University of Pennsylvania Law School Penn Law: Legal Scholarship Repository Faculty Scholarship 2001 On Insider Trading, Markets, and "Negative" Property Rrights in Information Zohar Goshen Columbia University Law School, zgoshen@law.columbia.edu Gideon Parchomovsky University of Pennsylvania Law School, gparchom@law.upenn.edu Follow this and additional works at: http://scholarship.law.upenn.edu/faculty_scholarship Part of the Behavioral Economics Commons, Business Law, Public Responsibility, and Ethics Commons, Criminal Law Commons, Criminology Commons, Criminology and Criminal Justice Commons, Law and Economics Commons, Property Law and Real Estate Commons, Public Policy Commons, and the Securities Law Commons Recommended Citation Goshen, Zohar and Parchomovsky, Gideon, "On Insider Trading, Markets, and "Negative" Property Rrights in Information" (2001). Faculty Scholarship. Paper 1367. http://scholarship.law.upenn.edu/faculty_scholarship/1367 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by Penn Law: Legal Scholarship Repository. It has been accepted for inclusion in Faculty Scholarship by an authorized administrator of Penn Law: Legal Scholarship Repository. For more information, please contact PennlawIR@law.upenn.edu. VOLUME87 NOVEMBER 2001 NUMBER 7 A.RTJCLES ON INSIDER TRADING, MARKETS, AND "NEGATIVE" PROPERTY RIGHTS IN INFORMAT10l'� " Zohar Goshen* and Gideon Parchomovsk_v' INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1230 1. l237 THE MARKET MECHANISM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A. The Market Players . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . l237 B. The Pricing Process ................................................................ 1238 .. 1244 II. EFFICIENT AND LIQUID MARKETS . . A. When Are Ji;Jarkets Efficient and Liquid? ............................ 1244 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B. The Relative Advantage of Anal_vsts over Insiders in Providing Efficiency and Liquidity....................................... 1246 1. Efficiency ............................................................................. l246 2. Liquidity .............................................................................. 1251 C. Insiders' Exclusivity or Analysts' Competition .................... 1253 1. Inefficient Provision of Firm-Specific Information and the Problem of intertwining Pricing and Management l256 . . . *Global Law Professor, NYU Schoo! of La'>v: '/isiting Professor, Columbia Law School (Fa!l2001); Senior Lecturer of Law. !·kbre'>v University, Jerusalem. *''Associate Professor, Fordham Law Schoo!. This paper has greatly benefited from comments and criticisms by Bill Allen. Jan Ayres, Bernie Black, Lucian Bebehuk, Abraham Bell, Yariv Brauner, Richard Buxbaum. R0b Daines, Kirsten Edwards, Mel Eisenberg, jill Fisch, Jesse Fried, Ron Gilson, Victor Goldberg, Mitu Gulati, Jeff Gordon, Joe Grunclfest, Assaf Harnclani. Henry Han:m><mn. Carolyn Jackson, Marcel Kahan, Kimberley Krawiec, Yael Lw;trnann. Geoffrey Miller, Mitch Polinsky, Uriel Procaccia, Dan Richman, Ed Rock, Roberta Romano. Alan Schwartz, Peter Siegelman, Steve The!, ·william Wang. Charles Yablon, Omri Yadlin, and participants at Law and Economics workshops at Boalt HalL Columbia, Stanford, NYU, and UCLA. 1229 (Vol. Virginia Law Review 1230 2. Inefficient Pricing and Reduced Liquidity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87:1229 . . . . . . III. POSITIVE EXTERNALITIES OF THE ANALYSTS' MARKET . A. The Inform.ation iVJarket . . . . . .. B. The Investment Banking Industry .. . . . IV. THE CASE FOR NEGATIVE PROPERTY RIGHTS IN INSIDE 1:-�FORMATION . . ... . . . . . .... . .. .. . V. EXTENSIONSOFTHEANALYSlS . . . .. . . .. . .. . A Selecrive Disclosure . . .. .. . .... . . .. . . B. Warehousing . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . CONCLUSION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1258 l262 1263 1264 1266 1268 L268 1273 1276 INTRODUCTION 'R ..!.. EW issues have sparked as much debate and disagreement among Law and Economics scholars as the prohibition on in­ sider trading.1 Ironically, the Supreme Court's attempts in Chiarella v. United States/ Dirks v. Securities and Exchang e Comtn.issiun/ and, most recently, in United States v. 0' Hagw/ to clarify the scope and content of the ban on insider trading, and the subsequent reac­ tion of the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"),; have 'See. e.g., Stephen Bainbridge, The Insider Trad i n g Prohib i t i o n : A Legal and Economic Enigma,38 U. Fl a . L. Re v. 35,36 n.7 (1986) (noti n g that the a p p l i c ation of the pri n ciples of Law and Economics to the problem of i ns i d e r trad i n g is h i ghly controversial "both withi n the Law and Economics school and o ut s i d e it''). For useful s u m maries of the debate, see generally Charles C. Cox & Kevi n S. Fogarty. Bases of Insider Trading Law, 49 Ohio St. L.J. 353 (L988): Boyd Kimball Dyer. Economic Analysis, Insider Trading, and Game Markets. 1992 Utah L. Rev. 1. '445 U.S. 222,235 (1980) (holdin g that the ·'duty to di s cl os e under� iO(b) doe s not arise from the mere possession of n o npublic market i n formation ''). '463 U.S. 646,654 (1983) (ho l d i n g that the duty arises nut from the �lctual possession to d i sclose n o n p ublic information of the in formation relationship with the corporation or the sel l er of secur ities). '521 U.S. 642, 647 (1997) (holding that "a p e r so n who rc:rso n a l profit. using confidential i n formation but t ra des misaprrupriated from in in :1 fiduciarv · se c ur it i e s fo1· br e a ch ot' a fiduciary dutv to the source of the i n formation ,'· is guilty of viol a t i n g·� lO(h) a n d Rule IOb-5). 'The S E C reacted to these holdings i n several ways. Following Cliiureila, in an a ttemp t to narrow the scope of the holding, the SEC enacted Rule 14c-3(a), who se validity in some contexts r e m a ins doubtful. Sec O'Hagan, 52L U.S. at 672 n.\7 (1997). Then, in resp o ns e to Dirks the SEC had initially s u pporte d tbe co u rt ' s ru l ing , exempting sel ec t i v e disclosure to investment a n a l ysts. Later on, the SEC retreated from i t s e a r li er position and attempted to expand Dirks' "person a l bc:n cfit" test. Sec SEC v. Stevens, Litigation Release No. 12813, 1991 SEC LEXlS 451 (Mar. 19, Jl)9I) ( a tt em pti n g to hold Stevens l iable for i n forming market a n a lysts about earnings i n 20011 On Insider Trading 1231 onlv,..' added fuel to t he fire of t h e acade m ic debate already ragmg . 6 on the 1ssue. The most intrigui n g feature of the debate on insider trading is that all contributors seek to promote the same goal: e n hancin g the efficiency' and l iquidity" of securities markets.9 Substantial d is­ agrcernent exists. however, as to how the ban on i nsider trading affects the twin goals of efficiency and liquidi ty. Critics of the ban on insider trading main tain that permitting insiders to take advan­ tage of inside informati on is t h e best way to ensure efficie n t s hare prices."' Given that insi ders have ready access to i n side informa­ tion, critics argue that permitting them to derive private benefit from such information guarantees t hat new information \vill reach t h e marke t rapidly, and consequently, that s hare prices will adjust quickly to reflect the new information.11 By con trast, proponen ts of t he ban con tend t hat repealing it will d im i nish market efficiency.'2 Since ins iders seek t o maximize their own gain, not market effi­ ciency, proponents con t end t hat absen t a prohibition on insider trading, i ns iders would w i t hh old valuable information from t h e market until i t is optimal for t h e m to trade, t hereby compromising th e efficie ncy of the capi tal market.13 order to increase his reputation, although the action ultimately settled). Finding this latter step ineffective, the SEC enacted the Fair Disclosure Regulations, 17 C.F.R. § 243 (2001 ), on August 24, 2000, partially reversing Dirks' holding. For a description of the SEC's historical initiatives, see Donald C. Langevoort. Investment Analysts and the Law of Insider Trading, 7(-, Va. L. Rev. 1023, J 034-36 (1990). ''Jonathan R. Macey. Insider Trading: Economics, Politics, and Policy 7 (1991) ("A great deal of debate has concerned how much harm insider trading docs to investors."). !vlaccy, perhaps the leading authority on the matter. writes: "Those ... who takt: a ·tough minded' scientific or economic approach to the debate [about insider trading] inevitably end by condoning the practice on efficiency grounds that seem to others implausible. if not incredible.·· !d. at 2 (emphases added). 't\ securities market is efficient when share prices reflect all available information about the traclecl companies and their businesses. Eugene F. Fama. Efficient Capital Markets: c\ Review of Theory and E mpi ri cal Work, 25 J. Fin. 383, 383 ( l Y70). 'A sec uritie s market is liquid when investors can buy or sell shares on vcrv short notice. Macey. supra note 6, at 7. ··See id. at ll ("All sides of the debate about insider trading have argued that the rules they pr e fe r will enhance market efficiency and liquidity."). ;n See id. "See iJ. 12 See id. ''See. e.g .. David Ferber. The Case Against T nsider Trading: A Response to Professur Manne, 23 Vand. L. Rev. 621, 6:23 (1970) ("But if insiders were permitted to profit from inside information, there would be a natural tendency for insiders to 1232 Vir�inia Law Revie�v (._, L l I ' l?/9 -87' rvo1 L Shifting the focus of t h e debate to a c o ntractual sphere, Carl t o n a n d Fischel framed the m atter as an issue o f efficient allocation o f property rights i n inside info rmation_'" Oddly, h owever, they as well as other Law and Econo mics scholars h ave limited the li s t of potenti al e nt i tlement h older s to t wo: tl�e managers a n d th e share­ scope of the inquiry has been restricted t o the boundaries of the firm. ;\s Jonathan iVIaccy writes: "[T)h e debate about insider trading is redlly a debate about how to allocate a property right within a firm.,.,{, \Vhen insid e r trading is permit ted, m an a ge r s '>vill reduce their salary deman d s by a n amount equal t o the expected gain from insider trading, there fore benefiting the shareho l d e rs wh o will pay !ower salaries to the man­ h olders_15 In other words, the agers. 17 The choice between paying higher sala ries a n d permitting i n sider trading ultimately depends on the pa rticular c h a racteristics of each i n dividual firm and on its m an agers' attitudes t oward risk.1� Because d i fferent firms will choose to allocate property rights in in­ side i n formation diftercntly, a pmverfui argument in insi d er t r a d i n g literature suggests t h a t s h areholders and manage rs should b e per­ mitted t o c ontract over the allocation of property rights in i nsid e i nformation .19 Moreover, several schol ars h ave pointed o u t t ha t t h e prohi bitio n o n i nside r tradin g does n o t benefit the shareholders be­ cause the ban does not transfer the value of the i nformatio n to t h e prolong the period prior t o disclosun�··): Joel Seligman. The Reformulation of Federal Securities Law Co;;cerning Nonpuhlic Information. 73 Geo. LJ. 1083, !119, 1121 (1985). '"Dennis W. Carl t on & Daniel R. FischeL The Regulation of Insider Trading, 35 � � Stan. L R e v. 857,866-72 (1983). "See id. at 861, 863 (analyzing shareholders· and managers· e nti t l e me nts but stating that "[w]hethcr insider trading is bendicial depend:; on whether the property right in information is more valuable to the firm's managers or to the firm's inve�tors" and structuring its analysis around this po int but acknowledging that "the arguments for and again s t insider trading mav c;pply equally to t radi n g bv others''): see, e.g., David D. Haddock & J on athan R. 1-l!accy, A Coasian Model of !nsidCi Trading, 80 Nw. U_ L. Rev. 1449,1449-50 (1986). "Macey, supra note 6. at 4 (emph?.sis added). 17 Se e Macey, supra note 6. at 5-12: Haddock & Macey, supra note 15, at l463. "See Macey. supra note 6, at 4--12. ,. Carlton & Fischel, supra note 14, at 861--66 (applying the Coasc theorem to insider trading ana ly sis ) : Haddock & Iv!accy, supra rwte l5, at 1451, 1468 ( calling for a contractual resolution of the insider trading dilemma). On Insider Trading 2001) 1233 shareholders, but rather to professional investors.2° Consequently, the blanket prohibition on insider t ra di n g occasions a loss to the shareholders as a group without o ffering them any redeeming benefits. The shareholders lose twice: T hey pay higher salaries to managers, and they do not get the value of the inside information. The seeming superiority of a contractual solution to the problem of insider trading has led several leac!in� C1.1mmentat ors to conclude that the existing ban on insider trauing diminishes the welfare of shareholders.:' Moreover, some of these commentators have even sugges t ed that the ban on i nside r trading is the result of the dispro­ portionate political power of market a na l ysts who manipulated the political process to e ffect a wealth transfer from the managers to themselves. 22 We challenge both these conclusions and the analysis on which they rest. In particular, we posit that existing analysis is misguided as it rests on the erroneous assumption that property rights to in­ side information must be allocated within the boundaries of the firm-namely, either to shareholders or to managers. Conse­ quently, existing analysis ignores the possibility of awarding the property right of inside information to market analysts. This omis­ sion stems, in our view, from the analytical convention that property right entitlements must be positively assigned to a particu­ lar well-defined actor or group-in this context, managers or shareholders. We observe that property rights may also be "as­ signed" negatively to deny a certain group (managers) the use of a particular resource (inside information) in order to afford free ac­ cess to the resource to anyone who wishes to utilize it (market analysts). We utilize this observation to develop an innovative market approach to the problem of insider trading. The adoption of a market-wide approach to the problem of in­ sider trading enables us to present three novel insights. ,., See. e.g., David D. H:1cldock & Junathan R. :vlacey, Regulation on Demand: A Private Interest ModeL with an Applic<�tion to I nsidcr Trading Regulation, 30 J.L. & Econ. 311. 338 (1987). "See Macey , supra note 6. at 3-5: Haddock & Macey. supra note 15, at 1468. "Sec Michael P. Dooley. Fundamentals (explaining why the SEC targeted of Corporation markt:t analysts as Law 816-57 (1995) part of its enforcement p rogra m ) : Macey. supra note 6, ai 17-2.0 (describing to whom the insider trading re g u lati on was sole!); Haddock & Macc:y. supra n ote 20. at 328-29 (same). Virginio Law Review 1234 First, we show that when market analysts are taken into consid­ eration, it becomes apparent that the choice between insiders and market analysts raises a broader policy inquiry: 'vVhich of the two groups�insiders or analysts�wi!l better enhance efficiency in in­ formation and capital markets'):' 'vVe demonstrate that analysts outperform insiders in providing efficiencv to. both markets.�' in ,;,�cmities rn<lrkt:ts. analvst5 orice ..1 - - ' ,.1 1 stocks more efficientlY than insiders because analvsts consider both t fi rm - s p e cific informa ion and general rnarket inf�rmation.:' In con­ th,.: forrner type of information. to price efficiently."'- In addition, analysts provide superior liquidity to financi 21 rnarkets.27 Liquidity cruciaily depends on the number of transactions in the market. Both insiders and market analysts trade when the market v a l u e of a given share trast � insiders oniv und rmining their consider ;bility deviates from their private valuation. However, because the sub­ jective valuations of analysts widely diverge, the number of trades in a competitive analysts' market far exceeds the number of trades in a concentrated insider market. Moreover, because market ana­ lysts are better diversified and capitalized than insiders, the volume of trades generated by a competitive analysts' market is far greater than the volume of trades generated in a highly imperfect insider market.2'� Second, we show that allocating the property right to market analysts is the only way to ensure the integrity of securities mar­ kets. Gathering and processing information about share prices are services that may be pe r forme d either by insiders or by market analysts. Because of their superior access to inside information, in­ siders would consistently beat market analysts when trading against them in the market and would e v e n t u a l l y drive the analysts '' See i n fra Section I. B. ''See i n fra Section ll.B '' See i nfra Section Il.B.l. "'Sec infra Sec t i on T.B.l. 27 See Laura Beny, i\ Cornparativ�� Elnpirical Investigation of .Ag�.:�ncy' and fv1arket Theories of Insider Tra_ding 6. h t t p://papt' t·s.s�;rn .con1/sol3/papcrs.cfn1 ?abslract_ici =1 93070 ( Sept. 1999) (unpublished mzww;cript) (comparing the i m p act of insider trading regulation i n t hirty-three countric:�; and finding thztt "v;c:aker i n s ider tra ding regimes have, on average. less liquid equity mz�rkcts"). "For our discussion on liquidi ty and the superiority ut· analvsts in providing liquidity. sec infra Section II.B.2. 2001] On Insider Trading 1235 out of the market.2" This dominance would come at a dear price. The existence of market analysts generates valuable positive exter­ nalities that woul d be lost if insiders were to control securities markets. A com pe ti ti v e analysts' mar ke t p roduces efficient infor­ mation markets.�" Competition among ana l ys t s is responsible for the plethora of i nfor m a ti o n sources. such as financial newspapers, financial klcvision channels, and financial web sites. These infor­ matiun suurces improve investors· understanding of financial mJrkc:ts anJ enhance their confidence in them, which in turn in­ creases both the number of investors and their wi l lingness to invest. Moreover, these information sources improve o ve ra l l pric­ ing by other professional investors. Additionally, a vibran t analysts' market supports the investment banking market and draws foreign corporations from a less d ev e lo ped analysts' market to issue shares and list them in countries with a better developed analysts' market.'1 Given the numerous po sit ive external ities generated by a vibrant analysts' market-all of which t1ow directly from the prohibition on insider trading and would not exist otherwise-the issue of in­ sider trading cannot be left to contractual arrangement on a firm by firm basis. In deciding whether to permit insider trading, firms only consider their gains and losses, and exclude from the calculus the broad er societal interest in having developed financial markets. In a contractual regime, firms who stand to gain from permitting insider trading will pe rmi t the practice vvithout taki ng into account the social cost of their decisions. Our analysis indicates that the so­ ci;;\l cost of permitting insider trading may far outweigh the private gain to the individual firms that would otherwise permit it. The de­ cision as to whether to permit insider trading should not be th e subject of private contracting; the imposition of a blanket prohibi­ tion is the most efficient way to address the issue. Final ly, our anal ytical framework illuminJtes two specific prob­ lems w ith which the SEC and the Supreme Court h ave long involves discl osure of inside information by to a small grappled. The first is the problem of ·'selective disclosure," which '''See infra Part I:� ll.C. '"See infra Section lll.A. ·'1 Sec infrJ Section I!T.B. m a n gers [Vol. 8 7 : 1 229 Virgin ia L a w Re view 1236 gro u p of ana l ysts ahead o f t h e m ar ket. 32 The secon d is the proble m of " wareho using . " which arises when a po tenti a l bidder t i p s a small grou p of related investors abo ut her intention to bid for a s p ec i fi c t a rge t corporation based on t h e u n derstandi ng th at the i n ve s t o rs wil l tende r t h e i r h o ld i ng to h e r onc e the bid is made p u b l i c . ' ' E ffectivE a s o f O c tober 2 3 . 2000, the S E C ' s n e w l y enac t e d Fair D i s cl o s ur e Re2. u i a t i o n s p ro h i b i t any form of se l e c ti ve d i sclus u r c . m a nda t i n g i n s te ad eq ual t i mi n g o f discl os u r e . '" S ince this r u l e i n ­ c r e a s e s c o m pe t i t i o n amo ng a n < t l ys t s , i t w i ll c l e a r ly h a ve a d e s i r a b l e e ffect o n companies e nj oy i n g higl: l i q ui d i ty i n t r a d i n g a n J \v i J e an alysts ' co verag e . However, we show !hat the SEC h a s fa i l e d to consi der the bene ficial market effects of selec t i ve d i s c l o s u r e o n s m a l l a nd r e l a t i v e l y i l l i q u i d c o mp an i es . 35 For com p a n i e s t h a t fa i l to attract s ufficien t i n vest o r <1 t t e n t io n , sel e c t i ve disclosure is an i m ­ portant mechanism for i n i tiat i n g analy s ts ' coverage. Th us, w e q uesti o n the over- i nclusiveness o f the new rule. ·wh i l e w e c o m ­ mend the a pplication of the n ew r u l e to com p a n i es t h a t a l re a d y have w i d e a n a l yst s ' c overage , w e believe that s m a l l comp a n ie s whose shares suffer from illiq uid tr ad ing should be ex em pt. '( · As for warehousing, although the p ractice is prohibited under SEC R u le 1 4e-3 ( a ) , '7 the val i d i ty of this rule in this context rem a i n s u n c l e a r . '' We show that l egal reg u lation o f warehousing r eq u i r es car eful b al ancing between the market for corporate control and the capital m a r k e t . W h i l e ware h ous i n g fac i l i t a te s s uc ce s s fu l t a ke o v e r s , i t m a y reduce t h e return t o a nalysts o n investment i n i n form ation."' The ar t i c l e c o n s i sts o f fo u r parts. In Part I, we w i l l p rese n t o u r m a rket m o d e l i n w h ich fou r gr o u ps o f i nvestors- i n s i ders, i nf o r m a ­ t i on t r a d e r s , l i q u i d i t y t ra d e r s , and noise trade rs-i n te r a c t . U s i n g '' S e e i nfr<l S e c t i u n J V . A . ' ' S e c i n fra S e c t i o n l V . B . " Fa i r D i s c l u s u r e Regu l a t i o n ,; , 1 7 C F . R . � 243 ( 2000 ) . I n t h e s e reg u l a t i U Jb . t h e S E C h a s c h a nged c o m p l e t e l y i t s e a r l i e r p os i t i o n o f s u p p�) r t i n g selective d i s c l o s u re t u i n vt� s t m e n t a n a l v � t s . Sec Lan gc1·oo n . su pra n o t e 5 , a t l035-36. " Se e i n fra Sect i o n i V . A . '' See i d . '' S e c u r i t i e s E. xc h a n gc A c t o f 1 934 � l 4e . 