Tim Malloy, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Poll (203) 645-8043 Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026 FOR RELEASE: AUGUST 27, 2015 BIDEN RUNS BETTER THAN CLINTON AGAINST TOP REPUBLICANS, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; TRUMP GOP LEAD GROWS AS CLINTON DEM LEAD SHRINKS Vice President Joseph Biden runs slightly better than former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton against leading Republican contenders in the 2016 presidential sweepstakes, and has the best favorability rating among top Republican and Democratic candidates, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today. Donald Trump leads the crowded Republican pack with 28 percent, up from 20 percent in a July 30 national survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. This is the highest tally and widest margin for any Republican so far in this election. Ben Carson has 12 percent, with 7 percent each for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida. No other Republican tops 6 percent and 11 percent are undecided. Trump also tops the “no way” list as 26 percent of Republican voters say they would definitely not support him. Bush is next with 18 percent. Clinton leads the Democratic field with 45 percent, down from 55 percent July 30, with U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont at 22 percent and Biden at 18 percent. No other candidate tops 1 percent with 11 percent undecided. This is Sanders’ highest tally and closest margin. Clinton tops the Democrats’ “no way” list with 11 percent. “Liar” is the first word that comes to mind more than others in an open-ended question when voters think of Clinton. “Arrogant” is the word for Trump and voters say “Bush” when they think of Bush. “Donald Trump soars; Ben Carson rises; Jeb Bush slips and some GOP hopefuls seem to disappear. Trump proves you don’t have to be loved by everyone, just by enough Republicans to lead the GOP pack,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. -more- Quinnipiac University Poll/August 27, 2015 – page 2 “On the Democratic side, Secretary Hillary Clinton continues her slide while Sen. Bernie Sanders continues to narrow the gap,” Malloy added. “But the real news is the man who isn’t there – yet. Vice President Joseph Biden has the best appeal in general election matchups against top Republicans. “Note to Biden: They like you, they really like you, or they like you more than the others. “If he is sitting on the fence, his scores in the matchups and his favorability ratings may compel him to say, ‘Let's do this.’” Matchups among all American voters show: Biden tops Trump 48 – 40 percent. He beats Bush 45 – 39 percent and gets 44 percent to Rubio’s 41 percent. Clinton edges Trump 45 – 41 percent. She gets 42 percent to Bush’s 40 percent and gets 44 percent to Rubio’s 43 percent. Sanders edges Trump 44 – 41 percent and edges Bush 43 – 39 percent. Rubio gets 41 percent to Sanders’ 40 percent. If Trump runs as a third party candidate, Clinton gets 40 percent, with 24 percent each for Bush and Trump. Jeb Bush has a negative 32 – 41 percent favorability rating among all voters, with Clinton getting a negative 39 – 51 percent score, her worst ever. Ratings for other top contenders are: 48 – 39 percent for Biden; Negative 36 – 54 percent for Trump; 41 – 27 percent for Rubio; 32 – 28 percent for Sanders. Trump and Clinton have the worst scores among top candidates on honesty: Clinton is not honest and trustworthy, voters say 61 – 34 percent, her lowest score ever; Trump is not honest and trustworthy, voters say 54 – 38 percent. From August 20 – 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,563 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 666 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points and 647 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll. 2 1. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Trump Carson Bush Cruz Rubio Walker Kasich Fiorina Christie Huckabee Paul Santorum Perry Gilmore Jindal Pataki Graham SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 28 12 7 7 7 6 5 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 11 25 8 1 21 5 6 3 4 1 4 8 1 3 10 24 13 5 9 8 7 5 5 3 3 5 3 1 9 25 12 3 14 5 12 3 6 3 3 3 1 1 8 26 14 7 6 6 4 5 5 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 3 12 31 12 13 9 1 7 3 5 1 1 3 11 31 13 7 10 7 7 5 4 3 2 2 1 2 7 25 12 8 4 6 4 5 6 5 3 2 2 1 1 15 2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump, or Walker? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Trump Bush Christie Paul Graham Huckabee Perry Gilmore Santorum Pataki Jindal Cruz Kasich Walker Fiorina Rubio Carson No/No one DK/NA 26 18 14 14 13 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 27 9 21 28 22 10 21 9 6 7 6 5 5 2 7 4 9 5 3 28 2 27 22 17 12 13 8 8 7 5 6 6 8 8 4 6 6 4 26 9 23 21 16 14 16 10 9 9 7 9 7 6 8 5 5 5 5 25 10 25 18 9 11 9 7 5 7 5 6 6 3 5 6 4 3 3 28 9 32 13 18 19 13 12 12 9 14 10 9 13 8 9 8 10 8 24 7 23 22 17 15 16 10 11 11 10 11 9 9 9 9 7 8 8 29 7 29 12 11 13 9 8 6 6 6 6 5 4 5 3 4 3 2 25 11 3 3. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Clinton Sanders Biden O'Malley Webb Chafee SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 45 22 18 1 1 2 11 47 32 10 10 40 23 20 3 1 5 7 47 16 21 1 1 2 12 38 29 21 1 1 9 50 16 15 1 1 3 13 4. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Biden, Chafee, Clinton, O'Malley, Sanders, or Webb? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Clinton O'Malley Chafee Biden Webb Sanders No/No one DK/NA 11 8 8 8 7 5 54 16 7 5 8 11 11 3 61 13 10 11 10 5 6 7 54 14 12 10 8 8 6 6 51 17 11 6 5 6 4 4 61 13 10 10 11 10 9 6 48 19 5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton Bush SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton Bush SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 42% 40 3 10 5 5% 85 2 7 1 87% 7 1 2 3 32% 38 4 18 8 37% 41 4 13 5 47% 39 2 7 5 47% 40 3 6 4 40% 40 3 11 6 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 49% 30 5 10 6 29% 47 4 14 5 34% 48 3 10 5 92% 3 2 2 1 55% 35 2 5 2 41% 40 4 11 4 44% 41 2 10 4 39% 48 1 7 5 38% 48 2 6 5 4 6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 44% 43 2 6 5 6% 87 1 5 2 89% 5 1 4 36% 45 3 9 7 39% 47 3 7 5 50% 38 2 4 5 50% 42 2 2 4 42% 43 3 7 6 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 51% 34 3 5 7 31% 54 3 7 5 36% 51 2 5 5 91% 5 2 1 - 57% 26 4 3 9 44% 40 4 7 6 46% 45 1 5 3 41% 50 2 3 4 42% 48 2 3 5 7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 45% 41 3 7 4 8% 81 3 6 2 91% 5 1 2 2 34% 46 3 13 4 39% 47 3 8 3 51% 36 2 7 4 50% 37 3 6 4 43% 43 3 8 3 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 53% 32 3 9 3 31% 54 3 9 3 36% 49 3 7 4 91% 3 1 3 2 67% 21 2 10 - 46% 38 4 9 4 44% 46 1 5 3 42% 45 2 6 5 41% 45 3 6 5 8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? Biden Bush SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Biden Bush SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 45% 39 2 7 7 4% 86 3 4 3 88% 5 1 2 5 39% 37 2 14 9 42% 41 4 9 4 47% 37 1 6 9 48% 40 2 5 5 43% 39 3 8 7 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 