BRIEFING PAPER Number 00611, 5 October 2015 The motor industry: statistics and policy By Chris Rhodes Dominic Sear Inside: 1. Contribution to the economy 2. Production, exports and registrations 3. Future of car manufacturing in the UK 4. Government assistance 5. Volkswagen and vehicle emission testing www.parliament.uk/commons-library | intranet.parliament.uk/commons-library | papers@parliament.uk | @commonslibrary Number 00611, 5 October 2015 Contents Summary 3 1. 1.1 1.2 Contribution to the economy Economic output Employment 4 4 6 2. 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 Production, exports and registrations Vehicle production Overseas investment Trade UK demand for cars 7 7 8 9 11 3. Future of car manufacturing in the UK 12 4. 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 Government assistance Coalition Government policy Automotive Council Automotive Assistance Programme, closed December 2010 Vehicle scrappage scheme, closed March 2010 13 13 14 15 16 5. Volkswagen and vehicle emission testing 18 Contributing Authors: Cover page image copyright: Chris Rhodes and Dominic Sear Carpark new cars - No attribution required 2 3 The motor industry Summary Key statistics: • The UK motor vehicle manufacture industry contributed £12 billion to the economy in 2014, 0.8% of total output, but 8% of manufacturing output • The industry employed 142,000 people across Great Britain in 2013 – 1% of the total • There were 1.6 million vehicles produced in the UK in 2014, 78% of which were exported • The value of exports totalled £26 billion in this industry in 2014 but imports totalled £28 billion, so a trade deficit of £2 billion was recorded • New car registrations reached the highest level in a decade, with over 2.4 million in 2014 This note sets out further statistics on the motor industry. It also sets out examples of recent investments in the sector, and industry expectations for the future. It outlines some key of Government policies that support the industry. There is a brief discussion of the allegations regarding Volkswagen emissions testing. Number 00611, 5 October 2015 1. Contribution to the economy 1.1 Economic output The motor vehicle manufacturing industry is defined as including the manufacture of parts, bodies and trailers for cars and commercial vehicles. The industry was worth £12 billion in 2014. Economic output of the UK motor industry £ billions, Real terms (2011 prices) 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Steady output from the early 1990s until the mid-2000s was followed by a significant fall in output during the recession of 2008 and 2009. Output has since picked up and in real terms, car manufacturing was worth more in 2014 than in any year since at least 1990. Due to this increase in output, the car industry’s importance to the whole manufacturing industry has increased. In 2007, the manufacturing of motor vehicles accounted for 5.4% of UK manufacturing. In 2014 it accounted for 7.9%. However, motor vehicle manufacturing as a percentage of total UK output has declined, falling from 1.4% in 2007 to 0.8% in 2014. 4 5 The motor industry Economic contribution of the motor vehicle manufacturing industry UK £ billions Current prices Real terms % of manufacturing % of UK total 1997 9.9 10.5 6.8% 1.3% 1998 9.0 11.0 6.2% 1.9% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 8.6 9.9 8.3 8.5 7.9 7.6 8.4 8.3 7.7 8.4 6.7 8.6 10.2 10.2 11.1 12.0 11.2 10.6 10.0 10.8 11.1 11.3 11.1 10.7 11.2 10.6 7.5 9.0 10.2 10.6 11.5 12.5 6.1% 6.9% 6.0% 6.2% 5.8% 5.6% 6.0% 5.8% 5.4% 5.7% 4.9% 6.0% 7.0% 6.9% 7.5% 7.9% 1.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.8% Source: ONS, Quarterly National Accounts , Low level aggregates tables Note: Economic contribution is Gross Value Added (GVA) Includes manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and half trailers Real terms data are in 2011 prices Number 00611, 5 October 2015 1.2 Employment There were 142,000 employees in the motor vehicle manufacturing industry in Great Britain in 2014. Motor manufacturing employees Great Britain; 1000s 500 400 300 200 100 0 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 Sources: 71-81: Census of employment (SIC68); 81-91: Census of employment; 91-98: Annual employment survey 98-08: Annual business inquiry; 09-14: Business register and employment survey The different sources use different methodologies and industrial definitions. They should be compared with caution. In common with many manufacturing sectors, increases in productivity and the growth of other industrial bases (particularly in the Far East) have led to significant falls in the number of people employed in the manufacture of motor vehicles in Great Britain, from 502,000 in 1971 to the current total of 142,000. Employment by region The West Midlands dominates the industry in Great Britain. Employment in the manufacture of motor vehicles 2014 West Midlands North West North East South East Yorkshire and The Humber Wales East Midlands South West East London Scotland Great Britain 000s % of manufacturing % of employment 49.9 17.6 13.6 12.7 11.7 9.4 8.1 7.3 5.3 4.2 2.4 17% 6% 12% 5% 4% 6% 3% 3% 2% 4% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0.3% 1% 1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 142.2 6% 1% Source: ONS Nomis database, Business Register and Employment Survey 50,000 employees in the industry work in the West Midlands, 35% of the total. 