BENJAMIN MARX bmarx@mit.edu MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY OFFICE CONTACT INFORMATION MIT Department of Economics 77 Massachusetts Avenue, E52-301 Cambridge, MA 02139 857-928-1574 bmarx@mit.edu http://economics.mit.edu/grad/bmarx HOME CONTACT INFORMATION 49 Garden Street, Unit C Boston, MA 02114 Mobile: 857-928-1574 MIT PLACEMENT OFFICER Professor Ben Olken bolken@mit.edu 617-253-6833 MIT PLACEMENT ADMINISTRATOR Ms. Eva Konomi evako@mit.edu 617-253-8787 Mr. Thomas Dattilo dattilo@mit.edu 617-324-5857 DOCTORAL STUDIES Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) PhD, Economics, Expected completion June 2017 DISSERTATION: “Essays on Political Economy and Democratization in Africa” DISSERTATION COMMITTEE AND REFERENCES Professor Ben Olken MIT Department of Economics 77 Massachusetts Avenue, E52-542 Cambridge, MA 02139 617-253-1000 bolken@mit.edu Professor Daron Acemoglu MIT Department of Economics 77 Massachusetts Avenue, E52-446 Cambridge, MA 02139 617-253-1000 daron@mit.edu Professor Tavneet Suri MIT Sloan School of Management 100 Memorial Drive, E62-517 Cambridge, MA 02142 tavneet@mit.edu PRIOR EDUCATION Ecole Polytechnique / ENSAE / Sciences Po Paris Master in Economics and Public Policy, summa cum laude 2010 Columbia University Master of International Affairs 2009 Sciences Po Paris Master in Public Affairs, summa cum laude 2009 CITIZENSHIP France LANGUAGES English (fluent), French (fluent), German (proficient) GENDER: Male BENJAMIN MARX SEPTEMBER 2016 -- PAGE 2 FIELDS Primary Fields: Development, Political Economy Secondary Fields: Econometrics, Industrial Organization TEACHING EXPERIENCE RELEVANT POSITIONS FELLOWSHIPS, HONORS, AND AWARDS PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES 14.32 Econometrics Teaching Assistant to Professor Damian Pouzo Average Student Rating: 6.7/7 2016 14.74/740 Foundations of Development Policy Teaching Assistant to Professors David Atkin and Esther Duflo Average Student Rating: 6.8/7 2016 MIT Economics Undergraduate Teaching Assistant of the Year 2016 Research Assistant (Project Coordinator) to Rachel Glennerster (MIT) and Tavneet Suri (MIT Sloan) MIT J-PAL, Cambridge, MA 2011-13 Research Assistant (Project Associate) to Rachel Glennerster (MIT) and Tavneet Suri (MIT Sloan) Innovations for Poverty Action, Freetown, Sierra Leone 2010-11 Research Grants for “A Market Equilibrium Approach to Reduce the Incidence of Vote-Buying” (with Chris Blattman, Horacio Larreguy, and Otis Reid) J-PAL Governance Initiative (USD 300k) Wellspring (USD 130k) International Growth Centre (GBP 126k) 2015 Research Grants for “Informing and Mobilizing Voters by Text Message: Evidence from a Countrywide Experiment in Kenya” (with Vincent Pons and Tavneet Suri) J-PAL Governance Initiative (USD 53k) MIT Sloan School of Management (USD 100k) 2013 Research Grant for “The Growth Impacts of Diamond Mining in Sierra Leone” (with Tavneet Suri) International Growth Centre (GBP 14k) 2012 Refereeing: American Economic Journal: Applied Economics (4), Economic Journal (1), International Journal of Urban Sciences (1), Population & Environment (1), Regional Science and Urban Economics (1). Seminars and Presentations: Annual APSA Meeting (2016), Harvard Political Economy Seminar (2014), Working Group in African Political Economy (2013). Fieldwork: Kenya, Mauritius, Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Uganda. BENJAMIN MARX SEPTEMBER 2016 -- PAGE 3 PUBLICATIONS “The Economics of Slums in the Developing World”, with Thomas Stoker and Tavneet Suri, Journal of Economic Perspectives 27(4): 187-210. The global expansion of urban slums poses questions for economic research as well as problems for policymakers. We provide evidence that the type of poverty observed in contemporary slums of the developing world is characteristic of that described in the literature on poverty traps. We document how human capital threshold effects, investment inertia, and a "policy trap" may prevent slum dwellers from seizing economic opportunities offered by geographic proximity to the city. We test the assumptions of another theory -- that slums are a just transitory phenomenon characteristic of fast-growing economies -- by examining the relationship between economic growth, urban growth, and slum growth in the developing world, and whether standards of living of slum dwellers are improving over time, both within slums and across generations. Finally, we discuss why standard policy approaches have often failed to mitigate the expansion of slums in the developing world. Our aim is to inform public debate on the essential issues posed by slums in the developing world. RESEARCH PAPERS “The Ribbon-Cutting Effect: Policy Timing, Foreign Aid and Election Cycles in Sub-Saharan Africa” (Job Market Paper) This paper explores how democratic institutions are shaping policy outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa. To measure the responsiveness of policy choice to electoral incentives, I estimate the effect of upcoming elections on the inception and the completion of policy projects. Causal estimates are obtained from a novel instrument that predicts national electoral calendars using variation in constitutional rules at the beginning of the democratization period. I show that the timing of a particular type of government policy (investment projects funded by concessional loans from the World Bank) tracks the election cycle. The actual completion of these projects, as opposed to their inception or expected completion date ex ante, coincides with years preceding major elections. These effects are stronger in democratic regimes, and within countries, in the regions of birth of country leaders. I also provide suggestive evidence that the endogenous timing of projects benefits incumbents in the subsequent election, with voters rewarding actual completion as opposed to project initiation. “The Perils of Building Democracy in Africa” (with Vincent Pons and Tavneet Suri) Prior to the 2013 elections in Kenya, the Electoral Commission sent 11 million non-partisan text messages to registered voters in an effort to boost electoral participation. The messages had a positive effect on turnout but also decreased trust in Kenyan electoral institutions. We show that the information campaign backfired because the Electoral Commission failed to deliver a transparent and peaceful election. This failure, combined with the signal of high