RELIABILITY OF AUDITED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS RELIABILITY AND THE ROLE OF THE AUDITOR This paper is born out of a sense of surprise and disappointment among participants at an Audit Quality Forum meeting that the concept of reliability had disappeared from the conceptual frameworks of financial reporting standard setters. Historically, financial reporting conceptual frameworks have described reliability as a ‘desirable qualitative characteristic’ of ‘decision-useful financial statements’ to be traded off against relevance. Reliability has recently been superseded as a concept by the narrower concept of ‘faithful representation’. In looking at reliability and the role of the auditor, this paper adopts a new approach. It is not a contribution to debates about the conceptual framework of financial reporting standard setters. Nor does it repeat material in auditing standards about the importance of reliable audit evidence. It starts instead from the observation that reliability matters to users of audited financial statements. Academic research on the views of investors and other stakeholders in the financial reporting process indicates that users look to auditors to bring reliability to that process. This is also supported by our discussions with investors during the early stages of this project. Put simply, there is an expectation that ‘audited financial statements should be reliable’. This simple statement might initially set alarm bells ringing among auditors but it surely reflects what people reasonably expect from audited financial statements and, as a result, sets a context for thinking about the responsibilities and accountability of the audit function. To say that ‘these audited financial statements are unreliable’ would be very likely to invite a response that the financial statements in question had not been audited properly. Our simple statement also appears much more attractive, and almost certainly resonates more with users, than conventional definitions of audit to the effect that ‘the audit provides reasonable assurance that the risk of material financial statement misstatement has been reduced to an acceptable level’. Of course, we need to acknowledge that when we say ‘audited financial statements should be reliable’ we strictly mean ‘audited with a clean opinion’ and, of course, the statement is not saying that unaudited financial statements cannot be reliable or that audited financial statements do not have other desirable attributes apart from reliability. This paper explores what might be involved in making the concept of reliability central to auditing. In particular, were auditors to be seen as champions of reliability in financial reporting, then it would involve them in taking greater responsibility for, and ownership of, their work but it could also enable them to take a more active role in a wide range of debates, for example, about reporting standards and rules which they might currently feel unable to challenge. In building up a picture of what the statement ‘audited financial statements should be reliable’ means, we identify and discuss five key aspects of reliability and draw on insights from other areas of activity outside auditing where reliability plays an important role. We suggest that reliability involves: Faithful representation: As a starting point, we consider the concept of faithful representation in the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) Conceptual Framework (the DRAFT 221112 1 Conceptual Framework). Auditors need to ensure that information is faithfully represented in accordance with accounting standards. This is challenging because of the growing complexity of financial reporting and valuation techniques. We illuminate the challenges by drawing on some of the characteristics of reliability in research methodology such as consistency and repeatability of measurement. Fitness for purpose: Reliable audited financial statements need to be fit for purpose. Auditors have a responsibility to understand the purpose for which information in financial statements is intended to be used and to consider whether the information, as presented, is reliable for this purpose. With this in mind, auditors need to judge whether compliance with legal rules and accounting standards is sufficient to ensure that audited financial statements are reliable. In this context, we draw on useful insights from the field of reliability engineering. Robustness: The objective of audited financial statements is highly contentious and no matter what legislators and accounting standard setters say about the purpose of audited financial statements, the information they contain is still used in other, sometimes unpredictable, ways. How information is being used is not always well understood and auditors therefore need to engage with users and see what they are actually using financial reporting information for. We draw on insights in the field of software and systems reliability, a subset of reliability engineering, where there are similar challenges. Organisational reliability: The information contained in audited financial statements is important and auditors have a vital role to play in making sure that this information is reliable. This doesn’t prove, however, that organisations generally publish reliable information or that they are reliable organisations. Yet auditors should be concerned about the reliability of the organisations they audit because from a risk management view point, do they really want to be associated with organisations that produce unreliable information, whether it is to be audited or not, particularly given the significance of some information to users? This is particularly pertinent given the idea that the audit has a ‘halo effect’ and auditors are, in effect, seen as ‘reputational intermediaries’. By association, they will be seen as giving organisations an aura of being reliable and producing reliable information even if they are