6 7 The motor industry 2. Production, exports and registrations 2.1 Vehicle production Vehicle production peaked in 1972 in the UK at 2.3 million and fell through the 1970s before picking up again in the mid-1980s and 1990s, as a result of foreign investment. For example, Nissan opened their first European plant in Sunderland in 1986. UK vehicle production (cars and commerical vehicles) (millions) 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 Vehicle production fell by over 30% in 2009 following the global recession. Production of vehicles has still not returned to its prerecession level. Production in 2014 did not surpass any year’s output between 1994 and 2008. The production of passenger cars increased in 2014 by 1% to 1.5 million. And, in the first 6 months of 2015, 3 cars were built every minute in UK manufacturing plants. 1 However, the production of commercial vehicles fell by almost 20% to just 71,000 the lowest since 1970. See page 18 for historic car vehicle production numbers. 1 The Guardian, UK car industry reports best half-year output since financial crisis, 23 July 2015 Number 00611, 5 October 2015 UK Vehicle Production Millions 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Passenger cars 1.63 1.45 1.00 1.27 1.34 1.46 1.51 1.53 Commercial vehicles 0.22 0.20 0.09 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.07 All vehicles 1.75 1.65 1.09 1.39 1.47 1.58 1.60 1.60 % change on year 6.1% -5.8% -33.9% 27.8% 5.1% 7.6% 1.3% 0.1% Source: SMMT: Vehicle production press releases 2.2 Overseas investment There are now no British owned mass car manufacturers operating in the UK. Yet, as in the 1980s, the UK has been successful in attracting foreign investment in recent years. The UK is home to seven foreign volume car manufacturers, with other companies specialising in commercial or luxury brands. A number of motor companies have made recent decisions which have favoured the UK. For example: • • • • • Honda are almost doubled production at their Swindon plant in 2012; 2 Toyota added 1,500 jobs to its Burnaston plant in 2012 3 GM announced it would be manufacturing the next generation Astra at Ellesmere Port from 2013 4 Jaguar Land Rover invested £400 million in a new engine plant, equipment and the expansion of its design centre in 2015 China’s Zhejiang Geely Group is to spend £250m on a new factory for the London Taxi Company, creating 1,000 jobs in 2015 5 However, Goodyear, a major international tyre producer announced the closure of its only UK based tyre manufacturing plant, costing over 300 jobs, in 2015. 6 2 3 3 5 6 Financial Times, Honda aims to double production in Europe, 13 February 2012 BBC News, Toyota jobs offered at Burnaston factory open day, 14 January 2012 BBC News Vauxhall's Ellesmere Port plant to build new Astra, 17 May 2012 Telegraph Britain’s motor industry gets £650m boost, 25 March 2015 The Guardian, Goodyear to close UK manufacturing plant, putting 330 jobs at risk 25 June 2015 8 9 The motor industry 2.3 Trade Value of car trade The value of car exports from the UK in 2014 totalled £26 billion, up from £25 billion in 2013. However, the value of imports was £28 billion in 2014, meaning a trade surplus trade surplus was recorded. Balance of trade in cars (exports minus imports) Annual data, £ billions 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 -9 -10 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 Car exports have grown strongly since the recession ending in 2009, and despite falling in 2014, exports increased by 117% between 2009 and 2014. In Q1 2012, the first quarterly trade surplus in cars was recorded since 1976. 7 Number of cars traded In total 1.3 million vehicles were exported from the UK in 2014, equivalent to 78% of all vehicles produced here. 53% of vehicles exported were to the EU. 12% of exports were to China. 8 7 8 “Car trade in first surplus since 1976”, City AM, 16 May 2012 SMMT, Motor industry facts 2015, 2015 Number 00611, 5 October 2015 10 UK trade in passenger motor cars Annual data, £ billion Exports 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 8.6 8.9 8.8 9.7 9.3 8.1 10.5 11.4 12.2 13.3 12.8 14.4 15.3 11.8 17.1 20.1 21.5 24.4 25.7 Imports 11.3 13.6 14.1 14.9 13.9 17.1 18.4 18.9 19.2 19.4 19.7 22.0 19.7 16.6 20.2 21.5 21.8 24.7 28.1 Source: UKTradeInfo database Note: Balance is exports minus imports Balance -2.7 -4.7 -5.3 -5.2 -4.6 -8.9 -7.9 -7.6 -7.0 -6.2 -6.9 -7.6 -4.4 -4.7 -3.1 -1.3 -0.3 -0.3 -2.4 11 The motor industry 2.4 UK demand for cars New vehicle registrations in the UK declined between 2003 and 2011 from 2.6 million to 1.9 million. 