institutional capacity sent by the campaign, led treated individuals to negatively update their beliefs about the fairness of the election, as we show in a simple model. The decrease in trust is stronger in areas that experienced election-related violence, and for individuals affiliated (via their ethnicity) with the side that lost the BENJAMIN MARX SEPTEMBER 2016 -- PAGE 4 presidential election. These results highlight the trade-offs associated with mobilizing voters in fragile democracies. In particular, sending signals of high institutional capacity may inadvertently affect voters’ beliefs about the fairness of the election if the electoral outcome fails to match their expectations. “The Effect of Administrative Unit Creation on Electoral Behavior: Evidence from Senegal” (with Guy Grossman, Horacio Larreguy, and Jessica Gottlieb) Numerous studies emphasize political economy factors behind the recent wave of decentralization and redistricting reforms in the developing world. However, this literature has generally overlooked voters’ preferences as a central driver of administrative unit proliferation, and in particular it has yet to investigate rigorously the electoral consequences of redistricting. In this paper, we provide evidence that voters reward incumbents for the creation of new administrative units in Senegal, even if the delivery of public goods has yet to be improved. Constituents with higher expected returns from redistricting reforms are more likely to vote for the incumbent in the subsequent election. We provide a simple theoretical framework to explain these results: voters support reforms that increase administrative attention towards their communities, as these reforms imply increased administrative capacity and signal a long-term commitment of increased public transfers. “There Is No Free House: Ethnic Patronage in a Kenyan Slum” (with Thomas Stoker and Tavneet Suri) We show evidence of ethnic patronage in the housing market in a large Kenyan slum. Slum residents pay higher rents, and live in lower quality housing (measured via satellite pictures) when the landlord and the locality chief belong to the same tribe. Conversely, rents are lower, and investments higher when households and chiefs are co-ethnics. These effects are partially offset in more ethnically diverse areas, and in areas with high youth unemployment, where gangs restrain the power of chiefs. Our identification relies on the exogenous appointment of chiefs and is supported by several tests, including a regression discontinuity design. RESEARCH IN PROGRESS “A Market Equilibrium Approach to Reduce the Incidence of VoteBuying” (with Chris Blattman, Horacio Larreguy, and Otis Reid) Politicians in many developing countries win elections by purchasing votes, undermining political accountability and public goods provision. We present the results from a randomized experiment designed to reduce the prevalence of votebuying in the 2016 election in Uganda. The intervention consisted of a largescale grassroots campaign aimed at convincing voters and communities to collective renounce vote-buying. Our design allows us to estimate how candidates and their political brokers respond to the campaign in treatment and spillover areas, how voters coordinate their actions as a result of the campaign, and how these effects vary with local treatment intensity. While the campaign did not reduce vote-buying, it had sizable effects on electoral outcomes, with BENJAMIN MARX SEPTEMBER 2016 -- PAGE 5 opposition candidates benefiting from the campaign at the expense of incumbent candidates. We present evidence that on the supply side of the market for votes, the campaign convinced some voters to vote in their conscience, regardless of any gifts received. On the demand side, incumbent candidates and their brokers responded to the campaign by attempting to buy more votes in areas neighboring treatment villages (spillover areas), while opposition candidates increased both their campaigning efforts and vote-buying efforts in treatment and spillover areas. This led to an increase in vote-buying, campaigning and turnout in spillover villages in equilibrium, which account for the effects of the campaign on electoral outcomes. “Islamic Institutions, Elites, and Structural Change: Evidence from Indonesia” (with Samuel Bazzi and Gabriel Koehler-Derrick) We exploit the aborted Indonesian land reform of 1960 to estimate the long-term economic impact of an institution present throughout the Islamic world – the waqf. In Islamic law, the waqf (plural awqaf) is an inalienable religious endowment established to encourage the provision of public goods and charitable services in perpetuity. Kuran (2001) argues that this institution was a major factor leading to economic stagnation in predominantly Muslim societies, because it hindered the reallocation of capital in periods of structural change. We provide preliminary evidence that in anticipation of the planned land redistribution, landowners with holdings above the maximum threshold allowed by the 1960 Agrarian Law transferred a large fraction of their land into waqf status to avoid seizure by the local government. We use plausibly exogenous regional variation in the intensity of the planned reform to identify the effect of awqaf on long-term agricultural and economic development, and to test Kuran’s hypothesis on the relationship between awqaf and resource misallocation. “Pre-Colonial Institutions, Ethnic Voting and Clientelism in Sub-Saharan Africa” (with Horacio Larreguy) A recent literature shows that pre-colonial political centralization fosters public goods provision in contemporary Sub-Saharan Africa. In this paper, we show that differences in public goods provision across areas with varying pre-colonial centralization results from more transfers of resources from governments, in exchange for electoral support, in areas where chiefs have a historical advantage in mobilizing their communities. We first provide a simple model where an incumbent politician garners support through targeted transfers. The electoral efficiency of these transfers depends on the ability of chiefs to mobilize voters, and increases when these are co-ethnics of the incumbent. We successfully test the distinct predictions the model generates using a newly constructed constituency-level dataset combining electoral outcomes and satellite lights from 35 Sub-Saharan African countries.