not. We draw on the High Reliability Organisations (HRO) literature here to look at the organisational characteristics that auditors should be looking for. Auditor behaviour: Things can go wrong because information is not faithfully represented or is not fit for its intended purpose or is not reliable for other purposes that it is being use for or because reporting organisations are not reliable. When this happens, audit firms pay a heavy price through loss of reputation and so how can they avoid this by addressing the challenges or reliability? Audit firms need a successful mix of, on the one hand, organisational process, discipline, control and method and, on the other hand, experience and intuition to know when something is not right. This brings its own challenges. For example, how can audit firms train and inspire auditors to achieve the right combination of discipline and flair? The characteristics of HROs as applied to audit firms are relevant here and we also draw on insights from behavioural psychology and its application to auditing. Auditors do not face an easy task if they are to focus on reliability in all its aspects. However, thinking about the tangible steps auditors can take to address the challenges involved could provide a new lens through which to see longstanding issues around audit expectation gaps, auditor scepticism and audit quality. In the following sections we look in more detail at our five key aspects of reliability in auditing before considering next steps. DRAFT 221112 2 FAITHFUL REPRESENTATION Reliability and measurement The Conceptual Framework replaced the concept of reliability as a fundamental qualitative characteristic of financial reporting information with that of faithful representation. The IASB explained that this was as a result of a lack of understanding about what reliability meant and led the IASB and the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) to think about how they could better convey what it meant – they chose the concept of faithful representation. According to the Conceptual Framework, financial information must faithfully represent what it purports to represent. Faithful representation has three characteristics: completeness, neutrality and freedom from error. The characteristics of faithful representation have similarities to the concepts of reliability and validity in research theory and methodology. Here reliability is a fundamental concept with characteristics of repeatability, consistency and measurement. The quality and consistency of measurement is important – a measure is reliable if it would give the same result over and over again. The concept of reliability is used in a very narrow sense in this literature but it is coupled with the concept of validity which is about whether the means of measurement are accurate and whether they are measuring what they are intended to measure. The idea of faithful representation in accounting and the concepts of reliability and validity in research theory and methodology highlight the need for data to be capable of consistent measurement and for appropriate measurement methods to be applied. Challenges for auditors For audited financial statements to be reliable, information must be capable of consistent measurement and, in accordance with relevant accounting standards, must be faithfully represented in financial statements. Measurement is important and auditors therefore need to ensure that they apply the appropriate measurement methods prescribed by law, accounting standards and supporting conventions to ensure that information is properly put together. In recent years, the world of financial reporting has seen increasingly more complex transactions and significant changes in how information should be accounted for and presented. The rise of fair value methodology with complex valuation techniques poses significant challenges for auditors. They need to assess the appropriateness of these methods of valuation as well as consider whether technically complex valuations have been done properly and whether the right sources of information have been used. Auditors need the right skills for this and must strike the right balance between using their own judgement and relying on other experts. FITNESS FOR PURPOSE Reliability and uses of information in audited financial statements Reliability is not just about faithful representation. While applying measurement techniques properly and auditing complex calculations is vitally important, users of audited financial statements are rarely looking at individual numbers in isolation without having an overarching purpose in mind. The measurement of an individual asset is in effect just one of many tools for users to rely on for a specific purpose. For audited financial statements to be reliable they must be fit for purpose. As David Tweedie wrote back in 1977: ‘Accounting … is only a medium of communication. Its purpose is not to provide stimulating intellectual exercise for those who do it, not to give them a pleasant means of passing the time. If it does not meet the test of telling the reader something which will help him, it fails in its primary purpose.’ DRAFT 221112 3 Auditors therefore need to have a clear understanding of the purpose of audited financial statements as prescribed by legislators and accounting standard setters and must also be in a position to judge whether the information as presented is reliable for this purpose. This ‘fit for purpose’ requirement is something that is very evident in the field of reliability engineering. Products must be fit for their intended function and their reliability is measured against a specification of requirements. The engineering perspective draws attention to the fact that financial statements are meant to be useful. The engineering field may also provide helpful insights into dealing with difficult questions in financial reporting such as how is reliability measured, how reliable does specific information have to be and what are the costs and benefits of different levels of reliability? Challenges for auditors Interestingly, the link to engineering ‘fitness for purpose’ is picked up in the accounting literature. Stephen Penman argues that: ‘Simply put accounting is a product, and the understanding of good accounting or bad accounting is a matter of understanding its product features from the point of view of its customers ... Just as a new drug is tested, with side effects noted, so must accounting be judged by how it helps or hinders its users’. For audited financial statements to be seen to be reliable, the information provided in them must meet the needs of users. Penman has a very clear view that user needs are about the evaluation of equity investments although different legislators and standard setters may have different views. There is lots of debate in the accounting literature about the purpose of audited financial statements. Stephen Zeff’s forthcoming paper, to be presented at the annual ICAEW Information for Better Markets Conference in December 2012, explores the history of efforts to identify the objectives of financial statements. The IASB’s Conceptual Framework says that the purpose of audited financial statements is to provide financial information that is useful to existing and potential investors, lenders and other creditors in making decisions about providing resources to the reporting entity. These decisions involve buying, selling or holding equity and debt instruments, and providing or settling loans and other forms of credit. While the Conceptual Framework has a clear view of the purpose of audited financial statements, in reality, there appears to be little understanding of exactly how the information in audited financial statements is used for this purpose. Auditors are therefore likely to face situations where financial reporting standards and conventions appear to permit or even require accounting treatments that do not seem fit for the purpose that the information is supposed to be used for. This is not meant to be a criticism of standards because standards can never cover every eventuality. But it does suggest that auditors need to be proactive and engage with standard setters and other organisations when they have concerns about whether standards are meeting their supposed purpose. They cannot just stand aside, or hide behind the rules set out in accounting standards. These issues have already provided a rich vein of discussion at recent Audit Quality Forum meetings. ROBUSTNESS Reliability and the importance of communication Fitness for purpose is clearly important for users of audited financial statements but unlike for hardware products which have a clearly defined purpose which enables their reliability to be easily measured, the very objective of audited financial statements is highly contentious. Even among those who believe that audited financial statements are meant to serve the needs of providers of capital, there is vigorous debate about the relative importance of stewardship and buy-sell decisions and differences between debt and equity providers. In addition, expectation gaps exist DRAFT 221112 4 about the extent of the responsibility that preparers and auditors have for preventing and detecting fraud or for giving comfort to users that organisations will remain solvent for the foreseeable future. No matter what accounting standards setters say about the purpose of audited financial statements, information in audited financial statements is used in different and sometimes unpredictable ways for different purposes. Research by Joni Young in 2006 supports the idea that auditors and preparers of financial information do not fully understand how that information is used and while auditors are powerless to stop this, they should be alert to the problem and take all reasonable steps to address the robustness of audited financial statements in the face of the resulting uncertainty. In this respect, software and systems reliability – a subset of reliability engineering – can provide some helpful parallels. In software and systems reliability it is often difficult to determine exactly how software is intended to operate or to replicate it in different contexts and human intervention makes it more unpredictable. Achieving reliability in software systems is particularly challenging yet vitally important. Reliability may be tested and confirmed in a particular context but it is difficult to say that the system will perform acceptably in another similar context. It may depend on the way it is used and how other applications being used at the same time might affect it. Challenges for auditors Unpredictability of use poses challenges for auditors. How can auditors anticipate all the purposes for which information in audited financial statements might be used? Equally challenging is the fact that not all users of audited financial statements fully understand the scope and purpose of audit and they have very different expectations of what is meant by reliable audited financial statements. However, from looking at the literature on software and systems reliability auditors may have something to learn from the software development market’s focus on robustness of software and how it addresses reliability issues. Software developers make significant use of online communities and through the use of digital technology and webcasts and webinars, these communities bring together users with a shared sense of purpose to provide feedback, discuss issues, improve communication and develop solutions to problems. Another example is that of open source software, where software developers publish their software with an open source license allowing others to create modifications to it, understand its internal functioning and share it with others. This approach can help produce reliable, high quality software quickly and inexpensively. This analogy provides strong support for the need for good communication