21, rue d’Artois, F-75008 PARIS http : //www.cigre.org B1-210 CIGRE 2012 Condition and Remaining Life of Taped Transmission Cables through NonInvasive and Invasive Testing Based on In-service Cables and Cable Samples Removed from Service NS, NIRMAL SINGH, SKS, SANDEEP K. SINGH, RR, ROMMY REYES Detroit Edison Company, United States TZ, TIEBIN ZHAO, Electric Power Research Institute, United States RG, REZA GHAFURIAN, Consolidated Edison Company of New York, United States SUMMARY The taped (laminar dielectric) transmission cables rated 69 kV through 345 kV constitute over 80% of the US underground transmission. While a very large proportion of such cables have been removed elsewhere in the world, the US continues to rely on taped transmission cables that are the mainstay of its large cities, with limited additions. The US taped cable system is above 15% of the world’s total installed transmission length. Over 60% of the US taped cables are approaching and/or have exceeded the 40-year design life, placing increasing focus on condition and life assessment. Of the non-invasive tests that have been considered for various types of taped cable systems, dissolved gas analysis (DGA) and fluid testing are being increasingly applied. Almost all US cable users are regularly utilizing this dual approach. While the former has proved quite effective as a non-invasive test, as demonstrated by the opening of several in-service cable systems, the latter has been less useful. This paper summarises DGA results on over 50,000 field and laboratory-investigated samples, including unique features and some shortcomings of DGA for cables. The life of fluid-impregnated paper system is primarily governed by temperature and time. In the early 1930s, it was established that under thermal degradation, paper loses mechanical properties in order: folding, tear, stretch, burst and tensile strength. However, the majority of earlier studies have been performed from the standpoint of transformers, capacitors and self-contained cables utilizing glass tubes with headspace, and small models, with some impact of decomposition products. The degree of polymerization (DP) was added much later. The availability of published data on the electrical, physical and chemical properties of paper tapes removed from in-service taped transmission cables is limited. As a part of invasive testing, this paper summarizes these properties on paper tapes from 34 cable pieces representative of over 60 investigated pieces of vintages ranging from about 20 to over 60 years, removed in the US and a few other countries to assess aging. The wet-tensile strength, copper number and furfural content of paper have been included in cable life studies. These findings demonstrate that the cable life offered by the fluid-paper insulation far exceeds the design life under usual operating conditions. The occasional failures are precipitated by factors other than paper thermal aging, such as dig-ins, fluid pressure loss, thermo-mechanical behaviours (TMB), singhn@dteenergy.com cable movement due to sloping profiles and excessive road traffic and vibrations, installation irregularities, manufacturing irregularities (e.g., soft spot), operating condition changes overtime (e.g., soil thermal condition changes), and lead sheath fatigue for self-contained cables. The intrusive and non-intrusive tests discussed in the paper address fluid and paper property changes caused by many of these factors. KEYWORDS: Dissolved gas analysis, field data, paper testing, cable condition and life Introduction: Extruded transmission cables have been gaining increasing acceptance worldwide, with the present installed lengths exceeding 15,000 circuit-miles (24,000 circuit-km). However, enormous quantities of taped transmission cables are still in service, particularly in the United States, where the installed taped cables constitute above 15% of the world’s underground transmission system. Other countries with such cables are Japan, France, Mexico and a few in Northern Europe. The taped cables are comprised of three types, namely, HPFF (high-pressure fluid-filled), HPGF (high-pressure gas-filled) and