the building earthquake was selected as the case study 01. The test building was analysed by the two lineartest elastic methods, forceby method and The building was static analysed the two modalelastic response spectrum analysis method, linear methods, static force method and prescribed in ECspectrum 8. All analysis the analysis was modal response method, performed by software (CSI was 2002. prescribed in using EC 8.ETABs All the analysis ETABS Integrated Design(CSI Software, performed by using Building ETABs software 2002. Computers and Structures Inc. Berkley). The ETABS Integrated Building Design Software, elevation and plan view of the building as well Computers and Structures Inc. Berkley). The as the three of the building elevation anddimensional plan view ofmodel the building as well used in the analysis are shown in 9. as the three dimensional model ofFigure the building used in the analysis are shown in Figure 9. The elastic response spectrum and the design response the test are The elasticspectrum response for spectrum andbuilding the design response spectrum for the test building are shown in Figure10. shown in Figure10. According to the static lateral force method of According static lateralbase force method of analysis in to ECthe 8, the seismic shear for each analysis in ECdirections 8, the seismic for eachis horizontal of base the shear building horizontal directions of the building is determined as determined as (c) Three dimensional model of the building Spectral Acceleration (g‟s) Spectral Acceleration (g‟s) (c) Three dimensional model of the building Figure 9 – Three storey school building Figure 9 – Three storey school building Period (s) Period (s) 𝐹𝐹𝑏𝑏 ൌ 𝑆𝑆𝑑𝑑 𝑇𝑇ͳ Ǥ 𝑚𝑚Ǥ 𝜆𝜆.......................... (6) 𝐹𝐹𝑏𝑏 ൌ 𝑆𝑆𝑑𝑑 𝑇𝑇ͳ Ǥ 𝑚𝑚Ǥ 𝜆𝜆.......................... (6) The value of the ordinate of the design The valuespectrum, of the ordinate of the designto response 𝑆𝑆𝑑𝑑 𝑇𝑇ͳ corresponding response spectrum, 𝑆𝑆𝑑𝑑 𝑇𝑇ͳT1corresponding of the buildingtois the fundamental period the fundamental period T1 of the building is ENGINEER ENGINEER ENGINEER Figure 10 – Elastic and design response Figure 10 – –Case ElasticStudy and design response spectrum 1 spectrum –Case Study 1 8 46 8 5.2 Case study 2 An office building which is categorized as importance Class III (See Table 1) was analysed in accordance with the modal response spectrum analysis method in EC 8. The plan view, elevation and the three dimensional model of the test building used in the analysis are shown in Figure 11. All the analysis were performed using ETABs software (CSI 2002. ETABS Integrated Building Design Software, Computers and Structures Inc. Berkley). obtained from the design response spectrum. Where m is the seismic mass of the building and λ is the correction factor which is given in EC 8 as 0.85. The base shear force, Fb, is shown in Table 4. Table 4 -Base shear for the test building-Case Study 1 (Lateral force method of analysis) Fundament m 𝐹𝐹𝑏𝑏 λ al period 𝑆𝑆𝑑𝑑 𝑇𝑇ͳ (kN) (t) (T1) 0.39 1.13 1228 0.85 1179 The seismic base shear values obtained from the static force method in EC 8 were compared with the same values obtained in accordance with two other seismic codes; AS 1170.4:2002 and IS 1893:2002 as shown in Table 5. Table 5 - Comparison of base shear values obtained from different codes – Case Study 1 (Static lateral force method of analysis) Base shear (kN) EC 8 AS 1170: 2007 IS 1893: 2002 1179 1175 846 (a) Plan view of the floors above ground level The test building was also analysed using the modal response spectrum analysis method as given in EC8. The seismic base shear values obtained from the analysis are given in Table 6. Table 6 -Base shear for the test building-Case Study 1 (Modal response spectrum analysis) Fundamental Period Base Shear Force (kN) (b) Elevation of the building (T) x-dir y-dir x-dir y-dir 1.31 s 1.03 s 336 426 The difference between base shear values obtained from lateral force method of analysis and the modal response spectrum analysis is due to the two different fundamental period values obtained from the two analysis methods. In the modal response spectrum analysis, the masonry walls were considered having no contribution to the stiffness of the test building and hence, it gives a higher fundamental period. (c) Three dimensional model of the building Figure 11 – Case Study 2 – Office Building 9 47 ENGINEER ENGINEER When other seismic analysis approaches are considered, the proposed (reference) peak ground acceleration value of 0.1g seems to be a significant value. It necessitates most of the buildings to be designed for seismic loads and essentially for important buildings the value is increased further which resultsan explicit consideration of seismic loading. Spectral Acceleration (g‟s) The elastic response spectrum and the design response spectrum for the building are shown in Figure 12 and the seismic shear values obtained from the analysis are given in Table 7. The parameters proposed in this study especially peak ground acceleration values and the elastic response spectra can be replaced by the accurate values obtained through proper seismic studies for Sri Lanka in future. However, the proposed approach would still be used with the new values. Period (s) Figure 12 – Elastic and design response spectrum – Case Study 2 Acknowledgements Table 7 – Seismic shear values at each storey level Shear Force (kN) Storey Level x-dir. y-dir. (T=1.0 s) (T=0.74 s) Roof 201 254 Storey 5 353 463 Storey 4 446 600 Storey 3 524 713 Storey 2 603 814 Storey 1 672 891 Ground level 672 891 Basement 1 672 891 6. Financial support for this study was provided by Disaster Management Centre (DMC), Sri Lanka. The authors wish to thank Prof. M.T.R Jayasinghe & Prof. W.P.S. Dias, University of Moratuwa, Prof. P.B.R. Dissanayaka & Prof. K.G.H.C.N. Senevirathna, University of Peradeniya and Dr. K.K. Wijesundara, South Asia Institute of Technology and Medicine (SAITM) for their intellectual assistance. References [1] Durgesh, C. Rai (2000), “Future Trends in Earthquake-Resistant Design of Structures”, CURRENT SCIENCE, VOL. 79, NO. 9, 10. [2] FEMA 450-1, NEHRP Recommended Provisions for Seismic Regulations for New Buildings and other Structures, 2003 Edition. [3] Euro code 8: Design of Structures for Earthquake Resistance – Part 1: General Rules, Seismic Actions and rules for Buildings, EN 1998-1: 2004. [4] AS 1170.4 – 2007, Structural Design Actions, Part 4: Earthquake Action. Conclusions In the proposed national guidelines, a suitable approach for seismic analysis of buildings in Sri Lanka is proposed based on the Euro code 8 (EN 1998-1: 2004). [5] IS 1893-1: (Part 1): 2002, Criteria for Earthquake Resistant Design of Structures, Bureau of Indian Standards. [6] FEMA 450-2, Commentary NEHRP Provisions for Seismic Regulations for New Buildings and other Structures, 2003 Edition. [7] Peiris L.M.N., “Seismic Hazard Assessment and Seismic Risk in Colombo”, Risk Management Solutions, London, UK. [8] Uduweriya, S. B., Wijesundara, K. K., Dissanayake, P. B. R., “Seismic Risk in Colombo – Probabilistic Approach”, SAITM Research symposium on Engineering Advancements 2013 (SAITM – RSEA 2013) Several important parameters were determined for Sri Lanka based on the available seismic data. They are design peak ground accelerations for the three seismic actions having 475 year return period 1500 year return period and 2500 year return period for which the buildings in Sri Lanka are proposed to be designed. For instance, the peak ground acceleration for earthquake with 475 year return period has been assumed as 0.1g. Further, it is proposed to use the elastic response spectra developed for India in IS 18931 in the seismic analysis of buildings in Sri Lanka. ENGINEER ENGINEER 10 48 SECTION II ENGINEER - Vol. XLVIII, No. 01, pp. [51-60], 2015 © The Institution ofXLVIII, Engineers, ENGINEER - Vol. No.Sri 01,Lanka pp. [page range], 2015 © The Institution of Engineers, Sri Lanka Monitoring of Exhaust Gas Parameters of Stationary Combustion Systems In View of Environmental Standards K. T. Jayasinghe Abstract: During the last few years, fossil fuel consumption for electricity generation and industrial process activities has gradually increased with the rapid development of energy and industrial sectors in Sri Lanka. When the fuel consumption increases, the relative quantities of emissions released to the environment too will increase. Such types of common emissions are toxic gases (Pb, Cl2), noxious gases (SOx, NOx), green house gases (CO2, O3), unburned gases (CO, CxHy), volatiles and respirable particles. Those emissions will harmfully affect, in different ways, the human health and the environment. The regulatory bodies have actively monitored the industrial emissions by implementing & amending old inactivated policies, regulations and standards. As a result of such implementaions, under the “Section 32 of National Environmental Act No. 47 of 1980” as amended by Acts 56 of 1988 and 53 of 2000, the latest enviormnetal standard for emission regulations for staionary combustion systems has emerged. In this regard, this paper aims to broadly discuss the experience gathered by the author in this area,in (view of) relation to? industrial impacts, instrumentations, pre facility requirement & resource availability and external interferences. Further the recommendations made in this paper for individual combustion systems, such as, thermal power plants, standby generators, industrial boilers & thermic fluid heaters, incinerators and cupola furnances, kilns etc. might be helpful to the regulatory bodies, industries, instruments & equipment suppliers and monitoring organizations in different ways when introducing (introduce) those emission standards to the industries. Finally, the outcomes of this study will help not only the local industries, but also Asian regional countries which have been operating similar combustion systems, to upgrade their systems to comply with particular environmental standards, because the proposed local standards have been prepared based on the other Asian and Europian regions’ environmental standards. Keywords: 1. Particulate Matter, Smoke Opacity, Isokinectic, Ringelman, Transmissivity, Themic Fluid Introduction: been operated especially in process industries such as activated Carbon production, rice processing, Sugar industries etc. Sri Lankan Statistics reveal that the industrial growth and electricity generation had increased by 11.0% and 7.9% respectively in 2010 [SEA Annual Report 2010]. It is expected that the industrial growth and electricity generation will further increase in the coming years due to the introducion of new development projects and rapid increase in electricity demand island wide. According to the current statistics, electricity generation heavily depends on the thermal power plants and in 2010 around 60% of the total generation had been shared by thermal power plants [SEA Annual Report 2010]. The main energy sources used in thermal power plants are fossil fuels and coal. In addition to that few bio fuel in-house electricity generation facilities have ENGINEER Industrial development also contributes to the exponential increase of fossil fuel consumption to obtain required thermal and electrical energy. The common systems practices are steam & hot water boilers, thermic heaters, diesel electricity generators etc. In addition to those electrical and thermal energy generating systems, a remarkable number of different types of stationary combustion systems such Eng. K T Jayasinghe, CEng., MSc (Energy), MIE(Sri Lanka), Research Fellow, National Engineering Research & Development Centre (NERDC), 2P/17B, Industrial Estate, Ekala, Ja-Ela. Sri Lanka. 51 1 ENGINEER as incinerators, crematoria, cupolas, kilns, furnaces etc. are in operation island wide. measuring regulations & techniques, and system requirements. Out of those, many plants are out dated and they are operated under very low efficiency levels. 2.1 Source Categorizations & Measuring Parameters According to the type of plants available in the country, stationary combustion systems have been divided in to 5 categories such as thermal power plants, boilers, thermic fluid heaters, incinerators, and cupolas, furnaces, ovens, kilns etc. The recommended monitoring parameters and emission levels of each category depend on the plant capacity and fuel used. The recommended monitoring parameters of different combustion sources are summarized in Table 1. Setting up of unplanned and inefficient combustion systems will increase the pollution gases and contaminants emitted to the atmosphere. The common emissions released to the atmosphere are toxic gases (Pb, Cl2), noxious gases (SOX, NOX), green house gases (CO2, O3), unburned compounds (CO, CXHY), Suspended Particles (SP) and respirable particles etc. Smoke Opacity SOX NOX CO HCl Hg Pb Dioxin & Furans X X - - - - - X X X X X X X X - Boilers X X X X - - - - - Thermic Fluid Heaters X X X X - - - - - Incinerators X X X X X X X X X X X X X - - - - - Cupolas, Ovens, Kilns Furnaces, [Source – Schedule II – Part I to Part V of National Environmental Act No. 47 of 1980] According to Table 1 the common monitoring parameters of each combustion system are Particulate Matters (PM), Smoke Opacity, Oxides of Sulfur (SOX) and Oxides of Nitrogen (NOX). In additions to these common parameters, thermal power plants driven by solid wastes and waste combustion incinerators require to monitor CO, HCl, Hg, Pb and Dioxin & Furans. The recommended emission levels of each substance are not discussed in this paper. [Reference: - Section 32.0 of National Environmental Act. No 47.0 of 1980 for the recommended values]. Review of Emission Standards of Combustion Systems in Sri Lanka 2.2 Measuring Regulations & Techniques The emission monitoring methods described in this standard are based on the standard conditions, and the monitoring parameters are The implemented emission standards of stationary combustion systems have mainly focused on three major areas such as source categorizations & measuring parameters, ENGINEER X Thermal Power PlantsAny Fuel Except Solid Waste Thermal Power Plants – Solid Waste Fuel In fact, this paper is not going to discuss the policy implementations or regulation practices by different organizations to monitor the environmental pollutions of stationary combustion systems. However, it broadly discusses the experience gathered by the author; under different types of stationary combustion systems, with respect to industrial impacts, instrumentations, pre facility requirement etc. ENGINEER X Plant Category Even though the environmental policies have been introduced since Colonial times, policies related to emission from stationary combustion systems had not been strictly practiced by responsible parties. However, the regulatory bodies have been actively involved, in the last few decades, to implement such regulations aiming to control environmental emissions from stationary combustion systems. 