9 Since then numbers have slowly risen and in 2013, 2.3 million cars were registered in the UK, up 11% on the 2012 figure, but still around 12% below the figure in 2003. New car registrations reached a 10 year high in 2014 at 2.5 million. This is a 24% increase on the low recorded in 2009. New car registrations in the UK Millions 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2002 9 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 SMMT, First registration of new vehicles, Press releases (annual data) 2014 Number 00611, 5 October 2015 12 3. Future of car manufacturing in the UK There have been concerns raised for the motor industry across Europe, with a potentially big impact on the UK motor manufacturing sector. As The Economist reported: 10 Sales in Europe tumbled in the 2008 financial crisis, and have fallen every year since. Only 12.4m cars were sold in 2013, nearly 4m fewer than in 2007. But early this year a rebound began, and sales so far this year are up 6%. Unfortunately, it already seems to be fading. Gloomier analysts predict that after an increase of just 2% for this year as a whole, there may be no growth in 2015. Even if the recovery is stronger, IHS, a research firm, expects that demand will remain well below pre-crisis levels in 2020. This is grim for the firms which lean most heavily on Europe. PSA Peugeot-Citroën of France relies on the continent for almost three-quarters of revenues, though it hopes a recent tie-up with Dongfeng of China will boost sales there. Fiat’s merger with Chrysler has provided insulation, but as with Ford and General Motors, Europe is still an open wound. All the mass-market firms lost money in the region last year, with the exception of VW. The implications for the UK automotive manufacturing industry will depend on how attractive it remains to foreign investment compared with other European countries. In turn, this will depend on the productivity at UK plants, exchange rates, and the sustainability of demand. Despite fears about the future of vehicle manufacture throughout Europe, there have been many positive reports and announcements concerning the future of the UK motor industry. Mike Hawes, the CEO of SMMT (the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders) commented that Vehicle production is expected to grow strongly over the next few years to record levels, as investment spending is realised. The vehicles that are being produced are being done so with less energy, water and waste. 11 10 11 Economist, Polishing up, October 2014 SMMT, 2015 sustainability report, 2015, p2 13 The motor industry 4. Government assistance 4.1 Coalition Government policy The previous Government’s key measures to support the motor industry were outlined in their strategy for the industry – Driving success: UK automotive strategy for growth and sustainability. 12 The automotive sector has also benefited from wider initiatives which aim to support manufacturing and promote business growth in general, such as the Regional Growth Fund. For example, DTR VMS Ltd., a components manufacturer, has, secured more than £3 million from the Regional Growth Fund (RGF) which has helped to raise private funding as part of a £12.7 million investment in plant facilities. A parliamentary answer from April 2012 gives further examples of support given to the automotive industry: On 23 March, the Secretary of State for Business, Innovation and Skills, the right hon. Member for Twickenham (Vince Cable), announced that the £125 million Advanced Manufacturing Supply Chain Initiative will open for applications from across advanced manufacturing sectors—including automotive. This opened on 29 March. This initiative will provide grants and loans to successful projects demonstrating real ambition to create globally competitive supply chains. There will be briefing for interested businesses and more information on the criteria of the fund, time scales, eligibility and how to bid will be available at: www.innovateuk.org A number of automotive companies have received a conditional allocation of funding under the first two rounds of the Regional Growth Fund; including Getrag-Ford Transmissions, JCB, Nissan, Zytek Automotive, Bentley, Cummins and BMW. There are also a range of other initiatives that will benefit UKbased suppliers to the automotive industry and other sectors. For instance, the Department is providing an additional £7 million funding for the Manufacturing Advisory Service to deliver supply chain activities over the next three years. We are also providing support for research, development and demonstration projects. Government have made provision of over £400 million through the Office for Low Emission Vehicles (OLEV) to promote the uptake of ultra-low emission vehicles. The latest competitions supported by the Technology Strategy Board to accelerate the commercialisation of low carbon vehicles includes up to £25 million for collaborative research and development (with OLEV) and £9.5 million for a low carbon truck demonstration trial (with the Department for Transport). 