ON THE MODIFIED EXTENDED GENERALIZED EXPONENTIAL

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European Journal of Statistics and Probability
Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016
___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org)
ON THE MODIFIED EXTENDED GENERALIZED EXPONENTIAL
DISTRIBUTION
Okoli O.C.1, Osuji G.A2, Nwosu D.F3 and Njoku K.N.C4
1
Department of Mathematics, Chukwuemeka Odumegwu Ojukwu University, P.M.B. 02, Uli,
Ihiala L.G.A, Anambra State, Nigeria; 2. Department of Statistics, Nnamdi Azikiwe
University, Nigeria.
3
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Federal Polythenic Nekede, Owerri, Nigeria.
4
Department of Mathematics, Imo State University, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria.
ABSTRACT: A modification on the extension of generalized exponential distribution due to
Olapade (2014) is presented in this paper and some of its properties, such as; The cumulative
distribution function, the survival function, the hazard function and it properties, the reverse
hazard function, the moment generating function, the ๐‘˜๐‘กโ„Ž moment about the origin, the median,
the percentile point and the associated initial-value problem (IVP) for ordinary differential
equation (O.D.E.) are established.
KEYWORDS: Generalized Exponential Distribution, Moment Generating Function, Median,
Percentile, Mode, Initial-Value Problems.
INTRODUCTION
Exponential distributions have proven to be one of the outstanding continuous distributions
over time, probably due to its simplicity nature and useful in modeling life time data and
various problems related to waiting time events. If ๐‘‹ is a random variable denoting the waiting
time between successive events which follows the poisson distribution with mean ๐œ†, then ๐‘‹
follows the exponential distributions with probability density function (๐‘๐‘‘๐‘“)given by
๐‘“๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐œ†) = ๐œ†โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ ๐‘ฅ, ๐œ† > 0
(1.1)
And it associated cumulative distribution function (๐‘๐‘‘๐‘“) is given by
๐น๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐œ†) = 1 − โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ , ๐‘ฅ, ๐œ† > 0
(1.2)
respectively.
Over the years, generalization of distribution functions has attracted a lots of attention and
interest, after the introduction of a generalised (exponentiated) exponential (GE) distribution
by Gupta and Kundu (1999), several researchers have focused on improving this distribution
function in different directions with the aim of obtaining a distribution function that will be
more robust, and applicable in modeling different types of data. Gupta and Kundu (1999)
introduced a new distribution, named, “Generalized Exponential (GE) distribution “ with pdf,
cdf, survival function, and hazard function given by;
๐‘“๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐œ†) = ๐›ผ๐œ†(1 − โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐›ผ−1 โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
(1.3)
1
ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online)
European Journal of Statistics and Probability
Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016
___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org)
๐น๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐œ†) = (1 − โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐›ผ
๐‘†๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐œ†) = 1 − (1 − โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐›ผ
(1.4)
(1.5)
and
โ„Ž๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐œ†) =
๐›ผ๐œ†(1 − โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐›ผ−1 โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
, ๐‘ฅ, ๐›ผ, ๐œ† > 0
1 − (1 − โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐›ผ
(1.6)
where ๐›ผ, ๐œ† are the shape parameter, scale parameter respectively.
Gupta and Kundu (2000, 2001, 2003, 2004, 2007) also continued in this direction; by studying
the properties of Generalized Exponential (GE) distribution, also in relation to weibull and
Gamma distribution. They observed that this distribution can be used in place of gamma and
weibull distributions, since the two parameters of the gamma, weibull and generalized
exponential distribution have the same properties of increasing and decreasing hazard function
if their shape parameter is greater than one and less than one, and they have a constant hazard
function if their shape parameter is equal to. In the likes of this, several researchers have done
the same , the logistic distribution has enjoyed the same trend of generalization in many forms
as could be seen in Balakrishnan and Leung (1988), Jong-Wuu, Hung Wen-Liang, and Lee
Hsiu-Mei, (2000), George et’al (1980) and Olapade (2004,2005,2006) worked on several types
of generalized logistic distribution.
Motivated by the works of Gupta and Kundu and several authors, Olapade (2014) extended the
generalized exponential distribution by introducing an additional parameter as an improvement
to the existing model, and called it extended generalized exponential (EGE) distribution given
by
๐›ผ๐œ†(๐›ฝ − โ„ฎ−๐œ†(๐‘ฅ−๐œ‡) )๐›ผ−1 โ„ฎ−๐œ†(๐‘ฅ−๐œ‡)
๐‘“๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐œ‡, ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ) =
; ๐‘ฅ, ๐œ‡, ๐œ† > 0; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ > 1 (1.7)
[๐›ฝ ๐›ผ − (๐›ฝ − 1)๐›ผ ]
REMARK 1.1 It is important to note that the introduction of the parameter ๐›ฝ into equation
(1.3) by Olapade (2014) to obtain equation (1.7) has no effect on;
(a) the hazard function at the modal point,
(b) the properties of the hazard function of the original model by Gupta and Kundu (1999),
(c) the determining factor for existence of mode.