2. Particulate Matter Table 1 - Summarized Monitoring Parameters of Stationary Combustion Systems Different kinds of emissions in small and medium processing plants such as boilers, thermic heaters, incinerators etc. are rather difficult to control than the emmisions in centralized large processing plants in thermal power generation, co generation, cement processing etc. In this context, adverse effects from small and medium stationary combustion systems to the environment might be high. 2 52 3. estimated based on the reference levels in order to bring the monitoring parameters by different organizations to a common standard format. Based on the regulations, the emission parameters shall be, - Monitored by instrument/ equipment based - Converted in to dry basis & normal condition (0 0C and 760mm Hg) - Corrected for relevant reference Oxygen level. [Schedule 1 of National Environmental Act. No 47 of 1980 for reference Oxygen levels]. However the detailed descriptions of equations, conversions and regulations are not included in this paper. [Reference: - Section 32 of National Environmental Act. No 47.0 of 1980 for details]. Monitoring Methodologies and Techniques In-depth analysis of monitoring methodologies and techniques related to PM, Smoke Opacity, SOX and NOX are important, since all the combustion systems shall be required to monitor those emissions as common parameters. In general, two monitoring methodologies, instrument/equipment based and titration based, are available for gaseous emission estimations. However only the instrument/ equipment based methods are described in this paper, since the monitoring methods described in particular standards are based on the instrument / equipment method. 3.1 Monitoring of Particulate Matters (PM) 3.1.1 Test Method and Instrumentation The common method used for stack PM monitoring is “In-stack Filtration Method”. In this method, PM is withdrawn isokinetically from the source and collected on a glass fiber filter maintained at a temperature, as specified by applicable standards, or approved by particular application. The PM mass which includes any material that condenses at or above the filtration temperature is determined gravimetrically after the removal of uncombined water. 2.3 System Requirements and Limitations System requirements of this standard are described in order to control the toxic gases; especially SO2 and NOX. The key factors discussed under the system requirements are; In any case, the stack (chimney) height shall not be less than 20m In case of power plants, SO2 shall be controlled by fuel quality and stack height, if SO2 emission levels are not specified in the standards. Dioxin and Furan emission from incinerators shall be controlled by maintaining temperature within 1100 0C to 1250 0C and 2-3 seconds retention time in secondary chamber. The basic components of standard PM monitoring sampling train are probe nozzle; probe extension, filter holder, barometer, Pitot tube, differential pressure gauge, condenser, metering system, vacuum pump and heating element. The common arrangement of the instrument train is illustrated in Figure 1. Figure 1 – Basic Components of PM Monitoring Sampling Train [Source-Envirotech APM 621] ENGINEER 3 53 ENGINEER 3.1.2 Applicability, Limitations and Facility Requirements for PM Monitoring The fundamental principle behind any sampling analysis is that a small amount of collected sample should be a representative of all the particles being monitored. Therefore variations in concentration, temperature or velocity across the duct, moisture, gas leakage or air infiltration can affect the measurements. Further the number of samples, monitoring locations and port sizes will depend on the homogeneity of the gas stream. Therefore for accurate measurements, it is required to follow the basic and standard methods. [Reference - BS EN 13284-1:2002 or any other acceptable standards]. According to the standards, PM sampling stations should be located at few meters above (depends on the stack arrangement) the ground level. Therefore it is important to facilitate a safe system set up for both operators and instruments. In this regard, a safe and permanent working platform and a lifting arrangement shall be required to reach the sampling locations. However, in exceptional circumstances; such as old plants or where the owner cannot bear the setting up facility cost (especially in small scale industries), temporary structures; scaffolding, mobile crane/lift etc. can be used. All the platforms, whether permanent of temporary, shall meet the standard dimensions, weight criteria, protection, facility requirements etc. [Reference - EN 13284-1:2002 or any other acceptable standards]. 3.2.1 Test Methods, Instrumentations and Limitations (a) Ringelmann Method:Ringelmann Method is a visual assessment method and the darkness of smoke emitting at the top of the stack is compared with the standard shades of grey chart (called Ringelman) placed at a certain distance from the observer. The system arrangement is illustrated in Figure 2. The Ringlmann method cannot be applied to many combustion systems operated island wide. This is because according to the physical set up Line of Sight of the system, , most of the stacks are covered or obstructed by adjacent buildings, trees or any other objects. Further the accuracy of test results totally depends on the appearance of a plume as viewed by an observer, angles of the observer with respect to the plume & the sun, the point of observation of attached & detached stem plume, nature of day light and the wind velocity. Figure 2 – Ringlemann Chart for Smoke Opacity Monitoring (b) Dual Beam Method Dual Beam Method is a universally accepted method to monitor smoke opacity. The basic principle of this method is to transmit a light beam through the flue gas (to be tested) and measure the reduction in its intensity. Main components of the system are a twin beam transmitter, a high-intensity light source and detectors. The system arrangement is illustrated in Figure 3. 3.2 Monitoring of Smoke Opacity Smoke Opacity is a property of a substance, especially unburned Carbon, which renders it partially or wholly obstructive to the transmission of visible light and it is expressed as the percentage to which the light is obstructed. [New Jersey Air pollution Control Act N.J.A.C. 26:2C-1]. Based on the standards [Ref. - Table 1.0], smoke opacity monitoring is common for any combustion system and shall be maintained below the recommended levels such as 10%, 15%, 20% etc. Usually, two monitoring methods have widely been practiced to measure smoke opacity. Those are the “plume visual inspection method”“Ringelmann” and the “Dual Beam Method”. ENGINEER ENGINEER The main issue in this method is locating the monitoring system across the pre defined cross section of the stack at a certain height. [This height is defined to obtain a “Laminar Flow Region” and the level depends on the system set up]. Further, pre facility requirements to handle the instruments, to monitor/measure the parameters are not incorporated in many existing combustion systems. 4 54 Figure 3 – Dual Beam Method Smoke Opacity Figure 3 –Kit Dual Beam–Method Opacity Monitoring [Source Forbes Smoke Marshall – Monitoring Kit [Source – Forbes Marshall – DCEM 2100 – Unique Dual Beam Opacity/Dust DCEM 2100 – Unique Dual Beam Opacity/Dust Monitor] Monitor] 3.3 Monitoring of Dioxins and other 3.3 Gaseous Monitoring of Dioxins and other Components Gaseousgaseous Components The most common emissions described The most common gaseous emissions NOX. in this particular standard are SOX, &described , & not NOX. in this particular standard are SOXhas However, in many cases, this standard However, in many cases, this standard has described the marginal figures of SOX, & NOXnot the marginal figures of SO X, & NOX anddescribed has advised to control those gaseous and has advised to control those gaseous emissions by maintaining the stack height & emissions bybymaintaining the stack height & temperature incorporating emission temperature incorporating reduction utilities.byIn addition to that emission it is reduction utilities.CO, In CO addition to that it is , excess air levels important to monitor 2 air levels CO2, excess etc.important in flue gasto formonitor efficientCO, combustion systems. etc. in flue gas for efficient combustion systems. 3.3.1 Test Methods, Instrumentations and 3.3.1 Limitations Test Methods, Instrumentations and In general, Limitations two methods of gaseous components In general, two of sampling gaseous components determination, viz.methods extractive method determination, viz. extractive sampling method and non-extractive sampling method, have been and non-extractive sampling method, have been practiced. Out of those two methods, extractive practiced. Out of those two methods, extractive sampling method is the most common and sampling is the most common widely used. method In this method effluent gaseousand widelyareused. In this method effluent gaseous samples passed through the moisture and samples are passed through moisture contaminant absorbent filters totheremove theand contaminant absorbent filters to remove moisture (analysis under dry basis) and to clean the (analysis under dry basis) andbeing to clean themoisture gas sample respectively before the gas sample respectively before being conveyed to the instrument. Then the conveyed to the instrument. Then conditioned gas is passed through differentthe conditioned is passed through different chemical sensorsgas (in built sensors) for necessary chemical sensors (in built sensors) for necessary reactions. The composition of particular gaseous reactions. are Themeasured composition of particular gaseous components based on the number are measured based on chemical the number of components electrons emitted by different of electrons emittedsystem by different chemical reactions. The common arrangement is reactions. The common system arrangement is illustrated in Figure 4. illustrated in Figure 4. ENGINEER ENGINEER 5 Figure 4 – Instruments for Exhaust Gas Figure 4 – Instruments for Exhaust Gas Monitoring Monitoring The location of sampling points to monitor the The location of sampling points to monitor gaseous concentrations is not critical like inthe gaseous concentrations is not critical monitoring PM. Because the variations like of in monitoring PM. Because the variations velocity profiles do not affect the homogeneity of velocity profiles do not affect themeans homogeneity of the gaseous concentration. This that the gaseous concentration. This meansbythat theof proximity to bends, branches, obstruction proximity to bends, obstruction fanstheand dampers are lessbranches, important. But the by fans and dampers areairless important. But the sampling after dilution must be avoided. sampling after dilution air must be avoided. Therefore monitoring of gaseous parameters is Therefore monitoring of gaseous parameters convenient and can be commonly implemented is be commonly implemented in convenient many typesand of can combustion systems, since in many types of combustion systems, since those do not require any special and expensive those do not require any special and expensive pre-facilities arrangement. pre-facilities arrangement. 4. 4. Implementation Difficulties of Implementation Difficulties of New & Proposed Environmental New & Proposed Environmental Standards Standards Not only the plant owners or industries, but also Not onlybodies the plant or industries, but also regulatory andowners monitoring parties have regulatory bodies and monitoring parties have come across different issues and difficulties, come across different issues and difficulties, while implementing such requirements. Few while implementing requirements. such important factors such are discussed hereinFew such discussed herein from theimportant point of factors view ofareindustries/plant from third the parties point and of view of industries/plant owners, instrumentation. owners, third parties and instrumentation. 5 55 ENGINEER - - - - - -- 4.1 Implementation Difficulties 4.1 Implementation Difficulties standards The implementation of environmental The implementation of environmental standards for small & medium industries is rather difficult for small & medium industries is rather difficult compared with these for large combustion compared with these formentioned large combustion systems due to the under reasons. systems due to the under mentioned reasons. New standard pre facility requirements such as New standardsample pre facility requirements such as platforms, points, safe ladders etc. platforms, points, ladderssystems etc. cannot be sample introduced to thesafe existing cannot introduced to the existing systems due tobestructural weakness, failures, corrosion, due to availability structural weakness, failures, corrosion, space etc. space etc. Lowavailability income industries cannot bear the high Low income industries cannot high capital (expenses) to modify bear theirtheexisting capital (expenses) to modify their existing combustion systems to meet standard combustion requirements.systems to meet standard requirements. Industries that periodically operate (i.e. 2-4 Industries periodically times per that month); especiallyoperate foundry,(i.e. DG 2-4 sets times sets etc. per willmonth); have especially to meetfoundry, same DG standard etc. will haveliketoother meet same standard requirements continuous operating requirements like other continuous operating plants. plants. The systems that have been already purchased; The systems the that waste have been already purchased; especially combustion incinerators, especially the waste combustion incinerators, crematoria etc. have not incorporated with crematoria etc. have notand incorporated withas emission control devices techniques such emission controlwet devices and techniques as dual chamber, scrubbers, standard such retention dual wet scrubbers, standard retention timechamber, etc. time Theetc. chimney height can not be extended; The chimney height can not kilns, be extended; especially in DG sets, furnaces, cupola etc., especially sets, furnaces, kilns, cupola etc., to meet in theDG standard requirement due to the toexisting meet the standard requirement due to plant the system set up, space availability, existing systemstructural set up, space availability, plant performance, failures etc. performance, structural failures etc. Low graded fuel; especially fossil fuels having Low fuel;unexpected especially foreign fossil fuels having highgraded moisture, particles etc. high unexpected foreign particles etc. can moisture, not be controlled by plant owners. can not be controlled by charges plant owners. Expensive monitoring due to the limited Expensive monitoring charges the demand. limited number of monitoring partiesdue andtotheir number of monitoring parties and their demand. -- 4.2 Monitoring Difficulties in View of 4.2 Monitoring Difficulties in View of Third Parties Parties Even Third though the combustion systems are Even though the are incorporated withcombustion continuoussystems monitoring incorporated with continuous monitoring facility or not, the third party inspection and facility or not, thereports third party inspection and recommendation are required to confirm recommendation reports are combustion required to confirm whether the particular systems whether the the particular combustion systems comply with environmental regulations and comply with the below environmental regulations and are operated the standards emission are operated the standards emissionbe levels. Such below monitoring parties should levels. Such under monitoring partiesEnvironmental should be registered the Central registered Authority.under the Central Environmental Authority. ENGINEER ENGINEER ENGINEER 6 6 56 Out of 47 numbers of registered licensees in Out of for 47 numbers registered licensees CEA the year of2012, only 12 parties;in 5 CEA for the year 2012, only 12 parties; 5 government organizations and 7 private government organizations and 7 private institutions, have been involved in institutions, been practices. involved in environmentalhave monitoring However environmental many of themmonitoring are having practices. capacities However to monitor many of them are having capacities to monitor fugitive air quality but they do not have capacity fugitive air quality but they do not have capacity to monitor combustion emission. Out of those 12 toregistered monitor combustion Out of those 12 parties, emission. only three government registered parties, only three organizations are having capacitygovernment to monitor organizations are having capacity to monitor PM and gaseous emissions. However, no one PM and gaseous emissions. However, no one has facility to monitor all the basic emission has facility to monitor all the basic emission parameters highlighted in the standards. parameters highlighted in the standards. Further the under mentioned difficulties are met Further under mentioned difficulties are met by thethe monitoring parties while practicing the bymeasurements. the monitoring parties while practicing the measurements. - Personal safety - - Personal safetyprotection & safety, handling Instrument - difficulties Instrument protection & safety, handling difficulties - Interferences of modified devices, such as - moisture Interferences of modified as and water vapor devices, releasedsuch by wet moisture and water vapor released by wet scrubbers/wet bottom etc. scrubbers/wet bottom etc.to uneven combustion - Repeatability due - [Variations Repeatability to uneven combustion of due process demand during [Variations monitoring] of process demand during monitoring] - Lack of knowledge under different - combustion Lack ofsystems knowledge under different combustion - High systems expenses required to maintain - accreditation High expenses required to maintain laboratory. accreditation laboratory. 