Gravitational wave searches with Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo Chris Van Den Broeck on behalf of the LIGO Scientific Collaboration and the Virgo Collaboration Rencontres de Moriond, La Thuile, March 2015 LISA LISA From initial to advanced detectors § Initial LIGO, initial Virgo ● Active 2002-2011 ● No detections ● Design sensitivity reached – Proof of the technology! § Advanced detectors ● ● ● ● LISA arXiv:1003.2480, 1304.0670 O1: September-December 2015 Advanced LIGO, limited sensitivity O2: 2016-2017 Advanced LIGO + Advanced Virgo O3: 2017-2018 Advanced LIGO + Advanced Virgo (+ KAGRA?) Design sensitivity: 2019+ Sources of gravitational waves LISA Coalescing binary neutron stars and black holes Fast-spinning neutron stars Bursts (e.g. supernovae) “Stochastic” gravitational waves Coalescence of compact binaries § NS-NS, NS-BH, BH-BH ● Possibly intermediate mass black holes § Signal is determined by 15 parameters ● Masses, spins ● Distance, sky position, orientation ● Time and phase at arrival § Search by “matched filtering” LISA Coalescence of compact binaries § Search by “matched filtering” ● For given choice of masses, integrate waveform against the data – “Extrinsic” parameters (sky position, orientation, distance) absorbed in overall amplitude – Fold in the known properties of the detector noise (“spectral density”) → “Signal-to-noise ratio” § Do this for a large number of mass choices ● ● LISA “Template bank” Density of templates determined by how different waveforms are when parameters are slightly varied Coalescence of compact binaries After confident detection: Reconstruction of the source § Measure masses, spins, distance, sky location, orientation, ... § Techniques to explore 15-dimensional parameter space and find most likely values § Example: nested sampling arXiv:0911.3820 ● ● Likelihood function = prob(data | parameter values) Identify nested hypervolumes in parameter space bounded by increasingly larger values of likelihood § Arrive at probability densities for parameters ● LISA Various (well-understood) degeneracies “Burst” sources Transient sources (other than coalescing binaries): § Supernovae in or near the galaxy § Cosmic strings § Long gamma-ray bursts § Soft gamma-ray repeater giant flares § Neutron star instabilities § Accretion disk instabilities ... § ... the unknown Many of these are poorly modeled § Can't necessarily use matched filtering LISA C. Ott, LIGO-G1000171 “Burst” sources Detection without a (good) signal model ● Look for “coherent” signals: ● ● Courtesy P. Sutton ● Present in multiple detectors Look for signal that is consistent given different detector responses Look for “excess power” ● Decompose data – ● Make time-frequency map ● Identify and cluster loudest pixels arXiv:0210043 LISA Fourier, wavelets, ... “Burst” sources Parameter estimation? ● General case: Try to characterize signal rather than source ● ● For e.g. supernovae, some amount of theoretical modeling has been done ● ● arXiv:1202.3256 ● ● Time-frequency content, polarization Large-scale numerical simulations with different assumptions give “catalog” of waveforms Extract main features through e.g. principal component analysis Bayesian model selection to infer which physical mechanism dominates Cosmic strings: matched filtering is possible! ● Cosmic string cusps h ∝ f-4/3, kinks h ∝ f-5/3 – LISA Amplitude depends on string tension Gμ, loop size ε, distance arXiv:1408.5299 Continuous gravitational waves § Emission by fast-spinning neutron stars ● Isolated neutron stars: asymmetry due to “starquakes” ● Neutron stars in binaries: accretion § Signals are weak: § But, very long-lived, can integrate for long time § Searches: ● ● All-sky – Includes stars that have not (yet) been seen electromagnetically – Computationally challenging “Directed” – ● “Targeted” – LISA Sky position know but not frequency (e.g. Cas A supernova remnant) Sky position and frequency known (e.g Crab pulsar, Vela pulsar) Continuous gravitational waves All-sky searches for isolated neutron stars § Account for Doppler modulation due to motion of the Earth: ● Binning in sky position: Up to (few)x105 points § Given a sky position, account for change in frequency due to spin-down: ● Binning in spin-down coefficients: Typically additional O(106) points § Hierarchical approach arXiv:1407.8333 LISA ● Refined grids once candidate events ● Signal reconstruction Continuous gravitational waves “Targeted” searches: Known position, frequency arXiv:1309.4027 * Upper limits on strain sensitivity for 195 pulsars from initial LIGO/Virgo runs – ▾ LISA Crab pulsar: GW emission no more than 1% of spin-down Upper limits on GW emission from other known pulsars Stochastic gravitational waves § Gravitational wave backgrounds of a fundamental nature ● Inflation: period of exponential growth of the Universe – ● E.g. axion inflation Phase transitions: fundamental forces splitting off ● Cosmic strings ● ... § Searched for by cross-correlating between detectors: Courtesy T. Regimbau ● LISA Optimal filter: Stochastic gravitational waves § Stochastic background of weak signals from far-away sources (e.g. coalescing binaries) that are not individually resolvable § Might be detectable after ~1 year of operations at design sensitivity! “High” event rate “Realistic” event rate “Low” event rate arXiv:1112.1898 LISA Summary § Advanced gravitational wave observatories are getting ready to make first direct detections in the next few years § Wealth of possible sources: ● Coalescing binaries composed of neutron stars or black holes ● “Burst” events: supernovae, cosmic strings, ..., the unknown! ● Continuous waves from fast-spinning neutron stars ● Stochastic backgrounds – Fundamental, cosmological – Confusion backgrounds (e.g. weak signals from coalescing binaries out to large distances) § Robust data analysis techniques are in place More information in the LIGO-Virgo Data Analysis Whitepaper https://dcc.ligo.org/LIGO-T1400054 LISA Backup slides LISA Coalescence of compact binaries § Triggered searches ● ● Short, hard gamma ray bursts believed to be caused by NS-NS or NS-BH mergers Deeper searches around the time of GRBs discovered by dedicated EM telescopes § All-sky, all-time searches ● ● arXiv:1404.5623 LISA “Low latency” – Triggers to EM partners in minutes – Sky maps from detector network “High latency” – Better estimate of significance of candidate events – Better characterization of instrument Coalescence of compact binaries § Determine consistency of data with real signal ● ● ● Pick a number of frequency intervals Check whether content of each interval consistent with there being a signal (χ2 test) Check for coincidence between detectors – in time, and in parameter space § Time-slide data streams with respect to each other and analyze ● ● ● LISA Arrive at “background distribution” of spurious events (because not coincident in time) Genuine events (or simulated ones) will be separated from background in terms of signal-to-noise ratio ρ, and χ2 Assign significance to candidate events – False alarm probability