channels and engagement with users of audited financial statements and the importance of feedback so that reliability issues can be quickly picked up and dealt with. There is growing recognition among auditing standard setters that engagement with users is important. This is evident from recent initiatives looking at the scope of auditor reporting and which have led to changes in codes and standards to strengthen accountability and engagement through the investment chain. What other types of communication and engagement are possible? Is there scope for more direct communication channels between users and preparers and between users and auditors to understand how information is used and might such engagement and communication go some way to helping to address expectation gaps? Auditors are already required to think about the context in which information is used when considering audit materiality and in setting the scope of the audit work they perform. More direct engagement with users about how they use audited financial statements would build on this and enhance their ability to address expectation gaps. Armed with additional knowledge, auditors might then be able to be more assertive and proactive about what they put in their audit reports. While traditionalists might not like the idea of disclosing additional audit work or adding caveats or warnings about the use of information, auditors should not be criticised for doing this if it demonstrates that auditors are taking their responsibility for reliability to heart. It would also be in the spirit of current initiatives to make auditors’ reports more informative. DRAFT 221112 5 ORGANISATIONAL RELIABILITY The halo effect and the audit The information contained in audited financial statements is important and auditors play a vital role in making sure that this information is reliable. But the audit itself only focuses on a limited amount of the information that is published by organisations and it does not prove that organisations generally publish reliable information or that they are reliable organisations. Should auditors be concerned about the reliability of the organisations they audit and other unaudited information that these organisations publish? From a risk management perspective, the answer is surely yes because how many auditors would really want to be associated with organisations that produce unreliable information, whether it is to be audited or not, particularly if this information is significant to users? The reason why auditors should be worried is because the audit has a ‘halo effect’. The halo effect is a term invented in the 1920s by psychologist Edward Thorndike to explain a cognitive bias that plays a large role in influencing our views of people and situations. From an auditing perspective, the audit not only influences users’ views about the reliability of the financial statements. Because it is seen as something to be trusted, it can also impact how users of audited financial information view the reliability of organisations as a whole and other information that they publish. A clean audit opinion may lead to an impression being formed that the organisation and its management are reliable because if they weren’t, then investors would expect the auditors to have done something about it, for example resign or qualify their opinion. The effect is reinforced by the fact that there are very few qualifications in audit reports. To echo a phrase used by John Coffee, auditors are seen as ‘reputational intermediaries’ and, by association, they are seen to give organisations the aura of being reliable and producing reliable information even if they are not. These views are rooted in the reputation of audit firms rather than in the reputations of the audited organisations themselves. Reputational intermediaries play a vital economic role in markets by reducing the amount of resources that investors need to devote to ascertaining the reliability of investee companies and the information they report. Challenges for auditors The expectations of reliability that we have described are difficult for auditors to manage. Where auditors identify adjustments to be made to the audited financial statements because of an organisation’s inability to get the numbers right then surely they must also question the reliability of other information that the organisation is publishing. Where that is the case, they should be concerned. This suggests that auditors need to assess the reliability of the organisations that prepare the financial statements they audit as well as the significance of other information they publish. Unless they do this, then accidents are likely to happen that will cause users to doubt whether audited financial statements themselves are indeed reliable. If we want to understand the characteristics of organisations that are needed to make them reliable, then we can gain an interesting perspective from looking at the high reliability organisation (HRO) research literature. This body of literature looks at organisations that really can’t afford to make any mistakes, for example in the nuclear and aviation industries and certain branches of the military. Similarly, a company cannot afford to get its communications to investors and shareholders wrong and auditors need to be mindful of this because their reputations are also at stake if this happens. The Berkeley School on HROs identified conditions and relationships associated with consistently achieving very reliable operations. This relatively new field of work highlights the role of organisational structure and culture in developing and maintaining high levels of human performance in the face of extraordinary demands. These HROs appear to demonstrate a culture DRAFT 221112 6 of reliability, with shared perceptions, norms and informal traditions and employees who work to a clear common purpose and a goal of collective performance. Safety, accountability, interdependence, responsibility, continuous