SCFF (self-contained fluid-filled). The vast majority of world’s submarine dc cables are also based on impregnated-paper, including some ac ones. Over 60% of taped cable systems in the world are approaching or have exceeded the assumed 40-year life, and decisions have to be made regarding the continued use of such assets, including replacements. This places a sharp focus on diagnostic methods for condition and life assessment of taped cables and accessories, because such decisions represent considerable utility investment – tens of billions of dollars in the US. This paper covers both non-invasive and invasive tests for condition and life assessment. The former deals with the fluid removed from the cable system and the latter with paper samples made available due to failures, re-routing and additions. Both approaches date back to the 1930s and have been significantly improved and refined over time with the introduction of new methods and sophisticated instrumentation. It should be added that the application of non-invasive tests relating to the dielectric fluid and invasive tests relating to paper was first applied to oil-filled transformers, and later extended to cables. Non-Invasive Testing: Non-invasive testing includes DGA and testing of fluid removed from the cable system. Of the many tests, DGA is deemed to be the most effective and economical for taped cable systems. Its appeal is further enhanced by relative simplicity and easy to understand findings. Utility engineers can relate to the DGA results and the massive transformer experience promotes similar efforts. The application of DGA has well progressed since the early 1980s, and almost all US transmission cable users employ DGA regularly. DGA relates to the analysis of various gases – lower and higher hydrocarbons, hydrogen and carbon oxides – that are generated under electrical and thermal stresses experienced by an operating cable. The type, distribution and concentration of such gases are governed by the specific nature of the electrical, thermal and mechanical problems faced by the cable, giving cues to the condition of the inservice cable. While individual gas concentrations are important, one has to look at the total picture to make proper interpretation, as most gases are interrelated - but acetylene is the single, most important gas. The cable DGA should not be confused with transformer DGA, and it varies amongst different types of cables and accessories. The success of DGA depends on sampling, analysis and interpretation. The collected sample should faithfully represent what is within the cable and no gases should escape or add to the sample during handling, transportation and analysis. Gases with low solubility such as hydrogen and carbon monoxide tend to escape. The high concentration of nitrogen from a pumping plant frequently leads to bubble formation, as the pressure is significantly reduced in the sample that is invariably taken in a glass syringe. Such bubbles present difficulties in the analysis, further compounded by the escape of low solubility gases into these bubbles. The relatively high viscosity of dielectric fluids associated with HPFF cables (100 SUS to 850 SUS@40°C) further adds difficulties in syringe sampling, all the more in winter months. The handling of the collected sample involving the extraction of gases and subsequent transferring to chemical instrumentation for gas quantification, can lead to errors. While 1 DGA interpretation can be a challenge in some circumstances, errors are often made in sampling. The operating history of the cable should be factored in the interpretation. Unlike transformers, a cable not only offers many sampling points but also the sampling environment is not as easy or pristine. To overcome some of these sampling difficulties, a previous sampling-cum-analysis method termed EPOSS (EPRI Pressurized Oil Sampling System) - described in a previous 1996 CIGRE paper- was developed. The DGA data presented in this paper is by a method named EDOSS (EPRI Disposable Oil Sampling System), which represents a radical modification of EPOSS. The disposable nature of its inexpensive light, one-step, sampling