4.3 Monitoring Difficulties in View of 4.3 Monitoring Difficulties in View of Instrumentation Instrumentation As discussed under the section 3.0, it is As discussed that under the instrumentations section 3.0, it and is understood special understood that special instrumentations andto skill operators’ assistance are required skill operators’ required The to monitor the assistance emission are parameters. monitor the recommended emission parameters. instruments for particular The tests instruments recommended for particular are uncommon and expensive. Further, tests some are uncommon expensive. some instruments andand chemicals, like Further, opacity meters, instruments chemicals, opacity meters, reagent, heavylike metal detectors etc., SOX& NOXand & NO reagent, heavy metal detectors etc., SO X X are not locally available. are not locally available. The emission monitoring instrumentations shall The monitoring instrumentations shall be emission subjected to an annual calibration for beaccurate subjected an annual calibrationIn for and to standard measurements. this accurate standard instruments measurements. regard, and the particular shallInbethis sent regard, particular instruments shall be out sentof to the the principal suppliers; most probably tothe thecountry, principalfor suppliers; most probably out take of re calibration and it will the country, for re calibration and it will take nearly 2-3 months. nearly 2-3 months. Sudden failures of instruments; such as malfunctioning, sensor failures, physical damages etc. will also affect the regular monitoring practices. 5. maintaining a minimum 20 m stack height and fuel quality. Usually, standby generators are not incorporated with such type of taller stacks. Most of the standby generators are having only silencer with 6”- 8” diameter & 1’ - 5’ length (depending on the capacity). Further it is practically impossible to extend or introduce a 20m chimney to the standby generators, since such modifications will directly affect the plant performance. Typical arrangements are illustrated in Figure 6. Discussion and Recommendations Author has made the under mentioned recommendations through industrial experiences related to exhaust gas monitoring and existing plant behaviors of stationary combustion systems, such as large scale combustion systems, standby generators, industrial boilers & thermic fluid heaters, incinerators and cupolas, furnaces, kilns etc. 5.1 Large Scale Combustion Systems Almost all the large scale combustion systems have been incorporated with the particulate matter and effluent gas controlling mechanisms, such as bag filters, cyclone separators, wet scrubbers etc. and inbuilt continuous operating emissions gas monitoring systems. In addition to that pre facility requirements such as working platform, lifting arrangements, sampling ports etc. have also been made available for periodical monitoring purposes. Such an arrangement is illustrated in Figure 5. Figure 6 - Silencers in Standby Generators In many industries, diesel generators have been used only for the emergency purposes (during the National power failures). Hence the emission released to the environment is comparatively less, because the average operating time and related fuel consumption are less. Therefore the impacts of gaseous emissions to the environment through standby generators are comparatively less. Even though pre facilities are required to monitor PM (normally not available), instrumentations (Pitot tube, nozzle, filter holders etc.) do not match with such types of small stack diameters. Figure 5 -Pre-Facility Requirements for Large Scale Combustion Systems However it will not be a practical issue to monitor the opacity level using “Ringlemann” method in such types of shorter stacks. But monitoring of Opacity will also be an issue, if the stackheight increases up to 20m [Ref. – Sections 3.2.1]. Therefore implementation of proposed standards for large scale combustion systems is practicable. 5.2 Standby Generators The available standards guide to control PM, SOX& NOX emission of standby generators by ENGINEER 7 57 ENGINEER 5.3 Boilers and Thermic Fluid Heaters Boilers and thermic fluid heaters are commonly used combustion systems in industries to obtain thermal energy demand. Almost all the combustion systems in these categories are incorporated with Mild Steel stacks having diameters ranging from 8” to 24” and height ranging from 5m to 10m. Some stacks have been directly extended through the boiler house roof top and the others are extended by the branch connection between boiler and the stack. The arrangements are illustrated in Figure. 7. systems, not only the fuel combustion emissions, but other harmful gaseous substances from waste combustion also are emitted to the atmosphere. Therefore not only the SOX and NOX, the other toxic gases too have to be monitored in incinerators. [Ref.Table 1.0]. However many incinerators have not incorporated pre facility requirements to monitor either PM, opacity or any other gaseous parameters. Further the systems having water scrubbers and more than 20 m height stacks are rarely found. Even through the emission regulations for waste combustion are stricter than for the other combustion systems, it can be seen that non standardized plants (emitting gaseous pollutants) are being operated island wide. This is basically due to non recommended waste combustion, over charging (waste), employing unskilled operators, mismatched plant specifications (stack height, retention time, number of burners etc.), and incineration temperature etc. The measurement and implementation issues discussed under section 5.3 are also applicable in this category of plants. In addition to that, some stacks are made out of fire bricks and therefore one cannot introduce monitoring pre facility and water scrubbing etc. The arrangement is illustrated in Figure 8. Figure 7 - Stack Arrangement of Boilers and Thermic Heaters However in many stacks, it is practically impossible to extend the stacks to meet the standard requirements for gaseous emission controlling and to introduce pre facility requirements for PM monitoring. The main reasons found are structural failure, additional space requirements and effects to the draught etc. In addition to that the opacity monitoring by Ringelman method is not practical in many cases due to the similar issues discussed under Section 3.2.1.Therefore only solution to monitor exhaust gas emissions of boilers and thermic heaters is to introduce new stacks instead of the existing stacks to meet the standard requirements. Figure 8 – Stack Arrangement of Incinerators Further the instrumentations available to monitor HCl, Mercury, Lead; Dioxin and Furans emission are hardy found. 5.4 Waste Combustion Incinerators Waste combustion incinerators are the worst stationary combustion systems among the different combustion systems discussed in this standard. Because, unlike the other combustion ENGINEER ENGINEER This standard has also guided to monitor the secondary chamber temperature around 1,100 0C - 1,2500C and the retention time is around 2-3 8 58 seconds to control the Dioxins and Furans seconds to control the those Dioxinstwo and monitoring Furans emissions. Out of emissions. Outthe of those two parameters, temperature can monitoring be monitored parameters, thetemperature temperaturesensors. can beBut monitored using high such type using temperature sensors. But suchare typenot of high sensors and instrumentations of commonly sensors and instrumentations available. In addition toare that,not there commonly available. addition that,that there are no any practicalIn methods to to ensure such areplants no anyoperate practicalunder methods to ensure that such recommended/designed plants operate under recommended/designed retention time. retention time. Therefore while considering the above Therefore while considering the to above limitations, the most practical method control limitations, mostincinerators practical method control a emission the from is to to introduce emission from incinerators is to introduce water scrubber to the system. However it isanot water scrubber to the system. However it is notdue practical to modify the existing incinerators practical to modifynumber the existing due to unlimited of incinerators design parameter to variation. unlimited But number of design parameter permission can be given to variation. be givenhaving to purchaseBut or permission set up newcan incinerators purchase or set up new incinerators having water scrubbers, multi chambers, standard stack water scrubbers, multi chambers, standard stack height etc. height etc. 5.5 Cupolas, Furnaces, Ovens and Kilns 5.5 The stack Cupolas, Furnaces, Ovens arrangements under and this Kilns category of Thecombustion stack arrangements under this category systems are closely similar toofthe combustion systems under are closely similar5.3toand the5.4. systems described the sections systems described under the sections 5.3 and 5.4. But the types and quantity of gaseous emissions Butdepend the types of gaseous onand thequantity fuel used, plantsemissions capacities, depend on process, the fueland used, plantstime. capacities, material operating However material process, and operating time. However some processes under this category are not some processesoperations under this not continuous andcategory those areareoperated continuous and those are operated once per operations week or fortnight or sometimes once a once per week or fortnight or sometimes once a month. month. Domestic level foundry industry belongs to this Domestic level foundry industry belongs to this3-5 category. Many plants have been operated category. plants have per beenmonth. operated hrsper Many day and 2-4 times The3-5 fuels hrsper 2-4Cu times per month. Theare fuels usedday for and Al and melting processes burnt used and melting processes are burnt oil for andAlfor theCu cast iron melting process is coal. oil Like and for the cast iron process is coal. an incinerator notmelting only the fuel combustion Like an incinerator notimpurities only the fuel combustion emissions, but also of melting metals emissions, butwith alsothe impurities of melting metals are mixed exhaust gases. are mixed with the exhaust gases. While considering the operating times per While considering theof metal operating times and perthe month, the quantity processing month, the of quantity of metal processing and the amount fuel combustion, it is not economical amount of fuel combustion, is not economical to introduce pre facility itrequirements or wet to scrubbing introduce systems pre facility requirements or of wet to processing plants such scrubbing systems to processing plants of such category. The arrangement is illustrated in category. Figure 9.The arrangement is illustrated in Figure 9. ENGINEER ENGINEER 9 Figure 9 - Stack arrangement of Furnaces Figure 9 - Stack arrangement of Furnaces However, out of the parameters mentioned in However, out of the parameters mentioned in this standard;it is possible to practice the opacity thistest standard;it is possible tomethod. practice the opacity using “Ringlemann” test using “Ringlemann” method. 5.6 Crematoria 5.6 In this Crematoria standard, it is described that the emission In this it is described that the emission by fromstandard, crematoria shall be controlled from crematoria shall control be controlled introducing emission devices. by Even introducing emission control devices. Even though the particular controlling devices are not though the particular devices are notBut mentioned, it maycontrolling be a water scrubber. mentioned, it may a wateragain scrubber. introducing waterbescrubber might But be an introducing water water scrubber might be an to issue to release withagain toxic contaminants issue water with toxic contaminants to theto release environment. Therefore only possible thesolution environment. Therefore only possible for crematoria is to maintain chimney solution crematoria maintain chimney heightfor according to is thetostandards. Further in height according to the standards. Further in general, crematoria are single chamber general, crematoria singleintroducing chamber a combustion system. are Therefore combustion Thereforeto the introducing a secondary system. burner (attached stack) to burn secondary burner (attached stack) to burn the exhaust toxic gases to at the higher temperature thewill exhaust toxic gases higher temperature help to reduce theatDioxin emission. Further willit help reduce the Dioxin emission. Further is nottopossible to implement any toxic gases or it isPM not monitoring possible to implement toxic gases or proceduresany during cremation PMdue monitoring procedures issues. during cremation to cultural/traditional due to cultural/traditional issues. 6. 