Apart from the fact that these properties of the hazard function is very important in inferential
statistics of life time data, Gupta and Kundu used these properties to relate the similarities of
generalizes exponential distribution with some other (Gamma and Weibull) life time
distributions. Hence, the Extended Generalizes Exponential (EGE) Distribution by Olapade
(2014) failed to extend the properties of the hazard function of the original model by Gupta
and Kundu (1999) and at the modal point. Olapade (2014), (section 6, pp. 1285) claimed that
“the only determining factor for the mode of EGE to exist is that ๐›ฝ − 2๐›ผ < 0 ”. This claim
does not reduce to the condition that guaranttes the determining factor for existence of the mode
of GE distribution by Gupta and Kundu (1999).
2
ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online)
European Journal of Statistics and Probability
Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016
___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org)
Apart from correcting these lapses in extended generalizes exponential (EGE) distribution by
Olapade (2014), in this paper, we introduce a new distribution by modifying the extend
generalization exponential distribution of Olapade, which we called the modified extended
generalized exponential (MEGE) distribution, thereby, improving on the result of Olapade
(2014), Gupta and Kundu (1999, 2000).
2 Six-Parameter Exponential Distribution
Definition 2.1 Suppose ๐‘‹ is continuous random variable, then we say ๐‘‹ follows the (MEGE)
distribution if the pdf is given by ;
๐‘“๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, ๐œ‡, ๐œŽ) =
๐‘ฅ−๐œ‡ ๐›ผ−1
๐‘ฅ−๐œ‡
)
−๐œ†(
)
๐œŽ )๐œ‚ โ„ฎ
๐œŽ
๐›ผ๐œ†(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†(
๐›ผ
๐œŽ[๐›ฝ ๐œ‚
− (๐›ฝ −
๐›ผ
๐œ‡
๐œ† ๐œ‚
๐œ‚โ„ฎ ๐œŽ ) ]
; ๐‘ฅ, ๐›ฝ, ๐›ผ, ๐œ‚, ๐œ‡, ๐œ†, ๐œŽ > 0;
(2.1)
Where ๐‘‹ follows a modify extended generalized exponential distribution. Observe that ๐œŽ can
be absorb by ๐œ†, also, there is no loss of generality if we assume that ๐œ‡ = 0. So that;
๐›ผ
๐‘“๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, 0) =
๐›ผ๐œ†(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐œ‚
๐›ผ
−1
โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
๐›ผ
, ๐‘ฅ, ๐›ผ, ๐œ‚, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ† > 0 (2.2)
[๐›ฝ ๐œ‚ − (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚ ]
Where ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, ๐œ‡, ๐œŽ, are shape, extension, scale, regularization, location, dispersion
parameters respectively and denoted by MEGE(. ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚) (or MEGE for short). We obtain
the corresponding cdf, ๐น๐‘‹ of ๐‘“๐‘‹ in equation (2.2) as follows;
๐‘ฅ
๐น๐‘‹ = ∫ ๐‘“๐‘ฆ (๐‘ฆ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, 0,1)๐‘‘๐‘ฆ
0
๐‘ฅ
๐›ผ
= ๐พ ∫(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฆ )๐œ‚
−1
๐‘‘๐‘ฆ ;
๐‘“๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ ๐พ = ๐›ผ๐œ†(๐›ฝ
๐›ผ⁄
๐œ‚
− (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)
๐›ผ⁄ −1
๐œ‚)
0
Let ๐‘ข = ๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฆ , then ๐‘‘๐‘ข = ๐œ†๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฆ ๐‘‘๐‘ฆ , we have ;
๐น๐‘‹ = ๐พ
๐›ผ⁄
1
|(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ ) ๐œ‚ |0๐‘ฅ
๐›ผ๐œ†
Hence we have
3
ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online)
European Journal of Statistics and Probability
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0
(๐›ฝ −
๐น๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, 0) =
;
๐›ผ
๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐œ‚
๐›ผ
[๐›ฝ ๐œ‚
{
− (๐›ฝ −
− (๐›ฝ −
๐‘ฅ<0
๐›ผ
๐œ‚)๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐œ‚)๐œ‚ ]
1
; 0<๐‘ฅ<∞
;
(2.3)
๐‘ฅ≥∞
∞
Observe that; Lim ๐น๐‘‹ = 1(= ∫0 ๐‘“๐‘ฅ ๐‘‘๐‘ฅ), confirming that ๐‘“๐‘ฅ is actually a pdf.