and analysis vial, and low sample volume requirement (only 5/6 cc) are noteworthy. DGA offers several unique features: high chemical measurement accuracy with due procedures and high sensitivity to electrical/thermal stresses; low detection limits with available equipment; accumulative process in that gases tend to stay in place, once formed; satisfactory location of a general problem through fluid movement; potential for rough life assessment through carbon oxides; on-line sampling for HPFF/HPGF cables, but not terminations and SCFF cables – one US utility uses a metallic-mesh mat connected to the pipe as a sampling platform. The short-comings include: the upper limits of various gases cannot be well established; DGA is able to identify and locate a problem in the general vicinity but cannot define its precise location with respect to dielectric media involved nor when the problem will precipitate failure; depending on the strategic location, some problem site(s) may be severely detrimental or innocuous. Nevertheless, both situations will lead to various gas concentrations posing concern. However, looking at the gas pattern as a whole and not only the individual gases along with trending is valuable toward problem resolution. For instance, the inordinately high hydrogen sometimes observed in HPFF cables, without other vital gases, is invariably generated in the pipe fluid phase, mattering only when repairs at reduced (50 psi or 345 kPa) are needed due to its low solubility. DGA Results for HPFF, SCFF and HPGF Cables: The data generated by EDOSS is discussed for each type of cables and its accessories. The HPFF and HPGF data covers only the US, while the results on SCFF cable systems also include non-US sources, with comments below Table I and Table II. Table I: DGA Results for HPFF Cable Systems, 110 to 345 kV Gases Methane Ethane Ethylene Acetylene Propane Propylene Iso-butane nButane t2Butene 1Butene Isobutylene Hydrogen C Monoxide C Dioxide 1 2 2 1 0.0 14 3 1 8 0 1 2 183 22 130 2 159,898 60,626 407 146 22,236 35 6,755 3,174 340 68 29,588 975 26 116 3 278 41 348 1,673 24 112 58 16 15 41 16 3,121 61 363 4 27 17 18 0.6 16 11 3 13 5 9 8 318 40 326 5 169,700 20,017 20,063 1,314 8,993 22,330 9,577 768 1,059 1,886 123,930 74,970 2,078 1,234 6 0 1.0 0 0 3.3 0.7 0 0.8 0 0 0 230 0 52 7 45 8.9 1.5 0 4.8 2.2 0 0.6 0.7 0 3.7 1,299,600 106 190 8 7.1 4.8 0.5 0 3.0 1.7 0 0.4 0 0 4.2 46,644 0 80 9 7,035 5,351 4.0 9.5 1,715 16 251 541 38 30 1,335 326 50 268 10 3,374 3,025 3.8 1.0 1,079 14 189 408 74 56 1,112 183 65 374 Column 1: Operation with no concern, 138 kV, 53-year old cable; 2&3: 138 kV terminations opened & re-built; 4: After repairs data of 3; 5: Revealed damage as shown in Figure 1 for 16-year, 115 kV GIS termination; 6, 7&8: Minimal gases at a splice in a 138 kV HPFF cable, showing abnormally high hydrogen in the bubble (7) and much lower concentration in the associated liquid phase of the same syringe (8), 55-year, 138 kV cable in operation; 9&10: Reduction in acetylene with drainage from 9.5 2 to 1 ppm for a 35-year, 345 kV cable, saturated gases came with the original fluid, this cable was removed due to a failure experienced at another independent cable at the plant. Besides losing properties as a function of temperature and time, paper evolves carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide. In the EPRI Waltz Mill investigations [1], the increasing carbon oxides concentrations were measured right close to the breakdown and termination of long-term tests. Unlike carbon oxides, the rest of the gases remained essentially the same. These carbon oxides concentrations provide some rough guidance of paper aging for HPFF cables. The values measured in the field for over 50,000 data points also show that this approach, a by-product of DGA, is useful. A carbon dioxide concentration higher than a few thousand ppm is seldom observed for HPFF cables, with carbon monoxide concentration rarely more than 750 ppm. All this supports lack of paper aging. Table II: DGA Results for HPFF, HPGF and SCFF Cable Systems, 120 to 230 kV Gases Methane Ethane Ethylene Acetylene Propane Propylene Iso-butane