European Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016 ___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org) ON THE MODIFIED EXTENDED GENERALIZED EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION Okoli O.C.1, Osuji G.A2, Nwosu D.F3 and Njoku K.N.C4 1 Department of Mathematics, Chukwuemeka Odumegwu Ojukwu University, P.M.B. 02, Uli, Ihiala L.G.A, Anambra State, Nigeria; 2. Department of Statistics, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Nigeria. 3 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Federal Polythenic Nekede, Owerri, Nigeria. 4 Department of Mathematics, Imo State University, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria. ABSTRACT: A modification on the extension of generalized exponential distribution due to Olapade (2014) is presented in this paper and some of its properties, such as; The cumulative distribution function, the survival function, the hazard function and it properties, the reverse hazard function, the moment generating function, the ๐๐กโ moment about the origin, the median, the percentile point and the associated initial-value problem (IVP) for ordinary differential equation (O.D.E.) are established. KEYWORDS: Generalized Exponential Distribution, Moment Generating Function, Median, Percentile, Mode, Initial-Value Problems. INTRODUCTION Exponential distributions have proven to be one of the outstanding continuous distributions over time, probably due to its simplicity nature and useful in modeling life time data and various problems related to waiting time events. If ๐ is a random variable denoting the waiting time between successive events which follows the poisson distribution with mean ๐, then ๐ follows the exponential distributions with probability density function (๐๐๐)given by ๐๐ (๐ฅ; ๐) = ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ ๐ฅ, ๐ > 0 (1.1) And it associated cumulative distribution function (๐๐๐) is given by ๐น๐ (๐ฅ; ๐) = 1 − โฎ−๐๐ฅ , ๐ฅ, ๐ > 0 (1.2) respectively. Over the years, generalization of distribution functions has attracted a lots of attention and interest, after the introduction of a generalised (exponentiated) exponential (GE) distribution by Gupta and Kundu (1999), several researchers have focused on improving this distribution function in different directions with the aim of obtaining a distribution function that will be more robust, and applicable in modeling different types of data. Gupta and Kundu (1999) introduced a new distribution, named, “Generalized Exponential (GE) distribution “ with pdf, cdf, survival function, and hazard function given by; ๐๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐) = ๐ผ๐(1 − โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ผ−1 โฎ−๐๐ฅ (1.3) 1 ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online) European Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016 ___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org) ๐น๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐) = (1 − โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ผ ๐๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐) = 1 − (1 − โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ผ (1.4) (1.5) and