๐‘ฅโŸถ∞
The corresponding survival (reliability) function, hazard function and reverse hazard function
are given below as;
๐‘ ๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, 0) = 1 − ๐น๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, 0) =
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ ⁄๐œ‚
๐›ผ
−๐œ†๐‘ฅ ๐œ‚
๐œ‚โ„ฎ )
− (๐›ฝ −
๐›ผ
[๐›ฝ ๐œ‚
− (๐›ฝ −
๐›ผ
๐›ผ
๐œ‚)๐œ‚ ]
(2.4)
−1
๐‘“๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, 0)
(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐œ‚ โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
โ„Ž๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, 0) =
= ๐›ผ๐œ† ๐›ผ
(2.5)
๐›ผ
๐‘†๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, 0)
−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
๐œ‚
๐œ‚
[๐›ฝ − (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ ) ]
๐›ผ
−1
๐‘“๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, 0)
๐›ผ๐œ†(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐œ‚ โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
๐œ‘๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, 0) =
=
๐›ผ
๐›ผ
๐น๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, 0)
(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐œ‚ − (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚
(2.6)
In equation(2.2) to equation(2.6), if we take ๐œ‚ = 1, we obtain the results for EGE distribution
by Olapade (2014). In equation(2.2), if ๐œ‚ = ๐›ฝ = 1, we obtain the GE distribution by Gupta
and Kundu (1999) and if ๐œ‚ = ๐›ฝ = ๐›ผ = 1 we obtain the classical exponential distribution with
parameter ๐œ† (๐‘ค๐‘–๐‘กโ„Ž ๐œ‡ = 0) in equation (1.1).
3. The Moment Generating Function for Modified Extended Generalized Exponential
Distribution
The moment generating function for the modified extended generalized exponential
distribution is given by;
∞
๐‘€๐‘‹ (๐‘ก) = ∫ โ„ฎ๐‘ก๐‘ฅ ๐‘“๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚, 0)๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
0
=
∞
๐›ผ๐œ†
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ๐œ‚
๐‘€๐‘‹ (๐‘ก) =
− (๐›ฝ −
๐›ผ
๐œ‚)๐œ‚
−1
โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ ๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
0
∞
๐›ผ
−1
๐พ๐›ฝ ๐œ‚ ∫ [1
0
๐›ผ
∫ โ„ฎ๐‘ก๐‘ฅ (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ ๐œ‚
−(
)]
๐›ฝ
−1
โ„ฎ−๐‘ฅ(๐œ†−๐‘ก) ๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
(3.1)
4
ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online)
European Journal of Statistics and Probability
Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016
___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org)
๐›ผ
๐›ผ
Where ๐พ = ๐›ผ๐œ†(๐›ฝ ๐œ‚ − (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚ )−1
Let ๐‘ =
๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
๐›ฝ
๐›ฝ๐‘
; โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ =
; ๐‘ฅ = −๐œ†−1 ln(
๐œ‚
๐›ฝ๐‘ƒ 1
๐›ฝ๐‘
) ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐‘ฅ = ln( ๐œ‚ )๐œ†
๐œ‚
โŸน ๐‘‘๐‘ฅ = −(๐œ†๐‘)−1 ๐‘‘๐‘.
Using equation (3.1) we have ;
๐‘€๐‘‹ (๐‘ก) =
๐›ผ
−1
−๐พ๐›ฝ ๐œ‚ ∫(1
=
−
๐‘ก
1−
๐›ผ
๐‘ก
๐œ†
−1 ๐›ฝ
๐‘)๐œ‚ ( )
. (๐‘)1−๐œ† . (๐œ†๐‘)−1 ๐‘‘๐‘
๐œ‚
0
๐›ผ ๐‘ก
๐‘ก
−
−๐พ๐œ‚1− ⁄๐œ† ๐›ฝ ๐œ‚ ๐œ† ๐œ†−1
๐›ผ
∫(1 − ๐‘)๐œ‚
−1 −๐‘ก⁄
๐‘ ๐œ† ๐‘‘๐‘
๐œ‚
⁄๐›ฝ
๐‘ก
๐›ผ ๐‘ก
− −1
๐œ†๐œ†
∴ ๐‘€๐‘‹ (๐‘ก) = ๐พ๐œ‚1−๐œ† ๐›ฝ ๐œ‚
๐œ‚
⁄๐›ฝ
๐›ผ
∫ [1 − ๐‘]๐œ‚
−1
๐‘ก
. (๐‘)− ⁄๐œ† ๐‘‘๐‘
(3.3)
0
๐›ผ
By binomial expansion of (1 − ๐‘)๐œ‚
๐›ผ. ๐œ‚
๐‘€๐‘‹ (๐‘ก) =
1−
−1
and substituting for ๐พ, equation(3.3) yields ;
๐‘ก ๐›ผ− ๐‘ก
๐œ†๐›ฝ๐œ‚ ๐œ†
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ ๐œ‚ − (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)
๐›ผ
where ๐ถ (๐œ‚ − 1, ๐‘Ÿ) =
๐‘€๐‘‹ (๐‘ก) =
๐›ผ. ๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ๐œ‚
1−
๐›ผ
๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐œ‚
( −1)( −2)…( −๐‘Ÿ)
− (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)
๐œ‚
⁄๐›ฝ
∞
๐‘ก
๐›ผ
๐‘Ÿ−
๐‘Ÿ
๐œ†
∫
∑(−1)
.
