Expanding Financing for Solar PV 2 Solar Ready II: Regional Partners 3 Chad Laurent Meister Consultants Group chad.laurent@mc-group.com Who Are We? Using global best practices to inform local decisions 100 Consultants 7 offices worldwide U.S. HQ in Boston 15 years experience 5 Solar Ready: Technical Assistance One to One Assistance Regional Workshops Training Materials Resource Toolkit 6 Agenda Welcome & Introductions Overview of Solar Markets Solar Market Drivers and Finance Landscape Why Lend for Solar? Current Solar Financing Options Discussion Solar Technologies Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Solar Hot Water Concentrated Solar Power 8 Solar Technologies Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Solar Hot Water Concentrated Solar Power 9 Some Basic Terminology Cell Panel / Module Some Basic Terminology Array Some Basic Terminology Production Kilowatt-hour (kWh) e- e- eCapacity / Power kilowatt (kW) Some Basic Terminology Residence 5 kW Factory 1 MW+ Office 50 – 500 kW Utility 2 MW+ Solar Development in the US In 2013, the US solar industry installed 131,000 new solar installations of which 94% were residential projects World Solar Market Top 5 Countries Solar Operating Capacity (2013) Germany 26 % USA 8.6% Source: REN 21 Germany China Italy USA Spain Rest of World $/W 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Global Market & Module Prices 160 35 140 30 120 25 100 20 80 GW 15 60 40 10 20 5 0 0 GW Installed Module cost ($/W) US Solar Market US Installed PV Capacity (MW) 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Falling PV Prices US Average Installed Cost for Behind-the-Meter PV $14.00 Cost per Watt DC $12.00 $10.00 $8.00 Price in 2013 is almost half of what it was in 2009 $6.00 $4.00 $2.00 $- Tracking the Sun VII: The Installed Cost of Photovoltaics in the US from 1998-2013 (LBNL); Solar Energy Industries Association Solar Market Insight Q2 2014 The Cost of Solar in the US Comparison of US and German Solar Costs $6.00 $5.00 $ per Watt $4.00 Non-Hardware Cost Hardware Cost $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $US Solar Cost German Solar Cost Source: NREL (http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/60412.pdf) LBNL (http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl6350e.pdf)(http://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/sunshot_webinar_20130226.pdf ) The Cost of Solar in the US Comparison of US and German Solar Costs $6.00 $1.60 Solar Soft Costs $1.40 Other Paperwork $5.00 $1.20 $ per Watt $ per Watt $4.00 $3.00 $1.00 Permitting & Inspection $0.80 Column1Costs Financing $0.60 $2.00 Non-Hardware Cost Hardware Cost Customer Acquisition $0.40 $1.00 $0.20 $- $0.00 US Solar Cost Installation Labor German Solar Cost Source: NREL (http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/60412.pdf) LBNL (http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl6350e.pdf)(http://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/sunshot_webinar_20130226.pdf ) US Solar Resource Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory 21 Florida Solar Market Cumulative Installed Capacity 250 Megawatts 200 150 100 50 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1,500.00 1,000.00 California Arizona New Jersey North Carolina Massachusetts Nevada Colorado Hawaii New Mexico New York Texas Pennsylvania Maryland Florida Georgia Ohio Connecticut Tennessee Delaware Oregon Indiana Missouri Louisiana Illinois Vermont Washington Wisconsin Michigan District of Columbia Utah Minnesota Virginia New Hampshire South Carolina Kentucky Rhode Island Maine Iowa Montana West Virginia Alabama Arkansas Idaho Kansas Mississippi Wyoming Oklahoma Nebraska Alaska North Dakota South Dakota Megawatts US Solar Market Installed Capacity (MW) 2013 5,500.00 5,000.00 4,500.00 4,000.00 3,500.00 3,000.00 2,500.00 2,000.00 1.13 % of US Capacity 500.00 0.00 Source: U.S. Solar Market Trends 2013 Florida Solar Market Florida US 5.8 39 watts per person watts per person CleanTechnica. Top Solar Power States per capita vs. Top Policy Leaders. June 25, 2013. Solar Development in the US In 2013, the US solar industry installed ove 145,000 new solar installations of which 94% were residential projects Solar Job Growth Solar Job Growth in the US 200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 SEIA Estimates 80,000 60,000 The Solar Foundation 40,000 20,000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: SEIA Estimates (2006-2009), The Solar Foundation’s National Solar Jobs Census 2014 (2014), The Solar Foundation’s National Solar Jobs Census 2014 (2011-2014). 