โ๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐) = ๐ผ๐(1 − โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ผ−1 โฎ−๐๐ฅ , ๐ฅ, ๐ผ, ๐ > 0 1 − (1 − โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ผ (1.6) where ๐ผ, ๐ are the shape parameter, scale parameter respectively. Gupta and Kundu (2000, 2001, 2003, 2004, 2007) also continued in this direction; by studying the properties of Generalized Exponential (GE) distribution, also in relation to weibull and Gamma distribution. They observed that this distribution can be used in place of gamma and weibull distributions, since the two parameters of the gamma, weibull and generalized exponential distribution have the same properties of increasing and decreasing hazard function if their shape parameter is greater than one and less than one, and they have a constant hazard function if their shape parameter is equal to. In the likes of this, several researchers have done the same , the logistic distribution has enjoyed the same trend of generalization in many forms as could be seen in Balakrishnan and Leung (1988), Jong-Wuu, Hung Wen-Liang, and Lee Hsiu-Mei, (2000), George et’al (1980) and Olapade (2004,2005,2006) worked on several types of generalized logistic distribution. Motivated by the works of Gupta and Kundu and several authors, Olapade (2014) extended the generalized exponential distribution by introducing an additional parameter as an improvement to the existing model, and called it extended generalized exponential (EGE) distribution given by ๐ผ๐(๐ฝ − โฎ−๐(๐ฅ−๐) )๐ผ−1 โฎ−๐(๐ฅ−๐) ๐๐ (๐ฅ; ๐, ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ) = ; ๐ฅ, ๐, ๐ > 0; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ > 1 (1.7) [๐ฝ ๐ผ − (๐ฝ − 1)๐ผ ] REMARK 1.1 It is important to note that the introduction of the parameter ๐ฝ into equation (1.3) by Olapade (2014) to obtain equation (1.7) has no effect on; (a) the hazard function at the modal point, (b) the properties of the hazard function of the original model by Gupta and Kundu (1999), (c) the determining factor for existence of mode. Apart from the fact that these properties of the hazard function is very important in inferential statistics of life time data, Gupta and Kundu used these properties to relate the similarities of generalizes exponential distribution with some other (Gamma and Weibull) life time distributions. Hence, the Extended Generalizes Exponential (EGE) Distribution by Olapade (2014) failed to extend the properties of the hazard function of the original model by Gupta and Kundu (1999) and at the modal point. Olapade (2014), (section 6, pp. 1285) claimed that “the only determining factor for the mode of EGE to exist is that ๐ฝ − 2๐ผ < 0 ”. This claim does not reduce to the condition that guaranttes the determining factor for existence of the mode of GE distribution by Gupta and Kundu (1999). 2 ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online) European Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016 ___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org) Apart from correcting these lapses in extended generalizes exponential (EGE) distribution by Olapade (2014), in this paper, we introduce a new distribution by modifying the extend generalization exponential distribution of Olapade, which we called the modified extended generalized exponential (MEGE) distribution, thereby, improving on the result of Olapade (2014), Gupta and Kundu (1999, 2000). 