๐ถ
(
−
1,
๐‘Ÿ)
.
๐‘
๐‘‘๐‘
๐›ผ
๐œ‚
๐œ‚
0
=
๐‘Ÿ!
๐›ผ ๐‘ก
๐‘ก
−
๐œ†. ๐›ฝ๐œ‚ ๐œ†
๐œ‚
⁄๐›ฝ
∞
๐‘Ÿ=0
๐›ผ
๐œ‚
∏๐‘Ÿ๐‘–=1( −๐‘–)
๐‘Ÿ!
๐‘ก
๐‘Ÿ
๐›ผ ๐‘๐‘Ÿ−๐œ†
๐‘‘๐‘
๐›ผ ∫ ∑ ∏ (๐‘– − )
๐œ‚ ๐‘Ÿ!
๐œ‚
(3.4)
๐‘Ÿ=0 ๐‘–=1
0
Interchanging the integral and the summation with the knowledge that the series converges, we
obtain;
๐‘ก
๐‘€๐‘‹ (๐‘ก) =
๐›ผ. ๐œ‚2 . ๐›ฝ ๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ๐œ‚
−1 ∞
๐œ“(๐‘Ÿ)
๐œ‚๐‘Ÿ
.
๐›ผ
๐›ผ
๐‘Ÿ! ๐›ฝ ๐‘Ÿ (๐‘Ÿ + 1 − ๐‘ก )
๐›ฝ ๐œ‚ − (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚ ๐‘Ÿ=0
๐œ†
๐›ผ
๐‘€๐‘‹ (๐‘ก) =
๐›ผ
๐›ผ. ๐œ‚2(1−๐œ†) . ๐›ฝ ๐œ‚
−1
− (๐›ฝ −
∞
๐›ผ∑
๐œ‚)๐œ‚ ๐‘Ÿ=0
∑
๐œ“(๐‘Ÿ)๐œ‚๐‘Ÿ −2๐‘ก
๐œ‚ ๐œ† (๐‘Ÿ + 1 − −๐œ†−1 ๐‘ก)−1
๐›ฝ ๐‘Ÿ ๐‘Ÿ!
( 3.5)
(3.6)
5
ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online)
European Journal of Statistics and Probability
Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016
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๐›ผ
∏๐‘Ÿ๐‘–=1 (๐‘– − ) ; ๐‘Ÿ > 0
๐œ‚
where ๐œ“(๐‘Ÿ; ๐›ผ, ๐œ‚) = {
1
; ๐‘Ÿ=0
Put
๐›ผ
๐ถ=
๐›ผ. ๐œ‚2 . ๐›ฝ ๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ๐œ‚
∞
−1
๐œ“(๐‘Ÿ)๐œ‚๐‘Ÿ
,
๐›ฝ ๐‘Ÿ ๐‘Ÿ!
๐›ผ∑
− (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚ ๐‘Ÿ=0
๐‘ข=
−2
,
๐œ†
๐‘ฃ=
1
.