6. Conclusion Conclusion The outcomes of this paper will be useful to the Theregulatory outcomes of this paper will be useful to the bodies for updating the proposed regulatory for in updating the proposed emission bodies standards more practical, flexible, emission standards inways. more practical, and convenient For an flexible, example, andrequirement convenientof ways. For categorizing an example,the separately requirement of separately categorizing the periodically operating plants and continuous periodically operating plants and continuous operating plants, since the quantity of emission operating since the quantity of emission release plants, to the environment are different. Further release to the environment different. Further to the contents of this paperare will help industries themodify contentstheir of this papersystems will helpaccording industriestotothe existing modify their existing systems according to new standard, pre facility requirements etc.the Also new standard, pre facility requirements etc. Also 9 59 ENGINEER the techniques discussed under measurements will help monitoring parties to update their knowledge under the emission monitoring systems. Finally the author expect contribution from regulatory bodies, industries and monitoring parties to mitigate the environmental impacts by reducing emission release to the atmospherevia stationary combustion systems. 6. Proposed Environmental Standards for Stationary Combustion Sources; Central Environmental Authority, Sri Lanka. 7. “KM 9106” Flue Gas Analyzer Operation Manual, Kane International Limited, Kane House, Swallowfield, Welweyn Garden City, Hertfordshire, AL 7 IJG. 8. “ENVIROTECH APM 621” Stack Monitoring Kit Operation Manual, VAYUBODHAN UPKARAN (Pvt.)Ltd. A 292/1, OkhlaIndustrial Area Phase 1, New Delhi – 110 020. 9. Sri Lanka Environment Outlook 2009, Ministry of Environment & Natural Resource, United Nations Environment Programme. Acknowledgement I would acknowledge Engineer D R Pulleperuma, the former Chairman, National Engineering Research & Development Centre (NERDC) for providing his valuable input to make this paper a success. Further I take pleasure in thanking Engineer D D Ananda Namal, the Director General, NERDC, for granting permission to publish this paper. I also appreciate the comments made by the Director of the Renewable Energy Department Eng. Nandana Edirisinghe and Senior Research Scientist (Mrs.) Nayana Pathiraja, of NERDC, to make this paper a Success. References 1. International Standards; ISO 10155 Stationary Source Emissions – Automated Monitoring of mass Concentrations of Particles – Performance Characteristics, Test methods and Specifications. 2. International Standards; ISO 7935 Stationary Source Emissions – Determinations of the Mass Concentration of Sulfur Dioxide – Performance Characteristics of Automated Measuring Methods. 3. International Standards; ISO 10396 – Stationary Source Emissions - Sampling for the Automated Determination of Gas Concentrations. 4. Technical Guide Not (Monitoring) M I – Sampling Requirements for Stack Emission Monitoring; Environment Agency, Version 4, July 2006. 5. Technical Guide Note (Monitoring) M 2 – Monitoring of Stack Emissions to Air; Environment Agency Version 4, July 2006. ENGINEER ENGINEER 10 60 ENGINEER -- Vol. Vol.XLVIII, XLVIII,No. No.01, 01,pp. pp. [page 2015 range], 2015 ENGINEER [61-70], © The The Institution InstitutionofofEngineers, Engineers, Lanka © SriSri Lanka Projecting Turbidity Levels in Future River Flow: A Mathematical Modelling Approach T. N. Wickramaarachchi, H. Ishidaira, J. Magome and T. M. N. Wijayaratna Abstract: Climate and land use change impacts on river flow were evaluated in this study with emphasis placed on turbidity. Turbidity levels for the year 2020 were projected for Gin River, one of the prime sources of drinking water in Southern Sri Lanka. Future land use in the Gin catchment was predicted using a GIS based statistical regression approach. Regional Climate Modelling system generated the future rainfall for the SRES A2 and SRES A1B emission scenarios. Streamflow simulations were carried out using a distributed hydrologic model, and turbidity values were determined using rating curve based relationship developed between river discharge and TSS (Total Suspended Solid) concentration followed by Turbidity-TSS linear regression correlation. Increased turbidity levels are clearly evident under the SRES A2 scenario, following more pronounced increased streamflows. Projected 75th percentile monthly turbidity values in year 2020 are expected to increase during May to November compared to the baseline, andin certain months, about 100%increase is noted. 60% of the time, year 2020 turbidity levels have indicated exceedance of the water quality standards set for the potable water as well the inland waters of Sri Lanka, which would lead to exert extra challenge on future drinking water production in Southern region of Sri Lanka. Keywords: 1. Climate change, Land use change, Hydrologic modelling, Streamflow, Turbidity Introduction physical, and biological characteristics, but is a value-laden term because it implies quality in relation to some standard. Stream water quality, however, also will be affected by streamflow volumes, affecting both concentrations and total loads [5].Turbidity is an important indicator of the quality of water. Thus, monitoring turbidity levels to meet water quality standards is vital to prevent adverse effects on human health and aquatic life, and to enhance aesthetic and recreational values. Particularly, turbidity in drinking water can interfere with disinfection and provide a medium for microbial growth. Turbidity and streamflow are related because streamflow can affect suspension of the sediment and related constituents causing turbidity [6]. Land use composition variation and climate change impacts on quantity and quality of river flows have gained significant attention in watershed hydrology. There is abundant evidence from observational records and climate projection studies that water resources are vulnerable and have the potential to be strongly impacted by climate change [1]. According to IPCC AR4 [2], freshwater availability in Central, South, East and Southeast Asia, particularly in large river basins, is projected to decrease by year 2050. Also it has been shown in several studies that, many non-climatic drivers including land use change bring in variety of impacts on freshwater resources both in quantity and quality [3]. Eng. (Dr) (Mrs) T. N. Wickramaarachchi, B.Sc. Eng(Hons) (Moratuwa), MPhil (Moratuwa), PhD (Yamanashi), MJSCE(Japan), C.Eng, MIE(SL), Senior Lecturer, Dept. of Civil & Env. Engineering, University of Ruhuna. Hydrological and sediment load responses to combined effect of climate change and land use change in humid tropical region remain less explored. Yet, environmental change in this region is supposed to alter the precipitation regime and other aspects of the hydrological cycle [4]. Hence studies in humid tropical watersheds are crucial to understand flow regime changes and consequent effects on river water quality. Water quality is a function of chemical, Eng. (Dr) H. Ishidaira, B.Sc. Eng(Nagaoka ), M.Eng (Nagaoka), D.Eng (Nagaoka), Associate Professor, Interdis. Graduate School of Medicine and Engineering, University of Yamanashi, Japan. Eng. (Dr) J. Magome, B.Sc.Eng (Yamanashi), M.Eng (Yamanashi), D.Eng (Yamanashi), Assistant Professor, Interdis. Graduate School of Medicine and Engineering, University of Yamanashi, Japan. Eng. (Dr) T. M. N. Wijayaratna, B.Sc. Eng(Hons) (Moratuwa), M.Eng (AIT), D.Eng (Yokohama), C.Eng, MIE(Sri Lanka), Senior Lecturer, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Moratuwa. 1 61 ENGINEER ENGINEER According to Sri Lanka‟s policy frame work, targets have been set to achieve 94% safe drinking water supply by year 2015 and 100% by year 2020 [7]. Identifying plausible impacts on future river water quality is vital in the context of drinking water production in achieving the set targets, despite the facts of increasing population pressure and declining water quality and quantity owing to various anthropogenic activities and natural processes. year. Rainfall increases from downstream to upstream of the catchment. In the downstream, annual rainfall is less than 2500 mm, while it is above 3500 mm in the upstream. Gin catchment‟s land is mainly used for natural and plantation forest, agriculture and settlements. Cultivations include paddy and export-oriented crops such as tea, rubber, and cinnamon. Catchment lies approximately between 80°08" E to 80°40" E and 6°04" N to 6°30" N, covering 932 km2 and encompassing four districts namely Galle, Matara, Kalutara, and Rathnapura. Nearly 83% of the catchment area belongs to the Galle district and district‟s water supply system mainly depends on the water resources in Gin River basin. The aim of this study is to evaluate the impacts on future river waterquality, subsequent to future flow regime alterations in a typical watershed in the wet zone of Sri Lanka. Riverwater quality assessment in the study is done in terms of turbidity. The study site is the Gin River basin (Figure 1) and turbidity levels are determined in Gin River flow at Baddegama (6°11'23" N, 80°11'53" E), intake point to the water treatment plant. Gin River is the most important water source to cover the drinking water supply requirement in the Galle district in Southern Sri Lanka. Recent studies exhibited degradation trend of water quality in Gin River as well significant change in land use in Gin catchment [8,9]. Lack of previous impact studies to assess similar environmental changes in humid tropical catchments including the Gin catchment makes this modelling effort important. 3. Data and Analysis 3.1 Climate (Precipitation) Change Year 2020 rainfall was estimated from the PRECIS run using HadRM3P, 25 km x 25 km resolution Regional Climate Modeling (RCM) system developed by the UK Met Office Hadley Centre. Hadley Centre RCM had been successfully applied to simulate climate in the Indian subcontinent region [10]. In projecting year 2020 rainfall for the Gin catchment, two experiments were run by the UK Met Office Hadley Centre covering SRES A2 scenario and SRES A1B scenario. Gin River’s Catchment Location Rainfall (mm) 100 Baddegama 10 1 0.1 2020_A2 0.01 2020_A1B 0.001 2001-2004 0.0001 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percentage of time rainfall was equaled or exceeded Figure 1- Gin River, its catchment location, and Baddegama river gauging station. Figure 2- Rainfall vs. percentage of time rainfall was equalled or exceeded. 2. This study used a scaling method that considered daily patterns of rainfall change simulated by the RCM to estimate climate change impacted precipitation over the Gin catchment [11,12]. In the daily scaling method, ranked daily rainfall differences between RCM and baseline (2001-2004) were expressed as ratios relative to the baseline rainfall and these ratios were then used to scale 30 years historical catchment rainfall to produce year 2020 rainfall. Study Area Gin River originates from the Gongala Mountains and flows to the Indian Ocean at Ginthota. Climate conditions in the catchment are influenced by the monsoon, which has two seasons each year, Northeast Monsoon between November and February, and Southwest Monsoon between May and September followed by the inter-monsoon rains during the remaining months of the ENGINEER ENGINEER 2 62 Compared to 2001-2004, magnitude of the total annual rainfall in year 2020 is expected to decrease on average by about 8% and 40% under the SRES A2 and SRES A1B, respectively, with a standard deviation of 174 mm between the scenarios. Occurrence of high intense rainfall events (between the 95th and 100th percentile) is more pronounced under the SRES A2 (Figure 2). 𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑜𝑔𝑔 Spatial policies Conversion elasticity (Reversibility ofland use change) Total Probability Land use demand Future land use demand was quantitatively determined using population forecast along with growth ratio; the ratio of developed land growth to population growth [13]. 𝑃𝑃ͳ (2) Allocation of land use change Allocation of land use change was made in an iterative procedure given the probability maps, spatial policies and conversion elasticities in combination with the actual land use map in 1983 and the demand for the different land use types (Figure 3) [16]. Spatial policies are employed to indicate the areas where the land use changes are restricted through policies or tenure status. The conversion elasticity is related to the reversibility of land use change. By reclassifying the available land use types in the catchment, five major land use types; „forest‟, „paddy cultivation‟, „other cultivation‟, „homestead/ garden‟, and „other‟, have been identified to represent the catchment land use better. „Other cultivation‟ category includes export-oriented crops; tea, rubber and cinnamon. „Other‟ category basically includes water bodies. 𝑃𝑃ʹ −𝑃𝑃ͳ ൌ 𝛽𝛽Ͳǡ𝑢𝑢 𝛽𝛽ͳǡ𝑢𝑢 𝑋𝑋ͳǡ𝑖𝑖 𝛽𝛽ʹǡ𝑢𝑢 𝑋𝑋ʹǡ𝑖𝑖 Ǥ Ǥ 𝛽𝛽𝑛𝑛ǡ𝑢𝑢 𝑋𝑋𝑛𝑛ǡ𝑖𝑖 where,𝑃𝑃𝑖𝑖ǡ𝑢𝑢 is the probability of grid cell i for the occurrence of the considered land use type u; 𝛽𝛽 isthe regression coefficient; and X is the driving factor [16]. 3.2 Change in Catchment Land Use The study employed a spatially explicit land use change analysis across the Gin catchment in projecting year 2020 catchment land use. 𝐴𝐴ʹ ൌ 𝐴𝐴ͳ ͳ 𝑅𝑅 𝑃𝑃 𝑖𝑖ǡ𝑢𝑢 ͳ−𝑃𝑃 𝑖𝑖ǡ𝑢𝑢 Probability (Pi,u) Allocation Iteration loop Demanded area per land use type Iteration variable Figure 3 - Schematic representation of the iterative procedure for land use change allocation in CLUE-S modelling framework [16]. (1) where,𝐴𝐴ʹ and 𝐴𝐴ͳ are future and current area of considered land use type (km2), respectively; 𝑃𝑃ʹ and 𝑃𝑃ͳ are future and current population, respectively; and Ris the growth ratio, the ratio between growth rate of considered land use type between 1983 and 1999 (%) and population growth rate (%). Validation of logistic regression analysis was tested using the Relative Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis.ROCvalues range between 0.5 and 1; 0.5 for completely random and 1 for the perfect fit, respectively. Comparatively high ROC test statistics (ranging between 0.62 and 0.87) indicated that spatial distribution of all land use types were reasonably explained by the selected driving factors. Past and present population of the area and the average annual population growth rates were obtained from the census of 1981 and 2011 [14]. Future population up to year 2020 was determined according to the „standard‟ rate of growth of population, Sri Lanka [15]. Observed land use map in 1999 was used in validating the predictions. By means of correlation matrix, 1999 projected land use data were evaluated as a percentage of locations predicted correctly. Result of validation showed that the agreement between the observed and projected land use in 1999 was quite reasonable. Overall, the percentage of total pixels being correctly projected ranged from 58% to 72%. Probability maps The relative probability of occurrence of a certain land use type at a particular location was defined using binary logistic regression approach influenced by socioeconomic, proximity and biophysical driving factors (Table 1). The probability of a certain grid cell to be devoted to a land use type is given by; 3 63 ENGINEER ENGINEER Table 1 - Land use change driving factors. Type Socioeconomic Driving factor Population density Description Population density (persons/km2) Proximity Distance to nearest river Distance to nearest road Direct distance to nearest river (m) Direct distance to nearest road (m) Biophysical Altitude Slope Soil texture Elevation above the Mean Sea Level (m) Slope (based on 1km DEM) Sandy clay loam soil, Clay loam soil, and Clay soil (a) (b) Figure 4 - Observed and projected land use. (a) 1983 observed land use (b) Year 2020 projected land use. 3.3 Hydrologic Modelling University of Yamanashi Distributed Hydrological Model (YHyM) with block wise use of TOPMODEL and Muskingum Cunge method (BTOPMC) was applied in quantifying the impacts of climate and land use change on the river flow regime. YHyM/BTOPMC has already been successfully applied to many basins, large to small, temperate to tropical, around the world [18, 19]. Year 2020 catchment land use Year 2020 land use projection for the Gin catchment envisaged a predominant replacement of cultivated areas in 1983 by forest and homestead/garden (Figure 4). From 1983 to 2020, drop of cultivated areas from 51% to 34% is observed. Area covered by the homestead/garden is expected to rise from 18% in 1983 to 32% in 2020. This principally reflects the rapid expansion of homestead/garden to keep pace with population growth. According to Wickramaarachchi et al.