nButane t2Butene 1Butene Isobutylene Hydrogen C Monoxide C Dioxide 11 9.4 9.3 6.4 4.6 20 6.1 5.7 1.4 0.3 0.6 28 78,008 30 150 12 9.7 9.5 5.9 2.3 20 6.1 5.9 1.5 0.6 0.4 28 121,898 32 166 13 8.4 6.4 5.0 0.9 10 5.0 5.6 1.3 0.3 0.6 29 140,822 30 171 14 0.0 5.2 0.7 0.0 24 1.0 0.7 4.3 0.0 0.0 14 110,471 0 81 15 0.0 6.6 0.9 0.0 34 1.3 0.9 5.2 0.0 0.0 23 20,229 0 136 16 2.1 2.3 0.6 0 3.1 1.4 0 0 17 59 8.2 44 60 5.4 18 1.5 0.3 18 6.7 4.8 2.6 0 5.4 19 0.9 1.2 19 65 6.1 8.4 0 4.0 9.0 1.1 2.1 20 0.43 0.31 0.12 0 0.33 0.17 0.09 0.15 0 0 18 183 7.2 219 11 172 0.9 0 0 40 11 4,544 198 422 0.60 56.4 32.1 17 Columns 11, 12&13: Increasing hydrogen variation within riser with limited drainage, 25-year, 240 kV HPFF in operation; 14&15: Hydrogen reduction in a 35-year 138 kV HPFF cable riser with drainage (also see Figure 2), cable continues to operate; 16&17: 47-year, 138 kV, SCFF splices, only one phase showed high acetylene, cable in operation, DGA follow-up pending; 18: Satisfactory gas profile for a 38-year, 230 kV SCFF cable; 19: Satisfactory data for a 50-year, 138 kV, SCFF cable in operation; 20: Satisfactory gas analysis for a 48-year, 120 kV, HPGF cable in operation. Figure 1: Damage Extending to Cuter and Tapes, 138 kV GIS Termination Figure 2: Hydrogen Profile in the Riser/Cable Pipe with Fluid Drainage Fluid Testing: Along with DGA, some fluid tests such as breakdown, dissipation factor (DF) and moisture are generally performed on fluid taken from taped cable systems, with many users limiting only to DGA. Based on our field experience, these fluid quality tests are not very useful and should be performed only after 5 to 7 years of operation. Invasive Evaluation of Removed In-Service Cable Pieces: As true for the application of DGA to cables, paper testing was first employed in transformers. As early as the 1930s, V. M. Montsinger 3 [2] measured the mechanical properties of transformer paper in the form of tapes as a function of thermal stresses in glass tubes containing mineral oil and discovered that the mechanical degradation occurs in the following order: folding, tear, stretch, burst and tensile, contributing to the introduction of the so-called 10°C rule. This pioneering work was later refined and adopted for cables, adding other properties in the following decades appropriate for high voltage cables such as radial impregnated tape dissipation factor and degree of polymerization (DP) by others – the objective always was to utilize these paper properties to assess the degradation of paper for the estimation of cable life, keeping in mind that paper aging is a thermal phenomena. Again, the application of DP to transformers preceded that for cables and it is recognized to be an important aging marker for both products. Drs. P. Gazzana-Priaroggia and G. L. Palandri [3], and later Drs. W. G. Lawson, N. A. Simons and P. S Gale [4] made valuable contributions to such efforts, although the focus of the studies was solely on SCFF cables, and not HPFF cables amounting to over 7000 circuit-miles (11,000 circuit-km) in the world. The authors stated that a10% retention of any of the paper property can serve as an end of life criterion, however, this magnitude is far too low and the paper will be in highly degraded state at 10% reduction. Moreover, most properties show wide dispersion in measurements. The invasive investigations included dissection of cable pieces removed from service, as well as the radial testing of paper tapes in both dry and impregnated states. The age of cables ranged from about 20 to over 60 years. The papers in the investigations were removed from small cable pieces that became available due to failures, additions or re-routing. A few stored cables of different vintages were also included to offer ready comparison. The operating history details and some failures were not known in some cases. The express intent of the users was to get a better understanding of the aging of the taped dielectric – often away from the failure, if there was one - as many of such cables were approaching or had exceeded 40 years of service. Dissection of Cable Pieces: The cable construction was first defined for