13 BIS, Driving success: UK automotive strategy for growth and sustainability, 12 July 2013 13 16 Apr 2012 : Column 287W 12 Number 00611, 5 October 2015 14 The Coalition Government also announced the following key policies to help the industry: • • • • £1bn co-funded Advanced Propulsion Centre to develop new technologies A target of 7,600 apprentices and 1,700 graduates to be recruited over the next five years Automotive Investment Organisation set up to support inward investment. 14 £30 million investment on motor industry skills development 15 Further information on policies to help manufacturing in general can be found in the House of Commons Briefing Paper, Manufacturing: Statistics and Policy and in Industrial policy, 2010 to 2015. 4.2 Automotive Council The United Kingdom Automotive Council was established in December 2009. Its aims are listed as follows: • • • • • Create a transformed business environment for the automotive industry in the UK to provide a more compelling investment proposition for related industries; Develop further the technology roadmaps for low carbon vehicles and fuels, and exploit opportunities to promote the UK as a strong candidate to develop these and other technologies; Develop a stronger and more competitive automotive supply chain; Provide a stronger public voice for the industry to support the value of the industry to the UK and to global partners; Ensure a strategic, continuous conversation between Government and the automotive industry in the UK. 16 Two sub-groups have been formed: a supply chain group and a technology group. In a June 2012 speech to the SMMT the Vince Cable stated that in his view the Automotive Council provided “exactly the right kind of relationship between companies within the industry and the Government”: It’s not intervening, trying to tell you what to do as part of a central plan but it’s a mechanism to get a high level conversation about how you develop the supply chains, how you develop the new technologies which are unlikely to develop spontaneously, how to develop future low carbon products, addressing the issue of skills and having a good commercial environment. So it is a good collaborative approach, it isn’t a cartel, it’s sensible and collaborative and that’s exactly what we need to have. 17 BIS, Industrial strategy explained, 16 September 2013 “Government and automotive industry start the motor on £30 million skills investment”, www.gov.uk, 20 January 2015 16 For more information see the Automotive Council pages on the BIS website 17 Speech given by Rt Hon Vince Cable MP to the SMMT International Automotive Summit, June 2012 14 15 15 The motor industry In June 2013, the Automotive Investment Organisation (AIO) was created. The AIO: • • • • Takes ‘strategic direction from the Automotive Council’ Aims to ‘increase foreign investment in the automotive supply chain’ and to promote research and development Strengthens links between ‘global automotive HQs’ and the government Helps investors by tailoring investment propositions for individual investors and working with investors to develop their understanding of the UK’s motor industry 4.3 Automotive Assistance Programme, closed December 2010 On 27 January 2009 Lord Mandelson, then Secretary of State for Business Innovation and Skills, announced a new loan facility to support the automotive industry. The scheme operated until December 2010. Lord Mandelson told the House of Lords that loan guarantees would be provided to Britain’s auto manufacturers and large suppliers: … First, we will offer guarantees to unlock loans of up to £1.3 billion from the European Investment Bank. Secondly, we will offer guarantees to support up to a further £1 billion of lending, or loans, where appropriate, to cover worthwhile investments not eligible for EIB support or which will bring special value to Britain. 