[9], Gin catchment‟s land use change can be summarized over the past thirty years as a result of change in agricultural practices and increase in population. Moreover, the land use change trends projected in this study are consistent with the changing trends in homestead/garden and cultivated areas between early 80‟s and mid 90‟s, in Galle, as presented in the ADB report[17]. ENGINEER ENGINEER In the YHyM, runoff is generated based on the TOPMODEL concept [20] and flow routing is carried out using the Muskingum Cunge method [21]. The hydrological processes in a grid cell in the BTOP model are illustrated in Figure 5[19]. The runoff from a grid cell to the local schematic stream reach is the sum of saturation excess overland flow (qof) and groundwater discharge (qb) per unit length of contour line; 4 64 validating the model, respectively. Model validating respectively. performancethewasmodel, evaluated by the Model Nashperformance was evaluated by the ratio NashSutcliffe Efficiency (E) and the volume of Sutcliffe Efficiency (E) and the volume ratio of total simulated discharge to total observed total simulated discharge to total observed discharge (Vr) (Table 2). discharge (Vr) (Table 2). 2 2 n (5) in1 Qobs Q sim (5) i i E 1 i 1 Qobsi Q simi 2 E 1 n in1 Qobs Qobs 2 i 1 Qobsi Qobs (3) qof i, t Suz i, t SDi, t (3) qof i, t Suz i, t SDi, t where, Suz is the unsaturated zone storage; and is the unsaturated and where, Suzsaturation SD is the deficit forzone the 𝑖𝑖 thstorage; grid cell at th grid cell at SD is the saturation deficit for the 𝑖𝑖 time 𝑡𝑡Ǥ time 𝑡𝑡Ǥ i inn1 Q sim Vr in1 Q simii Vr in1 Qobs i 1 Qobsi isi where, 𝑄𝑄 (6) (6) the observed discharge;𝑄𝑄𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑖𝑚𝑚 𝑖𝑖 is 𝑜𝑜𝑏𝑏𝑠𝑠 𝑖𝑖 observed discharge;𝑄𝑄 where, 𝑄𝑄𝑜𝑜𝑏𝑏𝑠𝑠 𝑖𝑖 is the 𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑖𝑚𝑚 𝑖𝑖 is the simulated discharge;𝑄𝑄 𝑜𝑜𝑏𝑏𝑠𝑠 is the average average the simulated discharge;𝑄𝑄 observed discharge; and 𝑛𝑛𝑜𝑜𝑏𝑏𝑠𝑠is is thethe number of observed discharge; and 𝑛𝑛 is the number of time steps. time steps. Table 2 - HyM/BTOPMC model performance. Table 2 - HyM/BTOPMC model performance. Calibration Validation Calibration Validation Baddegama Tawalama Baddegama Tawalama E% E% Vr% Vr% Baddegama 67.63 67.63 93.15 93.15 Tawalama 53.75 53.75 105.50 105.50 Baddegama 62.73 62.73 84.94 84.94 Tawalama 48.31 48.31 104.24 104.24 Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency values ranging Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency values acceptable ranging between 48% and 67% indicated between 48% and 67% indicated acceptable level of model performance. Measured and level of model performance. Measured and YHyM/BTOPMC simulated streamflow YHyM/BTOPMC simulated streamflow showed a good agreement and overall, the showed a good agreement andsimulate overall, the model was able to adequately the model was able to adequately simulate the major hydrological characteristics in Gin major hydrological characteristics in Gin catchment including runoff volume, catchment including runoff states volume, evapotranspiration and soil moisture of evapotranspiration and soil moisture states of the catchment. the catchment. Figure 5 - Runoff generation in a grid cell in Figure 5 - model Runoff(the generation in a grid cell in the BTOP vertical profile). the BTOP model (the vertical profile). In this diagram, Pis the gross rainfall, ET0is the In this diagram, Pis the gross ET0is the the interception interception evaporation, Imax israinfall, is the interception interception evaporation, I max storage capacity, Isis the interception state, Infmax storage capacity, Iscapacity, is the interception state, Infmax rainfall is the infiltration Pais the net is the net rainfall is the infiltration capacity, P on the land surface, ETa is the actual on the land surface, is the capacity actual the storage evapotranspiration, Srmaxis ET is the storage capacity evapotranspiration, S rmax of the root zone, Srzis the soil moisture state in of thezone, root zone, the soil moisture state in in root SD Sisrzissoil moisture deficit root zone, SD is soil moisture deficit in unsaturated zone, Suzis the soil moisture state in is the soil moisture state in unsaturated unsaturated zone, zone, Squz ofis the overland runoff, qifis unsaturated zone, q is the overland of ifis the saturation excess runoff, runoff, qvis qthe is the the saturation excess runoff, q v groundwater recharge, and qbis groundwater groundwater and qbis groundwater release. θwilt, θrecharge, fc, θsare soil water contents at , θ , θ are soil at release. θ wilt fcfield s wilting point, capacitywater and contents saturation, wilting point, field capacity and saturation, respectively. respectively. 3.4 3.4 Turbidity-Total Suspended Solid (TSS) Turbidity-Total Suspended Solid (TSS) Correlation Correlation Turbidity measurements are theoretically well Turbidity theoretically well correlated measurements to suspendedare solid concentration correlated to suspended solid concentration because turbidity represents a measure of water because turbidity represents a measure of water clarity that is directly influenced by suspended clarity that is directly influenced by suspended solids. Hence turbidity based estimation solids. Hencebeenturbidity estimation models have identifiedbased as effective tools models have been identified as effective tools for generating suspended solid concentration for generating suspended solid concentration data [22]. Usually, turbidity-TSS relationships data been [22]. reported Usually, on turbidity-TSS relationships have site by site basis. have been reported on site by site basis. SDi, t qb i , t T0 i exp SD i , t tan i (4) qb i , t T0 i exp mk tan i (4) mk where, SD indicates the saturation deficit;T0 is where, SD indicatesand the saturation 0 is the transmissivity; m(k) is thedeficit;T discharge the transmissivity; and m(k) is the discharge decay factor in sub basin k. decay factor in sub basin k. A direct correlation between turbidity and A direct correlation between turbidity and suspended solid concentration has been suspended solid concentration has been documented in many studies conducted around documented in many around the world [23, 24]. studies In Sri conducted Lankan context, the world [23, 24]. In Sri Lankan context, turbidity-TSS concentration relation has been turbidity-TSS concentration relation has been quantified through linear regression analysis quantified through linear regression analysis study carried out recently in Gin River at study carried out recently in GinE)River at Baddegama (6°11'23" N, 80°11'53" [25]. In Baddegama (6°11'23" N, 80°11'53" E) [25]. In the above study, the linear regression model the above study, the linear regression developed between turbidity and model TSS developed between turbidity and TSS The generated overland flow and groundwater The overland flowto and flowgenerated of each cell are added thegroundwater stream and flow of each cell are added to the stream and then routed to the basin outlet. then routed to the basin outlet. Model calibration and validation Modelstreamflow calibration and Daily datavalidation from 1997 to 2001 and Daily streamflow data from 1997 to 2001 and from 2002 to 2006 were used for calibratingand from 2002 to 2006 were used for calibratingand 5 5 65 ENGINEER ENGINEER ENGINEER concentration (Equation 7) showed highly significant (p< 0.0001) strong positive correlation (R2= 0.98) and strongly suggested that turbidity is a suitable monitoring parameter for TSS. model developed for TSS (Equation 9) showed higher coefficient of determination (R2=0.85) reflecting a strong relationship between the estimated and measured TSS loads. Y=1.0457X Ln(L) = 10.88 + 1.69 LnQ -0.08 LnQ2 + 0.03 Sin(2 π T) + 0.30 Cos(2 π T) -0.02 T + 0.02 T2(9) (7) where,Y is the TSS concentration (mg/l); and X is the Turbidity (Nephelometric Turbidity Units). where, L is the constituent load; Qis the is the coefficient of streamflow; R2 determination for the regression model;LnQ= Ln(streamflow) - center of Ln(streamflow); T= decimal time - center of decimal time. Explanatory variables are centered to eliminate the co-linearity. Relationships are considered to be significant at p< 0.05. 3.5 TSS Load-Discharge Model Development In general, total mass loading over an arbitrary time period, τ, is given by; (8) where,C is the concentration;Lτ is the total load;Q is the instantaneous streamflow; and t is the time. 4. 4.1 Integrated Impact of Climate Change and Land Use Change on year 2020 Streamflow By driving the calibrated and validated YHyM/BTOPMC with RCM generated rainfall and projected land use in the Gin catchment, year 2020 daily streamflow at Baddegama was generated. Figure 6 shows year 2020 streamflow hydrographs for the SRES A2 and SRES A1B scenarios, as simulated by the YHyM/BTOPMC. Moreover, the hydrological response to the two forcing SRES scenarios as simulated by the YHyM/BTOPMC is illustrated using the flow duration curves (Figure 7). Increased peak flow (largely due to rainfall generated runoff) is more pronounced for the SRES A2 scenario compared to the baseline 2001-2004, as a result of increased extreme rainfall events in future. According to the simulated annual water balance, evapotranspiration, ground water recharge and base flow are expected to slightly decrease under both scenarios owing to decreased future rainfall and substantial replacement of catchment‟s pervious areas in future. Year 2020 total annual flow volume is predicted to increase for the SRES A2 scenario by 4% and decrease for the SRES A1B scenario by 50% compared to 2001-2004. Accurate estimation of constituent loads in streams is crucial for many applications, including identifying sources of nutrient loads in the catchments and assessing trends in the loads [26, 27]. LOADEST, Load-discharge rating curve [28], a computer programme developed by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) was used in this study to develop multiple regression model and estimate daily loads of suspended solids. Time series streamflow data and constituent concentrations are used in the LOADEST to develop and calibrate a regression model that describes constituent loads in terms of various functions of streamflow and time. LOADEST has been extensively applied to estimate constituent loads in rivers around the world [29, 30]. Time series of TSS concentration observations and corresponding streamflow observations at Baddegama were used in developing and calibrating the regression model using adjusted maximum likelihood estimation (AMLE) method. AMLE method is contingent upon the fact that model residuals are normally distributed. Linearity of the normal probability plot constructed, suggested that the residuals follow a normal distribution. The regression ENGINEER ENGINEER Results and Discussion 6 66 350 40 300 60 250 200 80 150 100 100 Rainfall (mm) 20 400 Qsim (m3/s) 1000 0 450 Streamflow (m3/s) 500 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percentage of time streamflow was equaled or exceeded 2020_Rainfall_A2 2020_Qsim_A2 2020-12-17 2020-10-28 2020-09-08 2020-07-20 2020-05-31 2020-02-20 2020-04-11 140 2020-01-01 0 100 1 120 50 2020_A2 2020_A1B 2001-2004 Figure 7 - Flow duration curves: Year 2020 and 2001-2004 2020_Rainfall_A1B 2020_Qsim_A1B Figure 6 - Year 2020 streamflow hydrographs 250 Qsim – Simulated streamflow 45 Year 2020 Max. 40 150 35 Turbidity (NTU) 75th 30 Average Median 25 25th 20 100 50 Min. 15 Stream flow (m3/s) 200 2001-2004 5 0 Dec Oct Nov Sep Jul Aug Jun May Apr Feb Mar Jan 75 th 0 Figure 8 - Monthly turbidity (Year 2020 and 2001-2004). - Maximum, minimum, average, median, 25th percentile and75th percentile turbidity values are shown for year 2020 - 75th percentile turbidity value is shown for 2001-2004 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 10 2001-2004 2020_A2 Figure 9 - 90th Percentile of monthly streamflow. - developed. Using the linear regression equation developed (Equation 7), corresponding turbidity values were derived.TSS is a pollutant that responds to flushing more than dilution within a catchment and therefore, higher river discharge will mostly facilitate greater erosion and transportation of the pollutant compared to dilution. Response of TSS to climate and land use changes had demonstrated that, higher the precipitation level, larger the concentration of TSS in a catchment [32, 33]. In this study, following the linear relation between TSS and turbidity, elevated levels of turbidity have been noted following the increased river discharge resulted by increased rainfall events. Thus, the response of turbidity to river flow regime changes have predicted considerably higher turbidity values in most of the months in year 2020 compared to 2001-2004, while remaining months demonstrate decrease. Though this study included future projections for both SRES A2 and SRES A1B scenarios, in most of the climate adaptation studies carried out, it has been identified that the most matching scenario for Sri Lankan conditions is SRES A2. This is further explained by De Silva et al.[31]. According to Figure 7, flows with high magnitudes are expected to occur under SRES A2 scenario and it is understood that generation of sediments and pollutant loads are directly related to extreme runoff events. Thus the present study opted to consider turbidity levels in future river flow regime for only SRES A2 scenario at Baddegama (6°11'23" N, 80°11'53" E), intake point to the drinking water treatment plant. 4.2 Projected Changes in Turbidity Year 2020 TSS loads were modelled on daily basis using the TSS load-discharge model 7 67 ENGINEER ENGINEER Year 2020 monthly turbidity values (75th percentile) show an increase during May to November, compared to 2001-2004 (Figure 8). The height of the peak is remarkably increased in June 2020, and the projected increase in turbidity is 107% compared to the baseline. Turbidity increase predicted between May and November 2020 is 6.5 NTU per month, on average. These elevated turbidity levels are clearly evident during the months of increased streamflow (Figure 9). Despite the fact that this study considered a single RCM and two SRES emission scenarios, future change in hydro-climatological variables needs to be projected based on outputs from several different climate models operating under a variety of scenarios. Taking into account the climate projection uncertainty and modelling uncertainties, the predicted impacts on the hydrological processes and constituent estimates in the Gin catchment should be considered as trends and order of magnitudes rather than exact predictions. 