1 5 U .S . C . S . § 7Sn ( c ) . '' U n i t e d S t i i t e s v . O ' H a g a n . 5 2 1 U . S . 642 . 6 7 2 n . l 7 ( 1 997) ( " We l e a v e f o r a n o t h e r d a y . wh e n the i ss u e re q u i re s d e c i s i o n . t h e l e g i timacy o f R u l e 1 4 e - 3 ( a ) ' w a r e h o u s i ng· . . . . " ) . "' See i n fn1 S e c t i o n I V. B . ;JS <l p p i i e d t o O n Insider Trading 2 00 1 ] 1237 this model, we will assess the effect of each group on efficient stock pricing. In Part I I , we will analyze the conditions for attaining e ffi­ cient and liquid financial markets. We w i l l demonstrate that analysts provide s uperior efficiency and l i q u i d i ty to financial mar­ k ets relat i ve to insiders. Tn Part IIL we will u n v e i l and describe the positive e x t e rn al i t i e s ana i ys ts c o m p e t i t i o n gc n e r < i t c s fo r the infor­ ' mation marke t and the i n ve s t m e n t ban k i n g : n J u s t ry . Finally, in Part IV, we will point out a n d assess t h e i m p l i c: t i o n s of our m arket approach for the ongoing de bate about the regu l a tion of selective disclosure and ware housing. I . THE M A R K ET M ECI-I A N I S ;-.. 1 In this Part we sketch out a new model for understanding the market dynamics affecting information and i ts impact upon stock pricing and liquidity. This conceptualization e nables us to show that the choice facing policymak e rs in regulating insider trading is whether to set up an insider-based information market or an ana­ lyst-based information market . Comparing the two options, we observe that the insiders ' market is highly inefficient relative to the analysts' market. As a result, efficiency-minded policymakers should favor the development of an analyst-based information market. A . The J'vlarker Players The capitai market cons i s ts of four g roups o f players: insiders, information trade rs, liquidity traders, and n oise traders."" Insiders have access to inside information ' 1 due to t he i r proximity to the firm. They also have the knowledge and abili t y to e valuate this in­ formation and to price it. Information traders, the second group, lack access to inside in­ formation, but are willing and able t o devote re sources to gathering "' For a detai led analysis o f noise t raders in c:lpita! mark e t s. see J. B radford De Long et a!.. Noise Trader Risk in financial Markets, 9S J. Po l . Eco n . 703 (1990). '' We use the term " i nside i n formation '· to d e scribe a p iec e of firm-specific information produced within the firm and unknown to t h e pub l ic. After p ublic disc l osure, the piece of informati on transforms i n to "pub lic information.'· However. for clarit v"s sake, i n our a nalvsis we n e vertheless c o n t i n ue to rdcr to this i nformation as " i nsid e i n formation,'' traci n g it to i rs origi n s . [ V o l . 87 :1229 Viroinia L a w RevielV c"O 1 238 a n d a n a l y z i n g i n form a t i o n a s a b a s i s for t h e i r t r a d in g . A l t h o ug h in­ dividual i nfor m a t i o n t ra d e rs do not necess a r i l y p e rform all fun c t i on s o f i n formed t r a d i n g-for e x a m p l e . g a t h e r i n g i nfo r m a ­ tion, processing i nform a t i o n , and trading s e c u r i t ie s-t h e y do p er fo r m t h e fu n c t i o n s a s a gro u p . I n fo r m a t i o n t ra ders a r e c o m p r i s e d o f t \\ ( ) s u b-gro u p s : mw!ysrs a n d srock tJickcrs. i\ na lysts t1 r e e x p e r t s s p e c i a l i z i n g i n p r o v i d i n g a n a l y t i c a l se rvices r e g ar d i n g t h e v a l u e of i nc !i v i cl u a 1 fi r m s as we l l a s t h e m a r k e t as a w h o l e . I n t h i s A r t i c l e , we gro u p u n d e r t h e t e r m ' ' a n a lysts " a w i d e range o f pro fession a l i n ve s t or s w h o p r o d u c e fi­ n a nc i a l a n a l yt i c a l work upon wh i ch they n2se t h e i r i n v e s t m e n t d e c i s i on s . L i k e t h e i ns i d e r s , a n a l ysts h a ve t h e a b i l i t y a n d k n o w l ­ edge to c o l l e c t , e v a l u a t e , a n d p r i c e i n form a t i o n . S t o c k p i c k e r s , t o o , c o l l ec t a n d e v a l u a t e i n fo rm a t i o n , b u t t h e y a r e l e s s effi c i e n t t h a n a n a l ysts i n pe rfor m i n g t he s e fun c t i o n s . A s a r e s u l t , s to c k p i c k e rs are " s l ow e r " at g a t h e r i n g . a n a l yzing, a n d respo n d i n g t o n e w i n fo r ­ m a t i o n . a n d t h e a c c u r a c y o f t h e i r e v a l u a t i o n s i s i nfe r i o r t o t h a t o f a n a lysts . Therefore, s t o c k p i c k e r s oft e n b u y i n fo r ma t i on a n d a n a ­ l y t i ca l s e rv i ce s fro m a n a l y s t s . The t h i r d group, liquidity traders, d o e s n o t c o l l e c t a n d e v a l u a t e inform a t i o n ; r a t h e r , t h e i r i nv e s t m e n t r e flects t h e i r i nd i v i d u a l a l l o­ c a t i o n of r e s o urces b e t w e e n s a v i ngs a n d con s u m p t i o n . U n w i l l i n g t o devote resources t o c o n s t a n t g a t h e r i n g a n d a n a l yz i n g o f n e w i n ­ for m a t i o n , l i q u i d i t y t r a d e r s , i f r a t i o n a l , w i l l fol l o w a s t r at e g y o f b u y i n g a n d h o l d i n g a p o r t fo l i o o f s h a r e s .'12 F i n a l l y , n o ise traders , t h e fo u r t h group, act i r ra t i o n a l l y , fol l o w i n g d i ffe r i n 2. m et h o d s of i nvest m e n t e i t h e r as i nd iv i d u a l s or a s a V gro u p . " ' Noise traders o ft e n b e l ieve t h a t t h e y are i n possess i o n o f v a l u a b l e i nfo r m a t i o n a n d i n v e s t as i f t h e y a r e i n fo r m a t i on t r a d e rs . ' ' I n such c a s e s . o t h e r marke t p ar t i c i p a n ts c a n n o t s e p a r a t e n o i s e t r a d e r s f r o m true i n fo r m a t i o n t ra d e r s . B. Th e Pricing Process I n si ders or i nfor m a t i o n t r a ders d e tect d i s cr e p a n c i e s b e t w e e n v a l u e a n d p rice based o n t h e i n for m a t i o n t h e y p o s s e ss a n d t h e n '' S e e I l a cl cl o c k & Macey, s u p ra n o t e 1 5 , a t 1 453-54. "' S e e De Long c t a l . . supra n o t e 40. at 704. " S e e i cl . On Insider Trading 2001 1 1 239 trade t o c aptu r e the value o f the i r i nformational adv an tage ."5 W he n the y obse rve u n de r v al uati on, the y buy, the re by rai si ng t he p ri c e ; c onve rsel y . w he n the y sp ot ove r v al uati on, the y sell. the re by caus ­ i n g the p r i c e to d rop . S ince p ri ce change s are a l way s comp are d with s o m e c <l i c u l a te cl v al ue . a trad e is tri gge r e d w h e n e v e r the p rice c h a n Q.e i s n u l w a r ran t e d bv t he cu r re n tl v k n u w n i n form a t i o n . (_l i v� n th i s i n \· l� s t rn e n t s t r a t eg y � t rad i n g a g a i n s t a p �l rty \\' i t h s u p!_-� � - . r i or i nfo rm cl t i n n wi l l re s u l t i n a l oss . L i q uid i ty t r a d e rs , w ho t rade i rr e sp e ctive of n e w informati on­ for ex ample . s e l l i n g for l iq uid i ty or bu yi ng fo r s a v ing-will trade re g ard l e � s o f t h e 2 c t i o n s o f i nsid e rs and i n fo r m a t i o n t r ad e r s. 1 t is i mp ortan t t o no te that insi d e r tr ad i ng d oc s not harm l i q u i d i ty t ra d ­ e rs. '" O bvious l y , whe n i nsi d e r trad i ng has n o e ffec t on stock pri ce s, l i q uid i ty t r a d e rs w i ll not be harm e d . C ounte rin t ui tive l y , howeve r, e ve n w he n i nsid e r trad i ng d oe s affe ct stock p rice s ( f or e xamp le , pri ces r ise w he n i n si d e rs buy) , i nsi d e r trad i ng d o e s not ad ve rsely affe ct li q uid ity trad e rs." I nd e e d , if l i q ui d i ty trade rs tr ade i n the same m anner as d o i nsid e rs-for e xample , buyi ng w he n i nsi d e rs buy- the y lose since the y could have bought at a l owe r pri ce if t h e i nsid e rs were not buying a s well. H ow e v e r, i f l i q ui d ity trad e rs tr ade agai nst insi d e rs, the y gai n si nce the y w ould have bought for a hi ghe r p ri ce abse nt sell i ng by i nsi d e rs. T he same i s true w he n li ­ q ui d i ty trad e rs sel l . Li q uidi ty trad e rs w ho foll ow the s trate gy of buying and hold ing a p ortfol i o d o not lose on ave rage to e i the r in­ s ide rs or inform a tion trad e r s. W he n the y buy a p ort f oli o. t he y l ose on some tr an sac tions ( w hen the y buy toge the r wi th insi d e rs or i n­ format ion trade r s) and g ai n on othe rs ( wh e n the y buy w he n insi d e r s o r i nf ormati on trad e r s are se lli ng) . Li kewise. w he n the y sell t he p or tf ol io. t he y l ose at t ime s and gain at othe rs . O n ave rage t hey earn t h e market re t u r n for the p e r i od of t h e i r hold ing. " O n ly '' S e e . e . !! .. E u !! c n c: A n �liysh J . .C S c pt .�bc t . F. F a m a . R a n d o m W a l ks i n S t ock 1 965. a t 55 iVL! rkd Prices. 2 1 Fi n . (clc�cr i b i n g t h e p rocess by w h i c h rn a r k t: t prok,;si o n a l s i n c o r por a t e i n fo r m a t i o n i n to pri ces ) . " T ra d i n g bv i n fo r m a t i o n t ra d ers a l so d o c s n o t h a rm l i q u i d i ty t ra d ers. " S ec l-! � J d d o c k & \'laccv. s u p ra note 1 5 , at 1 453-54. . '' I n o t h e r wor d s . the ' ' fa i r p l a y ' · or · ' m ar k e t i n tegr i tv . r a t i o n a l e s d o n o t h o l d w i t h r c g a ;J t o t h ese i n\·c s t o rs : Th e v do n ot expect e q u a l a n d t i m c l v �1cccss t o i n formation a nd i n d e e d they a n: not h a rn{ed by not ge t t i n g it. Cf. Robe rt' J. H a ft . The E ffect of on the I n t e rn a l E ffi c i e n cy of 1 05 1 . 1 05 1 -53 ( 1 982 ) ( e x p l a i n i n g t h e " fa i r l n > i d c r Trc1 d i n g F. uks L. Rev. t h e Large Co rpora t i o n s . E:O Mich. p l a y " a n cl t h e ' · rn ar k t: t i n tegrity•· [Vol. 87: 1 229 Virgin ia Lmv Re view 1 240 t ra d e rs wh ose trades a r e t riggered by c h a nges in p r i ce will l os e on average w h e n t rad i n g aga i n s t i n s i ders or i n fo r m a t i o n t r a d e rs .�9 N o ise t r a d e rs a re a c t i v e b u t irratio n a l . T h e i r a c t i o n s a r e h a rd t o predict . I f t h e y a c t corn p l etely r a n d o m l y t h e y w i l l c a n c e l o u t t h e e f­ fe c t o f e a c h o t h e r on p r i c e s . a n d . on average , t h e y w i l l n o t l ose t o i n s i de rs o r �' n �1 l ysts . '" N o i s e t r zt d e rs . h owever. c;o m e t i m e s act as a h e r d . T h e y Cii: he bear i s h or bu ! i i s h . as a g m L : p . ·w i t h r e s p e c t to a spe c ifi c s t o c k : �1 p a r t i c u l a r i n d ustry, o r e v e n the rn a r k e t as a w h o l e . 5 1 W h e t h e r t h e v w i l l l o s e t o insiders or i nform a t i o n t r a d e rs deoe n d s o n t h e t i me i t takes t b e stock to r e a c h i t s e s t i mated t ' ' v a l u e " as c a l c u l a t e d by i n si d e r s or i n fo r m ::1 ti o n t r a d e r s . S u ppose i n siders anci i n fo r m a t i o n traders are of t he opi n i o n t h a t t he stock I n t e r n e t . c o m i s over-va l ue d , and t hu s , sell t h e s t o c k . Noise t r a d e rs w h o b u y t h e stock w i l l l os e i f t h e y b old t h e stock u n ti l i t e v e n t u a l l y d r o p s . B u t i n t h e i nteri m p e ri o d t h e y c a n e arn a p o s i tive r e tu rn i f t h e stock p ri c e c o n t i n u e s t o r i s e . I n t h e l o ng r u n , howe v e r , t h e y w i l l l os e , a s a group. t o i n s i d e rs o r i n fo r m a t i o n t r a d e r s . I n fo rm a t i o n t r a d e rs c a n n o t di s ce r n w h e t h e r p ri c e c h a n ge s are caused by n oise traders o r b y i n s i d e r s . 5' W h e n n o i s e t r a d i n g is m ixed with i ns i d e r t r a d i n g , i n fo r m a t i o n traders c a n n o t extract i n ­ forma t i o n fro m vo l um e o r price m ovem e n ts, n o r c a n t h e y d e d u c e t h e i d e n t i ty o f t h e t r a d e r s _,_; T h u s , w h e n i ns i d e r s are p e rm it t e d t o r a t i on a l e s ) : H a rrv I-k i i c r. C!ziun:lla. S E C R u l e 14c-3 Eco n o m i c T h e o ry . 3 7 Bus. Law. 5 l 7. 555-56 ( 1 982 ) an d Dirks: f a i rness versus ( m> t i ng t h a t i t is d o u b t fu l t h :lt i n v e s t o rs q u e s t i o n the i n tegrity o f t h e nn rkct due tO k n own c! i fft.:r c n e e s i n i n fo r m a t i o n avai l a b l e to i nvestors ) . ,., W i l l i a m K . S . W:.1 n g . Trad i n g u n M : 1 tc: r i a i N o n pu b l i c I n fo r m a t i o n o n Imperso n al S t o c k M a rk e t s : W h o b f ! a rm e d a n d \V h o C; n S u e "vV h o m U n de r S E C R u l e l O b-s·: . 54 S. C a l . L. Rev. J 2 l 7 . 1 3 1 1 - 1 2 ( 1 98 1 ) . "' R a n d o m i z i n g <:llld h o l d i n g a a h rg c n u m b e r o f t r a d e s has t h e same protect ive: e f fe c t a s b u y ing p o rt tc 1 l i u . H u w e v e r . t h is s t nt t e g y invo l ve s greate r trans a c t i o n costs. " S e c De Long d a i . . supra nNe -10. a t 704--2 6 . " C f.. e . g . . M o rris 1\ k n d c l so n . The Eco no mics of Insider Trad i ng Reco n s i d e re d , 1 1 7 U. Pa . L. R ev . 471J. 47-+ ( 1 969) (book review) ( ar g u i n g t h a t ' · [a J s l o ng as ot h e r investors do n o t h �t v e t h e i n fo r m a t i o n [ t h a t i n s i de rs h a v e ] , t h ey h a v e n o reason to c h a nge t h e i r u p i n i o n s o f t h e v a l u c of t h e s t o c k . ·' i rrespe c t i ve of n o i s e t r a d i n g ) . " I t i s not ewort h y t h a t Professors G i lson and Kraakman h ave a rgued t h a t t he t r a d i n g vo l u me or p r i ce move m e n ts may t h e m se lves s e n d a m e ssage to a n a l y sts regard i n g t h e n a t u re tlt t h e i n s i d e i n fo r m a t i o n . especiallv if s o m e a n a ly s t s can d e d uce t h e identity o f the i n s i d e t raders. Howe v e r , they have a c k n o w l edged that t his m e th od is the least dficie n t \\"ay of ach i e v i n g e fficient pricing because t h i s p rocess o f ' " d e c o d i n g " i s i mpreci se: a n d s l o w . Sec R o n a l d J . G i l s o n & Re i n i e r H . K r a a kma n , T h e M e c h a n i s m s o l· M a rk e t E fficiency. 70 Va. L. R e v . :549, :5 74--79 ( 1 9 84 ) . We sub m i t t h a t 200 1 ] O n insider �Frnding 1 241 t r a d e , t h ey w i l l c o n s i s t e n t l y b e a t t he i n fo rm a t i on t r a d e rs . S i n c e i n � form a t i o n t r a d e r s fo l l o w p r i c e s a n d r e a c t to i n form a t io n , t h e y w i l l a l ways b e o n t h e l o s i n g s i d e . ' ' S u p p ose a n a n a l ys t . based o n t h e i n­ fo r m a t i o n a va i l a b l e t o h e r , b e l i e ves t h �1 t a price o f a ce r t a i n s to c k a c c u r a t e l y repres e n t s i t s v a l u e . N o w s u p p o s e t h a t a n i n s i d e r is s e l l ­ i n g t h e s t o c k b a s ,� cl o n n e ga t i ve p r i v <H e i n fo r m a t i o n s h e p o s s e s s e s , c a u s i ng the stod: price t o ck c l i n � . The a n <t i ys L bc i ll g_ i gn c n a n t o f t h e i n s i d e i n fo r m a t i o n . w i l l i n L c r p r c t L h i :s d c c l i n ·.:: a s a n tm d c r v a l ua­ tion a n d w i l l b uy t h e s to c k . The sLoc.k will c o n t i n u e.� L u d e c l i n e and o n l y a ft e r the n e g a t i ve i n fo r ma t i o n becomes p ub l ic w i l l the a n alyst r e a l i z e that she bought a n o v e r p r i c e d s t o c k . Th e same i s true of p o s i t ive i n s i d e i nform a t i o n . I n !'orm 8 t i o n t r a d e r s c a n n o t d i vers ify away t h e risk of t r a d i n g a g a i n s t i n s i d e rs . and t h e y w i l l a l w ay s l o s e w h e n compe t i ng a g a i n s t i ns i d e r s . '' T h us , w h e n i n s i d e r t r a d i n g i s p r e va l e n t , i n fo r m a t i o n t ra de rs vvi l l b e u n a b l e t o r e c o up t h e i r i n ­ vest m e n t i n i n fo rm a t i o n , a n d e v e n t u a l l y t h e y w i l l e x i t t h e m a rk e t .5' our assu m p t i o n is more re a l i stic for several a d d i t i o n a l reasons. F i rs t . it is i m port a n t to n o t e t h a t G i l s o n a n d K r a a k m a l l · s a r g u m e n t was m a ck rega r d i n g a market from w h i c h n o i s e traders w e r e a bse n t . T h e a d d i tion o f n oise t r:td e rs m a k e s i t e v e n m o r e d i ffic u l t for a n a l ys t s to isolate i n fo rm e d t r a d i n g fro m u n i n formed t r a d i n g , t h us fur t h e r reducing t h e efficiency o f d e c o d i n g . S e c o n d . e m p i r i c a l l y . t h e l'c a s i b i l i t v o f d e c o d i n g i s c h a l l e nge d b y t h e fi n d i n g t h at m a r k e t s d o n o t d is p l a y ' · ,; t rong e ff i c i e n c y " ( i . e . . i n s i d e r s d o o u t p e rform t h e m a rket ) . S e e . e.g . . Juse p h E . F i n n e rt v , I n s i d e rs a n d 1vl a rk e t E f fi c i e n c y . 3 1 J . Fi n . 1 1 4 1 . ll4S ( 1 97 6 ) : H . Nej a t Sey h u n . I n s i d e r s ' profi ts . costs o f t rad i n g , and m a rket e ffi c i e n cy. 1 6 J . Fin . E co n . l iN, 2 ll ( 1 986). T h a t i s . a n a l y st s arc unabk t o d e t ect t h e n a t u r e o f the i n s i d e i n form a t i o n or tu deduce t h e i d e n t i ty o f t h e i nside tra ders d u ri n g t h e t r a d e s o a s t u p r e v e n t :1 h n u r m a l re t u rn t o i n s i d e rs. S e e i d . M o reove r. e ve n t h e i n fo r m a t i o n a b o u t <t l rc: a d v e x e c u t e d a m! rc p n r t e d i n s i d e rs · t rades compo u n de d i n t h e S E C's Official Sum!IWIT i.s n n t a l way> e x h a �1stcd hy a n <J i v s t s . S e e . e . g . . Jd'frey f. J a Uc . Speci a l i n form a t i o n a n d I n s i d e !· Trad i n g. -+7 J . B us. 4 LD. 428 ( 1 974) ( s u gges t i ng t h a t i n ve�tors can p r u f i t i'rum p r o m p t usc or t h e Official Summorv). C o m p a re H a l b e rt S . K e r r . The h a t t k of i n s i d e r t r a d i ng vs. m <�rk e t d'fi c i e n c y . fi J . Portfo l i o M �m t . . S u m m e r 1 980. at -+7 ( u s i n � '! s t c� t i s t i c a i ana lvsis t o s h o w t h ,1t exce s s r e t u r n s Gl� l n o l o n g e r be g a i n e d ) . w i t h R;1, m o n el G o l d i e & " K e i t h A m b ach t s h e er. The b<m k o f i n s i d e r t ra d i n g v s . ma r J.: e t c fi'i c i c n c v : Com:nc n t . 7 J . P o rt fo l i o i'v!gmt . . W i n t e r 1 9S l . a t 8 8 (concl u d i n g t h a t K e r r ' s re�u l ts ··sJww t h il t n o n ­ i n si d e rs con u s c the Official Sumn/ilrv t u e a rn excess p r o fi t s s i g n i f i c <1:l l l v m o re o ft e n than not''). " H a d d o ck & M J c e y . SLtpra n o t e 20. a l 3 1 S . '' See W a l te r 13 a ge h o t . T h e O n l y G am e: i n Town. 2 7 fi n . A n a l vsts J . . 1\ Ln.-A pr. 1 9 7 1 . a t J2, 13 ( showi n g that in a mod e l wi t h i n formed t ra d e rs . m a r k e t m'1kcrs, and l i q u i d i t y t raders. m a rke t m a k e rs a l wa y s l ose t o i n formed t raders). "' Sec. e . g . , M i c h a e l J . F i s h m a n & K a t h l e e n M . H a g c r t v . I ns i d e r t r a d i n g and t h e e ffi c i e n cy o f stock p r i c e s . 23 RA N D J . E c u n . . S p ri n g 1 9 92 . cH l 06. l JO (showing t h a t i n a m o d e l w i t h out siders possessi n g kss p re c i s e '�'�d nl<) rt: cost!v i n fo r m a t i o n t h a n t h a t ' V \._·J i R (J 7 · 1 ?/ 9 Virgin ia Lovv Review 1 242 L � . I • -- I n s h o r t . p e r m i t t i n g i n s i d e r t r a d i n g wou l d l e ad t o a m a r k e t w i th o u t a n a l ys t s . .:; ] W h e n i n si ders a re r e s t r i c t e d from t r a d i ng, t h e o u t c o m e w i l l b e d i ffe re n t . We c o n s i d e r a l e ga l res t ri c t i o n o n i n s i d e r t r a d ing t h a t i s b a s e d o n t h e " d i sclose o r a bs t a i n " r u l e .'' U n d e r t h i :.; r u t·.: . i ns i d e rs can e i t h e r d i s c ! <JS•.: L h e i n s i d e i n forrn a t i o n t h e y po�.; s ..:· '; ::, ;: ; ' ci t r a d e o n t h i s i n fornt a t i o n l l! ��.t� !. he r \Vi t h I h C r e s t O f t h e lll � 1 r k ;�:- t O r J bs ta i n from tracl i n so u n t i l s'o m c o t h e r le�al J u t v forces t h e m t u cl!:.;c i osc .'·' O nce t h e i n fo r n 1 a t i o � 1 i s J i sclosed, i n s i d e rs a n d i n fo r i t� d t i o n t r a d � rs compete to capt u re t h e v a l u e o f t h e i n form a t i o t1 . i n i i i �t i l y . t h e r e w i ll b e o n l y a fe\v a n al ysts i n t h e m a r k e t w h o w i 1 l n: a k e a b n o r m a l ret urns o n i n vest m e n t i n i n form ati o n . I n t h i s t ra n s i t i o n p e ri o d , t h e m ar k e t w i l l be t e s s e fficie n t a n d less l i q u i d i n c o m p a rison w i t h t h e � � � p rece d i ng s tage i n w h i c h i ns iders were a l lowed t o trade ."') G ra d u ­ a l l y , h o w e v e r , t h e n um ber of a n a l ysts w i l l i ncrease a n d c o m p e t i t i o n a m o n g t h e m w i l l b r i ng d o w n t h e r e t ur n tion to of a on i n v e s t m e n t i n i n forma­ compe t i tive rate, thereby cre a t i n g a more effi c i e n t and i n side r , the n u m b e r o f i n formed o u t s i ders d e c l i n es as � � f u n c t i o n o t t h e rc!;J t i ve the i nside r:;' i n form a t i o n ) : H a y n e E . Leland, lnsickr T r a d i n g : S h o u l d It Be Prohibited?. l O l l J . P o l . Eco n . 859. 