number of tapes, tape thicknesses, widths, reversals and shielding utilizing a 2 to 3 in (50 to 76 mm), leaving about 3-ft (0.9 m) cable length for unwrapping. This information was necessary to determine the number and radial location of the tape so that tapes, reflecting the entire insulation wall thickness, can be properly selected and tagged for condition and remaining life assessment. Depending on the thickness of the tape and its radial location, one or more tapes were taken from each reversal for evaluation in impregnated and dry states, according to the type of paper testing. During the careful unwrapping of the cable piece, tape by tape, particular attention was paid to visual appearance, butt-gap widths, softspots, degree of impregnation, and presence of irregularities, such as broken tapes, wrinkles, creases and indentations. Visual Inspection and Butt-gap Measurements: The typical butt-gap width should be 4-5% of the tape width, and is closely kept. Theoretically, the edge of the adjacent tapes should be just butting, but the taping machines could not maintain such a precise action in practice. Since the barrier provided by the paper is much stronger than the fluid contained in butt-gaps, wider gaps are tantamount to lessened paper insulation, resulting in loss of dielectric strength. Wider than normal butt-gaps can be a contributing factor to cable failure through formation of soft spots and some reduction in dielectric strength. While 138 kV cables may be able to tolerate non-uniformity in butt-gaps, higher voltages will be much less forgiving. The butt-gap uniformity and indents, as shown in Table III and Figure 3 for a 62-year, 138 kV HPFF cable are not desirable, but the cable is still operating. Spiral wax for a 1953, 115 kV HPFF cable is shown in Figure 4. Waxing is rare in HPFF cables. The failure of this cable after 56-years of operation at a heavy traffic crossing is attributed to the cable movement and vibrations and not waxing. The only available DGA was performed after the failure at two manholes (75 and 1000 ft or 23 m and 305 m on either side of the failure). The low carbon monoxide levels (11 to 35 ppm) and other gases measured after the failure did not show any signs of distress or aging, the blanketing of fluid shipment by dry carbon dioxide, as opposed to the later practice of nitrogen, negated any diagnostic benefits of carbon dioxide. 4 Table III: Butt-gap Distribution for a 138 kV HPFF Cable, 1949 Tape No. 4 9 13 15 19 21 28 32 34 36 47 54 71 93 Butt-Gap Width (mils) 176 196 23 94 239 232 210 200229 97 241 206 229 216 202259 148 95 Butt-Gap Width (mm) 4.5 5.0 0.6 2.4 6.1 5.9 5.3 5.15.8 2.5 6.1 5.2 5.8 5.5 5.16.6 3.8 2.4 Figure 3: 138 kV HPFF Cable, 1949, Tape 93 (95 mil or 2.4 mm butt-gap) Figure 4: 115 kV HPFF Cable, 1953, Tape 5 Radial Paper Testing: A series of electrical, mechanical and chemical tests were performed on selected paper tapes removed from cable pieces of varying vintages. The %DF at 80°C and moisture content of the paper tapes were determined in the impregnated states as soon as they were removed to avoid moisture contamination. The rest, namely, degree of polymerization, dry- and wet-tensile strength and folding were performed after the removal of the impregnating fluid. The results relating to cable age, DP next to the conductor, average and range of DP, DF, moisture, and only the average of dry-tensile strength are shown in Table IV for 34 cables. The age of the 69 to 345 kV cables from which paper tapes were removed varied from stored to over 60 years. Of the 34 cases, only 12 are known to have failed and are operating satisfactorily after the repairs. While cables at 230 kV and above were of the HPFF type, those below this voltage included HPGF and SCFF ones. In addition, other paper properties such as wet-tensile and folding endurance were always performed, including limited measurements on copper number of paper and furfural content of the fluid for paper assessment and DGA for some of the 34 cables. For want of space, these additional properties could not be included in Table IV, but will be briefly addressed. The intent is to make available