2 Six-Parameter Exponential Distribution Definition 2.1 Suppose ๐ is continuous random variable, then we say ๐ follows the (MEGE) distribution if the pdf is given by ; ๐๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, ๐, ๐) = ๐ฅ−๐ ๐ผ−1 ๐ฅ−๐ ) −๐( ) ๐ )๐ โฎ ๐ ๐ผ๐(๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐( ๐ผ ๐[๐ฝ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐ผ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐โฎ ๐ ) ] ; ๐ฅ, ๐ฝ, ๐ผ, ๐, ๐, ๐, ๐ > 0; (2.1) Where ๐ follows a modify extended generalized exponential distribution. Observe that ๐ can be absorb by ๐, also, there is no loss of generality if we assume that ๐ = 0. So that; ๐ผ ๐๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, 0) = ๐ผ๐(๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ ๐ผ −1 โฎ−๐๐ฅ ๐ผ , ๐ฅ, ๐ผ, ๐, ๐ฝ, ๐ > 0 (2.2) [๐ฝ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐)๐ ] Where ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, ๐, ๐, are shape, extension, scale, regularization, location, dispersion parameters respectively and denoted by MEGE(. ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐) (or MEGE for short). We obtain the corresponding cdf, ๐น๐ of ๐๐ in equation (2.2) as follows; ๐ฅ ๐น๐ = ∫ ๐๐ฆ (๐ฆ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, 0,1)๐๐ฆ 0 ๐ฅ ๐ผ = ๐พ ∫(๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฆ )๐ −1 ๐๐ฆ ; ๐๐๐ ๐พ = ๐ผ๐(๐ฝ ๐ผ⁄ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐) ๐ผ⁄ −1 ๐) 0 Let ๐ข = ๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฆ , then ๐๐ข = ๐๐โฎ−๐๐ฆ ๐๐ฆ , we have ; ๐น๐ = ๐พ ๐ผ⁄ 1 |(๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ ) ๐ |0๐ฅ ๐ผ๐ Hence we have 3 ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online) European Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016 ___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org) 0 (๐ฝ − ๐น๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, 0) = ; ๐ผ ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ ๐ผ [๐ฝ ๐ { − (๐ฝ − − (๐ฝ − ๐ฅ<0 ๐ผ ๐)๐ ๐ผ ๐)๐ ] 1 ; 0<๐ฅ<∞ ; (2.3) ๐ฅ≥∞ ∞ Observe that; Lim ๐น๐ = 1(= ∫0 ๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฅ), confirming that ๐๐ฅ is actually a pdf. ๐ฅโถ∞ The corresponding survival (reliability) function, hazard function and reverse hazard function are given below as; ๐ ๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, 0) = 1 − ๐น๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, 0) = ๐ผ ๐ฝ ⁄๐ ๐ผ −๐๐ฅ ๐ ๐โฎ ) − (๐ฝ − ๐ผ [๐ฝ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐ผ ๐ผ ๐)๐ ] (2.4) −1 ๐๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, 0) (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ โฎ−๐๐ฅ โ๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, 0) = = ๐ผ๐ ๐ผ (2.5) ๐ผ ๐๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, 0) −๐๐ฅ ๐ ๐ [๐ฝ − (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ ) ] ๐ผ −1 ๐๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, 0) ๐ผ๐(๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ โฎ−๐๐ฅ ๐๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, 0) = = ๐ผ ๐ผ ๐น๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, 0) (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐)๐ (2.6) In equation(2.2) to equation(2.6), if we take ๐ = 1, we obtain the results for EGE distribution by Olapade (2014). In equation(2.2), if ๐ = ๐ฝ = 1, we obtain the GE distribution by Gupta and Kundu (1999) and if ๐ = ๐ฝ = ๐ผ = 1 we obtain the classical exponential distribution with parameter ๐ (๐ค๐๐กโ ๐ = 0) in equation (1.1). 3. The Moment Generating Function for Modified Extended Generalized Exponential Distribution The moment generating function for the modified extended generalized exponential distribution is given by; ∞ ๐๐ (๐ก) = ∫ โฎ๐ก๐ฅ ๐๐ (๐ฅ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐, 0)๐๐ฅ 0 = ∞ ๐ผ๐ ๐ผ ๐ฝ๐ ๐๐ (๐ก) = − (๐ฝ − ๐ผ ๐)๐ −1 โฎ−๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฅ 0 ∞ ๐ผ −1 ๐พ๐ฝ ๐ ∫ [1 0 ๐ผ ∫ โฎ๐ก๐ฅ (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ ๐ผ ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ ๐ −( )] ๐ฝ −1 โฎ−๐ฅ(๐−๐ก) ๐๐ฅ (3.1) 4 ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online) European Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016 ___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org) ๐ผ ๐ผ Where ๐พ = ๐ผ๐(๐ฝ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐)๐ )−1 Let ๐ = ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ ๐ฝ ๐ฝ๐ ; โฎ−๐๐ฅ = ; ๐ฅ = −๐−1 ln( ๐ ๐ฝ๐ 1 ๐ฝ๐ ) ๐๐๐ ๐ฅ = ln( ๐ )๐ ๐ โน ๐๐ฅ = −(๐๐)−1 ๐๐. Using equation (3.1) we have ; ๐๐ (๐ก) = ๐ผ −1 −๐พ๐ฝ ๐ ∫(1 = − ๐ก 1− ๐ผ ๐ก ๐ −1 ๐ฝ ๐)๐ ( ) . (๐)1−๐ . (๐๐)−1 ๐๐ ๐ 0 ๐ผ ๐ก ๐ก − −๐พ๐1− ⁄๐ ๐ฝ ๐ ๐ ๐−1 ๐ผ ∫(1 − ๐)๐ −1 −๐ก⁄ ๐ ๐ ๐๐ ๐ ⁄๐ฝ ๐ก ๐ผ ๐ก − −1 ๐๐ ∴ ๐๐ (๐ก) = ๐พ๐1−๐ ๐ฝ ๐ ๐ ⁄๐ฝ ๐ผ ∫ [1 − ๐]๐ −1 ๐ก . (๐)− ⁄๐ ๐๐ (3.3) 0 ๐ผ By binomial expansion of (1 − ๐)๐ ๐ผ. ๐ ๐๐ (๐ก) = 1− −1 and substituting for ๐พ, equation(3.3) yields ; ๐ก ๐ผ− ๐ก ๐๐ฝ๐ ๐ ๐ผ ๐ฝ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐) ๐ผ where ๐ถ (๐ − 1, ๐) = ๐๐ (๐ก) = ๐ผ. ๐ ๐ผ ๐ฝ๐ 1− ๐ผ ๐ ๐ผ ๐ ๐ผ ๐ ( −1)( −2)…( −๐) − (๐ฝ − ๐) ๐ ⁄๐ฝ ∞ ๐ก ๐ผ ๐− ๐ ๐ ∫ ∑(−1) . ๐ถ ( − 1, ๐) . ๐ ๐๐ ๐ผ ๐ ๐ 0 = ๐! ๐ผ ๐ก ๐ก − ๐. ๐ฝ๐ ๐ ๐ ⁄๐ฝ ∞ ๐=0 ๐ผ ๐ ∏๐๐=1( −๐) ๐! ๐ก ๐ ๐ผ ๐๐−๐ ๐๐ ๐ผ ∫ ∑ ∏ (๐ − ) ๐ ๐! ๐ (3.4) ๐=0 ๐=1 0 Interchanging the integral and the summation with the knowledge that the series converges, we obtain; ๐ก ๐๐ (๐ก) = ๐ผ. ๐2 . ๐ฝ ๐ ๐ผ ๐ฝ๐ −1 ∞ ๐(๐) ๐๐ . ๐ผ ๐ผ ๐! ๐ฝ ๐ (๐ + 1 − ๐ก ) ๐ฝ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐)๐ ๐=0 ๐ ๐ผ ๐๐ (๐ก) = ๐ผ ๐ผ. ๐2(1−๐) . ๐ฝ ๐ −1 − (๐ฝ − ∞ ๐ผ∑ ๐)๐ ๐=0 ∑ ๐(๐)๐๐ −2๐ก ๐ ๐ (๐ + 1 − −๐−1 ๐ก)−1 ๐ฝ ๐ ๐! ( 3.5) (3.6) 5 ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online) European Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016 ___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org) ๐ผ ∏๐๐=1 (๐ − ) ; ๐ > 0 ๐ where ๐(๐; ๐ผ, ๐) = { 1 ; ๐=0 Put ๐ผ ๐ถ= ๐ผ. ๐2 . ๐ฝ ๐ ๐ผ ๐ฝ๐ ∞ −1 ๐(๐)๐๐ , ๐ฝ ๐ ๐! ๐ผ∑ − (๐ฝ − ๐)๐ ๐=0 ๐ข= −2 , ๐ ๐ฃ= 1 . ๐ Then differentiating equation(3.6), ๐ number of times (denoted by ๐๐ (๐ก)(๐) ) we have ; ๐ ๐๐ (๐ก)(๐) ๐ = ๐ถ ∑ ( ) ๐ท ๐ (๐๐ข๐ก ) ๐ท๐−๐ ((๐ + 1 − ๐ฃ๐ก)−1 ) ๐ ๐ =0 ๐ ๐ = ๐ถ ∑ ( ) (ln ๐๐ข )๐ ๐๐ข๐ก (๐ − ๐ )! (๐ + 1 − ๐ฃ๐ก)−(๐−๐ +1) ๐ฃ ๐−๐ (3.7) ๐ ๐ =0 Evaluating