training and redundancy (in the ‘belt and braces’ sense) are common characteristics. From a socio-psychological perspective, HROs create a collective state of mindfulness and manage the unexpected by using processes such as a preoccupation with failure, commitment to resilience and deference to expertise. Much of the HRO literature is based on organisations with highly complex operating and technical systems where failure could lead to considerable suffering, either by employees or the public. The conditions are therefore extremely demanding and are likely to be beyond the skill and capacity of many organisations. However, it draws attention to certain characteristics that might help create confidence in an organisation’s ability to produce reliable information, such as accountability, responsibility, continuous training and a focus on the skills, experience and technical competence of employees. Auditors may consider whether the organisations they audit have these qualities as part of their overall client acceptance procedures. Furthermore, HROs have significant involvement with stakeholder groups and this is seen as crucial to instilling trust. Users of audited financial statements likewise value direct and regular communication channels with management. As already highlighted, they may value more direct engagement with auditors too. AUDITOR BEHAVIOUR Auditor attributes and the audit process In the four previous sections we have identified challenges that auditors face as a result of giving reliability a central role in auditing. So, what are the behavioural qualities of auditors and the organisational strengths of audit firms that we would expect to see in order to overcome these challenges? As reputational intermediaries, auditors face huge reputation risks from perceived audit failures or from being associated with unreliable organisations. When information is not faithfully represented, not fit for its intended purpose, not reliable for the other purposes that it is being used for, or organisations are not reliable, then users of that information will believe that the expert systems that they have placed their trust in have failed. This can have devastating consequences not only for audit firms but also for confidence in other organisations those firms audit and for trust in the market as a whole. While they should consider the reliability of the organisations they audit, they should also take steps to ensure that their own audit firms are reliable reputational intermediaries. What are the behavioural and organisational characteristics of auditors and audit firms that can help with this? There is a significant amount of behavioural literature relating to auditing that looks at issues such as how auditors overcome inherent biases and what professional judgement means. Rather usefully, the insights that underpin much of this literature have recently been summarised in Daniel Kahneman’s best-selling book Thinking, fast and slow (2011) on the psychological research behind behavioural economics which earned him his Nobel Prize. Kahneman introduces the idea of two ‘systems’ of thinking and looks at how people apply these different systems of thinking in different situations. System 1 is fast thinking, where thoughts come automatically and quickly. System 1 does not think statistically, but is more intuitive, relying on heuristics (rules of thumb), perception, memory or expertise and experience. According to Kahneman, however, the spontaneous search for intuitive solutions sometimes fails when neither an expert nor heuristic solution comes to mind. In such cases people will often switch to a slower more deliberate and effortful form of thinking. This is system 2 thinking which is all about the ‘conscious reasoned self’. System 2 requires attention and can involve complex calculations and concentration. DRAFT 221112 7 Why do users of financial statements believe that the audit helps to make those statements reliable? Auditors are considered to be experts. They are expected to use professional scepticism and judgement, understand complex standards and are trained to have the experience and expertise to provide an opinion on the financial statements. Their work is supported by a structured audit process which follows internationally accepted standards. Auditors therefore apply the two systems of thinking. They have clear organisational processes and with the help of auditing and quality control standards, they can use discipline and control to apply system 2 ‘slow thinking’ to slow things down and question, for example, financial statement assertions, stand back from the financial statements and help keep in check any bias. Some of the HRO characteristics outlined in the previous section such as continuous training, a focus on accountability and the skills, experience and technical competence of employees would seem to be useful for audit firms in assessing their own organisational strengths and quality control systems. Auditors also need to use experience, intuition and ‘an auditor’s nose’ to know when something is not right. This system 1 ‘fast thinking’ and the ability to spot things that others would not is developed through a combination of expertise and experience. Challenges for auditors A key question is whether training practices and quality control processes in audit firms support the behavioural characteristics associated with reliability. In particular, as well as instilling a methodical and deliberative approach, is the fast intuitive thinking based on experience and expertise being passed on to successive generations of auditors? Do these auditors feel inspired to be auditors and use these skills to best effect? Thinking about these issues also provides a useful insight into the concept of scepticism. Auditors need to be sceptical in two ways: they need to be able to overcome biases and be methodical in their approach to their work to ensure nothing is missed. But they also need to have a sense of when