Principles of Corporate Finance Seventh Edition Chapter 3 How To Calculate Present Values Richard A. Brealey Stewart C. Myers Slides by Matthew Will McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 2 Topics Covered Valuing Long-Lived Assets PV Calculation Short Cuts Compound Interest Nominal and Real Rates of Interest (inflation) Example: Present Values and Bonds McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 3 Present Values Discount Factor = DF = PV of $1 DF = 1 t (1+ r ) Discount Factors can be used to compute the present value of any cash flow. McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 4 Present Values C1 PV = DF × C1 = 1 + r1 DF = 1 (1+ r ) t Discount Factors can be used to compute the present value of any cash flow. McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 5 Present Values Ct PV = DF × C t = t (1 + r ) Replacing “1” with “t” allows the formula to be used for cash flows that exist at any point in time McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 6 Present Values Example You just bought a new computer for $3,000. The payment terms are 2 years same as cash. If you can earn 8% on your money, how much money should you set aside today in order to make the payment when due in two years? McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 7 Present Values Example You just bought a new computer for $3,000. The payment terms are 2 years same as cash. If you can earn 8% on your money, how much money should you set aside today in order to make the payment when due in two years? PV = McGraw Hill/Irwin 3000 (1.08 ) 2 = $2,572.02 Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 8 Present Values PVs can be added together to evaluate multiple cash flows. PV = McGraw Hill/Irwin C1 (1+ r ) C2 1 + (1+ r ) 2 +.... Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 9 Present Values Given two dollars, one received a year from now and the other two years from now, the value of each is commonly called the Discount Factor. Assume r1 = 20% and r2 = 7%. McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 10 Present Values Given two dollars, one received a year from now and the other two years from now, the value of each is commonly called the Discount Factor. Assume r1 = 20% and r2 = 7%. McGraw Hill/Irwin DF1 = 1.00 (1+.20 )1 = .83 DF2 = 1.00 (1+.07 ) 2 = .87 Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 11 Present Values Example Assume that the cash flows from the construction and sale of an office building is as follows. Given a 7% required rate of return, create a present value worksheet and show the net present value. Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 − 150,000 − 100,000 + 300,000 McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 12 Present Values Example - continued Assume that the cash flows from the construction and sale of an office building is as follows. Given a 7% required rate of return, create a present value worksheet and show the net present value. Period 0 1 2 McGraw Hill/Irwin Discount Factor 1.0 1 1.07 = .935 1 (1.07 )2 = .873 Cash Flow − 150,000 − 100,000 Present Value − 150,000 − 93,500 + 300,000 + 261,900 NPV = Total = $18,400 Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 13 Short Cuts Sometimes there are shortcuts that make it very easy to calculate the present value of an asset that pays off in different periods. These tolls allow us to cut through the calculations quickly. McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 14 Short Cuts Perpetuity - Financial concept in which a cash flow is theoretically received forever. cash flow Return = present value C r= PV McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 15 Short Cuts Perpetuity - Financial concept in which a cash flow is theoretically received forever. cash flow PV of Cash Flow = discount rate C1 PV = r McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 16 Short Cuts Perpetuity – Zahlungen steigen jährlich mit konstanter Wachstumsrate g. cash flow PV Cash Flow = discount rate - growth rate C1 PV = r−g McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 17 Short Cuts Annuity - An asset that pays a fixed sum each year for a specified number of years. McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 18 Short Cuts Annuity - An asset that pays a fixed sum each year for a specified number of years. 