883-85 ( 1 992) (conc l u d i ng t h a t i n a model w i t h moiwp o l i s t i c i ns i de rs [l \)S s e s s i n g more pr e c i se i n fo rm a t i o n t h a n i n l n r m e d \l Utsick rs. t h e w e l fare of i n formed u u t s i d e r s a l ways decl i n es w h e n the i ns i ders arc tr<Jciing ) . " Evc:n i f o n e ;ls,umes t h a t a n a l v s t s c a n "decode" i n s i d e r t racl i n � o r clecl uce t h e i d e n ti tv of t h e i n s i de t ra d e rs . it is clear t h a t t h is process or dccoJ i ng i> s l o w . cos t l y , and i mprecise. T h c r c !'ure. t h e e ffect of decoding on o u r a n ;1 l vsis w i ! l be: mcrdy i n g w i l ! o n iy a ffect the degree w w h i c h i n � i d ·; rs \\' i i i d ri ve: a n a lysts q u a n ti ta t i ve : D·.:cucl . out o f t h e m a r k e t - ra t h e r than z e r o a n alysts, t h e r e \Vi ! l be a .f(�t,· i d t . Yet. t h e process \VC d escribed abuvc rcn-: a i n s v a l i d . In o u r ana iy·sis. \VC <1ssun1e ze n : d e c u d i n � i n o r d e r t o h i g h l ight l llc. t e n s i o n h� t wct:n i ns i d e rs and a n a l y ;:; t s . '' \Vc t �1 k c: w; g i v e n t h e c ur re n t r e g i m e prohibiting insiJc:r l r : t d i n g F o r a :; i � n i fi ca n t propl"lS<t l to i n1 p r o v e t h e e x i s t i n g r e g i n 1 e . sec J e �se �d . Fri � d . R c d u c i n � t h e P ru ti t ctb i l i t v o f Cor p o n l tC i n s i d e r T r a d i i� g Through Pr c t r a c! i n g D i :;c t l l:' U I C , 7 1 s� Cal . L. R e v . :o r n . 306 ( i 9(,'8) ( a d vocatin g a rule t h a t req u i res i ;; �; i ck r:; t u d i s c J ,, s c: t h e i r i n t e n d e d t r a nsact i u n :; prior t o t h t� i r execltt ion ) . 5'1 -Thc d i � c l o s c - o r - �l h :=; t �l i n r u l e d o c s n o t p re s cr i b e n p[t rt i cuLn 1 1 n1 i n g fu r d i sclo:-\ u rc . R a t her. t h i s r u l e pe rmits c c c h i n d i vidual firm to a d o p t i t s o -.vn J i :-;c:cb u rc p o i i c y from the pnm i ss i b k ra nge ck l i nc:.Hcd by m cmdawry d i sc l us u rc ruie,;. · " Sec genera lly Reza u ! Kahir & Theo Vcrrnaekn, lnsider t r a d i n g res t r i c t i o n s and t h e stock m a r k e t : Evidence rrom the A msterdam S t ock E:<cha nge . .:+() Eur. Ecu n . Rev. l :i 9 L 1 5 9 1 ( l ':.l 96) ( e x a m i r� i n g the e ffect s ince l. 987 of i n t ro d ::c i n � i ns i d e r t r a d i n g restri c t i o n s on t h e b c ! w ··.· i o r of t h e Amsterdam Stock E xc h a ngc , , n c! t'i nd i n g t h a t " -;tocks b e c a m e l ess liquid" a n d t h at t h e re w a s s o m e e v i d c.: n cx o t· d ;�·� d u c t i o n '·in t h e �;rock rnarket · � spc� c d o f adj ustn1ent t o positive e �t r n i ngs 1 1 C \VS . . ) . an precisi on of ") () () .l1lJ L.-U On Insider Trading l i q u i d m ar k e t . '1 1 2 43 I n this m ar k e t , h oweve r , due t o t h e i r s u p e r i o r skills, analysts will b e a t stock p ickers. Valuing i n fo r m a t i o n t r ad i n g o v e r l i q uid i t y t r a d i n g b u t ack n o w l e dg i n g t h e superiority o f a na ­ lysts, stock p i c k e rs w i l l respon d by b u y i ng ana l y t i c a l s e r v i c e s fro m a n alyst s . w h o w i l l s e l l r h e s e s e r v i c e s at a cornpe t i t i v e p r i c e . , I f o n l y a fc? \\' i n s i d e rs occ a s i o n a ll y v i o l a t e t h ��: r·�� s t �·i c t i c) n Ll n d t rade o n i n s ici c i n !"o rnt a t iorL t h e a n a l y s t s � rn ar �: c t C ( ! n :_.; t i l l fu n c t i ·J � i . S uch l i m i ted i n ·; i d e : t ra d i ng d i m i n i s h e s t o s o m e e ': l c n ; t h e c : ­ p e c t e d r e t u r n o t a n a lysts b u t l e a v e s t h e m a sufl:i c i e n t r e t mn t o re m a i n ope r a t 1 v c .· T h e e :.: te n t o f i n s i d e r t r ad i n g � e h t h e o o u n d <; ­ r i e s o f t h e a n a l ys t < m 2 r k e t . Whe n t h e e x te n t o f i n si d e :· t r a d i n g i s l i m i t e d , a c o m p e t i t i v e ana lysts' m ar k e t w i l l d e ve l o p : w h e n i n s i d e r ' t rad i n g i s ext e nsive , n o a n a l ysts' m ar k e t w i ll form ." T h i s substi t u t i on e ffect b e t we e n i D s i d c rs and a n a l ys t s i s the key to u n ck r s t a n d i n g t h e b a n o n i n s i d e r t ra d i ng. M a r k e t p r i c e s are the re sult o f the a c ti o n s of a l l fou r g r o u p s . In­ s i d e rs a n d i n form a t i o n traders follow market prices and c o u n t e r . d e v ia t i o n s from t h e i r c a l c u l a t e d s ubj e c t i ve ' ' v a l u e . , L i q u i d i ty t r a d ­ e rs who fo l l ow t h e b u y a n d h o l d s tra tegy d o n o t d i s t o r t p r i c e s b e c a u s e o t h e r m ar k e t p a r t i c i p a n t s d o n o t assign i n forma t i onal c o n­ t e n t t o t h e i r t ra di n g activ i t i e s . N oi s e traders, o n acco u n t of t h e i r i r r a t i o n a l i n vest m e n t s tr a t e g i e s , d i s t o r t p r i ce s . T h u s , t h e accuracy o f s t oc k prices depends o n t h e a b i l ity o f ins i d e rs o r i n fo rm a t i o n t r a d e rs t o coun t e r t h e a c t i ons o f n o i s e traders. Th e b e t t e r i n fo r m a ­ ti on t r a d e r s o r i nsi ders are a b l e t o c o u n te r p r i c e devi a t i ons c aus e d by n o i se t r a d e r s or b y n e ,.v ! y disclosed i n fo rm a t i o n . the more e ffi ­ cient t h e m a r k e t . l n l i ght o r I h i s rn a r k e t rn o d e L a n d g i v e n t h e go a ! df m a x i m iz i n g t h e e ffi c i e n c y a n d l iq u i d i ty o f f i n a n c i a l marke t s , t h e q u c: s t i u n b e ­ carn e �·; \V h i c h group�i n s i d e rs o r an alys ts-is better �t b l c to a t t a i n t h is goa l ? "1 C f. Fish m a n & H a g e r t y . s u p r a n o t e 56. a t l 07 (arg u i ng t h a t · · i n ,; i Lk r t r �1di ng l e : t d s k�:s e ffi c i e n t stock p rices ' ' ) . B u t s e c Beny. supra n o t e 27. a t 6 ( fi n d i ng t h a t " wea k e r i n s i d e r t r a d i n � rcg i n 1 <� S h :·tve . t..) n a v e: rage. l ess l i q u i d e q u i t y lll<.l r k c t s ' ' ) . " Se c J h i n y o u n g S h i n . The O p t i m a l Regulation o f l n sick ; Tr: 1 d i ng. 5 J . Fin. l n t c r m c d i a t i u n -+9 . .+9 ( ! 9 9 6 ) (consi d e r i ng t h e op t i m a l e n fo r ce m ,� n t dfu n ' c1 n d c o s t s to in a model i n c l u d i ng i n ,; i d ers, i n fo r m e d m a r k e t p ro fe s s i o n a l s . reve a l s that " to k ra t i n g "·; ld. i.l t 59. sumc i nsickr t ra d i ng ca n ami l i q u i d i t v t ra d e rs be t h e o p t i m a ! reg u ! a t t ; r v !"J ! i cy''). [Vol. 8 7 : 1 229 Virgin ia L a w R e view 1 244 T l . EFF I C I ENT A N D LIQU I D MARKETS In t h i s P a rt , we a n a l yze t h e co n d i t i o ns u n d e r w h i c h c a pi t a l m a r ­ k e t s a re e ffici e n t a n d l i q u i d a n d expl a i n t h e i m p o r t a n c e t o t h e e c o n o m y o f a t t a i n i n g t h es e g o a l s . I n t h e fol l o w i n g S e c t i o n s , w e d e mo n s t ra t e . c o n t r a rv t o c o n ve n t i o n a l wisdom . r h a t a n a l "vs t s a re " s u perior to ! n � i d c L' i n p r o vi d i n g e ffi c i e n c y a n d l i q u i d i t y to fin a n c i a l m a rk e t s . I n t h e r-erT1 a i n d c r o f t h i s A r t i c l e , w e draw o n t h i s i m po r­ tar1t insi g h t t o p ro v i d e :1 n e w e c o n o m i c j u s t i fi c a t i o n for t h e b a n o n i n s i d e r tra d i n g. A Wh en A re Markets Efficien t and Liquid? M a r k e ts are e ffic i e n t when prices accura t e l y r e fl e c t a l l a v ai l a b l e i n fo r m a t i on rega r d i ng t h e assets t r a d e d in t h e m a r k e t ."4 A t t a i n i n g effic i e n t pric i n g i s c r u c i a l fo r a c h i e v i n g effici e n t a l lo c a ti o n o f re­ sources in t h e e c o n o m y ."; A m o n g o t h e r t h i n gs, e ffi c i e n t p r i c i n g is i m p o rt a n t for t h e market for corporate c o n t r o l , for m o ni t o r i n g a n d c o n t r o l l i n g t h e m a n agem e n t age n cy problem , for t h e a l l oc a t i o n o f resources t h rough i n i ti a l p u b l i c offe r i ngs ( " IPOs " ) a·nd s e c o n d ar y offer i ngs, for k e e p i n g h i g h l i q u i d i t y i n t h e m a r k e t , a n d f o r o t h e r t r a n s a c t i o n s i n t h e economy t h a t r e l y o n m a r k e t p r i c e s ."" M ar k e t s are l iq u i d w h e n t raders c a n e x e c u t e t r a n s a c t i o n s s p e e di l y . T h e m o re l i q u i d a m a r k e t , t h e fas t e r a t ra d i n g order i s e x e c u t e d .67 Liq­ u i d m a r k e t s b e n e fi t t h e e c o n o m y as t h e y reduce the c o s t of t r a nsacting and the r i s k associ a t e d with i nvestme n t ."x " S ee !vb rce l K a h a n . S c c u r i t i e ' Laws a n d t he S o c i a l Costs of " I n a c c u r a t e ' · S t o ck P ri ce s . 41 D u k e L. J . 9 7 7 . 979 (1 992) ( d e scribing t h i s s t a t e as o n e w h e r e · · t h e m a r k e t price o f a s t o c k cc> r r c � p o n d s to i t s fu n da m e n t a l v a l u e " ) . 6; Sec genera l l y i cl . (descr i b i ng t h e v a l ue o f e ffic ie n t s t o c k p rices a n d various reg u l a t i o n s t h a t a t t e m r t ro promutc e ffi c i e n cy ) . '' S e e id. at 1005- 1 7 . 1 0 1 7-24. 1 028-34, 1 0l5-39 ( d i s cuss i n g c a p i t al a l loca t i o n . m a r k e t l i q ui d i t v . t h e p o t e m i a l o f management be co mi n g overly c o n c e rn e d a b o u t maxim izi n g t h e v a l ue o f s t o c k ra t h :.: r t h a n t h e value o f t h e co r p o ra t i o n . t h e n ;; t u r c o f t h e m a r k e t for c o r p o rate con t ro l a n d h o w i n effi c i e n t s t o c k prici n g m a y a ffect i t . and o t h e r problems o r i n e ffi c i e n t stock p r i ces). 67 See " See id. a t 1 0 19-20. id. at 1 020 ( d e scri b i n g the two social costs of l o s i n g l i q u i d i ty ' · t r a n s a c t i o n co� t s o f t rad i n g [ ] a n d t h e c o s t o f h o l d in g n o n -optimal p o r t fo l i os ' " ) . as the On huider Trading 200 1 1 � 1 245 For marke ts to be e ffi c i e n t i nforn1 <1 t i o n a b o u t the v a l u e of firms . "� . 1 pnces mcorporaterd q u 1. c 1K I y ancl a c c u r at e I y m t o s t oc.( . , must be · . This process i n vo l ve s t \V O d i ffer e n t task s : o ro d u c t i o n of i n formal • tio n a n d p r i c i n g of i nform a t i o n . Production of infonnarion i n volves searching for currc n i 1 y u n kno\vn i 11 forrnation that a ffe cts prices. fJricing q�f in.f'n rn ? o rion req t i i re s a f H·Dces� of a n a l yz i n g l nforrn. a t i o n i n o r d e r t o d e t e r rn i 1 1 e i t �) va l ue . :;cj t h c.t t o ne n1c1y t h e n trad e. based on di screp a n c i e s bct\v�.-:: c n p rice and \' a lue. Production of i n fo r m a t i o n i n v o l ves two d i ffer e n t t yp e s o f i n for­ m a t i o n : fi rm -specific i n form a t i on a n d general market info rm a t i o n . Finn -sp ecific info m za rion i ncludes information a b o u t various at­ tributes o f the firm , such us the q us l i ty o f its m an agement, its business plans a n d past record, its fi n a n c i a l posi t i o n , a n d the suc­ cess of the fi rm's rese a rc h and dev e lo p ment e fforts. General market info rm a tion i n cludes inform ation about the gen erai cond i ­ t i o n s i n w h i c h t h e fi rm functions, s uch as the prospects o f corn p etitors, t h e i n d us t ry as a w h o l e , a n d the l o c a l and g l o b a l economy. Pricing i nformation comprises t;,v o dist inct functions: a nalyzing i nfo rmation and t r a d i n g A nalyzing info rm a tion req uires analyzing . both firm-specifi c and g e n e r a l market informa t i o n . Firm-specifi c information cannot be accu rateiy p r i ce d i n isolation. One cannot evaluate t h e future prospects of a corporation wi thout knowledge about t h e estim a ted c o u rs e o f the local and global e co n o m i e s . Trading is t h e a c t by whi c h inform ation is c ommunicated to the market. Trading c a n l <l k e o n e of t1vo forms : d i rect t r a d i ng or indi­ rect trading through recom m e n d a t i o n s and advice 10 o t hers. For m arkets to be liqui d , there m ust e x i s t s uffi cient trad i n £ to e n a b l e m os t buyers and se l l e rs to con s u m m ate transactions expedi­ tiously . Liq u i d i t y i s a c h i e v e d as a res u l t o f three pri ncipal r-easons: p o rtfolio adj ustm e n t s , con sumpti onlinvestmem adj ustrnents, and ' divergence of opi n i ons. " Portfolio adjustnz enrs provide liquidity by c a using c o n s t a n t changes i n the c o m p o s i t i o n of p or t fo1 i os t o bring them in conformity w ith i1we s t ors ' predeterrn i n e d l e v e l s of risk and ''' See G i : s o n & K raak m a n . supra note 53 ( g i v i n g a comprehensive d e scri p t i o n o f the processes by which m a rk e t s <lt t a i n e ffici ency). 7 0 H· ans R . Stol i , A l t ';� r n a t i v c '-/ ie,vs o f �v,fa r k c t �·.tf a k i ng� in r•,.:I a r k � t i\.�ic.king a r: d the Ch anging S t ruct ure of the S e c u r i t i e s l n d u s t r y o7. 67-68 (Yakov A rn i h u d C! al. eds . . 1 985 ) . [Vol. 8 7 : 1 229 Virginia Lmv Re vie w 1 246 r e t u r n . This k i n d o f t r a d i n g i s r a n d o m among i nvestors. Consump­ tion/in vestment adjustments cre a t e l i q u i d i ty b y e f fe c t i n g s h i ft s o f fun d s f r o m i n vestment t o c o n s um p t i o n a n d v i c e v e r s a . T h i s k i n d o f t r a d i n g i s r a n dom w h e n i n d i v i d u a l s ' d e c isions t o red uce o r i n cr e ase s a v i n gs are u n e o rr e l a t e d , but i t i s n o n r a ndom \\ h e n s p u rr e d by t re nds in the c c o n o rn y (for e x a m pl e reduced s a v i n fo l l owing a recc?ss i o n ) . U i v crgence of op in ions a m o ng m a r k ," l p l a y e rs c re a t e s l i q u i d i ty b y p r o m p t i n g m a r k e t p L:tyers wi t h l o \Y C r v :l l u �l t i o n s t o t r a n s a c t w i t h i n vestors w i t h h i g h e r v a l u a t i o n s . Th i s k i n d o f t r a d i n g . i s p a r t l y r a n d o m a n d p a rt l y n o n r a n d o m . D i scre pan c i e s b e t w- e e n p r i c e a n d v::: l ue v i s - a - v i s n o i s e t r a d e rs c a n b e e i t h e r r�: n c! o m o r n o n ­ random depe n d i n g on how irra t i o n a l l y n o ise t ra d e rs b e h av e . D i v e rg e n ce o f o p i n i o n a m o n g a na l y s t s i s s p r e a d a l o n g a s p e c t r u m w i t h some d e g r e e o f corre l a t i o n s i n c e v a l u a t i o n m e thods s h a re m a n y c o m m o n c h a r a c te r i s t i cs . B . Th e Relative A dvan tage of A nalysts o ver insiders i n Pro v iding Efficiency and Liquidity 1 . Ejficien cy Producti o n o f g e n e r a l m ar k e t i n form a t i o n i s costly. I t r e q u i r e s s e a rc h in g , s o r t i n g , a n d orga n i z i n g i n fo r ma t i o n fro m a w i d e r a n g e o f s o u r c e s . I ns i d e rs h ave n o a d v a n t age over a n a l y s t s i n prod uci n g general m a rk et i n fo r ma t i o n . On t h e contrary. a n a lysts e nj oy e c o n o m i e s o f scale a n d scope i n p e r form i n g t h i s t a s k . K n o w l e dge ga i n e d wi t h r e s p e c t to o n e corpora t i o n in a part i c u l a r i n d u stry c a n o fte n be used w i t h respect t o a n o t h e r . a n d k n ow l e d g e p e rt a i n in g t o t h e e c o n o m y as a w h o l e i s u s e fu l i n a n a l yz i n g a l l corpor a t i o n s . I n­ s i d e rs do not c h aracteri s t ic a l l y produce ge n e r a l market i n fo r ma t i o n , a n d i t is r e as o n a b l e t o assume t h a t t h e y wi l l b u y s u c h i n fo r m a t i o n from a n al ys t s . 7 1 N o r d o i ns i d e rs h ave a n a d v a nt age w i t h r e s p e ct t o p ricing g e n ­ e r a l m a r k e t i nform a t i o n .72 H e r e , t o o , i t i s r e a s o n a b l e t o a s s u m e t h a t 7 1 As d iscussed l a t n i n this Article, analysts will prubdbly br: fu rced o u t o f t h e m a r k e t . I t is u n l i ke l y t h a t the sale o f generz,) m a r k e t i n fo rm a tion to i n s i ck rs w o u l d g e n e rate sufficient returns to sustain a compet i t i ve a n a l yst mark e t . -, O n e oft-ci tt:d e:-; J m pl c is the f a i l u r e of i nsiders to foresee t h e October 1 987 m a r k e t crash. S e c: H. Nej a t Seyh u n . Overreaction or Funcl a m t n tals: S o m e Lessons ;o· o 1- lJ 1 247 On Insider Trading - i n s i d e rs will bu y pri c i n g services from a n alysts. S t i ! l . ge n e ra l ma r­ ket i n fo r m a t i o n t h a t is produced and p r i ced b y a s i n g l e a n a l y s t who se l l s h e r s e rv i c e s to i ns i d e r s wi l l be i n fe r i or t o g e n e r a l market i n ­ p r o d u c e d a n d p r i ce d by n u m e ro u :s a n a l y s t s 71 o p e r a t i n g i n a c o m p e t i t i v e m a r k e t . A n a l ysts enj o y �� g 1 •.: a t e r c o l ­ l e c t i ve i n forn·l a t iu n b�tsc \vh i c h gives t h e n1 a gre a t �-:: r ! i � -..: ! i h t--, ncl o f p r i c i n g accura t e l y gi \·r.: n t h e i r uncorrc l a t c d d i lfe r i ng \'c·t l u � t t i <J ! i S . Prod u c t i o n o f fi r m - �; pe c i fic i n form a t i o n i s a byp rod u c t o f m a n <l g ­ i n g t h e c o r p o r at i o n . T h e m o r e bus in e ss c h a n ge s o c c u r . t h e m o r e fi r m -specific i n fo rm <H i o n e x i s t s . T h e cost o f p r o d uc i n g fi r m - s r e c i ti c i n fo rm ati o n h a s t w o c o m p o n e n ts : c r e at i n g b u s i n e s s c h �l n g c s a n d l e a rn i n g a b o u t them . N a t ur a l l y, a n a l ysts ca n n o t 2 1fc c t b us i n e ss de­ c i s i o n s , s o t h e y m u s t l e a rn o f c h a nges after t h e y h ave o c c u r re d Conseq u e n t l y , a n a l y s t s ' p ro d u c t i o n costs e q u a l t h e r e s o u rces s pent form a t i o n that is . on d i s c o ve r i n g firm s p e c i fi c in fo rm a t i o n I n s i d e rs . i n con t r as t , c a n b o t h affect b u si n e ss deci s i o n s a n d s i ­ - m u l t a n e o us l y " l e arn " . a b o ut them. vVe call the first L! c t i vi ty ' · i n fo r m a t i o n - p r o d u c i n g m anageme n t . " W h a t i s t h e cost of i n for­ m a t i o n p rod u c i ng m a n a ge m e n t ? W h e n i n sider t r a d i n g is p r o h i b i t ed - , i n s i de rs ' i nvestm e n t i n m a n a g ing t h e firm is a fun c ti on o f t h e i r c o m p e ns a t i o n p ack ages a n d t h e e ffe c t i ve n e s s o f t h e app l i c a b l e m o n i t o ri n g mechanisms. I t i s against t h i s benchmark t h a t t h e c o s t o f i nform a t i o n-prod ucing m a n age m e nt s hould be m e asured . A s ­ s u m e t ha t u n d e r a restri c t i o n o n i ns i d e r t r a d i ng, i n si d e rs w i l l i n v es t $ 1 00 in m an aging t h e fi r m and the v a l u e of the firm w i l l be When i ns i d e r t ra d i n g i s p e rm i t t e d , $ 1000. i n s i d e rs \Vi i i i n v e s t a d d i t i o n a l res o ur c e s , o r d i ve rt exis t i ng ones, to cause busi ness c h a n g e s t h a t i n c r e ase t h e i r t rad i n g o pport u n i t i e s . C e rt ai n l y i n i h i s c a s e . m ore fi r m -specific i n fo r mation wiJ! be prod u c e d . Bm w h a t i s t h e cost o f t h i s a d d i t i o n a l i n fo rm a t i o n ? This question c a n n o t be <1 nswerecl i n t h e abstract. S i n c e i n s i d e rs m a y create a d d i ti o n a l t ra d i n g o p p o r tu ­ n i t i e s e i th e r by m a k i n g poor b u si n ess d e c i s i o ns or s o u n d •J n e s . o n e m ust consi d e r the t o t a l e ffect of t h e s e d e ci s i o n s t o d e t e r m i n e t h e i r d esi r a b i l i ty. A s s u m e that i n s i d e rs invest $20 i n order t o gain $30 i n , from I n s i d e rs' Response t o t h e 1Yl arket Crash of 1 987, 45 J Fi n . 1 36 3 , 1 36.1-6-1 ( 1 990) (concl u d i ng from an examination of aggregate insider tran�;a c t i u ns t h a L t h e l 987 c r a s h was largely unant ici pated ) . ' ' Set: G i lson & Kraak m a n . supra note 53. at 5 8 1 . Th i s i s the •.:s.c,c n er: P l t h e efficient capi t a l m a rk ets h ypothe�;is: that n cl a nalyst wi l l be able t o beat the m a rk e t p rocess. . . Virgin i({ Law F:evieH· 1 248 fVol � 7 ·. ,l � L; ·' · ..._ _n ;; l traclin ::::>o mofits. The $20 investment may be in addition to the $ 1 00 previ ously I n vested in managing the firm or i t may be par t of it i f r e s o urces c:. r e n o w d iverted t o increase trading opportunities. I n e i ­ t h e r c a s e , r h . i s i s n o t t h e oniy effec t of t h e policy c h a n ge : Th e va l u e o f t h e firrn \V O L:ld be affected a s \ve l l . 1'he val u e o f t h e fir1n rn ay go dov.::n � S �lY t o SSOU� or go Li. p . sc;.y ! t) $ 1200. rfh�t t i s . t h e a t t e rn p t to cc1 p t u r�; .:..l!...��E t i on a ! t rad i ng prDfi -r:; cc; u l d e i t h e r i n c rc. c 1 ��c o r- dccre::t:..� e: .'l the ·. ;(� l ue o f t h �.:: t"irrn . \v i t h n o r e l a t ionship t o thr: t r a d i n g p r o fi ts . Assurning t h e pote n ti a l for trading profits fron1 pour a iH..l b e n e ficial bus i n e ss ch 2ci:>1 U n s i s equal, the ex p ected addi i i o n a l ·val ue front in­ fotTn c. tit; n - p,·u d u c i n g management will be zero. The e x a c t e ffect o f permitting ir�sider trading would u l timately depe:1d o n the c o m ­ pensation schemes and m o n i toring mechanisms i n each specifi c fi rm. Thcref•.) re, for t h e purpose o f our analysis , w e assume n o i n ­ format i o n · p roducing m anagement-that i s , t h a t management decisions are n o t distorted by the desire to p roduce firm-specific inform atio n . W e are l e ft wit h the " l earning" cost o f i n s iders. Because i nsiders are an integral part of management, the marginal costs of o b ta i n i ng firm ·spec i fic i n formation for i n s i ders is zero. M oreove r , the costs of gath er i n g and organizing such i nformation ( for example, account­ ing) are borne by the corporation i n the regular co urse of business. Theu:fore , n o incentive is required to motivate insiders t o learn of and process fi rm-s p ecific inform ation .'• Con s e q uently, i nsi d ers have an a dvantage over an alysts i n producing fir m-specific i n fo r ­ matio n . FlO\ve v e r . Lhe rnore firm -speci fic i n form<1 tion i ns i de rs disclose to t h e:- rn arke t � the l e ss reS(1Urces ana lysts '.Vi E h ave to e x ­ pend tc this end. First , the discl osure duties placed em i nsiders, apart frorn res trict i ng insid e r t r a d i n g � red u ce the a n alysts' costs u f proclt�cing fi. rn1-,specific in forrr1ation . ':-; S e c o n d , even \vithin the d i s - 7 -l T h r: s c fl:c: ! s �L�ggcs1 t h a t t h e lcga! system s h o uld n o t gra n t i nsiders a prop�rty right or a n y nthc"C p r •. • p ri::� r a. ry e n ti t1 c rn e n t in the i n forn1 a t i o n . Sci� /\. n t h o n y 1�. Kronrn ::·! iL �v'1 i s t <� k e . I:: i ��cl',:':� u r c . I n ftJrn1atio n � iJnci the: L�=t\v o f C o n t racts. 7 J. Legal S t u d . l , 1 3-- ! .:� ( 1 972;) ( c rguing U1at �)ne b e n e f i t frcrrn i L , b �i t t h a t \Vht) deli berately acquires i n forn1ation rnust be a n c)\vcd Lo there is no n r.:: e d !O p r o t e c t i n [o nr1 a t i o n 2c q ui red ;:Jsu. a l l y w i t h o ur c; dei it·c ratc and cos t l y s e n rch ) . '' S e c . e . g . , DougiciS \V. Diamon d , Optimal Release o f Information by Firms, 48 J . F i n . I U7 L 10 7 1 ( 1 9S5) (demonstrating th:H w h e n the cost of relc::!sing ir.lo rrna.tion t o t h e firrn i s l D \\·::.:: r rh,�n t h e aggregate expen d i tur� inc urred by investors t o ::�c q u i re the info nn;,tion i n d e p e n d e n t l y , wcifarc is e n hanced i f the firm discl oses the i n fo r m a t i on ) . 200 1 ] O n Insider Trading i 249 cre t i o n a ry b o u n d a r i e s set by the m a nd a tory d i sc l os u re regu l a t i ons, t h e prese n ce o f a n a l ys t s c a u se s corpora t i o n s t o a d o p t m o re reveal­ i n g disc l o s ur e pract i c e s . S in c e a n al y s t s are repe a t p l ay e rs i n t h e c a p i t a l m a r k e t a n d c a n reward good a n d reve a l i n g d is c l o s ur e prac­ t i c e s and p u n i s h r e s t r i c t i v e o n e s . corp o r a t i o n s h ave an i n c e n t i ve t o a d o p t r ·.� \ e a l i n g d is c l o s u re p ra c L i cc s .7'· T h u s . at t h e e n d o f t h e d a y . i n s i d e rs · �l c! V< � n t a ge o v e r a n a l y s t s , i n t h i s r(�:; p c c t . w i l l h e m i n i m �1 l . A s fm : i s p ri c i ng fi r m - s p e c i fi c i n for m a t i on i s c o n c e rn r:: d , i n s i d e rs e nj o y �! rc a t e r p ro x i m i t y to t h e fi r m · s b usi nes s , h u t t h e y l a c k obj ec­ t i v i t Y . N�..: ve rt h e l c s s . t h e co n v e n t i o n a l v i e w m a i n t a i n s t h a t i n s i d e rs h av e a b e t t e r u n de rs t a n d i ng o f t h e fi r m ' s b us i ne s s . T h i s ass u m p t i o n e q u a t es s u p e r i o r access w i t h s u p e r i o r p r i c i n g a b i l i t y w h i l e i g n o r i n g t h e p ro b l e m o f l ack o f o bj e c t i v i t y . T h i s v i e w i s b a s e d o n e m p i r i c a l f i n d i n gs t h a t i n s i d e rs c o n s t a n t l y o u t pe r fo r m t h e m ar k e t .77 However, t h e abnormal re t u rns of i n s i d e rs d o not necessarily i n d ic a t e t h a t t h e y a r c b e t t e r t h a n a n a l y s t s a t p r i c i n g f ir m -s pe c i fi c i n fo rm a t i o n .7' Firs t , i ns i d e rs use fi rm-specifi c i n fo rm a t i o n a ft e r a n a l ys t s h ave priced all a v a i l a b l e g e n e r a l m ar k e t i n fo rm a t i o n . If i ns i de rs h a d t o p r i c e b o t h types o f i n fo r m a t i o n s im ul ta n e o u s l y , t h e i r r e t u rn s would l i ke l y be much lower .7y Second, i n s iders e nj o y two a d v a n tages over '" A nalysts c1n punish companies tha t engage i n rest rictive disclosure practices by rec o m m e nd i n g to t h e i r c l i e n t s t h a t they s e l l t h e stock of such co m p a n i es-<1 . recom m e n d a t i LJn t h a t may c a us e t h e stock t o c r as h . This i s very s i m i l <lr to t h e ""\Val l S t r e e t r u le . · · " Sec F in n c: rt y . ,; upra n o t e 5 3 . �> t 1 1 48: S e v h u n . s u p r J n o t e 5 3 . J t 2 1 0- l l . Cf.. e . g . . S u g a t o C h a k r a v a n y & J oh n J . M c C o n n e l l . Docs I n si d e r Tra d i n g R e a l l y M ove S t ock Pri ces":'. 3 -l J . fin. & Q u <J n titativc A n alysis 1 9 1 , l lJ l (1999) (<1 n a l yzing t h ·� ' " t ra d i n g �K t i v i tv or a cnn fcsscd i n s i d e t r a de r, [ v �: m Bocsky, i n c�nn a t i o n 's stock j u s t p r i o r to N e s t i e " s ! 904 a c q u i s i t i o n o f C a rn a t i o n . " a n d f i n d i n g t h a t " o ur t e s t s �He u n a b l e t o d i st i n g ui s h t h e p r i ce effect of B o e s k y" s ( i . e . . i n fu r mt: d ) p ur c h a s c>s o f Cm1 : H 1 u n ., , s t o c k !rum t h e e ffect of n o n - i n s i d e r ( i . e . , u n i n form e d ) purch ase s " ' ) . T h i ,; r e s u l t w e a k ;.; n s the c LJ i m t h a t i ns i d e r t r a d i n g h as a b e t t e r price d i scovery p rocess. " As e vide n ce t1l this likelihood . one may compare t h e lo w e r re t u rn s o f i n s i u e rs in l arge firms- i n which the ab i l i t y t o have a s ub s ta n t i a l <Jdva n t a ge ove r firm-specific i n fo r m a t i o n i s l i m i te d a n d m a cr oe co n o m i c fac t o r s h ave ;rre a t e r i n fl u e n c e o n f i r m s · p e rfo r m a n ce -w i t h t h e h i g h e r r e t u r n s o f i n s i d e rs i n s m� l l fir m s . T h i s co m pa r i son s u p p o rt s om c l a i m . S e c . e .g. , T h o m a s Gosne l l ct a ! . , B a n k ru p t cy a n d I n s i d e r Tra d i n g : D i ffe r c: n c c s B e t ween E x c h a n g e - L i s t e d a n d OTC F i r m s , 47 J . Fi n . 349, 3 6 1 -62 ( 1 99 2 ) (finding that insiders i n sma ller non-listed firms were t h e h e a v iest n e t sell e rs p r i o r t o ban kruptcy. while weaker results w e r e obtained w i t h regard to insiders i n l m g e r listed fi rms ) : S e y h u n . supra n o t e 5 3 . at 203 ( de m o ns t ra t i n g t h a t i n s i d e rs in s m a l l e r fi r ms tend to t r a d e o n f i nn -s pe c i fi c i n fo r m a t i o n , wh i l e i n s i d e r s in l arg e r f i r m s , who are l t: s s successful p r e d i c to r s o f t h e i r own fi r ms ' p e r form<J n ce , t e n d t o t r a d e m o r e on t h e b a s i s '·' Virgin ia L a w R e v ie 1 v 1 25 0 a n alysts: timi ng [ V o l . 8 7 : 1 229 a n d im m u n i t y from outside c o m p e t i ti on."' I n s i d e r s c a n use firm-specifi c i n formation be fore ;:m a l y s t s g a i n access t o i n ­ form a t i o n w i t h o u t fac ing a n y compc L i t i ,) n from o u t s i ders .", T h u s , insiders' abnormal r e t u r n s arc n o t n e cessa rily t h e p r o d u c t o f s u p e ­ rior t �1 l e nt o r s kin and d o n o t indicatt"� r h �: r t h e y a r e b e t t e r a t p r i c i n g fi r n1 -specific i n forr-r: a. t i c.: n . ·<� F� a t h c r . t h ;· ·; :�: (' rc: t u r n s a r e q u a s i - o f m acrueconomic factors): i d . a t 20 1 ( o hsc: rv i n c: t h a t ·· i nsi d e rs i n s m a l l fi rms e a r n s u b s t 8 n t i a i l y g re a t e r abno rrn � ! l cosrs o n t h e u n i i."n !!lh : d t r ::-t d c r:-; t h a n t h e i n s i d e rs i n la rge firms ' ' ) . I n (l d cl i t i o n . a s t u d y o f i ns i d e r t r a d e s i n t h e U s l o S t oc k Exch a n ge -wh i c h i s a l e ss e ffi c i e n t e x ch a n g e co m p a r c.d w ; t h t h c: m a r k e t ' in t h �� U n i te d S t a t e s-·' d ur i n g a pe r i o d . of l a x e n forceme n t of i ns i d e r trad i n g regula t i o n s . fo u n d t h a t i n s i d e r s e arned "zero o r ncga t i w: a bn orma l " re t u rns a;-:d we re o u t pc r t'ormcd bv n w t u 3 1 funds. B . Espen Eckbo & D a v i d C. S m i t h , The Cond i t i o n a l Pe r forma nce ut ! n :, i d e r Trades, 53 J. F i n . 467. 467 ( 1 998) . S i mi l a rl y, a s t udy o f the p ro fi ta b i l i t y ( ) f i n s i J e r t r�1d i n g on the Vanco uver Stnck Exc h a nge-a l s o a i c s s effici e n t m a r k e t t h c; n the m a r k e t s in the U n i t e d Stat es­ " wh e r e it m i gh t he a rg u e d t h <1. t t h e r e are l a rge i n fo r m a t i o n a l asy m m e t ri e s , " fou n d t h a t , " d e s p i t e b e i n g a b l e t o i d e n t i fy p a r t i c u l a r prufitablc i n s i de r t r a d e s , t h e i n si d e r s d o not, over a l l thei r t ra d es. o u t pe r fo r m t h e o ut s i d e rs . .. Robert H e i n ke l & A l a n Kra us. The e ffect o f i n sider t rad i ng o n a verage rates o f re t ur n , 20 Ca n . J . Econ. 588, 588 ( 1 987) (e m p h a sis o m i t t e d ): see R o n a l d J. D a n i e l s & J effrey G. M a c i n t os h . Toward a D i s t i n ct ive C a n a d i a n C o rpo r a te L a w Regi m e . 29 Osgoodc H a l l L.J. 863, 873-74, 877 ( 1 99 1 ) ( n o t i n g that C.1 n ad i a n m a r k e t s a rc i l l i q u i d a n d less •effi c i e n t ) ; J e ffrey G. M a c i n t o s h . T h e Role o f I n s t i t u t i o n a l and R e t a i l f n v e s t or s i n Ca n ad i a n C a p i t a l Markets, 31 Osgoodc Hall L J . 37 1 . 384 n.-+8 ( 1 993 ) ( noting t h a t Canad ian markets are i i liquiJ). "' See, e . g . . S t e p h e n H . P e n n: �m . A Cump<�riSl)n u l t h e I n fo r m a t i o n C o n t e n t o f I n s id e r Trading a n d M a nagt· m c: n t E a r n i n g s F u rcca�; t s . 2 0 J . F i n . & Q u a n t i t a t i v e A n a l ysi s l . l ( 1 985) ( p r o p n s i n �. i h a t the ti m i n g o f i n si ck r t ra n s<Jcti ons r e l at ive to v ol u n t ary e a rn i ngs i'o rc c as h i s . i n <tllll o f i tse l f. a ''<t i u a b l e piece o f i n formatio n ) : S t e p h e n !-! . P ·c n m a n . I n sic!ct· Tr�; d i ng and D i s se m i n a t ion o f F i r m s · Forecast I n fo r ma t i o n . 55 J. Bus. 479. 49 ! ( 1 98 2 ) ( fi n d i n g t h a t regi:,tc recl i n s i d e rs t e n d e d t o buy ( s e l l ) t h e i r firm's s h a r e s i n the pniod i m m e d i < t t e l y p r e ce d i n g favo r a b l e ( u n fa v o r a bl e ) e a rn ings �; n n o u n c c m e n t s a n d t u s e l l ( b u y ) s h �t rc:< s h u rt l v a ft e r Lt v o r a bl e ( un fa v o ra b l e ) a n n o u n ce m e n ts . co n cl u c! i n ;e t hc!l i n s i ck rs usc t he i r fcn·ccc; s t i n fu r rn �l l i o n i n tra d i n f( a n d time t h e i r t r a d e s r e l at i v e t':� t h e fo r e c a s t d a t e ) . " We ass u m e t h a t i n side r s in t o p posi t i o ns ctrc a b i c to a v o i d c o mpetit i o n n o t j ust from outside a na l y s t s b u t from o t her i n siders as w d L I nd e e d , e m pi r ic al s t u d ies reveal t h e existence o f an i n f o r m a t i o n c t ! h i e r a rch\' e frc c t a m o n g Ji f k r e n t i n s i d e r groups. Sec, e . g . , K e n n e t h P. N u n n J r . e t � d . , A rc s o m e i n s i d e· ;·:; n w r c · ' i n si d e ' · t h an o t h e rs'), 9 J . Po rt fo l i o M g m t . . S p r i n g ·'' I n d e e d , i ns i d e rs arc 1 983. a t l S. o n l y �thk to bc t t c r " p r e d i c t .. /urge llr w z cxpccred ch an ges . Sec, e.g . . J o h n E l l i o t t e t a l . . T h e .L\ ssoci a t i o n b e t ween l n sider Tra d i n g a n cl I n f o rm a t ion -A7l � o u n ceme n t s , 15 R � n cl J. Eco n . 5 2 1 , 528--30 ( 1 984) (obse rving t h a t the strongest e v i d e n c e of i n fo r m a t i o n -r e l a t ed t ra d i n g occurs a r o u n d e a rnings c h a n ges , p a r t i cularly for small fir ms ) : J a m e s H . L o r i c & V ic to r N i c: Li c dwfre r. Predict ive a n d S t a t is t i c a l P r o p e r t i e s o f I n s i d e r T r ad i n g . l l j. L. & E co n . 35. 4o-4 7 ( ! 9o8) ( p osi t i n g t h a t i n s i d e rs 2001] O n Insider Troding 125 1 m o n o p o l i s t i c re n t s , ste m m i n g fro m the i n s i d e r s · e xclusivity over '-' n o n p u b l ic i n fo r m a t i o n . I n s u m , i n s i d e rs a re not s u p e r i o r to a n alys t:;; i n produc i n g ge n e ra l m a r k e t i n for m a t i o n o r i n p rici ng i nfo rrn a t i o n--b,� i t firm-spe c i fi c o r g e n e ra l m a rk e t i n fo r m a t i o n . ' !.. i q u idirv t t i s \�.r i d c l y agreed t h a t j n s i d e r t radi n g d i r n i ' :�� l i q u � d i L y . · r h i s v i e \v i s b a s e d o n a t h e o re t i ca l n1 o d c i t h tl t suggc:)t�� t h J t rn a r ke t m a k e rs 'N i l l ofls c t t he risk o f t r a d i n g ag::t i nst i ns i d e rs by i n cre a s i n g '' t h e b i d - a s k s p r e a d . A l t h o ugh t h e i n c r e c1 s e d b i ci -:. t s k S Ji r e <:t d a rgu­ ment is s u p port i ve of o u r v i e w , we d o n o t w ;m t t o h clse our a n a l y s i s s o l e l y on t h i s a r g u m ent for t w o r e a s on s . F i r s t . t h i s i s n o t t h e o n l y e x i s t i n g m o d e l i n t h e l i t e ra t ure. A com pet i n g m o d e l s ugg e s t s t h a t m a r ke t m a kers c a n b e t t e r compensate t h e m s e l ves b y r e d u ci ng t h e b id - ask spread a n d i ncre a s i n g t h e vol u m e o f t r<H..l i n g."' S e co n d , e m ­ o i r i c a l s t u d i e s t h a t t e s t t h e impact of i n s i d e r t rad i n Q. o n t h e bid-ask � p r c a d provi d e i n d e t e rm i n a t e re s u l ts . " � are s u p e r i or forecasters of l a rge-gre a t e r t h a n e i g h t perce n t-ch a n ge s i n t h e p r i c es o f t h e i r own fi rms). " Fo r a n example u r i n s i ders u s i n g i n fo rm 8t i o n to t h <:: i r ach a n i<tgc at t h e e x pense o f t h e p u b l i c . see J i - C h a i L i n & J o h n S . H o w e . I n s i d e r Tr;J d i n � i n t h e O T C M a r k e t . 45 J . Fi n . 1 273. 1 283 ( 1 990) ( ri n d in g t h a t i n s i d e rs c o n s i s t e n t l v m a d e t h e righ t p e r s o n a l we J i t h maxi m i z i ng deci s i o n : thev rdrai n e J fro m r u r c h a s i ng stuck u n t i l a ft e r t h e release D f u n fa\·orabk i n fo r m a t i o n a n d from S•: l l i :1 g s t ock u nt i l <t ftt:r favor a b l e i n fo r m a t i on w a � re lease d ) . ,, S e c , <:: . � . . B a l'.c h o t , s u p ra n o t e 5 5 . a t 1 3 : Lawr.: nce R . C l u s l c n ,�\: p,; u i R . M i l grom. � Bid . ..-\ s k �<! n c! "rr,msaction Pr i c e s i n ;� S p c c i <l l i s t \:Li r k •: i w i t h f k t e ro ge n e o u s l v 7 1 . 72 ( i 98 5 ) . O n e �> ; i g h t ;nguc· t h ;; t m a rk e t m a ke rs u u t o f the m a r k e t as a rc:suit u l· i nside'! tr:1d i n g because t hey c o u l d p r u t c c t t h c n1�e ! v:::-; b y adj us t i n g t h e b i d -ask :=;prclt J . \V h i lc ; h i s n : :- � :.- b.:. t r u e . o n l y a s m a l l p o r t i o n uf e� nalysts are m a r k e t make rs. and <: \ e n t h is s m a l l p tT , tect i n n wo u l d c o m e a t t h e c o s t u f i i q u i J i tv. '' S e c Thomas .1 . G e o rge c: t a l . . Tr a d i n g Vol ume and Tr<�<h<tctiun Cosh in S p e c i a l ist !vl arkets. ·l9 J . F i n . l -tS9. 1 498 ( 1 994). '" C o m p<lre Kce H . C h u n g & C h a rl i e Charoc n wung. l m ; d e r Tr; t d i ng and t h e B i d ­ A s k S p r e a d , 33 ;:- i n . R e v . . A ug. 1 998. a t J. 1 7 (esw b i i s i l i ng t h ;t t .. a l t h o ugh speci a l ists may not be able to d e t e c t i n s i de r t r a d i ng i n a t i m e l y fa:; h i c :l . thcv p : o t c c t t he m s e l v e s i n a g e n e r a i wc;v w i t h w i d e r s p r e a d s for stocks w i t h crD�s-se c t i u n ; i ! l v h i g h e r ins i d e r t r ad i n g " ) , wi t h B r adford C or n e l l & E r i k R . S i r r i . The R e ;;ct i u n u f i n v e s t o rs a n d S to c k Prices to I n s i d e r Tra d i ng. 47 J. F i n . 103i. l 0 3 2 ( 1 992 ) ( f i n d i ng t h a t i nsider tra d i n g s ur ro u n d ing t h e acq u i s i t i o n o f C a m p b e l l Taggart hy /, n h e u :;,; r - B u�;ch did n o t re s u l t i n wi d e n i n g or b i d - ask spreads ) , a n d O m c s h K i n i & S h ·: h z,,d ;vr i a n . Bid-Ask S p r e a d a n d O w n e rs h i p S t ru c t u re . L S J. F i n . P.c s . 40 1 . 4 0 4 ( 1 9lJ:'i i ( li n d i n g " rw e v i d e n c e o f a I n fo r m e d Tra d e r s . l 4 J . fin. E cu n . wo u l d n o t be d r i v e n Virginio L o w Review 1 25 2 [Vo l . 8 7 : 1 229 \Ve argue that the focus o n the i m p a c t of insider trad i n g on t h e as determ i n e d by an u n i n fo r m e d m a r k e t m a k e r w h o tr a des against i n formed insi ders, myst i fi es the an alysis. T h e u n i n­ for m e d m a rk e t maker faces t h e p ro b l e m o f asym met ric i n fo r m �t t i o n w h e n trad i n g e i t he r a g a i n s t a n a l y s t s o r a g a i n s t i n s i d ­ e rs L•, , t ! ! g i"Cl lt p s h : tve o.n i nfo r m a t i o n <.:· d �c: . Il u we ve r. t D d i ng by i n s i d c: r�; i m p :J s e s < t m u c h g r e a t e r r i :.; k u 1 1 t h e u n i n l'o r m c d m d r !-.: c t m a k r..: r. l n s i c! c rs . cl u e t o t h e i r e xr:: l u s i v i t v O \ C i' i n s i d e i n fo r m �H i o n . ca n m a n i p u l a te t h e timing a n d volume o f the i r t r a ck s . <1 f2ct which incre��scs t h e risk o f the u n i n formed m a r k e t m a k e r t r a d i ng a gai n s t the m . B y c o n t r a s t , analysts, even w h e n e n j oy i n g a n i n fo rm a t i o n zl l a u v a n tc t g e , w i l l a l way s h o l d diverging o p i n i o n s as t u t h e e x a c t i m ­ p a c t o f the i n form ation on stock prices, a n d t h e i r t r a d e ord ers w i l l t h e re fo re d i v e rge from one anoth e r. This, i n t u rn, reduces i h e risk faced by the u ni n form ed market m a k e r . I n a dd i t i o n , because ana­ l ys t s face compe t i ti o n fro m other an alysts, they cannot !l1<tn i p u l at e o r t i me t h e i r orders. Thus, trad ing by ana lysts prese nts the u n i n · forme d market maker with a much lower risk r e l a t i ve t o trading by i n siders. Furthermore, the relative liquidity e ffects of insiders a n d ana­ l ysts ca n be a n al yzed i ndependently o f the reaction o f the u n i n formed mnrke t maker to informed t r a d i n g . Ass u m e a market without m a rket m akers, as is the case in several Europ e a n coun­ t ri es . " T r a d i ng in such mark e ts occurs t hrough di rect matches b e t w e e n buyer and seller'' with i n i t i a l l i quidity provi ded b y inves­ t o rs a n d noise t r a d e rs. 'v Would i nsi ders pr o v i d e gre a t e r o ddirional l i q u i d i t y relative t o ana lysts? We contend t h a t the c i e 2 r a n s w e r is no. First, insiders h ave only o n e subj ective v a i u a t i o n o f t h e corpo­ ration. \V hen the price equals this valuation, i n s i d e rs w i l l not trade .'" In a compet i t i ve a n a l ys t s ' m a r k e t t h e re i s a w i d e range of b i d - e1 s l-.: p�· i c e s , pusi t i \·e re l a t i o n b e t w e e n b i d -ask s p r e a d a n d i n s id e r o w n e rs h i p . . and f i n J i n g ' · no rc l a t i n n between spre ad and i nsidcr trading'' ) . ·· ' The P a r i s Bourse. for i ns t a n c e . '' T h i s i s a t rad i ng system k nown as conril/ l tO I I S d o u h l.: u u criuu n w rkers ll'ir/; o w dcsig n u rcd !uarker makers. The operation a n d c fl'c c t s o f t h i s s y s t e m a r c q u i t e s i m i l ar to t h a t o r a c u n t i nuous m a r k e t w i t h designated m a r k e t m a k e r s . s,.:: c: S t o l l . s u pra n o t e 73. " 1 S e c id . .., I n d e e d . o n e s t u d y h a s fo u n d t h a t t h e s t ro n gest c \' i ck n c c of i n fo r m a t i o n - re l a ted t r< t d i n g occurs a ro u n d u :1 e s p c c t c d e a rn i ngs ch�1ngcs. E l l i o l l ct a ! . . s u p r a n o t e 82, at 5 2 8-30. S i m i l a r l y . A l be r t S . Kyle shows t h a t i n a m o d e l with " ;1 s i n gl e risk n e u t r a l 70. a t On jnsider Tmding 200 1 J! d i ve rgi ng, s u bj ective va l u a ti o n s .''' c:o n s e q u e n t l y , t h e re is a m uc h gre a t e r pro b a b i l i ty t h a t a t a n y g ive n t i m e a s u b - g r o u p o f a n a l y s t s wi l l e s t i nBte t h a t t h e p r i c e deviate s fro m t h e va l u e . T h e r e fo re . 2ln a na l yst s ' m a r k e t c r e a t e s gre a t e r o p p o r t u n i t i e s for t r ad i n g . Sec o n d , i :1 s i dc r � a r e re l uc t a n t to h o l d stock i n ve ntories t h <1 t w i l l e n able t h e rn L n p r o v i d e l i q u i d i ty beca use t h e y [: rc risk-ave rse �t rHJ hold u n d i \·c r·� i r· p o r t fcd i u s .'<: �rb c i r h u iTl a n cap i t a l is i n v e ::: l �..: cf i n t h e corpt)rat i o i: . a n d t h t..: o n ! y \:vay t h e y c a n d ive rs i fy is h y p l a c i ng their fi n a n ( i a l ca p i l a i c l sc \v h e re . For t his r e a �) o n , they \V i l i be re l uc­ . tant to i n ve s t t h e i r s a '.,; i n gs i n the same c o r p o r a t i o n . A n a l y s t s . by c o n t r a s t h o ld d i v e rs i fi e d p o r t fo l ios a nd a dj us t t h e i r p o r t fo l i os fre­ . q u e n t l y \Vh i ch e n a b l e s t h e m t o provi de g r e a t e r l iq u i d i t y . Third, i n s i ders h a v e l i m ited res o ur c e s r e l a tive t o t h e a n a lysts· m ar ke t . S i nce the value o f i n s i de i nfo r m a t i o n i s u n ce r t a i n , it is d i f­ , fic u l t to borrow aga i n s t s u c h i n form a t i o n . More o v e r , it is d i ffi c u l t t o s e l l s u c h i n forma t i o n t o i nv e s tors d ue t o t h e i n he r e n t confl i c t o f i n terest between i n s i d e r s a n d o u tsiders. O n c e i n s i de i n fo rm a t i o n i s s o l d , i n s i d e rs c a n d i m i n i s h a n d e ven d e s t r o y its v a l u e by m a n i p u l a t ­ i n g corporate d e c i s i o n s a n d b u s iness a c t i v i t i e s . A n al ys t s as a group have gre a t e r fi nancial r e s o urce s , a n d they are able to sell t h e i r i n ­ for m a t i o n t o i nvestors w i t h o u t t h e c o n fl i c t o f i nt e r e s t p r o b l e m . � ' I n s u m , b e c a us e of t h e i r gre a t e r n u m b e r o f d i ffer i n g s u bj ec tive v a l u a ­ tions, their s uper i o r fi n a n c i a l resources, and their diversi fi e d holdings, a n a l ys t s w i l l p r o v i d e gre a t e r l iq u i d i ty t o fi n an c i a l m a rkets than will i n s i ders. C. jnsidcrs · J:xclusivi(v o r A n alysts ' Compelition As s h own a b o v e . i n s i de r s cio not have an i n h e re n t adva n t age ove r a n alysts i n s u pport i n g effi ci e n t and l i q u i d m a rkets. T n t ro d uci n s i d e r . r�t n d n rn n o i ��� t ra d e rs � a n d con1pc t i t i v c r1sk n e u t ra l n 1 a r k c t n1�1 k c rs . " L h c o p t i m �t l t rn cl i n g k •:ci f n r t h e i n s ide r i n c reases w i t h v a l u dprice d i ffere n t i a l . A l b e n S . .13 1 ) ( 1 (J8) ) . 'Jl S c � Farn:: . s u p r a n u l c 4 5 . a t 5 6 . '" Carl t o n & Fisch e l . surra n o t e 1 4 . a t 368. 375-76. '" O t h e r cun i'l i c t > of i n t e r e s t . h o w e v e r . s t e m m i n g from t h e com p l i ca t e d r e i a t i D n s h i ps betwe e n a n �t l ysts aml m a n agers. m i g h t t a m p e r w i t h a n a l ys t s ' o bj e c t i v i t y . Sec L a n g e v o o n . s u prr, n o te .5 . a t 1 0-W--44: Roni iVlichacly & K e n t L . Womack. Co n rl i ct , , f Kyl e . Con t i n u u u s A u c t i ll n S a n d I n s i d e r Tra d i n g , 5 3 Eco n o m e t rica 1 3 1 ) . Interest a n d t h e: C r e d i b i l i t y o f U n d e r w r i t e r A n alyst Reco m m e n d a t i o n s . 1 2 R e v . f i n . S t u d . 