๐œ†
Then differentiating equation(3.6), ๐‘˜ number of times (denoted by ๐‘€๐‘‹ (๐‘ก)(๐‘˜) ) we have ;
๐‘˜
๐‘€๐‘‹
(๐‘ก)(๐‘˜)
๐‘˜
= ๐ถ ∑ ( ) ๐ท ๐‘  (๐œ‚๐‘ข๐‘ก ) ๐ท๐‘˜−๐‘  ((๐‘Ÿ + 1 − ๐‘ฃ๐‘ก)−1 )
๐‘ 
๐‘ =0
๐‘˜
๐‘˜
= ๐ถ ∑ ( ) (ln ๐œ‚๐‘ข )๐‘  ๐œ‚๐‘ข๐‘ก (๐‘˜ − ๐‘ )! (๐‘Ÿ + 1 − ๐‘ฃ๐‘ก)−(๐‘˜−๐‘ +1) ๐‘ฃ ๐‘˜−๐‘  (3.7)
๐‘ 
๐‘ =0
Evaluating equation(3.7) at ๐‘ก = 0, we obtain the ๐‘˜๐‘กโ„Ž moment obout the origin ๐œ‡๐‘˜ of the MEGE
๐›ผ
๐›ผ๐œ‚2 ๐›ฝ ๐œ‚
๐œ‡๐‘˜ =
๐›ผ
∞
−1
๐‘˜
๐›ผ ∑∑
๐›ฝ ๐œ‚ − (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚ ๐‘Ÿ=0 ๐‘ =0
๐›ผ
=
๐›ผ๐œ‚2 ๐›ฝ ๐œ‚
−1
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ ๐œ‚ − (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)
∞
๐‘˜
๐‘Ÿ=0
๐‘ =1
๐‘˜!
๐‘˜! (−2)๐‘  (ln ๐œ‚)๐‘ 
๐œ‚ ๐‘Ÿ
∑
(
+
∑
)
๐œ“(๐‘Ÿ)
(
)
๐›ผ
๐œ†๐‘˜ ๐‘Ÿ! (๐‘Ÿ + 1)๐‘˜+1
๐œ†๐‘˜ ๐‘ ! ๐‘Ÿ! (๐‘Ÿ + 1)๐‘˜+1−๐‘ 
๐›ฝ
๐œ‚
๐›ผ
=
๐›ผ๐œ‚2 ๐œ†−๐‘˜ ๐‘˜! ๐›ฝ ๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ๐œ‚
๐‘˜! (−2)๐‘  (ln ๐œ‚)๐‘ 
๐œ‚ ๐‘Ÿ
๐œ“(๐‘Ÿ)
(
)
๐œ†๐‘˜ ๐‘ ! ๐‘Ÿ! (๐‘Ÿ + 1)๐‘˜+1−๐‘ 
๐›ฝ
− (๐›ฝ −
−1 ∞
๐‘˜
∑ (1 + ∑
๐›ผ
๐œ‚)๐œ‚ ๐‘Ÿ=0
๐‘ =1
(−2(๐‘Ÿ + 1)ln ๐œ‚)๐‘  ๐œ“(๐‘Ÿ)(๐œ‚๐›ฝ −1 )๐‘Ÿ
)
๐‘ !
๐‘Ÿ! (๐‘Ÿ + 1)๐‘˜+1
(3.8)
From equation(3.8) we can caculate the mean, variance, skewness and kutoses. Also, observe
that if we restrict ๐‘  such that ๐‘  = 0, we obtain
๐œ‡๐‘˜ =
๐›ผ๐œ‚2 ๐œ†−๐‘˜ ๐‘˜! ๐›ฝ
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ๐œ‚
๐›ผ
( −1) ∞
๐œ‚
− (๐›ฝ −
∑
๐›ผ
๐œ‚)๐œ‚ ๐‘Ÿ=0
๐œ“(๐‘Ÿ)(๐œ‚๐›ฝ −1 )๐‘Ÿ
๐‘Ÿ! (๐‘Ÿ + 1)๐‘˜+1
(3.9)
Furthermore, if we put ๐œ‚ = 1 and ๐œ† = 1, then we have
∞
๐›ผ๐‘˜! ๐›ฝ (๐›ผ−1)
๐›ผ−1
๐›ฝ −๐‘Ÿ
๐‘Ÿ
๐œ‡๐‘˜ = ๐›ผ
∑(−1)
(
)
(๐‘Ÿ + 1)๐‘˜+1
๐›ฝ − (๐›ฝ − 1)๐›ผ
๐‘Ÿ
(3.10)
๐‘Ÿ=0
as a special case, which is the result due to Olapade (2014).
6
ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online)
European Journal of Statistics and Probability
Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016
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4. Median of Modified Extended Generalized Exponential Distribution
Here, we seek for ๐‘ฅ๐‘š ๐œ– โ„ such that;
๐‘ฅ๐‘š
1
1
; โŸน ๐น(๐‘ฅ๐‘š ) =
2
2
∫ ๐‘“(๐‘ฅ)๐‘‘๐‘ฅ =
−∞
By equation (2.3), it implies that ;
(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐‘ฅ๐‘š๐œ† )
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ๐œ‚
๐›ผ⁄
๐œ‚
− (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)
− (๐›ฝ −
๐›ผ⁄
๐œ‚
=
๐›ผ
๐œ‚)๐œ‚
1
2
Simplifying and making ๐‘ฅ๐‘š the subject we have;
๐‘ฅ๐‘š =
−1 1
ln [๐›ฝ − (
๐œ†
๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ ⁄๐œ‚
+ (๐›ฝ +
2
๐›ผ
๐œ‚) ⁄๐œ‚
๐œ‚⁄
๐›ผ
)
]
(4.1)
5. The 100p-Percentage Point of Modified Extended Generalized Exponential
Distribution.