to ask more questions or query evidence when things do not feel quite right. Audit firms need to think about the extent to which fast thinking is based on intuition and insight as a result of experience and expertise rather than simply being a misleading heuristic or bias. This is very difficult to measure and monitor. Firms must also consider whether their auditing practices have the right balance of the two systems of thinking? Auditors are increasingly perceived as having a preoccupation with compliance and box-ticking. If auditors want to avoid this fate then they will need to examine their own behaviour, be positive about what they do and through effective training ensure that their skills are passed on. NEXT STEPS The importance of reliability This paper is based on a simple premise that ‘audited financial statements should be reliable’ and it is clear that the concept of reliability is of real interest to a wide variety of audit stakeholders. There are many quotations and references that we can point to which refer to the need for reliable financial information and the role of audit and which reference the five aspects of reliability that we have discussed. For example, James Doty, chairman of the US Public Company Accounting Oversight Board has said in his speeches that: ‘auditors confirm the flight-worthiness of the engine of reliable financial data that drives our economy. They are an integral part of the basic checks and balances in the system.’ and ‘Reliable financial and economic data is one of the fundamental assumptions of American society …Our system of capital formation relies upon the confidence of millions of savers to invest in companies they trust’. Research in 2010 by the Maastricht Accounting, Auditing and Information Management Research Center also concluded that investment analysts generally perceive that the auditor’s work is valuable to them by increasing their confidence in, and reliance on, financial statements. DRAFT 221112 8 Reliability therefore plays a central role in auditing and this paper considers the consequences for auditors. Theirs is not an easy task and the paper highlights the practical challenges that a responsibility for reliability brings. Yet as difficult as they may seem, these challenges help to focus the mind on the tangible actions that auditors can take to embrace their responsibilities and these actions ultimately provide a better focus for some longstanding and seemingly insoluble audit issues, such as how to deal with expectation gaps and instil scepticism and what is meant by audit quality. A summary of the challenges Auditors should apply the methods prescribed by relevant standards, conventions or frameworks to ensure that information is properly compiled and measured. They need to use their expertise to understand and properly apply the techniques used and to re-perform complex valuations. They need to use their judgement about when expert advice may be needed and to what extent they can rely on this. As well as this, auditors need to understand the purpose of audited financial statements and judge whether the information presented is reliable for this purpose. In so doing, auditors should consider whether they believe that compliance with accounting standards is sufficient to ensure that the information is reliable for this purpose and at times may feel frustrated by what they may see as an inability of standards to clearly reflect the purpose for which the information in the audited financial statements is actually being used. This is not necessarily a criticism of financial reporting frameworks or standards as they cannot cover every eventuality. But it does make the role of auditors more challenging because they cannot simply hide behind rules and accounting standards. Even so, the objective of audited financial statements is highly contentious. No matter what legislators and accounting standard setters say about the purpose of audited financial statements, in reality information in audited financial statements is used in varied and sometimes unpredictable ways. Neither auditors nor preparers of information fully understand how information may be used. Auditors need to be aware of the expectation gaps which they may therefore fall prey to, and these are particularly evident around their responsibilities in relation to going concern and fraud. With this in mind, they have a responsibility to engage proactively with users to understand how they are using the information in audited financial statements. Armed with this knowledge they need to think about whether this information is reliable for these purposes and if not, whether they must be more bold and warn of the limitations of using it for these purposes. By giving a greater voice to users, auditors can help manage expectations and deal with issues in a more proactive way. The information contained in audited financial statements is important and auditors play a vital role in making sure that this information is reliable but the audit does not prove that organisations generally publish reliable information or that they are reliable organisations. Yet auditors should still be concerned about this because from a risk management view point, do they really want to be associated with organisations that produce unreliable information, whether it is to be audited or not, particularly if they know the significance of this information to users? This is pertinent given the idea that the audit has a ‘halo effect’. Auditors are, in effect, seen as reputational intermediaries and, by association, they give organisations the appearance of being reliable and producing reliable information even if they are not. Users of audited financial statements make wider assumptions about the reliability of organisations and their outputs which are rooted in the reputation of audit firms rather than the organisations themselves. In their client acceptance procedures auditors therefore need to think widely about the qualities