26 Solar Economic Growth $16,000,000,000 $14,000,000,000 $12,000,000,000 ~40% CAGR $10,000,000,000 $8,000,000,000 $6,000,000,000 $4,000,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: SEIA/GTM Research – 2009/2010/2011/2012 Year in Review Report http://www.seia.org/research-resources/us-solar-market-insight 2013 27 Benefits: Stabilize Energy Prices Florida Residential Electricity Prices (cents/kWh) 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 200 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: EIA Data Benefits: Valuable to Electric Grid Avoided Energy Purchases Avoided T&D Line Losses Avoided Capacity Purchases Avoided T&D Investments Fossil Fuel Price Impacts Backup Power 29 Value of Solar In many cases the value is greater than the retail rate Source: Rocky Mountain Institute 30 Agenda Welcome & Introductions Overview of Solar Markets Solar Market Drivers and Finance Landscape Why Lend for Solar? Current Solar Financing Options Discussion A Policy Driven Market Federal Investment Tax Credit Accelerated Depreciation Qualified Energy Conservation Bond State & Utility Renewable Portfolio Standard Net Metering Interconnection State & Utility Solar Access The Current Financing Landscape Direct Ownership Third-Party Ownership Direct Ownership $ Customer $ Utility Direct Ownership: Benefits Direct Ownership Upfront Cost High O&M Costs Yes Electricity Costs None Development Risk Yes Performance Risk Yes Difficulty Value to Customer Availability Complex Higher ROI for Customer Everywhere Third Party Ownership Third Party Ownership Power Purchase Agreement e- eCustomer $ $ Incentives Developer Third Party Ownership: Benefits Direct Ownership Third Party Ownership Upfront Cost High Low to None O&M Costs Yes No None Predictable Payments Development Risk Yes No Performance Risk Yes No Complex Easy Higher ROI for Customer Shared Benefits Everywhere Only in some states Electricity Costs Difficulty Value to Customer Availability Third Party Ownership 100 90 80 70 California 60 Arizona Colorado % 50 Massachusetts 40 New Jersey 30 New York 20 10 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 2011 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2012 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2013 Q4 Q1 Q2 2014 Source: GTM Research/ Solar Energy Industries Association, U.S. Solar Market Insight 2012 Year-inReview & U.S. Solar Market Insight Q2 2014 Third Party Ownership: State Policy Third Party Ownership is not always available Authorized by state or otherwise currently in use, at least in certain jurisdictions within in the state Apparently disallowed by state or otherwise restricted by legal barriers Status unclear or unknown Puerto Rico Third Party Ownership: Cost Weighted Average Cost of Capital 16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% Third Party Ownership can be expensive 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Third Party Ownership Direct Ownership with Debt DOE WACC Targets Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) 2013 DOE WACC Targets Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) & Rocky Mountain Institute 2013 Over 20 years Loans can beat PPA Source: EnergySage LCOE of Loans vs. PPA LCOE for Residential Solar PV based on Financing $0.30 San Diego Res. Retail Rate $0.25 $0.20 $0.20 $0.15 $0.26 $0.14 $0.15 5-Year Loan 10-Year Loan $0.16 $0.10 $0.05 $- Source: NREL (2014) 20-Year Loan 20-Year PPA SDG&E Res. Tier 2/3 Additional Local Benefits Source: John Farrell, Institute for Local Self-Reliance Florida Barriers PPAs not allowed Tangible personal property tax for thirdparty owned systems? – the exemption provided by H.B. 277 applies only to real property improvements Agenda Welcome & Introductions Overview of Solar Markets Solar Market Drivers and Finance Landscape Why Lend for Solar? Current Solar Financing Options Discussion Lending for Solar Is lending for different from lending for or ? Why Lend for Solar? Cost Benefit + Installed Cost Generate + Avoided Energy Cost s Savings + Maintenance + Excess Generation - Direct Incentive Generate + Performance s Revenue Incentive Solar = Positive Cash Flow Estimated Cumulative Cash Flow from a Hypothetical 5 kW Project $20,000.00 $15,000.00 $10,000.00 With Solar $5,000.00 $$(5,000.00) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 $(10,000.00) Without Solar $(15,000.00) $(20,000.00) $(25,000.00) $(30,000.00) $(35,000.00) Year Cumulative Cash Flow (Retail Electricity) Cumulative Cash Flow (PV Project w/ Debt) Growing Market Opportunity US Annual PV Installation Capacity 5000 4500 Installed Capactiy (MW) 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: Solar Energy Industries Association