653 . (J) 3 ( I 0') 0 ) . (fi n d i n g t h a t . recomme n d a t i o n s by u n d e r w r i t e r a n a l y s t s s h u w s i g n i fican t e ': i d e ncc o f bias . . . suggesti n g · 'a pote n t i a l confi i c t o f i n te rest i n he r e n t i n t h e d i ffe re n t funct i u n ' t in t i n ve s t m e n t b a n k e rs pe rform .. ) . Virgin ia L m v Review 1 254 [Vo l . 8 7 : 1 229 ing the fac t that i ns iders e nj o y v i r t u a l e xcl us i v i ty o v e r i n s i d e i n fo r ­ m a t i o n compl e t e l y t i l ts t h e sc a l e i n fa v o r o f the a n a l y s ts .'!" G r a n t i n g i n s i d e rs p rope rty r i ght s i n i n s i de i n fo r m a t i o n confe rs u p o n i n s i d e r s a v i r t u a l e xc l u s i v i t y o v e r t h e p r i c i n g a n d p r oce s s i n g o f t hi s i n fo rma­ t i on . The fact t h a t i n s i d e rs face n o s u b s t : ; m \ :_ : \ com p e t i t i o n d i m i n i s h e s e ffi c i e ncy i n t\VO r ;:: a t rn s : t h e S<.l l c: \ -i f t"l r· E11 - :.; f>c_: c i fi c i n fo r n1 a t i o n a n d t h e p rovis i o n o r e ffi c i e n t p r i c i n g a n d l i L: u i d i t v t o s p e c i fic s t o c k s . B e ­ fo re s ubs t a n t i a t i n g t h e s e c l a i ms , lww e '/ e r. w e: n e e d t o address two p r e l i m i n a r y i ss ue s : why t h t: r e l e v a n t rn a rk d for d e t e rm i n i n g i n s i d ­ e r s · m a r k e t p O\w� r is e a c h s p e c i fi c s tuck . :: m el w h y i ns i d e r s a s a gr o u p a r e l ess com p e t i t i ve t h a n a n al yc; t s as a grou p . O n e m i g h t a rgu e t h a t d u e to s u b s t i t u t i o n a m o n g i n d i vi d ua l s t o c k s , t h e d e m a n d for e a c h i n d i vi d u a l s tock i s perfe c t l y e la s t i c , a n d h en c e i t i s t h e s t o c k m a r k e t as w h o l e t h a t s h o u l d b e t h e foc a l p o i n t o f t h e a n a l ys i s r a t h e r t h a n e ac h i n d i v i d u a l s t o c k . T h e m a i n r e a s o n for t h e subs t i t u t i o n e ffe c t i s t h a t s tocks a r e f u n g i b l e­ c haracterized o n l y by r i s k a n d e x p ec t e d r e t u rn . C o n s e qu e n t l y, t h e i n d i v i d u a l c h aracteri s t i cs o f a n y i nd i v i d u a l s tock c a n b e r e p l i c a t e d s b y p u rc h a s i n g a portfo l i o o f s e v e r a l ot h e r stocks." T h e r efor e , i n ­ vestors c a n s u b s t i t u t e i n e ffi c i e n t l y p r i c e d s t ocks w i t h i ns u ffi c i e n t l i q ui d i ty for o t h e r stocks. T h i s argum e n t runs i n t o two problems: The f i r s t i s t h e o re t i c a l a n d t h e s e c o n d i s e m p i ri ca l . T h e t h e o r e t i c a l defi c i e nc y o f t h e p e r ­ fec t subst i t u t i o n arg u m e n t i s t h a t i t a s s u m e s a p e rfe c t l y e ffi c i e n t m a rket a l re a dy i n e q u i l i b r i u m . Th i s t h e ory ad opts a s t a t i c v i ew o f t h e m a r k e t a n d d o e s n o t c o n c e rn i t s e l f w i t h t h e process b y w h i c h m a r k e t s a t t a i n effi c iency. A s e x p l a i n e d e ar l i e r , m ar k e t s b e c o m e e f­ f ic i e n t t hrough a dynarn i c p r oce s s t h a t i n volves s p o t t i n g d e vi a t i ons b e tw e e n value a n d pri c e a n d corre c t i n g t h e m . T h e r e fore , from t h e v a nt ag e p o i n t of i n fo r m a t i o n traders. t h e r e l e v a n t m a r k e t i s t h e s p e c i fi c stock t o vv h i c h t h i s p r o c e s s i s a p p l i e d a t a n y g i v e n t im e . T h e e mp i r i c a l flaw o f t h e pe rfe c t s u b s t i t u t i on argu m e n t s t e m s fro m ·;., For a d i llc r e n t m o d e l �i p p l y i n g t h e s�unt: i n ';i g h t to t h e i m p a c t o f i n s i d e r t r a d i n g o n l i q u i d i t y . s e c N i c h o l a s L . C e o rg a k o p o u l o s . I n s i d e r T r ad i ng as a Transac t i o n a l Cost: A M ar k e t M icrostructure J u s t i fi c a t i o n a n d O p t i m i z a t i o n o f I n s i d e r Tra d i n g R e g u l a t i o n , 26 Co n n . L. Rev. 1 ( 1 993 ). S e e D a n i d R. Fisch e l & D c ; vicl J . R o s s . S h o u l d t h e L a w Pro h i b i t " !V! an i p u l a t i o n " i n F i n a n ci a l M a r k e t s ? , ! ( ) 5 I l a rv . L . R e v . 503 5 1 -l . ( l 99 l ) . 2001 ] On Insider Tmding 1 25 5 t h e fact t h a t i t i mplies n o corre l a t i o n b e t w e e n price a n d v o l u m e . T h e m arke t pr i c e r em a i n s cons t a m ;·,:; g a rd i ess o f t h e q u a n t i t y o f s t ocks t r ad e d . E m p i r i c a l s t u d i e s . h o wever. fo u n d m a n y incidents o f ·· pri ce pressure , ·' i n d i ca t i n g t h a t t h ere i s n o pe rfect subs t i t u t i o n <l m o n g s tocks. In oth e r worcl s , t h e d e nn n d c urve fL)f specific s t o c ks slopes d o ..,vn\vards t"roLr1 ! e ft � o rl �.: h t . i n i i gh t o f t h e f�1 ct t h �-11. t h e re d u e � n t : l s\.� 1�: rr. t o b(� J.ie r fc c t substi­ t u t i o n a m o n g s tocks. �n: J give n t h e �1\ n �\ m i c precess b y which t h e m a r k e t a t t a i n s e ffi c i e n c v . t h e i ns i d e rs · m a rk e t power s h o u l d be m e a s ure d relative to t h e rel evant sto·:: k. n o t t h e m ar k e t :1s a w h o l e . E v e n i f one acce p t s t h a t t h e re l c \·:m t m a r k e t is e 2 c h i n d i v i d u a l s to c k , it may s t i l l be a rgued t h a t i m r < t - fi r m c o rn pe t i t i o n a m o n g i n ­ s i de rs w o u l d create a m a r k e t as co mpe t i tive as t h a t of t h e ana l y s t s . This argume n t d e r i v e s from the fact t h a t i n m a n y fi r m s t h e r e are n um erous i n s i d ers , and com p e t i t i o n 2 m o n g t h e m will p r o v i d e the s a m e e ffi c i e n cy a n d l i q u i d i t y as c o m p e t i t i o n a m o n g a n a l y s t s . This argument i s probl e m a t i c for s e v e r ed reasons. Fi r s t , in m a n y cases, t h e employees a t the b o t t o m of the c o r p o r a t e p y r a m id only have access t o small p i e c e s o f i nform a ti o n . T h e y d o n ot s e e t h e ful l p i c­ ture th a t c a n o n l y be s e e n by t h e m a n agers at t h e t o p . As a r e s u l t , t h e e m p loyees at t h e b o t t o m c a n n o t compete effe c t i v e l y w i t h t h e i r m a n agers i n capturi ng t h e v a l u e o f the i n format i o n . I n t r a-firm compet i t i o n based on e m p l oy e e s h o l d i n g diffe re n t p ie c e s of the p uzzle i s i n fe ri o r t o compe t i t i o n a m ong < m a l ysts w i t h s i m i l a r s e ts of i n form a t i o n . the S e co n d , i n t r a -fi rm c o m p e t i t i o n a rgu m e n t a s s u m e s t h a t i n t r a ­ fi r m c o m p e t i t i o n a m o n g i n s i de rs w i l l act ual l y occur. \-Vhen i n s i de r t r a d i n g is op en to e v e ry o n e . h O\ve ver. t he m a n agers, w i s hing t o rn axi mize their r e t u r n s . will i m pose V ct r i o u s restrictions on t h e i r s ubor d i n ates to preve n t i. h e m fro m t r a d i n g on i n s i d e i nfo rm a t i on , thereby c ur t a i l i ng 2 n y po t e n t i <il i n t ra - fi nn c o m pe t i t i o n . ''" S e e . e . g . , Rich ard :-\ . G o u t h . The' l:::J fi c i c: n l \ Ll rk e t . Portfolio T h e o ry . a n d the Downward Sloping D e m a n d H y p u i h ·c:<is. 6 1-: N . Y . U . L. R ev . 1 1 87 . 1 1 90-91 ( ! 99 3 ) ; J o h n Li n t n e r , The A ggrega t i o n o r f n ,·esto r' s D i v e rse J ud g m e n t ' a nd Preferences in Purel y Compe t i t i ve Sec u r i t y Markets. 4 J . Fin. & Q u a n t i t a t ive A n a lysis 347, 384-87 ( 1 969 ) ; Joram Mayshar. On D i v e rg e n c e of O p i n i o n and I m p e r f e c t i o n s i n Capital M arkets, 73 Am. Eco n . Rev. 1 1 4 . 1 22 ( 1 ')8.1 ) ( i l l usrra ting t h e downward s l o p i n g curvc ) ; A n d re i S h i c i k r, Du Demant.i C: u r,·es i•x S t ucl-:s S l o p e Down'). 4 1 J . Fi n . 5 7 9 . 588 ( J 986). [Vol. 87 : 1 229 Virgin ia L m v Review 1 25 6 Th i r d , e v e n assuming a l e g a l r u l e b a rr i n g m an a g e rs fro m restrict­ ing i n s i d e r trading by t h e i r s u b o r d i n a t e s , i n t r a - fi rm c o m p e t i t i o n l w i l n o t be as effi c i e n t a s i n t e r - a n a l y s t compe t i t i o n . I n tr a - f i r m c o m p e t i t i o n w i l l h a r m the fi rm beca use i t u n d e r m i n e s t h e fi r m ' s a b i l i t y to c o n t r o l i ts i n te llectual p r o p e rt y and i t s disclos ure p o l i c y . ;\ c l i n g t o rm:x i mize t h e i r g a i n s . e m p l o y e e s ·w i l l d i m i n i s h a n d e v e n d e s t roy t h e v a l u e of i n t e l l e c t u a l p r o p<e: n y�s u c h < : s re:; e arch a n d d c:e l c p m e n t results, t r a d e secre t s . �tnd �.e n s i t i v e n e goti a t i o n s--to t h e fi r m by p r e m ature l y d i s c l os i n g t h i s i n fo r m a t i o n t o t h e m a r k e t t h rough t r a d i n g . Furtherm o r e , t h e i n fo r m a t i o n fl ow w i t h i n t h e f i r m w i l l b e h i n d e r e d , preve n t i n g v a l u a b l e i n formation from r e a c h i n g the m an ag e m e n t i n a t i m ely fashio n . U n able t o r e s t r i c t i n s i de r t r a d ­ i ng b y e m p l oyees contract u a l l y , m a n agers w i l l waste r e s o u r c e s to prevent trad i ng b y their subord i n a t e s by o t h e r means ( e i t h e r to p r o t e ct t h e firm ' s i n te l l ectual p r o p e rty o r their o w n p o t e n t i a l p r o f­ i ts ) . For i ns t a n ce , m anagers may fire v a l u ab l e employees for t r a d i n g o n i ns i d e i nfor m a t i o n u n d e r the false p r e t en s e o f i na d e ­ quate j o b p erforma n c e . I n b o t h c a s e s , t h e f i r m w i l l b e h a r m e d , e i t h e r d u e t o d a m age t o i t s i n t e l l e ctual property o r d u e t o t h e wastefu l e n fo r c e m e n t e fforts o f t h e man agers. Having dem onstrated that e ac h s p e c ifi c stock is the r e l e v a n t m a r k e t and that i n tra-firm compet i t i o n i s i n fe r i o r t o c o m p e t i t i o n a m o n g a n al ysts, w e c a n n o w p r e s e n t a n d a nalyze t h e t w o i neffi­ c i e n c i e s associ ated with gra n t i n g i n s i d e r s property r i g h t s t o i n s i d e i n fo r m a t i o n . 1 . In efficien t Pro vision of Firm -Sp ecific information and the Pro b lem of In tertwining Pricing and i'v!wwgemen t To see the i nsiders' adverse i m t:JJ.ct on t h e p ro v i s i o n of fir n1s p cc ific i n formation, one must focus o n t h e stock p i c k e rs who value i n fo r m a t i o n trading over l i q u i d i t y t ra d i n g . As a result, s t o c k p i c k ­ e rs create a d e m a n d f o r firm-specifi c i n fo rmation . S e e m i ng l y , t h i s d e m a n d may be satisfied e i t h e r b y an alys t s o r by i ns i de r s . F o r t h e r e a s o n s d i scussed above, though , i n s i d e rs w i l l h o a rd f i r m - s p e c i f i c i n forma t io n , and o n ly a n alysts w i l l s u p p l y t h is type o f i n formati o n to s tock pickers. Assume t h a t i n s i d e r t radi n g i s a l lowed a n d a na­ l ysts e x i t the market, l e a v i n g the i nsiders as the sole source o f firm- ·n Sec supra t e x t accompanying notes 70-7 3 . On Insider Trading 20Cl l ] 1257 s pe ci fi c i nfor m a t i o n . E c o n o m i c t h e ory s uggests t h a t b e c a u s e i n s i d ­ e r s c a n c a p t u re t h e full v a l u e of i n s i de i n form a t [ o n t h r o u g h trad i n g , t h e y w i l l c h a rge s t o c k p i c k e r s s u pracom p e t i ti ve p r i c e s fo r t h i s i n ­ form a t i o n . But th e c ase han d at i n troduces an additional ' n t e re s t i n g t w i s t t o t h e s t a n d a r d s t o r y . I n s i d e rs w i l ! d i s c l o s e i n s i d e i n fo rrn <! t i o n to t h e m a r k e t o n l v a fk r t h e y h elve e x pl o i t e d i ts v a l ue t h ro ug h t r C�cl i l< g . R e a l i z i n g t h i s , stock r i c k c: rs w i l l cease t o t r a d e o n i n fo rrmH i o n �\ n ci becom e . i n c o n trast t o t h e i r i n i ti a l p r e fe r e n c e , l i q u i d i ty t r ad e r s . A n a tt e m p t to s t r i ke <1 d e a l be tween s t o c k p i c k e r s a n d i n s i d e rs t o h u y u n e x p l o i r e ci fi r m ­ SDeci fi c i nfor m a t i on w i l l fa i l fo r t w o re a s n n s : t h e i n h e re n t con fl i c t j o t i n t e re s t o f i n s i d e r s v i s- a - v i s stock p i ck e r s a n d t h e p u b l i c good c h m a c t e r i s t ics o f i nfo r m a t i o n . T h e first p r o b l e m s t e m s from t h e a b i l i t y o f i n s i d e rs t o d i m i n i s h or e v e n d e s t r o y t h e v al u e o f t h e i nfo r m a t i o n s o l d b y a ffe c t i n g b u s i ­ n e s s d e c i s i o n s . I ns i d e r s c a n n o t pro m i s e n o t t o c h a n ge business '' d e ci s i o n s o w i n g t o t h e ir fi d u ci a r v d u t i e s : ' t h e "'y can o n l v comm i t not to t ra d e on i n s i d e i nform a t i o n . T h i s co m m i t m e n t w i l l n o t e l i m i n a t e .I ..___.. J t h e i r i n c e n t ive to d e s t ro y t h e v a l u e o f t h e i n fo rm a t i o n s o l d because c h a n g i n g b u s i n ess d e c i s i o n s create s t i l l o t h e r o p p o r t u n i t i e s for se l l ­ i n g t h e n e vvly " p r o d u c e d " i n fo r m at i o n . To e l i m i n a t e t h e i n s i d e rs ' ince n t i ve t o destroy t h e v a l u e of t h e i nform a t i o n a ft e r i t s s a l e , i n ­ s i d e rs w i l l h ave t o m a k e t h e t w i n com m i t m en t s t o a b s t a i n from t r a d i ng on fu t u r e n o n p u b l ic i nfor m a t i o n and to a bs t a i n fro m s e l l i n g s u c h fu t u re i n fo rm a t i o n t o a d i ffere n t b u y e r . I n s i d e r s w i l l m a k e t h e s e com m i t m e n ts o n l y i f t h e e x p e c t e d profi t from i ns i d e r t r a d i n g is l o w e r t h a n t h e ex p e c t e d p rofi t fro m t h e s a l e o f t h e i n fo r m a t i o n . H o w e ve r , w h e n e v e r t h e i n format i o n i s s o l ei w n u m e r ous i nves tors, compe t i t i o n among them wiil res u l t i n a l o w e r aggre g a t e re t u rn from t ra d i n g t h a n t h e r e t u rn t h a t t h e i n s i d e r c a n m a k e . Mo r e o ve r. l i mi t i ng t h e sale to o n e g r o u p of b u y e rs w i l l p r e s e n t t h e v i r t u a l l y i m p ossi b l e t a s k o f t ry i n g t o c al c u l at e t h e prese n t v a l u e o f a l i fu t u r e t r a d i n g profi ts fro m fi rm - spe c i fi c in form a t i o n . Furtl1 e rm or e , sell i ng t h e i nform a t i on to a s i n g l e b uy e r w i l l j ust re p l ace o n e t rue i n s i d e r w i t h a n o t h e r " ar t i fi c i a l i n s i d e r , , , a n d , e v e n ass u m m g a o n e - t i me "··· One couiJ a rg u e t h a t i n s i de rs could o lTer �tock p i ck e r s compe n s a t i o n for future c h a n ge s a ffe c t i n g t h e v a l u e of t h e i n fo r m a t i o n so l d . D o i n g for i n s i d e rs who could 1 r a d i ng. h ave �u. h o w e v e r . is i rr a t i o n al ca p t u re d t h e e n t i re va l uc of t h e:' i n fo r m a r i o n t h rough [ V o l . 8 7 : 1 229 Virgin ia L m v Re view 1 25 8 sale o f all fu t ur e fi r m - s p e ci f i c i n fo r m a t i o n i s poss i b l e , t he d e m a n d of stock pickers fo r i nfo rm a t i o n w i l l s t i l l n o t be s a t i s fi e d . T h e s e c o n d probi e m , t h e n a t ur e o f i n form a t i o n a s a p u b l i c g o o d . i m p l i e s t h a t i ns i d e rs w i l l n o t be a b l e to capture t h e e n ti re v a l u e o f t h e i n fo r m a t i o n b y se i l i n g i t . As a p u b l i c goo d t h e v a l ue of i n i'or­ m a t i o n is m ax i m i z e d w h e n i t i :�. d i ss e m i n a t e d to any person \\· h u , v d l u c s i t po s i t i �/ c l .y--- i n C) U r :: � � S t� . �t l l stock p i c k e r s . I n s i ci ,.: rs , h c; \\·­ s i n 1 u. l t an e o u s l y r e � t c h a l i the r o tt: n t i (d buyers o f t h e i n forn1 a t i o n and c b (-trge t h e r! � . i ns i d e rs c a n reach s u b g r o u p s o f b uy·­ c rs . for c: x a m p l c , by a s a k tu a te l ev i s i o n s t a t i o n . b u t t h i s w i i ! n u t g e n erate a r e t u r n gre a t e r t h a n t h e return from i ns i d e r t r a d i n g . 'vVh e n i n s i d e r t ra d i n g is p r o h i b i t e d , i n siders c a n n o t t r a d e o n fi rm-sp e c i fic i n form a t i o n , n o r c a n t h e y s e l l s uch i nf o rm a t i o n . C o n ­ c vcr� c a n n o t s e q u e n tl y , i ns i d e rs have n o i n ce n t i v e t o destroy t h e v a l ue o f fi r m ­ s p e c i fi c i n for m at i o n t h a t i s d i sclosed t o t h e m a r k e t . I n t h e abse n ce of p r e e m p ti v e compe t i t i o n from i n s i d e rs , a n alysts w i l t e n ter t h e m arke t . Lack i ng t h e a b i l i ty to i n fl u e n ce b u s iness d e c i s i o n s , a n a lysts cannot destroy the value o f d i s c l osed i nform a t i o n . Moreover, o p ­ e ra t i n g i n a competitive m arket, a n alysts c a n n o t a p p r o p r i a te t h e e n t i re v a l u e o f t h e i nfo r m a t i o n ; t h e y w ill o n l y rece i ve a c o m p e t i t i ve r e tu r n o n t h e i r i nvestm e n t i n i nfor m a t i o n e i t h e r t hr o u g h t r a d i n g o r t h ro ugh s a l e s t o s t o c k p ic k e rs . I n a n y case, a m arket for i n fo r m a ­ t i o n w i l l d e velop a n d t h e s t o c k p ic k e r s ' d e m a n d f o r i nfo r m a t i o n w i l l b e s a t i s fi e d .'" 2. I n ejf/cie n t Pricing a n d Reduced Liqu idity C o m p a r i n g i n s i de rs a n d analysts as t\vo a l t e rn a ti v e s u pp l i e rs o ! a s e rvi ce-pro v i d i n g e ffici e n t pricing and l i q u i d i ty to a s p e c i fi c s tock--reve als that t h e i n s i ders. b e i n g r e l a t i v e l y i m m u nized from compe t it i o n , w i l i provide i nfe rior s e rvice at a h i g h e r p r i c e . A b s e n t rne a n i ngfu l com p e t i t i on , i n s i ders w i l l t a k e v a r i o u s a c ­ t i o n s t o e x p l o i t a n d p r o t e c t t h e i r u n i q u e m a r k e t p os i t i o n . F i rs t . ins i de rs v<� il l ut il ize t h e i r posi t i o ns with i n their fi rms t o i n t1 u e n ce ·--·-- · ------ ----- l a t e r , t h e compe t i tive in formation m a r k e t a ffe cted by a n alysts creat es a posi t i v e exte r n a l ity for s t ock pickers who v a l u e inve s t i ng ba:;ed on rree l v disclosed i n form a t i on over l i q u i d i t y t rading. A l t hough the e ffici e n t m<l rkci t h c o rv s u �!. g·: sts t h i s kind o f t n1 d i n g ca n n n t be profi t a b l e , m e re t rad i n g c r e a t e s u t i l i t v . U n d e r t h is v i e w . t h e se i n ve s to rs c a n b e laheied a s noise t raders. 9"1 As will be explained 200 1 J On Insider Trading bu sin e ss activit i e s . 1w 1 25 l) F o r i n s t a nc e . i ns i d ers m i g h t c a u s e t h e f i r m t o e nte r a specifi c transact i o n . t h e n r e n e ge o n t h e a g r e e m e n t , a n d fi ­ n a l l y s e t t le t h e d i s p u t e , a l l fo r t h e s c l e p ur p o s e of c r e a t i n g b e t t e r o p p o r t u n i ties fo r t ra d i ng . S i m i l a r l y . i n s i d ers m i g h t i ncrease the 1"1 vo l a ti l it y o f the stock by i n ve s t i n :2 in e xces s i ve l y r i s ky proj ec t s . � r h i s k i n d of · ·· TT1 £J n a ge nte n t � · h u i· ts t h e· p ,·cc.l u c t i ve e fficie n c y o f the fi n n . 1-\ n a i ysrs . a ct i v i t i ;:s. �:� n e ss o u t s i d e rs � h ::'t \'" t::: n �� � � i n 1 i i �1 r a b i l i t y to <1 ffc{: t b usi­ S e c o n d , i ns i d e r s w i ! l a t t e m p t t u !> rutect t h e i r p r i v i l eged posi tion rir m - s p e c i !ic i n fo r m a T i o n . To t h i s end. they m a y e m p loy ex­ p e n s i ve and ove r-burden i n g m o n i t o r i n g d evices t o pre v e n t over u n de rli ngs f r o m u s i n g i ns i d e inform<. H i o n i' '' This k i n d of be havior h a rms t h e p ro d u c t ive e fficiency o f the fi rm . A n a lysts, b y contrast, c a n n o t p r e v e n t o t h e r a n alysts from h �: n d l i n g i n fo r m a t i o n as t h e y s e e fi t . F i n a l l y , i n s i d e r s wi l l e xp l o i t t h e i r p r i v i l e ged m a r k e t p o s i t i o n b y m an i p u l a t i n g t h e t i m i n g o f disclosure o f fi r m - s pecifi c i n form a t i o n 111 t o i n cr e ase t h e i r p e rs o n al g a i n . 1 T h i s , i n t urn, will h a rm e fficient pricing. To i l l us t r a t e t h is p o i n t , com pare t\VO sce n ar i o s . Tn t h e fir s t , '"' S e e , e . g . . Luci a n A rye Bebch u k & Christine Jolls, M a nage r i a l Va l u e D iversion and S h are h o l d e r \Ve;d t h . 15 J . L. Emn . & Org. 487. 487-SS ( 1 999) ( h ncling t h a t agents wili take b us i n e s s o p p m tu n i ti e s p re s c n t c; d to the firm a n d t u rn t h e m to t h ei r own adva n tage ) : H a ft . supra note JS. at 1 056 ( po i n t i n g o u t tlu:t m cmagcrs may " ma n i p u l a t e 1;; y t.: to p o � � ;; t i a l trad i n g pro fi t s ' " ) . 1 "1 Fran k H . i::: a s t<.: rhroo k . I n sider Tr�: d i n g . Secre t A ge n ts , Evid e nt ia ry P r i v i l eges, and t h e P r o d u c t i o n of I n fo r m a t io n . ! 9�\1 S u p . C t . Rev. 309. 3 3 2; G i lson & K r a a k rn a n , s u pr a note 5 3 . at 6]2 ;� .2 2 ! (suting t h ; : t . i f ;d !nwed to t rilde on n <J n p u b l i e i n fo r m a t i on , busin ess decisions 'vi t h an managers n1i g h t n1 a ke even n ega t i ve w: n·�l prese n t Y�l l u c in vesLIT1�nts). Currt..: n t l y � t o p r11 a n a gc rs e r!lploy con1 p l i a n c c p r o g r ( lnls t o s a t i s fy t h e i r fi d u c i a ry d u t i e s in :ls:>uring the cumplia nce ul t h e i r corpu r a t i u n and empl oyees with l e g a l rcst r i c t i u n s i n n1any �1 rcas ( s e c u r i t i e s l�l\\·�. �t n t i t ru � t l a \'v'. s e xu a l h a rass m e n t , a n d the l i k e ) . S e c . e . g . . I n r:� Care :1;:: r k ! n t ' l . [ n c . . D:: r i v a t i vc L t ig . . 6 9 8 A . 2 d 959, 962-63 ( De ! . C h . I LJ96 ) . A l t h o u gh these p rugr:nn:; a r c t: m p l u v c d <1 n d t nforccd b y t h e corpora t i o n s , t h e i r e ffe c t i ve n e s s stt: m ' fro m t h e t h re a t o f cri m i n a l prusecution a s w e l l . Under regi n1c ptnn i t t i n g i n � i ck� r t t!i d i n g . i t '.v l l l be: n 1 u c h .nHJrc: a le£al costly t o a c h i e v e a si 1n iTa r level of c o m p l i a n c e fro m e m p l oy e e s . "'3 See, e . g . , R a nga N a r<: ya n a n . l n , i c! e r t r a d i n g and t h e v o l u n tary d i sc l o su r e o f i n fo r m a t i o n by fi rms. 24 J . B a n k i n g & F i n . 