equation(3.7) at ๐ก = 0, we obtain the ๐๐กโ moment obout the origin ๐๐ of the MEGE ๐ผ ๐ผ๐2 ๐ฝ ๐ ๐๐ = ๐ผ ∞ −1 ๐ ๐ผ ∑∑ ๐ฝ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐)๐ ๐=0 ๐ =0 ๐ผ = ๐ผ๐2 ๐ฝ ๐ −1 ๐ผ ๐ฝ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐) ∞ ๐ ๐=0 ๐ =1 ๐! ๐! (−2)๐ (ln ๐)๐ ๐ ๐ ∑ ( + ∑ ) ๐(๐) ( ) ๐ผ ๐๐ ๐! (๐ + 1)๐+1 ๐๐ ๐ ! ๐! (๐ + 1)๐+1−๐ ๐ฝ ๐ ๐ผ = ๐ผ๐2 ๐−๐ ๐! ๐ฝ ๐ ๐ผ ๐ฝ๐ ๐! (−2)๐ (ln ๐)๐ ๐ ๐ ๐(๐) ( ) ๐๐ ๐ ! ๐! (๐ + 1)๐+1−๐ ๐ฝ − (๐ฝ − −1 ∞ ๐ ∑ (1 + ∑ ๐ผ ๐)๐ ๐=0 ๐ =1 (−2(๐ + 1)ln ๐)๐ ๐(๐)(๐๐ฝ −1 )๐ ) ๐ ! ๐! (๐ + 1)๐+1 (3.8) From equation(3.8) we can caculate the mean, variance, skewness and kutoses. Also, observe that if we restrict ๐ such that ๐ = 0, we obtain ๐๐ = ๐ผ๐2 ๐−๐ ๐! ๐ฝ ๐ผ ๐ฝ๐ ๐ผ ( −1) ∞ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ∑ ๐ผ ๐)๐ ๐=0 ๐(๐)(๐๐ฝ −1 )๐ ๐! (๐ + 1)๐+1 (3.9) Furthermore, if we put ๐ = 1 and ๐ = 1, then we have ∞ ๐ผ๐! ๐ฝ (๐ผ−1) ๐ผ−1 ๐ฝ −๐ ๐ ๐๐ = ๐ผ ∑(−1) ( ) (๐ + 1)๐+1 ๐ฝ − (๐ฝ − 1)๐ผ ๐ (3.10) ๐=0 as a special case, which is the result due to Olapade (2014). 6 ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online) European Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016 ___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org) 4. Median of Modified Extended Generalized Exponential Distribution Here, we seek for ๐ฅ๐ ๐ โ such that; ๐ฅ๐ 1 1 ; โน ๐น(๐ฅ๐ ) = 2 2 ∫ ๐(๐ฅ)๐๐ฅ = −∞ By equation (2.3), it implies that ; (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐ฅ๐๐ ) ๐ผ ๐ฝ๐ ๐ผ⁄ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐) − (๐ฝ − ๐ผ⁄ ๐ = ๐ผ ๐)๐ 1 2 Simplifying and making ๐ฅ๐ the subject we have; ๐ฅ๐ = −1 1 ln [๐ฝ − ( ๐ ๐ ๐ผ ๐ฝ ⁄๐ + (๐ฝ + 2 ๐ผ ๐) ⁄๐ ๐⁄ ๐ผ ) ] (4.1) 5. The 100p-Percentage Point of Modified Extended Generalized Exponential Distribution. Here, we seek for ๐ฅ๐ such that; ๐ฅ๐ ∫ ๐(๐ฅ)๐๐ฅ = 100% ๐ ; โน ๐น(๐ฅ๐ ) = ๐. −∞ And by equation (2.3), it follows that ; (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ๐ ) ๐ผ ๐ฝ๐ ๐ผ⁄ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐) − (๐ฝ − ๐ผ ๐)๐ ๐ผ⁄ ๐ =๐ Simplifying and making ๐ฅ๐ the subject , we have ; −1 1 ๐ผ ๐ผ ๐ฅ๐ = ln [๐ฝ − (๐๐ฝ ⁄๐ − (๐ − 1)(๐ฝ − ๐) ⁄๐ ) ๐ ๐ ๐⁄ ๐ผ ] (5.1) 6. The Mode of the Modified Extended Generalized Exponential Distribution Here, we seek for ๐ฅ ∗ ∈ โ ∋ ๐(๐ฅ ∗ ) ≥ ๐(๐ฅ) ∀ ๐ฅ > 0 By equation (2.2) ; ๐ผ ๐๐ (๐ฅ; . ) = ๐พ(๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ −1 โฎ−๐๐ฅ ; ๐พ= ๐ผ๐ ๐ผ ๐ฝ๐ ๐ผ − (๐ฝ − ๐)๐ Thus the first derivative of ๐ denoted by ๐๐ ′ is given by 7 ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online) European Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016 ___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org) ๐ผ ๐๐ ′ = ๐พ๐ [(๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ −2 โฎ−๐๐ฅ (๐ผโฎ−๐๐ฅ − ๐ฝ)] By optimality condition, we have that ๐ ′ = 0. Hence solving for ๐ฅ; โน ๐ฅ1 = ∞ or ๐ฅ2 = −1 ๐ ๐ฝ ln (๐ ) or ๐ฅ3 = −1 ๐ ๐ฝ ln(๐ผ) Are the required solution, where ๐ฅ2 and ๐ฅ3 are admissible. We use the second derivative of ๐๐ denoted by ๐๐ ′′ given by ′′ 2 ๐๐ = ๐พ๐ โฎ −๐๐ฅ (๐ฝ − ๐ผ −๐๐ฅ ๐ −2 ๐โฎ ) [(๐ผ − 2๐)(๐ฝ − ๐ผ −๐๐ฅ ๐ −2 −๐๐ฅ ๐โฎ ) โฎ (๐ผโฎ−๐๐ฅ − ๐ฝ) − (2๐ผโฎ−๐๐ฅ − ๐ฝ)] To determine the natures of ๐ฅ2 and ๐ฅ3 . Observe that ๐๐ ′′ (๐ฅ2 ) = 0, hence ๐ฅ2 is not a maxima (modal) point of ๐๐ and ๐ผ ๐๐ ′′ (๐ฅ3 ) = −๐ถ(๐ผ − ๐)๐ +2 ๐ผ ๐ผ ; ๐ถ = ๐พ๐2 ๐ฝ ๐ ๐ผ ๐ +1 (6.1) Thus, ๐ฅ3 is the mode (maxima point) of ๐๐ provided ๐ผ > ๐, since ๐ถ is positive constant. This implies in particular, that ๐๐ is unimodal. Now, observe that at ๐ฅ3 , ๐๐ , ๐ ๐ , โ๐ and ๐๐ are given by; ๐ผ (๐). ๐๐ (๐ฅ3 ) = ๐ผ๐(๐ผ − ๐)๐ ๐ผ ๐ผ๐ ๐ผ ๐ผ๐ ๐ − (๐ผ − ) ๐ฝ ๐ผ (๐๐๐). โ๐ (๐ฅ3 ) = ๐ผ๐(๐ผ − ๐)๐ (๐ผ) −1 ๐ผ⁄ ๐ ; (๐๐). ๐ ๐ (๐ฅ3 ) = (๐ผ) ๐ผ ๐ผ๐ − (๐ผ − ๐) ๐ผ⁄ ๐ ๐ผ ๐ผ๐ ๐ − (๐ผ − ) ๐ฝ ๐ผ −1 − (๐ผ − ๐) ๐ผ⁄ ๐ ๐ผ⁄ ๐ ; (๐๐ฃ). ๐๐ (๐ฅ3 ) = ๐ผ๐(๐ผ − ๐)๐ (๐ผ − ๐ผ ๐)๐ −1 ๐ผ ๐ผ๐ ๐ − (๐ผ − ) ๐ฝ Observe in equation(6.1), the condition that guarantees existence of modal point is that ๐ผ > ๐ which is independent of ๐ฝ and if we put ๐ = 1, we obtain the condition that guarantees the existence of modal point of GE distribution by Gupta and Kundu (1999). We study the behaviour of the hazard function of the MEGE distribution using the following lemma due to Glaser(1980). Lemma 6.1 Let ๐ be a twice differentiable probability function of a continuous random variable ๐. Define ๐ฟ(๐ฅ) = ๐ ′ (๐ฅ) ๐(๐ฅ) , where ๐ ′ (๐ฅ) is the first derivative of ๐(๐ฅ) with respect to ๐ฅ. Furthermore, suppose the first derivative of ๐ฟ(๐ฅ) exist. 1. If ๐ฟ ′ (๐ฅ) < 0 for all ๐ฅ > 0, then the hazard function is monotonically increasing. 2. If ๐ฟ ′ (๐ฅ) > 0 for all ๐ฅ > 0, then the hazard function is monotonically decreasing. 8 ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online) European Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016 ___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org) 3. If there exist ๐ฅ0 such that ๐ฟ ′ (๐ฅ) < 0 for all 0 < ๐ฅ < ๐ฅ0 , ๐ฟ ′ (๐ฅ0 ) = 0 and ๐ฟ ′ (๐ฅ) > 0 for all ๐ฅ > ๐ฅ0 . In addition, lim ๐(๐ฅ) = 0, then the hazard function is upside down bathtub ๐ฅ→∞ shape. 4. If there exist ๐ฅ0 such that ๐ฟ ′ (๐ฅ) > 0 for all 0 < ๐ฅ < ๐ฅ0 , ๐ฟ ′ (๐ฅ0 ) = 0 and ๐ฟ ′ (๐ฅ) < 0 for all ๐ฅ > ๐ฅ0 . In addition, lim ๐(๐ฅ) = ∞, then the hazard function is bathtub shape. ๐ฅ→∞ To investigate the behaviour of the hazard function of MEGE distribution, it suffices to define ๐ผ −๐๐ฅ ๐(log ๐ ๐(๐ฅ)) ๐ (log ๐ ๐พ + ( ๐ − 1) log ๐ (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ ) − ๐๐ฅ) ๐ฟ(๐ฅ) = = ๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฅ ๐ผ ( ๐ − 1) ๐๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ = −๐ ๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ Thus ๐ฟ ′ (๐ฅ) = −๐ฝ๐2 (๐ผ − ๐)โฎ−๐๐ฅ (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )2 (6.2) Hence, As a consequence of equation(6.1), equation(6.2) and lemma(6.1) we state the following theorem: Theorem 6.2 Let ๐ be a continuous random variable that is distributed as MEGE, then the following holds: (i) ๐ฟ ′ (๐ฅ) < 0 for all ๐ฅ > 0 if ๐ผ > ๐, then the hazard function of MEGE is monotonically increasing if ๐ผ > ๐, (ii) ๐ฟ ′ (๐ฅ) > 0 for all ๐ฅ > 0 if ๐ผ < ๐, then the hazard function of MEGE is monotonically decreasing if ๐ผ < ๐, (iii) ๐ฟ ′ (๐ฅ) = 0 for all ๐ฅ > 0 if ๐ผ = ๐, then the hazard function of MEGE is constant if ๐ผ = ๐. (iv) the density of MEGE(. ; ๐ผ, ๐ฝ, ๐, ๐) is log-concave if ๐ผ > ๐ and log-convex if ๐ผ < ๐ Proof. The proof follows from using equation(6.1), equation(6.2) and lemma(6.1). Observe that if we put ๐ = 1, we obtain the result due to Gupta and Kundu (1999, 2000, 2001). 