18 Applications would be assessed on a case-by case basis. To be eligible, companies needed to have a turnover of at least £25 million per year, and, at least at the start of the scheme, should be proposing an investment of at least £5 million. Further criteria were that: • Investment proposals should be consistent, deliver new activity or investment that would not happen without the provision of Government support and be consistent with the Government’s objectives for the low carbon economy; • Proposals should be in need of a Government guarantee in respect of lending from the EIB or another bank; as a general rule, it is not intended that guarantees would exceed 75% of any loans, although the Temporary State Aid Framework provides flexibility to consider guarantees up to 90%. In addition, the Government is also prepared to consider direct loans in exceptional circumstances. • Companies should be viable as at 1 July 2008. 19 Further details are available on the Automotive Assistance Programme archived pages of the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills (BIS) website. 18 19 HL Deb 27 Jan 2009 c178 As described by the Business and Enterprise Committee in their report on The Automotive Industry in the UK, HC 550 2009-10 Number 00611, 5 October 2015 16 The Business and Enterprise Committee considered the scheme in their 2009 report on The Automotive Industry in the UK. The Committee found that the scheme had been “slow to produce results”. At the time of their report, not “a single penny” had been advanced through the scheme. 20 The Committee noted that a particular difficulty of a loan guarantee scheme was it depended “on the existence of loans to guarantee”. 21 Only one loan appears to have been made under the scheme. In their February 2011 report on Government Assistance to Industry, the Business and Innovation Select Committee explained that three other formal offers of support had been made but turned down by the companies who had been able to access finance elsewhere: 93. The Department told us that the AAP had provided a £360 million loan guarantee to Ford Motor Company Ltd, in support of a £450 million loan from the European Investment Bank (EIB) to fund six projects in the UK worth a total of £1.5 billion. The projects included R&D and production investment relating to new generation, environmentally friendlier, vehicle and engine technologies. 94. In addition, the Department stated that an additional three formal offers of support were made to General Motors Europe, Jaguar Land Rover, and Tata Motors European Technical Centre (TMETC). However, these were not taken up due to the applicants’ success in accessing financial support elsewhere. 22 4.4 Vehicle scrappage scheme, closed March 2010 The then Chancellor, Alistair Darling, announced the introduction of a car scrappage scheme in the Budget on 22 April 2009. It was intended to “give a boost to the car industry during the current downturn”. 23 The scheme was officially launched on 18 May 2009 and closed in March 2010. The Government originally put £300 million towards funding the scheme. This was increased by £100 million, to a total of £400 million A car that was first registered in the UK before 29 February 2000 (28 February 2002 for vans) could be traded in for a £2,000 discount on the purchase of a new vehicle, as long as certain conditions were met. The manufacturer of the new vehicle had to be signed up to the scheme. Of the £2,000 discount, the Government provided £1,000 and the manufacturer provided the other £1,000. A total of 39 manufacturers signed up to the scheme. 20 21 22 23 Ibid, para 31 Business and Enterprise Committee, The Automotive Industry in the UK, 17 July 2009, HC 550 2009-10, para 26 Business, Innovation and Skills Committee, Government Assistance to Industry, 18 February 2011, HC 561 2010-12 HM Treasury, Budget 2009, April 2009, HC 407, para 4.16 17 The motor industry Vehicle registration statistics published by the Department for Transport show that 395,500 new cars and vans were bought under the scheme between May 2009 and April 2010. They comment that “This would have helped increase the overall 2010 volume but the number of new registrations later in the year fell below the 2009 levels again”. 24 The Department assessed the potential economic impact and forecast that, in the longer term, the costs of the scheme would exceed benefits and would not, therefore, provide value for money. The Minister decided to proceed with the scheme for several reasons including that sales made during a recession were worth more than those made in the future, when the sector had recovered and the risk of doing nothing outweighed the possible scheme costs. As a result of the Minister’s decision, the Department requested an Accounting Officer Direction. In March 2010 the NAO published a report which considered the success of the scheme to date. They commented that: Before launch, officials estimated the economic costs and benefits of the scheme. As precise impacts and outcomes were, and still are uncertain, this work involved making a number of assumptions. Based on this work, the Department estimated that the scheme could lead to a short-term gain to the UK of £349 million, but a long-term loss of £55 million. These estimates were