3 9 :\ . 395 (2000) (pos i t i n g t h a t " good news is m o r e l i k e l y to be d i sclosed c a r l v t h a n bad n e ws .. ) : Charles M. Ya blon & Je n n i fe r H i l l , T i m i n g Corpo;· a t e D i s c l o s ur e w t\l a x i m i z e Perfo r m a nc e - B a s e d Remuneration: A Case o f Misal igned I n c e n t i ves?. 3 :5 \V::1ke Foresi L. Rev. 83, 86-87 (2000) ( d i�;cussing d i sclosure m cm i p u l a t i o n bv m :m a ge r s tu i n crease t he i r own com pe n s a ti on ) . [ Vo l . 87 : 1 22 9 Virgin ia Lmv Re view 1 260 a p i ece o f n o n p u b l i c i nfor m a t i o n i s d i sc l osed t o t h e p u b l i c . U n d e r a r u l e o f d is c l o s e or a b s ta i n , firm s will o p ti m ize t h e t i mi n g o f d is c l o ­ s ur e t o p r o t e c t t h e i r v a l u e . A n a l ys t s op e r a t i n g i n a c o m pe t i t i ve m a r k e t w i l l react to t h e n e w i n fo r m a t i o n a s q ui c k l y as p o s s i b l e . T h e y will i m me d i a t e l y price t h � i n fo r m a t i o n a n d trade o n i t l e s t � o m eo n e else beat them t o i t . I n t h e s e c o n d sce n a r i o , a n i n �·; i c.k: r h c> l d s cl p i ,_::r.:: c: o r i ns i d e i n for­ m :.n i o n , toge t h e r w i t h t h e p mv e r t o c! c c i d c w h e t h e r a n d w h e n t o d i sc l ose o r trade o n i t . I f d e l a y i n g. d i sc l os u r e provi d e s t h e i n s i d e r w i t h b e t t e r t r a d i n g opportun i ti e s <m c.l i n cre a s e s h e r e xp e c t e d p r o f. '"" c· o n v c r s c 1. y , ·I tr pre m a t u re I t s . s h e w 1· 1 1 postpone t h. e c1 1· s c 1 c :; ur�� d i s c l osure p rovides t h e i ns i d e r w i t h a b e t t e r o p p o r t u n i t y to profi t , s h e w i l l d i s c l ose prem a t u r e l y , e v e n i f d o i n g s o h a s grave c o n s e ­ q u e nces for t h e corpora t i o n . "" Here. t o o , the act i o n s \Vi i i h a rm n o t o n l y e ffi c i e n t pricing b u t a l s o t h e p ro d u c t ive effi c i e n cy o f t h e f ir m . ·w h a t e v e r s t rategy i n s i d ers e m p l o y t o i n c r e a s e t h e i r p ro fi t s , t h e i r a b i l i ty t o m a n i pu l a t e t h e t i m i n g o f d i sc l os u re a n d t r a d i ng i s h a rm ­ ful . E i t h e r t h e effi c i e ncy o f t h e market is h i ndered per se, or e ff�cie ncy i s promoted b u t o n l y a t t h e c o s t o f q u a s i -m o n op o l y p r i c­ i n g a n d h ar m t o p r o d u c t i ve e ffi c i e ncy. I n t h i s c a s e , t h e c o s t o f t h e m ar k e t d is t o r t i o n s caused b y i ns i ders i s born n o t j us t b y t h e i nves­ tors t r a d i n g in t h e stock, but a l s o by all the econ o mi c a c t o rs w h o r e l y o n effi c i e n t a n d l i q u i d f in a nc i a l m arkets. In a dd i t i o n t o h a rm i ng e ffi ci e n t p r i c i n g and p r o d u c t i v e e f fi c i e n c y i n order to capture s u p racom p c t i t i v e re n t s , t h e i ns i de r s ' excessive m a rket power h a s t h e u n d e s i ra b l e e f f e c t o f d i m i n i s h i n g l i q u i d i ty i n fi n a n cial m ar k e t s . As e x p l a i n e d e a r l i e r . p e r m i t t i n g i n s i d e r t ra d i n g w i l l cause i n fo r m a t i o n t r a d e rs t o e x i t t h e m a r k e t a n d c o n se q u e n t l y r e d u ce t h e n umber a n d v o l u m e o f t r a d e s . T h i s , i n t u r n , wi ll h a rm l i q u i d i ty t r a d e r s , as i t w i l l r a i s e t h e cost and r e d u c e t h e s p e e d o f e x e c u t i n g t r a n s ac t i o n s . '"' S c e Ferbe r, s u p ra n o l e 1 3 , �It 623: '"' K e n n e th Privacy, 9 l E. Sco t t , Seligman. supra nute I n s i d e r Trad i n g : Legal Stud. 80 1 , 8 1 4-8 1 :5 Rule l O b-5 . 1 3 . a t 1 1 21 . D i sclosure , a n d Corporate ( i lJ80 ) ( d i scus,;ing t h <1 l t r a d i n g o n i n s i d e i n fnrm a t i on m a y h a r m t h e corpor�l t i o n h v prov i d i ng i n form a t i o n a t t i m e s w h e n accompl ish i n g t h e business goals Gulf Sulphur period rc q uircs sccrecv) . One such e x a m p l e i s SEC v . Texas 1 968 ) . \\ h e r e i n s i d e rs t r a d e d o v e r an e x t e n d e d Co . , 401 F . 2 d 833 ( 2 d C i r . o f t i m e b e fore publicly d i sc l o s i n g corporation ac q u i red a l l t h e l a n d . f cl . a t the 0-+3-47. d i scovcrv o f u r e a n d b e fore the On 2001 ] Insider Trading 126 1 Now t he choice becomes cle arer. Perm itting i nsiders to trade o n inside i n form ati o n will drive an alysts o u t o f the m arket, bes t o w i n g upo n i n s i de rs exclusive control over t h e p r o v i s i o n of effi c i e n cy a n d liq u i dity t o fin an ci al m arkets. Restri cting i n s i de rs from trading on i n s i d e i r; fo r m a t i o n . coup l e d with c o rp o r �1 t c: cl i s c ! o s ure d u t i e s . w i i l a U O '.'.' c l TTi e_t r k e t o f a n a l ysts t o d c ve i o p . �/)\ "<'- :·.� 1 ! cit� vc i oped �1 n d co nl.­ p e t i t i v e iJ n a l y s t s � :n a r ket \:vi i i provide :� u p \: rinr e ffi c i !:: n c y a n d lfln s up�� r w r t ! l.] U t Cl t t y at a 1 ower c o s t . D e c: r i t e t h e many vices o f gra n t i n g i n s i d ers the r i g h t t o trade o n n o n p u bl i c i n fo r m a t i o n , it d oe s n o t necess<> ri l y m e a n t h at share ­ h o l de rs v\ i l l restrict inside r t rading if l e ft to t h e i r own devices. S h a r e h o ld e r s . i n their capacity as iiq u i d i t y t r <:tders , might h ave dif­ fere n t c o n cerns. Liquidity traders do n o t l ose on average t o .. • 1 • • 1 1 • insid ers and they d o n o t care abo u t aggre ga t e e fficie ncy per se . Li­ qui d i ty traders will m ake the same return w h e t h e r t h e m arket h as a h igh level of efficie ncy or a low level of e ffi c i e ncy . As long as s h a r e h o l ders can prevent insiders from d e s t roying the firm's v alue ( t h at i s , c o n trol t he age ncy probl e m ) , liqui dity traders do n ot per­ ceive ins i d ers' con trol of the pricing of information as a "cost . " Liq uidity traders d o c are about liquidity , h O \vever. Liquidity traders and n oise traders provide m arkets w i t h initial liquidity. Trading by insiders provides additi o n al liquidity. Although lower than the additi o n al liquid ity analysts can p rovi d e , the adde d liquid­ ity pro vided by ins iders in combin at i o n w i t h the initial liquidity '''" Th e a na l y s i s so far was cond ucted from a m a r k e t p o i n t o r view, not from the po i n t o f v i e w o t s h areho l d e rs. Our c o n c l u s i o n s h o l d true. h ow e ·.Tr. w i t h even greater f o rce \·l h e n the s h are holders' p o i n t of v i e w is a d o p t e e\ _ G i ve n the <H:encv problem b e t w e e n m a nage rs and s h a rehol ders, g r a n t i n g i n s i d e rs ,; _xcl usive co71 t r o i v e r t h e o ad d i t ion t o t h e i r con trol over busi ness a c t i v i t i es is pote n t i a l iy harmful for shar e h o l d ers. D i�pcrscd s h a r e h o l d e r s d o n o t m o n i t o r m a n agers, a n d e n t ru s t i n g m a n agers w i t h t he r o l e u t m o n i to r i n g t h e m s e l ves is a s u re r c c i p e for c o n t r o l fa i l ure s. Analysts, in const ras t . const<l n t ly follow stocks a n d mon i to r t h e p e r formance o f m a n agers. See, e . g . . D i rks v _ SEC, 4 6 3 U . S . 646, 646 ( 1 983) ( i ll u s t r a t i n g a bro k e r dealer who m a na ge J to track clown 21 fraud a l le g a t i on ) . discl osure a n d U S <� of i n s i d e i n forma t i o n i n A s w e p l a n t o argue i n a separate paper, b y pe rform i n g t h i s r o l e , analysts a ge n cv problem be twe e n man agers and shareholders. and t h us m i t i ga t e the benefit the share h o l d ers. I n d e e d . a recent e m piri ca l s t u d y h a s fo u n d t h a t 92 '};, o f the corpora t i o n s s t u d ied enacted p o l ic i e s restrict i ng i n s i d e r t r a d i n g , a n d 7 8 % a d o p t e d b l a c k o u t peri ods J u r i n g w h i c h i n s i d e r trading is pro h i b i t e d . T h e l a t t e r p n i i c y res u l t e d i n a n a r rower b i d - a s k s p read . See J . C . B e t tis et aL, Corporate pol i c i e s re•;r rict i n g trading by insiders, 57 J . f i n . Econ. 1 9 1 , 2 1 8 (2000). Th e se corp o r a t i o n s a r c most i i k e l y r e s t r i c t i n g i n s i d e r t r a d i n g because it h a s a h a rmful e ffe c t on t h e i r s h a r c h o i d c rs a n d t h e i r com p a n i e s . 1 262 [Vol. 8 7 : 1 229 Virginia L a w Revie1v m ay s uffice to prov i de acce p t a b l e l i q u i d i t y i n a p a r t i c u l a r s t o c k . In t h i s c a s e . l i qu i d i t y t raders may p r e fe r to gran t i ns i d ers p r o p e r t y r ig h t s i n ins i d e info r m a t i o n i n e xch ange f o r l o w e r s a l a r i e s . A s a n a l y z ed ahove , t h e n e g a t i v e e ffects of t h i s c o u rs e o f action ' ' 11>7 E ven ! I l 1 q u t c! J t y t r a d e rs c1 o n o t c a r e burn oy t h e m a r K e t . a b o u t dfi c i c n c y , e ffi c i e n t p r i c i n g i s i m p o rt a n t for t h e e c o n c m y as ;\ \v h o !t.: . ' E ffi c i e n t p r i c i n g is i m p ort a n t for t h e m a r k e t fo r corpc• r a t e • e arc • • • • '' co n t ro l . r·u r m o n i t o r i n g an d con t ro l l i n g t h e m a n a ge m e n t age n cy p ro b l e m . fo r t h e a l l oc a t i o n o f reso u rces i n T PO s a n d secon d <1 ry o f­ fe r i n rrs. a n d fo r o t h e r t r a n s a c t i o n s i n the e c o n o m -'v t h a t a re based ] 1 }'-J on m a rKd p nces. � • ' I II. P O S I T i V E E XT E R N A LITIES O F T H E A NALYSTS' M A R K ET The i n trod u c t i o n of a c o m p r e h e n s i v e m a r k e t perspe c t i ve e na b l e s us to bring a n o t h e r p h e n o m e n o n t o l ight. A c o mp e t i t i ve a n a lysts ' m a r k e t offe rs seve ral types o f p os i t i ve external i ti e s , o f w h i c h we w i l l focus on two: the i nfor m a t i o n m a r k e t and the i nves t m e n t b a n k i ng i n d us t r y . I n the fol l o w i ng S e c t i o n s , we a n a lyze these p o s i ­ t i v e exter n alities a n d s h o w t h at t h e y would b e lost i f i n s i d e r tra d i n g were perm i t t e d , e v e n s u bj e c t t o a contractual regim e . F o r t h i s rea­ son, we concl u d e t h a t t h e p r o h i b i t i o n o n i ns i d e r tradi n g m us t be re t a i n e d . Re:;ource '"' S et.: Nav•.x:n Kh a n n a e t a ! . , l n s i d e r Trading, O utside S e a r c h , and Alloca t i o n : Why Firms and Society Ma y D is a gree on I n s i d e r Tra d i n g R e s t r i c t i o n s . 7 Rev. F i n . S t u d . 5 7 5 . 5 7 5 ( 1 99 4 ) in fo r m e d o u tsi ders r e d uc e s t h e insider tra d i n g i n fl i c t s ). "'' F o l l o w i n g Uni1ed Slates to v. t h a t eve n t h o u g h insid ers' compe t i t i o n with . quality of outsi de i n fo rm a t i o n , . a ! luwing e q u i l i b ri u m d i ffe re n t " e n t re p r en e u rs m ay prefe r opt i mal " ( sh o wi n g " "social and private cos t s " : com•.:qc;en t l y , a l l o w i n s i d e r t r a d i n g even when i t is n o t ,;o c i a l l y 0 'Hagan , 5 2 1 U . S . 642 ( 1 99 7 ) , some sch o l :us s u ggested that t h e Su p r e m e Court's d e cision has transformed t h e p ro hi b i t i o n o n i n si d e r t r a d in g i n t o a nk:re contractual default rule. S e e , e . g . , Saikrishna Prakas h , O u r Dysfu n c t i o n a l I ns i d e r Tra d i ng Regi m e . 99 C o l u m . L. Rev. 1 49 1 , 1 5 06 ( 1 999). \V e d i s :.1gre e . A proper r e a d i n g o r () Hagan i m p l i e s a k e y d i s t i n ct i o n be tween i n s i d e inform a t i o n i n t h,.: clciss!c s c n se-in forr n a t i o n originating from the affected firm used by one o f i ts i n s i d e rs--and a d i ffe r e n t tvpe of i nside i n fo rm a t i o n-i n formation generated by o u t s i d e rs who <tre not e m p l oy e e s o f t h e affected fi rm. W h i l e the p r o h ibiti on on t ra d i n g i nvolving c l assic i n side i n f or m a t i o n is cle arly m a n d a t o ry , and c a n n o t be contracted a ro u n d , t h e pro h i b i t i o n o n t ra d i n g i n vo l vin g i n formation g e n e r a t e d b y o u ts i ders i s c o n t mcting like any o t h e r property i ntere s t . "" Sec K a h a n . s u p r a note 64, subject to a t 1 005-1 7 ( d iscuss i n g a l l o f the cos ts o f i n e ffi c i e n t m ar k e t s a n d the role of r e g u l at i o n s i n curi n g t h e se i ne ffici e ncies) . On Insider Trading 200 .l jl 1 263 A. Th e Infomwtion Market In the a n a l y s t s ' m a r ke t , some a n a l y s t s n e ve r disclose t h e i r i n ­ for m a t i o n direct l y . R a t h e r , t h e y u s e t h e i r i nfor m a t i o n a l advant age through t r a d i ng. These a n a l y s t s u s u a l l y work for m aj o r i n s t i tu ti o n a l i nves t o r s . O t h e r a n alys t s , h o w e ve r . d i s c lose t h e i r fin d i ngs to t h e p u b l i c . O f t h e a n a l ys t s i n t h i s group. s o m e d i s c l o se i n form a t i o n o n a re g u la r lxtsi:; as p a n o f t h e s e r v i c e t h e y o ffe r t o c l i e n t s , w h i l e oth ­ ers d i s c 1 CJs<; on i y part o f t h e i n fo rm a t i o n t h e y possess a s p a rt o f pro m o t i n g a n d advert i si n g t h e i r se rvi c e s . T h e d i sclosure o f a n a l y t i ­ c a l i n fo r rn a t ion a l l ows m a r k e t part ici p a n ts t o j ud g e , e x p os t , t h e . q u a 1 1ty h ot- Lc <:m a 1 ys t . , , ,, · T h e res u l t is t h e c re a t i o n of a n i nfor m a t i o n m a r k et. F i n a n c i al newspapers, teie visi o n c h a nn e l s , radio s t a t i o n s , w e b s i t e s , a n d o t h e r sources o ffe r a wide ra nge of fi n a nc i a l i n form a t i o n i n a very accessible for m a t fo r free or for a low fee . It i s c o m m o n for a n a ­ lysts t o sh are t he i r i n fo r m a t i o n a l advan tage t hr o u g h i n t e rvi ews, private columns, and c o m m e n t a ry o n t h e s e i n fo rm a t i o n c h a n n e l s . A na l ys ts ' com p e t i t i o n . i n s hort, s u p p o rt s t h e d e v e l o p m e n t o f t h e information m a r k e t , w h i c h leads t o a d d i t i o n a l p o s it i v e e x t e r n a l ­ i t i e s . Firs t , t h e i nfor m a t i o n market i m p roves t h e e ffi c i e n cy o f t h e cap i t a l m a r ke t . E v e r y a n a l y s t who d i scloses h e r i n fo r m a t i o n a l a d ­ v an t age provides o t h e r a nalysts w i t h a d d i t i on al i n formation t h a t assists t h e m i n improving t h e i r prici n g . S e c o n d , t h e i n formation m a rk e t e n h a nces t h e l e v e l of i nv e s t m e n t activi t y in the c a p i t al m a r k e t . As i n format i o n reaches a l arger s e g m e n t of t h e p u b l i c , m o re p e o p l e become a w a r e of fi n a n c i a l e v e n t s a n d b e c o m e ac ­ quain t e d with fin a ncial m a rkets. The l e v e l of understanding of t h e i n v e s t m e n t p rocess i s i ncreased a nd t h e n e w k n owl e dge h e l p s b u i l d c o n fi d e nce a n d trust i n t h e marke t . 1 1 1 Conseque n t l y , m o r e p e o p l e become l i q u i d i t y traders ( a d d i n g t h e stock m a r k e t a s a n a l t e rn ative for s a v i n g) and stock p ic k e rs (either re s p o n d i n g t o analysts' mar­ k e t i ng efforts and b uy i n g the i r s e rvices , o r u s i ng freely disclosed i n form a t i o n as a basis for t he i r own i nd e p e n d e n t i n vestme n ts ) . I n - between a n a lvsts' " " F o : i nsta nce , t h e fi nanci<i l papers publ ish period i c comparisons . · recom m e n d a t ions a n d stock prices. '" Cf. Lawrence M. Ausubei, I n sider Trad i n g in a R a t i o n a l Expect a t io n s Economy. 80 Am. Econ. Rev. 1 022. l C23 ( 1 990) ( a rgu i n g t h a t con fid e nce i n the market is i m p o r t a n t a n d that d u e to t h e e ffect o r d i m i n i s h e d in vestor confidence, " i nsiders a re made better off'" if t h e y can · ' p recu m m i t not to l r<tde on their privileged i nform a t i o n " ) . Virginia Lmv R e view 1264 [Vol. 87 : 1 229 creased i nvest m e n t a c t ivity i ncreases t h e dem and for a nalysts and lowers the cost of capital for firm s . I ns i ders who enj oy excl u s i v i t y o v e r i n s i d e i n format i o n t h w a r t t h e development o f the i nfor m a t i o n m a r k e t . Abse n t c o m pe t i t i o n , i n ­ s i ders h ave n o i n ce n t i ve to q u i c k l y d i s c l o s e i n side i n fo r m a t i o n . I n siders d o n o t c a t e r t o c l i e nts: t h e y g�1 i n only indi rectly from i n ­ c u � a s e d i n ve s t m e n t a c t i v i t v . M o rr_:: iy>c: r . i n s i de r s c a n n o t s e l l t h e i r i n forrn a t i o n a l a d va n t a g e . S e vere c u n fl i c Ls of i n tc.rcst and asy1n111 e t ­ r i c i nform a t i on doom n e g o t i a t i on::; buw,:: c n insiders and pote n t i al buye rs. S i m i l a r l y , an a t t e m p t to s.:: l i t h e i n fo rmation to t h e p u b l i c ( for e x a m p l e , t o a te levision c h a n n e l o r �\ newspaper) w i l l n o t g e n ­ e r a te a p rice e q u a l t o t h e v a l u e o f t h e i n fo rm a t i o n to t h e i n s i ders because i n formation is a p u b l i c gooci . ' 1 ' I n sum, insiders, u n li k e the a n alysts' market, are unable t o provide the positive e x t e r n a l i t i e s t h a t e x i s t in a w e l l -developed i nforrnati o n market. B. The lnvesmzent Banking industry To see t h e effec t of t he a n alysts' m arket on t h e investm e n t b a n k ­ ing industry, a s s u m e t hat i ns i d e r trad i n g is p e rm i t t e d . F o r the reasons explained above, the insiders will d rive the a n alysts out of t h e market. Now suppose that a corporation wishes t o m a ke an I P O . I ns iders will find i t d i fficult t o issue s h a res d i rectly t o i n v es­ tors. Investors will be skeptical o f p ur c h a s i n g sh ares s i n c e i ns i d e rs have i ncentives to man i p u l a t e the corporat i o n ' s m a n a g e m e n t i n order t o i ncrease t h e i r e a rn i n gs . 1 1 ' A ls o , t here are n o a n alysts t o m o n i t o r corporations a n d t h e i r m a n agem e n t o r t o d i s c l o s e i n for­ m a t i on, so i nvestors wili be hesi t ant to p u rchase s h a re s in a corporation t h e y know l i t t l e a b o u t <:. n d which w i l l n o t be m o n itored very care ful ly . 1 1" Insiders wi i l have lo e m pl o y a n inves t m e n t b an k t o underwri te t h e offering i n order t o p e r s u a d e i nvest ors t o buy t h e s h ares. The investment bank w i l l have t o e m p l oy an a n a iyst in order to n pri ce the shares. The a a l ys t w i ll study a l l c u rr e n tly a v a i l a b l e i n ­ for m a t i o n a b o u t t he corpo r a t i o n , c o m pe t i tors, t h e i n dustry a s a 11' See Robert Cooter & Tho mas U k n . Law and Economics 40-4 1 (2d ed. 1 997) ( n o t i n g that public goods are both n onexcl u cL ! h k a n d n onrivalrous). 11' See supra notes 1 00-01 and accompanying t e :' t . S e e supra n o te 106. ' 1' 200 1 ] On Insider Trading 1 265 w ho l e , and t h e e c o n o m y in g e n e ra l . S h e \Vi l l set a p r i c e for t h e s h a r e s , a n d t h e y w i l l b e i s s u e d . F r o m t h a t p o i n t o n , t h e a na l yst h a s n o u s e for t h e k n o w le d ge s h e a c c u m u l a t e d r e g a rd i ng t h e c o r p o ra ­ t i o n . T h e re i s n o p o i n t i n fo l l o w i ng t h e s t o c k b e c a u s e i ns i d ers w i l l b e a t o u t s i d e rs b y c a p i t a l i z i ng o n n e w i ns i d e i n fo rm a t i o n . P r i ci n g b y i n s i d e rs . n o n e th e l e s s . c a n n o t b e t r u s t e d �� " < l b a s i s fo r 3 seco n d a ry o ffc r i n � d u e to t he c o n fl i ct o f i n t c re :� t p r 1 ; l � k m . C o n s c q uc n t i y . a seco n d a ry o l l ·.: r i n g w i l l e n t a i l s i m i l a r c o s t s t o t h �t t o f t he i P O . F u rt h e r n w r c: , w i t h o u t a n a lysts, i n s i d e rs w l l u o ffe r s h ares o f t h e i r c o r p o r a t i o n w i l l a l s o h av e t o c o n v i nce i n v e s tors o f t h e i r a b i l i t y to prcw i d e l i q u i di t y . I n s i d e r s w i l l be fo rc e d to p r o v i d e l i q u i d i t y a r ­ r a n ge m e n t s in order to a t t r ac t i n v e s t ,J r s . However, w h a t e ve r a r ra n ge m e n t i n s i d e rs a d o p t t o p e rs uade i n ve s t ors t o b u y s h ar e s a t t h e I P O , i t w i l l ge nerate n o p o s i t i v e sp i l l nve rs for o t h e r c o r p o r a ­ t io n s g o i n g t h ro u g h a n I P O . E a c h c o rp o r a t i o n w i l l h av e t o o ffer i t s own l i q u i d i ty a s s u r a n c e s . R e s t r ic t i ng i n s i d e r t r a d i n g , o n t h e o t h e r h a n d , w i l l a l l o w t h e a n a ­ l ys t t o use t h e k no w l e dge accum u l a t e d i n t h e I P O process b y fo l lo w i n g t h e stock a n d p r i c i ng i t o n a n o n g o i ng b a s i s . Effi c i e nt , c o n t i n u o u s pri c i ng b y a nalysts i ntrod uces e c o n o m i es o f s c a l e a n d s c o p e . F i rs t , t h e i nves t m e n t m ad e d u r i n g t h e IPO i s n o t l o s t . A n a­ lysts c a n u p d a t e t h e i r p ri c ing, b e a r i n g o n l y t h e i nc re m e nt a l c o s t of t h e u p d at e . S e c o n d , t h e k n ow l e dge accu m u l a t e d i n t h e a n a l ys t s ' m ar k e t c a n be r e u s e d a n d d e p loyed i n t h e s e r v i ce o f i n ves t m e n t b a n ks w h e n e v e r a n e w I P O s hares s i m i l ar ch a ra c t e r i s t ics w i t h a n e ar l i e r I P O . T h e s e r v i c e w i ll b e o ffe red t o i n vestm e n t b a n k s o n c o m p e t i t i v e t e r m s . T h i r d , i nvestm e n t b a n k s w i l l fi n d t h e process o f a secon dary o fferi ng e a s i e r a n d c h e ap e r w h e n t h e s h ares o f t he corporat i o n are a l re a d y traded i n a n e ff ic i e n t m a r k e t i n w h i ch p r i ce s are d e t e r m i n e d b y a n a lystS . 1 1 ; I n d e e d . u n d e r c e r t a i n circum­ s t a n c e s . e v e n t h e S E C r e laxes t h e r e g_i s t ra t i o n a n d t h e d i sc l osure r e q u i re m e n ts for s e c o n dary offe r i n g s Y' '· This is a c l e a r e x a m p le of " ' S e c M e r r i t t B . Fox. S h e l f Regist r a t i o n . fntcgra t e c! D i ,;clos u re . a n d Un de rwri ter D u e D i l i g e n c e : An E c o n o m i c A. n a lysis, 70 V a . L. Rev. l 005 . 