4.3 Comparison of Turbidity Values with the Water Quality Standards Turbidity vs. streamflow exceedance probability shows the range of fluctuation of turbidity in year 2020 during different flow regimes in comparison to the water quality standards (Figure 10). It appears that, 60% of the time, turbidity levels have indicated exceedance of the water quality standards set for the potable water [34] as well the inland waters [35] of Sri Lanka. These indicate that the projected turbidity levels subsequent to flow regime alterations caused by the anticipated climate and land use change, appear to be more prominent at intermediate to highest streamflows. Exceedances are greatest during the highest flows. It will be challenging to deal with the year 2020 turbidity levels projected to occur during the highest flows (>110 m3/s), requiring more than 90% remarkable reductions to comply with the water quality standards. 50 45 Highest flows High flows Turbidity (NTU) Low flows 35 30 25 20 15 10 8 5 2 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percentage of time Streamflow was equaled or exceeded Highest desirable level (2 NTU) for the potable water [34] Maximum permissible level (8 NTU) for the potable water [34] Maximum permissible level (5 NTU) for inland waters of Sri Lanka (CLASS 1 Waters - Drinking water with simple treatment) [35] Figure 10 - Turbidity exceedance probability. vs. The tools and methods used in this study could be effectively applied in carrying out impact studies in similar catchments. streamflow Fully assessing the direct impacts of climate and land use change on river water quality is beyond the scope of this study. Further researches to determine such direct impacts are Highest flows > 110 m3/s; High flows > 30 m3/s; Intermediate flows > 17 m3/s; Low flows > 4.5 m3/s; Lowest flows > 3.7 m3/s ENGINEER ENGINEER Conclusions This research provides important insight into possible alterations in turbidity levels in Gin River, the primary drinking water source in Southern region of Sri Lanka, following variations in future river flow under projected land use and climate change. Study revealed that fluctuations of constituents have been much more strongly related to streamflow changes, thus year 2020 flow regime alterations under SRES A2 will greatly elevate the turbidity levels in the Gin River compared to the water quality criteria. Remarkable increase in turbidity levels during the months of June and November in year 2020 would require significant reductions to comply with the drinking water quality standards, which would lead to exert extra pressure on future drinking water production in Southern region of Sri Lanka. Understanding on these excessive amounts of constituents anticipated in future river water might be useful for water managers and planners to adjust operations accordingly at the water treatment plants. Moreover, findings of the study could be vital for Sri Lanka‟s water resources planning efforts aiming to achieve 100% safe drinking water supply by year 2020. However, the results presented in this study should be viewed as trends and order of magnitudes rather than exact predictions, considering the uncertainties associated with future climate projections and modeling approaches adopted. Lowest flows Intermediate flows 40 5. 8 68 suggested using a more physically based modelling approach. Solids and Fecal Coliform Bacteria Loads in Real Time”, Proc., Seventh Federal Interagency Sedimentation Conference, March 25–29, 2001, Reno, NV, Subcommittee on Sedimentation, Vol. 1, 2001, pp. III-94 to III-101. Acknowledgements Authors are grateful to UK Met Office Hadley Centre for providing climate projections. National Water Supply and Drainage Board (Southern), Sri Lanka is gratefully acknowledged for providing water quality data of Gin River and for facilitating water quality testing. Sincere appreciation is extended to University of Yamanashi, Japan and Japan Society for Promotion of Science (JSPS) for technical and financial support for the study. 7. Corporate Plan 2012-2016, National Water Supply and Drainage Board, Ministry of Water Supply and Drainage, Sri Lanka, 2012. 8. Wickramaarachchi, T. N., Ishidaira, H., Magome, J., & Wijayaratna, T. M. N., “Impact of future flow regime alterations on iron load occurrence in Gin River, Sri Lanka”, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering),Vol. 70, No. 4, 2014, pp.I_127-132. 9. Wickramaarachchi, T. N., Ishidaira, H., & Wijayaratna, T. M. N., “Projecting land use transitions in the Gin Catchment, Sri Lanka”, Res. J. Environ. Earth. Sci., Vol.5, No. 8, 2013, pp.473-480. References 1. Bates, B. C., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Wu, S., & Palutikof, J. P. (eds.), Climate Change and Water, Technical Paper of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC Secretariat, Geneva, 2008, 210p. 10. Jones, R. G., Noguer, M., Hassell, D. C., Hudson, D., Wilson, S. S., Jenkins, G. J. & Mitchell, J. F. B., Generating high resolution climate change scenarios using PRECIS, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK, 2004, 40p. 2. 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Sri Lanka Standards for potable water – SLS 614, Sri Lanka Standards Institute, 1983. 35. Proposed ambient water quality standards for inland waters of Sri Lanka, Central Environmental Authority, Sri Lanka, 2001. 24. Rasmussen, P. P., Gray, J. R., Glysson, G. D., & Ziegler, A. C., Guidelines and procedures for computing time-series suspended-sediment concentrations and loads from in-stream turbiditysensor and streamflow data, U.S. Geological Survey Techniques and Methods, book 3, chap. C4, 2009, 52 p. 25. Wickramaarachchi, T. N., Ishidaira, H., & Wijayaratna, T. M. N., “Streamflow, Suspended Solids, and Turbidity Characteristics of the Gin River, Sri Lanka”, „Engineer’, Journal of the Institution of Engineers Sri Lanka, Vol. 46, No. 4, 2013, pp. 43-51. 26. Littlewood, I. G., Watts, C. D., & Custance, J. M., “Systematic Application of United Kingdom River Flow and Quality Databases for Estimating Annual River Mass Loads (1975-1994)”, Sci. Total Environ., Vol. 210-211, 1998, pp. 21-40. 27. Preston, S. D., Bierman, V. J.,& Silliman, S. E., “An Evaluation of Methods for the Estimation of ENGINEER ENGINEER 10 70 ENGINEER Vol.XLVIII, XLVIII,No. No.01, 01,pp. pp. [page range], ENGINEER -- Vol. [71-81], 2015 2015 © The Institution InstitutionofofEngineers, Engineers, Lanka © The SriSri Lanka Coastal Investigations for Sustainable Development of Fisheries Infrastructure A. H. R. Ratnasooriya and S. P. Samarawickrama Abstract: Plans have been formulated by the government to increase the fish production and the national targets indicate significant increases in marine fisheries production. The expansion of the marine fishing fleet and the development of appropriate fisheries infrastructure for the operation of such craft would play a vital role in achieving the future targets for fish production. A number of studies were thus conducted to assess the feasibility of developing sustainable fisheries infrastructure in various parts of the country. The attention in these investigations was mainly focussed on related coastal engineering aspects in order to minimise the adverse impacts on the facility as well as the neighbouring coastline to ensure the sustainability and effectiveness of any proposed development. Attempts were made to assess, qualitatively, the exposure of the sites to the nearshore wave climate and the resulting coastal processes related to sediment (sand) transport in the vicinity. The forms of coastal constructions required were identified and the severity of potential impacts due to such developments was considered to assess the suitability of the sites for potential development. The details of selected investigations conducted in eastern, northern, south-western and southern regions are presented and the recommendations are elaborated. Keywords: Coastal, Fisheries Infrastructure, Sustainable Development. 1. Introduction Plans have been made by the Ministry of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources to increase the fish production and the national fish production targets indicate significant increases in marine fisheries production. The expansion of the marine fishing fleet and the development of appropriate fisheries infrastructure facilities for the operation of such crafts would thus play a vital role in achieving the future targets for fish production. Fisheries activities are carried out along almost the entire coastline of Sri Lanka extending over 1,600 km. A large coastal population is engaged in fisheries activities and, with more than 250,000 active fishermen [7], the fisheries sector forms an important part of the national economy. It accounted for 1.8 % of the Gross Domestic Product of the country in 2013 [7]. Marine fishing, dominating the fisheries sector, contributes to more than 85 % of total fish production [7] and is carried out by a variety of fishing crafts. These include smaller fishing crafts-Beach Seine Boats (NBSB), NonMotorized Traditional Boats (NTRB), Motorized Traditional Boats (MTRB), Outboard Motor Fibre Reinforced Plastic Boats (OFRP) and larger fishing crafts-One Day Boats with Inboard Engines (IDAY) and Multi Day Boats (IMUL)(Figure 1). The total marine fishing fleet exceeded 53,000 crafts in 2012 [7] and is based in various fishery infrastructure facilities in the form of Fishery Harbors, Anchorages and Landing Sites along the coastline of the country. Smaller fishing boats are generally concentrated at a large number of Landing Sites scattered along the coastline. The IMUL Boats and IDAY Boats are generally based at various Fishery Harbors and Anchorages. In 2012, 19 Fishery Harbors and many Anchorages were in operation [6]. Figure 1 - Different Types of Fishing Crafts Eng. A. H. R. Ratnasooriya, AMIE(Sri Lanka), B.Sc.Eng.(Hons) (Moratuwa), M.Phil (Moratuwa), Senior Lecturer, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka. Eng. (Prof.) S. P. Samarawickrama, C. Eng., MIE(Sri Lanka), B.Sc.Eng.Hons.(Moratuwa), PhD(London), DIC, Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka. 1 71 ENGINEER Fisheries activities in the northern and eastern regions of the country were severely affected by the conflict that prevailed in the area for nearly three decades, but have recommenced and expanded since the end of the conflict in 2009. Many of the fisheries infrastructure facilities in these regions are in a dilapidated state and are in need of restoration and expansion. A number of studies were thus conducted recently, during the period 20092011,to assess the feasibility of developing sustainable fisheries infrastructure in various parts of the country. severity of potential impacts due to such developments was considered to assess the suitability of the sites for potential development. 3. The fisheries infrastructure facilities provide essential shelter for mooring and/or beach landing and loading/unloading activities of fishing crafts and shore facilities for related support activities. Fishery Harbors mainly cater for the requirements of larger fishing crafts and such facilities usually consist of a basin area of sufficient size and depth usually protected by breakwaters, quay walls to facilitate loading/unloading operations and shore facilities for other related activities. Fishery Anchorages and Landing Sites mainly cater for the requirements of smaller fishing crafts but larger crafts could also use such facilities depending on the depths in the mooring areas. These facilities usually consist of a sheltered basin with natural or breakwater protection for safe mooring and shore facilities for other fisheries related activities. In this paper, the methodology adopted in the investigations is presented first, which is followed by a discussion of coastal aspects associated with fishery infrastructure development. The details of coastal aspects, nearshore wave climate and coastal sand transport and shoreline behaviour, are then presented. After a discussion on shoreline response to coastal constructions in general, the details of investigations conducted at four locations in different parts of the country are presented. The recommendations made by the investigations are then summarized under concluding remarks. 2. The level of coastal infrastructure requirement to provide the necessary protection is closely related to the nearshore wave climate of the area. Depending on its severity, the requirement may vary from enhancing the natural shelter provided by features such as headlands and reefs to full breakwater protection. Method of Investigations The investigations were conducted at the sites for which improved facilities were requested by the local fishing communities, relevant authorities or other stakeholders. The attention in these investigations was mainly focussed on related coastal engineering aspects in order to minimise the adverse impacts on the facility as well as the neighbouring coastline to ensure the sustainability and effectiveness of any proposed development. In addition, socioeconomic aspects, space requirements for shore facilities and other aspects related to the development of fishery infrastructure facilities were also considered in these investigations. The coastal areas of the country are predominantly sandy beaches and the construction of fisheries infrastructure in the form of breakwaters, jetties etc could cause alterations in sand movement patterns of the area. Such alterations could lead to adverse impacts in the form of coastal erosion and/or accretion in the area as well as siltation in the sheltered area, raising concerns related to the sustainability and the effectiveness of the development. In the absence of recorded coastal engineering information (primary data) at many of the locations considered, investigations were mainly based on field studies, analysis of available secondary information and local knowledge gathered through local community consultations. Attempts were made to assess, qualitatively, the exposure of the sites to the nearshore wave climate and the resulting coastal processes related to sediment (sand) transport in the vicinity. The forms of coastal constructions required were identified and the ENGINEER Fisheries Infrastructure and Coastal Aspects 4. Nearshore Wave Climate The wave climate in the coastal waters of Sri Lanka is characterized by two wave systems, the swell and the monsoonal waves. The resultant wave climate inclines towards the more dominant system. The swell, approaching from southerly direction 2 72 throughout the year, is characterized by waves of relatively large periods and low amplitudes. The monsoonal waves are characterized by waves of relatively smaller periods and higher amplitudes. Two monsoonal periods are dominant-the south-west monsoonal period from May to September and the north-east monsoonal period from November to March. The coastal areas extending from the western region to the south-eastern region are directly exposed to the swell as well as the more dominant south-west monsoonal waves. The rest of the coastal areas are less exposed to the swell and sheltered from the south-west monsoonal waves. The coastal areas extending from the northern region to the south-eastern region are mainly exposed to the refracted swell and relatively less severe north-east monsoonal waves. The north-western coastal region is relatively well protected from these wave systems. The presence of sand bar formations along the Adam‟s Bridge, shallow depths and the shelter provided by the Jaffna Peninsula and the land masses of the islands located on the western side of the peninsula have restricted the penetration of waves into the north-western coastal waters in the Palk Bay area. 5. of the diverse features in environment of the country. the coastal Seasonal erosion and the steepening of the beaches during the monsoonal periods is also a common characteristic in many of the beaches in the country. Offshore movement and deposition of beach sand take place during these periods mainly due to the action of monsoonal waves. Beach recovery due to onshore movement of sand under the swell is apparent during the non-monsoonal periods. 