Here, we seek for ๐‘ฅ๐‘ such that;
๐‘ฅ๐‘
∫ ๐‘“(๐‘ฅ)๐‘‘๐‘ฅ = 100% ๐‘ ; โŸน ๐น(๐‘ฅ๐‘ ) = ๐‘.
−∞
And by equation (2.3), it follows that ;
(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ๐‘ )
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ๐œ‚
๐›ผ⁄
๐œ‚
− (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)
− (๐›ฝ −
๐›ผ
๐œ‚)๐œ‚
๐›ผ⁄
๐œ‚
=๐‘
Simplifying and making ๐‘ฅ๐‘ the subject , we have ;
−1 1
๐›ผ
๐›ผ
๐‘ฅ๐‘š =
ln [๐›ฝ − (๐‘๐›ฝ ⁄๐œ‚ − (๐‘ − 1)(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚) ⁄๐œ‚ )
๐œ†
๐œ‚
๐œ‚⁄
๐›ผ
] (5.1)
6. The Mode of the Modified Extended Generalized Exponential Distribution
Here, we seek for ๐‘ฅ ∗ ∈ โ„ ∋ ๐‘“(๐‘ฅ ∗ ) ≥ ๐‘“(๐‘ฅ) ∀ ๐‘ฅ > 0
By equation (2.2) ;
๐›ผ
๐‘“๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ; . ) = ๐พ(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐œ‚
−1
โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ ;
๐พ=
๐›ผ๐œ†
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ๐œ‚
๐›ผ
− (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚
Thus the first derivative of ๐‘“ denoted by ๐‘“๐‘‹ ′ is given by
7
ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online)
European Journal of Statistics and Probability
Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016
___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org)
๐›ผ
๐‘“๐‘‹ ′ = ๐พ๐œ† [(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐œ‚
−2
โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ (๐›ผโ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ − ๐›ฝ)]
By optimality condition, we have that ๐‘“ ′ = 0. Hence solving for ๐‘ฅ;
โŸน ๐‘ฅ1 = ∞ or ๐‘ฅ2 =
−1
๐œ†
๐›ฝ
ln (๐œ‚ ) or ๐‘ฅ3 =
−1
๐œ†
๐›ฝ
ln(๐›ผ)
Are the required solution, where ๐‘ฅ2 and ๐‘ฅ3 are admissible. We use the second derivative of ๐‘“๐‘‹
denoted by ๐‘“๐‘‹ ′′ given by
′′
2
๐‘“๐‘‹ = ๐พ๐œ† โ„ฎ
−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
(๐›ฝ −
๐›ผ
−๐œ†๐‘ฅ ๐œ‚ −2
๐œ‚โ„ฎ )
[(๐›ผ
− 2๐œ‚)(๐›ฝ −
๐›ผ
−๐œ†๐‘ฅ ๐œ‚ −2 −๐œ†๐‘ฅ
๐œ‚โ„ฎ ) โ„ฎ (๐›ผโ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
− ๐›ฝ)
− (2๐›ผโ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ − ๐›ฝ)]
To determine the natures of ๐‘ฅ2 and ๐‘ฅ3 . Observe that ๐‘“๐‘‹ ′′ (๐‘ฅ2 ) = 0, hence ๐‘ฅ2 is not a maxima
(modal) point of ๐‘“๐‘‹ and
๐›ผ
๐‘“๐‘‹ ′′ (๐‘ฅ3 ) = −๐ถ(๐›ผ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚
+2
๐›ผ ๐›ผ
; ๐ถ = ๐พ๐œ†2 ๐›ฝ ๐œ‚ ๐›ผ ๐œ‚
+1
(6.1)
Thus, ๐‘ฅ3 is the mode (maxima point) of ๐‘“๐‘‹ provided ๐›ผ > ๐œ‚, since ๐ถ is positive constant. This
implies in particular, that ๐‘“๐‘‹ is unimodal. Now, observe that at ๐‘ฅ3 , ๐‘“๐‘‹ , ๐‘ ๐‘‹ , โ„Ž๐‘‹ and ๐œ‘๐‘‹ are given
by;
๐›ผ
(๐‘–). ๐‘“๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ3 ) =
๐›ผ๐œ†(๐›ผ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐›ผ๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐›ผ๐œ‚ ๐œ‚
− (๐›ผ − )
๐›ฝ
๐›ผ
(๐‘–๐‘–๐‘–). โ„Ž๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ3 ) =
๐›ผ๐œ†(๐›ผ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚
(๐›ผ)
−1
๐›ผ⁄
๐œ‚
; (๐‘–๐‘–). ๐‘ ๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ3 ) =
(๐›ผ)
๐›ผ
๐›ผ๐œ‚
− (๐›ผ − ๐œ‚)
๐›ผ⁄
๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐›ผ๐œ‚ ๐œ‚
− (๐›ผ − )
๐›ฝ
๐›ผ
−1
− (๐›ผ − ๐œ‚)
๐›ผ⁄
๐œ‚
๐›ผ⁄
๐œ‚
; (๐‘–๐‘ฃ). ๐œ‘๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ3 ) =
๐›ผ๐œ†(๐›ผ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚
(๐›ผ −
๐›ผ
๐œ‚)๐œ‚
−1
๐›ผ
๐›ผ๐œ‚ ๐œ‚
− (๐›ผ − )
๐›ฝ
Observe in equation(6.1), the condition that guarantees existence of modal point is that ๐›ผ > ๐œ‚
which is independent of ๐›ฝ and if we put ๐œ‚ = 1, we obtain the condition that guarantees the
existence of modal point of GE distribution by Gupta and Kundu (1999). We study the
behaviour of the hazard function of the MEGE distribution using the following lemma due to
Glaser(1980).
Lemma 6.1 Let ๐‘“ be a twice differentiable probability function of a continuous random
variable ๐‘‹. Define ๐›ฟ(๐‘ฅ) =
๐‘“ ′ (๐‘ฅ)
๐‘“(๐‘ฅ)
, where ๐‘“ ′ (๐‘ฅ) is the first derivative of ๐‘“(๐‘ฅ) with respect to ๐‘ฅ.
Furthermore, suppose the first derivative of ๐›ฟ(๐‘ฅ) exist.
1. If ๐›ฟ ′ (๐‘ฅ) < 0 for all ๐‘ฅ > 0, then the hazard function is monotonically increasing.
2. If ๐›ฟ ′ (๐‘ฅ) > 0 for all ๐‘ฅ > 0, then the hazard function is monotonically decreasing.
8
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3. If there exist ๐‘ฅ0 such that ๐›ฟ ′ (๐‘ฅ) < 0 for all 0 < ๐‘ฅ < ๐‘ฅ0 , ๐›ฟ ′ (๐‘ฅ0 ) = 0 and ๐›ฟ ′ (๐‘ฅ) > 0 for
all ๐‘ฅ > ๐‘ฅ0 . In addition, lim ๐‘“(๐‘ฅ) = 0, then the hazard function is upside down bathtub
๐‘ฅ→∞
shape.
4. If there exist ๐‘ฅ0 such that ๐›ฟ ′ (๐‘ฅ) > 0 for all 0 < ๐‘ฅ < ๐‘ฅ0 , ๐›ฟ ′ (๐‘ฅ0 ) = 0 and ๐›ฟ ′ (๐‘ฅ) < 0 for
all ๐‘ฅ > ๐‘ฅ0 . In addition, lim ๐‘“(๐‘ฅ) = ∞, then the hazard function is bathtub shape.
๐‘ฅ→∞
To investigate the behaviour of the hazard function of MEGE distribution, it suffices to define
๐›ผ
−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
๐‘‘(log ๐‘’ ๐‘“(๐‘ฅ)) ๐‘‘ (log ๐‘’ ๐พ + ( ๐œ‚ − 1) log ๐‘’ (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ ) − ๐œ†๐‘ฅ)
๐›ฟ(๐‘ฅ) =
=
๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
๐›ผ
( ๐œ‚ − 1) ๐œ†๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
=
−๐œ†
๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
Thus
๐›ฟ ′ (๐‘ฅ) =
−๐›ฝ๐œ†2 (๐›ผ − ๐œ‚)โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )2
(6.2)
Hence, As a consequence of equation(6.1), equation(6.2) and lemma(6.1) we state the
following theorem:
Theorem 6.2 Let ๐‘‹ be a continuous random variable that is distributed as MEGE, then the
following holds:
(i)
๐›ฟ ′ (๐‘ฅ) < 0 for all ๐‘ฅ > 0 if ๐›ผ > ๐œ‚, then the hazard function of MEGE is
monotonically increasing if ๐›ผ > ๐œ‚,
(ii)
๐›ฟ ′ (๐‘ฅ) > 0 for all ๐‘ฅ > 0 if ๐›ผ < ๐œ‚, then the hazard function of MEGE is
monotonically decreasing if ๐›ผ < ๐œ‚,
(iii)
๐›ฟ ′ (๐‘ฅ) = 0 for all ๐‘ฅ > 0 if ๐›ผ = ๐œ‚, then the hazard function of MEGE is constant if
๐›ผ = ๐œ‚.