1 008 ( 1 984): Je ffrey N. G o r d o n & L e w i s A . Korn h a user. E ffi ci e n t !v ! a rk <.:ts. Cos t l .v I n form a t i o n . a n d S e c u r i t i e s R c sc a rch. 6 0 N.Y. U . L . R e v . 76 1 . S I 0 ( 1 98) ) ' " S e c fLl X . supr a n o t e 11 5 . at 1 008 (showing h o w t i l e Jll �i r k c t e ffi c i e n c y ra t i o n a l e e x p l a i n s " s h e l f' . regi s t r a t i o n u n d e r R u k 415 o f t h e S e c u r i t i c ,; Act o r 1 93 3 ) : G o rdon & K o r n h �1 u ser. supra n o t e 1 1 5 . at SJ 0 (ex3 m i n i n g t h e S E C ' s u�e of the effic i e n t m a r k e r h y p o t h e s i s i n l·o r m u l a r i ng i n tegrated d i sc l o s u rc rc q u i r•: m c n h ) . 1 2 66 Virgin ia L a w RcvieJv the red uced c o s t s o f a secondary o fferi n g gen e r a t e d by t h e e x i s ­ t e n c e o f o ngoi ng efficie n t pricing by a n a l y s t s . F u rt h e rm ore . i n a w e l l - d e v e l o p e d a n a l y s t s ' n1 a r k e t , i n ve s t o rs w h o b u y s h a re s i n a.n I PO will concern t h e mselves only w i t h the bu� i n c s s prospects of t he co rporation �me! the q u <d i t y of i ts rn a n ­ c� g.c n·� o.�' n t . E ffi c i e ncy a n d l i q u i d i t y i n t h e :�cco n d a ry rn a rk e t \'.: i i i he p r u v i d=>J by t h e �.t n a l ys t s . --r h e existe nc�.: t_J f t h e a n a l y:) t s · rn a r k r.:: l c r e ­ C1 t e :=; e c , ' rw m i e s o f scale i n t h i s r e s p e c t a s we l l . O n c e the rn a rk c t i s i n p l a c e . i t c a n absorb m a n y n e v·i I P Os a n d s ec o n d a ry offe r i n g s . B y g u :na n t e e i ng effi c i e n t p r i c i n g a n d l i q uid i t y , the a n a l y s t s ' m a rke t l o \v,· r<.: t h e c o s t of i s s u i n g s h <:l n.:s fo r a l l corporat i o n s , s p a r i n g e a c h i n d i v i d u a l c o r p o ra t i o n t h e i l e e d to provide e ffi c i e n c y a n d l i q u i d i t y o n i t s mvn . A w<:: l l - d e v e l o p c d inve s t m e n t b a n k i n g i n d ustry, i n t u rn . a t t r a c t s fi rms from c o u n t r i e s with i e s s d e ve l oped markets to i ss u e s h ares and l i st t h e m i n the more d e v e l o p e d m a r k e t . The d e ve l oped ana­ l v s t s ' m arket and investment i n dustry in t h e U n i te d S t a t e s at t r a c t __ fi rms from a l l ove r t he world . 1 17 T h i s process c a r r i e s w i t h i t m a n y be n e fi t s : I t i n c r e as e s t h e a c t i vi t y a n d p rofits of t h e i n ve s tm e n t b a n k i n g i n d u s try a n d its p e r i p h e r a l m ar ke t s , i t p r o v i d e s A me ri c a n i n ve s t o r s w i t h a w i d e r r a n g e o f i n v e s tment opport u n i ti e s , a n d it i n ­ c r e a s e s t h e d e m a n d fo r t he se rvice s of a n a l y st s . N o n e o f t h e s e pos i t i ve e x t e r n al i t i e s c a n b e realized wit h o u t an a n a l y s t s m a rk e t . ' I V . T H E CASE F O R N EG ATlYE PROPERTY RIG HTS T N 1 >1S f D F. [ NFORNl AT l ON G i v e n t h e i m p o rt a n t pos i t i v e exte r n a l i t i e s gene r a t e d by a n a lysts ' c o m pe t i t i o n , a n d g i v e n t h a t n one of them would arise i f i ns i d e rs perm. i t te d t o a p p r o p r i a t e and exploit i n s i d e i n form a t i o n . w e s ub rn i t t h a t e ffi c i e ncy d i c t a t e s that i n s i ders be b a n n e d from t r a d i n g o n i n s i de i n fo r m a t i o n . Com b i n i n g t h i s conclusion wi t h t h e p r ope rty were , . \V h i k non-U . S . companies ra i sed only $7 b i l li o n i n t h e A me rican nu r k c t and " o f t h e -+ 2 0 n o n - d o n1 e st i c co1 n p a n i e s regist ered \Vi t h the fJ . S . SEC:, n1 ost \Vt� r��� C a n ;:� J i a n " i n l lJ8lJ. " i n 1 9')8 n o n - U . S . i ss u e rs o ffered m o r e t h a n ::5200 bi l l i o n i n t h e U n i ted States . . . L i n d �1 C. Quinn, f n t e rn a t i o n a l Regulation o f Cross - B o rckr O i'fe r i n gs and Listi ngs o f Securities- A W i ndow of Opport u n i ty, T n t c rn ational Securities M a rk e t s 2 ( J 999 ) . I n 1 999. · · n1orc t h a n 1 . 1 00 n o n - U . S . c o rn p a n ie s frorn Sf, c o u n t r i �: s [ \vcrcl regi:;tcrcd w i t h t h e S E C. ' ' J J . On 200 L J Ins ider Trading 1 2 67 r i� o h t s e n t i t le m e nts fra m e w o rk , "" we p o s i t , for t h e fi rst t i m e , th a t t h e c h a l l e n ge of i n s i d e r t r ad i ng presents a com pe l l ing case fo r a s - sign i n g a " ne g a t i ve p r o p e r t y r i gh t " t o i ns i d e rs wi t h res p e ct t o i n s i d e i n fo r m a t i o n . T h e e ffect o f a n eg a t i ve prope r t y r i g h t i s t o de n y t h e g r a n t e e t h e pow e r t o a p p r o p r i ate a soci a l l y v a l u a b l e r e ­ :-; o u rc ,::-i n o ur cctse . i n fo r m a t i o n ---i n o r d e r t o a l l o w a m o re e ffit: i c: n t r(: g i rn c to cL: vc l o p . I n t h e p :·csc n t c o n t e :� t . t h � b a n n n i n ­ s i d e r t r:;c! i n g acco m p l i s h e s j us t t h a t . \N i t h o u t t h e h a n . i n s i d e rs. because o f their p r o x i m i t y to the ti r rn , would be able to appropri­ a te and e x p l o i t n o n p u b l i c i nform a t i on . T h i s a b i l ity w o u l d a d v e r s e l y i rn p �tct t h e i n for m a t i o n m a rk e t a n c! t h e ;;' con omy o n t h e w h o l e . T h e b a n o n i n s i d e r t ra d i ng-o r , as we s e c i t , t h e assign m e n t of <1 n e g a ­ t i ve prope rty r i g h t t o i ns i d ers-is n e ce s s a ry t o e s c h e w the s u h o p t i rn a l reg i m e that w o u l d o t h e rwise d e v e l o p . As a r e s u l t o f t h e .. ba n . m ore e ffici e n t i n fo r m a t io n m a r k e t s a n d fin a n c i al m ar k e t s c a n evo lve . T h e r e r e m a i n s t he q u e s t i on of why the p r o p e r ty r i g h t s h o u l d n o t be assi g n e d p o s i t i v e l y t o a s p e c i fi c an a l y s t . Ex a n t e , i t i s i m p oss i b l e t o d e te rm i n e w h ich a n a l y s t v a i ues t h e i n fo r m a t i o n a t i s s u e m o s t h i gh l y . A l l o w i n g a n a l ys t s t o c o m p e t e over n o n p ub l i c i n fo r m a t i o n i s , t h e refore . t h e o n l y v i a b l e way t o e nsure t h a t , o n a v e r a g e , t h e a n a l y s t w h o places t h e h i g h e s t va l u e o n i nform a t i o n w i l l o b t a i n i t firs t . B ecause a n a l ysts o p e r a t e i n a compe titive env i r o n m e n t t o m a x i m iz e t h e re t u r n o n i n ves t m e n t i n i nforma tio n , t he a n a l ys t w h o fi r s t o b t a i n s n o n p u bl i c i n form a t i o n wi l l h ave t o p ro c e ss t h e i nfor­ m a ti o n t o the market as q u i c k l y a s p o ss i b l e , l e s t she be beaten b y o t h e r a n alysts \Nh o s e c k the s a m e i n for m a t i o n . Th e o p t i m a l prop­ erty re g i m e wi t h respect t o i n fo r m a t i o n -t h e q u i n t esse n t i a l p ub l i c goo d---is o n e o f fre e competi t i o n -' '� T o e ffect t h i s regi m e , h owever, it i s necessary t o a ss i g n a n ega t i ve property right to i n s i d ers t o ex­ c l u d e t he m from the group of l e gi t i m a t e appropr i a t o r s . A s we 1 1 ' 'f h e c h a l le n ge o f in s i d e r u-a d i n g i ' w i ck l y re rceivcJ ::: ;; o n e o f e f fi c i e n t a ! l oc:J t i o n o f p ropc n v righ t s i ;1 n o n p u b l i c i n for:;1 a t i o n . S e c genc:ra l l v G u i d o C i l a hrc:si & A . D o u � i ;:s M c: i :l mecl . Pronertv R u l e s , L i a b i l i t y R u l es. and l n a l i c n a b i l i t v : O !·J c View u f t h e (:;: t h c: J r: J ! . 85 Harv: L -Rev. 1 089, l ll15.:.. 1 5 ( 1 9 7 2 ) ( d i v i d ing prote c t i o n mode:; o f i e g a ! 1; n t i t k m c n ts i n t o property r u l e s . l i a b i l i t y rules. a n d i n a l i e n a b i l i t y r u l e s ) . 11" F o r d i 5cussi ''" o f t h e d i ffere n t :;spcct:> of idorm ation as a p u b l i c goc•cl a n d a coi l c c t i vc good. sec K i m b e r l v D. Krawiec. Fairnc�;s. E ff i c i e n c y . a n cl Insider Tra d i m: : Dc:collst ru�ti n g t h e C o i n o f t l� e EZe alm i n t h 1: i n fo r m a t i o n Age," 95 N w . U . L . R e v . 4-+3'. 4:+f .AS ( 200 l ) . Virgin ia Lmv 1268 Review [Vol. 87: 1 229 s h o w e d , t h e u s e o f a n e ga t i ve p r o pe r t y r i g h t i n t h e i n i t i a l s tage t o n e u t r a l ize t h e i n s i d e r s · i n h e re n t a d v a n t age n o t o n l y i m p r o v e s t h e e fficie ncy a n d l i q u i d i t y o f fi n a n c i a l m a r k e t s b u t a ls o g e n e r a t e s v a r i o u s pos i t i v e e x te rn a l i t i e s t h a t o t h e rwise w o u l d n o t h a ve c o m e to e x i s t . \/ . [ �\ ' ! ��:; I C '< S O F T i i E A N .-\ LYS I S l n a d d i t i o n t o p r o v i d i n g ; i n ·.:.: w e ffi c i e n c y j u s t i fi ca t i o n fo r t h e· b c t n on i n s i d e r t r ad i n g . o ur Zl n J. I ys i s s h e d s n e w l igh t o n t wo u nre s o l v e� d l egal p r o b l e rm : s e l e c t i \ c d i s c l os ur e <! n d w a r e h o u s i n g . O u r a n a l y s i s a l l ows us to i l l u m i n a t e t h e c o n tl i c t ing g o a l s a nd t h e t e n s i o n s i n ­ v o l ved i n t h e s e i ss ue s . as w e l l as t h e p ar a m e ters r e l e va n t t o t h e p o l i c y d e c i s i o n t h a t a t t e m p t s t o r e s o l v e t hese t e n s i o n s . A. Selective D isclosu re F o r a v a r i e t y o f reaso n s , m a n y c o r p o r a t i o ns d o n o t a t t r a c t a n a ­ l ys t s ' coverage. '=" A n a lysts m a y o v e r l o o k corpora t i o n s b e c a use o f t h ei r s i z e , c o u n t r y o f ori g i n , o r i nd u s t r y affi l i a t i o n . I n a l l o f t hese c a s e s , t h e c o s t of ga t he ri n g a n d p rocessi n g private i nfor m a t i o n t o t h e m a r k e t d oes n o t g u a r a n t e e a n y i n d i v i du a l a n a l ys t a s uffi c ie n t r e t u r n t o j u s t i fy t h e coverage. T h e v a l ue o f t h e i n f o rm a t i o n i s d i s ­ p e rsed in the s h ar e h o l de rs . m arket and l os t without any be n e fi t to the W h e n i n s i d e rs a r e rest r i c t e d fro m t r a d i n g , t h e y m a y s e l e c t i ve l y d i sclose n e w i nfo r m a t i o n t o a n a l ysts i n o r d e r t o i nc r e as e t h e re­ 2 turns t o t h e s h a r e h o i d e rs . and, i n d i re c t l y , to t h e m s e l v e s . 1 ' 1n t h i s w a y , t h e p r o h i b i t i o n on i n si d e r t ra di n g fost e rs t h e p ra c t i c e o f s e l e c ­ t i ve d i s c l o s ur e . N a t u r a l l y . t h e a n a l ysts \vh o receive t h e i n fo r m a t i o n enj o y a t i m i n g adv a n t age o v e r t h e m a r k e t , w h i ch g u a r a n t e es t he m "" Companies t h a t ra i l t u a t t r<1Ct a n a l ys t cove rage a rc col l o q u i a l l y c a l l e d --m�t rk e t o rp h a ns . ' · Sec S a n ro rd R . K a v n < l r J r . & M i c h a e l Pe r e i r a . O r p h a n S t o ry , The D :t i l y Deal (N . Y . ) . !\ u g. 2 9 . 200 ! . a t 2 2 . . '" I n l i g h t o r t h e - - p c r, o n a l b e n e ri t . t e s t s e t fo r t h i n Dirks v . S E C 463 u . S . 646 ( 1 983 ) , t h e common v i e w was t h il t sckct i vc d i sclosure to a n a l ysts d ocs n o t v i ( ) l a t c i n s i d e r t r a d i n g r e s t r i c t i o n s . a s i<lng a s t h e i n s i d e rs are n o t a t t e m p t i n g to g a i n pc rso n < l i b e n e fi t fro m t h e d i s c l o s u r e . S e c . e . g . . P a u l P . B r o u n tas J r . . N u t c . R u l e lOb-5 a n d Vol u n t ary Corporate D isclosures to S e c u r i t i e s A n a iysts. 9 2 C o l u m . L R e v . 1 5 1 7 . 1 5 29 ( 1 992) ( "'The Dirks d e c i s i o n h;ls been w i d e l y const rued as a l lowing consicl c: r a b l c l a t i t u d e i n c o q.1 o r a t c: d i o; c l p s u rcs t o analys t s . ' " ) . On Insider Trading 2001 ] 1269 higher returns o n t h e i r i n ve s tm e n t in i n fo rm a t i o n . In exchange, these a n al y s t s en gage in c o n t i n u o u s m o n i toring and coverage of t h e relevant firm a n d p ro v i d e t h e fi rm \Vi t h b e t t e r l i qu i d i t y and prici ng for its s h a r e s . In a d d i t i o n , t h e a n a l y s t s provide t h e firm with better m o n i t o r i n g o f t h e rn a n a gc m c n t Rnd a v a i u a b l e external C \' a l u a t i o n o f its p r o p o s e d b u s i n e s s s t r a t e gy . ' 22 Fi n a l l y , s e l e c t i ve d i s ­ c l o s u re (i i :;<.:l use t o a n a l ys t s pi eces o f se n s i t i ve i n forn1 a t i o n that C(t n n o t h e d i �_�\J us� � d in t h e i r Dure fo rn1 to 1 23 the w h o l e m a rket. S uc h d i sc l o s u r e i m proves e ffi c i e n t pricing and r e d u c e s a n al y s ts ' n e e d t o e x p e n d r c s c ur c e s o n se a r c h i n g for firm­ sp e c i fic i n fo r m a t i o n . F r o m a property r i g h t s p e rspectiv e . t h e practice o f s e l e c t i v e d i s ­ c l o s u re temporarily p u t s t h e r i g h t s t o inside i n fo r m a t i o n i n t h e h a n d s o f a s m a l l g r o u p o f a n a l ysts ra t h e r t h a n immediately g r a n t i n g t h e r i g h t s t o t h e m a rke t as a w h o l e . I n t h i s l i g h t , s el ective disclo­ a l lows m a n age1n e n t to .. sure s ub s t i t u t es " i m m e d i a t e- a l i - an alysts ' -compe t i t i on " vvi t h a '· t e m porary-selected - a n a l y s t s ' -exc l usivi t y . " Admi t t e d l y , t h e tempo­ r ary exclusivity gra n t e d to t h e s e l e c t e d a n a lysts generates t h e s a m e i l l e ffects a s s o c i a t e d w i t h i nsider t r a d i n g , i n p a r t i c u l a r , reduced l i ­ q u i d i t y a n d h a r m t o a nalysts o u t s i d e o f t h e s e lected group. Yet, for s m al l c o m p a nies w h o s e s h a re s are traded w i t h l o w l i q u i d i t y, i t is a necessary step o n t h e w a y to com p e t i t i v e a n a l ys t coverage. I n t h i s s e n s e , t h e exclus i v i t y g e n e r a ted b y s e l ective d i s c l o s u r e i s a n alogous to t hat created b y p a t e n t or copyright p r o tection . I n a l l cases, t h e l o s s associ a t e d w i t h t h e g r a n t o f temporary exclus i v i t y is presuma­ b l y outweighed b y t h e e ns uing l o ng-term b e nefits. The practice of selective disclos ure is also a d va n tageous to s h a r e h o l d e rs because i t e n a b l e s t h e m t o s u bs t i t u t e t h e p o t e n t i a l gains fro m i n s i d e r trading i n t h e form of lower s a l a r i e s f or i mproved a n a l ysts' cove rage and superior l i qu i d i t y and pricing. Seemingly, a nalysts outside o f the s ele c t e d gro u p would i ose when trading aga i n s t the s c k c t e d group, and t h u s , would avoid trading in that stock. The S E C's n e w l y e n acted ban o n s e l ec t i ve '" See D a n i e l R. Fisch e l , I n s i d e r Trading a n d l n ve � t m c n t A n a l ysts: An Economic A n alysis of Dirks v. Securirics a n d f:'xclumgc Cununission. 1 3 H o fs t r a L. Rev. 1 2 7 . 142 ( 1 984) (arg u ing that anal y sts w h o rece i ve n o n p u b l i c i n fo r m a t i o n from i nsiders ''have i n ce n tives t o enga g e i n some s e a rch t h e mselves be fore m a k ing reco m me n d a t i o n s t o t h e i r c l i e n t s . " t h u s perform i n g a m o n i t o r i n g !'u n c t i o n ) . "' l ei . a t 1 4 1-42. [Vol. 87: 1 22 9 Virgin ia L u w R e view 1 2 70 d i s c l o s u r e m a n d a te s e q u a l t i m i n g o f d i sc l o s u r e , a n d t h u s , p r o t e c ts t h e ana l y s t s w h o are n o t p a r t of t h e s e l e c t e d group . ' ' ' Is t h e n ew rule d e s i r a b l e ? T h i s rule i m proves comp e t i t i o n a m o ng a n a l y s t s , a n d t h u s , i t s e ffect o n l arge compa n i e s with w i d e c ove rage b y a n a ­ l ys t s a n d h i gh l i q u i d i t y i s c l e a r l y d e s i r a b l e . I n d e e d . w i t h r e s p e c t t o s u c h comp a n i es t he n e w rule i s c o n s i ste n t with o u r a n ,l i ysis. T h e p r o b l e m i �; the e ffe c t u t" t h e n e w rule o n s rn a l i c o m p : t n i l>; \V i t h ! O\V l i q u i d i t y , con1 p an i 1.2 S t ha t t·:. i i l t u a t � r �l C � a n a l y s t s � coveret_s c . T h e e q u a l i ty o f t i m i n g m a n d a te d hy t h e S E C p r o m o t e s po t e n t i a l J cc c s s to a l l a n alysts b u t sacrifi ces a c w � t l access by a fe w s e k c t e J a n a l ys t s . I t m ust b e b o rn e i n m i ne! , h ow e v e r , t h at t h e o u t- o f- t h e ­ i n n e r- c i r c l e a n a l ys ts w h o m t h e n e w r u l e p ro t e cts d e c l i n e d t o cover t h e stock in the fi rst p l ac e . Th us. u n d e r t h e new e q u a l t i m i ng r u l e . ful l- s c a l e c o m p e t i t i o n wou l d n o t l e ave a s u ffi c i e n t r e t u rn o n i n ­ ve s t me n t in i nf o r m a t i o n for a n y i n d i vi d u a l a n a l ys t . M o r e o ve r , i n s te a d of t h e t h eo r e t ical e q ua l i ty t h a t the S E C is a t ­ t e m p ting t o p r o m o t e , t h e p r a c t i ce of s e l e c t i ve d i s c l o s u r e p re s e r v e d p r a c t i c a l e q uality w i t h res p e c t t o t h e r i g h t to b e c o m e a n a c t u a l a n a ­ lyst o f t h e s t o c k since a l l a n a l ys t s c o u l d c o m p e t e o v e r o ffe r i n g t h e i r s e rvices t o i ns id e rs . I n s i de rs w i l l p r e fe r to l i m i t t h e t i m i n g a dvan­ tage a n d i ncrease t h e i nn e r ci rcle in o r d e r t o l i m i t t h e a b i li t y of t h e s e lected grou p t o expl o i t i t s exc l u s i v i t y a n d i mprove t h e a n a l y s t s ' cove r age . I n d e e d , i n s i d e r s ' a t t e m pts to l i m i t t h e p o w e r of the se­ l e c t e d gro u p c a n b e i n fe rr e d f r o m t h e g r a d u a l i nc r e a s e i n t h e n u m b e r of c o r p o rations using " op e n c o n fe r e nce cal l s , · ' eve n b e fo r e t h e p ro p o s e d regu l a t i o n t h a t m a n d a tes e q u a l t i m i ng . 1'' O p e n i n g a "' Sec S E C R u l e s l OO ( a ) . l OO ( a ) ( I ) . a mi 1 0U ( a ) ( 2 ) . R e gu l a t io n F D . ! 7 C . F . R . � 243 ( 200 ! ) . For a view �u pporting t h e e q u a l ti m i ng p r i n c i p l e . sec S e l i g m a n . s u p ra n o te 13 . "' The S E C p u b l i s h e d t h e p ro pos e d F D R i n E x c h a n ge A c t R c: l c �1se N o . 4 2 2 5 9 , Feel. Reg. Proposed R u l e V o l . 2000] 1 9 1 7 64 pg. 7 2 5 90 (2UOU ) . I"I'J irinred in [ T ra n s l'er 20. 1 999). A Fed. Sec. L. Rep. ( C C H ) 'll B2.846 ( De c . B i n d e r ! 9991 998 survcv c o n d u c t e d by the N a t i onal I n v e s t o r R e l a t i ons I n s t i t u t e (" ' N l R I . . ) o f i ts m c m bc:r c o m p a n ie s fo u n d t h a t 83 % of t h e cc, m p a n i es c o n d u c t con t e re n c e c a l l s for a n a l y s t s ( u p fro m 7 3 '}0 i n 1996): 27 % o f t h e companies a l low i n d i ,·icl u al i n vestors t o part i c i p a te a n d 1 4 °/c, i n vi te:: t he med i a iO pilrl i c i p a t e : 8 9 '/'u of t h e compa n i e s ( u p from o6 °;(, in 1 996 ) t a p e the i r con fe re n c e calls for l a t e r p l a yback 1 · i a t o l l - fi-cc n u m b e r ( 5 9 % ) o r t o i l n u mber (34 % ) . N a t ion al I n vestor R e l a t i o n s I n s t i t u t e . N I R J R e l e ases Foll o w - u p S u rvey on the Grow i n g U s e o f Co m m u n i c a t i o n s Te c h n ologv i n the Practice of I n ve s t o r R e l a t i o n s . a t h t t p://www . n i r i . org/p u b l i c a t i o n s/;l l c: rt ,/ea05 1 8 98. cfm ( May 1 8. 1 99 8 ) . A n o the r 5urvey co n d u ct e d by N I R T in J u n e ! 999 fo u n d th a t 84% o f the N I R I corpo r a t e m e m be rs s u rveyed con d u ct c o n fe r e n c e c1 l i s wi t h a n <t iysrs: 5 5 '/i, o r t h ose On 200 1 ] Insider Trading 1 27 1 co n fe re n ce ca l l t o a l l i n t e re s t e d i n vestors i ncreases d r a m a t i c a l l y t h e m e m be rs of t h e ··selected g r o u p " a n d t h us e rod e s a l m o s t c o m ­ p l e t e l y t h e e x c l w; i vity p r o bl e m . "6 I n d e e d , the p r o p o s e d regu l a t i on t re a t s a n o p e n c o n fe r e nce cal l as a m e t h o d s a t i sfyi n g t h e e q u a l t i m ­ ' :' i n g re q u i r e m e n t . Of s u rt�' c o ur c; c . h'-.: 1...\ l n e v e n i n s m al l a n d i l l i q u i d co m p a n i e s . s e l e c t i v e d i sc l o­ <1 b u sc d b '.J i n s i de rs i n v i c� Li t i o n o f t h e c r i n1 i n a l re s t i·i�t i u n u n i i 1s i d c r l r �uJ i n g a n d i n breach o f t h c i :· fi d t! c i c 1 ry du­ t i t: s . : > C \ i l l S 'r:> i ri n � w i t h ·' fa k e a n a l ys ts . . . t i o u i n !::: t h e " p a L\ c e '-""Q u a rd s . . . rc:w M u i n g <t n a l ysts fo r favo rable re co m m e n d a t i o n s , ; :m d reward i n g i n s t i t u t i o n a l i n vest ors fo r p a s s i v i ty ( " v o t e b u y i n g ' ' ) a r c j u s t a few 'c" e.\Zi m p k s . G iv e n t h a t se l ective d i sc l o s u re c a n e i t h e r p ro m o t e o r d i m i n i s h e ffi c i e n c y . t h e q u e s t i o n becom e s : Is i t d e s i r a b l e t o b a n s e ­ lect i ve d i scl osure across t h e board a s t h e S E C ' s mle m a n d a t e s . o r '-' w o u i c! i t be -' 1 I \_.' > • p re fe ra b l e t o e x e m p t s m a l l a n d i l l i q u i d c o m p a ni e s a n d > ., l e t m a r k e t forces r e g u l a t e t h e m ? J A complete b a n w i l l m i n im ize t h e occ urrence of a b usive s e l e c­ t i ve d i sc l o s ur e w h i l e s i mu lt a n e o u s l y destroying t h e be n e fi ts t h a t c o u l d be accrued to lective disclosure. from e ffi c i e n t se­ one be l ie v e s d o m i n a t e s e ffi cie n t s m a l l a n d i l l i q u i d c o m p a n i es Such a result could be j ust i fi e d if t h at abusive s e l e c t i ve d iscl osure considerably c o m p a n i e s ( u p from 2 9 % i n 1 998) a l l o w i n d i v i d u a l i n vr�stors to p a r t i c i p a t e a n d invite 42 'Yo t h e m e d i a t o l i s t ::: n ( u p fro m 1 4 % i n 1 998). )\la t i on a l I n vestor R e l a t i on s I n s t i t u t e . Newlv Ct>mplctc d S u rvey Confirms G re a t e r O pe n n es s i n Confcr::: nce C a l l s and Acce l e r a t i n g e:!Ob l 09lJ . c fm Use (June 1 8. uf T e c h n o l ogy . at h t t p ://www. n i r i .org/p u b l i c ; : t i o n s/ale ns/ 1 9 '! 