6. Coastal Constructions and Shoreline Response The stability of the shoreline can be assessed in terms of the „sand budget‟ of a coastal cell considered in the area of interest. Coastal erosion and accretion can be considered in terms of sand imbalance due to changes in inflow and outflow rates. Such imbalances caused by the disturbances to the longshore transport have been identified as a major cause for erosion. Coastal constructions, in the form of groynes, jetties or breakwaters could cause disturbances of longshore sand transport. Such constructions in areas of high level transport could lead to severe impacts associated with erosion, accretion and siltation. These impacts have become apparent in recent coastal infrastructure developments of Kirinda Fishery Harbor, Oluvil Port/Fishery Harbor and the Wadduwa Loading Out Point. The mitigation of the resulting adverse impacts would usually involve the structural interventions in the form of series of groynes or offshore breakwaters or other interventions such as sand nourishment,all of which would require substantial expenditure. Coastal Sand Transport and Shoreline Behaviour Nearshore currents, both longshore and on/offshore, generated by the interaction of the approaching waves with the sea bed and the resulting coastal processes of refraction, breaking etc, are the main causes of sand transport in coastal areas. In Sri Lanka, studies conducted have revealed a general trend of net sand movement northwards along the southwestern and western coasts, eastwards along the southern and northwards along the southeastern and southerly parts of the eastern coastline during the south-west monsoon. During the north-east monsoon, a general trend of sand movement southwards along the eastern, south-eastern and western coastlines and westwards along the southern coastline has been revealed. It is evident from these considerations that the assessment of the level of sand transport processes in a locality would play a vital role in identifying the suitability of sites for fisheries infrastructure development with coastal constructions. The infrastructure developments at such locations would cause relatively low levels of adverse impacts leading to the long term sustainability and effectiveness of the facilities. However, the longshore sand transport rates depend on a number of factors including wave characteristics (height, period, angle of approach etc), bathymetric features (influencing refraction, breaking etc) and beach characteristics (geometry, size and availability of sand etc). Significant local variations of these factors are apparent in view Mathematical modelling techniques supported by detailed records of measured coastal data can be used for a more quantitative assessment of the level of coastal and transport and 3 73 ENGINEER potential impacts of coastal constructions (in spite of the limitations in simulating complex coastal phenomena associated with sediment transport). However, due to the absence of relevant primary data and other constraints, the investigations were mainly based on field studies and analysis of available information of shoreline behaviour with the deductions confirmed through local community consultations whenever possible. The details of such investigations conducted at the locations listed below and shown in Figure 2 are presented. i. Vakarai Area on the Eastern Coast ii. Point Pedro Area on the Northern Coast of Jaffna Peninsula iii. Galbokka on the South-WesternCoast iv. Suduwella on the Southern Coast the attention focused on the possibility of constructing coastal structures required in the form of jetties, groynes, quay walls, breakwaters etc. Figure 3 - Location of Vakarai Central (Source of Image: Google Earth Website) As indicated, the site is located at the outlet of a lagoon near the centre of a coastal cell formed by two natural headlands. The coastal area is characterised by wide sandy beaches and sand deposits in shallow areas of the lagoon near the outlet and a wide sand bar across the outlet. The sand bar blocks the outflow from the lagoon but breaches during the north-east monsoon to release flood waters. Once breached, the outlet remains open for a few months. Marine fishing is carried out in the area by a large number of smaller crafts which are usually beach landed in the vicinity. Due to shallow depths in the channel through the breached sand bar, only the smaller crafts are able to access the sheltered areas in the lagoon for mooring purposes. Lagoon fishing is carried by a large number of smaller fishing crafts. Beach seine fishing is also carried out in the sandy beaches of the area. (ii) (i) (iii) (iv) Figure 2 - Locations of Investigations 7. The site is located away from the areas sheltered by the headlands and is seasonally exposed to both swell and north-east monsoonal waves as indicated in Figure 3. Significant seasonal variations of coastline positions and steepening of beaches indicate high level of longshore and on/offshore sediment transport in the vicinity. In spite of small tidal range in coastal waters of the country, a potential exists for ebb and flood tidal currents through the channel across the breached sand bar formation with accompanying sediment transport patterns. Significant variations in the form of the outlet and the lagoon sand deposits in the vicinity were also evident. The abundance of sand and the dynamic and complex nature of coastal processes and the high level of sediment Investigations in Vakarai Area on the Eastern Coast 7.1 Investigations in Vakarai Central Vakarai, with a significant fishing community, is located between Valachchenai and Trincomalee in an area where no Fishery Harbor or Anchorage facilities are located [2]. With expanding fisheries activities since 2008, a proposal has been made to develop a Fishery Harbor/Anchorage facility in the area to meet the emerging needs of fisheries sector. Vakarai Central has initially been identified for this purpose. The location of Vakarai Central is shown in Figure 3. Investigations were conducted with the objective of assessing the feasibility of developing appropriate fisheries infrastructure facilities at this location, with ENGINEER 4 74 activity in the vicinity became clearly evident by the investigations. the site in Palachanai was identified as the most suitable site for development. Coastal constructions in the form of jetties or breakwaters in such dynamic coastal environments would most likely lead to high levels of adverse impacts. These impacts in the form of severe erosion/accretion and siltation due to the disturbance caused to natural transportation processes could also affect the nearby beach seine and beach landing operations. Any structural interventions, usually in the form of groynes, to maintain an uninterrupted lagoon outlet throughout the year in order to provide mooring facilities for fishing crafts in the lagoon, are also likely to cause similar impacts leading to issues concerned with effectiveness and sustainability of the development. The changes in mixing patterns of sea water in the lagoon due to such interventions could severely affect the fishing activities and ecological aspects associated with the lagoon. In view of these considerations, the site in Vakari Central was not recommended for fishery infrastructure developments in the form of Fishery Harbors or Anchorages. Figure 4 - Alternative Locations of Investigations (Source of Image: Google Earth Website) 7.3 Investigations in Palachanai Palachenai is located in a bay formed between two headlands, next to the northern headland formed by a rocky formation extending into the sea, as shown in Figure 5(a). 7.2 Investigations in Alternative Sites In view of the complexities involved with the site identified in Vakarai Central and the need to develop Fishery Harbor/Anchorage facilities in the Vakarai area, the possibility of selecting an alternative site was also explored. Investigations were thus conducted at a number of locations in the area. These sites, functioning as landing sites with minimal facilities, had been identified by fishery sector authorities to explore the possibility of further development. The locations are listed below and shown in Figure 4. Northern Headland Palachenai Bay Area Southern Headland i ii Kathiraweli Mahaweli River Outlets (North of Kathiraweli) iii Palachenai iv Kandalady v Vakarai vi Panichankerny vii Pethalai (a) Northern Headland Palachenai Investigations, similar to those conducted at Vakarai Central, were conducted for these sites as well in order to assess the potential for development of fisheries infrastructure. Based on a comparative evaluation of the level of potential for development at these locations, Rocky Formation (b) Figure 5 - Location of Palachenai (Source of Images: Google Earth Website) 5 75 ENGINEER 8. The site is partially sheltered by the rocky headland from north-east monsoonal waves. Northward sand transport is also curtailed by the headland as evident by the small scale seasonal coastal erosion on its northern side. The bay extends over a length of approximately 3.5 km and no large water bodies drain into the bay area. A small rocky formation, shown in Figure 5(b), exists at approximately 750 m from the northern headland. It restricts sediment movement and forms a smaller coastal cell in the vicinity of Palachenai. Even if a reasonable level of sediment activities is envisaged in the larger bay area, sand movement in the vicinity of Palachenai could be restricted due to the possible trapping of sediments at this rocky formation. Prior to the conflict that prevailed in the region, Jaffna Peninsula had been one of the most productive fishing regions in the country. Its contribution to the national fish production had declined since mid-1980s due to the disruptions caused to the fisheries activities by the conflict[3],[4]. The fishery infrastructure facilities in the region are in a dilapidated state, due to damages caused by the conflict and years of neglect and are in need of restoration and development. Since the end of the conflict in mid-2009, the fishing sector in the northern region has shown signs of recovery with increased fish production. The fishing fleet in the area, soon after the end of the conflict, consisted of only smaller boats. In spite of the potential for offshore fishing by larger boats, such boats were not in operation due to the restrictions imposed by security conditions and the absence of adequate facilities in the region. However such boats have recently commenced operations and a need exists for the development of appropriate fisheries infrastructure facilities. Point Pedro region had been one of the most productive fishing areas in the peninsula [3],[4] and investigations were conducted to assess the potential for fishery infrastructure development in the area. The investigations were conducted in the Divisional Secretary (DS) Division of Point Pedro (Vadamarachchy North). Based on these considerations, the site at Palachenai was identified as suitable for fishery infrastructure development. The existence of rocky outcrop providing natural protection during the north-east monsoonal period and a smaller bay area giving a relatively low level sand movement are the positive factors for such a development. The construction of a fishery infrastructure facility is unlikely to aggravate coastal erosion on the northern side of the headland. However, a small scale coast protection scheme can also be recommended together with any fishery infrastructure development. The conceptual layout of a fisheries infrastructure facility shown in Figure 6 was proposed for further investigations. Sheltered Basin Investigations in Point Pedro Area on the Northern Coast of Jaffna Peninsula Breakwater Groyne Figure 7 - Area of Investigations in Point Pedro Figure 6 - Conceptual Layout of Proposed Development (Source of Images: Google Earth Website) ENGINEER 6 76 8.1 Coastal Characteristics and Fisheries Activities a number of naturally sheltered basins in the area suitable for mooring of fishing craft. The coastline of the area of investigations extends from Thondamanaru along the northern coastline of the peninsula towards the northeastern edge of Munai and along the eastern coastline beyond Kathkovalam over a length of 20 km as shown in Figure 7. Many of the Landing Sites in Point Pedro DS Division are located in such basins along this part of the coastline as indicated in Figure 9. These include the Landing Sites in Thondamanaru, Valveddithurai, Athikoviladi, Polikandy West, Polikandy East, Sakkodai, Imparsiddy, Suppermadam, Koddady and Munai. Mainly smaller fishing boats are operated from these Landing Sites. However, depending on the depths in sheltered areas behind the seaward edge of the reef formation, some of the larger boats, which have become operational recently are also based in some of the sites, in spite of the absence of proper facilities for the operation of such crafts. The coastline on the eastern side of peninsula is directly exposed to north-east monsoonal waves and difficulties in mooring/beach landing of fishing boats are experienced by the fishing communities. As a result, relatively a lesser number of Landing Sites are located along this coastline. A wide, straight, sandy coastline exists in the area and investigations revealed significant seasonal variations of the beach profile indicating level of sediment transport. Under such dynamic conditions of the coastline, construction of coastal structures is likely to cause coastal erosion/accretion problems and such constructions without extensive investigations were not recommended. The coastline along the northern side of peninsula in Point Pedro is characterized by rocky/sandy beaches and a reef formation located close (< 300 m approximately from the coastline) and parallel to the coastline as shown in Figure 8. Figure 9 - Landing Sites along Northern Coastline in Point Pedro Area (Source of Image: Google Earth Website) 8.2 Current Status of Fisheries Infrastructure and Recommendations The Indian Ocean Tsunami in 2004 has caused significant damages to the reef formation along the northern coast and spreading of broken rock in sheltered basins has caused difficulties in using the Landing