substantial aged paper data, which is available to a limited extent, for radial DP and other more familiar properties toward the understanding of aging. Degree of Polymerization has been gaining increasing acceptance as an indicator of paper aging, as a result of several earlier investigations on transformers and SCFF cables, and the later comprehensive EPRI Waltz Mill studies [1] in the 1990s for HPFF cables involving the load-cycling of six 100-ft (30 m) 138 kV and six 100 ft (30 m) 345 kV at 125°C (135°C for 345 kV towards the final two years) over 3.5 years. It was shown that DP next to the conductor offers the best approach for life assessment and its minimum value for end of useful life is about 350 ( 200 accepted for transformers). Unlike other mechanical properties that are related to the bulk properties of paper, DP shows the least dispersion in measurements, being a fundamental measurement of the paper structure, hence its importance. A review of the DP data presented in Table IV shows that the DP value is essentially the same throughout the insulation wall for cables of all vintages, demonstrating lack of temperature gradient and minimal aging - all DP values of tapes next to the conductor far exceed 350. The observed minor DP variations for the virgin and in-service cables are due to the source of the pulp and the paper manufacturing process. The DF values of paper tapes for 230 kV and 345 kV cables, where distilled water-washed pulp is utilized to reduce the polar salts, were mostly lower than those of the 138 kV cable paper tapes without the benefit of such a manufacturing process. The comparatively high DF values of cables below 230 kV are also partially due to age, with the exception of 120 kV HPFF cables (Set No. 7 and 5 8), where high quality dense paper is used as shown by high Dry TS (maximum tensile 24,272 and 24,274 psi). The DF values observed in bulk of the cable were on the low side and acceptable for aged cables, but the outer and inner tapes picked up extra moisture due to handling, transportation and storage. The same situation applies for moisture. Table IV: Radial Distribution of Paper Properties, 69 to 345 kV Taped Cables, including Stored Cables Set No. Cable Vintage 1* 2 3 4** 5** 6 7** 8** 9* 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20* 21** 22 23** 24 25** 26** 27** 28** 29*** 30 31** 32**** 33**** 34**** 69 kV, 48 69 kV, 49 69 kV, 53 115 kV, 53 115 kV, 53 115 kV, 73 120 kV, 71 120 kV, 72 138 kV, 91 138 kV, 49 138 kV, 49 138 kV, 49 138 kV, 52 138 kV, 55 138 kV, 58 138 kV, 59 138 kV, 60 138 kV, 69 138 kV, 74 230 kV, 77 230 kV, 70 230 kV, 72 230 kV, 81 230 kV, 83 345 kV, 71 345 kV, 71 345 kV, 73 345 kV, 73 345 kV, 73 345 kV, 78 345 kV, 78 345 kV, 89 345 kV, 90 345 kV, 90 Degree of Polymerization (DP) Next to Conductor Ave. Range 1270 1287 1242-1372 1143 1151 1112-1198 807 796 759-824 770 779 757-809 768 785 766-812 764 776 757-809 841 873 727-985 828 842 807-870 897 905 897-915 806 815 789-854 806 848 795-917 799 819 769-865 744 770 744-798 882 950 840-1076 815 784 729-829 833 889 831-996 765 765 751-780 1146 1187 1146-1209 1144 1146 1089-1194 739 731 713-753 755 767 740-810 751 751 729-777 712 715 701-726 729 756 729-778 764 746 722-771 755 748 723-778 742 748 732-768 738 745 732-759 866 798 671-866 712 710 695-733 1459 1642 1459-1794 824 817 789-848 824 817 798-838 825 818 789-834 Moisture (ppm) Ave. 5228 170 656 1184 1011 296 1016 261 969 1145 1013 960 838 1110 553 421 846 578 1167 665 295 733 624 690 1321 1203 503 894 349 688 281 438 438 445 Range 2430-9070 100-260 487-994 905-1678 878-1248 212-489 459-1790 141-436 715-1612 847-1660 784-1290 745-1710 712-1215 660-1750 440-792 306-569 742-1015 302-1164 582-2290 583-727 241-380 559-1028 462-1060 425-1415 899-2312 904-1804 401-648 684-1302 224-490 463-843 145-454 348-810 347-897 378-924 % DF @ 1000C Ave. 1.440 0.275 0.729 0.834 1.530 0.250 0.360 0.235 0.273 1.117 0.993 0.875 0.579 1.052 0.390 0.328 0.515 0.305 0.367 0.248 0.234 0.283 0.363 0.245 0.819 0.813 0.293 0.364 0.221 0.578 0.228 0.141 0.176 0.184 Range 0.35-7.72 0.26-0.28 0.45-1.72 0.68-1.22 1.12-2.35 0.24-0.26 0.24-0.61 0.20-0.27 0.24-0.31 