City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative Appendix A 5 and 15 Year Implementation Project Lists DORAVILLE LCI IMPLEMENTATION PLAN Transportation Projects Project Name Description Type of Improvement Engineering Year Engineering Cost ROW Year ROW Cost Five Year Transportation Projects Town Center Area Intersection Improvements Central @ New Peachtree New Peachtree Roadway and Safety Enhancements New Peachtree at Central Ave, New Peachtree at Park Ave. Buford Hwy at Park Ave ADA ramps, mast arm signals, pedestrian countdown timers, textured crosswalks, signage Non-Peak hour Parking on 4 lane segment, from South of MARTA station to Clearview Ave. Striping, signage meters, signal optimization. Class 3 on-street Bike route Pedestrian Pedestrian New Peachtree Sidewalks - 4 Lane Area Primary streetscape. sidewalks (10'), lighting, trees (30') street furniture. Consolidate telephone and cable with electric utilities Pedestrian Sidewalks to Schools Improved sidewalks connecting Schools south of Buford Highway to Town Center, MARTA Primary streetscape. sidewalks (10'), lighting, trees (30') street furniture Primary Streetscape. sidewalks (10'), lighting, trees (30'), street furniture Pedestrian Buford Highway Streetscape Oakmont Avenue Extension New Peachtree Sidewalks - 2 Lane/Shallowford Area Shallowford Road Sidewalks MARTA Parking Deck $74,000 2008 0 2006 $44,000 2008 0 2006 $2,500 2008 $0 Complete Complete 2008 $100,000 2007 $462,000 2009 $270,000 Roadway MARTA Pedestrian Improvements Improve signs directing to pedestrian entrances from Central & Park. Create a covered walkway from deck to station. Remove interior fencing, restrict fencing to outer perimeter of station and busway. Remove out-of-date signs. Shallowford Road and New Realign intersection of Shallowford Road and New Peachtree Road and improve Peachtree pedestrian and pedestrian crossings, sidewalks, and signalization intersection safety improvements Central Avenue Sidewalks Park Avenue Sidewalks 2006 Roadway/ Pedestrian Pedestrian Pedestrian 2008 $40,000 2010 $200,000 2008 $220,880 2010 $210,000 2008 $216,480 2010 $130,000 2008 $100,000 2010 $0 Install street trees every 30' on inside of sidewalk with property owner permission. Work with non-profit Trees Atlanta on tree installation. City will purchase trees, nonprofit will install. Pedestrian New 2 lane road with sidewalks connecting Buford Highway & New Peachtree, 2 Intersection improvements. Primary streetscape. Sidewalks (8'), lighting, trees (30'), street furniture. Consolidate telephone and cable with electric utilities. Roadway/ Pedestrian Pedestrian 2008 $240,000 2010 $1,500,000 2009 $484,000 2011 $460,000 Secondary Streetscape. sidewalks (8'), trees (30'), street furniture. Develop 400 space parking deck to replace surface parking needed for redevelopment. Parking deck can replace old parking deck location. Pedestrian 2009 $216,480 2011 $700,000 2009 $1,170,000 2011 $0 King Street, Church Drive streetscapes & sidewalks. Pedestrian Urban Design Fifteen Year Transporation Projects Town Center Area Local Sidewalks Pinetree Plaza Extension New 2 lane road with sidewalks connecting Buford Highway & Shallowford, 2 Intersection improvements. Buford Highway at Pinetree Plaza Mast arm signals, pedestrian countdown timers, textured crosswalks, signage. Pedestrian Crossing Alternative to intersection relocation with Pinetree Plaza Extension project. Enhancements Roadway/ Pedestrian Pedestrian Long Term $28,000 Long Term $100,000 Long Term $226,000 Long Term $850,000 Long Term $24,000 Long Term $0 DORAVILLE LCI IMPLEMENTATION PLAN Transportation Projects Project Name Construction Year Construction Cost Total Project Cost Cost Range Responsible Party Funding Source Local Source Match & Amount Five Year Transportation Projects Town Center Area Intersection Improvements Central @ New Peachtree New Peachtree Roadway and Safety Enhancements 2009 $370,000 $444,000 High City Staff, Dekalb County, GDOT LCI $88,800 2009 $220,000 $264,000 High City Staff LCI $52,800 2009 $10,000 $12,500 Low MARTA LCI $0 Shallowford Road and New Peachtree pedestrian and intersection safety improvements 2009 $690,000 $790,000 High City Staff, Dekalb County TIP/Doraville/HOST $790,000 New Peachtree Sidewalks - 4 Lane Area 2010 $2,310,000 $3,042,000 High City Staff LCI $608,400 MARTA Pedestrian Improvements Sidewalks to Schools Central Avenue Sidewalks Park Avenue Sidewalks 2011 $200,000 $440,000 High City Staff LCI $88,000 2011 $1,104,400 $1,535,280 High City Staff LCI $307,056 2011 $1,082,400 $1,428,880 High City Staff LCI $285,776 2011 $200,000 $300,000 High City Staff 2011 $1,200,000 $2,940,000 High City Staff/GDOT LCI $588,000 2012 $2,420,000 $3,364,000 High City Staff LCI $672,800 2012 $1,082,400 $1,998,880 High City Staff LCI $399,776 2012 $7,800,000 $8,970,000 High MARTA LCI $0 Long Term $140,000 $268,000 High City Staff LCI $53,600 Long Term $1,130,000 $2,206,000 High City Staff/GDOT LCI $441,200 Long Term $120,000 $144,000 Medium City Staff/GDOT LCI $28,800 Buford Highway Streetscape Oakmont Avenue Extension New Peachtree Sidewalks - 2 Lane/Shallowford Area Shallowford Road Sidewalks MARTA Parking Deck $300,000 Fifteen Year Transporation Projects Town Center Area Local Sidewalks Pinetree Plaza Extension Buford Highway at Pinetree Plaza Pedestrian Crossing Enhancements DORAVILLE LCI IMPLEMENTATION PLAN Other Five Year Projects Housing Projects Project Name Description Affordable housing incentives Integrate into zoning overlays. Coordinate with Dekalb County programs. Emphasize mixed income developments with part subsidized, part market rate projects. Explore senior affordable housing opportunities with non-profit developers. Available property list Code enforcement strategy Prepare an inventory of existing sites/buildings within the core redevelopment area that includes ownership, condition, use, value of land, lease rates/term es,tc. Update regularly. Review current code and survey residents for code enforcement priorities. Educate citizens on the current code and provide a phone number and internet form for them to submit code complaints. Create a top ten list of trouble properties and focus on these properties until issues are resolved. Cost Cost Range Year Responsible Party Funding Source None. Part of zoning overlay project. Low 2006 City Staff/Community Development Corporations Not applicable Staff time Low 2006 City Staff City Budget Medium 2007 City Staff City Budget Cost Range Year Responsible Party Funding Source $50,000 Medium 2006 City Staff/Consultant/ Georgia DCA $20,000 Low 2006 City Staff/Consultant/ Georgia DCA Part of town center/Buford Hwy overlay cost Low 2006-2008 City Staff/Consultant Not applicable Staff resources Low 2006 City Council City Budget $3,000 annual Low 2006 City Staff City Budget $2,000 Low 2006 City Staff City Budget Medium 2006 City Council City Budget Low 2006-2010 City Staff City Budget $10,000 annual Other Local Initiatives Project Name Description New town center overlay + design Regulate building location, orientation, height, bulk, parking location, mixed use, guidelines small business set aside, ground floor retail, streetscape requirments, materials, scale, banned uses. Town center area will be predominantly residential over retail and civic land uses. Public amenity design guidelines Identify preferred style of sign system, lighting, furniture, trash cans, kiosks, etc. Consistent street furniture for entire study area. Can be part of the town center overlay project. Developer development guidelines Commercial rezoning Create downtown Doraville map and circulate Create LCI plan pamphlet Create staff positions for LCI implementation Redevelopment of New Peachtree New overlay guidelines should be summarized into an easy to understand, highly graphic document to illustrate design principles to developers. Document should be downloadable from city website. Rezone properties east of Buford Highway to be a maximum of 8 stories, permit mixed use, and create a transitional height plane to single family residential. Create an illustrative, simplified map with major retail and civic destinations. Emphasize walking routes between destinations. Distribute the map at City Hall, the library, at the MARTA station and online. Update map annually. Circulate LCI pamphlet to help developers and citizens understand the LCI vision and implementation plan. Create 2 staff positions with qualified personnel to oversee LCI plan implementation. A community development director and a support person with grant-writing skills have often been used to fill this role. Prioritize early redevelopment on New Peachtree, Park, and Central corridors. Cost $60,000/ year Staff resources City Budget/Georgia DCA Office of Downtown Development City Budget/Georgia DCA Office of Downtown Develeopment DORAVILLE LCI IMPLEMENTATION PLAN Project Name Description Design gateway elements & sign Design and install gateway elements at identified locations. system for key locations Establish planning commission for A planning commission can review development proposals to ensure they are design review in overlay districts consistent with articulated design standards in overlays. The commission is purely advisory, with final decisions in the hands of city council. Planning commissions normally have monthly meetings and are staffed by citizen volunteers. Incorporate a 'Doraville International' section into existing newsletter Redevelopment of US post office parcel Acquire Flowers Park parkland Brownfield testing and mitigation Business recruitment strategy Include a section about the many cross-cultural offerings of Doraville, including restaraunts, shops, events, non-profits, education, etc. Circulate the newletter at City Hall, the library, and online. Work with USPS to promote redevelopment of this key site. Acquire current undeveloped land at northern edge of First Baptist for future park. Total park acreage approximately 1.0 acre, acquistion about 0.4 acre. Based on past land uses, compile a list of properties that may need brownfield testing. Prioritize list based on estimated risk and value for redevelopment. Work with county and US EPA to obtain resources for remediation. Develop a business recruitment strategy based on competitive advantages of location, transportation access, and international image. Consider nearby resources such as Peachtree Dekalb Airport, Emory/CDC, and the International Village. Coordinate with available property list. Buford Highway overlay + design Regulate building location and orientation, mixed use, parking requirements, guidelines buffering requirements, streetscape requirements, signage, access management, interparcel access, bulk and height, materials, etc. Police parking Construct a parking area for police and other city vehicles on current pool site. Create landscaped buffers as appropriate to encourage development along edges. Because of poor access and visibility, this site is poorly suited to other uses. Cost Cost Range Year Responsible Party Funding Source Medium 2007 City Staff City Budget Staff resources Low 2007 City Council/ City Staff City Budget Staff resources Low 2007 City Staff, APACS City Budget Revenue generating Low 2007 City Staff Not applicable $160,000 High 2008 City Council Dekalb County Greenspace, Blank Foundation Staff resources High 2008 City Staff EPA Brownfields Funds $20,000 Dekalb Economic Development, Georgia City Staff/Georgia Hispanic Chamber of Tech Economic Commerce, Korean Development Institute Chamber of Commerce, City Budget $25,000 Medium 2008 $50,000 Medium 2008 City Staff/Consultant City Budget $300,000 High 2008 City Staff City Budget DORAVILLE LCI IMPLEMENTATION PLAN Project Name Description City center parking deck Construct about 80 space parking deck between CPACS and the Police Station to replace parking lost to future Town Square Park and to meet needs of future government center. Create an entrance feature with planting design around Motors Industrial Way and I285 ramp entrances and exits. Conduct regular maintenance. Coordinate with GDOT as necessary. Move utility lines off New Relocate or bury high-voltage utility lines off New Peachtree to alternate location. Peachtree Coordinate with New Peachtree streetscape. Town Square Park Design new town square park in parking area currently between city hall, the library, and the courthouse building. Find alternative parking location such as Salvation Army or civic center for library patrons, or construct parking deck (See 'city center parking deck' project in this list). Annual Asian community day Celebrate Korean, Chinese, Vietnamese and other Asian communities in town center area. Consider organizing a joint festival with Chamblee. Annual Hispanic community day Celebrate Hispanic community in town center area. Consider joint festival with Chamblee. International shuttle Support a jointly operated shuttle between Peachtree Dekalb Airport, Chamblee MARTA, International Village, Doraville MARTA, and the proposed Gwinnett County Chinatown on Peachtree Industrial. Redevelopment of MARTA parcel Work with MARTA to redevelop key surface parking areas into mixed use with first floor retail. Select a site along New Peachtree with easy access for MARTA patrons and Doraville city staff. Sale of surplus land I Once necessary land is acquired and set aside for public facilities and parks, surplus city-owned land can be sold to promote private redevelopment of area. Possible early sites for surplus: UGA extension center, parking site east of Police Station. Public facility plans should be complete to ensure that sufficient land is in place for future public facilities. Cost Cost Range Year Responsible Party Review regulations governing taxis with public comment. Revise regulations as needed. City Budget/ Georgia DCA Downtown Development Revolving Loan Fund/CDBG Funds City Budget/GDOT Transportation Enhancement Funds $1,200,000 High 2009 City Staff $15,000 Low 2009 City Staff Unknown Medium/High 2009 City Staff/Georgia Power City Budget $250,000 Medium 2009 City Staff Dekalb County Greenspace, Blank Foundation $10,000 annual Medium 2010 City Staff/ Volunteers City Budget $10,000 annual Medium 2010 City Staff/ Volunteers City Budget $50,000 Medium 2010 Private developers Private/public partnership None Low 2010 MARTA/City Staff Not applicable Revenue generating Low 2010 City Staff/City Council Not applicable Staff resources Low 2010 City Staff Not applicable Interstate gateway Taxi regulation review Funding Source DORAVILLE LCI IMPLEMENTATION PLAN Project Name Description Cost Cost Range Year Responsible Party Funding Source $3,000,000+ High Long Term City Council/City Staff/GDOT Bonds Staff resources Low Long Term City Staff Not applicable Staff resources Low Long Term City Staff Not applicable Medium Long Term City Staff Dekalb County Greenspace, Blank Foundation High Long Term City Council/City Staff Bonds/Dekalb County/CDBG Funds Low Long Term City Staff/City Council Not applicable Medium Long Term City Staff City Budget Other Fifteen Year Projects Acquire land for new community facilities Shared parking with BellSouth Shared parking with MARTA Flowers Park Construct new consolidated government center Sale of surplus land II Relocate pool Acquire land on east side of Buford Highway for small park and community facilities. Coordinate with GDOT realignment of roadway and pedestrian crossing improvements. Establish contacts with BellSouth so that shared parking arrangements may be feasible for new office or civic development in the future. For example, BellSouth deck could be used by Doraville City Hall employees. Establish contacts with MARTA so that shared parking arrangements may be feasible during evening and weekend hours. This could be useful for future downtown festivals or restaurants. Flowers Park can be developed on the site between First Baptist and the UGA extension building, with access from New Peachtree. A pedestrian connection should be designed linking this park with the Town Square Park, possibly through the parking deck stair system. Flowers Park and the Town Square Park will form a pair of parks on facing slopes. $250,000 Consolidate mulitple government functions under one roof, such as city hall, civic center, courts, clinics, etc. at current civic center site. Build an off-site deck adjacent $8,000,000 to the police station for parking. Once necessary land is acquired and set aside for public facilities and parks, surplus city-owned land can be sold to promote private redevelopment of area. Possible sites for surplus after construction of government center: Existing city hall land, city Revenue generating court land, medical clinic land. Public facility plans should be complete to ensure that sufficient land is in place for future public facilities. Relocate pool and possibly other community facilities to east side of Buford Highway. Incorporate pedestrian and bike access into design. Undetermined City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative Appendix B Public Participation City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Kick Off Meeting June 7, 2005 Cary Reynolds Elementary School 3498 Pine Street 7:00 PM - 8:30 PM Attendance: Fifty-one citizens and stakeholders from the Doraville community signed in to the kick off meeting. In addition nine members of the consultant team were present. Introductions: Mayor Ray Jenkins kicked off the meeting. From the prime consultant EDAW, Ray Strychalski, Patrick Peters, Louis Merlin, Chao Wang, Chang Lee were introduced. From the transportation consultant Grice, John Funny, Jonathan Gelber, and Alex Geiger were introduced. From Ventana marketing, Fabricio Lopez was introduced. Urban Land Institute Smart Growth Presentation: Jim Durrett of the Urban Land Institute gave a presentation on Smart Growth. The presentation explained who belongs to the Urban Land Institute and how they define the term “Smart Growth.” Mr. Durrett explained the unintended consequences of our current growth patterns in the Atlanta region. Then he detailed the principals and objectives of Smart Growth. In particular, he explained the value of mixed-use, mixed income, and denser development in the appropriate locations. More information about the Urban Land Institute is available at www.uli.org. Overview Presentation: Pat Peters delivered an overview presentation for the Kick-Off meeting. This presentation explained the Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) program, its benefits and requirements. The presentation also detailed the phases of the plan and the opportunities for public input. Next, Mr. Peters presented a brief set of observations about the existing conditions of the study area, including an aerial photograph of the study area. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Question and Answer: During and after Mr. Peters presentation, a number of questions were asked by meeting participants. Question: What is the consultant team’s experience with Livable Centers Initiative studies? Answer: EDAW has completed four LCI studies. Grice has completed eight or more LCI studies. Question: Do projects from LCI studies actually ever get implemented? Answer: Some projects from earlier LCI studies are already under construction. Rob LeBeau of the Atlanta Regional Commmission (ARC), talked in detail about the LCI program. The ARC has set aside $500 million to fund projected from LCI studies, but rewards money to communities based on how well they have implemented their LCI study as a whole. More information about the ARC and the LCI program are available at www.atlantaregional.com. Question: How did the City of Decatur transform their community to a thriving, mixeduse community so rapidly? Answer: Actually, the City of Decatur completed its plan in the mid-1980’s and has been working on implementation consistently ever since that time. Long-term dedication to their vision is starting to create major results. Question: How should we reach out to other demographics who are not in attendance at this meeting? Answer: We are trying a number of techniques to reach out to minority communities. A member of the consulting team specializes in Hispanic markets, and he will be conducting a Spanish-only session about the LCI study. We have translated flyers and surveys into Korean, Spanish, and Chinese, and we are working on Vietnamese translations. We intend to use other forums, such as one-on-one interviews, to reach out to these communities. An online survey in multiple languages is available at: http://websurveyor.net/wsb.dll/20018/doraville-lci.htm. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Question: How will this study address illegal immigration? Answer: We are obligated to attempt to reach out to all stakeholders that are currently in the community. The study primarily addresses physical development of the community and illegal immigration will not be addressed directly. John Lee, a member of the Asian American business community, stood up and noted that there are 800 Korean businesses between Shallowford Road and Jimmy Carter. He explained that he had been working with the Dekalb County Chamber of Commerce for 10 years on a project named the “International Village,” and he urged that this project be considered as part of the LCI study. SWOT Exercise: All meeting attendees were provided four colored post-it notes. They were asked to write down one strength, one weakness, one opportunity, and one threat and post their comments on large boards for other members of the meeting to see. Meeting attendees were invited to look at other people’s comments to gain a better understanding of the multiple strengths, weakness, opportunities, and threats facing the community. Open Discussion: After the formal meeting ended, citizens, consultants, and other stakeholders broke into small informal discussions. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Attachment A - Strengths-Weaknesses, Opportunities-Threats Analysis Kick-off meeting attendees were asked to evaluate the study area within the City of Doraville for Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats. There was wide agreement on Strengths and Weaknesses, but more varying points of view on Opportunities and Threats. Strengths: –MARTA rail station, especially Doraville’s location as the end of the MARTA line and so the most accessible station for anyone north or east of Doraville. –Location - intown location with good access to other parts of Atlanta, good access to major interstates (I-285, I-85) –Transformations in Chamblee with new development present similar opportunities for Doraville –Diversity - a diverse community, with diverse businesses, services, and residents Weaknesses: –Poor pedestrian amenities, including sidewalks, safety, access, lack of trees and lack of street crossings –Poor aesthetics - especially strip malls, lack of code enforcement, lack of streetscapes, sprawl –Retail and restaraunt variety to meet the needs of all residents –Physical barriers created within the city by I-285 and Buford Highway –Lack of a downtown/destination –Current plan lacks clear goals and objectives City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Opportunities: –A livable downtown Doraville –Transit-oriented development –Increasing the participation of all the diverse cultures in place –More public spaces, such as parks, courtyards, outdoor markets, etc. –New sidewalks –New bike trails –Improved image/appearance –Better land use arrangements –New housing opportunities –New employment opportunities –New services - shops, cafes, groceries, restaraunts, gift shops Threats: –Resistance to change –Lack of community involvement –Lack of communication between different segments of the community –Lack of understanding of the LCI program by diverse segments of the community –Lack of follow through/ implementation/ enforcement –Industrial abandonment –Government condemnation of property –Traffic congestion –An exclusive/ gentrified community –Loss of existing greenspace City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Community Workshop July 21, 2005 Doraville Civic Center 3700 Central Avenue 7:00 PM - 9:00 PM Attendance: Forty five stakeholders attended the workshop. There was strong representation from both the residential and the business community, as well as good representation from several minority communities. Six consultants were available to present material, answer questions, and conduct workshop exercises. A few media outlets were present, including a local Korean TV station. Introductions: Mayor Ray Jenkins kicked off the meeting by welcoming participants. Pat Peters introduced steering committee members in attendance, elected officials, and the consultant team. Existing Conditions Presentation: The existing conditions presentation set the ground for the participant exercises later in the workshop. The complete presentation is available in Adobe Acrobat Reader format on the EDAW ftp website. From www.edaw.com/ftp, select “Public Folders,” then “Atlanta,”, then “DoravilleLCI,” then “Community Workshop.” The presentation can then be selected for download. The topics covered in the presentation were the following: Demographics Residents Employment Existing Land Use (including map) Existing Zoning Transportation Major roads, traffic volumes, & congestion Safety Pedestrian Issues Public Transit Planned Projects City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Urban Design Real Estate Market Residential Rental Residential For Sale Retail - Occupancy and new construction Organizational resources of City of Doraville Mixed Use Transit Oriented Development Types of Transit Oriented Development Question and Answer: During and after Mr. Peters presentation, a number of questions were asked by meeting participants. Question: Can we look to Brookhaven as a model for Transit-Oriented Development? Answer: Yes, the Brookhaven transit station is comparible in many ways. However Brookhaven has experienced development pressure not just because of its proximity to a MARTA station, but also because of its proximity to high-end residential neighborhoods. Also, the Brookhaven MARTA station is not very pedestrian friendly. Question: Is the development that is currently going on in Chamblee spurred by their LCI? Answer: Yes, much of the development that is currently happening in Chamblee does appear to be spurred by their LCI plan and their actions taken to implement their LCI plan, including the creation of new zoning categories. Question: Many tractor-trailers travel on I-285 and Buford Highway. Will this inhibit redevelopment in Doraville? Answer: Because Buford Highway is a major arterial, tractor-trailers and trucks will continue to use it for transportation. However redevelopment is still possible on Buford Highway, as well as on other roads that experience less truck traffic. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Question: Greenspace was not mentioned as part of the study. I do not want to see Doraville become a concrete jungle. Answer: Increasing greenspace and other kinds of public space is a goal of the LCI study. By promoting redevelopment of existing developed properties, the LCI study seeks to promote development while decreasing environmental impacts. Question: Are pedestrian bridges across Buford Highway a possibility? Answer: Our experience is that pedestrian bridges are rarely used voluntarily because of the extra time and effort involved. Also pedestrian bridges are sometimes misused. It is possible that a pedestrian bridge could be appropriate for a very specific situation, but we will probably recommend using other techniques to make Buford Highway safer to cross. Question: Are there any hotels in the study area? Answer: Yes, there is currently a Comfort Inn on Clearview Avenue. A new hotel could be part of the LCI redevelopment proposal if appropriate to the overall goals and themes of the study. Participant Exercises: Next, the Community Workshop broke out into three tables to work on a variety of planning exercises. Each table had a parcel map of the study area. Participants were able to propose new land uses, the location of civic facilities, new parks, new roads, streetscape improvements, and bike paths on these maps. Also, other general comments about how the study area should redevelop were encouraged. At the end of this exercise, each table reported out to the group, with a volunteer from each table explaining the main ideas of that table. A summary of the ideas and proposals from each table is provided below. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Table Ideas and Proposals: Table 3 -Create a destination and a town square -Redevelop civic uses and pool -Create greenspace centered on creek -Bicycle lanes are needed on New Peachtree & Shallowford -MARTA parking lot is not inviting -Encourage high density residential between commercial and low density residential east of Buford Highway -Increase connections between Buford Highway and New Peachtree -Redevelop Pinetree Plaza into high density commercial -Place mixed use in front of MARTA station Table 2 -Create a destination and a town square -Redevelop civic uses and pool and create new green space -Promote mixed use along New Peachtree south of MARTA station -Buford Highway should remain low density commercial -Promote high density residential to the south of the study area -Increase access management -Create a greenway buffer with paths between commercial and single family residential uses -Create a green streetscape along Buford Highway -Increase connections between Buford Highway and New Peachtree Table 1 -Create greenspace in floodplains and drainage ways -Develop mixed use 3-4 stories with residential above shops along New Peachtree -High-end mixed use development at the high lands north of Central Avenue -Encourage mixed income/affordable housing development -Allow Buford Highway to have the same uses (restaurants) but move buildings up and parking back, add plantings and greenery and reduce access points for safer & better traffic flow -Place a civic center and plaza in center of town City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Open House October 26, 2005 Doraville Civic Center 3770 Central Avenue 6:00 PM - 9:00 PM Attendance: Forty-nine citizens and stakeholders from the Doraville community signed in to the kick off meeting. It is estimated that over eighty stakeholders were in attendance, with a particularly good representation from the Korean community. In addition six members of the consultant team were present. Open House Format: The Open House format allowed stakeholders to become familiar with the background and the proposals of the Doraville LCI study at their own pace. Boards illustrated the planning process, proposed land use changes, proposed streetscapes for New Peachtree and Buford Highway, the town center concept, and a 3-D image of the overall LCI plan. Also, two boards allowed stakeholders to ‘vote’ for their most favored projects (see Exercise Results below). Consultants were available to answer questions and listen to stakeholder comments. Stakeholder Issues: A variety of issues and concerns were brought up by stakeholders in attendance. Several people present favored a sign ordinance to improve the image of Buford Highway. Many Korean business owners spoke out against the idea of medians on Buford Highway. Safety on Buford Highway was also a major concern, particularly the problem of trucks overturning on the entrance and exit ramps of I-285 and Buford Highway. A few citizens were concerned about the expense of the proposed demolition of existing civic facilities and construction of new civic facilities. Several developers were in attendance, and were interested in integrating their development ideas into the LCI plan. Other stakeholders were interested in how they can be involved in the implementation of the LCI plan. Exercise Results: Stakeholders were each given $100 to spend on any of ten projects. By adding up the total of all stakeholders’ money spent on each project, the most popular projects become apparent. Overall, all of the streetscape projects were popular, with the most popular project being streetscaping for Buford Highway. The design overlays for the town center area and for Buford Highway were the second most popular set of projects. The Doraville town center green and Doraville Gardens project was also well supported. Two write-in projects were proposed by stakeholders: 1) Sidewalks connecting Tilly Mill to the elementary school 2) Rerouting tanker trucks away from Buford Highway and Longmire Road Spend $100 on the following project list to help prioritize LCI implementation Project Name Buford Highway Streetscape Project Description Budget $1,140 Install street trees every 30' on building side of sidewalk with property owner permission. New Buford Highway overlay + Regulate urban design issues along the Buford Highway corridor including building location design guidelines and orientation, mixed use, parking requirements, buffering requirements, streetscape requirements, signage, access management, interparcel access, materials, etc. New Peachtree Streetscapes Primary Streetscape. Sidewalks, ramps, lighting, trees, benches, garbage cans, etc. Reconfigure New Peachtree to allow parallel parking in the 4-lane area during non-peak hours. Park Avenue and Central Primary Streetscape. Sidewalks, ramps, lighting, trees, benches, garbage cans, etc. Avenue Streetscapes $500 Doraville Gardens and Neighborhood Connection. Acquire land for a new passive greenspace park in the Doraville Town Center Area. Connect neighborhoods east of Buford Highway to this area with an extension of Oakmont Street. Design and develop Doraville Gardens park, including adjacent roadways and Regulate urban design issues in the town center area including building location, orientation, height, bulk, parking location, mixed use, ground floor retail, streetscape requirements, materials, architectural style. Town center area will predominantly be Consolidate city facilities into a single, central, architecturally prominent building at the top of Central Avenue. Use the existing City Hall location to create a new town square with greenspace and public gathering space. Design and construct new, expanded library on lands east of Buford Highway. Also place pool in this area. Include an open space element fronting Buford Highway in design. Incorporate pedestrian and bike access from neighborhoods into design. Relocate high-voltage utility lines off New Peachtree, possibly burying the utility lines. Coordinate with New Peachtree Streetscape Project. $360 International Shuttle Support a jointly operated shuttle between PDK, Chamblee MARTA, International Village, Doraville MARTA, and the proposed Gwinnett County Chinatown $70 Other Project Please write down the project you would like to fund on a 3x5" card and the amount you would like to set aside for that project. New town center overlay + design guidelines Town Square Development Library and Pool Relocation Project New Peachtree Road Utility Relocation $470 $390 $330 $280 $260 $180 1) Sidewalks connecting Tilly Mill to elementary school $40; 2) Reroute tanker trucks away from Buford Highway and Longmire Road - $50 Complete project list is available for review in the draft LCI report under the Action Plan section. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Online Survey Summary 1. What are your areas of knowledge or interest related to the Livable Centers Initiative (i.e. land use, economic development, transportation, etc.)? Stakeholder Type • Homeowner • Employee Primary interest • Interested in city center revitalization • Interest in more mainstream services • Transportation • Land use • Buford Highway improvements/front door • Real estate • Community services • Business opportunities • Multi-cultural access to community services • Aestethics • Safety 2. • • • • • • • • • • • • What recent events or activities or upcoming plans should we consider while working on the plan? (i.e. Major developments, new businesses, new schools, new public facilities, etc.) Dekalb’s long range plans – no specifics GM possible plant closing and possible fiscal impact on the City of Doraville I-285 transit proposals Current moratorium on development Chamblee developments and revitalization Chamblee International Village Duluth China Town Buford Highway Transit Dekalb DOT proposal for Shallowford & New Peachtree Sidewalk proposal for Buford Hwy Brownfield meetings General demand for living ‘inside the perimeter’ 3. • • • • • • • • • What are the main obstacles to redevelopment in the study area? Lack of vision, lack of clear goals and objectives IIII Flight path of Peachtree Dekalb Airport causes height limits Perception of immigrant-only business environment Poor public schools Best land taken by low-density government buildings Brownfields & industrial sites Opposition to change Land assemblage Poor aesthetics and image City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission 4. What are the different stakeholder groups that use the Doraville MARTA station, and how could their needs be better met both at the station and with redevelopment around the station? Stakeholders • People going downtown and to the airport • People going to events • Commuters, especially from Gwinnett • Bellsouth employees • People without access to a car • Immigrants • Most people who own homes/cars do not use station • Bus to rail riders • Park and ride users • Walk and ride users Station Improvements • Need for clean restrooms • Better cleanliness, especially of elevator • Clock • Better orientation • Improved transit service (reliability of trains) • Transit line extensions • Good place for taxi drivers exists • Improved access/egress • Better sidewalks with connections to Buford Highway • Hard to find a parking space • Greenspace or open space near the station Redevelopment • Doraville should be a destination, where transit commuters spend time • Restaurants within walking distance • Attractive shopping areas • Coffee shops and bars • Convenience shops for transit users • Breakfast shop • Groceries City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission 5. • • • • • • • • • • • • • Are there any examples of Transit Oriented Development that you are familiar with that you feel can serve as models for the Doraville study area? (i.e. Lindbergh, Decatur, etc.) Decatur, Georgia (most popular) Chamblee – MidCity district Lindbergh Center Atlantic Station Washington DC area Do not want to be a carbon copy. Brunswick, Georgia Wolfenbuttel Germany Hanover, Germany Eat and shop in the transit station Lincoln, NE Bloomington, IN Shuttle buses between neighborhoods and shopping in Gatlinburg TN 6. In your opinion, what would be the necessary outcome for you to consider this plan ning effort a success? Redevelopment • Clear goals of what we want Doraville to look like in the future • An economically feasible redevelopment plan, achievable in phases • Live/work development with sidewalks, shops, and restaraunts • Redevelopment • Would not cost the taxpayers money unless they benefit from it • Improved shopping and restaurant options • Agree on an exciting plan with support from property owners, users, government, the ARC, and developers Services • Provide goods and services to all Doraville’s residents without catering to special interests • New businesses that serve commuters and the community • Publix or Kroger in Doraville Transportation • Transportation improvements • Improvements to Buford Highway – streetscape, trees, etc • More transportation alternatives • Traffic calming • Easy access to MARTA for commuter & local businesses • Making it safe for pedestrians on Buford Hwy Destination • Destination/sense of downtown/sense of community • Doraville should become a place you would want to stop on your way to somewhere else. • Focus on citizen involvement • New greenspace in the town center area City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission 7. • • • • • • • • Which of these issues do you consider most important? Economic development and redevelopment IIIIIIII Pedestrian improvements & public realm improvements IIIIII Future land use III Public-private cooperation II Increase residential options Better housing across all incomes Replace old industrial with redevelopment Limiting expenses to taxpayers 8. What strategies do you suggest for addressing these issues? Organizational • Hire city manager • Work closely with other cities (i.e. Chamblee) • Economic development team for GM plant • Develop a citizen panel to oversee implementation Public Process • Continue public meetings and meet with private land owners • Make it easy to participate by using the library and Hispanic community institutions Planning & Redevelopment • Create a redevelopment plan • Revise land use ordinances to mirror improvements in Dekalb County’s ordinances • More mixed use development • Elderly friend design codes • Need new condominium development • Well planned mixed use development with public input • Finding quality developers willing to take risk on a grander scale • Provide an attractive, safe, strolling, dining and shopping environment. Living and shopping within a 10 minute walk. Pubic Improvements • Streetscape & bikelanes for Buford Highway • Seek state and regional funds for transportation improvements • Increase transit connectivity with new routes • Traffic light coordination and sensor improvements • Sidewalk improvements in downtown area • Pool improvements • New common green • Trolley down Buford Highway • Transit connection to Northlake mall area • Make signs in Spanish too Financial • Tax incentives for new development City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission 9. • • • • • • • • • What kinds of new residential development would be suitable for the study area? Condominiums/lofts IIIIII Townhomes – like those between Chamblee Tucker and Henderson Mill Road - IIII Mixed use development III Apartments – preference for higher end, garden apartments, midrise II Retail over residential Higher density single family Green development Trade off density for brownfield cleanup Movie theatre, grocery stores, community activity center 10. What kinds of new employment or business opportunities would be suitable for the study area? Employment • Office over retail III • Office near MARTA • International fashion, design, import/export, IT, biotech • Services businesses • Trade schools • Service sector, software • Software businesses • Employment opportunities Services • Restaurants IIIIII • Grocery store II • Businesses that serve resident homeowners • Shops – flower shop, book stores, groceries, pharmacies, shoe shops, newstands, office supply, doctors, etc. • Things people walk to • Professional offices (legal, medical) • Retail strip centers that are not exclusively ethnic City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission 11. Where or what kind of public space improvements are most needed in the study area (parks, plazas, public markets, bus shelters, etc.) Urban Design Features • All of the above • Doraville identity builder • Gateway features • Consistent street lights and fencing • Landscaping by businesses • Make public safety building look and feel user friendly Pedestrian • Pedestrian improvements • Sidewalks in residential areas • Sidewalks and street plantings on Buford Highway • Sidewalks • Bike trails Parks • • • • • • Parks II Park for kids to play in Plaza with fountains and a nice place to relax Pocket parks Parks for rest and recreation Are people using existing parks? Why or why not? Other • • • • • New bus shelters III New community center Pool improvements Bandstand Arbor with vines City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission 12. How is the government center area currently used, and how could it be changed to better serve the needs of Doraville residents? Government Center Changes • Consolidate buildings and create a city center for activities IIII • Land is too valuable for these facilities – relocate III • Move everything up the hill across from the library • Could be changed into a more condensed space with sidewalks, streetlamps, store fronts • Waste of space, underused • Place police closer to MARTA, disburse police facilities • This area is not at all inviting and not of the people • More parking for court house • Improve and maintain pool area • Community center suitable for art shows, weddings, etc. • Should be more pedestrian friendly • Library is very underfunded, needs better and more materials and events. • The government area is very nice • Make the post office a true community post office • All of this is the wrong location. 13. • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • What do you think about the Buford Highway corridor and its role in relation to the rest of Doraville? Vital part of Doraville. Helps Doraville be a transportation hub. A disgrace. No sidewalks, too much traffic, no pattern to development. Incorporate a Doraville look on Buford Hwy. New urbanism should not be applied to Buford Hwy because it is auto-oriented and road capacity should not be limited. Buford Hwy is our front door to our neighborhoods. It is ugly and a detriment to further growth. Excessive signage, safety issues, large parking lots. Ugly. It is the spine and major roadway. Poor image for the city. High traffic, high visibility, high entertainment value. Should be an entertainment overlay zone with high buildings. Tacky. Make it a showplace instead of an eyesore. Excellent location for growth and cultivation Doraville should highlight the diversity of the area and market it. It’s a very good but ugly business community Needs vast improvement It’s the main artery of Doraville and needs help I think that this area is not very attractive. It causes people from other areas not to come to Doraville to shop and eat. Some people don’t feel safe around Buford Hwy. It is a speedway. Plant it, put in sidewalks, slow it down. One of the MOST detering factors for people considering living in Doraville Buford Highway could be made more presentable with landscaping center islands, cross walks, trees, sidewalks, signage improvements. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission 14. • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • What other people should we talk to in order to gather relevant information? Please provide any contact information you have. David Berears Look to other cities as models – Austin, Denver, Lincoln NE, Kansas City Shop owners and others who work in the area GM plant manager Halpern enterprises School principals and PTA leaders MARTA riders Marvin Hancock with First Intercontinental Bank Residents from before the 80’s who remember historic Buford Hwy Harold Shin (Buford Highway Farmer’s Market) Jack Halpern (Pine Tree Market) John Gordon (Dekalb Economic Development) Talk to the youth of the city Talk to the citizens of Doraville. Business owners School parents City of Tucker and Chamblee 15. • • • • • • • • • What documents or websites should we review to gather information for the plan? City of Doraville website Buford Hwy website NNA30340@yahoogroups.com DVPG30340@yahoogroups.com Unofficial city site Northwoods Neighorhood Association Yahoo Group ULI Ten Points to TOD Successful Infill Development Look at Chamblee and Decatur as models Look at Atlanta’s redevelopment plans Agency Point of View Doraville Town Center LCI Hispanic Focus Group After the Focus Group session, we have audited and reviewed the tapes with the coinciding questions used in the group. Based on the information compiled from the questionnaires and discussions we have drawn the following conclusions: All participants are very interested with the development and improvement of the current conditions of their city, especially on the related to the following subjects: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Transportation Land Use Economic Development Lifestyle & Safety Appearance Racial Issues The condensed opinions from this focus group study are listed below in order of relevance for the participants: 1. Transportation Doraville is in general a great area to live for Hispanics since is well located and the transportation options to destinations outside Doraville are plentiful. There are clear concerns related to the frequency of the MARTA trains over the weekend since they still work or run errands on weekends. Most participants agree that they like the fact that they can walk to most places in Doraville, like stores, bus stops, Marta, etc. The great majority of participants live in Doraville but work somewhere else, most of these workers don’t know where they will end up working on a given day and they like the fact that their employers can drop them at a Marta location and they can come to the very center of Doraville. 10 out of 12 people in the group agreed that the location and transportation options made them choose Doraville as their place to live. Most participants agree that they would use bicycles if there were more paths to go to the main areas, currently they think it is too dangerous and there is no driver awareness of bicycle use in the area. 90 EAST Crossville Road– Roswell, GA 30075 – Phone 770-841-9969 www.ventanamktg.com All participants agree that: • All pedestrian areas are “bad” • Traffic signals are NOT timed for pedestrians. A lady with children or an older person can NOT possibly cross the street (Buford Hwy) in such short time. • Vehicular right turns are especially dangerous for pedestrians since drivers will turn even when the pedestrian light is green for people to cross the street. • Bicycle paths are VERY important since they can’t get Driver’s Licenses • Bus stops could be better equipped so they can find shelter from the weather while they wait for the bus. • Taxis are too many and too expensive. Anybody can get a permit from the city to stick a sign an ANY car and become a taxi service. • Taxis are not regulated properly and they abuse the users. • The bus service is good during the week but not on weekends • The new bus service “Royal” is much better than all the others. • Buses should go to the residential areas Some participant’s comments: “I live here because it is much closer to everywhere and because of the transportation. Here we’re in the middle of everything and we have the I-285, the I85 and MARTA” “I moved from Chamblee to Doraville, I have been working for many years on a construction company and I don’t have a Driver’s License therefore I go to work in the morning to the company and from there we go to the work locations that can be in many areas of Atlanta or Alpharetta or any other place. From the work location I can take a Bus and then take Marta straight here to Doraville, that’s is why I moved to Doraville, when I lived somewhere else I had to take a taxi… like the other lady said, here everything is at hand and you can take ‘transportation’ much easier and quicker” “I guess I can walk from school to Marta twice a day but one day I had to go to the airport and that was a big problem… Marta is great and it goes all the way to the Airport, but my problem is how to get from my house to Marta” 2. Land Use Some participants commented on the fact that there are too many “Used car dealerships” they suggested the city should stop giving so many permits to these types of businesses and allocate the land to a big superstore like Wal-Mart or Target. Participants also mentioned the lack of other services like pharmacies or Hospitals (Clinics) in the region. All participants agree that there are many small stores but not a major store where you can do a one-stop shopping like Wal-Mart. They also expressed that because of the nature of their jobs they need stores that are open 24 hours. All participants agreed that residential options should be changed; most of them cannot buy a house and feel the need for more apartments. 90 EAST Crossville Road– Roswell, GA 30075 – Phone 770-841-9969 www.ventanamktg.com They also agreed that people that owns a house, town-home or condominium take better care of the property; opposite to renters and transient people that don’t care about the property and the image of the area in general. All participants agree that some sort of ‘public image’ regulations should be implemented to avoid this problem. Some participant’s comments: “I believe that because Hispanics cannot get a Driver’s License -and we are many here in Doraville- there should be a good medical center here in Doraville, instead of so many used car dealerships” “Many of us come here to work ‘temporarily’ and we are not interested in buying a house” (it is more convenient for us to have apartments). 3. Economic Development All participants believe that the city grants permits to ‘anybody’ that requests one and this affects the economic development of the area. For example there are too many taxis and too many used car dealerships. Excessive taxis and lack of users creates a bad environment and pushes the prices higher. The taxi drivers and company owners are the ones loosing at the end since the business can not be profitable this way. For all participants, Doraville is a residential area, a place where they all return to rest and sleep. They all expressed that there’s no jobs in Doraville, maybe a big store like Wal-Mart will offer some job opportunities for Hispanics in the area. 4. Lifestyle & Safety All participants agree that: • • • • • • • Doraville is a place to live; most of them don’t work here and perceive the city as a tranquil place to live. They relate tranquility with ‘safety’ (which is common from Hispanic immigrants coming from politically unstable countries). The added safety is due to the proximity the City Hall and the gas station but it’s not the same in the rest of the city in General. They like the fact that they can find their foods and products from many Latin-American countries at hand, they can easily go to restaurants, markets, beauty salons, etc. Would hope to see more parks and green areas where both kids and adults can play. They would love to see some of those gray and ugly looking car dealerships gone and instead have some nice park where they can go to have fun and relax. The parks should offer some activities that take kids away from drug addictions. Not all Hispanics play soccer, so parks should offer other alternatives for recreations and sports. 90 EAST Crossville Road– Roswell, GA 30075 – Phone 770-841-9969 www.ventanamktg.com Not one in the group knew the existence of a pool near the City Hall and all believed the existing park is a private property because is always closed or only used by leagues or sport teams with uniforms. It was also expressed by a few that the City Hall employees are all old people and that new blood is needed; we need younger people with a fresh point of view that can make some important changes in the City. Some participant’s comments: “Here in Doraville we have more security than in other places, like Chamblee, where nobody can walk at night and will get beat and robbed, I have lived here in Doraville for 1 year and I live in tranquility” “They should have green areas in commercial zones so you can go shopping and stay around, rest in a park, eat, etc… The should also make the parks and gardens more appealing not only for children but also for adults and Senior citizens, you should be able to exercise, ride a bicycle, skate and enjoy the street, because the street is not only for transportation it is also good to live your life and enjoy” “They say that Hispanics don’t exercise, we love to exercise but where? The parks where there’s only a small area with 3 swings? We need an area where to exercise (soccer fields or so) because the gyms are too expensive for us”. 5. Appearance All participants agreed that: • The general area looks ugly and disorganized • There’s no plants, trees, it is all full of businesses • There’s no uniformity on the streets on the commercial areas, the signs are all different, with all colors, sizes and styles. • They believe this can be consider “visual contamination” • They should improve the public lights to increase safety and better appearance. • Traffic signals need to be re-organized • More pedestrian areas needed • Less businesses and more trees needed • More green areas needed Some participant’s comments: “if you want that companies make investments in Doraville there must be a drastic change” “There has to be limits, there has to be measures, if you announce something. For example, if my storefront is 8’ x 8’ I should not be able to put a sign that is 12’ x 10’.” “When you’re coming here from the 109 or 104 streets you get into Doraville and it looks ugly, horrible” “When I tell people that I live in Doraville they think it is a dangerous area because the way it looks” 90 EAST Crossville Road– Roswell, GA 30075 – Phone 770-841-9969 www.ventanamktg.com 6. Racial Issues Participants think that the government does not pay enough attention to Doraville because it is full of Hispanics; they see other areas well developed with pedestrian areas and well organized. Some participant’s comments: “In the ‘white’ areas they have it all, they have pedestrian zones, including areas where to ride in a bicycle and the people respects the bicycles” “There’s racism here, they only care to give tickets and fines to the Hispanics” Recommendations 1. Transportation a. Determine if MARTA trains can offer more frequency during the weekend. b. Plan pedestrian and bicycle areas for the area c. Plan improvements for traffic signals and their timing for pedestrians. d. Plan improvement for Bus stops with shelters. e. Suggest to the City of Doraville more regulations for Taxi companies f. Study new routes that can better service the residential areas 2. Land Use a. Initiate conversations with City Hall to reduce or control “Used Car Dealerships” b. Investigate the possibility of a large store coming into the City and communicate these efforts to all minorities. c. Suggest the development of more apartments in residential or mixed use areas 3. Economic Development a. Encourage private investment that can generate jobs in the area. b. Control Used Car Dealerships and abusive practices c. Control Taxi companies and permits 4. Lifestyle & Safety a. Plan more pedestrian and bicycle areas b. Plan more green areas and parks c. Plan more organized activities at parks to avoid drug-addiction in youth d. Promote or better inform citizens on current recreational areas 5. Appearance a. Plan for pedestrian zones with trees and green areas b. Regulate signage for businesses c. Regulate Taxi companies and their appearance d. Regulate Used car Dealerships and their appearance 6. Racial Issues a. Reach out to all citizens with a solid communications effort promoting all the positive aspects of a diverse society and the potential socio-economic benefits that this can bring to the city. This will enhance the understanding and tolerance among different racial groups and different nationalities. Ventana Marketing Atlanta, Georgia – August 2005 90 EAST Crossville Road– Roswell, GA 30075 – Phone 770-841-9969 www.ventanamktg.com City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Korean Focus Group Summary August 20, 2005 Center for Pan Asian Community Services 3760 Park Avenue 5:00PM-7:00PM Moderators: John Lee Consultant Staff: Pat Peters, Chang-Keun Lee Attendees: Jung O Yoon Chaiwon Kim Sung Min Kang Seong S. Shin Jenny Hwang Sookhee Cho Michelle Park Young Shinn Moon Kim Jay Park Chiwoon Oh Do Hyun Kim City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Online Survey Summary 1. What are your areas of knowledge or interest related to the Livable Centers Initiative (i.e. land use, economic development, transportation, etc.)? Stakeholder Type • Business Owner • Employee Primary interest • Economic development • Business opportunities • City facilities/amenities upgrade • Land Use • Transportation • Safety (area known for crime) • Public and private land use • Pedestrian traffic opportunities • Green space utilization • Interested in city center revitalization • Real estate 2. • What recent events or activities or upcoming plans should we consider while working on the plan? (i.e. Major developments, new businesses, new schools, new public facilities, etc.) No responses 3. • • • • What are the main obstacles to redevelopment in the study area? City of Doraville’s public policy (wants the policies nice and smoother for transitions) Resident’s opposition (vs. business owners regarding the size of business) Policy against Korean community Policies that hinder small business growth/development 4. What are the different stakeholder groups that use the Doraville MARTA station, and how could their needs be better met both at the station and with redevelopment around the station? Stakeholders • People going downtown and to the airport • Immigrants • Bus to rail riders • Park and ride users • Walk and ride users Station Improvements • Safety • Improved access/egress • Convenient/safe transportation • Convenient shopping locations • Pedestrian friendly City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission 5. • 6. Are there any examples of Transit Oriented Development that you are familiar with that you feel can serve as models for the Doraville study area? (i.e. Lindbergh, Decatur, etc.) No responses • • • In your opinion, what would be the necessary outcome for you to consider this plan ning effort a success? Involvement with public – understanding its concern Satisfying business people will lead to growth of small business Cooperation from every sector of community 7. • • • • • • • • • • • Which of these issues do you consider most important? Economic development and redevelopment – IIIII I Pedestrian improvements & public realm improvements - IIII Future land use - IIIII Public-private cooperation – II Increase residential options Better housing across all incomes Replace old industrial with redevelopment Improving transportation alternative – II Increasing internal mobility – I Improving regional transit – I Develop into a multi-cultural area - I 8. • • • What strategies do you suggest for addressing these issues? Continue public meetings and discussions (involving business owners) to solve/note problems when they arise More frequent bus lines Safer crossing across Buford Highway 9. • • • • What kinds of new residential development would be suitable for the study area? Condominiums/lofts - I Mixed use development - II Townhouses - I Apartments – preference for higher end - II 10. What kinds of new employment or business opportunities would be suitable for the study area? Services • Large shopping malls City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission 11. Where or what kind of public space improvements are most needed in the study area (parks, plazas, public markets, bus shelters, etc.) Urban Design Features • All of the above • Korean community centre • Community service center • More bus stops 12. How is the government center area currently used, and how could it be changed to better serve the needs of Doraville residents? • Police station, city hall, recreation center, swimming pool, community center – currently used • Need a more distinguished community service center to accommodate the wide and varying ethnic population of Doraville • People use the recreational facilities • Community sports competition • Minorities need more access to the area (not minority friendly) • Serve the need when occasions arise for community meetings 13. • • • 14. What do you think about the Buford Highway corridor and its role in relation to the rest of Doraville? Vital part of Doraville. Helps Doraville be a transportation hub. Everything - center, main street, feeds the whole community, integral to Doraville’s success now and in the future An important commercial area that serves the community’s convenience • • • • • • What other people should we talk to in order to gather relevant information? Please provide any contact information you have. GDOT ARC City of Doraville officials Talk to the citizens of Doraville – focus groups Korean business organizational groups Korean private developers 15. • • What documents or websites should we review to gather information for the plan? Korean newspapers Press release Other Comments/Discussion Topics • No raised medians!! – this will kill small businesses along the corridor as happened along Memorial Drive and Jimmy Carter Boulevard, no skybridges • More small business space needed - over 1,000 small Korean business owners on Buford Highway • Continue work with DeKalb Chamber of Commerce on international village concept, federal grant money not received for initial concept • Tax abatement as a redevelopment incentive, easier access to streamlined process for small business loans City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Other Comments/Discussion Topics • No increase in side setbacks between commercial properties • Would like another public meeting involving GDOT, ARC, consultants and all communities before October open house meeting City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Chinese Focus Group Summary August 19, 2005 Doraville Civic Center 3700 Central Avenue 3:00PM-5:00PM Moderators: Pat Peters Consultant Staff: Pat Peters, Chaozhong Wang Attendees: Frank Ma Johnny Koo Anthony Wong Jack Bai City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Other Comments/Discussion Topics • Knowing the Mayor’s vision for the City would be helpful, need excitement, vision to accomplish • Additional sidewalks would be helpful • There are too many auto body shops along New Peachtree Road. It can be designed with more shops, beautiful sidewalks • Lack of green space in the study area • Signage needs to be better designed to help with wayfinding. Multi-language signs are a plus, but need better, more rigid design standards like Gwinnett County • How serious is the city about redevelopment? Do they have any stimulus for the redevelopment, such as tax exemptions, abatements, etc.? Is there any land in the study area for development or redevelopment? • Where is the city at in terms of comprehensive planning (documents and maps)? • The design should contribute to the safety of the area and contribute to people staying in the area after work hours • More design thought should be put into creating a character for the city • Look at Sugarland development in Houston, Texas • Need to look at senior housing • Would like to see police statistics, is there a lot of crime or just perception of crime? City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Steering Committee Meeting Minutes June 2, 2005 10:00AM - 12:00PM Attendance: Chai Won Kim, Steering Committee Sam Letson, Steering Committee Alan Malcom, Steering Committee Susan Fraysse, Steering Committee Scott Pendergrast, Steering Committee Ray Jenkins, Mayor Jason Anavitarte, City Council Marlene Hadden, City Council Betty Cloer, City Clerk Ellen Heath, EDAW Pat Peters, EDAW Louis Merlin, EDAW John Funny, Grice Jonathan Gelber, Grice Alex Geiger, Grice Fabricio Lopez, Ventana Marketing Introductions: Everyone in attendance introduced themselves to the group. Steering Committee Responsibilities: Pat Peters discussed the role of the steering committee and handed out the steering committee packet. He also handed out a sheet with contact information and asked those in attendance to verify their contact information. Key Issues Discussion: Every member of the steering committee and several others in attendance were asked to write down their top four issues regarding the study area. These issues were then discussed briefly at the meeting. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission The following list summarizes the main issues discussed at the meeting: • Completion of sidewalks along Buford Highway south of I-285. Participant said that funding has been allocated for this, but sidewalks have not come for many years. • Need for a stoplight at Chestnut and Buford Highway • Better pedestrian access to MARTA • Zoning criteria for new construction, like Brookhaven & Chamblee • Town center identity • Mixed-use zoning • Brownfield reclamation • Balacing industry and small businesses • Wider sidewalks • Traffic calming • Green building and recycling standards • Pedestrian connections • Orientation signs • Lack of a town center & gathering places • No planning commission and no useable plan • Lack of attractive shops and streetscapes • No bike paths • Places to walk for exercise • City with little charm, need street appeal to attract businesses and residents • Attracting a grocery store • Shopping areas need to be a destination, i.e. Chamblee antique village, a place where you can park and walk. • Need to shape the image of the city • Pedestrian safety • Smart development • Embrace diversity, can’t leave people out • Lack of language access for Asian community • Homelessness • Social services - embracing diversity and serving people • Dekalb County’s project to widen New Peachtree sidewalks • Attract mainstream retail businesses • Eye appeal, image • Park improvements • Translating plan publicity materials into Vietnamese • Concern about adequate publicity and turnout to public meetings • Publicizing meetings in Asian language newspapers • Improvements and regulation to taxi service • Improving design aesthetics of new development • Integrating greenspace into commercial areas • Pedestrian friendly shopping • An attractive community center • Improvements to the swimming pool • Library is too small • Improving access to training at the Goodwill Center and at the Latin American Center • The need for separate outreach to Korean, Chinese, and Vietnamese communities • Publicity through the unofficial Doraville website City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative Overview of June 7, 2005 Public Meeting: Pat Peters reviewed the draft version of the presentation for the first public meeting. It was noted that one of the councilmember names was out of date and needed correction. No other changes to the presentation were proposed. Conclusion: The meeting was concluded with an invitation for steering committee members to talk to the consulting staff individually about other concerns. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Steering Committee Meeting Minutes Doraville City Hall July 15, 2005 10:00AM - 12:00PM Attendance: Chai Won Kim, Steering Committee Glenn Carracappa, Steering Committee Scott Pendergrast, Steering Committee Jason Anavitarte, City Council Ed Lowe, City Council Ellen Heath, EDAW Pat Peters, EDAW Louis Merlin, EDAW Jonathan Gelber, Grice Alex Geiger, Grice Update: Pat Peters provided an update on LCI plan activities. Pat briefly reviewed the Kick Off Meeting, which he noted was well-attended and received an enthusiastic response. Pat also talked about the Hispanic Focus Group meeting, online survey results to date, and ongoing stakeholder interviews. The online survey will continue to remain available until July 21. Steering Committee Comments: Members of the steering committee and others in attendance provided several comments. It was noted that even those roads that link directly to the MARTA station, Park and Central, lack sidewalks. Another steering committee member requested that focus groups be held for the Korean, Chinese, and Vietnamese communities. It was noted that these communities do not have a tradition of public participation and some members of these communities have limited English speaking ability. A focus group for a specific community held in their native language would be the best way to ensure participation by these minority communities. Pat said he would look into the possibility of focus group meetings for these communities. Meeting attendees said that most of the feedback from the neighborhood was positive about the Kick Off Meeting and the LCI planning process, and that there was a general sense of excitement that physical improvements would be coming to the city. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Community Workshop: Pat handed out a draft of the presentation that will be used at the Community Workshop and asked that comments on the presentation be provided in the next couple of days. Also, it was explained that the community would be able to create a ‘blue sky’ plan for land use and transporation for the study area during the workshop. Maps were presented that would be used to orient workshop participants and which would be used to illustrate a future plan for the study area. Transportation Update: Jonathan Gelber of GRICE reviewed transportation findings to date. He noted that the main transporation issues include vehicular and pedestrian safety, barriers to connectivity, and congestion. Jonathan explained that most of the congestion on Buford Highway is not due to lack of capacity but due to the poor functioning of intersections and the high number of access points to the corridor. He also noted the poor condition of pedestrian facilities in the area. Jonathan also discussed transportation projects that are already planned for the study area. New sidewalks for Buford Highway are programmed and are expected within a few years. Also an intersection improvement for New Peachtree and Shallowford is anticipated. In the longer term, Bus Rapid Transit services, a kind of higher-speed bus service, is planned for Lindbergh to Doraville and Cumberland to Perimeter to Doraville. Next Steps: Pat then spoke about the next steps in the planning process. The Public Workshop will be held Thursday, July 21 at 7:00 PM. Also, the consulting staff will meet with the ARC Monday July 18 to discuss progress on the plan. Pat noted that he is going to schedule the final open house for some time in October at Sequoyah Middle School. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Further Discussion: One meeting attendee explained that there has been a persistent desire by residents for a mainstream grocery store in Doraville. Others in attendance speculated that there may not be enough residential base to support such a grocery store, and that at one time there was such a grocery store and it went out of business. It was noted that grocery stores only locate in areas where they think they can make money. Also it was noted that the market study may help illuminate whether there is enough demand currently for a new grocery store or not. Another discussion began about the intention of the LCI plan. Often stakeholders misunderstand the nature of a future land use plan and think that the city intends to condemn their property. However, the purpose of a future land use plan is to create a framework for change when it occurs, not to force existing businesses and residents out. Conclusion: The meeting was concluded with an invitation for steering committee members to talk to the consulting staff informally about other concerns. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Steering Committee Meeting Minutes Doraville Civic Center August 11, 2005 10:00AM - 12:00PM Attendance: Chai Won Kim, Steering Committee Glenn Carracappa, Steering Committee Scott Pendergrast, Steering Committee Susan Fraysse, Steering Committee Alan Malcom, Steeling Committee Harry Graham, Steering Committee Ray Jenkins, Mayor Betty Cloer, City Clerk Kathy Brannon, Chamblee City Manager Pat Peters, EDAW Louis Merlin, EDAW Fabricio Lopez, Ventana Marketing Eleanor Matthews, Marketek Jonathan Gelber, Grice Update: Pat Peters reviewed the contents and the public feedback from the Community Workshop on July 21. A summary of the Community Workshop is available at EDAW’s ftp website, www.edaw.com/ftp. Fabricio Lopez discussed some of the input from the Hispanic Focus Group, and how the members of that focus group wanted to see increased pedestrian safety and an improved image for Doraville. Discussion with Kathy Brannon, Chamblee City Manager: Kathy Brannon discussed Chamblee’s strategy and challenges in implementation of its LCI plan (completed in 2000). The Chamblee LCI was focused on 250 acres of Chamblee’s Mid-City district, centered on the Chamblee MARTA station. The discussion was extensive and covered many issues. Some highlights were the following: -Ms. Brannon explained that the zoning was a work in process. She said that is has been amended 4 times to help implement the plan. -She explained that implementation of streetscapes was very slow due to required bureaucratic approvals. She estimated that new streetscapes take 3 years to implement. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission -Ms. Brannon discussed her strategy for dealing with developers. She explained that the zoning rules were enforced consistently. She emphasized the importance of treating all devleopers equally and not granting special favors. She explained that variances are only granted for specific hardships. -Ms. Brannon talked about the efforts of Chamblee to promote mixed use development, as opposed to just multifamily development. -She talked about testing and cleanup of brownfields, and how the Georgia Environmental Protection Department enforces these requirements, including possible loopholes. -Ms. Brannon explained what staff and financial resources are necessary to implement and LCI. She estimated she spends 20 hours a week talking with developers. She said that Chamblee is exploring hiring a Community Development Director to help implement the plan. Also Chamblee has a consulting firm on retainer to work on planning issues. -Ms. Brannon also talked about the Design Review Board, composed of qualified citizen volunteers, who review applications for development. She said that Chamblee was thinking of re-forming this board into a Planning Commission. Vision and Goals Discussion: Mr. Peters introduced the concept of developing a vision and goals for the Doraville LCI study. He explained that the vision and goals will be based on public input from meetings, on line surveys, and focus groups. A proposed draft of the vision and goals will be circulated among steering committee members for their review. The floor was opened for discussion of possible vision statements or goal statements. Some goals that were proposed were: -Creating an attractive, cohesive town center -Providing affordable housing and providing a variety of housing choices -Finding ways to bring various communities together and improve mutual understanding Other issues were discussed as well, including the plethora of taxi companies, lack of shopping opportunities, the lack of evening activity, the use of public space, corrupt car dealerships, and the lack of condominium for-sale housing. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Character Image Survey: The Steering Committee participated in a Character Image Survey. The Character Image Survey consisted of a presentation of 15 images, 5 images in each of three categories: Main Street, Transit Place, and Urban Corridor. Main Street images were intended to correspond to what might happen along New Peachtree. Transit Place images were intended to correspond to what might happen at the Doraville MARTA station, and at bus stops as well. Urban Corridor images were intended to correspond to what might happen along Buford Highway. Each member of the Steering Committee rated each image between 1 and 5. The number rate images as follows: 5 - Very Positive Image 4 - Positive Image 3 - Neutral Image 2 - Negative Image 1 - Very Negative Image Also, Steering Committee members were encouraged to write comments about what specifically they liked or disliked about these images. The surveys were collected at the end of the presentation. Conclusion: The meeting was concluded with a discussion of upcoming meetings, including another steering committee meeting in early September and the Open House planned for October. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Steering Committee Meeting Minutes Center for Pan Asian Community Services September 15, 2005 10:00AM - 12:00PM Attendance: Chai Won Kim, Steering Committee Scott Pendergrast, Steering Committee Susan Fraysse, Steering Committee Alan Malcom, Steeling Committee Jimmy Cushman Jr., Steering Committee Alternate Ray Jenkins, Mayor Marlene Hadden, City Council Pat Peters, EDAW Louis Merlin, EDAW Eleanor Matthews, Marketek Jonathan Gelber, Grice Draft Plan Handout: The first draft of the existing conditions LCI plan sections were handed out to the steering committee. Mr. Peters briefly described the contents of the plan, and drew the committee’s attention to the Vision, Goals and Objectives. Mr. Peters asked the committee to submit final comments on the Vision, Goals, and Objectives within the next week. Other handouts included the agenda, a summary of the 1994 comprehensive plan, a memo from the consultants working on the comprehensive plan update on the coordination process between the LCI and the comprehensive plan, and a packet of land use plan alternatives. Draft Land Use Plan: Next Mr. Peters went through various versions of the land use plan. He explained how the three public versions of the land use plan were refined into two land use plan alternatives. Then he explained the preferred land use plan scenario and requested feedback on this scenario. Some of the key features of the preferred land use plan scenario are: -A central town green with a city hall or other civic building at the high point of the study area -A defined Doraville presence on Buford Highway at three key intersections -Civic functions and open space brought across Buford Highway to connect with the Northwoods Neighborhood area. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission There were some questions about how the proposed realignment of Chestnut to New Peachtree would interact with a new commercial development going in nearby. That development currently plans to use Chestnut for its primary access. Mr. Peters explained that in the next phase of the plan, projects would be developed. Mr. Merlin explained that many of the projects are implicit in the land use plan, and that most of the proposed projects would be transportation-related. Mr. Peters then opened the floor for suggestions for projects to help implement the LCI plan. No additional projects were proposed at this time. Committee Concerns: The committee voiced a number of concerns during the meeting. It was noted that the Korean business community is very concerned about the possibility of medians on Buford Highway and how they would impact existing retail businesses. At the meeting, it was explained that the LCI consultants are not recommending medians for Buford Highway. Georgia Department of Transportation has approved a project for pedestrian refuges in Buford Highway. This project is not related to the ongoing LCI study, but was already underway before the study began. Each refuge island will be approximately 90’ long and there are expected to be two refuges between I-285 and Shallowford Road. Questions concerning this project should be directed to the Georgia Department of Transportation. Mayor Jenkins noted that a map of the proposed refuge islands is available for viewing at City Hall. The upcoming Dekalb County Comprehensive Transportation Plan meeting for September 22 was brought up as a coordination issue. Some discussion occured around what were Doraville’s main interests at this upcoming meeting. Some issues that may affect Doraville are planned Bus Rapid Transit routes and a preference for transit-oriented development in the comprehensive transporation strategy. An attendee brought up a recent published article about the Buford Highway corridor in Harvard Design Magazine. She noted that there were several strong ideas in the article that should be reflected in the study. Some of the ideas included an incremental approach to redevelopment and flexible buildling designs that can adapt to changing uses over time. Next Steps: Mr. Peters concluded the meeting by talking about the next steps in the planning process. The final steering committee meeting is planned for Thursday, October 13 and the open house is planned for Thursday, October 20. A member of the committee requested that new flyers be printed and brought to the next steering committee meeting to help the publicity effort for the open house. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Steering Committee Meeting Minutes Doraville Civic Center October 13, 2005 10:00AM - 12:00PM Attendance: Chai Won Kim, Steering Committee Scott Pendergrast, Steering Committee Susan Fraysse, Steering Committee Alan Malcolm, Steeling Committee Jimmy Cushman Jr., Steering Committee Alternate Shari Strickland, Dekalb County Sidney Douse, Dekalb County Ray Jenkins, Mayor Marlene Hadden, City Council Betty Cloer, City Clerk Pat Peters, EDAW Louis Merlin, EDAW Fabricio Lopez, Ventana Steve Noble, Grice Jonathan Gelber, Grice Open House Preparations: Mr. Peters ran through a number of handouts that will be used at the Open House on October 26. Three boards will be used to display key concepts for the plan. One board uses images to review the plan development process and public participation. The other two boards represent the proposed land use scenario for the study area, including land uses, new streets, key intersections, and proposed new parks. One board is presented as an overhead, two dimensional view, and the other board is a three-dimensional view of the same plan. Next, Mr. Peters went through the handouts that will be circulated during the Open House. These handouts include a vision statement, a description of the proposed land use scenario, and a list of proposed projects to help implement the LCI plan. Committee Concerns: The committee voiced a number of concerns during the meeting. It was noted that the Korean business community is still very concerned about medians on Buford Highway even though the LCI plan does not propose medians. Overall, the steering committee did not want medians to become a major topic at the open house since they City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission are not part of the study. Handouts will be available at the open house to help address this issue. If possible, an article explaining the proposal from a Korean newspaper will be circulated. Members of the steering committee also pointed out that there is a desire in the community for high-end as well as affordable housing. It was explained that most new construction will tend to be higher-end. Language will be added to the plan to explain that the goal is mixed income housing, with housing choices for a broad range of incomes. Mr. Merlin then went through the proposed project list. Proposed projects cover transportation, urban design, redevelopment, community facilities, parks, and housing. The projects range from from relatiely affordable to very expensive, and Mr. Merlin described the overall project list as very ambitious. Some meeting attendees expressed concern about the number of proposed revisions to existing community facilities. It was pointed out that all of the currently community facilities are clustered together, and that this is an advantage. Also, most of the community facilities are in good shape and do not need to be replaced in a short time frame. Acquiring new land and replacing community facilities is very expensive, and it is not likely the City of Doraville would be able to afford all of the proposed projects in the next twenty years. Other meeting attendees noted that they liked the current location of the library and would like to see it remain in its current location. It was also mentioned that the proposed Doraville Gardens area may already be under contract for a new development. Mr. Merlin and Mr. Peters responded that the all of the proposed projects do not need to be implemented, but that the plan overall lays out a vision that has been endorsed by the community. Projects can be implemented gradually over time as the opportunity arises. In particular, citizens have expressed a strong interest in a town square or other public park in the study area. A new town square could also serve as an anchor for redevelopment. Also, many stakeholders would like to see the many small city buildings consolidated into a single, prominently located and architecturally signifcant civic building. The plan will be revised in response to steering committee comments after we gather further input at the Open House on October 26th. Next Steps: Mr. Peters concluded the meeting by reminding everyone about the upcoming open house on October 26. Steering committee members asked about how we can publicize this meeting. Mr. Merlin reviewed the methods to be used, including publicity through word of mouth via the steering committee and by sending e-mails to previous public meeting attendees. Ms. Cloer suggested further publicizing the meeting through flyers at City Hall and on Doraville’s official website. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative Appendix C Transportation Report City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative Study Assessment of Existing Transportation Conditions September 2005 Table of Contents Introduction ...........................................................................................................1 Study Area Boundaries: ........................................................................................1 Roadway Network.................................................................................................2 Primary Roads...................................................................................................2 Secondary Roads..............................................................................................3 Pedestrian Facilities..............................................................................................3 Transit...................................................................................................................5 MARTA Rail.......................................................................................................5 MARTA Bus.......................................................................................................6 MARTA Demand-Response (Paratransit) Service ............................................7 Gwinnett County Transit....................................................................................8 Royal Bus Lines ................................................................................................8 Adame Central de Autobuses ...........................................................................9 Vehicular Crash Analysis ......................................................................................9 Traffic Volumes ...................................................................................................10 Existing And Future Roadway Capacity Analysis................................................11 Existing Capacity Analysis ..............................................................................12 2030 Capacity Analysis ...................................................................................13 Mobility Issues ....................................................................................................14 Barriers due to Transportation and Manufacturing Facilities ...........................14 Barriers due to Land Use and Planning...........................................................15 Identified Traffic and Transportation Issues ........................................................16 Planned and Programmed Improvements ..........................................................17 Buford Highway Pedestrian Improvements .....................................................17 Shallowford Road and New Peachtree Road Intersection Improvement.........18 Fixed Guideway / Bus Rapid Transit (BRT).....................................................18 List of Figures Figure 1: Study Area Location Map......................................................................1 Figure 2: Existing Roadway Network and Traffic Volume Counts ........................2 Figure 3: Existing Sidewalk Inventory and Pedestrian Crashes..........................4 Figure 4: Typical Cross Section of Buford Highway Pedestrian Improvements ...5 Figure 5: Vehicular Crashes at Intersections and Crash Rates ..........................10 Figure 6: 2000 Existing Congestion ...................................................................13 Figure 7: 2030 Projected Congestion.................................................................14 Figure 8: Barriers to Public Access & Mobility ..................................................16 Figure 9: Shallowford Road and New Peachtree Road Intersection Design Concept ..............................................................................................................18 Introduction As part of the Doraville Living Centers Initiative study, this report provides an assessment of existing transportation facilities and operational conditions. The results of the existing conditions analysis will be used as a basis for the development of transportation improvements which will enhance the livability of the community. Study Area Boundaries The study area for the Doraville LCI study is approximately one (1) mile long by 1/3 mile wide, bounded by: • MARTA and Freight rail corridor on the Northwest • Interstate 285 on the North • A line delineating the transition between commercial and residential landuses east of Buford Highway on the East and Southeast • Shallowford Road. on the East The study area is entirely within the City of Doraville, in Dekalb County in the State of Georgia. A general location map is provided in Figure 1. Figure 1: Study Area Location Map 1 Roadway Network The existing transportation system within the Doraville LCI study area includes a network of state and local roadways serving residential, business and regional transportation needs. The roadway network is illustrated in Figure 2. Figure 2: Existing Roadway Network and Traffic Volume Counts Primary Roads The dominant roadway in the study area is Buford Highway (State Route 13), a Major arterial which bisects the study area from the southwest to the northeast. Buford Highway is a six-lane highway with a continuous two-way center left turn lane, with additional turning lanes at major intersections. Throughout the study area, Buford Highway is fronted by primarily commercial land-uses with frequent driveways and access points. A wide center turn lane, which is marked to provide dedicated left turn lanes at major intersections, serves as an uncontrolled bi-directional turn lane in between major intersections. Due to the roadway’s peculiar pedestrian conditions, the center-turn lane also serves as an improvised 2 pedestrian refuge. The combination of the uncontrolled bi-directional turning movements, the frequent driveways, and the presence of pedestrians in the turn lane, creates potentially unsafe conditions. New Peachtree Road., a minor arterial, parallels Buford Highway approximately ¼ mile to the North. New Peachtree Road consists of two lanes in the southern half of the study area, and widens to four lanes with a center left turn lane near the MARTA rail station at Park Avenue. Shallowford Road, a two lane minor arterial, also roughly parallels Buford highway until it merges into New Peachtree Road. There are no major east-west arterials in the study area. Secondary Roads Two local streets, Park Avenue and Central Avenue, connect Buford Highway and New Peachtree Road adjacent to the Doraville MARTA station and the Doraville town center in the heart of the study area. Several local streets connect the residential neighborhood beyond the East side of the study area to Buford Highway, including Clearview Avenue, Jesse Norman Way, Chestnut Drive, Oakmont Drive, and McClave Drive. Pedestrian Facilities The Doraville LCI study area has limited pedestrian facilities. Within the entire study area, only the half-mile portion of New Peachtree Road adjacent to the MARTA station has continuous sidewalks on both sides: . Neither of the two roads which connect the Doraville Transit Center to Buford Highway, the area’s dominant commercial corridor, has continuous sidewalks. The shoulders of most roadways in the study area have well-worn foot-paths which indicate heavy pedestrian usage despite the lack of sidewalks. During field visits, numerous pedestrians were seen walking within paved travel lanes on roadways. Buford Highway, the study area’s primary commercial corridor, is characterized by a general lack of safe and convenient pedestrian facilities and crossings. Between 2000 and 2002, 13 pedestrians were struck by vehicles, 3 fatally, within the 1.1 mile Stretch of Buford Highway within the Doraville LCI study area. Although there are 6 signalized intersections with crosswalks on Buford Highway within the study area, most lack pedestrian crossing signal heads, and signal timing at most of these intersections was observed to involve long waits between cycles, and inadequate green time for crossing the seven lanes of traffic safely.. A strong majority of pedestrians were observed to cross in-between marked cross-walks, even if in close proximity to a signalized crosswalk. 3 A map of Doraville’s sidewalk inventory and pedestrian safety issues can be seen in Figure 3. Figure 3: Existing Sidewalk Inventory and Pedestrian Crashes Buford Highway’s pedestrian issues have been well documented, and pedestrian improvements are planned to be completed by 2007. The improvements will include improved sidewalks on both sides and enhanced pedestrian crossing facilities, such as nine(9)-foot wide by ninety-six (96)-foot long refuge islands in the center turn lane at intervals between signalized intersections. A sample cross-section of the planned improvements is illustrated in Figure 4. 4 Figure 4: Typical Cross Section of Buford Highway Pedestrian Improvements Transit Transit service in the Doraville LCI study area is provided by a variety of public transit operators, including the Metropolitan Atlanta Rapid Transit Authority (MARTA), Gwinnett County Transit, as well as some private transit providers. MARTA Rail The MARTA rail system currently has 36 stations with 46 route miles. MARTA carries about 250,000 rail passengers on weekdays. MARTA's rail system operates from approximately 5 A.M. to 1 A.M. Monday through Friday and from 5 A.M. to 12:30 A.M. weekends and holidays. The Fare for a single ride is $1.75. MARTA’s Doraville transit station is the northern terminus of MARTA’s NortheastSouth line. The station is 13.3 Miles north of the system’s central point, the Five Points station, which is a ride of approximately 24 minutes. The station opened in December, 1992. 5 As the Northeastern terminus of the MARTA rail system, Doraville MARTA Station serves a major role as a commuter park & ride facility. The station has three (3) large parking structures adjacent to the Doraville station, with 1,070 parking spaces. MARTA serves the City of Atlanta, most of Dekalb and Fulton Counties, and Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta Airport (most of which is in Clayton County), with heavy rail transit, bus transit, and demand response transit. In 2002, MARTA carried an average of 500,000 passengers per day. Marta’s rail headways are summarized in Table 1. Table 1: MARTA Rail Headway Time Period Airport/Doraville Line Headway Weekday Rush: 10 minutes Weekday Midday: 10 minutes Weekday Evening: 15 minutes Saturday: 15 minutes Sunday: 15-20 minutes Source: MARTA MARTA Bus The Doraville LCI study area is served by four (4) MARTA bus routes, all of which stop at the Doraville Transit Center. Their schedules and operating statistics are shown in Tables 2 through 4. The four (4) buses operated by MARTA include the following: • Route 39- Buford Highway Operates weekdays and weekends with a peak headway of 10 minutes • Route 91- Henderson Mill Operates only weekdays with a peak headway of 40 minutes • Route 104- Winters Chapel Operates only weekdays with a peak headway of 30 minutes • Route 124- Chamblee Tucker Operates weekdays and Saturday with a peak headway of 21 minutes 6 Table 2: MARTA Bus Weekday Operating Statistics Route Route Rail Name Stations NE 10, N6 NE 10, NE8 NE 10 NE 10, NE9 39 Buford Highway 91 Henderson Mill 104 Winters Chapel 124 Chamblee Tucker Route 39 Route Name Buford Highway 91 Henderson Mill 104 Winters Chapel 124 Chamblee Tucker Route 39 Route Name Buford Highway 91 Henderson Mill 104 Winters Chapel 124 Chamblee Tucker Peak Buses AM PM Service Hours Frequency From: To: Peak Base Night 5 5 4:51AM 11:58PM 10 20 30 3 3 6:05AM 9:48PM 40 40 40 1 1 5:31AM 7:09PM 30 30 30 4 4 6:00AM 11:44PM 21 21 42 Table 3: MARTA Bus Saturday Operating Statistics Rail Stations NE 10 NE 10, NE8 NE 10 NE 10, NE9 Buses 5 3 Service Hours From: To: 5:30AM 11:54PM AM AM AM PM 6:00AM 9:59PM Frequency 10 40 Table 4: MARTA Bus Sunday Operating Statistics Rail Stations NE 10 NE 10, NE8 NE 10 NE 10, NE9 Buses 5 Service Hours From: To: 5:42AM 12:47AM AM AM AM PM AM AM Frequency 10 MARTA Demand-Response (Paratransit) Service MARTA operates 110 paratransit vans on an average of 275,000 hours per year. The paratransit service provides ADA-compliant transportation to eligible persons with disabilities, with service restricted to within ¾ miles of MARTA fixed routes. Restrictions to the use of this service are as follows: MARTA provides ADA Complementary Paratransit Service to eligible persons with disabilities who are, because of their disability, unable to board, ride or disembark from an accessible vehicle in MARTA's regular bus or rail services. Service is provided with special lift-equipped vans on a curb-to-curb, shared ride basis. Certified individuals having a MARTA ADA Photo Identification Card may call MARTA's Paratransit Reservation Office. 7 Paratransit Service is an advanced reservation service. Same day requests cannot be accommodated. The service is offered on the same days and hours as the regular bus and rail service. Service is restricted to the ADA designated service area within Fulton and Dekalb Counties along a ¾ of a mile corridor located on each side of all fixed bus routes and in ¾ of a mile radius of each station. Generally, service hours are from 4:30 AM to 1:30 AM, seven days a week including holidays. However, when a fixed route in a particular area operates on a more limited basis, Paratransit services will operate comparable days and hours. The one-way fare is $3.50 per person, payable by cash, one trip passes, two tokens or a MARTA TransCard plus $1.75. Eligible individuals requiring a Personal Care Attendant that has been authorized by a medical professional may travel with the disabled patron free. Visitor's that have been certified by another transit system in another city are authorized to use MARTA's Paratransit Services and are subject to MARTA's operating requirements. Gwinnett County Transit The Doraville LCI study area is served by one (1) Gwinnett County Transit bus route. Route 10 connects Gwinnett County Transit passengers to the MARTA system via a connection at the Doraville Transit Station. The fare for a single ride is $1.75. Operating Statistics are detailed in Table 5. Table 5: Gwinnett County Transit Operating Statistics Route 10 Route Name Buford Hwy to Gwinnett Place Mall Service Hours From: To: 5:40AM 12:51AM Frequency Peak Off Peak 15 30 Royal Bus Lines Royal Bus Lines provides Transit Service along eight miles of Buford Highway corridor between the Lindbergh Plaza and Doraville MARTA Transit Services. The Royal Service duplicates MARTA bus service along the same corridor. Royal operates 16 Minibuses and reports 60,000 passengers per month, an estimated 80% of whom are Hispanic. The fare is $1.50, and buses operate from 4:30 AM to 8:00 PM. The hours of service for Royal are 4:30 A.M. to 8 P.M. during the summer months and from 4:50 A.M. to 7 P.M. during the winter months. This schedule is for seven days a week. A basic ticket from this provider costs $1.50. However, children that are under the age of 12, students and senior citizens may travel for a fare of $0.75. 8 Adame Central de Autobuses Adame is a private intercity bus service that primarily serves the Hispanic community. Adame operates an intercity bus station at the intersection of Buford Highway and Chamblee-Dunwoody Road, immediately south of the study area. Adame offers daily bus service from Doraville/Chamblee to multiple cities in Mexico, by way of North Carolina, South Carolina and Texas. Vehicular Crash Analysis Vehicular crashes in Doraville were researched using GDOT crash records from 2000 through 2002. Crash volumes were calculated for key intersections in the study area, and crash rates were determined for road segments. Figure 4 depicts the results of the crash analysis. From 2000 through 2002 there were 879 vehicular crashes in the Doraville LCI study area. Of that total number, 716 of the crashes occurred on Buford Highway, 449 of which occurred at one of the six intersections within the study area. The intersections in the Doraville study area with the highest crashes are as follows: f Buford Highway at: f Motors industrial Way (131 Crashes) f Jesse Norman Way (76) f Central Ave(67) f Park Ave (70) f McClave Dr (79) f Shallowford Rd. (51) f New Peachtree at f Shallowford Rd. (25) Crash volumes locations were analyzed to determine a crash rate which can be applied to determine the overall safety of specific road segments. The crash rate measures the number of crashes per 1 million vehicle miles traveled over a road segment. The following Road Segments had significantly high crash rates (above the 90th percentile) for Dekalb County: Buford Highway • I-285 to Jesse Norman Way 29.23 Crash/Mil VMT • Camblee Dunwoody Rd. to McClave Ave 28.10 Crash/Mil VMT • Jesse Norman Way to Oakmont Ave 15.24 Crash/Mil VMT • Oakmont Way to Pine Tree Plaza Entrance 11.42 Crash/Mil VMT New Peachtree Rd. 9 • • from Shallowford Rd. to Park Ave from Park Ave to Interstate 285 VMT 8.28 Crash/Mil VMT 6.33 Crash/Mil Figure 5: Vehicular Crashes at Intersections and Crash Rates Traffic Volumes Historic Average Annual Daily Traffic (AADT) data for the study area was obtained from Georgia Department of Transportation (GDOT) database for the time period from 1997 to 2004. AADT values were obtained from four different count stations on all major roadways within the LCI study area. These volumes are summarized in Table 1. A review of the historical count data revealed a significant drop in AADT on Buford Highway from 2002 to 2003. 10 Table 6: GDOT Count Station Volumes Count Station number Road Shallowford Rd. Buford Hwy 3612 3103 New Peachtree Rd 3594 Cross Street S of New Peachtree S of Oakmont N of Central Ave 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 7855 33645 7712 34241 8142 30557 8286 34643 8421 34682 8567 35487 7420 28920 7370 27880 14600 14527 17657 16514 16979 17272 17320 15070 Locations of ADT count stations are shown in Figure 2. Existing and Future Roadway Capacity Analysis One major component that determines the level of congestion and delay experienced by roadway users is the capacity of the roadway. Capacity refers to the quantity of traffic that a roadway is designed to handle before levels of congestion and delay fall below acceptable levels. By comparing the actual volume of traffic on a roadway against the design capacity of the roadway, it is possible to gauge the level-of-service that roadway users are likely to experience. The ratio of Volume-to-Capacity, (or V/C ratio) corresponds with a letter grade to indicate the theoretical level of service along that roadway. If the V/C ratio is greater than 1.0, than a roadway is considered to be unacceptably congested. Level of service ratings based on capacity analysis provides an indication of which roadways are congested because they simply handle more traffic than they are designed for. This type of analysis does not account for additional delays hat may be caused by operational problems at specific areas or intersections along a roadway. Table 5 outlines the relationship between levelsof-service and V/C ratios. 11 Level of Service Criteria for Roadway Segments(1) Table 71: Level of Service Criteria for Roadway Segments Level of Service Interpretation Nominal Range to Volume-toCapacity Ratio A Low volumes; primarily free-flow operations. Density is low, and vehicles can freely maneuver within the traffic stream. Drivers can maintain their desired speeds with little or no delay. 0.00 - 0.60 B Stable flow with potential for some restriction of operating speeds due to traffic conditions. Maneuvering is only slightly restricted. The stopped delays are not bothersome, and drives are not subject to appreciable tension. 0.61 - 0.70 C Stable operations; however, the ability to maneuver is more restricted by the increase in traffic volumes. Relatively satisfactory operating speeds prevail, but adverse signal coordination or longer queues cause delays. 0.71 - 0.80 D Approaching unstable traffic flow, where small increases in volume could cause substantial delays. Most drivers are restricted in their ability to maneuver and in their selection of travel speeds. Comfort and convenience are low but tolerable. 0.81 - 0.90 E Operations characterized by significant approach delays and average travel speeds of one-half to onethird the free-flow speed. Flow is unstable and potential for stoppages of brief duration. High signal density, extensive queuing, or progression/timing are the typical causes of the delays. 0.91 - 1.00 F Forced-flow operations with high approach delays at critical signalized intersections. Speeds are reduced substantially, and stoppages may occur for short or long periods of time because of downstream congestion. 1.010+ (1) Source: Highway Capacity Manual, Transportation Research Board Number 212, January 1990. Existing Capacity Analysis The existing transportation system Levels of Service (LOS) and system needs based upon existing design and operating capacities is illustrated in Figure 6. The Capacity analysis indicates that under existing conditions ,most roadways within the LCI study area is operating with LOS B or better with a few exceptions. The section of Buford Highway adjacent to Motors Industrial Way operates at LOS E, while Motors Industrial Way operates at LOS C. All of Interstate 285 operates at LOS F.. These results suggest that, with some exceptions, observed and reported congestion problems within the LCI study area are related to operational issues, rather than inadequate capacity. 12 Figure 6: 2000 Existing Congestion 2030 Capacity Analysis Capacity analysis was performed for the future year 2030 using the ARC Travel Demand Model illustrates the roadway LOS levels in the area. The 2030 LOS is illustrated in Figure 7. The projected LOS for most of Buford Highway remains B or better, except for the portion adjacent to Motors Industrial Way and I-285, which is expected to be F. Shallowford Road is projected to operate at an LOS of C, and New Peachtree Road. is projected to operate at a LOS of E. Motors Industrial Way is expected to operate at LOS F. 13 Figure 7: 2030 Projected Congestion Mobility Issues A unique and challenging characteristic of Doraville’s transportation infrastructure is the preponderance of barriers to connectivity, some necessitated by the segregation of special-use transportation facilities, but many caused by intentional land-use and planning issues. These barriers inhibit travel by blocking direct access requiring counter-intuitive routing for seemingly simple trips. While those who regularly drive in Doraville may readily adapt to these barriers, they are significantly insurmountable to those who do not drive. Barriers due to Transportation and Manufacturing Facilities The most significant barriers to local transportation connectivity in Doraville are large transportation and manufacturing facilities: • Freight Rail Corridor 14 • • • MARTA’s North-South Rail Line Interstate 285 Doraville GM Plant Barriers due to Land Use and Planning Doraville has developed along a unique street grid in which provides 3 significant roadways providing north-south accessibility with no equivalent east-west connectors. This has the effect of creating very long narrow “Superblocks” which lack public access. One example of such a superblock is the area bounded by Buford Highway, Shallowford Road, New Peachtree Road and Park Avenue. The distance across the center of the block is only 600 feet, yet the distance required to move from one side to the other, using public right of ways, is over 6,000 feet. The lack of connectivity in cases such as this contributes to increased auto dependence by making the use of alternative modes of transportation less attractive, and disproportionably impacts the elderly, children, and transit dependent-populations. Another side-effect of poor connectivity is inefficiency and increased congestion due to short local trips that could be completed on foot or on local streets which are converted into longer trips along arterials. 15 Figure 8: Barriers to Public Access & Mobility Identified Traffic and Transportation Issues During the first phase of the Doraville LCI study public involvement process, members of the public were asked to identify transportation issues in the study area. The following issues were identified: • Lack of sidewalks and condition of existing sidewalks • Poor aesthetics and streetscaping on roadways • Pedestrian safety • Physical barriers impair mobility (Especially Buford Hwy & I-285) • Traffic congestion • Intersection alignment: Buford Highway at Clearview Avenue and Jesse Norman Way • Bus access to MARTA Station 16 Members of the public also expressed a desire to see the following: • Improved sidewalks & bike trails • Transit Oriented Development • Improved Streetscaping Planned and Programmed Improvements Based upon a review of planned and programmed projects by all agencies, the following transportation improvement projects are planned for implementation, and will significantly impact the Doraville Study Area. Buford Highway Pedestrian Improvements • GDOT is currently implementing an upgrade of pedestrian facilities along the length of Buford Highway from I-285 in Doraville to Sidney Marcus Drive in Atlanta. The first phase of the project will be from I-285 to Chamblee, which includes the Doraville LCI study area. This phase of the project is expected to be completed by 2007. The improvements will include improved sidewalks on both sides and enhanced pedestrian crossing facilities, such as refuge islands in the median. A sample cross-section of the planned improvements is illustrated in figure 3. 17 Shallowford Road and New Peachtree Road Intersection Improvement • City of Doraville and Dekalb County have developed design plans to improve the intersection of Shallowford Road and New Peachtree Road to improve operations, safety, and pedestrian amenities. A schematic of the new design is included below in figure 9. Figure 9: Shallowford Road and New Peachtree Road Intersection Design Concept Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) The Atlanta Regional Commission has included several BUS Rapid Transit (BRT) projects in its Mobility 2030 plan which will significantly impact Dekalb County’s transportation network. BUS Rapid Transit is a transit concept in which standard or modified rubber-tired buses are operated in a manner to fixed-guideway rail vehicles, sometimes in fully or partially dedicated ights of-way. In most cases, these systems will have a major impact on transit use patterns. Programmed BRT projects likely to affect the Doraville LCI study area include: Two different Proposed BRT lines are planned that will pass through Doraville, most likely interfacing with the existing Doraville MARTA rail station. • AR-901: I-285 NORTH BUS RAPID TRANSIT (BRT) FROM PERIMETER CENTER AREA TO DORAVILLE MARTA TATION Programmed for 2020 • AR-910: SR 13 (BUFORD HIGHWAY) ARTERIAL BUS RAPID TRANSIT (BRT) which will connect the Lindbergh MARTA Station to Gwinnett County along Buford Highway (SR 13). Programmed for 2026 18 INTERSECTION CAPACITY ANALYSIS As part of the existing conditions assessment and project recommendations for the Doraville Livable Centers Initiative, Grice and Associates, Inc. conducted an Intersection Capacity analysis of the two primary intersections adjacent to the Doraville MARTA station and the proposed Town Center. These intersections included: New Peachtree Road at Central Avenue and New Peachtree Road at Park Avenue. The purpose of this analysis was to establish a clearer understanding of existing and likely future traffic operation conditions, and to test the feasibility of recommended transportation improvements. The results of this analysis are one of the factors used to develop specific transportation recommendations in the Action Plan. The existing and future capacity and Level of Service (LOS) for the study intersections was based on analysis procedures provided in the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM), Special Report 209, published by the Transportation Research Board (2000). Synchro, a traffic simulation model which follows the HCM criteria for determining LOS for signalized and unsignalized conditions was used in this study. Existing Conditions Table 1 shows the existing conditions analysis results for AM and PM peak periods for signalized intersections. Table 1 LOS for Signalized Intersections – Existing Conditions LOS (Delay in seconds) AM Peak PM Peak New Peachtree Road at Central Avenue Southeast bound Approach B (10.6) B (19.4) Northwest bound Approach B (10.7) B (19.7) Northeast bound Approach C (24.4) B (17.7) Southwest bound Approach D (47.3) C (20.9) Overall D (40.2) B (18.9) New Peachtree Road at Park Avenue Southeast bound Approach C (21.5) Northwest bound Approach B (15.3) Northeast bound Approach C (28.1) Southwest bound Approach A (2.0) Overall A (10.0) C (24.8) B (17.5) C (34.1) B (10.3) C (24.7) Future Year Analysis The future year analysis was performed for 2015 No Build, 2015 Build, and 2015 Build with 24-hour on street parking on both sides. The traffic volumes were projected based on the Georgia Department of Transportation’s (GDOT) historical average daily traffic (ADT) data. The most current vehicle volumes for the roadways in the study area are reflected in the Table below. These traffic volumes were obtained by researching the ADT recorded by the GDOT Count Stations located in Doraville. The growth rate was calculated based on a regression analysis. Count Station number Buford Hwy 3103 Central Ave New Peachtree Rd 8565 Cross Street S of New Peachtree S of Oakmont N of Buford Hwy 3594 N of Central Ave Road Shallowford Rd. 3612 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 7,855 7,712 8,142 8,286 8,421 8,567 7,420 7,370 33,645 34,241 30,557 34,643 34,682 35,487 28,920 27,880 857 1,840 17,320 15,070 14,600 14,527 17,657 16,514 16,979 17,272 Regression analysis is illustrated in the chart below. According to the trendlines shown in the chart, a growth rate of 1.3% for New Peachtree Road, and 8% for Central Avenue and Park Avenue are used for traffic forecasting from 2005 to 2015. It should be noted that the calculated result for Central Avenue is 16.3%. However the two-year data is insufficient for regression analysis. Traffic Growth Projection 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 ADT y = 197.2x + 15355 15000 10000 Shallowford Rd. Buford Hwy Central Ave New Peachtree Rd Linear (Buford Hwy) Linear (New Peachtree Rd) Linear (Shallowford Rd. ) Linear (Central Ave) 5000 y = 983x - 6024 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 -5000 -10000 Year The existing traffic volumes were factored to account for the growth in the area and the capacity analysis was performed. Tables 2 through 4 below reflect the results of the future conditions analysis. Table 2 LOS for Signalized Intersections – 2015 No-Build LOS (Delay in seconds) AM Peak PM Peak New Peachtree Road at Central Avenue Southeast bound Approach B (13.0) C (24.4) Northwest bound Approach B (13.2) C (24.9) Northeast bound Approach C (20.8) B (10.2) Southwest bound Approach D (44.1) B (16.9) Overall D (36.3) B (13.9) New Peachtree Road at Park Avenue Southeast bound Approach C(29.0) Northwest bound Approach C(20.3) Northeast bound Approach C(24.6) Southwest bound Approach A(3.7) Overall B(12.2) C (30.5) B (19.7) D (36.1) B (12.7) C (26.4) Table 3 LOS for Signalized Intersections – 2015 Build LOS (Delay in seconds) AM Peak PM Peak New Peachtree Road at Central Avenue Southeast bound Approach B (13.8) B (17.7) Northwest bound Approach B (14.0) B (18.0) Northeast bound Approach A (5.8) A (6.3) Southwest bound Approach B (13.7) B (11.6) Overall B (12.0) A (9.3) New Peachtree Road at Park Avenue Southeast bound Approach B(18.7) Northwest bound Approach B(16.9) Northeast bound Approach B(15.9) Southwest bound Approach A(4.2) Overall A(9.8) B (19.0) B (14.1) C (23.2) A (6.8) B (16.8) Table 4 LOS for Signalized Intersections 2015 Build With 24-hour On-Street Parking on Both Side LOS (Delay in seconds) AM Peak PM Peak New Peachtree Road at Central Avenue Southeast bound Approach C (27.3) D (50.4) Northwest bound Approach C (27.3) D (50.5) Northeast bound Approach A (6.8) A (4.0) Southwest bound Approach C (25.6) A (6.2) Overall C (21.6) A (9.6) New Peachtree Road at Park Avenue Southeast bound Approach C(32.6) Northwest bound Approach D(36.2) Northeast bound Approach B(10.5) Southwest bound Approach A(6.5) Overall B(14.7) D (51.8) D (45.0) D (41.7) B (15.8) D (36.0) Improvements for “2015 Build” conditions: 1. Lane reconfiguration for both intersections (to provide peak on-street parking): • AM: Northeast bound Approach—one through + one shared through-rightturn reduced to one shared through-right-turn. • PM: Southwest bound Approach —one through + one shared through-rightturn reduced to one shared through-right-turn. 2. Traffic signal optimization for both intersections: • Intersection splits • Intersection cycle length • Intersection offset • Network cycle lengths • Network offsets Additional Improvements for “2015 Build Full Parking” conditions: • On-street parking is provided 24-hour on both sides of New Peachtree Road, narrowing New Peachtree Road to two-lane two-way plus one left-turn lane. Summary of the four conditions: 1. Existing: • New Peachtree Road at Central Avenue: operates at LOS D in the AM peak and B at PM peak. Both are acceptable. • New Peachtree Road at Park Avenue: operates at LOS A (ideal conditions) in the AM peak and C at PM peak. Both are acceptable. 2. 2015 No-Build: • New Peachtree Road at Central Avenue: operates at LOS D in the AM peak and B at PM peak. Both are acceptable. • New Peachtree Road at Park Avenue: operates at LOS B in the AM peak and C at PM peak. Both are acceptable. 3. 2015 Build: • New Peachtree Road at Central Avenue: operates at LOS B in the AM peak and A (ideal) at PM peak. Both are acceptable. • New Peachtree Road at Park Avenue: operates at LOS A (ideal) in the AM peak and B at PM peak. Both are acceptable. 4. 2015 Build Full Parking (24-hour on both sides) on New Peachtree Road: • New Peachtree Road at Central Avenue: operates at LOS C in the AM peak and A at PM peak. Both are acceptable. • New Peachtree Road at Park Avenue: operates at LOS B in the AM peak and D at PM peak. Both are acceptable. Conclusions: • • Both intersections operate at acceptable LOS (D or better) in all the four conditions analyzed. 24-hour on-street parking (parallel or angle) on both sides of New Peachtree Road is feasible regarding capacity. Parallel parking design is preferred for safety consideration. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative Appendix D Market and Demographics Report DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE A demographic profile of households key to the redevelopment of the study area – Retail and Residential Market Area residents – is provided in this section. Retail and Residential Market Areas (delineated below) are the geographic areas from which the majority of potential customers and residents of new housing emanate and are based on drive time estimates, geographic and man-made boundaries and the location of existing competitive supply. The Retail Market Area is comprised of a “Local” and a “Greater” area. Local Retail Market Area residents (defined by a 10-minute drive from the intersection of Buford Highway and Park Avenue) will look to the study area for specialty shopping, entertainment and convenience related goods and services. The Greater Retail Market Area (defined by a 20-minute drive) is much larger and is the area from which a majority of “destination” shoppers emanate. Residents of new housing in the study area will largely be drawn from the Residential Market Area, which is defined by a 20-mile radius from the intersection of Buford Highway and Park Avenue. Residential and Retail Market Areas Local Retail: 10 Minutes 1 MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS Greater Retail: 20 Minutes DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE Residential: 20 Miles The delineation of the Retail and Residential Market Areas is not meant to suggest that prospective customers of study area businesses and residents of new housing will be drawn solely from these geographic areas. Because of the study area’s location, competitive assets and proposed redevelopment activity, prospective retail customers and residents will also be drawn from outside of the corresponding market areas. Comparisons with the study area, the City of Doraville, the Atlanta MSA and the State of Georgia are made where appropriate. Demographic and economic trends are analyzed for the 1990-2010 timeframe. Population & Household Growth • Over the past 15 years, the study area population has expanded from 874 to 1,252, growing at an average annual rate of 2.88% (EC-1), essentially mimicking population growth within the City of Doraville (2.82% annually). Over the past several decades, development in the study area has been predominantly limited to commercial and industrial uses, resulting in a limited residential base. 2 • Study area and city households have grown at a much slower rate than population since 1990, primarily due to a high share of ethnic households (e.g., Hispanic and Asian) that tend to be larger. The average household size within the study area is estimated at 4.33 persons; 3.33 persons within the City of Doraville. Household size within the other geographic areas shown in EC-1 ranges from 2.45 to 2.68. • Population and household growth rates within the Retail and Residential Market areas have been moderately strong since 1990 (2.68% to 3.26% annually), a trend that is expected to continue over the next five years (2.15% to 2.42% annually). The Local Retail Market Area population is estimated at 346,801; an estimated 1,501,926 persons reside within the Greater Retail Market Area; and the Residential Market Area encompasses a population of almost 2.8 million. • According to “Moving DeKalb Forward,” an August 2004 report generated by the DeKalb County Comprehensive Transportation Plan, the 47 square-mile “north quadrant” of the county, within which Doraville lies, had a 2000 population of 159,984 persons, or 24% of the county’s total population. • Between 1990 and 2005, population growth within the Atlanta MSA was extremely strong, increasing at an average rate of 4.15% annually. In the 1990s, population growth within the Atlanta MSA was largely fueled by a booming economy. Between 2005 and 2010, population growth in the Atlanta MSA is expected to remain strong but decrease to 3.32% annually. • The State of Georgia ranked fourth nationally in terms of its 1990-2000 numeric growth rate as its population increased 26.4%; the national average growth rate was 13.2%. California, Texas and Florida experienced more total growth than Georgia, but much of the growth in those three states has been due to immigration. Projections for the State of Georgia for the next five years reveal some slowing in the average annual growth rate to 2.25%. MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE EXHIBIT EC-1 POPULATION GROWTH Study Area, City of Doraville, Local Retail Market Area, Greater Retail Market Area, Residential Market Area, Atlanta MSA and State of Georgia 1990-2010 Avg. Ann. Change 1990-2005 Avg. Ann. Change 2005-2010 Geographic Area 1990 2005 (Estimate) Number Percent 2010 (Forecast) Number Percent Study Area Population Households Avg. Household Size 874 230 3.77 1,252 284 4.33 25 4 0.037 2.88% 1.57% 1,359 306 4.33 21 4 0.000 1.71% 1.55% City of Doraville Population Households Avg. Household Size 7,594 2,762 3.33 10,804 3,220 3.33 214 31 0.000 2.82% 1.11% 11,762 3,472 3.36 192 50 0.006 1.77% 1.57% 247,418 105,182 2.34 346,801 136,730 2.50 6,626 2,103 0.011 2.68% 2.00% 384,068 150,418 2.52 7,453 2,738 0.004 2.15% 2.00% Greater Retail Market Area Population Households Avg. Household Size 1,057,333 433,097 2.38 1,501,926 596,967 2.45 29,640 10,925 0.005 2.80% 2.52% 1,664,100 658,921 2.47 32,435 12,391 0.004 2.16% 2.08% Residential Market Area Population Households Avg. Household Size 1,857,071 715,586 2.54 2,764,218 1,037,171 2.61 60,476 21,439 0.005 3.26% 3.00% 3,098,553 1,158,508 2.62 66,867 24,267 0.002 2.42% 2.34% Atlanta MSA Population Households Avg. Household Size 3,069,425 1,140,843 2.65 4,980,447 1,824,531 2.68 127,401 45,579 0.002 4.15% 4.00% 5,807,513 2,124,032 2.70 165,413 59,900 0.004 3.32% 3.28% State of Georgia Population Households Avg. Household Size 6,478,216 2,366,615 2.66 9,133,680 3,371,161 2.64 177,031 66,970 -0.001 2.73% 2.83% 10,162,517 3,756,173 2.64 205,767 77,002 0.000 2.25% 2.28% Local Retail Market Area Population Households Avg. Household Size 1990-2010 Average Annual Population Growth Rates 4.50% 4.00% 3.50% 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% 1990-2005 Avg. Ann. Change 2005-2010 Avg. Ann. Change Study Area City of Doraville Local Retail Market Area Greater Retail Market Area Residential Market Area Atlanta MSA State of Georgia Note: Doraville and study area 2010 population and household projects do not account for anticipated redevelopment activity. Source: ESRI BIS 3 MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE Age Distribution • The study area’s “nearby” populations (i.e., study area, Doraville, Local and Greater Retail Market Areas) are generally younger than the Residential Market Area and MSA populations. Exhibit EC-2 shows that the estimated median age of each of the geographic areas increases moving away from the study area, ranging from 32.1 years in the study area to 34.1 years in the MSA. • While the share of the children (i.e., age 14 and younger) is higher in further out areas (Residential Market Area and MSA), the share of young adults (age 20-34) is greatest in the nearby areas: ranging from 34% of study area residents to only 22% of MSA residents. The proportion of residents at the peak of their spending potential (age 35 to 64) is highest in the Greater Retail Market Area, Residential Market Area and MSA. The Local Retail Market area maintains the highest share of persons age 65 and older (10%) among the six geographic areas shown in Exhibit EC-2. EXHIBIT EC-2 POPULATION BY AGE Study Area, City of Doraville, Local Market Area, Greater Market Area, Residential Market Area and Atlanta MSA 2005 Age Category Study City of Local Retail Greater Retail Residential Atlanta Area Doraville Market Area Market Area Market Area MSA Under 5 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85 and Older 6.9% 10.5% 5.9% 9.3% 24.7% 19.2% 11.7% 5.7% 3.4% 2.3% 0.4% 6.7% 11.6% 6.5% 9.8% 21.5% 17.5% 11.5% 7.6% 4.2% 2.6% 0.0% 6.8% 11.0% 5.4% 8.6% 21.8% 17.2% 11.7% 8.1% 4.7% 3.5% 1.3% 6.6% 12.4% 6.3% 8.1% 19.3% 17.3% 13.5% 8.7% 4.1% 2.7% 1.1% 7.2% 14.0% 6.7% 7.3% 16.9% 17.4% 14.1% 8.7% 4.1% 2.6% 0.9% 7.5% 14.7% 6.8% 6.8% 15.6% 17.3% 14.1% 9.1% 4.5% 2.6% 0.9% Total 1,252 10,804 346,801 1,501,926 2,764,218 4,980,447 Median Age 32.1 32.2 33.3 33.6 33.8 34.1 2005 Age Distribution of the Population 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Under 5 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 MARKET ANALYSIS 65-74 75-84 85 and Older Study Area City of Doraville Local Retail Market Area Greater Retail Market Area Residential Market Area Atlanta MSA Source: ESRI BIS 4 54-55 EXISTING CONDITIONS DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE Household Income Distribution • Exhibit EC-3 shows that Retail and Residential Market Area households are somewhat more affluent than study area and Doraville households and slightly more affluent that Atlanta MSA households. Estimated 2005 median household income ranges from $50,214 in the City of Doraville to $65,987 in the Greater Retail Market Area. • The wealth of Retail and Residential Market Area households is clear when considering the proportion of households with annual incomes of $200,000 and greater: ranging from 7% to 9% compared to 5% in the MSA, 2% in Doraville and 3% in the study area. • Despite the fact that study area and city household incomes are below MSA and Retail and Residential Market Area levels, both have median incomes above the national median of $49,747: 7% higher in the study area and 1% higher in the city. EXHIBIT EC-3 HOUSEHOLDS BY INCOME Study Area, City of Doraville, Local Market Area, Greater Market Area, Residential Market Area and Atlanta MSA 2005 Income Study City of Local Retail Greater Retail Residential Atlanta Area Doraville Market Area Market Area Market Area MSA Less than $15,000 $15,000 to $24,999 $25,000 to $34,999 $35,000 to $49,999 $50,000 to $74,999 $75,000 to $99,999 $100,000 to $149,999 $150,000 to $199,999 $200,000 and more 9% 7% 12% 17% 25% 10% 13% 4% 3% 10% 9% 11% 19% 24% 10% 13% 2% 2% 7% 7% 9% 15% 20% 13% 16% 6% 8% 8% 7% 8% 14% 20% 13% 17% 6% 9% 9% 7% 8% 13% 20% 13% 17% 6% 7% 9% 7% 9% 14% 21% 14% 16% 5% 5% Total 284 3,220 136,730 596,967 1,037,171 1,824,531 $53,169 $50,214 $64,429 $65,987 $65,016 $62,156 107% 101% 130% 133% 131% 125% Median Median as a % of US 2005 Household Income Distribution 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Less than $15,000 $15,000 to $24,999 $25,000 to $34,999 $35,000 to $49,999 $50,000 to $74,999 $75,000 to $100,000 to $150,000 to $200,000 $99,999 $149,999 $199,999 and more Study Area City of Doraville Local Retail Market Area Greater Retail Market Area Residential Market Area Atlanta MSA Source: ESRI BIS 5 MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE Racial Composition • Over the past several decades, the City of Doraville has evolved into one of the Atlanta region’s most ethnically diverse communities. An estimated 42% of Doraville residents are Hispanic (Exhibit EC-4). In terms of race, 46% of Doraville residents are white, 15% are African American, 15% are Asian and 19% are categorized as “some other race alone.” The racial and ethic composition of the study area population closely resembles the City of Doraville. • Although the Retail and Residential Market Area populations are not as racially and ethically diverse as Doraville’s population, all three areas are more diverse than the MSA. For instance, 25% of Local Retail Market Area residents and 13% of Greater Retail Market Area residents are Hispanic. Exhibit EC-4 RACIAL COMPOSITION Study Area, City of Doraville, Local Market Area, Greater Market Area, Residential Market Area and Atlanta MSA 2005 Race Study City of Local Retail Greater Retail Residential Atlanta Area Doraville Market Area Market Area Market Area MSA White Alone African American Alone American Indian Alone Asian Alone Pacific Islander Alone Some Other Race Alone Two or More Races 44.5% 18.8% 0.8% 11.8% 0.2% 19.7% 4.2% 46.3% 15.0% 0.8% 14.5% 0.3% 18.8% 4.4% 57.6% 18.8% 0.4% 8.7% 0.1% 11.3% 3.2% 54.5% 30.0% 0.3% 7.1% 0.1% 5.6% 2.6% 53.4% 34.3% 0.3% 5.2% 0.0% 4.6% 2.2% 61.8% 29.0% 0.3% 3.6% 0.0% 3.4% 1.9% Total 1,252 10,804 346,801 1,501,926 2,764,218 4,980,447 Hispanic (any race) 37.5% 41.5% 25.3% 13.0% 10.6% 8.0% Some Other Race Alone Two or More Races 2005 Racial Composition of the Population 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% White Alone Black Alone American Indian Alone Asian Alone Pacific Islander Alone Study Area City of Doraville Local Retail Market Area Greater Retail Market Area Residential Market Area Atlanta MSA Source: ESRI BIS Community Tapestry Segments • Recognizing that people who share the same demographic characteristics may have widely divergent desires and preferences, Community Tapestry data (developed by ESRI Business Information Solutions) categorizes neighborhoods throughout the nation into 65 consumer groups or market segments. Neighborhoods are geographically defined by census blocks, which are analyzed and sorted 6 MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE by a variety of demographic and socioeconomic characteristics as well as other determinants of consumer behavior. Based on this information, neighborhoods are classified as one of 65 market segments. • Retail and Residential Market Area households have been grouped into Community Tapestry market segments. The top ten market segments within each of the geographic areas are shown in EC-5 and summarized below (listed alphabetically). • While the characteristics of each market segment varies, households within the Retail and Residential Market Areas are generally upwardly mobile, established and affluent. Most groups are made up of professionals and dual income households are the norm. Younger market segments (e.g., Young and Restless, Enterprising Professionals, Metro Renters, etc.) reflect a more urban and active lifestyle where purchases and activities are centered on entertainment and setting up their homes. Older and more established market segments (Connoisseurs, Metropolitans, Wealthy Seaboard Suburbs, etc.) have the wealth to maximize and enjoy their free time. Overall, Retail and Residential Market Area households have an urban orientation without the perceived drawbacks of living downtown. Exhibit EC-5 HOUSEHOLDS BY PRIMARY MARKET SEGMENT Retail and Residential Market Areas 2005 Local Retail Market Area Market Segment 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Percent of Market Segment Households Young and Restless Enterprising Professionals Metro Renters Connoisseurs International Marketplace In Style Aspiring Young Families Old and New Comers Trendsetters Wealthy Seaboard Suburbs Total Households Greater Retail Market Area 17.5% 9.7% 9.1% 8.1% 6.3% 6.0% 5.4% 4.9% 4.8% 4.5% Young and Restless Metro Renters Enterprising Professionals Aspiring Young Families Boomburgs Laptops and Lattes Suburban Splendor Connoisseurs Up and Coming Families Metropolitans 136,730 Residential Market Area Percent of Market Segment Households 13.0% 11.7% 8.7% 6.5% 5.3% 4.9% 3.8% 3.7% 3.3% 3.2% Up and Coming Families Young and Restless Boomburgs Metro Renters Enterprising Professionals Sophisticated Squires Aspiring Young Families Suburban Splendor Milk and Cookies Inner City Tenants 596,967 Note: Market Segments in bold indicate primary status in more than one geographic area. Source: ESRI BIS 7 MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE Percent of Households 8.8% 8.1% 7.8% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4% 6.1% 4.3% 3.7% 3.0% 1,037,171 8 Market Segment Socioeconomic Residential Preferences Aspiring Young Families • Local Retail HH: 5.4% • Greater Retail HH: 6.5% • Residential HH: 6.1% • Young families, married couples or single parents. • Ethnically diverse. • Average income. • Work mostly in service, sales, administration and government jobs. • Approximately onehalf have purchased single family detached and attached townhouses, valued slightly below the national average. • If renting, rents are typically slightly below average. • Buy big-ticket home furnishing items and electronics. • Purchase baby and children’s products and toys. • Like dancing, going to the movies, working out at the gym, kickboxing and attending pro basketball games. • Dine out at family restaurants. Boomburgs • Greater Retail HH: 5.3% • Residential HH: 7.8% • Fast growing market segment. • Affluent, double income families. • Newest addition to suburbia. • Median home value far above the national average and increasing. • Almost all own their homes. • Busy, upscale lifestyle. • Focus on home upgrades, furnishings and landscaping. • Spend on family, leisure and electronics. • Play golf, tennis and swim. Connoisseurs • Local Retail HH: 8.1% • Greater Retail HH: 3.7% • Affluent and older. • Approaching retirement. • Older children, if any, at home. • Live in older, affluent neighborhoods. • Likely to own. • Median home value is almost three times the national level. • Top rated for conspicuous consumption. • Spend heavily on travel and vacations. • Civic participation is high. Enterprising Professionals • Local Retail HH: 9.7% • Greater Retail HH: 8.7% • Residential HH: 6.5% • Young, highly educated working professionals. • Single or recently married. • Live in newer neighborhoods in townhomes or apartments. • Mobile but prefer to own rather than rent • Purchases reflect their youth, mobility and growing status. • Rely heavily on Internet for shopping, work and communication. • Travel, practice yoga, jog and go to the gym. Inner City Tenants • Residential HH: 3.0% • Young, multicultural households. • Singles and single parents. • Not highly educated. • Below average incomes generated from service and unskilled labor jobs. • Usually rent in mid-rise and high-rise buildings. • Renters predominate. • Much of their income is devoted to infant and children’s products. • Enjoy going to the movies, watching TV, shopping and attending basketball and football games. In Style • Local Retail HH: 6.0% • Affluent professionals. • Small household size – few children. • Dual income households. • Favor townhomes over single family detached. • Live in prestigious neighborhoods. • More suburban than urban but prefer an urban lifestyle. • Technologically savvy. • Home repairs and yard work are contracted out. • Health conscious – eat healthy and work out. MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE Market Segment 9 Socioeconomic Residential International Marketplace • Local Retail HH: 6.3% • Urban with a rich blend of cultures. • Young. • Half are Hispanic. • Labor force participation is high; many have part time jobs. • Variety of housing types. • Most rent apartments in multi-unit structures, but over one-third own their own home. • Homes tend to be older. • Family is a priority. • Purchases include groceries, children’s products. • Movie buffs, enjoy dining out, drinking beer. • Buy domestic & foreign vehicles. • Cost-conscious, shop at Target, Wal-mart, K-Mart. Laptops and Lattes • Greater Retail HH: 4.9% • Young, affluent and single. • Educated, working in professional jobs. • Median age slightly above the national level. • Singles and couples. • Likely to still be renting. • Live in multi-unit structures. • Active and unencumbered. • Technologically savvy (PCs, PDAs, etc). • Health conscious and physically fit. • Buy organic, exercise and are environmentally aware. Metro Renters • Local Retail HH: 9.1% • Greater Retail HH: 11.7% • Residential HH: 6.7% • Young, well educated professionals that are just starting out on their own. • Nearly one-third are in their twenties. • Incomes are slightly above average and climbing. • Likely to rent in highrise buildings. • High rents may force them to have roommates. • Live in ethnically diverse neighborhoods. • A young market, expenditures are primarily devoted to themselves: ski/workout clothing, designer apparel, organic food, travel and imported wine/beer. • Go to concerts, movies and dancing and enjoy yoga, skiing and jogging. • Shop online. • Favorite stores are Bloomingdales, Banana Republic, Macy’s and Gap. Metropolitans • Greater Retail HH: 3.2% • Singles and childless couples. • Slightly older with incomes above the national average. • Live in older neighborhoods. • Mix of single family and multi-unit structures. • Almost equally divided by renters and owners. • Busy, urban lifestyle. • Enjoy yoga, listen to jazz, rent foreign videos, attend rock concerts and visit museums. • Travel frequently for business and pleasure. Milk and Cookies • Residential HH: 3.7% • Young, affluent couples who are starting their families. • Many with children. • Dual income families. • Single family homes, valued close to the national average. • Most likely rent. • Focused on life, family and the future. • Buy baby and children’s products, invest and are well insured. • Spend time with their families at the zoo, going to the movies and visiting theme parks. • Busy lifestyles necessitate fast food and instant breakfasts. MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE Preferences Market Segment 10 Socioeconomic Residential Preferences Old and Newcomers • Local Retail HH: 4.9% • A combination of households just starting their careers or are retiring. • Young or old: in their 20s or 75+. • Incomes are slightly below average. • Single person and shared households more common than families. • Almost two-thirds rent. • Unencumbered lifestyle. • Drive compact cars and own cats • Recreation includes jogging, walking, golf and racquetball. Sophisticated Squires • Residential HH: 6.4% • Primarily families with children. • Commute to maintain a semi-rural lifestyle. • Well educated and professional. • Enjoy cultured country living in newer home developments. • Preference for low density development. • Ownership predominates. • Embracing a rural lifestyle. • Golf is a major interest – playing and watching. • Enjoy do-it-you-self home projects and gardening. Suburban Splendor • Greater Retail HH: 3.8% • Residential HH: 4.3% • Upwardly mobile suburban families. • Dual incomes. • Well educated and well employed. • Median age of 40. • Children at home. • Homes valued far above the national level. • Ownership predominates. • Value family and travel. • Purchase time saving gadgets. • Homes feature the latest amenities and designs. • Hire professionals to maintain their homes. Trendsetters • Local Retail HH: 4.8% • Young, diverse and mobile. • Above average incomes. • Non-traditional but professional jobs. • Rent upscale apartments. • Frequently singles and roommates. • Cutting edge urban style. • Love to shop online and in stores. • Technologically savvy. • Health conscious – eat well and exercise. Up and Coming Families • Greater Retail HH: 3.3% • Residential HH: 8.8% • Generation Xers growing up. • Young, affluent families with young children. • Growth market. • Newly developed homes. • Ownership predominates. • Homes valued slightly above the national average. • Family and home priorities dictate purchases: baby and children’s products, gardening supplies, home furnishings, etc. • Visit the zoo, take adult education classes, attend ball games. Wealthy Seaboard Suburbs • Local Retail HH: 4.5% • Older, affluent, professional couples. • Married with and without children. • Live in established, affluent neighborhoods. • Most likely own their home. • Single family structures. • Enjoy traveling and value their leisure time. • Contract out home and garden maintenance and repair. • Rely on the Internet for convenience rather than entertainment. Young and Restless • Local Retail HH: 17.5% • Greater Retail HH: 13.0% • Residential HH: 8.1% • Young and on the go. • Single person and shared households. • Moderate incomes. • Work in service and professional management occupations. • Due to their youth, high turnover. • Approximately threequarters are renters. • Rents and home values are in line with the national average. • Purchases center on themselves: sports clothing/gear, designer clothing and computers/software. • Enjoy movies, concerts, fast food and bar/grilles. • Use storage facilities. • Shop at Banana Republic and Express. MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE Employment Trends • The Selig Center of the University of Georgia predicts that the Atlanta MSA will generate 41% of total statewide job growth in 2005, increasing by 1.7% or 23,700 jobs. Statewide, job growth will remain sluggish at 1.5% due to residual weaknesses in the IT, air transportation, hospitality and manufacturing clusters. The Atlanta MSA’s high share of serviceproducing jobs and low shares of government and manufacturing jobs partially explains slightly above average employment gains (i.e., 1.7% vs. 1.5% statewide). Still, however, Atlanta’s sizable air transportation industry will limit job gains in 2005. The Atlanta MSA is an excellent choice for businesses to locate due to Hartsfield International Airport (the second busiest passenger airport in the world), a large pool of educated and talented workers, a diversified economy, several renowned academic institutions, continued, albeit slower, population growth and an excellent transportation system (e.g., interstate system, rail, transit, etc.). • Within the study area, there are an estimated 384 businesses that employ 4,738 workers (Exhibit EC-6). A large share of study area jobs (58%) are concentrated in the services sector, followed by the retail trade (17%), wholesale trade (10%), manufacturing (8%) and construction (6%). The ratio of employees (“daytime population”) to residents (“nighttime population”) is 3.78, indicating a significantly stronger commercial than residential base. EXHIBIT EC-6 BUSINESSES AND EMPLOYMENT WITHIN THE STUDY AREA AND WITHIN A 1-MILE, 2-MILE AND 3-MILE RADIUS 2005 Study Area 1-Mile Radius 2-Mile Radius 3-Mile Radius Businesses Employees Businesses Employees Businesses Employees Businesses Employees % % % % % % % % Industry Agriculture & Mining Construction Manufacturing Transportation Communication Electric/Gas/Water/Sanitary Services Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Home Improvement General Merchandise Food Stores Auto Dealers/Gas Stations/Auto Aftermart Apparel & Accessories Furniture & Home Furnishings Eating & Drinking Establishments Miscellaneous Retail Finance/Insurance/Real Estate Banks and Savings/Lending Securities Brokers Insurance Carriers and Agents Real Estate/Holding/Other Investment Services Hotels & Lodging Automotive Repair, Services, Parking Motion Picture & Amusements Health Legal Education Institutions & Libraries Other Services Government Other Total 1% 5% 5% 4% 1% 0% 7% 31% 1% 0% 4% 3% 4% 4% 7% 9% 9% 2% 1% 3% 4% 34% 0% 5% 2% 2% 1% 2% 23% 1% 1% 2% 6% 8% 1% 0% 0% 3% 17% 0% 0% 1% 6% 1% 3% 4% 3% 4% 1% 0% 1% 2% 58% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 2% 53% 1% 0% 1% 6% 6% 4% 1% 0% 10% 27% 1% 0% 3% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 2% 1% 2% 4% 33% 0% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2% 22% 1% 1% 2% 9% 9% 3% 0% 0% 6% 19% 1% 1% 1% 5% 1% 2% 5% 4% 3% 1% 0% 0% 2% 49% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 4% 42% 1% 0% 2% 6% 7% 4% 1% 0% 9% 24% 2% 0% 3% 3% 2% 3% 6% 5% 10% 3% 1% 2% 4% 36% 0% 4% 2% 4% 2% 2% 22% 1% 1% 2% 9% 10% 5% 0% 0% 8% 22% 2% 1% 2% 5% 1% 2% 5% 3% 5% 2% 0% 1% 2% 39% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1% 4% 28% 1% 0% 2% 6% 6% 4% 1% 0% 9% 22% 1% 0% 2% 3% 1% 3% 5% 5% 10% 3% 1% 2% 4% 38% 0% 4% 2% 5% 2% 2% 24% 1% 2% 2% 8% 9% 4% 0% 0% 9% 19% 2% 1% 2% 4% 1% 3% 5% 3% 6% 2% 0% 1% 2% 40% 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% 5% 26% 3% 0% 384 4,738 951 10,785 3,233 29,947 4,987 48,457 Daytime/Nighttime Population Ratio 3.78 1.00 Source: ESRI BIS 11 MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE 0.74 0.49 12 • Major employers in DeKalb County’s north quadrant include the General Motors Doraville plant, which currently employs some 3,500; President Baking Co., with 3,000 employees; Scientific Atlanta (435 employees); Quebecor Printing Atlanta (350 employees); and Hostess Cake Kitchens (325 employees). Outside the boundaries of the study area, Doraville’s General Motors plant is facing an uncertain future. General Motors’ ongoing financial difficulties combined with the fact that the Doraville plant is one of the company’s oldest facilities (1947) in a time of rapidly changing technologies suggests jobs losses or plant closure could occur in the foreseeable future. • Exhibit EC-6 also illustrates the types of industry immediately surrounding the study area and those further away (e.g., one-, two- and three-mile areas). The share of service jobs decreases moving away from the study area (from 58% in the study area to 40% within a three-mile radius) with gains in retail and wholesale trade, construction and manufacturing. The ratio of daytime/nighttime population significantly decreases as you move outside of the study area from 1.00 within a one-mile area to 0.74 in a two-mile are to 0.49 in a three-mile area, demonstrating a strong neighboring residential base. • The high number of employees within a one-, two- and three-mile area speaks well for future redevelopment activity in the study area as nearby employees are a valuable market for new retail and housing development. Almost 10,800 people work within one mile of the study area; nearly than 30,000 people work within two miles; and almost 48,500 work within three miles of the study area. MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE RESIDENTIAL PROFILE 13 • For the fourth consecutive year 2004 proved to be another fast paced year in the nation’s single-family market as new home sales reached record-breaking levels. Improved job growth, a rise in incomes, growth in new household formations (partially fueled by immigration) and moderate interest rates all contributed to a strong housing market. Low interest rates have had a direct impact on homeownership rates, as renters are finding that mortgage payments are increasingly comparable to rents – especially in the entry-level market. In addition, second-home purchases by baby boomers are also contributing to a strong housing market. Despite the likelihood of increasing interest rates, homebuilders anticipate a strong – although slightly weakening – housing market in 2005 as jobs and household income continue to improve. • The apartment market is positioned for a continued, mild recovery in 2005 with strong gains anticipated for 2006. While rising employment and interest rates should strengthen the rental market, the recovery will be subdued by an oversupply of units due to high completions in recent years. This is compounded by the fact that modest interest rate hikes will have a limited impact on homebuyers. The real estate brokerage firm, Marcus & Millichap reports vacancy rates holding steady at slightly less than 7% and expect a 40 basis point decrease in vacancy by year-end. A pull back in concessions is expected to push effective rents up by 2% in 2005. • Within the Atlanta region, homebuilders anticipate another record year for residential development, largely supported by low interest rates. Metrostudy (which tracks new home construction in the Atlanta metro area) reports that local housing inventory has remained steady over the past year. Metrostudy reports that single family inventory in the northern metro Atlanta counties was at an 8.3-month supply at the end of the first quarter of 2005, up from an 8.1-month supply a year ago. Within south metro counties, inventory was at an 8.7-month supply, up from a 7.9month supply a year ago. • The Atlanta Journal Constitution 2005 Home Report shows a 2004 median new home sales price of $189,900 in the Atlanta metro area, while resales earned a median price of $166,500. Housing prices in the metro area have remained somewhat in balance with incomes in recent years – unlike so many metro areas throughout the nation – largely due to a continuing supply of land, steady housing construction and moderately increasing employment. However, rising cost of materials and land will likely push sale prices upward in 2005. Choice Homes recently repriced its product from an average of $136,000 for a home to $145,000 to reflect the increased cost of materials. Another builder in the area, Forrest Homes, predicts that their average sales price will increase from $170,000 to $180,000. • In 2004, 232 homes sold in the study area’s 30340 Zip Code (up 9%) with a median price of $172,250 (up 1%). Exhibit EC-7 on the following page provides an overview of housing characteristics within the study area, city MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS RESIDENTIAL PROFILE and Residential Market Area as well as the Atlanta MSA for comparative purposes. EC-7 SUMMARY CHARACTERISTICS OF EXISTING HOUSING UNITS Study Area, City of Doraville, Residential Market Area and Atlanta MSA Housing Characteristic Study Area City of Doraville Residential Market Area Atlanta MSA 46% 54% 46% 54% 62% 38% 69% 31% $160,547 $168,721 $150,112 $158,044 $192,783 $252,400 $169,439 $218,080 Contract Rent (2000) Median Average $709 $713 $654 $653 $677 $678 $640 $638 Units in Structure (2000) Single Family Detached Single Family Attached 2-4 Units 5-9 Units 10+ Units Mobile Home Other 48.5% 5.9% 13.7% 17.0% 15.0% 0.0% 0.0% 58.8% 4.2% 13.5% 9.4% 13.9% 0.4% 0.0% 59.7% 4.7% 7.3% 8.9% 18.0% 1.2% 0.0% 67.0% 3.5% 5.5% 6.8% 12.5% 4.4% 0.0% Median Year Occupied Units Built (2000) 1967 1967 1980 1982 Occupied Units (2005) Owner-Occupied Renter-Occupied Owner-Occupied Unit Value (2005) Median Average Source: ESRI BIS • Housing tenure within the study area and City of Doraville is essentially split between rental and ownership. Not surprising due to a high share of renter units, the study area and City of Doraville have a smaller share of single family detached units compared to the Residential Market Area and Atlanta MSA. Housing value and rents within the study area and City are below Residential Market Area and MSA levels and units are generally older. Competitive For Sale Market • Atlanta’s condominium market continues to thrive, particularly in intown markets and close-in neighborhoods that surround downtown. Successful formats range from high-rise condominium projects such as the Metropolis in Midtown to mid-rise condo/loft projects in downtown Decatur to adaptive reuse loft projects in Inman Park. Factors underlying the resurgence of the condominium market in Atlanta include: − 14 MARKET ANALYSIS A demographic shift derived from the growth in the aging baby boomer and early retiree markets. Members of these groups are seeking active lifestyles in smaller, maintenance free, secure housing and prefer to own rather rent. EXISTING CONDITIONS RESIDENTIAL PROFILE − − − 15 As housing prices rise, condominiums are relatively more affordable than single family detached housing. This is especially appealing to young professional/first time homebuyers who want to build equity and enjoy the tax benefits of home ownership. A national shift in demand favoring intown or close-in housing. As interest rates fall, renters realize that rents are exceeding potential mortgage payments. • Although there is growing concern that Atlanta’s “condo craze” will result in an overbuilt market, larger scale projects continue to sell – and resell – well (e.g., the Metropolis). There is, however, a narrowing likelihood of high returns on flipping units as the supply expands. High quality affordable product (e.g., priced from $160,000-$190,000) is where the market is strongest as mortgage payments rival rents at this price point. • While higher density condominium/loft development has not yet reached Doraville, Chamblee’s Mid-City District has successfully capitalized on this trend. In only the past few years, several higher density loft and townhouse projects have been built or are in the process of being built. Peachtree-Malone Lofts, an adaptive reuse project on Peachtree Road completed in 2001, was Chamblee’s first large scale loft development. Peachtree-Malone sold out quickly and today units are selling in the upper $100,000s to low $300,000s. • The success of Peachtree-Malone combined with Chamblee’s excellent access and unique qualities have gained the interest of the development community. Two completed residential projects have experienced strong sales (The Chalfont on Peachtree and Heritage Lofts), so much in fact that the developers of both have taken on additional for-sale projects in the Mid-City District. An unnamed 60 to 70-unit condominium project is being built by the developers of The Chalfont with slightly more affordable but smaller condominium flats priced from the mid $200,000s to $300,000. Gilmer Development is breaking ground on Phase II of Heritage Lofts, where units will be priced significantly higher than Phase I. • Several other for-sale loft/condominium projects are in the development and planning stages. One large-scale project currently under construction – Lofts at 5300 by Charter Development Company – was originally slated to be rental apartments but was later adapted to accommodate condominiums. Smaller units start in the low $100,000s and reach the low $200,000s. Charter is also planning to break ground on an 83-unit mixeduse project (Miller Station) with 12,000 square feet of retail space within the next year. Another condominium project that will break ground by the end of 2005 is the Lofts at Antique Row, offering 55 luxury lofts priced from $350,000 to $550,000 with first-story retail. The developers of Lofts at Antique Row are also involved with Chamblee’s International Village project. • Exhibit EC-2 on the following page summarizes completed on nearly completed high density for-sale projects in Chamblee. MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS RESIDENTIAL PROFILE Exhibit EC-8 SUMMARY OF SELECTED HIGHER DENSITY, ATTACHED FOR-SALE PROJECTS Competitive Market Area Summer 2005 Development (Year Opened) Developer/Builder Unit Type Heritage Lofts of Chamblee (2004) Chamblee Dunwoody @ Peachtree Rd Gilmer Development New Contraction Mid-rise Brick Structure Two Bedroom, Two-Story Lofts First Story Retail Lofts at 5300 (2005) Peachtree Rd @ Miller Dr Charter Development Company New Contraction Mid-rise Building Under Construction Mid City District Location Chalfont on Peachtree (2005) Chamblee Tucker @ Peachtree Rd Luxury Townhomes Three-Story Brownstone Brick New Contraction Peachtree Malone Lofts (2001) Peachtree Rd @ Malone Michael Perkins Development Adaptive Reuse/New Construction Adjacent to the Mid City District Mid-rise Building Across from MARTA Station Total Units 16 Unit Price Range Unit Size Range From To From To $299,000 $329,000 1,250 1,400 Price/SF $237 Sales Total /Mo 13 1.6 New construction with historic loft elements. Sound proofing, steel frame construction. French doors with balconies, granite countertops, exposed brick, hardwood and concrete floors, high ceilings, full gym. Attracting Chamblee Airport pilots/employees, singles/couples without children and empty nesters. Success has prompted Phase II that is expected to break ground at the end of 2005, priced at $450,000 and up. Located next to Chamblee City Hall. 242 $116,900 $235,000 622 1,230 $190 30 15.0 Located across from the Chamblee MARTA station. Under construction with first closings scheduled for September. Sales began two months ago with 30 units under contract. One-, two- and three-bedroom units priced from the low $100,000s to mid $200,000s. Pool, rooftop garden/tennis, three courtyards, business center, fitness center. Granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, hardwood floors. Project includes 5,300 square feet of retail. Charter plans to build an additional 83 condos from the $190,000s at the adjacent mixed-use Miller Station project that is expected to begin construction within the next year. 25 $350,000 $357,000 2,500 2,500 $141 25 4.2 Close to the Chamblee MARTA station. Phase I and II sold out in six months. Prices started at $314,000 and last home is under contract for $350,000. One resale listed at $357,000. Two- and three-bedroom luxury townhome units: optional third bedroom on the lower level. Granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, butlers pantry, security system, double sinks, 2-car garage. Attracts single and married professionals and empty nesters. Some investor units. The developer plans to build a new 60-70 unit midrise condo development across the street with first story retail priced in the mid $200,000s to $300,000. 140 (Approx) $174,900 $299,999 1,075 1,820 $164 Resales Resales Centered on a former warehouse built in the 1940s. First phase was the redevelopment of the warehouse. Second phase included a newly developed mid-rise building. Oneand two-bedroom resale units ranging from the $170,000s to the to $300,000. Concrete floors, exposed finishes, high ceilings, pool. Source: Marketek, Inc. • 16 Although outside of the study area, there are several large-scale condominium projects planned in the Perimeter Mall area. Sembler is planning a 42-acre, $165 million mixed-use project across from Perimeter Mall. Anchors will include a Super Target and an Archer Farms grocery store. The development will entail 500,000 square feet of retail (including 13 restaurants) as well as a 325-unit apartment building developed by Lincoln Properties and a 27-story, 220-condominium unit tower developed by South Eastern Capital. Sembler is also planning to renovate Park Place, located across from Perimeter Mall, which will include 110 high-end condominiums in the rear. Although just in the planning stages, Cousins Properties/Equity Office Properties Trust is planning a major development project at the corner of Perimeter Center West and Hammond Drive that MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS RESIDENTIAL PROFILE will include 1.3 million square feet of office space, 650 residential units and 150,000 square feet of retail. The project is contingent upon market conditions. Competitive Rental Market • Similar to the national apartment market, the Atlanta area has been hard hit by recent job losses and low interest rates. Anticipated job gains in the MSA combined, hopefully, with continued restraint on the part of developers will help the rental market regain its footing in 2005. By yearend, asking rents are expected to increase modestly by 1% to an average of $806 per month with vacancy rates down slightly to 10.8%. There appears to be some level of consensus that the worst is over in the apartment market. Developers are showing the greatest interest in intown and close-in submarkets. 17 • The popularity of Atlanta’s entry-level condominium market is taking its toll on apartment development, particularly in Atlanta’s intown and close-in areas. For the first time in one of the area’s best known apartment developer’s 33-year history, Post Properties began construction on a $95 million condominium project in Washington D.C. last year followed by its announcement to develop a 500-unit condominium project in Buckhead due in 2007. Post Properties and other developers are increasingly converting apartments to condominium units to capitalize on this growing trend. As mentioned earlier, Chamblee’s Lofts at 5300 was originally intended to be an apartment development but was later redrafted as a condominium project. • Within and immediately bordering the study area there are a handful of older (i.e., approximately 30 years or more) apartment complexes with limited amenities. Apartment development has been absent from the recent flood of residential development in Chamblee’s Mid City District. There is only one apartment development planned in the district (The Battery) that has been held up for almost two years by environmental issues. The Battery, which is expected to begin leasing in spring/summer 2006, will offer 192 one- and two-bedroom units targeting young professional singles and couples as well as empty nesters. The project manager noted that on several occasions his company has been approached by others interested in acquiring the site for condominium development. • The Promenade of Peachtree (formerly the Jefferson on Peachtree) is one of the most recently developed apartment communities in the area. Opening in 2000, the Promenade on Peachtree is located in Chamblee on Johnson Ferry Road (“North Brookhaven”) and offers an ample variety of community and unit amenities. Reportedly 96% occupied, rents range from $795 for one-bedroom units to $1,300 for three-bedroom units. MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS RESIDENTIAL PROFILE • Exhibit EC-9 provides an overview of apartment communities located within and close to the study area. Value ratios range from $0.58 to $0.98 per square foot with generally high occupancies. The rental market is considered in equilibrium when occupancy rates reach 95% or more. Exhibit EC-9 also shows that most of the projects in the vicinity of the study area were built prior to 1990 and offer standard unit and community amenities (pool, laundry, washer/dryer connections, playground and clubhouse/community room). Exhibit EC-9 SUMMARY CHARACTERISTICS OF SELECTED RENTAL PROJECTS Competitive Residential Market Area Summer 2005 Project/ Unit Size Promenade at P'tree One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom Low Rent High Square Feet Low High Rent/ Sq. Ft. Location Structure Type Occ Rate Year Built Comments Mid-rise Flats 96% 2000 Recently developed, attractive community that is attracting young professionals. Upgraded amenities include tennis, housekeeping, sauna, whirlpool, pool and door attendant. 3-Story Flats 96% 1989 $735 $950 $1,300 $875 $1,135 $1,300 406 Units 742 929 994 1,338 1,446 1,446 Johnson $0.96 Ferry Road, $0.89 Chamblee $0.90 Cameron Brook One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom $415 $631 $829 $595 $767 $849 440 Units 543 851 988 1,114 1,254 1,350 $0.72 Dawson Blvd, Doraville $0.67 $0.64 Wood Terrace One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom $490 $625 $750 476 Units 715 809 980 1,080 1,289 1,289 $0.62 $0.61 $0.58 Wood Terrace Place, Doraville 3-Story Flats 82% $460 $625 $750 Foxfire One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom $549 $659 $800 266 Units 900 900 1,150 1,150 1,300 1,300 $0.61 $0.57 $0.62 Peachtree Industrial Blvd, Doraville 3-Story Flats 93% $549 $659 $800 Wyndham Creek Two Bedroom Three Bedroom $0.51 $0.49 Tilly Mill Road, Doraville 2-Story TH and Flats 1972 $799 $930 114 Units 1,190 1,557 1,190 1,928 98% $590 $590 Peachtree Place North One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom $0.65 $0.58 $0.98 Peachtree Place Parkway, Doraville 2-Story Flats 1983 $560 $700 $875 309 Units 800 900 1,038 1,284 1,351 351 99% $550 $650 $800 Medowglen Village One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom $535 $575 $1,000 646 Units 555 710 840 1,034 1,204 1,524 $0.77 $0.60 $0.66 Peachtree Place Parkway, Doraville 2 and 3-Story Flats 97% $445 $555 $799 Shallowford Gardens One Bedroom Two Bedroom 1970s 626 828 $0.88 $0.79 Shallowford, Doraville 100% $550 $650 104 Units 626 825 2-Story $550 $650 Located in the study area. Mostly families (80%), many Asian and Hispanic. On-site laundry, playground, community room. Tenants work in landscaping, painting, construction. Shallowford Arms One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom NA NA NA NA NA NA Shallowford, Road, Chamblee 2-Story Flats 1970s $550 $750 $800 48 Units NA NA NA 96% $525 $725 $800 Purchased the property in 1990 and has slowly been renovating the property. Basic amenities (Laundry and playground) but well managed. Mostly Hispanic and African American families, most of who work in the northeast area. Shallowford Pines One Bedroom Two Bedroom NA NA NA NA Shallowford, Chamblee 2-Story Flats 1970s $550 $750 72 Units NA NA 96% $525 $725 Owned by the same company as Shallowford Purchased the property in 1995. Has also purchased other properties nearby. Wynchase One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom $565 $750 $815 136 Units 784 784 885 943 1,154 1,154 $0.72 $0.79 $0.71 Shallowford, Road, Chamblee 2-Story Flats 99% $565 $690 $815 1970s Located within the study area. A number of families. On-site laundry, pool, palyground. Tennis, playground, fitness center, pool, on-site laundry, car wash. W/D/C, on-site laundry, clubhouse, fitness, pool, tennis, whirlpool. MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS 1973 W/D in unit or W/D/C, fitness, extra storage, hot tub, business center, pool. Clubhouse, business center, playground, on-site laundry. W/D connections, fitness, tennis, clubhouse, pool. 1987 W/D connections, tennis, clubhouse, pool, playground Source: Marketek Inc. 18 1987 RESIDENTIAL PROFILE • 19 Managers at projects located within or bordering the study area noted a high share of Hispanic and African American tenants, many with families. Rents at these projects are surprisingly high, likely forcing many tenets to allocate a disproportionate share of their income (i.e., more than 30%) for rent. MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS RESIDENTIAL PROFILE RETAIL PROFILE 20 • Throughout the recent economic downturn and gradual recovery, the nation’s retail sector remained one of the few well performing sectors of the economy. Low interest rates played a key role in supporting retail sales by increasing the borrower’s disposable income. However, as oil prices continue to rise, consumers will have fewer discretionary dollars to spend on retail items. Thus far, long-term leases and restrained new construction have shielded shopping center landlords from fluctuations in spending. Reis reports that during the first quarter of 2005, vacancy rates edged up slightly but effective rents also increased. Over the next few years Reis predicts that added new construction (a faster pace than previous years) could push vacancy rates upward, but that higher rents at new shopping centers will boost average effective rents. • Atlanta’s strong population growth and in-migration, robust residential development and a strong economy have sustained the local retail market. Retail growth is expected to be especially strong in Atlanta’s intown neighborhoods and southern suburbs where new residents are being drawn. While Marcus & Millichap predicts a 4.4% increase in Atlanta’s retail sales in 2005, vacancy is expected to drop only slightly to 8.7%, due to significant recent and near term construction as national retailers continue to increase their presence in the metro area. Asking rents are expected to climb to $16.87 (2.5%) by year end. • According to statistics published by Dorey Publishing and Information Services, a local commercial real estate database company, in its semiannual Dorey’s Atlanta Retail Space Guide, the metro Atlanta retail submarkets within which the study area is located is called the “Northeast Atlanta” submarket by Dorey. As of the spring/summer of 2005, according to Dorey the Northeast submarket included over 5.8 million square feet. Vacancy is reported at 4.5% with 261,308 square feet of available space. Available rent range is $16.72 to $18.64. • There is no space under construction in the Northeast Atlanta Market but several retail/office projects are planned including Chamblee’s highly anticipated International Village. Peter Chang and Chuck Schmidt have broken ground on the 30-acre International Village redevelopment project that extends from Chamblee Tucker Road to Chamblee Dunwoody Road. The project is designed to build upon Atlanta’s growing reputation as an international city, appealing to nearby and regional residents/businesses as well as visitors (particularly those using DeKalb Peachtree Airport). Construction of Phase I of the 500,000 square foot mixed-use project is expected to take two years, which will include the expansion of the existing Chinatown Square (Asian Square) and the development of multi-national pubic market. Once complete, Asian Square will entail 144,500 square feet of for-sale office and retail space. The public market will be occupied by a variety of food-related businesses (e.g., restaurants, organic grocery, venders, etc…) and arts related/cultural activities and goods. Ultimately, International Village will also include the following: MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS RETAIL PROFILE − − − − − A 120 to 150-room hotel at the center of the development; A 17,400 square foot performing arts center with two adjacent office/retail buildings (15,750 square feet); An amphitheater intended for a variety of entertainment uses; A Mediterranean Village with 28,500 square feet of Italian and Greek restaurants, specialty shops and offices; and A 20,300 square foot/1,000 seat conference center. Development is expected to begin at the Chamblee Dunwoody side of the site and move toward the Chamblee Tucker side. Residential development will not be included in the project due to noise abatement restrictions placed on the site due to its proximity to the airport. 21 • Also planned in Chamblee is an “urban format” Wal-Mart in the Mid-City district. Located on Peachtree Industrial at Chamblee Tucker and Claremont, the Wal-Mart will occupancy just under 300,000 square feet with the vast majority of parking developed underground. While still a bigbox, the new Wal-Mart will be brick with smaller retail spaces wrapped around the store (all of which must be competed before the Wal-Mart opens). The project is expected to be complete in 2007. • Members of the International Village development team also participated in the development of the Plaza del Sol shopping center, just outside of the study area in Chamblee. Formerly a rundown warehouse on New Peachtree Road, the 66,000 square foot Plaza del Sol opened in 2002 as a shopping center that is reminiscent of a Latin Village with features such as murals painted above the entranceway, tiled roof and low archways. Today the center is approximately 60% occupied with lease rates at approximately $17 N per square foot. Vacancies can be partially attributed to the developer’s unsuccessful attempts to attract a clinic to a prime space. Tenants include restaurants, sports apparel/goods, an event space, a bakery, the Mexican/American Business Chamber, Dollar Store, hair salon, photography studio and a Latin grocery store. The project is located within an Enterprise zone as well as an International Overlay District. • The square footage of the shopping centers in the area from Chamblee Dunwoody to Doraville Plaza on Buford Highway north of I-285 is approximately 500,000 square feet. Summary characteristics of a sample of these centers are shown in Exhibit EC-10 on the following page. • Leasing agents in the area say that it is difficult to find vacant space for new businesses. In an interview with the Atlanta Business Chronicle, a commercial property owner in the area recently noted that the Buford Highway retail market is “strong as a rope. There’s very little vacancy and you can build just about anything and enjoy a lot of tenant demand.” The square foot rate is generally $14 to $16/N. • This retail market is extremely tight despite the fact that some of the shopping centers are obsolete with marginal businesses. Overall, however, the predominantly ethnic centers such as Northwoods Plaza and International Plaza are busy, well maintained with an array of interesting MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS RETAIL PROFILE shops and restaurants. The district is sometimes referred to as Atlanta’s “Little Asia,” reportedly hosting the greatest ethnically-owned concentration of businesses in the southeast. One of the interesting aspects of Buford Highway’s international retail base is that it is truly multicultural (Japanese, Korean, Hispanic, Chinese, Taiwanese, etc.), which boosts retail sales by encouraging cross ethic traffic. Ethically owned businesses have essentially transformed this segment of Buford Highway, creating a new identity for the area and occupying space that had almost been forgotten. The unique variety of ethnic goods not only serves the needs of nearby ethnic residents, but pulls in shoppers from throughout the region. Exhibit EC-10 SUMMARY CHARACTERISTICS OF SELECTED SHOPPING CENTERS Summer 2005 Center/Location Location Type Distance (Miles) GLA Year Built Number of Stores Anchors/Businesses Sq. Ft. Rate Doraville Plaza 5766 Buford Hwy. C 0.79 189,467 0% 0 NA 30 Value City. Center obsolete, marginal businesses. $14/N Northwoods Plaza 5053 Buford Hwy. N 0.88 48,850 0% 0 NA 29 Unanchored strip center. Well kept, clean, busy $14/N International Plaza 5979 Buford Hwy. N 1.39 58,834 2% 1,400 1995 23 Unanchored strip center U-shaped center $18-$25/ NNN North Hills 3549 Chamblee Tucker Rd N 1.53 101,714 1% 1,260 1980 9 Duron Paints, Big Lots. An aging center with a mix of ethnic and traditional businesses. Main Event Fitness $14/N Pinetree Plaza 5229 Buford Highway C 0.49 206,411 0% 0 1959 70 Pinetree West Plaza 5280 Buford Highway N 0.35 21,688 0% 0 1964 14 H&R Block $10-$12/N Asian Square 5150 Buford Highway C 0.48 NA 0% 0 NA 38 80% ethnic, pediatric clinic, books, videos, jewelry, optical, herbs, Anchored by Ranch Market $12/N Farmers Market Buford Highway C 0.60 140,000 0.00% 0 1975 4 A market with food and some dry goods. About 80% ethnic. NA Vacancies Rate Space Note: Distance is measured in miles from the intersection on Buford Highway and Dogwood Drive. Key: C: Community Shopping Center D: Downtown Business District N: Neighborhood Shopping Center PC: Power Center Source: Marketek, Inc. 22 MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS RETAIL PROFILE $14-$16/N 23 • The nearest traditional super market, a Kroger, is located at Embry Hills located on Chamblee Tucker Road, roughly 1.5 miles from the intersection of Buford Highway and Park Avenue. • The shopping centers shown in Exhibit EC-10 have food, services and merchandise targeted at the ethnic market in the area. At the Farmers Market on Buford Highway at I-285, the manager estimates that only about 20% of the food and merchandise is “traditional.” • Chamblee’s “Antique Row” shopping district is a short drive from the study area in downtown Chamblee. Over 200 antique and collectable dealers are located in the district, occupying approximately 500,000 square feet of retail space, much of which is located in historic spaces. The success of Antique Row will likely assist in attracting retail businesses to the study area, as it demonstrates the market for smaller, related and often independently owned businesses in the area. MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS RETAIL PROFILE OFFICE-INDUSTRIAL PROFILE Doraville is located close to three major metro Atlanta concentrations of office space: Central Perimeter, Peachtree Corners, and I-85 North/Inside I285. Office Market • Clustered around the I-285/Ga. 400 interchange, the Central Perimeter is Atlanta's single largest concentration of office space. According to Dorey Market Analysis Group, a local commercial and industrial real estate data provider, the high-density Central Perimeter submarket hosts some 22.8 million square feet of buildings, comprising 17.7% of the 128.4 million square-foot metro market as a whole. 24 • Driven since its inception in the 1980s by a user base that runs the gamut from medical services to all members of the FIRE (Finance, Insurance and Real Estate) sector, Central Perimeter has been suffering from relatively high vacancy rates over the past several years, thanks in large part to price-and-location-based competition for tenants from facilities in the Roswell/Alpharetta/GA 400 market to the north. • Although newer, top-quality Central Perimeter office buildings tend to be well-occupied, overall vacancy here has fluctuated in the 20% range for the past several years, ending second quarter 2005 at the 25.6% mark, compared with 21.6% for the Atlanta office market as a whole. • There are currently no major office buildings under construction here. Indeed, the current trend is for older office buildings to be torn down to make way for high-density residential and retail projects, as evidenced by recent teardowns of office buildings at Perimeter Center Office Park to make way for a retail center by The Sembler Co. and an apartment project by A.G. Spanos.; and the recent sale of a 135,000 square-foot office building at 1100 Ashwood Parkway by Southeast Capital Partners for luxury townhome development. • To the east of Doraville, Peachtree Corners is a 5.1 million square-foot office market with a 20.7% vacancy rate. Started in the 1970s to provide decision-makers living in upper-end housing in the area with work locations close to home, over the past several years this suburban market has begun to experience vacancy problems. According to some observers, this market is suffering as decision-makers move their residences north and east to new upper-end residential areas springing up in northeast Gwinnett County, taking their offices with them. • South of and immediately contiguous to Doraville, I-85 North/Inside I-285 is a 5.5 million square-foot market comprised primarily of older buildings. These buildings are largely tenanted by governmental-and-related space users drawn by the market's easy access, via I-85, to a vast portion of the metro area, along with low rents. Activity by these users tends to keep this market fairly well occupied: vacancy as of the end of second quarter 2005 was 14.7%, one of the lowest vacancy rates among all components MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS OFFICE-INDUSTRIAL PROFILE of the metro office marketplace. It also generates some new construction from time to time in well-established parks such as Century Center. Industrial Market • Doraville, along with neighboring Chamblee, is situated in what Dorey Market Analysis calls the "Northeast/I-85" industrial corridor. This corridor runs from intown Atlanta northeast through Gwinnett County, and is centered upon I-85, Buford Highway, and Peachtree Industrial Boulevard. It contains a wide variety of industrial product types, including smaller, older, often functionally obsolescent distribution facilities, located within aging intown industrial districts, that are in some instances being converted to retail uses; diverse manufacturing and R&D facilities both large and small; and, as one moves into eastern Gwinnett, the latest in big-box warehouse development. As of the end of second quarter 2005, this 120.7 million square-foot market (comprising nearly 30% of metro Atlanta's 422.9 million square-foot total) was 10.5% vacant, compared with a metrowide average of 15.6%. 25 • One of Doraville’s most significant competitive assets in attracting industrial development is its location inside the Perimeter, something that is increasingly rare. While more expensive space inside the Perimeter is not always desirable, some companies benefit from improved proximity to a denser labor base and/or clients. • A major focus of industrial development/redevelopment in the Chamblee/Doraville area may likely be upon the General Motors Doraville Plant. It is currently unclear whether this plant, originally constructed in 1947, will survive the current cost-cutting/profitability pressures with which the world's largest automaker is currently addressing. MARKET ANALYSIS EXISTING CONDITIONS OFFICE-INDUSTRIAL PROFILE RESIDENTIAL MARKET POTENTIAL New housing development will play a central role in building a vibrant and sustainable study area, acting as an anchor that will attract businesses, services and activities, enlivening the overall district. The Residential Market Area is comprised of the area within a 20-mile radius of the study area and is considered to be the area from which a majority of potential residents of newly developed housing in the study area will be drawn. Estimates of potential demand for the for-sale and rental sectors for the 2005-2015 period are provided. • A statistical demand analysis was performed for the Residential Market Area to estimate the potential market depth for for-sale and rental housing (Exhibits HD-1 to HD-3). Even though the analysis uses finite numbers, the end result (i.e., potential market support) should be interpreted as an approximation of market depth that is balanced with the characteristics of the competitive supply. • The two main sources of annual potential demand for housing are new household growth and turnover. New household growth1 is traditionally used to project market growth and is based on population and household growth projections. The owner and renter analyses use the average annual increase in population beginning with the estimated household base in 2005 and the projected 2005-2015 annual increase in new households. • In both the owner and renter demand analysis, the more quantitatively significant source of potential demand, turnover, has as a base the estimated number of owner or renter occupied units that will exist within the Residential Market Area during the next ten years. Projected owner or renter occupied households are qualified or segmented by owner or renter turnover rates (derived from the 2000 Census). • Households that will potentially be owners or renters are qualified by income, household size and Tapestry data. Recognizing that potential demand for study area housing will depend on housing preferences of new and existing market area households, Tapestry data is used to narrow the estimated potential demand to include households that would be most attracted to new housing developed in the study area (e.g., young professionals, empty nesters, couples with few or no children, etc.). In other words, the appeal of residential development in the study area will vary depending on a household’s characteristics or preferences/lifestyle choice. For instance, a large family may prefer a house with a big yard as opposed to a loft-style condominium in a transit-oriented, mixed-use setting. • It is assumed that a majority of prospective homebuyers have annual incomes of $40,000 and higher and live in one to three person households. Based on the estimate that 62% of Residential Market Area households will 1 New households are those currently living outside of the Residential Market Area, the majority of whom likely reside within the Atlanta MSA. 26 MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RESIDENTIAL MARKET POTENTIAL own rather than rent and that 66% of new households moving into the Residential Market Area prefer to own their home, Exhibit HD-1 estimates that over the next ten years 20,200 households will be potential buyers of higher density, mixed-use market rate housing built in the Residential Market Area each year. • Exhibit HD-2 presents the potential demand for market rate rental product within the Residential Market Area. Similar to Exhibit HD-1, households are qualified by Tapestry group, income and household size. One to three person households with annual incomes between $25,000 and $60,000 are represented in Exhibit HD-2. An estimated 16,079 annual households in the Residential Market Area are potential renters at market rate projects set in a mixed-use setting. The potential demand analysis completed for this study does not include prospective households from outside the Market Area that would be drawn to the study area as redevelopment progresses. • Based on an evaluation of the housing market in the Doraville area (particularly in neighboring Chamblee), planned and proposed physical improvements in the study area, access to MARTA and the Interstate, the anticipated expansion of the Doraville’s position as a mixed-use center and our experience in facilitating residential development in comparable areas, Marketek estimates that during the first ten years of development, approximately 6,209 units of market rate for-sale and rental housing units could be absorbed in the study area (Exhibit HD-3). Again, this estimate is narrowed by Tapestry data to include only households that would be most interested in living in a higher density, transit-oriented, mixed-use environment. • Within the estimated demand for 6,209 residential units in the study area, 59% (or 3,636 units) is for-sale product and 41% (or 2,573 units) is rental product. Marketek estimates that the study area has the potential to capture 2% of Residential Market Area demand for higher density, for-sale product and rental product between 2005 and 2015, the vast majority of which will be new construction. The projection for the potential demand for housing in the study area assumes that there will exist marketable forsale and rental product and that a marketing program for new housing will be underway. This will include marketing programs tailored to ethnic households who, often despite excellent creditworthiness, find it difficult to overcome existing barriers to homeownership (language obstacles, established credit histories, etc.). • While the conclusion that there is unmet potential demand for housing in the study area is difficult to quantify directly, the following evidence exists to support this conclusion: − − − − − 27 MARKET ANALYSIS Proven market for higher density for-sale product in Chamblee. Growing popularity of mixed-use housing. Immediate access to MARTA and I-285/I-85. Inner perimeter location without intown prices. Shortage of newly developed, affordable and/or quality rental units in the area. DEMAND ANALYSIS RESIDENTIAL MARKET POTENTIAL 28 • Based on recent home sales in and close to the study area, opening price points of condominium/loft units should range from $160,000-$270,000 with townhouses priced from $220,000-$320,000. Opening price points for single family detached infill housing in the study area’s established neighborhoods should range from $250,000-$350,000. Smaller, more affordable units will appeal to first time homebuyers while larger, more expensive units will appeal to move-up or move-over buyers as well as empty nesters/retirees. Although there is clearly demand for units priced above $350,000, it is our opinion that in this market when unit prices rise above this level – particularly in the early phase of redevelopment – demand will begin to thin out. • Current monthly rents at market rate rental communities surveyed in the Doraville area suggest that market rents in the range of $950 to $1,150 for a two-bedroom unit would be achievable in the study area. These rents assume the apartment communities would offer a unique architectural style, be developed in a transit-oriented/mixed-use setting and have amenities offered at competitive projects. Community features should include secure parking with at least one space per unit, a fitness center, pool, enhanced security measures and a business center. Possible upgraded community features shared space (e.g., community/rooftop garden, internet café), tennis, housekeeping/concierge services and a car “checkout” program for tenants who primarily rely on MARTA. Washer/dryer hookup or washer/dryer, balcony, extra storage, dishwasher/disposal, cable-ready and high-speed Internet access should be standard unit features. Many successful rental projects throughout the nation incorporate features that were once reserved for owner occupied homes to reduce the distinction between renters and owners: private street level entrances, assigned street addresses to individual units, garages and storage with direct access to the unit. • While a bulk of rental communities developed in the study area will target upwardly mobile/affluent nontraditional households (e.g., singles living together, childless couples, empty nesters, etc.), affordably priced workforce housing should also be incorporated in the housing program. Although quantifying the market for affordable housing (i.e., housing targeted at households with incomes at or below 80% of the Area Median Income) is beyond the scope of this project, ideally a portion of new housing in the study area will target low to moderate income households. Providing a variety of housing options that meet the needs of varying income groups help to create authentic, vibrant and sustainable communities. • Recent housing development in Chamblee has failed to include moderately priced housing, and only a fraction of new housing developed is rental. The growing presence of immigrant households in the area – many with large families – underscores the need for affordably priced housing (particularly rental). The study area’s proximity to MARTA will enable residents without cars (often the case for low income households) to access employment opportunities throughout the metro area. Higher density housing is one way to facilitate affordable housing development, as well as government-sponsored programs (e.g., Low MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RESIDENTIAL MARKET POTENTIAL Income Housing Tax Credit Program, down payment assistance programs, Community Development Block Grants). The most successful mixed income communities are those where lower and higher priced homes blend seamlessly. 29 • Live/work units – rental and for-sale – should be included in the study area housing mix to accommodate growing numbers of people who are seeking larger than average space that is adaptable to living and working. The concept of live/work housing is gaining momentum as more people are choosing to work from home. Live/work units range from smaller (1,000 square feet) open floor plans with exposed structural features and curtains/low walls to separate living/working space to higher end commercial first floor space (retail, office, service, technology-based) with upper level (one or two floors) living areas accessed by a separate entrance. • Early residents of newly developed market rate housing in the study area are likely to be relatively mobile, well educated, active and somewhat adventuresome. Exhibit HD-4 provides a generalized summary of primary target markets for residential development in the study area. Prospective residents will primarily include singles and couples with few or no children, employees who work nearby, empty nesters interested in downsizing or moving to a location where they can walk to shopping, entertainment and MARTA. Immigrant households in the study area could also prove to be a valuable market for new housing, many of whom will demand larger units to accommodate families as well as affordable rents/home prices. Unit/project design should vary depending on target market lifestyles. For instance, young singles who spend little time at home will be happy with smaller units but large bedrooms while empty nesters will require space for entertaining and ample storage for years of accumulating furniture, books, clothing, etc. MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RESIDENTIAL MARKET POTENTIAL Exhibit HD-1 POTENTIAL ANNUAL DEMAND ANALYSIS FOR FOR-SALE UNITS Residential Market Area 2005-2015 New Household Demand Annual New Households (1) Owner Propensity Number Target Market Adjustment (2) Number Income Qualified (3) Number Household Size Qualified (4) Sub-Total Turnover 25,687 66% 16,953 30% 5,086 71% 3,611 71% 2,564 Total Households (1) 1,037,171 Owner Propensity Number 62% 643,046 Turnover Rate (5) Number Target Market Adjustment (6) Number Income Qualified (7) Number Household Size Qualified (8) Sub-Total Adjustment Factor (9) 1. ESRI BIS 2. Based on Tapestry data, estimated proportion of new households to whom the proposed type of housing would appeal. 3. Estimated proportion of new households with annual incomes of $40,000 and greater. 4. Estimated proportion of new households with 1, 2 and 3 persons. 5. U.S. Bureau of the Census estimate of the number of owner households that turnover within a 15 month period. 6. Based on Tapestry data, estimated proportion of existing market area households to whom the proposed type of housing would appeal. 7. Estimated proportion of existing households with annual incomes of $40,000 and greater. 8. Estimated proportion of existing households with 1, 2 and 3 persons. 9. Adjustment for households that fall outside of the model. Sources: Marketek, Inc.; Census 2000; ESRI BIS MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS 83,596 35% 29,259 72% 21,066 75% 15,800 10% Total Potential Annual Market Demand 30 13% RESIDENTIAL MARKET POTENTIAL 20,200 Exhibit HD-2 POTENTIAL ANNUAL DEMAND ANALYSIS FOR RENTAL UNITS Residential Market Area 2005-2015 New Household Demand Annual New Households (1) Renter Propensity Number Target Market Adjustment(2) Number Income Qualified (3) Number Household Size Qualified (4) Subtotal Turnover 25,687 34% 8,734 30% 2,620 23% 603 77% 464 Total Households (1) 1,037,171 Renter Propensity Number 38% 394,125 Turnover Rate (5) Number Target Market Adjustment(6) Number Income Qualified (7) Number Household Size Qualified (8) Sub-Total Adjustment Factor (9) 1. ESRI BIS 2. Based on Tapestry data, estimated proportion of new households to whom the proposed type of housing would appeal. 3. Estimated proportion of new households with annual incomes of $25,000-$60,000. 4. Estimated proportion of new households with 1, 2 and 3 persons. 5. U.S. Bureau of the Census estimate of the number of renter households that turnover within a 15 month period. 6. Based on Tapestry data, estimated proportion of existing market area households to whom the proposed type of housing would appeal. 7. Estimated proportion of existing households with annual incomes of $25,000-$60,000. 8. Estimated proportion of existing households with 1, 2 and 3 persons. 9. Adjustment for households that fall outside of the model. Sources: Marketek, Inc.; Census 2000; ESRI BIS MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS 177,356 35% 62,075 30% 18,622 76% 14,153 10% Total Potential Annual Market Demand 31 45% RESIDENTIAL MARKET POTENTIAL 16,079 EXHIBIT HD-3 POTENTIAL SUPPORTABLE FOR-SALE AND RENTAL PRODUCT Residential Market Area and Study Area Capture 2005-2015 Year For Sale Units Renter Units Total Study Area Capture Potential Study Area Potential Study Area For-Sale & Percent Percent Demand Capture Rate Units Demand Capture Rate Units Rental For-Sale Rental Units Units Units Units (1) Units (2) Year 1 20,200 1.0% 202 16,079 1.0% 161 363 55.7% 44.3% Year 2 20,200 1.0% 202 16,079 1.0% 161 363 55.7% 44.3% Year 3 Year 4 20,200 20,200 1.0% 2.0% 202 404 16,079 16,079 1.5% 1.5% 241 241 443 645 45.6% 62.6% 54.4% 37.4% Year 5 20,200 2.0% 404 16,079 1.5% 241 645 62.6% 37.4% Year 6 20,200 2.0% 404 16,079 1.5% 241 645 62.6% 37.4% Year 7 20,200 2.0% 404 16,079 2.0% 322 726 55.7% 44.3% Year 8 20,200 2.0% 404 16,079 2.0% 322 726 55.7% 44.3% Year 9 20,200 2.5% 505 16,079 2.0% 322 827 61.1% 38.9% Year 10 20,200 2.5% 505 16,079 2.0% 322 827 61.1% 38.9% Total 201,999 1.8% 3,636 160,787 1.6% 2,573 6,209 58.6% 41.4% 1. As shown in Exhibit HD-1 2. As shown in Exhibit HD-2 Source: Marketek, Inc. © 2005 by Marketek, Inc. 32 MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RESIDENTIAL MARKET POTENTIAL EXHIBIT HD-4 PRIMARY TARGET MARKET CHARACTERISTICS FOR NEWLY DEVELOPED HOUSING For-Sale Product Rental Product Occupation Age Household Size Income Approximate Price Point Motivations/Preferences Entry-Level Professionals 25 to 35 Singles/couples, few with children $40,000-$60,000 $160,000-$230,000 Access to work/MARTA/intown activities Value unique/international identity Tired of rentals/first time buyer Investment and resale key Intown lifestyle without intown price tag Seek vibrant, mixed-use setting Relatively mobile Entry-Level Professionals 25 to 35 Singles/couples, few with children $30,000-$45,000 $800 Alone/$1,200 Roommate Access to work/MARTA/intown activities Seek vibrant, mixed-use setting Value unique/international identity Highly Mobile Creatives/Professionals 25+ Singles/couples, few with children $30,000+ $170,000+ Buy/$950+ Rent Seek urban/international lifestyle Require large adaptable spaces Access to suppliers, customers Creative community Lofts and one- and two-bedroom Relatively mobile Occupation Age Household Size Income Approximate Price Point Motivations/Preferences Higher Level Professionals 30 to 50 Singles/couples, few with children $60,000+ $240,000-$400,000 Access to work/downtown/MARTA Move-up or move-over buyer Seek vibrant, mixed-use setting Value authenticity/community Investment and resale important Relatively mobile Higher Level Professionals 30 to 50 Singles/couples, few with children $45,000+ $1,000-$1,300 Access to work/downtown/MARTA Seek vibrant, mixed-use setting Location with unique identity Enjoy flexibility of renting Demand expanded amenities Relatively mobile Professionals More traditional fields of accounting/finance, IT, education, law, logistics, import/export, various types of consulting Occupation Age Household Size Income Approximate Price Point Motivations/Preferences Ethnic Families Varies Families/extended families $40,000+ $160,000-$250,000 (some with assistance) Space for larger families/large kitchen Tired of rentals/first time buyer Proximity to similar ethnic groups Investment and resale key Value access to work/activities/transit Relatively settled Ethnic Families Varies Families/extended families $25,000-$40,000 or available equity $550-$900 (some units subsidized) Space for larger families/large kitchen Walk to businesses/services Close to transit Security key Proximity to similar ethnic groups Relatively mobile Occupation Age Household Size Income Approximate Price Point Motivations/Preferences Empty Nesters/Retirees 55+ Singles/couples $35,000 and/or available equity $180,000-$400,000 Close to family/children/friends Walk to businesses/services/MARTA Proximity to cultural activities Less maintenance, more security Move-over, move-down buyer Value over investment Extra bedroom/den for visitors Storage, large kitchen/living area Highly settled Empty Nesters/Retirees 55+ Singles/couples $35,000 or available equity $1,000-$1,500 Close to family/children/friends Walk to businesses/services/MARTA Proximity to cultural activities Less maintenance, more security Still may be looking for final residence Storage, large kitchen/living area Extra bedroom/den for visitors Relatively settled © 2005 by Marketek, Inc. 33 Live/Work Units For-Sale and Rental MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RESIDENTIAL MARKET POTENTIAL Creative Advertising, marketing, film & music, software developers, inventors, photographers, designers, clothing design, furniture design RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL Establishing the study area’s position as a commercial center for local and area residents as well as other key target groups is a central component of the planning process. To gauge the appropriate level of commercial development in the study area, this section provides estimates of potential market demand for retail uses in the Local and Greater Retail Market Areas as well as the study area’s capture of this demand. • Potential retail sales are estimated by applying expenditure potential2 by type of merchandise to market area population figures and are divided among six merchandise and service categories: shoppers goods, convenience goods, food & beverages, automotive products, personal services and other retail expenditures. Exhibit RD-1 specifies the types of goods and services within several of these categories. For instance, “apparel” includes women’s apparel, men’s apparel, children’s apparel, footwear, watches and jewelry. • Estimates of sales per square foot of store space (derived from the Urban Land Institute’s Dollars and Cents of Shopping Centers) are used to convert potential sales to supportable space estimates. In Exhibit RD-2, for example, in the case of apparel, potential sales of $507,541,760 in 2005 within the Local Retail Market Area at sales per square foot of $209 will support 2,428,429 square feet devoted to this type of merchandise. • Exhibit RD-2 shows that within the Local Retail Market Area in 2005, potential sales of $3.6 billion would support 15.0 million square feet of retail space. By 2010, potential sales of $3.9 billion would support 16.5 million square feet of retail space, representing a five-year increase of 1.5 million square feet. In 2015, potential sales of $4.3 billion would support 18.1 million square feet of retail space, an increase of 761,974 square feet. It is important to note that potential expenditures by residents may occur outside of the Local Retail Market Area – including the Internet – if desirable goods and services are not available. • Exhibit RD-3 provides the same type of analysis for the Greater Retail Market Area. From 2005 to 2015, the amount of retail space potentially supported by Greater Retail Market Area resident expenditures is estimated to increase from 67.8 million square feet to 82.7 million square feet, an increase of 14.8 million square feet. • Exhibit RD-4 distributes increases in supportable retail space in the Local and Greater Retail Market Areas among various retail categories for the years 2005 to 2015. Exhibit RD-4 also provides estimates of the study area’s potential capture of this space. Estimates of demand account for the study area’s “potential” and assume that a comprehensive redevelopment program is underway. In other words, a passive or segmented approach to redevelopment would likely result in the study 2 Consumer spending is estimated from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Expenditure (CEX) Surveys. The CEX surveys have been used for over a century to provide data to study consumer spending and its effect on gross domestic product. 34 MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL area achieving only a fraction of its estimated potential. Capture rates are primarily based on Marketek’s experience in similar shopping districts throughout the nation, the study area’s current retail potential relative to the market area and the study area’s competitive advantages once redeveloped. Over the next ten years, Exhibit RD-4 shows the study area capturing 16% of the increase in potential Local Retail Market Area retail expenditures, translating into 497,978 square feet of retail space. Marketek estimates that the study area has the potential of capturing 5% of the increase in Greater Retail Market Area expenditures over the next ten years, representing a total of 761,801 square feet of retail space. The following summarizes the distribution of space among shoppers goods, convenience goods, restaurant, entertainment and personal service retail categories. − Shoppers goods account for the largest share of space. Over the next ten years, the study area could capture 389,776 square feet (6%) of retail space supported by Greater Retail Market Area resident expenditures, an estimated 54% of which (209,943 square feet) would be supported by Local Retail Market Area residents. − Marketek estimates that the study area could potentially capture 131,360 square feet of convenience goods space supported by Greater Retail Market Area resident expenditures over the next ten years. This level of potential demand could accommodate a market with prepared foods, small grocery store and/or a drug store/pharmacy. While the community has repeatedly expressed an interest in attracting a “conventional”/American grocery store to the study area, the Wal-Mart in Chamblee will include a grocery store that will satisfy a large portion of the demand for a conventional grocery store in the area. In selecting a site, grocery retailers typically consider population density, resident income and the competitive market (supply and success of nearby stores). The fact that there are two Publix stores and four Kroger stores within four miles of the study area, a Wal-Mart Super Center in the works and a citywide income below the MSA3 would certainly reduce the study area’s potential of attracting a national grocery retailer at this time. However, interest among national grocery retailers will likely increase as new housing and businesses are developed in and around the study area. The primary target market for convenience goods in the study area will be nearby residents as consumers are typically willing to travel only a few miles from home for most convenience goods and services. − The study area should be able to capture 6% of the increase in the restaurant and entertainment sales in the Greater Retail Market Area by 2015, resulting in additional demand of approximately 137,718 square feet of restaurant space and 51,365 square feet of entertainment space. Local Retail Market Area residents would support almost two-thirds of the potential demand. Estimated demand is based upon the assumption that by the year 2015, the study area will have established itself as an expanded mixed-use 3 Publix generally selects sites where the median income is $60,000 and greater: Doraville’s 2005 median household income is estimated at $50,214. 35 MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL commercial center with a wide variety of specialty/ethnic shopping, entertainment, new housing and office uses. Primary target markets for restaurants and entertainment are Local and Greater Retail Market Area residents, people who work at nearby businesses, MARTA riders/visitors. − Over the next ten years, the study area could capture 4% of personal service space supported by Greater Retail Market Area resident expenditures, resulting in 51,583 square feet of supportable personal service space. Similar to convenience goods, the primary market for personal services will be those living within close proximity of the study area. 36 • In an effort to put the demand estimates into context, Exhibit RD-5 shows the average size of several types of businesses that may be appropriate for the study area. In addition to the median size of all businesses within a particular business category, the median size of national, local chain and independent retailers is also shown. • Estimates of potential retail space in the study area should be considered conservative based on the fact that expenditures of a key market – employees of nearby businesses who do not live in the Local or Greater Retail Market Areas – fall outside of the model. As discussed in the Demographic Profile, almost 30,000 potential customers of study area businesses work within a two-mile radius of the study area. A survey conducted by the International Council of Shopping Centers found that downtown workers surveyed spent an average of $130 per week during lunch and after work; suburban workers spent $143 per week. In addition to nearby workers, MARTA commuters may look to the study area for a portion of their shopping needs (e.g., take-home food, drycleaner/tailor, shoe repair, daycare, mail/packaging centers, gym/fitness) if quality businesses were present. Finally, new housing developed in the study area will further boost potential demand for retail space as a major selling point of new housing will be the ability to walk to shopping and entertainment. • Local and Greater Retail Market Area expenditure data can also be utilized to reveal what prices residents will pay and/or the level of their discretionary income they are willing to devote to various goods or services. The Spending Potential Index (SPI) is a measure of market activity that denotes actual dollars spent on certain goods and services. An SPI equal to 100 indicates that consumers are buying or spending at a rate equal to the national average; a SPI greater or less than 100 indicates that consumers are buying/spending above or below the national average, respectively. Exhibit RD-6 shows that Local and Greater Retail Market Area households spend at a rate far above the national average, which speaks well for retail development in the study area. Spending is highest on apparel (women’s, men’s, children’s, jewelry and shoes), restaurants, computer hardware/software, video/DVD rental, audio equipment, exercise equipment, video game hardware/software, theater/movies/ballet/opera, furniture, luggage, school supplies and childcare. MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL 37 • The Demographic Profile reveals resident ethnic/racial diversity in and immediately surrounding Doraville. In fact, the Buford Highway corridor is the most ethnically and economically diverse territory in metro Atlanta, with at least 37 nationalities represented in a 16 square mile area. Significant shares of study area, Doraville and Local Retail Market Area populations are Hispanic (25% to 42%), Asian (9% to 15%) or are categorized as “some other race alone (11% to 20%). The Selig Center of the University of Georgia estimates that by 2009, combined buying power of African Americans, Hispanics, Asians and Native Americans will reach $1.5 trillion, more than double $456 billion in 1990. Hispanics are already the leading minority group, with buying power expected to surpass that of African Americans by 2009. Increased buying power of ethnic/minority consumers can be largely attributed to strong population growth, increased levels of education, entrepreneurship and a growing economy. • The rapid expansion of ethnic/minority markets is forcing retailers throughout the nation to recognize that the “one message/product fits all” approach to business is no longer profitable. Supermarkets were among the first group of retailers to successfully reach ethnic consumer markets, not only building market share among one the nation’s fastest growing market segments but also capitalizing on the growth in “adventure” eating and cooking. Expanding ethnic food aisles as well as developing ethnic offshoot stores (e.g., Publix’s new Hispanic supermarket, Sabor) are examples of how supermarkets are meeting the needs of ethnic customers. Big box stores are also adjusting their merchandise mix to meet the needs of ethnic markets. Target offers expanded toy and children’s clothing sections in largely Hispanic markets and has launched a Spanish website; Home Depot has partnered with Hispanic organizations to boost Hispanic hiring; Wal-Mart stocks ethnic foods, music and beauty products as well as Spanish-based prepaid cell phones in selected markets. • A 2002 survey conducted by American Demographics reveals the following about the study area’s four primary racial/ethnic markets: − African American consumers are highly fashion conscious: 34% polled said that they keep up with fashion trends compared to 28% of Asians polled, 27% of Hispanics and 25% of whites. African Americans are far more likely to travel further to shop at their favorite store and are more likely to go out of their way to find new stores (especially for bargains). − Whites polled are least likely to enjoy shopping, often shopping out of necessity rather than for entertainment. As a result, white shoppers tend to avoid browsing. Spur of the moment purchases are most common among white consumers but they are more likely to plan in advance for major purchases. − Asian shoppers are the most brand conscious and frequent shoppers. Keeping up appearances is key, with more than one-quarter surveyed stating that they buy items that they believe their neighbors will approve of, compared to 12% of Hispanics and 10% of whites and MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL African Americans. Asians polled also reported that they do not like to shop alone, preferring to shop with friends. − 38 Hispanics polled view shopping as a family affair, preferring to shop with family members including their children. In fact, one-quarter noted that their children have a significant impact on the brands they buy. Hispanics surveyed are more than twice as likely as white respondents to go out of their way to find new stores and are far more likely than white or African American respondents to use the Internet. National chains are more appealing than mom-and-pop stores to Hispanics surveyed, who are least likely to seek out bargains. Hispanics spend heavily on children’s/infant’s clothing, telephone service, groceries, movies and athletic shoes. • Attracting business that build upon the Doraville area’s expanding ethnic niche will not only serve the needs of a large share of local residents but will enable Doraville to attract destination shoppers/visitors. Once complete, International Village will further establish the area as Atlanta’s multicultural district, offering residents and visitors a truly unique experience. Several types of businesses will crossover ethnic/non-ethnic groups, particularly entertainment and restaurants. With the opening of Wal-Mart in Chamblee, residents will have access to a range of “conventional” general merchandise and convenience goods (including groceries). • RD-7 identifies primary target markets for retail development in the study area and summarizes the characteristics and motivations of each. Exhibit RD-7 also lists businesses and activities that would appeal to key markets, based on the following: demographic characteristics, retail spending and purchasing activity, community input, the supply and quality of existing retail establishments in the retail market and study area, physical constraints of the study area and retail trends. In some instances there is overlap in the types of businesses and activities appealing to different target markets, ultimately reinforcing the demand for such businesses in the study area. MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL Exhibit RD-1 SUMMARY OF MERCHANDISE AND SERVICE CATEGORIES Merchandise/Service Category Types of Goods/Services Apparel Women's Apparel, Men's Apparel, Children's, Footwear, Watches & Jewelry Home Furnishings Furniture, Floor Coverings, Major and Small Appliances, Household Textiles, Floor Coverings, PC Software and Hardware, Housewares, Dinnerware, Telephones Home Improvement Maintenance and Remodeling Materials, Lawn & Garden Misc. Specialty Retail Pet Care, Books & Periodicals, Sporting Equipment, Toys & Hobbies, Video Cassettes & Games, TV/VCR/Cameras, Audio Equipment, Luggage, Eyeglasses Groceries Food at Home, Nonalcoholic Beverages at Home, Alcoholic Beverages, Smoking Products Restaurants Food Away From Home, Alcoholic Beverages Entertainment Admission to Movie/Theater/Opera/Ballet, Recreational Lessons, Participation in Clubs Personal Services Shoe Repair, Video Rental, Laundry & Dry Cleaning, Alterations, Clothing Rental & Storage, Watch & Jewelry Repair, Photo Processing & Supplies, Child Care Source: ESRI BIS 39 MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL Exhibit RD-2 RETAIL EXPENDITURE POTENTIAL Local Retail Market Area 2005-2015 Per *Target Household Sales Expenditure ($/SF) Merchandise or Service Category 2005 Retail Potential Sales Space (SF) 2010 Retail Potential Sales Space (SF) Apparel Home Furnishings Home Improvement Misc. Specialty Retail Shoppers Goods $3,712 $2,153 $1,242 $2,781 $209 $199 $140 $216 $507,541,760 $294,379,690 $169,818,660 $380,246,130 $1,351,986,240 2,428,429 1,479,295 1,212,990 1,760,399 6,881,114 $558,351,616 $323,849,954 $186,819,156 $418,312,458 $1,487,333,184 2,671,539 1,627,387 1,334,423 1,936,632 7,569,980 $614,246,912 $356,269,828 $205,521,192 $460,188,756 $1,636,226,688 2,938,980 1,790,301 1,468,009 2,130,504 8,327,793 Grocery Health & Personal Care Convenience Goods $8,094 $1,292 $390 $365 $1,106,692,620 $176,655,160 $1,283,347,780 2,837,673 483,987 3,321,660 $1,217,483,292 $194,340,056 $1,411,823,348 3,121,752 532,439 3,654,191 $1,339,362,744 $213,794,992 $1,553,157,736 3,434,263 585,740 4,020,003 Restaurants $4,863 $263 $664,917,990 2,528,205 $731,482,734 2,781,303 $804,709,788 3,059,733 $615 $90 $84,088,950 934,322 $92,507,070 1,027,856 $101,767,740 1,130,753 $1,436 $151 Entertainment Personal Services Total $196,344,280 1,300,293 $216,000,248 1,430,465 $237,623,536 1,573,666 $3,580,685,240 14,965,594 $3,939,146,584 16,463,795 $4,333,485,488 18,111,948 $358,461,344 1,498,201 $394,338,904 1,648,153 Five Year Net Gain * Target sales are based on the Urban Land Institute, "Dollars and Cents of Shopping Centers." Sources: ESRI BIS; Urban Land Institute; Marketek, Inc. © 2005 by Marketek, Inc. 40 2015 Retail Potential Sales Space (SF) MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL Exhibit RD-3 RETAIL EXPENDITURE POTENTIAL Greater Retail Market Area 2005-2015 Per *Target Household Sales Expenditure ($/SF) Merchandise or Service Category 2005 Retail Potential Sales Space (SF) 2010 Retail Potential Sales Space (SF) Apparel Home Furnishings Home Improvement Misc. Specialty Retail Shoppers Goods $3,835 $2,244 $1,332 $2,884 $209 $199 $140 $216 $2,289,368,445 $1,339,593,948 $795,160,044 $1,721,652,828 $6,145,775,265 10,953,916 6,731,628 5,679,715 7,970,615 31,335,873 $2,526,962,035 $1,478,618,724 $877,682,772 $1,900,328,164 $6,783,591,695 12,090,727 7,430,245 6,269,163 8,797,816 34,587,951 $2,789,214,675 $1,632,072,420 $968,770,260 $2,097,547,620 $7,487,604,975 13,345,525 8,201,369 6,919,788 9,710,869 38,177,550 Grocery Health & Personal Care Convenience Goods $8,315 $1,346 $390 $365 $4,963,780,605 $803,517,582 $5,767,298,187 12,727,643 2,201,418 14,929,061 $5,478,928,115 $886,907,666 $6,365,835,781 14,048,534 2,429,884 16,478,418 $6,047,541,075 $978,952,530 $7,026,493,605 15,506,516 2,682,062 18,188,577 Restaurants $5,030 $263 $3,002,744,010 11,417,278 $3,314,372,630 12,602,177 $3,658,344,150 13,910,054 Entertainment Personal Services $642 $90 $383,252,814 4,258,365 $423,027,282 4,700,303 $466,929,810 5,188,109 $1,494 $151 $891,868,698 5,906,415 $984,427,974 6,519,391 $1,086,593,670 7,195,985 74,888,239 $19,725,966,210 82,660,275 Total $16,190,938,974 Five Year Net Gain 67,846,991 $17,871,255,362 $1,680,316,388 * Target sales are based on the Urban Land Institute, "Dollars and Cents of Shopping Centers." Sources: ESRI BIS; Urban Land Institute; Marketek, Inc. © 2005 by Marketek, Inc. 41 2015 Retail Potential Sales Space (SF) MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL 7,041,248 $1,854,710,848 7,772,035 Exhibit RD-4 SUMMARY OF NEW POTENTIAL SUPPORTABLE RETAIL SPACE IN THE STUDY AREA 2010-2015 Study Area New Supportable Retail Space Merchandise/Service Category 2010 Supported by Local Retail Area Sq Ft Capture Total Study Area New Supportable Retail Space 2015 Supported by Supported by Greater Retail Area Local Retail Area Sq Ft Sq Ft Capture Capture Supported by Greater Retail Area Sq Ft Capture Supported Supported By Local Area By Greater Area 106,409 Shoppers Goods Apparel 10% 25,256 4% 45,776 12% 32,058 5% 60,633 57,315 Home Furnishings 12% 17,684 5% 32,051 14% 22,446 6% 42,453 40,130 74,504 Home Improvement 21% 25,136 8% 45,558 24% 31,906 9% 60,344 57,042 105,902 Misc. Specialty Retail 14% 24,438 5% 44,293 16% 31,019 6% 58,668 55,457 102,961 Subtotal 13% 92,513 5% 167,678 15% 117,430 6% 222,098 209,943 389,776 Grocery 15% 42,002 3% 46,041 16% 48,923 3% 50,820 90,925 96,861 Health & Personal Care 31% 14,959 7% 16,398 33% 17,425 7% 18,100 32,384 34,499 Subtotal 17% 56,961 4% 62,440 18% 66,348 4% 68,920 123,309 131,360 Restaurants 15% 37,965 5% 59,245 17% 47,333 6% 78,473 85,298 137,718 Entertainment 15% 14,030 5% 22,097 17% 17,492 6% 29,268 31,523 51,365 Personal Services 17% 22,129 4% 24,519 18% 25,776 4% 27,064 47,905 51,583 Total 15% 223,598 5% 335,979 17% 274,380 5% 425,822 497,978 761,801 Convenience Goods Source: Marketek, Inc. © 2005 by Marketek, Inc. 42 MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL Exhibit RD-5 TYPICAL SIZE OF SELECTED BUSINESSES Merchandise or Service Category/Business Specialty Retail Appliances Art Gallery Arts/Crafts Supplies Beauty Supplies Bike Shop Bookstore Cameras Children's Wear Family Shoe Store Family Wear Gift/Cards Hardware Home Accessories Jewelry Luggage Men's Clothing Store Pet Supplies Record/Tapes Sporting Goods Toys Women's Ready to Wear Convenience Drugstore/Pharmacy Supermarket Bakery Gourmet Grocery Wine/Liquor Personal Services Day Spa Women's Hair Salon Nail Salon Picture Framing Health Club Mail/Packaging/Photocopying Tailor/Alteration Video Rental Shoe Repair Drycleaners Film Processing Day Care Laundry Restaurants Restaurant with Liquor Restaurant without Liquor Bar/Cocktail Lounge Ice Cream Parlor Coffee/Tea Entertainment Cinema Median National Local Chain Independent 5,956 1,802 8,928 1,807 3,440 10,093 2,000 3,913 4,000 8,000 4,200 13,200 7,595 1,500 2,500 3,500 7,995 4,464 8,465 7,855 4,400 6,292 ~ 20,957 1,634 ~ 23,000 2,000 4,879 4,113 8,500 4,900 13,900 10,215 1,610 2,499 4,319 17,600 6,178 22,000 12,000 4,503 5,911 1,802 ~ 2,450 ~ 9,990 ~ 3,054 5,100 3,474 3,780 ~ 5,365 1,968 ~ 3,065 3,201 ~ 4,980 ~ 3,960 ~ 1,907 3,070 1,829 2,596 2,740 ~ 2,105 2,460 5,132 1,653 ~ 2,462 1,200 ~ 2,750 3,200 2,017 2,995 3,344 2,145 10,920 50,420 1,990 18,000 3,440 10,860 49,071 4,000 ~ ~ 16,668 51,495 ~ ~ 6,237 4,977 23,300 1,700 ~ 2,920 2,875 1,400 1,200 1,600 10,249 1,278 950 6,000 855 1,800 1,252 4,000 2,114 ~ 1,450 ~ 1,703 9,548 1,240 ~ 6,333 ~ ~ 1,600 ~ ~ 2,563 1,250 1,200 ~ 5,508 ~ 900 4,240 ~ 1,800 1,304 ~ 2,150 3,060 1,361 1,200 1,588 10,249 1,236 1,035 4,733 795 1,649 1,150 3,901 1,955 5,204 3,581 3,821 1,137 1,578 6,669 6,500 ~ 1,144 1,650 5,600 3,025 ~ 1,137 1,624 3,362 2,625 3,821 1,116 1,400 35,022 37,161 35,022 21,250 Source: Urban Land Institute, "Dollars and Cents of Shopping Centers" 43 MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL Exhibit RD-6 SPENDING POTENTIAL INDEX OF SELECTED GOODS AND SERVICES Local and Greater Retail Market Areas Merchandise/ Spending Service Category Potential Index Local Greater Area Area Apparel Men's Women's Children's Footwear Watches & Jewelry Other Apparel Computer Computer/Hardware for Home Software/Accessories for Home Entertainment & Recreation Entertainment Fees & Admissions Membership Fees Sports Participation Theater/Movies/Ballet/Opera Sporting Events Recreational Lessons Television & Sound Equipment Cable Television Color Television VCR/Video Camera/DVD Player Video Cassettes and DVDs Video Game Hardware/Software Satellite Dishes Video/DVD Rental Audio Equipment Rental & Repair of TV/Sound Pets & Supplies Toys & Games Recreational Vehicles & Fees Sports/Exercise Equipment & Supplies Photo Equipment & Supplies Books/Magazines/Subscriptions Food & Beverages Groceries Bakery & Cereal Products Meats, Poultry, Fish & Eggs Dairy Products Fruits & Vegetables Other Foods at Home Meals at Restaurants Alcoholic Beverages Nonalcoholic Beverages at Home 142 140 140 139 147 147 144 147 145 145 145 150 151 150 144 143 136 141 135 137 153 141 139 140 134 143 149 151 147 134 153 147 141 128 138 113 141 137 136 139 137 137 137 136 140 136 142 149 136 150 149 141 148 143 145 156 150 147 145 138 149 153 155 153 141 157 151 146 135 142 120 146 144 140 143 141 141 141 139 142 141 147 152 140 Merchandise/ Service Category Financial Services Investments Auto Loans Health Nonprescription Drugs Prescription Drugs Eyeglasses and Contact Lenses Home Home Improvement Maintenance/Remodeling Serv Maintenance/Remodeling Supp Household Furnishings Household Textiles Furniture Floor Coverings Major Appliances Housewares Small Appliances Luggage Telephone & Accessories Child Care Lawn & Garden Moving/Storage Housekeeping Supplies Insurance Homeowners/Renters Vehicle Life Health Personal Care Products School Books & Supplies Smoking Products Transportation Vehicle Purchases Gas & Oil Vehicle Maintenance & Repair Travel Air Fare Hotels/Motels Rental Cars Food/Drink Source: ESRI BIS 44 MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL Spending Potential Index Local Greater Area Area 157 134 159 141 129 111 127 133 116 133 123 113 131 124 137 143 128 131 138 137 144 143 153 117 165 132 143 149 136 137 144 140 151 148 160 124 167 137 113 136 119 120 140 153 134 123 141 127 125 145 156 138 134 133 140 140 138 144 143 130 143 135 147 136 148 140 Exhibit RD-7 PRIMARY TARGET MARKETS AND RECOMMENDED BUSINESSES/ ACTIVITIES Study Area Primary Target Markets Local Residents Market Size Motivations Area Residents Employees Study area population will Over 1.5 million people live Almost 11,000 work within a expand as redevelopment within a 20-minute drive of one-mile radius of the study the study area. area; close to 30,000 work progresses. Currently, more within a two-mile radius. In than 346,000 people live addition, approximately 5,000 within a ten-minute drive. riders board MARTA at the Doraville Station each weekday. Employees who work close to the study area are generally there eight hours a day, five days a week and, consequently, are likely to shop, run errands and eat out in the study area if the appropriate businesses are present. Workers spend an estimated $130 to $143 per week during lunch and after work. In addition, convenience goods, personal services and restaurants will appeal to commuters boarding MARTA at the Doraville station. While the study area is not currently a strong tourist destination, the expanding ethic retail niche in the Doraville/Chamblee area could potentially attract the Atlanta visitor market. Guests at nearby hotels as well as those staying close to MARTA may want to explore shopping and entertainment options in Doraville if one-of-akind businesses were present. Market/Small Grocery Imported Home Bakery/Ethnic Bakery Furnishings/ Beer/Wine Store Accessories (Antiques, Restaurants (Taqueria, Tiles/Ceramics, Asian/ Pizza, Sushi, Korean Latin, Folk Art) Barbeque, Restaurants (Taqueria, Bar/Grille, Coffee/Tea Pizza, Sushi, Korean House, Cuban) Barbeque, Home Furnishings/ Bar/Grille, Coffee/Tea Accessories House, Cuban) Variety of Apparel Bakery (Latin) (Brand Name/Trendy/ Entertainment (Dancing, Locally Designed/ Live Music, Theater) Ethnic Men’s and Variety of Men’s, Women’s & Children’s Apparel Women’s) (Chains, Locally Designed, Children’s Clothing/Toys Ethnic, etc.) Electronic Supplies/Repairs Outdoor Market (Food, Jewelry/Watches Clothing, Jewelry, Home Salon/Barber Shop Furnishings, Flowers/ Shoes (Dress, Casual, Sport) Gardening) Video/DVD Rental Exercise Facility/Gym Daycare Music/CDs Mail/Copy Center Outdoor Market (Food, Clothing, Jewelry, Home Furnishings, Flowers/ Gardening) Restaurants (Casual and Sit-Down) Magazines/Books Coffee/Tea Bakery/Ethnic Bakery Market/Small Grocery Drugstore Items Mail/Packaging Banks/Financial Services Drycleaners/Alterations Daycare Shoe Repair Gym Film Processing Apparel/Accessories Music/CDs Unique/Ethnic Restaurants (Korean, Vietnamese, Chinese, Thai, South American, Mexican, etc.) Entertainment (Dancing, Live Music, Theater) Ethnic Celebrations (e.g., Dia de los Muertos, Korean New Years, etc.) Outdoor Market (Food, Clothing, Jewelry, Home Furnishings, Flowers/ Gardening) Unique Apparel (Locally Designed, Ethnic) International Art (Latin, Asian Folk Art, etc.) Lodging © 2005 by Marketek, Inc. MARKET ANALYSIS DeKalb-Peachtree Airport is the second busiest airport in Georgia, with roughly 230,000 take offs/landings annually. In 2003, the Atlanta metro area captured an estimated $8.8 billion in expenditures by domestic travelers. A significant number of hotels are within a short drive (i.e., less than 5 minutes) of the study area. Destination shoppers who Households living within a short drive/walk will look to would be willing to drive to the study area for the study area for a variety of specialty goods and specialty goods and services, entertainment and day-toservices as well as day convenience goods and multipurpose/ services. complementary shoppers who are patronizing nearby businesses (e.g., Antique Row, International Village). Goods and Services 45 Visitors DEMAND ANALYSIS RETAIL MARKET POTENTIAL OFFICE-INDUSTRIAL MARKET POTENTIAL 46 • Doraville’s position within three major metro Atlanta concentrations of office space (Central Perimeter, Peachtree Corners, and I-85 North/Inside I-285) appears to argue against large-scale office development in the study area. The competition from facilities in these three markets would be stiff. At the same time, though, a surge in downtown residential development could provide the basis for smaller, carefully conceived infill professional-office development in the immediate vicinity. This could perhaps take the form of for-sale office condominiums that, accompanied by some leaseable space, would comprise a sort of "neighborhood office market" along the same lines as may currently be found in the Johnson Ferry Road area of east Cobb County. • Large-scale industrial development within the study area would also be unlikely. One metro-wide trend that may be of interest, however, is the redevelopment of existing warehouse buildings into "industrial condominiums." Aimed at a market comprised of smaller businesses needing relatively limited amounts of distribution space, headed by owners who live nearby and want to enjoy the advantages of owning real estate, these projects take larger warehouse buildings, carve them up into smaller bays, and sell them off individually. Recent examples include a project in the revitalizing Chattahoochee Industrial District where, citing strong demand, an investment group has purchased 60,000 square feetworth of old warehouse buildings and is redeveloping them as officewarehouse condominiums; and the recent sale of a new, 65,800 square foot warehouse building in Gwinnett County's Pinnacle Center to an investment group that plans to subdivide the building into 5,600 squarefoot warehouse condominium units. MARKET ANALYSIS DEMAND ANALYSIS OFFICE-INDUSTRIAL MARKET POTENTIAL City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative Appendix E Redevelopment Guidelines REDEVELOPMENT GUIDELINES The following section is intended to provide guidelines on how the study area should position itself to capture potential demand for retail, residential and office-industrial space and propose next steps to achieve this potential. Competitive Assessment Key observations about the competitive environment for retail, residential and office-industrial expansion and development in the study area are noted below. Opportunities/Strengths The area’s expanding ethnic niche will contribute to study area’s identity, unite residents and help draw multiple markets. Challenges The need to focus on attracting businesses and activities that have “crossover” appeal (i.e., among ethnic and American groups). Strong access via MARTA, I-285/85 and Peachtree-DeKalb Airport. Image of the study area is currently hampered by auto oriented strip shopping as well as a lack of unifying design elements along Buford Highway. Opportunity to build on the momentum of development occurring in Chamblee. Dated yet economically viable strip shopping comprise much of land along Buford Highway, making property acquisition for redevelopment difficult. International Village may prove to be a valuable success story in terms of promoting ethnic retail and activities in the area. Multiple ethnic groups/cultures currently divide rather than unite community. The study area has the potential of attracting multiple markets: nearby residents, destination shoppers (regional and area visitors), area workers and commuters (MARTA and Buford Highway). Study area must overcome existing negative perceptions of the area (e.g., congestion/traffic, aesthetics, exclusively ethnic shopping, etc.). Recent nearby housing development has failed to meet the needs of various age/income/ethnic groups – promoting a range of housing options would lend authenticity and character to the study area. Doraville currently does not have a recognizable core area from which to expand. Opportunities/Strengths New development/activities will help unite the community. Challenges Existing lack of pedestrian accessibility/activity. The study area provides one of the few remaining “inner perimeter” redevelopment opportunities. Constraints on communication due to multicultural setting breeds mistrust – heightened communication and community buy-in throughout the redevelopment process will be essential. TOD orientation will prove to be a major selling point to new businesses and residents. Brownfield sites, infill space and less economically viable businesses on New Peachtree Road offer redevelopment opportunities. Key Principles Implementing a successful redevelopment program will pivot on the study area’s ability to offer businesses, residents and customers an environment different from and more inspiring than what they can find elsewhere. The following guiding principles should be considered throughout the redevelopment process: • Brand Yourself. The study area must perceive itself as a product and market itself to compete with other nearby business districts. Developing a brand theme upon which all other initiatives are based – e.g., logo, urban design, signage, advertising, marketing collateral, website, etc. – is a key step in the marketing process. Business districts and communities that win in the long run are those that create brand personalities that connect with people, that share values and that build long term relationships. • Embrace Cultural Differences. The study area’s ethnic diversity is one of its greatest assets; it is, however, also one of its greatest challenges. Marketing efforts will need to be sensitive not only to the message but also to the language. For Instance, “Hispanic” residents include a range of nationalities (South American, Central American, Mexican, etc.), each with variations in language and culture that could result in differences in interpretation. Consider working with small marketing groups that specialize in minority marketing to ensure that the message and language are on target. Also look for commonalities among various ethnic groups as well as core values. Finally, gaining the trust of the ethnic community will be key. A “bottom up” process that includes the Involvement of ethnic leaders throughout the redevelopment process will better instill community buy in and long term success. • Looks Count. The study area must recreate itself as a vibrant, clean and safe business district in the eyes of prospective businesses and target markets. Implementing consistent design standards/signage, promoting dense development and eliminating unattractive/obsolete structures are just a few remedies. • Cluster and Focus. A critical component of retail development is the creation of a compact, unified district with complementary businesses that benefit from each other’s sales, customers and markets. The primary vehicle for developing unified groups of stores and businesses is clustering – creating mutual advantages in terms of pedestrian flow and shared markets between businesses. Successful clustering is dependent upon having the appropriate mix of businesses that will create market synergies and an uninterrupted grouping of businesses that draw customers to and through the entire business district. The Buford Highway corridor continues to establish a cluster of ethnic businesses. Educating business owners, property owners and real estate professionals about the importance of using this business development tool is critical. • Strive to be Different. While national retailers will appeal to a wide market and demonstrate that the area is economically viable, they also mimic what can be found in shopping districts throughout the nation. The study area’s international character combined with immediate transit access sets it apart from nearby malls and shopping districts. One-of-a-kind restaurants and smaller, unique stores should be the focus of business recruitment efforts. • Know What You Have to Offer. One of the best strategies for recruiting developers is to be able to provide an inventory of available real estate, and better yet, be in the position to bring key properties to the table. Sites and buildings should be ranked according to their potential for redevelopment or locational importance, categorized as a short-term or long-term potential initiative and marketed via collateral specification sheets. • Walk, Walk, Walk. To overcome existing negative perceptions of the study area, creating a safe, pleasant and convenient atmosphere for pedestrians should be a priority redevelopment initiative. Although customers will more often than not use their cars to reach the study area, using design and land use planning to encourage pedestrian activity will enliven the overall area, reduce traffic and invoke a sense of community. • Low Impact. As the study area works to build a residential base, attracting “low impact” businesses will be key. While attracting entertainment businesses should be a cornerstone of recruitment efforts, these businesses should enhance rather than detract from the livability of the study area.. • Safety First. Customers and residents of new housing will need to feel safe. Security features such as alarm systems, controlled access to parking and interior areas, exterior lighting, intercoms, illumination of all areas where residents circulate and design features that discourage crime will be a requirement of new housing located in the study area. Housing units that are elevated above retail and parking foster a sense of security. While security features are a prime marketing asset, it is vitally important that they are not so overwhelming that they create a feeling of fortification between the development and the surrounding community. • Get the Word Out. Working with the local media to highlight success stories and monitor construction throughout the study area will help convince target markets that the study area is an attractive and unique place to live/work/play. Other effective forms of communication include newsletters, websites that keep potential residents up-to-date on special events and organizing a speaker’s bureau. Maintaining strong lines of communication with ethnic residents/area businesses (door to door flyers, ethnic radio/newspaper) will also be important. • Value Added Recruitment. Ideally, recruitment efforts should concentrate on attracting businesses that do more than just provide service sector jobs, which are typically low paying, low skilled positions. Attracting businesses that serve the needs of nearby residents (e.g., day care, laundry/dry cleaning, bank, etc.), that hire and train neighborhood residents or are owned by nearby residents will help to strengthen the surrounding community. With a significant ethnic population, new businesses should be prepared to address cultural differences in terms of employee/community relations and merchandising. Business development outreach will also need to accommodate cultural diversity. • Real Communities Work. While redevelopment activity in Chamblee has taken off in recent years, the types of housing options (relatively higher priced for-sale) and retail establishments (e.g., Antique Row) do not encourage diversity in age, income or ethnicity. Offering a variety of housing options that meet the needs of varying income and age groups help make the study area an authentic, vibrant and sustainable community. Encouraging smaller unit size, denser development, inlaw/accessory units in single family development are just some examples of ways to keep housing prices down. Also, taking steps to ensure that long time residents can remain in the community – particularly seniors – as redevelopment progresses through such measures as equitable property taxes, home repair grants and debt counseling will help maintain a variety of income groups in the study area. Establishing a housing revolving loan fund to offset down payments, closing costs and renovations is one potential strategy to attract and maintain a variety of income groups. Market Position In today’s competitive environment, being the most accessible, the most affordable or even the best designed does not guarantee a community’s success. Since redevelopment potential in the study area is strong, success will largely be measured by how a specific vision for the community is realized. For instance, the study area’s emerging ethnic niche, its relation to transit and the diversity of its residents (age, income, race/ethnic origin) are all qualities that should be preserved and promoted throughout the redevelopment process. It is important that the study area differentiate itself and not seek to replicate what has already been done in nearby neighborhoods and businesses districts. • Retail Market Transit oriented shopping and entertainment district influenced by and appealing to multiple cultures Despite high occupancies at strip centers located along Buford Highway, retail uses within the study area have limited appeal beyond nearby residents, many of whom are ethnic. The growing success of Antique Row and the highly anticipated International Village in Chamblee will, hopefully, demonstrate the economically viability of retail in the area as well as build upon the area’s growing identity as the center of ethnic shopping in the region. It will be important, however, that retail goods and services maintain some level of “crossover” appeal, serving both multiple ethnic and non-ethnic consumers. • Residential Market A community brought to life by the diversity of its residents and accessible by transit, car and foot. Chamblee’s recent surge in residential development has been primarily supported by strong transportation access, uniquely/well designed product and prices below that found in nearby mixed-use intown neighborhoods. Potentially having many of the same attributes, the study area can capitalize on the success of residential development in Chamblee and yet take it a step further by incorporating a wider range of residents in terms of age, income, lifestyle, etc. New housing in Chamblee is primarily geared toward the upwardly mobile/affluent professional and empty nester market. By offering a greater variety of housing options, the study area has the opportunity to establish a community rich in diversity that will stand the test of time. • Office-Industrial Market. Highly accessible inner-perimeter location for a variety of smaller/boutique office-industrial users Located close to three major office-industrial centers, an emphasis on attracting larger-scale office-industrial users to the study area would not only conflict with the vision set forth by community residents but would also have limited market depth. Smaller office space – perhaps office condominiums – located close to MARTA as well as office-warehouse condominiums would be more appropriate for the study area. Immediate Interstate access as well as the study area’s proximity to the DeKalbPeachtree Airport will be a selling point for several types of office-industrial development, particularly those that might tie-into the study area’s ethnic niche (e.g., import/export, etc.). Another consideration is to consider providing incubator space that assists area residents in setting up businesses, potentially building stronger ties with ethnic residents. Next Steps General “next steps” in successfully promoting and capitalizing on the market opportunities identified in the market analysis are outlined below. • Next Steps Create a brand identity for the study area to be incorporated in all marketing and development initiatives (logos, brochures, website, building design, etc.). • Investigate possible tax incentives to help “home-grown” businesses locate and stay in the area. • Work to help ensure that existing residents are able to remain in the community as redevelopment progresses (e.g., home repair programs, education regarding property tax breaks for senior citizens, fair tax assessments, etc.). • Develop collaborative marketing initiatives with Chamblee and the larger Buford Highway corridor. • Investigate small firms that specialize in ethnic marketing to ensure that message and language are appropriate and consistent. • Prepare an inventory of existing sites/buildings within the core redevelopment area that includes ownership, condition, use, value of land, lease rates/terms, etc. • Develop collateral marketing materials (i.e., CD-ROMs, market opportunity fact sheets, prospect packages, etc.) specifying potential redevelopment opportunities in the study area. • Create and maintain referral networks with area brokers, economic development agencies, developers, etc. and educate them regarding the types of businesses, housing and activities most appropriate for the study area. • Invest in developing a website specific to the study area that communicates its identity to existing and prospective businesses, residents and customers. • Enable developers and prospective businesses to access downloadable recruitment material and applications. • Institute a community wide “clean-up” program, with emphasis on high traffic areas, that also includes uniform design/signage standards. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative Appendix F 25 - Year Population, Employment and Household Projections Summary of Population and Employment Projections Doraville LCI Area EDAW Population Housing Units Single Family Townhomes Multifamily Employment Commercial Square Feet Jobs 2005 1,252 284 0 0 284 2010 2,952 995 0 77 918 2015 4,653 1,706 0 154 1,553 2020 6,353 2,418 0 230 2,187 2025 8,053 3,129 0 307 2,822 2030 9,754 3,840 0 384 3,456 1,920,000 2,259,600 2,599,200 2,938,800 3,278,400 3,618,000 4,738 5,262 5,786 6,310 6,834 7,358 City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Population and Employment Projections This study provides 25 year projections for growth in population, households, and employment in the study area in 5 year increments. These projections are based on market research of the potential absorption of the study area and the build-out capacity of the study area from the LCI land use plan. The maximum market absorption over 20 years is estimated at over 12,000 new housing units and 3.5 million square feet of new retail space. This projection assumes the addition of 2.4 million square feet of new retail space and 3,600 new housing units over 25 years, as well as 1.2 million square feet of office commercial. The build-out capacity of the study area is estimated at about 5,000 housing units and 5.4 million square feet of commercial. In short, it was assumed that the study area would reach 80% build out for residential units and retail over the next 25 years, and 50% build out for office commercial over the next 25 years. The level of development projected is not guaranteed to happen. This is the level of development that can reasonably be expected in the study area if the City of Doraville aggressively implements the LCI plan. Much less development could occur without catalytic action on behalf of the city. Potentially more development could happen depending upon market forces in the region, such as region-wide population and job growth. Projections provide a reasonable basis for future planning in the City of Doraville. These projections should be updated every 5 years based on the latest development trends and the status of plan implementation. City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative Appendix G Cost Estimate Methodology City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative City of Doraville Livable Centers Initiative (LCI) Sponsored by: the City of Doraville and Atlanta Regional Commission Cost Estimate Methodology Introduction Project costs estimates were generated to help the City of Doraville understand the likely costs of plan implementation. Project costs are estimates, based on the recent cost of similar projects in the Atlanta region. Variability in the costs of materials, labor, and land could cause specific projects to vary significantly from the cost estimates. Transportation Improvements Land Costs Land costs for right-of-way acquisition and for new public facilities were estimated at $700,000 per acre in general for the study area and $1,000,000 per acre along Buford Highway. Streetscape Costs Streetscapes are divided into primary streetscapes, secondary streetscapes, and sidewalks. Primary streetscapes include landscaping, trees, lighting, street furniture, curb, and gutter and are estimated at $1,100 per linear foot for construction on both sides of the street. Secondary streetscapes include landscaping, trees, curb, and gutter and are estimated at $600 per linear foot for construction on both sides of the street. Sidewalks are estimated at $150 per linear foot for construction on both sides of the street. Pedestrian crossings have three possible components: bulbouts, signalization, and special materials. Bulbouts are estimated at $20,000; Signalization is estimated at $100,000 dollars; and special materials are estimated at $30,000. All pedestrian crossings that do not include special materials use standard paint designs instead. Park Costs Park development costs are estimated at $125,000 per acre for predominantly softscape parks and $250,000 per acre for predominantly hardscape parks. Engineering Costs Engineering costs include design costs, contingency costs, and contractor costs. These costs are estimated at 10-20% depending upon the complexity of the project involved.