Sites due to reduced depths and partial blockage of access channels. The cyclone in 2008 has caused further damages and significant hardships are experienced by fishing communities due to the dilapidated state of many of the facilities. Attempts have been made to rehabilitate the facilities by clearing the basin areas and access channels to facilitate navigation and mooring of boats with varying degree of success. (a) (b) Figure 8 - Northern Coastline: Point Pedro Area The improvement of fisheries infrastructure at Landing Sites, for the operation of mainly the smaller fishing crafts, in the area could generally be achieved by strengthening the natural protection provided by the reef formation. Raising the crest level of reef formation and strengthening of its seaward slope with the use of larger armour may be needed to provide effective protection.The (Source of Images: Google Earth Website) Although the coastline, by its orientation, is potentially exposed to north-east monsoonal waves, protection against coastal erosion due to wave action is provided by the reef formation along most of the coastline. The presence of reef formation has also resulted in 7 77 ENGINEER 9. clearing of scattered rocks from the access channels and sheltered basins would also be needed. Deepening of access channels and the basins may also be required at some of the sites. In such situations, due attention needs to be paid for any adverse environmental issues associated with dredging of reef formations. A possibility also exists for the use of excavated and cleared material for the use in the strengthening of protection measures. An investigation was conducted to assess the feasibility of developing a Fishery Landing Site in Galbokka in Rathgama in the Galle District. The site had been identified based on the availability of land to develop shore facilities due to the relocation of a school severely damaged by the Indian Ocean tsunami in 2004 [5]. The location of the site is shown in Figure 11. In addition, a socio-economic need also exists for the development of appropriate infrastructure facilities, in the form of a Fishery Harbor or Anchorage, to cater for operations of larger fishing crafts. The only Fishery Harbor facility in Jaffna Peninsula is located in Myliddy on the northern coast of the peninsula to the west of Point Pedro. Fishery activities are not currently carried out at Myliddy. Even if it is operational, the potential exists for other Fishery Harbor developments in the region, mainly due to the relatively smaller size of the harbor basin in Myliddy which may not be capable of meeting the needs of the expanding fleet of larger fishing crafts in the area. In view of these considerations, recommendations were made for the development of a Fishery Harbor/Anchorage facility in Point Pedro area at an appropriate location, to be identified based on socio-economic, environmental and coastal engineering considerations. Appropriate protection measures, usually in the form of breakwaters would be required in such a development to provide a sheltered basin of adequate extent and depth against north-eastern monsoonal waves. A typical conceptual layout in the form of that shown in Figure 10 can be recommended for such a development. No severe adverse impacts associated with coastal erosion are envisaged due to such a development in view of the protection provided by the coastal reef formation in the area. Figure 11 - Proposed Site in Galbokka (Source of Image: Google Earth Website) The site is located in a wide sandy beach next to a rock outcrop as shown in Figure 11. From the rock outcrop, the beach extends uninterrupted for a few kilometres in the direction of Dodanduwa. The investigation revealed a significant seasonal variation in the beach, in the order of up to 40 m in the vicinity of the project site, indicating high level of sediment activity. A beach profile with a steep gradient is formed at the site during the southwest monsoon, which, together with adverse wave conditions, makes it difficult for landing/mooring of fishing crafts. Due to the orientation of the beach at the site, as indicated in Figure 11, it is directly exposed to the south-west monsoonal waves and no sheltering effect is provided by the rock outcrop. In view of the exposed nature of the site, it is evident that appropriate costal structures are required in any proposed development to provide a safe mooring and landing environment at the site. The layout of such structures will depend on local bathymetric and wave conditions but, based on the site conditions observed and considerations of exposure and protection requirements, a conceptual layout in the form of that shown in Figure 12 can be identified for further investigations. Figure 10 - Conceptual Layout of Proposed Development (Source of Image: Google Earth Website) ENGINEER Investigations in Galbokka on the South-western Coast 8 78 Fishery infrastructure facilities are usually developed in locations with a certain degree of natural protection and lower levels of sediment movement. The developments enhance the natural protection while causing minimum disturbances to sediment transport patterns to limit the adverse impacts in surrounding areas. The sandy beach at the site extending from the outcrop is interrupted by another smaller outcrop nearby (Figure 12) forming a smaller coastal cell in which relatively lesser extent of sediment movement is apparent. The larger outcrop provides partial protection from south-west monsoonal waves which can be enhanced by a coastal structure extending from the outcrop as shown in Figure 12.From a coastal engineering point of view, it is apparent that this site is more suited for development of fisheries infrastructure but, similar to the proposed site, detailed investigations are required to assess the development potential in detail. 10 Investigations in Suduwella on the Southern Coast Suduwella in Kottegoda Bay was a Landing Site in the Matara District [1]. The expansion of fishing operations into deep sea with larger fishing crafts has led to the need to provide adequate infrastructure facilities for safe mooring and loading and unloading operations of such crafts operated in the area. The Kottegoda Bay (Figure 13) bounded by two headlands and facing southeasterly direction, had been identified as a suitable location for such a development. The southern part of the bay, Suduwella, (Figure 13) is relatively sheltered due to partial protection provided by the southern headland against south-west monsoonal waves. However, wave breaking and overtopping on a shallow steep faced reef, located closely and to the northeast of the southern headland, have resulted in an offshore directed current which has adversely affected the in and out navigation as well as mooring of larger fishing crafts within the area sheltered by the rocky outcrop. Due to shallow water depths, navigational difficulties and the absence of shore facilities, loading and unloading activities of larger fishing crafts were carried out away from the shore using smaller boats during the period of investigations in 2009. Figure 12 - Conceptual Layout(s) for Further Investigations (Source of Image: Google Earth Website) The costs associated with developing the facilities and providing impact mitigation measures can be kept relatively low by selecting appropriate locations for development. However, no such natural protection exists at the site in Galbokka, located in a sandy beach with high levels of sediment movement. The protection for mooring and landing and loading/unloading operations needs to be provided entirely by coastal structures which could disturb the sediment transport patterns leading to potential coastline changes and erosion problems. In such a case, coast protection systems, usually in the form of groynes, may need to be included in the overall development plan. In view of these considerations, it is evident that the costs associated with any proposed development at the site proposed in Galbokka are likely to be significantly higher than the costs involved with a development of similar nature at a site with some form of natural protection. 9.1 Investigations in the Alternative Site In view of the potential adverse impacts associated with the developments at the proposed site, as an alternative, the technical feasibility of another site was investigated. It is located next to the proposed site on the opposite side of the rock outcrop, as shown in Figure 12. Figure 13 - Location of Suduwella in Kottegoda Bay (Source of Image: Google Earth Website) 9 79 ENGINEER The bay had been subjected to severe coastal erosion over the years which has necessitated the construction of a long revetment to protect the coastline. A fragile sandstone reef fronts the revetment, which is indicative of the severe loss of sand due to wave action. The only beach area within the bay exists at the southernmost corner in Suduwella, within the shelter of the southern headland. extending the southern breakwater beyond the rock outcrop. In the layout of the Option 2 (Figure 14(b)), a harbor confined to the southern part of the bay, where fishery activities were concentrated, was conceptualized. The proposed harbor area is protected mainly by a southern breakwater which originates at the southern headland, connects with the rock outcrop and extends further in a northeasterly direction. The harbor entrance faces the northeasterly direction and is located in the gap between a secondary breakwater/groyne the main breakwater. Neither of these options had been implemented due various constraints associated with development. Investigations were thus conducted to identify a suitable development option within the constraints imposed to meet the stakeholder requirements. After extensive studies, in which attention was focused on coastal and harbor engineering, socio-economic and environmental issues, a conceptual layout, which is a modification of the Option 2 proposed earlier, was recommended for detailed design studies.It wasto be implemented in two stages, if necessary in view of any financial constraints. The designs were subsequently carried out and a Fishery Harbor facility was constructed (first stage) which is currently in operation (Figure 15). Investigations were conducted to assess the feasibility of developing a Fishery Harbor of adequate capacity, which should provide safe navigational access and shelter throughout the year with minimal maintenance requirements and adverse environmental impacts. (a) Option 1 (b) Option 2 Figure 14 - Development Options for Suduwella (Source of Images: Google Earth Website) Studies had been carried out previously and two alterative layouts of development, one contained within the southern part of the bay and the other incorporating the entire bay, had been considered for further investigations. Figure 15 - Suduwella Fishery Harbor (Source of Images: Google Earth Website) 11. Concluding Remarks The details of investigations conducted recently to assess the feasibility of developing sustainable fisheries infrastructure in various parts of the country are presented. These investigations were conducted in Vakari area on the eastern coast, Point Pedro area on the northern coast, Galbokka on the south-western coast and Suduwella on the southern coast. In the absence of recorded nearshore data at many of the locations considered, the In the layout of the Option 1 (Figure 14 (a)), the entire bay area was incorporated into a harbor protected by two breakwaters. The entrance was placed between the large rock outcrop towards the southern end of the bay and the head of the northern breakwater to facilitate the fishing crafts to use the path followed earlier by the fishermen. It was subsequently revised to provide safer access conditions by ENGINEER 10 80 Lanka by Uni-Consultancy Services, University of Moratuwa, October 2009. investigations were mainly based on field studies, analysis of available secondary information and local knowledge gathered through community consultations. Although socio-economic aspects, availability of land for shore facilities and other related aspects were also considered in assessing the feasibility, attention was mainly focussed on related coastal engineering aspects to minimise the adverse impacts on the coastline in order to ensure the sustainability of the proposed development. As the investigations in Vakarai area revealed that the site identified initially is not favourable for development, based on further investigations, a location in Palachenai was identified as more suitable for further investigations for development. Investigations in Point Pedro area revealed that many of the existing Landing Sites can be developed further by enhancing the natural protection offered by the reef formation in the area. The need of a Fishery Harbor/Anchorage facility for the area was also became evident and the form of constructions required for such a facility was identified for further investigations. The investigations conducted in Galbokka revealed the potential for significant adverse impacts due to coastal constructions at the site initially identified for development, in view of which, an alternative site next to it was identified for further investigations for development. For the site in Suduwella, an initially proposed development option was modified to meet the stakeholder requirements within the constraints imposed and recommended for design studies. These were subsequently conducted and a Fishery Harbor facility was constructed which is currently in operation. 2. Feasibility Study for the Development of Fishery Harbor/Anchorage at Vakarai in Batticaloa District, Final Report submitted to United Nations Office for Project Services (UNPOS) in Sri Lanka by Uni-Consultancy Services, University of Moratuwa, January 2010. 3. Fisheries Infrastructure Development in Jaffna Peninsula, Final Report submitted to United Nations Office for Project Services (UNPOS) in Sri Lanka by Department of Civil Engineering, University of Moratuwa, September 2009. 4. Pre-Feasibility Study for Fishery Harbor Development in Point Pedro, Jaffna District, Final report submitted to Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) by Uni-Consultancy Services, University of Moratuwa, July 2011. 5. Samarawickrama, S. P., “Pre-Feasibility Study for Proposed Galbokka Landing site at Rathgama in Galle District for the use of Smaller Boats”, Final Report submitted to Ceylon Fishery Harbor Corporation (CFHC), October 2010. 6. http://www.cfhc.lk, Visited 28 April 2014. 7. http://www.fisheries.gov.lk,Visited April 2014. Acknowledgement The authors wish to thank the officials in the Ceylon Fishery Harbor Corporation (CFHC), Department of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources(DFAR), United Nations Office for Project Services (UNPOS) in Sri Lanka and Japan International Cooperation Agency(JICA) for providing assistance to conduct the relevant investigations on fisheries infrastructure development. References 1. Feasibility Study for the Development of Fishery Harbor/Anchorage at Suduwella, Kottegoda, Matara District, Interim Report submitted to United Nations Office for Project Services (UNPOS) in Sri 11 81 ENGINEER 28 VOL: XLVIII,, No. 01 January 2015 ISSN 1800-1122 VOL: XLVIII,, No. 01 Printed by Karunaratne & Sons (Pvt) Ltd. January 2015 ISSN 1800-1122