7. The ODE of the Modified Extended Generalized Exponential Distribution Since ๐๐ is a continous monotone real-valued function, we supposed that it is a unique solution to certain initial value problem of an ordinary differential equation (ODE). In fact, the uniqueness of the solution characterizes (single out) the pdf. 9 ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online) European Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016 ___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org) Theorem 7.1 Let ๐ be a continuous real-valued function, then ๐ is a solution to the initial value problem (7.1) and (7.2) if and only if ๐ = ๐๐ . (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐′ (๐ฅ) + ๐(๐ฝ − ๐ผโฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐(๐ฅ) = 0 ๐ผ ๐(0) = ๐ผ๐(๐ฝ − ๐)๐ ๐ผ ๐ฝ๐ − (๐ฝ − (7.1) −1 (7.2) ๐ผ ๐)๐ Proof. Given that (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐′ (๐ฅ) + ๐(๐ฝ − ๐ผโฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐(๐ฅ) = 0 ๐(๐ผโฎ−๐๐ฅ − ๐ฝ)๐๐ฅ ๐′ (๐ฅ)๐๐ฅ =∫ ; (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ ) ๐(๐ฅ) ๐′ (๐ฅ)๐๐ฅ โฎ−๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฅ โบ ∫ = ๐ (๐ผ ∫ − ๐ฝ ∫ ) (๐ฝ − โฎ−๐๐ฅ ) (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ ) ๐(๐ฅ) โบ∫ If we take ๐ข = ๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ ; โน ๐๐ข = ๐๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฅ, so that ๐ผ ๐๐ข 1 1 โบ ln ๐(๐ฅ) = ( ∫ −∫( + ) ๐๐ข) ๐ ๐ข ๐ข ๐ฝ−๐ข ๐ผ โบ ln ๐(๐ฅ) = ln (๐ข ๐ −1 ๐ผ (๐ฝ − ๐ข)๐ถ) ; โน ๐(๐ฅ) = ๐ข ๐ ๐ผ −1 โบ ๐(๐ฅ) = ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ (๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ ๐ถ −1 (๐ฝ − ๐ข)๐ถ ; (7.3) Using the initial condition, we have that ๐ผ๐ ๐ถ= ๐ผ ๐ [๐ฝ ๐ ๐ผ − (๐ฝ − ๐)๐ ] Substituting for ๐ถ into (6.1), we obtain ๐ผ ๐(๐ฅ) = ๐ผ๐(๐ฝ − ๐โฎ−๐๐ฅ )๐ ๐ผ −1 ๐ผ โฎ−๐๐ฅ (7.4) ๐ฝ ๐ − (๐ฝ − ๐)๐ โ CONCLUSION A six-parameter modified extended Generalized Exponential Distribution have been introduced and proven to be a pdf. Some statistics characteristics such as ; the cumulative distribution function, the survival function, hazard function and its properties, the reverse hazard function, the moment generating function, the ๐๐กโ moment about the origin ,the median, 10 ISSN 2055-0154(Print), ISSN 2055-0162(Online) European Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol.4, No.4, pp.1-11, July 2016 ___Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK (www.eajournals.org) the 100p-Percentage Point, the mode are also established and Finally, an initial-valued ordinary differential equation associated with the new distribution was stated and proved. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors are thankful to the two anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments and the associated editor(s) for the work well-done, which had helped to improve the manuscript. REFERENCES 1.Gupta, R.D. and Kundu, D., (1999). Generalized exponential distributions. Australian and New ZealandJournal of Statistics, 41(2):173-188. 2. 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