0.65-3.34 0.71-2.30 0.66-1.65 0.33-0.94 0.78-1.09 0.29-0.81 0.25-0.89 0.47-0.62 0.27-0.43 0.31-0.59 0.21-0.27 0.21-0.28 0.22-0.42 0.29-0.72 0.19-0.39 0.39-0.82 0.36-2.65 0.20-0.64 0.29-0.61 0.19-0.32 0.24-1.83 0.18-0.37 0.11-0.35 0.13-0.29 0.14-0.28 Average Dry TS (psi) 11,149 9,218 15,069 18,734 18,807 11,334 21,228 18,363 11,603 12,483 12,512 12,216 18,644 19,640 20,014 14,942 15,140 13,943 11,690 16,263 14,988 13983 17,841 14,220 13,331 13,658 16,903 16,398 12,585 14,269 12,157 2,817 2,817 2,805 *Stored cables; **Failure on one phase; *** TMB splice failure; ****Paper Polypropylene Paper (PPP) (DP & Dry TS were performed on the delaminated paper and moisture and DF were performed on the PPP Composite); Row 1–SCFF; 2-6 and 9-34 – HPFF; 7-8 – HPGF. (1 psi = 6.89 kPa) According to Waltz Mill algorithm based on Arrhenius model, the life estimation for a 32-year 138 kV HPFF cable (Set No. 18, Table IV) is shown in Table V. This demonstrates that taped cables are 6 characterized by exceedingly long life and many 138 kV HPFF cables have exceeded 60 years of service under the current loading conditions, which are well below 85C. Table V: Radial Distribution of Degree of Polymerization (DP) and Remaining Life Tape No. Radial Position DP Outermost Tape Retained Property 1.00 1 0.53 1208.6 1208.6 34 0.353 1209.0 1.00 51 0.262 1204.0 0.99 73 0.144 1168.0 0.97 99 0.005 1146.0 0.95 Equivalent years at 85C conductor temperature (100% load factor) 1.4 Remaining life at 85C conductor temperature (100% load factor), in years Predicted years of service at current operating conditions (100% load factor) 204 673 Copper Number, Wet-Tensile Strength and Furfural Content: It is a number expressing the amount of copper reduced from the cupric to the cuprous state by a given amount of cellulosic material. A lower number signifies permanence of paper and lack of aging - thus it is reverse of DP. A value of 0.6 to 0.75 is excellent. For all the 34 cables, it was found to be about 0.625. Wet-tensile strength, a measurement of the tensile strength of water-soaked, fluid-free tapes, indicates the degree of the inter-fiber-bonding. Unlike traditional properties that decrease with thermal aging, this property initially increases to a peak and then decreases as the aging progresses. This peak is singularly governed by temperature and time and requires a strong temperature gradient across the insulation. A cable, whose tapes have experienced some aging, does exhibit this peak within the insulation wall. The essentially constant values observed over the wall for all cables further support lack of aging. The furfural content, which is a measure of very advanced state of paper aging, is too low (ppb) to be a useful indicator for taped cables and this indeed was the case. Conclusions and Recommendations: DGA is being increasingly recognized to be an effective and economical diagnostic test to assess the condition of laminar dielectric cable systems. Its appeal is further enhanced by its relative simplicity and easy-to-appreciate findings. The fluid quality tests should be performed judiciously, as they offer less value. The fluid-impregnated paper system shows minimal aging under the usual thermal conditions experienced by taped transmission cables, thus holding great potential of exceedingly long life. The failures occasionally encountered in taped are due to many factors other than the thermal aging of the dielectric. As taped cable samples become available with or without failure, it is recommended to dissect the cable and evaluate paper properties to get a better understanding of its life. BIBLIOGRAPHY [1] [2] [3] [4] N. Singh, et al, “Cable Life Evaluation and Management” (EPRI Final Report, TR-111712, December, 1998) V. M. Montsinger, Discussion in, “Temperature Limits Set by Oil and Cellulosic Insulation by C. F. Hill” (AIEE, 1939, Vol. 58, page 488) P. Gazzana-Priaroggia, et al, “The Influence of Aging on the Characteristics of Oil-Filled Cable Dielectric” (IEE, 3348S, Nov. 1990, pages 467-490) W. G. Lawson, et al, “Thermal Degradation of Cellulose Paper Insulation” (IEEE Electrical Insulation Transaction, June 1996, pages 14-18) 7