48% 35 3 6 9 37% 47 3 10 4 38% 46 2 7 7 84% 3 6 3 4 53% 35 2 4 7 47% 36 3 8 6 45% 41 2 7 6 42% 45 2 6 6 40% 45 1 5 9 5 9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Biden Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Biden Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 44% 41 2 5 7 6% 85 1 3 4 86% 4 1 2 8 38% 43 1 9 9 41% 45 3 6 5 47% 38 1 5 10 49% 43 1 3 5 42% 41 2 6 9 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 45% 37 2 7 9 36% 51 2 7 5 38% 48 1 5 7 84% 4 4 2 6 52% 32 3 1 11 46% 39 2 5 7 45% 42 1 5 7 44% 45 2 3 6 40% 46 1 3 9 10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Biden Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Biden Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 48% 40 2 5 5 13% 78 3 3 3 90% 5 1 1 3 39% 43 2 9 7 45% 44 2 5 4 51% 36 2 4 6 55% 34 2 3 6 45% 42 2 6 5 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 53% 32 1 5 8 39% 50 2 5 4 42% 47 2 4 5 86% 2 4 2 5 65% 24 2 7 1 50% 37 3 6 4 47% 44 2 4 3 45% 43 3 4 5 45% 43 3 3 6 11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sanders Bush SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Sanders Bush SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 43% 39 2 7 9 6% 82 3 3 6 83% 5 1 3 8 39% 37 1 13 11 41% 41 4 8 5 45% 37 1 5 12 48% 41 1 5 6 41% 38 3 8 10 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 48% 33 4 7 8 36% 47 3 9 6 37% 45 2 6 9 79% 4 6 3 7 49% 36 3 4 8 49% 35 2 6 9 42% 41 2 6 9 37% 47 2 6 8 39% 44 1 4 13 6 12. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sanders Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Sanders Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 40% 41 2 5 11 5% 83 2 3 8 78% 7 1 4 11 36% 43 1 8 11 39% 45 3 6 7 42% 37 1 5 15 44% 44 1 3 7 38% 40 2 6 13 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 45% 36 3 5 11 34% 51 2 6 7 35% 48 1 5 11 73% 5 7 4 12 49% 36 2 4 9 47% 37 1 6 9 39% 43 2 5 11 33% 50 2 5 11 36% 44 1 4 14 13. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sanders Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Sanders Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 44% 41 2 6 6 9% 78 3 4 6 82% 7 1 5 6 39% 42 2 9 7 42% 46 3 6 4 47% 36 2 7 8 54% 36 2 4 4 40% 43 3 8 7 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 50% 29 3 9 9 36% 53 1 6 4 39% 48 2 5 6 76% 4 5 9 7 57% 23 5 11 4 49% 38 1 7 5 43% 45 3 5 4 39% 47 3 5 6 43% 43 2 4 8 14. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Jeb Bush the Republican, and Donald Trump running as an independent, for whom would you vote? COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Clinton Bush Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton Bush Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 40% 24 24 2 4 5 3% 56 33 1 1 6 46% 24 20 1 3 6 45% 27 17 2 4 6 38% 23 27 2 4 5 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 48% 22 20 3 3 3 27% 28 32 2 5 5 32% 29 27 2 4 6 87% 2 5 3 1 2 59% 19 16 4 1 39% 24 24 3 5 5 87% 4 5 1 2 42% 25 25 1 4 4 29% 19 34 3 9 6 37% 28 23 1 4 7 35% 25 28 3 5 5 36% 30 22 2 3 7 7 Q15,17,19,22-41. Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable Unfavorable). Carson Rubio Kasich Fiorina Biden Sanders Webb Walker Huckabee Jindal Chafee Gilmore Cruz Pataki Bush O'Malley Clinton Santorum Christie Paul Trump Perry Graham REGISTERED VOTERS................. Hvn't Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav 35 15 50 1 20 41 27 32 14 25 12 63 13 27 15 57 12 48 39 11 1 9 32 28 39 1 4 9 9 82 1 0 25 26 48 -1 32 34 33 1 -2 20 24 56 -4 5 10 84 -5 3 9 87 -6 28 34 38 -6 10 17 72 1 -7 32 41 26 1 -9 8 17 75 -9 39 51 8 2 -12 18 35 46 1 -17 27 45 27 1 -18 23 41 35 1 -18 36 54 8 2 -18 21 40 38 1 -19 11 35 52 1 -24 Rubio Carson Huckabee Walker Bush Fiorina Cruz Kasich Jindal Perry Trump Santorum Christie Paul Pataki Gilmore Graham REPUBLICANS........................ Hvn't Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav 72 3 25 69 62 6 32 56 64 15 20 49 52 5 43 47 59 17 24 1 42 49 8 44 41 54 13 33 41 36 5 58 31 36 5 59 31 45 16 38 1 29 59 30 9 2 29 38 20 41 1 18 39 32 28 1 7 35 35 29 1 0 15 17 66 2 -2 6 11 82 -5 23 28 47 2 -5 Biden Clinton Sanders Webb O'Malley Chafee DEMOCRATS......................... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav 83 6 9 2 77 76 11 11 2 65 54 8 38 46 11 10 78 1 1 12 13 75 -1 8 10 81 -2 8 15. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 39% 51 8 2 9% 88 3 1 76% 11 11 2 28% 61 9 3 34% 57 7 2 44% 45 9 2 43% 50 6 1 37% 51 9 2 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 40% 41 16 2 27% 66 5 2 31% 61 6 2 83% 6 8 3 58% 23 17 1 41% 51 7 2 39% 55 5 1 37% 54 7 2 35% 55 7 2 16. What is the first word that comes to mind when you think of Hillary Clinton? (Numbers are not percentages. Figures show the number of times each response was given. This table reports only words that were mentioned at least five times.) Tot liar dishonest untrustworthy experience strong Bill woman smart crook untruthful criminal deceitful Democrat intelligent email politician Benghazi corrupt crooked capable determined good leader murder qualified 178 123 93 82 59 56 47 31 21 19 18 18 16 15 14 13 12 12 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 Tot trustworthy bitch competent phony president cheat deceptive honest scandal sneaky ambitious arrogant brilliant dependable fair sec-of-state thief confident corporate dedicated devious first-lady lady liberal unqualified 9 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 17. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 32% 41 26 1 59% 17 24 1 17% 61 22 - 30% 40 29 1 32% 44 22 1 33% 38 29 - 37% 40 23 1 30% 41 27 1 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 24% 34 42 - 35% 42 21 2 36% 39 24 1 16% 54 29 - 30% 42 29 - 27% 48 25 - 36% 43 20 2 43% 34 22 1 37% 36 26 1 18. What is the first word that comes to mind when you think of Jeb Bush? (Numbers are not percentages. Figures show the number of times each response was given. This table reports only words that were mentioned at least five times.) Tot Bush family honest weak brother dynasty experience George Florida politician republican moderate governor establishment conservative father legacy nice trustworthy untrustworthy decent boring competent education favorable nepotism war idiot 136 70 53 45 41 40 35 28 25 24 24 21 20 16 14 14 13 13 13 12 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 Tot immigration unqualified wishy-washy corrupt liar mediocre dumb good liberal unfavorable capable fair honorable inexperience leader likable RINO crooked entitled incompetent intelligent loser ok questionable smart thoughtful uncertain wimp 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 19. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 36% 54 8 2 59% 30 9 2 10% 82 6 2 41% 48 8 2 41% 49 7 2 31% 58 9 3 29% 63 6 2 39% 49 9 3 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 25% 66 8 2 46% 45 6 3 41% 49 7 3 12% 79 9 - 22% 63 15 - 33% 53 10 3 41% 51 6 2 40% 50 8 2 36% 53 7 3 20. What is the first word that comes to mind when you think of Donald Trump? (Numbers are not percentages. Figures show the number of times each response was given. This table reports only words that were mentioned at least five times.) Tot arrogant blowhard idiot businessman clown honest ego money outspoken crazy rich showman strong asshole joke loud leader pompous bombastic egomaniac loudmouth racist big-mouth aggressive buffoon unfavorable braggart brash flamboyant narcissist truthful bold change funny 58 38 35 34 34 30 29 29 28 26 26 23 20 18 16 16 15 15 13 13 13 13 12 11 11 11 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 Tot hair jerk smart ignorant interesting non-politician successful untrustworthy ass business favorable go-getter moron mouth obnoxious opinionated power unqualified American bully entertainment fool greedy loose-cannon megalomaniac nuts ridiculous scary selfish sleazy unpredictable winner 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 11 21. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 47% 50 2 2 10% 88 1 - 89% 8 2 1 35% 59 2 3 44% 52 1 2 49% 48 2 2 52% 44 2 2 44% 53 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 55% 39 2 4 37% 61 1 1 39% 59 1 1 91% 6 1 2 59% 29 6 6 48% 48 2 1 45% 52 1 2 42% 54 2 2 41% 57 1 1 22. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 35% 15 50 1 62% 6 32 - 13% 24 62 1 39% 12 49 - 38% 18 43 1 32% 12 56 - 44% 20 35 - 31% 12 56 1 23. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 27% 45 27 1 39% 32 28 1 14% 59 27 - 32% 41 26 - 28% 45 26 1 26% 45 28 - 31% 51 17 1 25% 42 32 1 24. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 28% 34 38 - 54% 13 33 - 4% 55 42 - 27% 38 35 - 35% 39 26 - 20% 29 50 - 26% 45 28 - 28% 28 43 - 25. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 27% 15 57 - 49% 8 44 - 9% 21 70 1 34% 17 49 - 29% 19 51 1 24% 12 63 - 35% 20 45 - 23% 13 63 - 26. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jim Gilmore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 3% 9 87 - 6% 11 82 - 2% 6 92 - 3% 9 88 - 4% 9 86 - 2% 9 89 - 3% 7 89 - 3% 10 87 - 27. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 11% 35 52 1 23% 28 47 2 4% 36 59 - 11% 44 43 2 13% 43 42 1 9% 27 62 1 12% 46 40 2 11% 30 58 1 28. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 32% 34 33 1 64% 15 20 - 9% 47 42 2 33% 37 29 1 32% 38 29 2 32% 31 37 1 32% 48 20 1 32% 27 40 1 29. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 20% 24 56 - 36% 5 59 - 4% 44 53 - 22% 24 54 - 25% 26 49 - 16% 21 62 1 25% 29 46 - 18% 21 61 - 13 30. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 25% 12 63 - 36% 5 58 - 18% 15 66 - 26% 15 59 - 24% 16 59 1 26% 8 65 - 31% 12 57 - 23% 12 65 - 31. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 10% 17 72 1 15% 17 66 2 7% 13 79 1 7% 23 69 1 10% 20 68 1 9% 13 76 1 12% 20 67 2 9% 15 75 1 32. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 23% 41 35 1 35% 35 29 1 8% 47 44 - 25% 43 32 - 29% 43 27 1 17% 40 42 1 27% 46 26 1 21% 39 40 1 33. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 21% 40 38 1 45% 16 38 1 5% 57 38 - 17% 51 32 1 27% 42 30 - 15% 38 46 1 20% 51 29 - 22% 35 43 1 34. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 41% 27 32 - 72% 3 25 - 13% 49 38 - 45% 24 30 - 46% 27 26 - 36% 27 37 - 46% 28 25 - 38% 27 35 - 14 35. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 18% 35 46 1 38% 20 41 1 7% 51 41 1 16% 35 48 1 22% 37 40 1 15% 32 52 1 19% 48 32 - 18% 28 53 1 36. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 25% 26 48 - 52% 5 43 - 2% 47 51 - 31% 24 45 - 30% 31 38 - 20% 21 59 - 26% 32 42 1 25% 23 52 - 37. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 48% 39 11 1 17% 69 13 1 83% 6 9 2 42% 47 11 1 48% 41 10 1 48% 38 13 1 55% 38 6 1 44% 40 14 1 38. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lincoln Chafee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 5% 10 84 - 4% 8 87 - 8% 10 81 - 3% 11 86 1 7% 12 81 1 4% 8 88 - 7% 10 83 - 4% 10 85 - 39. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 8% 17 75 - 4% 23 73 - 12% 13 75 - 7% 16 78 - 10% 20 69 - 5% 14 81 - 11% 17 71 - 6% 17 77 - 15 40. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 32% 28 39 1 9% 47 44 - 54% 8 38 - 28% 34 36 1 35% 36 28 - 29% 21 49 1 41% 33 26 1 27% 26 46 1 41. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jim Webb favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 9% 9 82 1 7% 6 87 - 11% 10 78 1 11% 10 79 1 12% 10 78 1 6% 8 86 - 12% 7 80 1 7% 10 83 - 53. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 34% 61 5 9% 89 2 64% 29 7 26% 69 6 28% 68 3 39% 54 7 35% 60 5 33% 62 5 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 32% 62 6 22% 75 3 26% 69 5 67% 26 7 63% 33 4 33% 61 6 35% 61 4 38% 58 4 30% 64 6 54. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 38% 54 8 59% 36 5 18% 76 6 40% 51 9 42% 51 7 34% 57 8 35% 59 6 39% 52 8 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 28% 62 10 47% 47 6 42% 51 7 17% 73 10 27% 66 7 34% 59 7 41% 54 5 48% 45 7 37% 55 8 16 55. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 56% 33 12 35% 56 10 78% 11 11 55% 33 12 55% 39 6 56% 26 17 65% 28 7 50% 36 14 56. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 48% 39 13 73% 19 8 28% 58 14 51% 33 17 49% 44 7 47% 33 20 51% 34 15 47% 40 13 57. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 44% 23 32 30% 34 37 56% 14 30 50% 23 26 46% 29 25 43% 18 39 54% 19 28 40% 26 34 58. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 41% 28 31 70% 10 19 23% 42 35 37% 31 32 43% 32 26 39% 25 36 47% 27 25 38% 28 35 59. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 57% 41 3 29% 70 1 88% 9 3 49% 47 3 50% 47 3 63% 35 2 60% 38 2 55% 42 3 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 67% 29 5 43% 55 3 50% 48 2 89% 7 3 76% 17 7 65% 34 2 49% 48 2 49% 48 3 57% 42 1 17 60. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 64% 34 2 84% 15 1 42% 56 2 71% 26 3 68% 30 2 60% 38 2 59% 39 2 67% 31 2 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 69% 28 3 73% 25 2 69% 29 2 48% 52 - 48% 46 6 69% 30 1 62% 36 2 57% 39 4 65% 34 1 61. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 46% 45 9 28% 66 7 69% 25 6 43% 42 15 50% 45 6 42% 46 12 53% 41 6 42% 48 10 62. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 54% 33 14 68% 22 10 43% 44 13 57% 30 13 55% 35 10 53% 30 17 58% 26 16 52% 36 12 63. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 35% 31 34 19% 46 35 50% 19 31 39% 27 33 34% 37 29 35% 25 40 39% 30 31 32% 31 36 64. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 46% 24 30 68% 9 23 29% 39 32 47% 22 31 43% 30 28 48% 20 32 46% 26 28 45% 23 32 18 65. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 46% 51 3 13% 85 2 85% 13 2 33% 60 6 39% 59 3 53% 43 4 47% 48 4 45% 52 3 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 48% 48 4 33% 65 2 38% 59 3 89% 8 3 62% 34 4 46% 51 3 45% 52 3 46% 51 3 43% 52 4 66. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 37% 60 4 62% 36 3 12% 86 3 39% 56 5 39% 58 3 34% 62 4 36% 61 3 37% 59 4 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 28% 68 4 45% 52 3 43% 53 3 6% 92 2 14% 79 7 32% 66 2 40% 57 3 43% 52 5 42% 55 4 67. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 52% 37 11 26% 63 10 83% 9 8 49% 37 14 51% 43 6 53% 31 15 61% 32 8 48% 40 12 68. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 46% 44 10 71% 21 8 26% 65 9 52% 36 12 46% 48 6 47% 40 13 53% 39 9 44% 46 10 19 69. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 44% 27 29 22% 48 29 63% 9 27 45% 27 28 46% 30 24 41% 25 34 50% 25 26 41% 29 31 70. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 43% 30 27 71% 15 14 26% 41 33 42% 28 30 43% 34 22 44% 26 31 48% 30 22 41% 29 30 71. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 50% 46 3 15% 84 1 89% 8 3 44% 51 4 45% 51 3 55% 42 3 56% 41 3 48% 49 3 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 54% 42 5 40% 58 2 44% 54 2 86% 9 5 66% 25 9 54% 44 2 49% 47 4 47% 50 3 49% 49 2 72. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 31% 64 6 50% 45 5 10% 88 2 37% 56 7 33% 62 5 29% 65 6 23% 74 4 35% 59 6 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 28% 68 4 37% 57 6 34% 59 7 10% 90 1 26% 71 4 31% 66 3 31% 65 4 33% 57 10 31% 62 7 20 73. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 54% 37 10 27% 63 10 79% 12 8 55% 32 13 54% 40 6 53% 33 14 56% 37 7 52% 36 11 74. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 56% 32 13 76% 15 9 42% 44 14 56% 31 13 59% 33 8 52% 31 17 60% 25 14 54% 34 12 75. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 32% 33 34 14% 49 37 47% 23 30 37% 29 34 36% 34 30 28% 33 39 32% 37 31 32% 32 36 76. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 39% 29 32 67% 10 23 20% 45 36 41% 25 34 41% 30 29 37% 28 35 41% 29 30 38% 28 34 77. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of women or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 64% 32 4 38% 58 3 92% 5 2 62% 33 5 62% 35 4 67% 29 4 71% 27 2 62% 34 4 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 71% 24 6 57% 39 4 59% 37 4 95% 4 - 78% 15 7 69% 29 2 62% 36 3 59% 36 5 61% 35 3 21 78. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of women or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 31% 61 8 52% 40 8 8% 87 5 35% 55 10 37% 56 8 24% 67 9 28% 66 6 32% 59 9 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 19% 74 7 41% 52 7 36% 56 8 7% 89 5 16% 72 13 28% 63 9 32% 61 7 40% 52 8 30% 61 9 79. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden cares about the needs and problems of women or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 58% 27 15 41% 45 15 81% 12 7 56% 24 20 60% 29 11 56% 26 18 67% 23 11 53% 30 17 80. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of women or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 48% 35 17 73% 13 14 27% 54 18 52% 31 16 52% 33 14 43% 37 20 49% 34 17 47% 35 17 81. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of women or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 46% 17 36 31% 25 44 61% 10 29 49% 15 36 51% 19 30 42% 15 43 53% 14 32 43% 19 39 82. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of women or not? Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 36% 30 34 66% 13 21 16% 44 40 35% 28 37 40% 30 30 33% 29 38 37% 31 32 36% 28 35 22 83. If you had to choose, which type of experience do you think would better help a candidate serve effectively as president; someone who has experience in Washington or someone who is a Washington outsider? DC experience DC outsider DK/NA DC experience DC outsider DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom COLLEGE DEG Yes No 45% 48 7 21% 73 6 77% 18 6 37% 55 8 41% 54 5 49% 42 9 48% 44 8 44% 50 6 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ WHITE..... Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 44% 49 7 36% 59 5 40% 53 7 78% 17 5 60% 34 6 49% 44 8 46% 50 4 45% 47 9 44% 47 9 23