9 ) . A s u r v e y conducted in F e b r u a ry 2000, :t ft c r t h e S E C' proposed FO R was p u b l i s h e d . fo u n d t h a t 83 % o f the c o m pan i e s c o n d uct c o n fere nce c a l ls lor an a ly s t s . N a t i o n a l I n v e s t o r Re l a t i o ns I n s t i t u t e . M o s t Corporate Co n fe re n ce C a l l s ,-\ rc N u w O p e n Ill I n d i v i d u a l i n vestors · a n d t h e M e d i a , at h t t p ://www.n i ri . o rg/ 29. 2000). Of t h o s e compa n ies. 82 'X, ( u p from 5 :5 % i n ! 9lJlJ ) a l l ow i nd i v i d u a l i n ve stor·s to p a rt i c i p a t e a n d 74 'Yo i n v i t e t h ·� m e d i a ( u p f w m -+ 2 % i n 1 9Y9) . ! d . " " J d ,: a l l v . i n s id e rs would u s e such a s t ra te�v o n l y w h e n t h e re i s n o n e e d t o p ro v i d e a p u h i i ca t i o ns/a l c rto;/ea022900.cfm ( fc h . s c k c r e d gm u p or a n a l vs t s wi t h s u pracon;pc t i t i�·c ren ts. Reach i n g t h i s st:1gc is a gr;�du;�! prnccs,;. i n i t i a l ! v . t h e s t ock is n e g l e c t e d a n d s e l e c t i v e d i sc l o s u re is n e e d e d t o a t t ract coverage. As p ri c i n g a n d l i q u i d i t y a re g r a d u a lly i m pr o v i n g . cl ue t o t h e 'e l e c t e d g r o u p CO\'Cra gr: . more an a l y st s a n d o 1 h c r i n for m �H i on t ra d e rs :n1cl l i q u i cl i t y t ra d e r s arc a t t ra c t e d t o t h e s t o c k . re ac h i n g the p o i n t when t h e re i s n u need d i ,clos u rc � n v m ur c . T h e S E C r u l e w i l l pre v e n t t h i s process. 12 7 fo r se l e c t i v e Sec T h e S E C ' s D i s cuss i o n of P,e gu l a t ion FD, 1 7 CFR � S 240, 243. 249 ( 2 000) . "' See L111 g c v u o r t . s u p r a n o te :5 , a t 1 040-44. : : , S e c J n h n C. C\J ftec J r .. Is Selective Disclosure Now Lawfu l ? . 1 9 97 l'·i . Y . L.L J ul y 3 1 . I 'J'J 7 . a t 5 ( d e t a i l i n g t h e a b uses o f s e l e ct i ve d i sclos u re ) . f ' • I J Virgin ia L o w Re vielV 1 272 [Vo l . 87: 1229 s e l e c t i v e d i sc l o s u re . J u d g i n g from t h e d r a m a tic incre a s e in t h e use of open c o n fe r e n ce cal l s , it s e e m s c l e a r t h a t for small c o m p a n i es , s e l e c t ive d is c lo s ur e is m e r e l y an i n t e r i m s t a g e on t h e w a y to a c h i e v ­ i n g compe t i ti ve a n a l y t i c a l c o v e r a ge . \ ! t o w in g t h e m a r k e t t o r e gu l a t e s e l e c ti v e d i s cl o s u r e by s m a l l -;- a n d i l l i q u id com p m: i t:: s wi l l c r e a t e a sy::. t ,� m t h a t preserves e ffici e n t s c k c L i \'C cl i scl c:': ure w h i l e d i ::; co1. .i i'�l � i n g : r b us i ve s e l e c t i v e cl isclc­ ' ' . ...,_..., , I .' •• .,.,l. 1!' c· C�'1 h r' !I ;I I \ . r ) f t I' '-' p "' ' 1 r k .._ �' tl t ,'-", , . .._. ,, 0 ,, Lt 1 . ' ,· e ] '-' "' C l i V"' a ·! l' -s c 1 o s u ,.,, J ,_, -._i \ 1 ) ·._ • L l .l l • <.� < � '•' I Lt l ..., l L- ! J. ...._. e f l"i c i c n t l y rests o n i r :; a bi li t y to e fficien t l y e n force fi d uc i a r y d u t i es a n cl i n s i d e r t r a d i ng r e s t r i ct i o n s . G i -v·cn t h �t t e n forcement i s t h e k e y i ssue , t h e p o t e n t i al fo r a buse o f s e l ec t i ve d i sc l o s u r e i s n o d i ffere n t t h a n t h a t o f a n y o t he r fi d u c i a ry duty o r i ll e g a l i ns i d e r tra d i n g . For i ns t a n ce , i n s i d e rs can b u y i ns t i t u t i o n a l i n ves to rs ' p a ssi v i t y through many o th e r p r e fe r e n t i a l d e a l s 1 "-for e x a m p l e , p r i v a t e p l a ce m e n t of p r e fe rr e d s h a re s-wi t h o u t res o r ti n g to se l e c t i ve disclosure. To be s ur e , in the c as e o f selective discl osure , it i s diffi c u l t t o prove a b r e a c h of fi d uc i ary d u t i e s due to t h e i n he r e n t prese n c e of m i x e d m o t ives. Y e t , n o c o m p l e t e b a n i s i mp osed o n s u c h t r a n s a c t i o n s . I n ­ deed, a l ongs i d e the legal sanctions, other non-legal market m e c h a n is m s , s uch as t h e m ar k e t for corporate cont ro l , the m ar k e t f o r managers , a n d r ep u t a t i o n , w o r k t o reduce such m an i festati o n s of the age ncy probl e m . 1 ·'' '"' T h e r e is s t i l l a r i s k t h a t s rn �t l l f i r m s w i l l be a b u s i v e . We c o n t e n d t h a t s e l e c t i ve d i sclosure ge n e ra l es i m p o rt a n t be n e fi t s fo r s m a l i b u s i nesses-b e n e fi t s t h a t o u t we ig h . in our op i n i o n , the t h r e a t o f a b u se . More o v e r. t h ese m a r k e t t o c o n t r o l t h e p o t e n t i a l f o r a b usive c o n d u c t . benefits justify relying o n t h e '31 S e e , e . g . . E d w a rd B . R o c k . C on t ro l l i n g t h e D a r k S i d e o f R e l a t i o n a l I n v e s t i n g , 1 5 Cardozo L . Rev. 987. l a rge (for exam p l e . 989 ( ! 994) ( d iscussi n g s i t u a t ions w h e r e ' · an investor acqui res 9.5 % ) i n t e r e s t i n t h e firm a t a a d i s cu u n t i n exch ange for p ro t e c t i n g i n c u m b e n t m a n agers fro m d i s p l a ce m e n t o r . more ge n e r a l ly. from t h r e a t s t o t he i r a u to n o my ' ' ) . "' S e c ge n e r a l l y Fra n k H . E a s t e r brook & D a n i e l F i sc he l . The P r o p e r R o l e o f a Targe t ' s M an a ge m e n t i n Respo n d i ng to a Te n d e r O ffe r. ':!4 H a rv. L. R e v . ( e x p l a i n i n g t h e r o l e o f t h e m a r k e t for c o r p o ra te control); an cl t h e M a r k e t for C o rp o r a t e C o n t ro l . 73 J . Po l . Eco n . l l O F a m 8 , A g e n cy Pro b lc:: ms a n d the T h c o rv of t h e F i r m . 1 1 6 1 ( 1 98 1 ) H e n r y G . Manne, 88 ( 1 965) Mergers (sam e ) ; E u ge n e F. J. P o l . E c o n . 288 ( 1 980) B. Rock, S a i n ts a nd ( e xp l a i n i n g t h e r o l e o f t h e m a r k e t fo r m a n agers ) : E clw8rd S i n n e rs: How Docs Ddawarc C o r p o r a t e Law W o r k 'l . .\4 U CLA L. Rev. 1 009 ( 1 997) ( e xpl a i n i n g the r o l e of r e p u t at i o n ) : Zoh a r G o s h e n . V o t i n g and t h e E c o n omics o f Corporate S c l f- D e <J l i n g: Theory Meets Reality. at h t tp://papers .ssrn .com/sol3/ papers. c fm ') ab s t r a c t_icl .=229263 ( J u l y 20. 2000) ( u n p u b l i s h e d m a n u s c r i p t ) . On Insider Trading 2001] 1273 S i m i l a r l y , regardl e s s o f t h e possi bi l i t y f o r s e l e c t i v e d isclosure, i n ­ s i d e rs c a n c i r c u m ve nt t h e p ro h i b i t i o n o n i n s i d e r t ra d i n g b y u s i n g n o n - i n s i de r col l a b o r a t o r s . T h i s s t ra te g y i s d i ffic u l t t o d e t e c t . T h e r e s p o n s e i s t h a t as l o n g <.l S t h e l e g a l s a n c t i o n s c re a te a s u fficie n t d e ­ t e rr e n t t o c o n t r o l a n d l i m i t t h e n um hc r o f v i o l a t i o n s , a n a n a l y s t s · ll1 ct r l\. r2 t c a n fu n c t i o n . E n !o rce m c n t d \i·, ··; n o t h a ve t o b e p e rfe c t ; i t j us t h as t o be s u ffi c i e n t l y c: lfe c t i v e: l• �t !-i"c· r d a n <l l y s t s a s u ffi ci e n t p r o fi t m a rgi n . j u d g i n g fro m t h e fl u u r i :; h i n � C i l l < l i y� t s · m a r k e t i n t h e U n i te d S t a t e s , t h e e n force m e n t s y s k m c u r r e n t l y m e e t s t h is s t a n ­ dard. B. \Va rd;ousing W a re h o u s i n g is a p r a c t i c e t h a t e n a b k�s b i d d e rs t o ga i n c o ntrol o f a targe t corporati o n b y e nl i s t i n g t h e h·� l p o f a group o f rel a te d i n ­ vestors. 133 T h e b i d d e r d i s c l os e s h e r i n t e n t i o n t o a s e l e ct e d group o f rel a t e d i n ve s tors w h o b u y t h e s h a re s o f t he t a rge t c o r p o ra t i o n . \.;" W h e n t h e t e n d e r o ffer is a n n o u n ce d , t h e g r o u p t e n ders t h e s hares 1'o This g r o u p ' ' \v a r e h o u s e s " t o the bidder fo r the p re m i um o ffc r e cL t h e s h ares f o r t h e b i d d e r i n exch a n ge f o r t h e t a k e o v e r p r e m i u m . 136 W a re h o u s i n g i n creases t h e p r o ba b i l i ty of a s uccessful t ak eo v e r b y a v o i di n g h o l d o u t s a n d shorte n i n g t h e t i m e n ee d e d f o r s h ar e ­ h o l ders' respo n s e . 137 Whether this kind of s t r at e gy i n cr e a s e s 13·' See R oge r J . D e n n i s . Th i s Li t t l e P iggy W r.: t l t t o iVLnkc:: t : The R e g u i <1 t i o n o f Risk Boeskv, 52 Alb. L . Rev. S4 l . 1)7'J n . :204 ( l 9S S ) . '" See S t e p han i e F. B a r k h () i z . Cnm rne n t . i n � i d e t· Trad i n g . t h e C o n t e m po ra neous T r a d e r. and the Corporate Aeq u i r·� r: E n r i t l e m c n t to Profi ts D isgorged by the S E C . 40 A r b i t r a ge aft e r E mory L.J. 537, 5 6 1 ''' Joel Seligm a n , ( 1 99 1 ) The . R e fo r m u l a t i o n uf Fed e nd Non p u b l i c I n fo r m a t i on . 73 G c o . L . J . 1 ( )3 3 , I 1:14 ( i 1.JS5 J . S e cu r i t i e s Law C o n c e rn i ng 1 '' ! d . il l 1 1 34 ("To t h e b i d d e r . · w a r r.: h u u s i n g · m a v ·Iuck u p · t h e ta r g c t · s s h ares i n fri c n cl l v h a n d s : to t h e i n s t i t u t i o n . ll' c l r e h o u s i n g u l"fcrs t h e op port u n i t y for a swi ft p r e m i u m w h e n the s h ares ar c resold in the t e n d e r o i le r . " ) . G i v e n the c ons e n t of t h e b i d d e r t o t h e purchase. t h e re is no b r e a c h n f f i d u c i �l r\' c.l u t v t o w a r d s t h e s o u rce o f t h e i n format i o n . Conse q ue n t l y , t h e r e i s n u fra u d . a n d n o v i o la t io n o f R u l e l Ob-5 o f t h e p r c i c t i c c t h m u gh R u l e 1 4e - 3 ( a ) o f t h e S E C. r e q u i r i n g n o bre a c h o f fi d u c i a ry cl u t \' . Si nce fra u d i s n o t re q u i r e d . t h e va l i d i ty o l Rul e S E C. Howe v e r , t h e S E C r e s t r i c t s this 1 -le-3 was c h a l l e n g e d . The S U ]l r e m e C o u rt d i d n o t respond S t a t e s v . o · H a ga n . the issue re q u i r e s 521 to t h e chal lenge. U n i t e d U . S . 642 . 672 tL I 7 ( 1 99 7 ) ( ' · We l e a v e f o r a n o t h e r cl a y . w h e n d e c i s i on . the l cgi t i m ac\· · wa re h o u s i n g ' . . . . " ) . of Rule l 4e-3 (a) as app l i e d to ' '' S e t: Macey. supra n o t e 6. a t 1 8- i 'J : S e l i g m a n . s u p r a n o t e 1 3 5 . a t 1 1 34 : Bark ho l/.. s u p ra note 1 34 . a t 5 6 1 n . l ..\6 c· wa rc:lwusi n g lessc n [ s J t h e n um b e r or possi b l e hos t i l e 1274 Virgin io L mv R c 1 :ielV ['lol. S7: 1 2 2 9 m arket fo r corpcm1te c o n trol i s s u bj ec t to gre a t debate.1'' T o ailow us to a n a i yze t h e m ore d i fficult case , we wi ll as­ sume, arguen do, t hat t h i s strat egy promotes e ffic i ency in t he m a r k e t for corpora te con trol. Li q u id i ty t raders who fol i O\\ t h e buy a n d h o l d strategy wi i l n ot b e h a rmed by w a re h o u s i n g . S i n c e i i q u i d i r y n :1 c.l c rs d o n o t re a c t t o e t ttC le ncy i n t h e i n ro r n1 a t i o n a n d c h a n g i n g p r i_ c·: :� _ t h e y \\· i l l n o t s c: l l t o t h e s e l e c t e d gro u p . R a t h e r , t h e y v�i i t c o n t i n u e 1 0 h o l e! u n t i i r h t' r e n de r o ffc ;· i s a n n o unced. I t i s t h e a n a l ys t s \vh o <He h a r m e d . As prices rise d ue t o t h e buying o f t h e s e l e c t e d g r o u p . ; w ,d ysts. b -..: i ng ign o r a m abo u t t h e rote n t i a l takeover and be ing u n :::: b i c t o d i ffere n t i a t e noise tr2cl i n g fro m w a r e h ou s i n g , wil l i n t e rpre t t h e price incrc clse as overvalua­ t i o n . A n a l y s t s w i l l then s e l l the s h a res only to discover t h a t t h e y ar e losing takeover p re m i u m s . Anal y sts wi l l not rece i ve a n o rm a l re­ turn o n their i nvestment in i nform ation, and t h e y wil l rou t i ne l y u nderperform t h e m a r ke t . l n o t h e r words, t h e a n a l ysts' m a r k e t i s i n d a n g e r from a d i ffere n t k i nd o f "insiders"-"outsid e rs, . . w h o hold valuable private i nfor­ m ation about the corporat i o n . The '' o utside private i n fo rm a t i o n " i s n o t produced w i t h i n the corporation b u t h a s an e ffect o n the valua­ tion o f the corporation. From the an alysts' p o i n t o f view, it m akes no difference whether these " i ns ide rs/o u t s i de r s " trade i n violation of a fid uc i a ry duty to the b i dd e r or wi t h t h e bi dder's blessing; i n bo t h cases, the analys ts w i l l l o se . ' ' ' To the extent that takeover premiums cons ti tu t e a subs t a n t i al part o f a n ormal market r etur n , wo u l d t e n d e r . e n a b l i n g b i d d e rs to m a k e su r<: t h e y wo u l d b e t e n de r ed t he n c c c ss a .ry a moum o f s w c k to g a i n co n t r o l of t h e t a rget corpora t i o n . " ) . ' '' Co m p are R o n a l d J . G i l s o n . A S t ruct u r < t l t\ p p rmtch : o Curpora t i o n s : T h e Case A g a i nst D e fensive Ta c t i cs i n Teil d e r Of!ers. :: :; S t a n . L. Rev. 8 1 9. 846 ( 1 98 1 ) ( a rg u i ng t h a t " d e fe n sive t<tctics. i f succc: s s lu i . c i rcumvr: n t t h e mcch a n i s m by w h .i e h t h e . corporate structure c o ns t ra i n s m a n :1ge r i a l d i suc: t i on a n d . t h e re fo r e . < m: i m p rope r . ) . a n d Lucian A. Bebchuk, Commen t . T h e C«sc for Facil i t a t i n g C o m p e t i n g Te n d e r O ffers. 95 1-Iarv. L. R e v . 1 0 2 8 , 1 03 0 ( 1 982) ( a rg u i n g t h a t takeovers oft e n r e s u l t i n a n i ncrease i n : he compa ny's v a l ue a n d t h a t m<:�: ;_, ge m c n t � h o u l d n o t :1ttcmpt t o s t o p the e f fu r t . b u t r a t h e r should rac i i i t a t e c o mp e t i n g bids t o secure the b e s t o ffer fu r t h e s h a r e h o l d e r s ) . w i t h Easte rbrook & Fisc h e l . s u pra n ut e 1 3 2 . at l l 64 ( a rg u i n g t h a t legal rules " a l l owing the t a rget's m a n ;;gc m e n t t u c ngage in d e fe n s ive t a c t i cs i t< response to a t e n d e r o [fer d c c rea:;e s h a re h o l d e rs we l fa re ·· ) . ..,., See J i l l E. Fisch. Start i\-la k i n g S e n se : ;\ ;1 !\ n :1 ly�is a n d P rop o s a l for lnsiclc: T r a d i n g R e g u l a t i o n . 26 G a . L . R e v . 1 79 . n rc ( L ')() l ) (rejecting t h e fOCL!O' on t h o::: m c t h ud hy w h i c h a t r a d e r acquire s non p u b l i c i n fo r m : t t i o n a n d protK• � i n g t o pr e m i s e l ! a h i l itv o n a n i t,sici e r's d u ty t o t h e m a r k e t p l a c e: ) . s h are h o l d e rs t h a t ? fl(_J_ 1 'l _,, _ J 1275 On insider Trading c o n s i st e n t l y l o s i n g t h e s e p re m i u m s wi l l d r i ve t h e a n a ly s t s o u t o f t h e m a rke t . O n l y if t a keover p r e m [ u m s c o n s t it u t e a n i n s u b s t a n t i a l p a r t o f t h e n o rm a l m arket r e t u r n c a n ware h o u s i ng be t o l e ra t e d b y a n a iysts. Om a n a l y s i s poi n ts t o a t e n s i o n b e t w e e n p ro m o t i n g e ffici e n c y i n � h e 1 n �:_ r k e t fo r c o r p o r a t e c o n t r o l a n d p r o rn o l i n? e ffi c i e n c y i n t h r.?. ,� (t fn i L �-t l n: a r k c t . f f t h e se !cctc J g ro u r· ) i s cunlDOS•.; Li o f a n a l "i::; ts a n d � \' t.: J-�._-· �t n ct l ys t c 2 n c o rn p e t e ove r p r o v i d i n g \\'�;_ re h o u s i n g servi ces t o b i d d e rs . ware h o u s i n g i s n o t h arm ful t o Ll1e c a p i t a l m a r k e t . i f, how­ C \T L the s e l e c t e d group d o e s n o t i n c l u de a n a l y s t s . a n d a n a l y s t s h <·: vr: n o C'pportu n i t y t o compete over t h e p nJ'.· i si (Jn of ·ware h o u s i n g s e rv i ct� S to b i d d e rs , t h e t e n s i o n m u s t be resol ved i n favor o f re­ s t r i c t i n g ware h o u s i n g . I n creased t a k e o ve r c o s t s for b i dd e r s a n d l o vve r r e t urns t o a n a l ys t s a r e b a l a nc e d o n e i t h e r s i d e o f t h e sca l e . G i ven t h e m y r i a d benefi ts t h e a n a lys ts ' m a rk e t produces, t h e s c a l e .__ ' ¥ s h o u l d t i p i n t h e a n a l ys t s ' favor. 1 10 I n d e e d , on e might a s k w h y i t m a t ters w h e t h e r t h e b i d d e r h ers e if c o n f i d en t i a l l y accu m ul a t e s t he s h ares o f the t arget o r w h e t h e r a gro u p a c t i n g o n h e r be h a l f d o e s s o . S i n c e i n both c as e s t h e a n al y s t s wi l l l o s e , w h y r e s trict d irect w a r e h o u s i n g ? TrUt� , a n a l ysts w i l l l os e in b o t h c a se s If t a k e o v e r p r e m i u m s c o n s t i t ut e a s u b s t a n t i a l p a r t o f . the i r ret urns, a n a l ysts w il l need protection fro m b i d d e r s ' c o n fiden­ tial acc u m ul a ti o n o f the t a rget s h ar e s . I n i t i al accum u l a t i o n o f t h e s h ares o f t h e t arge t , h o w e v e r , i s i m p o r t a n t for t h e b i dd e r . Firs t , h ol d i ng a b l ock o f s h a r e s , a foo t h o l d , p l ac e s t h e b i d d e r i n a b e t t e r posi t i o n t o s u c c e e d i n t h e takeover. S e co n d , a b l oc k o f s hares t h a t w a s bough t for a l o w p r i ce p r o v i d es t h e b i d d e r w i t h a h e dge o n h e r search c o s t s . In t h e c a s e of l os i n g t h e t a rget t o a n o t h e r p o t e n t i a l b i d d e r . t h e fi rst bi d de;: \vi l l make a p r o fi t w h e n t e n de r i ng the b l o c k to t h e n e w b i d d e r. 1 1 1 I n d e e d , h e re t o o , t h e re i s t e n s i o n b e t w e e n "" S e c i'v! acey. s u p r a n o te 6 . a t 2 0 . M acey argues: i'<o d e fi n i t i o n of p u b l i c i n terest expl a i n s ruk l 4e --3 . The () 1 1 /r c o n cc i va h k e \: p b n a t i o n i s t h e p r i v a t e i n terest e x p l a na t i o n ofl'c r c d bv H ad d ock : m d �:bccy: the r u k benefits corporate i nsiders w h o s e po l i tical i n ll uc n cc w i t h i n t h e S E C is to the d i saggrega tc d , u n o rganized s h a r t: h u l d i n g p�..) p u l a t i o n h a r m e d bv t h e rule. hi . ( e m p h a s i s ;:� d el e d ) . Our e x a m i n<H i o n o f t h e ruk: ;;ugge s t s that t h e toc u s s h o u l d be o n t h e D W t c c t i o n o f m a r k e t a n a l v s ts . '" Sc� R o n a l ci J . G i lso n . S e c k i � g Comp<::t i t i \··� B i d s V e rsus Pure P <- I S'-'i v i t y i n Te n d e r C llc r D c fen:;e, 3 5 S ta n . L. R e v . 5 l . 5 2 ( 1 982). v�:s:. ly superior I I [Vol . Virginia Law Review 1276 t)7: 1 22 9 p r o m o t i n g t h e e fficiency o f t h e m a r k e t fo r corp o r a t � c o n t r o l a n d t h e effi c i e ncy o f cap i t al m ar k e t s . T h e W i l l i ams Ac{L r e s o l ves t h i s t e n s i o n b y m a n da t i n g t h a t p o t e n ti a l b i d ders discl ose t h e i r i n t e n t i o n aft e r accu m u l a t i n g five perce n t o f t h e t arge t s h a re s . Th i s r u l e p r o ­ v i d e s b i d d e r s w i t h so m e foo t h o l d wh i l e p r o t e c t i n g a n a l y s t s from l o s i n g t h e i r a n t i c i pat e d t a l-; e o v e r p re m i u m s . Th i s b a l a n c e is e l i '> t or t c d by w a r c h m1s i n g . I n r h i s l i g h t w a re h o u s i n g j u s t c i r c u nl\c n h t h c r e s t ri c t i o n o n t he b i d d e r ' s o w n accum u l a t i o n , a n d t h us w i i i !><.; , u n d;::; r t h e c o n d i t i o ns e x p l a i n e d e a r l i e r , eq u a l l y h a r m f u l t o a n a l ys t s . . C O N C LU S I ON Fra m i n g t h e q ue s t i o n as w h e t he r to award p r o p e r t y r i g h t s i n i n ­ side i nfo r m a t i o n to s h are h o l d e r s or m a n agers has i e cl many c o m m e n ta t o rs t o c a l l fo r c o n tr a c t u a l r e s o l u t i o n o f t h e m a t t e r . A s w e s h owed i n t h i s A rt i c l e , t h e b in a r y fra m i n g of t h e q u e s t i o n h a s o b s c u r e d a t h i rd , s u pe r i o r o p t i o n : award i n g t h e p r op e rt y r i g h t to m a r k e t a n a l ys t s . W h e n m a r k e t a n alysts a r e taken i n t o acc o u n t , i t b e c o m e s appare n t t h a t t h e c h o i ce b e t w e e n i ns i de r s a n d m a r k e t a n a l ys t s e mb o d i e s a b r o a d e r p o l i cy c h oice b e t w e e n a n i n e ffi c i e n t a n d a n e ffi c i e n t i nfor m a t i o n m a r k e t . G r a nt i n g t h e p r o p e rt y r i g h t t o i ns i d e r s w i l l l e a d t o a m a r k e t w i t h v e r y l i m i t e d i n t e r - i n s i d e r c o m p e ­ t i t i o n ; c o n fe rr i ng i t u p o n a n a l ys t s w i l l c r e a t e t r ue c o m pe t i t i o n . vVe a l s o showed t h a t c o m p e t i t i o n a m o n g a n a l ys t s w i l l p r o v i d e s u p e r i o r e ffi c i e ncy a n d l i q u i d i ty t o fi n a n c i a l m a r k e t s r e i a t i ve t o i n ­ s i d e rs . T h e i m proved e ff ic i e ncy a n d l i qu i d i t y w i l l p r o m p t g re a t e r i n v e s t m e n t i n fi n a n c i a l m a r k e ts , a n d t h e y w i l l a t t ra c t i n t e rn a t i o n a l comp a n i e s to i n ve s t i n t h e U n i te d S ta t e s . F ur t h e r m o r e , c o m p e t i ­ t i o n a m o n g an a l y s t s g e n e r a t e s s ub s t a n t i a l p o s i tive e x t e rn a i i t i e s for the i nform a t i o n m arket and the i n v e s t m e n t b a nk i ng i n d u s t r y . N o n e o f t h e s e pos i t i ve e ffec ts i s l i k e l y t o a r i s e u n d e r a p u r e l y c o n t r a c t u a l r e gi m e . O n l y a vi brant a n a l y s t s ' m ar k e t s c a n p r o d u ce t h e m . F i n a l l y , t h e broad m a r k e t perspective w e deve l o p e d i n t h i s A r t i ­ c l e helped i l l u m i n ate t w o p a r t i c u l a r aspects o f i ns i d e r t ra d i n g : s e l ec t i ve d i sc l o s ur e a n d w a r e h o u s i n g . I n b o t h i n s t a n c e s , w e d e m o n ­ s tr a t e d t h a t a n y a t t e m p t t o r e g ul a te t h e s e practices m u s t t a k e i n t o a cco u n t t h e impact o f t h e p r o p o s e d regu l at i o n o n m a r k e t a n a lysts ' " 1 .5 U . S . C . � � 78m (d)-(e) & 78(d )-(f) ( 1 988). 2001 ] On Insider Trading 1 277 and that failure t o d o so w i l l u n derm i n e t h e efficiency of t h e regu­ l atory scheme . We believe that t h e n ovel market perspective w e developed i n thi s A11 i c l e m ight fi n a l l y b r i ng a n e n d t o o n e o f the longest lasting puz­ z l e s i n Law and Economics scho lars h i p : the b an on i n s ider tradi n g .