Customers Want Solar 131,000 new solar installations in 2013 94% were in the residential market Total market size valued at $13.7 New Lending Product Opportunity Fewer than 5% of the 6,500 banks in the US are actively financing solar PV projects Why Lend for Solar? Percentage of New Residential Installations Owned by Third Party in CA, AZ, CO, and MA Third Party Owned Residential Market Share 100 90 80 70 Local lenders have the opportunity to 60 provide many of the benefits of third party 50 40 ownership with fewer drawbacks 30 20 10 0 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 California Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Arizona Q1 2012 Colorado Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Massachusetts Source: GTM Research/ Solar Energy Industries Association, U.S. Solar Market Insight 2012 Year-inReview Why Lend for Solar? Direct Ownership Third Party Ownership Upfront Cost High Low to None O&M Costs Yes No None Predictable Payments Development Risk Yes No Performance Risk Yes No Complex Easy Value to Customer Higher ROI Shared Benefits Availability Everywhere Only in some states Electricity Costs Difficulty Why Lend for Solar? Direct Ownership Third Party Ownership Upfront Cost High Low to None O&M Costs Yes No None Predictable Payments Development Risk Yes No Performance Risk Yes No Electricity Costs Difficulty Complex Value to Customer Higher ROI Availability Everywhere Moderate Easy Moderate Shared Benefits Only in some states Agenda Welcome & Introductions Overview of Solar Markets Solar Market Drivers and Finance Landscape Why Lend for Solar? Current Solar Financing Options Discussion Loan Options Solar specific Title I HUD Home equity loan Home equity line of credit On-bill PACE Commercial loan Process Customer Acquisition Loan Approval and origination Servicing Aggregation/ Warehousing Securitization Value Chain for Solar Loans Installation Operations and Maintenance – Bundled within the loan (Mosaic, Dividend Solar) – Responsibility of system owner (Admirals, PACE) Challenges to lending to Solar PV asset class Lack of historical performance and credit data Regulatory treatment of solar loans – Tax deduction if home equity loan – PPA is off-balance sheet Complications with the characterization of solar assets as fixtures versus personal property Rights of secured lender in foreclosure situations Experience Longer amortization schedules Source: NREL Examples Between October 2013 and October 2014 at least nine new solar-specific loan programs were announced and several more have begun operations. Admirals Bank; Digital Credit Union (with SunPower and Sungage); Dividend Solar; Lightstream; Mosaic; OneRoof Energy; SolarCity; Sungage Financial; WJ Bradley (with SunEdison) Source: NREL HUD Energy Efficient Mortgage The dollar amount of costeffective energy improvements, plus cost of report and inspections, or The lesser of 5% of: – The value of the property, or – 115% of the median area price of a single family dwelling, or – 150% of the conforming Freddie Mac limit. Title 1 Home Improvement Loan Maximum Loan Amount: Single family house - $25,000. Multifamily structure - an average of $12,000 per living unit, up to a total of $60,000. Maximum Loan Term: 20 years. Loan Security: Over $7,500 must be secured by a mortgage or deed of trust on the property. HUD FHA PowerSaver For single family homes Up to $25k for terms of 15 (or in some cases 30) years Interest rates between 5-7% and secured by mortgage or deed 11 participating lenders Available through 5/4/2015 Admirals Bank Secured Up to $25,000 Up to 20 year term Fixed rate 4.95% - 9.95% Secured by 1st or 2nd position lien Unsecured Up to $15,000 Up to 10 year term Fixed rate 9.99% - 11.99% Bridge loan SunPower Loan Program Panel manufacturer partnered with Admirals Up to $60,000 dollars for 5-20 year terms Preferred interest rates from Admirals Bundled with 25-year performance guarantee and warranty Mosaic Home Solar Loan Program Crowdfunding provider Up to 20 year terms with no money down Integrates ITC into loan payment Bundled with Enphase O&M package Interest rates vary Nationwide online portal OneRoofEnergy SolarSelect All access solar provider – Previously lease-only SolarSelect Platform – Lease – PPA – Loan options Not all programs nationwide – Based on West Coast Lightstream Home Improvement Loan Division of Suntrust Unsecured home improvement loans for energy projects Up to $100,000 Terms up to 7 years Rates from 4.999.24% Some loans available for small business Nationwide GreenSky Home Improvement Loan Online credit provider Unsecured home improvement loans for range of credit scores