1 1 PV of annuity = C × − t r r (1 + r ) McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 19 Annuity Short Cut Example You agree to lease a car for 4 years at $300 per month. You are not required to pay any money up front or at the end of your agreement. If your opportunity cost of capital is 0.5% per month, what is the cost of the lease? McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 20 Annuity Short Cut Example - continued You agree to lease a car for 4 years at $300 per month. You are not required to pay any money up front or at the end of your agreement. If your opportunity cost of capital is 0.5% per month, what is the cost of the lease? 1 1 Lease Cost = 300 × − 48 .005 .005(1 + .005) Cost = $12,774.10 McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 21 Compound Interest i ii Periods Interest per per year period iii APR (i x ii) iv Value after one year v Annually compounded interest rate 1 6% 6% 1.06 2 3 6 1.032 = 1.0609 6.090 4 1.5 6 1.0154 = 1.06136 6.136 12 .5 6 1.00512 = 1.06168 6.168 52 .1154 6 1.00115452 = 1.06180 6.180 365 .0164 6 1.000164365 = 1.06183 6.183 McGraw Hill/Irwin 6.000% Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 22 McGraw Hill/Irwin Compound Interest Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 23 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 10% Simple 30 27 24 21 18 15 12 9 6 10% Compound 3 0 FV of $1 Compound Interest Number of Years McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 24 Compound Interest Example Suppose you are offered an automobile loan at an APR of 6% per year. What does that mean, and what is the true rate of interest, given monthly payments? McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 25 Compound Interest Example - continued Suppose you are offered an automobile loan at an APR of 6% per year. What does that mean, and what is the true rate of interest, given monthly payments? Assume $10,000 loan amount. Loan Pmt = 10,000 × (1.005) = 10,616.78 APR = 6.1678% McGraw Hill/Irwin 12 Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 26 Inflation Inflation - Rate at which prices as a whole are increasing. Nominal Interest Rate - Rate at which money invested grows. Real Interest Rate - Rate at which the purchasing power of an investment increases. McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 27 Inflation 1+ nominal interest rate 1 + real interest rate = 1+inflation rate approximation formula Real int. rate ≈ nominal int. rate - inflation rate McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 28 Inflation Example If the interest rate on one year govt. bonds is 5.9% and the inflation rate is 3.3%, what is the real interest rate? 1+.059 1 + real interest rate = 1+.033 Savings 1 + real interest rate = real interest rate = 1.025 Bond .025 or 2.5% Approximation =.059-.033 =.026 or 2.6% McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 29 Valuing a Bond Example If today is October 2002, what is the value of the following bond? An IBM Bond pays $115 every Sept for 5 years. In Sept 2007 it pays an additional $1000 and retires the bond. The bond is rated AAA (WSJ AAA YTM is 7.5%) Cash Flows Sept 03 04 05 06 07 115 115 115 115 1115 McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 30 Valuing a Bond Example continued If today is October 2002, what is the value of the following bond? An IBM Bond pays $115 every Sept for 5 years. In Sept 2007 it pays an additional $1000 and retires the bond. The bond is rated AAA (WSJ AAA YTM is 7.5%) 115 115 115 115 1,115 PV = + + + + 2 3 4 1.075 (1.075) (1.075) (1.075) (1.075)5 = $1,161.84 McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 31 Bond Prices and Yields 1600 1400 Price 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 0 2 4 6 5 Year 9% Bond McGraw Hill/Irwin 8 10 12 14 Yield 1 Year 9% Bond Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 32 Aufgaben in der Vorlesung Q2: BW von $139 beträgt $125. Abzinsungsfaktor? Q4: BW von $374, die in Jahr 9 gezahlt werden? Kapitalkostensatz 9%. Q5: Projekt bringt in den Jahren 1, 2 und 3 $432, $137 und $797. BW bei Kapitalkosten von 15%? Q7: NBW eines Projekts mit Anfangsauszahlung $1548 und unendlichen jährlichen EZÜ von $138. Zinssatz: 9%. Q8: Aktie zahlt nächstes Jahr $4 Dividende, danach jedes Jahr 4% mehr. BW Dividenden bei Zinssatz 14%? McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 33 Q12: Nominaler Zinssatz 25%, Inflationsrate 21%. Realer Zinssatz? Q14: Anlage von $10 Mio. zu 6%. Wert nach vier Jahren bei a) jährlicher Verzinsung? b) monatlicher Verzinsung? c) kontinuierlicher Verzinsung? McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 3- 34 Aufgaben zu Hause PQ4, 7, 8, 21, 31, 33 McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved