International Congress & Convention Association CONFERENCE TRENDS Rob Davidson. Senior Lecturer in Business Travel and Tourism University of Westminster International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT: ‘A TOXIC MIX’ • Financial crises in most large advanced economies • Inflationary pressures • Credit and liquidity crunch • The bursting of house market bubbles • High oil and commodity prices • Trade linkages to the US • BUT … International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT • Growth in some key economies: Germany, Japan … • Prosperity in some key sectors: pharmaceuticals … • Many commodity prices are falling • The IMF has raised its global economic forecast from 3.7% to 4.1%, for 2008 • The Gulf/Middle East is one of the regions contributing most to this growth International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: THE U.S. International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: THE U.S. • The rapid growth in the number of convention centres means more choice and more competitive prices for meetings planners in the U.S. • Fear of recession is a top concern for 40% of meeting professionals in the U.S., (compared to 24.1% in Europe and 22.8% in Canada). • Inflation is an immediate concern for 36.2% of U.S. respondents (but only 20% of Canadians and Europeans). (Futurewatch 2008) International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: THE U.S. • U.S. meeting planners’ budgets are rising – but not as fast as the number of meetings they are expected to plan • U.S. meetings planners are expected to achieve MORE, with the same budget • Over one third of U.S. planners expressed concern over oil and gas costs and their impact on travel prices International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: EUROPE International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: EUROPE • Europe still out-performs all other world regions, with almost 60% of all international association meetings • Rising air travel will be moderated by growth in low-cost carriers – but most of those are intra-European International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: EUROPE • The situation in the convention centre segment is close to a buyers’ market: • ‘The competition between many regional and national convention centers in Europe has led to centers being sold under the real price and many receiving subsidies from the local or regional government’. Edgar Hirt, Head of ICM - Internationales Congress Center München, International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: ASIA-PACIFIC International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: ASIA-PACIFIC • Demand (for hotels and air travel) is exceeding supply, despite massive investments in infrastructure • Development in China is driving the region, with almost 800 hotels planned or under construction. • China accounts for 50% of all planned new hotel properties in the Asia-Pacific region and 60% of all guestrooms. International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: ASIA-PACIFIC • ‘The Asia-Pacific region is set to become the largest regional aviation market in the world within the next three years . The growing markets of India and China, supported by a resurgent Vietnam, are driving unprecedented levels of investment in aircraft, airports and hotels’. Don Birch, President and CEO of Abacus International International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: ASIA-PACIFIC • Many international associations are keen to grow their memberships in China and Asia. • ‘Almost 50% of the Chinese buyers reported that they had held events in Europe within the 12-month period leading up to the survey; and over onethird of Chinese buyers said that they had held events in North America during the same period’. GIBTM 2007 Meetings and Incentive Industry Research Report International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: THE MIDDLE EAST International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: THE MIDDLE EAST http://meetingsreview.com/news/vi ew/1402 International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: THE MIDDLE EAST • At a time when MPI is extending its own presence to new regions of the world, 14.4% of respondents, (including 15.9% in Canada and 31.0% in Europe) said they had seen increased interest in holding meetings in the Middle East. FutureWatch 2008 International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: THE MIDDLE EAST • More demand for events in the region, due to: • Greater interest in the region from clients • More awareness of the region’s attractive destinations • Improved infrastructure • High quality developments GIBTM 2007 Meetings and Incentive Industry Research Report International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THE CONFERENCE MARKET ENVIRONMENT: THE MIDDLE EAST • The mean expenditure for events in the Gulf/Middle East increased by 45% from the 2007 GIBTM study, to US$505,000 • The mean lead time for organising events in the Middle East is 5 months, down from 6.5 months a year ago (but still longer than the worldwide average of 4 months) International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com GLOBAL MEETINGS TRENDS: MORE … • Outsourcing of meetings services • Globalisation of the meetings and events industry • Involvement of procurement professionals, in conference planning • Concern for the environmental impacts of conferences International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com REASONS FOR OPTIMISM • Association conferences are planned well in advance, and generally must take place • “It is especially important to keep the sales team motivated in times of economic downturn. The corporate meeting is still the most economic way to reward employees while expressing the corporate message.” Hal Etkin, CEO of ME Productions International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com REASONS FOR OPTIMISM • This is an industry that is strong, thriving and moving quickly to meet a variety of internal and external challenges • We will see a steady meetings market over the next year, with little or no change in the number of meetings organized • But healthy increases in average meeting attendance International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com REASONS FOR OPTIMISM • We know much more about the science of: • Meetings design and content International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com REASONS FOR OPTIMISM • We know much more about the science of: • Venue design International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com REASONS FOR OPTIMISM • We know much more about the science of: • Motivating Generation Y delegates International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com REASONS FOR OPTIMISM • We are already educating the next generation of conference industry professionals International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com THANK YOU, EVERYBODY International Congress & Convention Association DOWNLOAD YOUR FREE COPY OF THE INDUSTRY RESEARCH REPORTS FROM: www.gibtm.com www.eibtm.com Rob Davidson Senior Lecturer in Business Travel and Tourism davidsr@wmin.ac.uk International Congress and Convention Association www.iccaworld.com