of the organisations they audit, their ability to produce reliable information and the significance of other information outputs. If an organisation cannot deliver reliable information then auditors must question whether they really should continue to work with them. Finally, auditors and audit firms need to assess whether they are geared up to meet these challenges. Audit firms pay a heavy price with their reputation if audited financial statements or indeed other information published by organisations is not reliable. Auditors and audit firms need to ensure that they have the appropriate behavioural and organisational characteristics to ensure that they are reliable. Auditors should therefore focus on their own organisational strength and DRAFT 221112 9 reliability. Audit firms need a successful mix of, on the one hand, organisational process, discipline, control and method and on the other hand, experience and intuition to sense when something is not right. But this brings its own challenges of how they train and inspire auditors to achieve the right combination of discipline and flair. The need for shared responsibility We have set out some significant expectations of auditors in this paper but to meet many of these expectations, we need to give auditors a collective voice and an opportunity to be heard. We need to listen to what they say are the difficulties involved in fulfilling a role as champions of reliability if we want to support the statement that ‘audited financial statements should be reliable’. The Audit Quality Forum, with its broad range of stakeholder representatives, is well placed to explore these issues further. In particular, the Forum provides an opportunity to ask other stakeholders whether as companies, investors, legislators, regulators and standard setters they are doing everything they can to enable auditors to stand behind the reliability of audited financial statements. If you have any comments on this paper and would like to respond to us then please contact louise.sharp@icaew.com. FURTHER READING In developing this paper, we have drawn on the following sources of information which readers might wish to explore further. Faithful representation The latest iteration of the International Accounting Standards Board’s Conceptual Framework for financial reporting (2010) replaces the concept of reliability with that of faithful representation and explores the characteristics of faithful representation. The following website and papers provide a useful source of information about the concept of reliability in research theory and methodology: W M Trochim, The Research Methods Knowledge Base, 2nd Edition, http://www.socialresearchmethods.net/kb/, (version current as of 20 October 2006) A Bryman, Social research methods, 3rd edition, 2008, Oxford University Press, Oxford M Joppe, The research process, 2000 Fitness for purpose The following websites are devoted to and highlight the importance of the concept of reliability in engineering: IEEE Reliability Society, http://rs.ieee.org/ Weibull.com Exploring the idea of purpose from an accounting academic perspective, Stephen Penman argues that financial reporting is for the evaluation of equity investment in, Accounting for risk and return in equity valuation, Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Volume 23, Issue 2, Spring 2011, pp 50-58 Robustness The Centre for Software Reliability (CSR) at City University London is an independent research centre, founded in 1983 (www.city.ac.uk/informatics/school-organisation/centre-for-softwarereliability). Their early research concerned the reliability of software - particularly the problems of measurement, assurance and prediction of reliability – using probabilistic modeling. There are a number of articles exploring software reliability, for example: DRAFT 221112 10 Littlewood and Strigini, Software reliability and dependability: A road map, 2000, ICSE 2000, Proceedings of the Conference on The Future of Software Engineering J Pan, Software Reliability, Carnegie Mellon University 18-849b Dependable Embedded Systems, http://www.ece.cmu.edu/~koopman/des_s99/sw_reliability/, Spring 1999 Organisational reliability There are various articles by Todd LaPorte and others that look at the characteristics of high reliability organisations. They include: T R LaPorte, High reliability organizations: unlikely, demanding and at risk, Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management, Vol 4, Number 2, June 1996 T R LaPorte and P M Consolini, Working in Practice but Not in Theory: Theoretical Challenges Of ‘High-Reliability Organizations’, Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, 1 (1), 1991, pp. 19-48. The idea of HROs possessing a collective state of mindfulness comes from K E Weick and K Sutcliffe, Managing the unexpected; assuring high performance in an age of complexity, 2001, Jossey Bass, San Francisco. John Coffee looks at the role of the professions in business and articulates the idea of auditors as reputational intermediaries in his book Gatekeepers: the professions and corporate governance, (2006, Oxford University Press). Auditor behaviour The idea of fast and slow thinking comes from D Kahneman, Thinking, fast and slow, 2011 and this work is also informed by his research with Amos Tversky on judgement under uncertainty. The idea of expert systems is explored by Anthony Giddens in The consequences of modernity, 1990, Polity Press From more of a behavioural perspective in accounting and auditing research, there is: J Shanteau’s work on expert decision makers J Birnberg’s work on behavioural research in accounting S E Bonner, Judgment and decision making in accounting, 2008, Pearson M Power, PD Leake lecture on Fair value: the influence of financial economics on accounting, 2009 L A Maines and J M Wahlen, The Nature of Accounting Information Reliability: Inferences from Archival and Experimental Research. Accounting Horizons 20 (December): 399-425, 2006 DRAFT 221112 11