revisited before the scheme was extended in September 2009 and included information from a survey of those who had purchased a vehicle recently, including through the scheme; this led to predicted benefits of £116 million in the short‑term and a lower than expected loss of £18 million in the long‑term. The estimated long‑term loss is principally due to two factors: A prediction that most sales through the scheme would have happened anyway (this is referred to as deadweight and the Department estimates that in the short-term some 54 per cent of sales would occur anyway, rising to 92 per cent in the long-term); and Some 85 per cent of vehicles sold in the UK are imported, although the UK is likely to have benefited from exports to other countries running similar schemes, and many components are made here. Since the inception of the scheme, dealers report an increased demand for cars, and there has been a modest environmental benefit as more carbon-efficient cars replace old ones. 25 24 25 Department for Transport , Vehicle Licensing Statistics 2010 National Audit Office, Support to Business during a recession, March 2010, HC90 2009-10 Number 00611, 5 October 2015 18 5. Volkswagen and vehicle emission testing On the 18th September 2015, the US Environment Protection Agency alleged that Volkswagen had distorted the results of emission tests on diesel cars. 26 This caused the Volkswagen share price to drop by almost 20% on two successive days, and the resignation of the Chief Executive, Martin Winterkorn. The company announced that 1.2 million cars in the UK were affected by the relevant engine software. 27 More broadly, the allegations have led to concern about the veracity of emissions testing and the accuracy of claims from other motor manufacturers. Mike Hawes, Chief Executive of SMMT commented that: 28 As the impact of the actions of one manufacturer becomes clearer, it is the industry that is under intense scrutiny with consumer confidence in the sector as a whole seriously dented. The scandal has particularly affected Europe and the UK, partly because of the popularity of Volkswagen cars but also because of the rise in the popularity of diesel engines in recent years. Diesel cars produce less carbon dioxide per kilometre than petrol cars, and as they sought to meet strict carbon dioxide targets, European governments introduced a range of different polices to encourage the production and purchase of diesel powered cars rather than petrol powered alternatives. These included lower tax on the fuel itself, lower parking charges and lower rates of road tax for diesel cars. If the allegations against Volkswagen do result in a fall in 50% popularity of diesel cars, then 40% the automotive industry would 30% be forced to expend significant 20% 10% amounts on R&D developing 0% engines capable of passing 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Source: European Automobile Manufacturers Association emission test that do not use diesel, and refitting plants currently equipped to produce diesel cars. Diesel cars as a % of new cars UK Further information can be found in the following briefings from the House of Commons Library: • • VW and vehicle emissions testing Will the wheels fall off the diesel car boom in the UK? EPA press notice, “EPA, California Notify Volkswagen of Clean Air Act Violations”, 18 September 2015 27 The Guardian, “VW scandal: 1.2m UK cars affected by emissions device”, 30 September 2015 28 SMMT, Update 388, 5 October 2015 26 19 The motor industry UK Vehicle Production, 1970-2014 (000s) 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Notes: Passenger cars Commercial vehicles Total % change year on year 1,641 1,742 1,921 1,747 1,534 1,268 1,333 1,304 1,223 1,070 924 955 888 1,045 909 1,048 1,019 1,143 1,227 1,299 1,296 1,237 1,292 1,376 1,467 1,532 1,686 1,698 1,748 1,787 1,630 1,492 1,630 1,658 1,647 1,596 1,442 1,635 1,447 999 1,270 1,344 1,465 1,510 1,528 458 456 408 417 403 381 372 410 385 408 389 230 269 245 225 266 229 247 317 327 270 217 248 193 228 233 238 238 227 186 184 193 191 189 209 207 208 216 203 91 123 121 112 88 71 2,099 2,198 2,329 2,164 1,937 1,649 1,705 1,714 1,608 1,478 1,313 1,184 1,156 1,289 1,134 1,314 1,248 1,389 1,544 1,626 1,566 1,454 1,540 1,569 1,695 1,765 1,924 1,936 1,976 1,973 1,814 1,685 1,821 1,846 1,856 1,803 1,650 1,750 1,650 1,090 1,393 1,465 1,577 1,597 1,599 4.7% 6.0% -7.1% -10.5% -14.9% 3.4% 0.5% -6.2% -8.1% -11.2% -9.8% -2.3% 11.5% -12.1% 15.9% -5.0% 11.4% 11.1% 5.3% -3.7% -7.1% 5.9% 1.9% 8.0% 4.2% 9.0% 0.6% 2.1% -0.2% -8.0% -7.1% 8.1% 1.4% 0.5% -2.9% -8.5% 6.1% -5.8% -33.9% 27.8% 5.1% 7.6% 1.3% 0.1% 1970-1980 - Mitchell, British Historial Statistics , 1988, p418 1981-onwards - SMMT Press Notices www.smmt.co.uk/category/manufacturing 1988 and 1993 were 53 week years. 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