Rates begin at 3.99% 6-144 month terms No income verification for up to $25,000 Digital Federal Credit Union Up to $50,000 dollars Separate no interest loan for tax credit Second full-term loan $100 million dollar facility for residential solar Nationwide for members Empower Loan Enables institutional investors to access residential solar market – Climate Bonds Initiative Direct lending service No money down Rates begin at 6.5% Bundled with 15-year production guarantee, warranties and monitoring Nationwide online intake platform SolarCity MyPower Loan 4.5% over 30 years Customer takes the 30% federal tax credit Monthly payment based on amount of energy the system produces Offered in Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Massachusetts, New York and New Jersey Property Assessed Clean Energy The local government finances the up-front costs of the energy investment, which is repaid through a special property tax assessment. Source: Department of Energy Property Assessed Clean Energy City creates type of land-secured financing district or similar legal mechanism Property owners voluntarily signup for financing and make energy improvements Source: Department of Energy Proceeds from revenue bond or other financing provided to property owner to pay for energy project Property owner pays assessment through property tax bill (up to 20 years) Property Assessed Clean Energy Advantages Over Conventional Loan: Longer term Repayment transfers with ownership Low interest rates Interest is tax deductible Lower transaction costs Property Assessed Clean Energy www.dsireusa.org / April 2013. 29 states, Source: DSIRE + Washington DC, authorize PACE (27 states have passed legislation and HI permits it based on existing law). Limitations of residential PACE financing Source: pacenow.org Source: pacenow.org PACE: Resources Resource PACE How to Guide for Local Governments This report is designed for local government officials in getting a PACE program established in their region. rael.berkley.edu Source: Renewable and Appropriate Energy Laboratory, University of California, Berkley Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds QECBs are similar to Build America Bonds (BABs) Interest on QECBs is taxable but the federal government offers a direct cash subsidy to the bond issuer to subsidize the interest costs. – Subsidy of 70% of the Qualified Tax Credit Bond Rate Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds Reduce energy consumption in publically owned building by at least 20% Implement green community programs Rural development Renewable energy facilities (wind, solar, biomass) For certain mass commuting projects Local governments and municipalities with 100,000 or more in population Qualified Energy Conservation Bond Qualified Energy Conservation Bond $ QECB US Treasury + 3.7% QECB Local Gov Project 6% annual coupon $ Bond Holders + 2.3% net interest cost Examples Los Angeles Dept. of Water and Power – wind and solar project expansion and development Boulder, CO – QECBs for commercial PACE San Diego and Richmond, CA – streetlight replacement North Carolina Agricultural Finance Authority – loans for solar projects on agricultural land Learn More Resource EPC QECB Guide Monthly updates to QECB utilization and case studies Learn More Resource Local Lending for Solar PV A guide for local governments seeking to engage financial institutions. www.solaroutreach.org Learn More Resource NREL Analysis Analysis and overview of banking and lending opportunities for US Solar PV market. Agenda Welcome & Introductions Overview of Solar Markets Solar Market Drivers and Finance Landscape Why Lend for Solar? Current Solar Financing Options Discussion Chad Laurent Meister Consultants Group chad.laurent@mc-group.com SAPC Analysis Master Limited Partnerships Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Solar Securitization Securitization Library: https://financere.nrel.go v/finance/content/securit ization-library NREL Solar Access to Public Capital Working Group NREL Solar Access to Public Capital (SAPC) working group – Developed standard residential lease and commercial power purchase agreement (PPA) contracts – Working Group • PV project development standards • Unofficial ratings guidance for rating agencies • Collecting performance and credit data – Technical Reports and Analysis https://financere.nrel.gov/finance/solar_sec uritization_public_capital_finance oSPARC Open Source Performance and Reliability Clearinghouse http://www.sunspec.org/o sparc/ a nationwide network of solar PV power plants that report daily in order to answer the question of how solar PV performs over the long term