(iv)
the density of MEGE(. ; ๐›ผ, ๐›ฝ, ๐œ†, ๐œ‚) is log-concave if ๐›ผ > ๐œ‚ and log-convex if ๐›ผ <
๐œ‚
Proof. The proof follows from using equation(6.1), equation(6.2) and lemma(6.1).
Observe that if we put ๐œ‚ = 1, we obtain the result due to Gupta and Kundu (1999, 2000,
2001).
7. The ODE of the Modified Extended Generalized Exponential Distribution
Since ๐‘“๐‘‹ is a continous monotone real-valued function, we supposed that it is a unique solution
to certain initial value problem of an ordinary differential equation (ODE). In fact, the
uniqueness of the solution characterizes (single out) the pdf.
9
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Theorem 7.1 Let ๐‘” be a continuous real-valued function, then ๐‘” is a solution to the initial
value problem (7.1) and (7.2) if and only if ๐‘” = ๐‘“๐‘‹ .
(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐‘”′ (๐‘ฅ) + ๐œ†(๐›ฝ − ๐›ผโ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐‘”(๐‘ฅ) = 0
๐›ผ
๐‘”(0) =
๐›ผ๐œ†(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚
๐›ผ
๐›ฝ๐œ‚
− (๐›ฝ −
(7.1)
−1
(7.2)
๐›ผ
๐œ‚)๐œ‚
Proof.
Given that
(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐‘”′ (๐‘ฅ) + ๐œ†(๐›ฝ − ๐›ผโ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐‘”(๐‘ฅ) = 0
๐œ†(๐›ผโ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ − ๐›ฝ)๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
๐‘”′ (๐‘ฅ)๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
=∫
;
(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )
๐‘”(๐‘ฅ)
๐‘”′ (๐‘ฅ)๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ ๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
โŸบ ∫
= ๐œ† (๐›ผ ∫
−
๐›ฝ
∫
)
(๐›ฝ − โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )
(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )
๐‘”(๐‘ฅ)
โŸบ∫
If we take ๐‘ข = ๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ ; โŸน ๐‘‘๐‘ข = ๐œ‚๐œ†โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ ๐‘‘๐‘ฅ, so that
๐›ผ ๐‘‘๐‘ข
1
1
โŸบ ln ๐‘”(๐‘ฅ) = ( ∫
−∫( +
) ๐‘‘๐‘ข)
๐œ‚ ๐‘ข
๐‘ข ๐›ฝ−๐‘ข
๐›ผ
โŸบ ln ๐‘”(๐‘ฅ) = ln (๐‘ข ๐œ‚
−1
๐›ผ
(๐›ฝ − ๐‘ข)๐ถ) ; โŸน ๐‘”(๐‘ฅ) = ๐‘ข ๐œ‚
๐›ผ
−1
โŸบ ๐‘”(๐‘ฅ) = ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐œ‚ ๐ถ
−1
(๐›ฝ − ๐‘ข)๐ถ ;
(7.3)
Using the initial condition, we have that
๐›ผ๐œ†
๐ถ=
๐›ผ
๐œ‚ [๐›ฝ ๐œ‚
๐›ผ
− (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚ ]
Substituting for ๐ถ into (6.1), we obtain
๐›ผ
๐‘”(๐‘ฅ) =
๐›ผ๐œ†(๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ )๐œ‚
๐›ผ
−1
๐›ผ
โ„ฎ−๐œ†๐‘ฅ
(7.4)
๐›ฝ ๐œ‚ − (๐›ฝ − ๐œ‚)๐œ‚
โˆŽ
CONCLUSION
A six-parameter modified extended Generalized Exponential Distribution have been
introduced and proven to be a pdf. Some statistics characteristics such as ; the cumulative
distribution function, the survival function, hazard function and its properties, the reverse
hazard function, the moment generating function, the ๐‘Ÿ๐‘กโ„Ž moment about the origin ,the median,
10
ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online)
European Journal of Statistics and Probability
Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016
___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org)
the 100p-Percentage Point, the mode are also established and Finally, an initial-valued ordinary
differential equation associated with the new distribution was stated and proved.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors are thankful to the two anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments and the
associated editor(s) for the work well-done, which had helped to improve the manuscript.
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___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org)
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