The Indian Mining Technology, Equipment and Services Opportunities and Strategies for Australian Companies October 2012 Today’s Agenda Introduction to the Indian Mining Sector Kylie Bell Austrade Mumbai The Indian mining sector, potential opportunities, proposed reforms & implications, and procurement strategies of Indian companies Mr Kameswara (Kami) Rao, Partner and Practice Leader, Energy, Utilities, and Mining Leader, PWC An Australian case study in India, Modular Mining Mr Greg Sweeney, Business Development Manager Advice on market entry options and next steps Kylie Bell, Austrade Questions Australia Unlimited INDIA – a major global economy US$ 1.7 Trillion economy 11th largest global economy, poised to be the 3rd largest by 2030 Australia’s 3rd largest and fastest growing trade partner Home to a number of the world’s leading corporates Rapidly expanding domestic market of 1.2 billion people Australia Unlimited Indian Market Snapshot The total value of mineral production in 2009-10 was A$ 37.5 billion, an increase of 8% over the previous year World’s third largest coal producer with annual production in 2009 of around 549 million tones. Ranks 4th in iron ore, 5th in bauxite and 7th in Manganese Ore Also a significant producer of lignite, copper ore, zinc ore, chromite, mineral sands and limestone Approximately 3000 operating mines across the country, of which about 750 are owned by the public sector The Government of India forecasts an annual growth rate of 8.0-8.5 % for the Mining and Quarrying sector during the Five Year Plan covering the period from 1st April, 2012, to 31st March, 2017. Over the last decade, more than 40 Australian METS companies have penetrated the Indian market either by their own presence or through agents and distributors. Australia Unlimited Key Market Drivers High GDP growth, resulting in: Substantially higher requirements of fuel minerals to support rapidly increasing electricity demand Rapid infrastructure needs and industrial growth driving higher requirements for minerals for the metals sector to support Substantially higher requirements for minerals for the cement and construction materials sectors High transportation costs for imported minerals, particularly from distant geographies Infrastructure and policy issues in some of the import source countries in close geographies Australia Unlimited Opportunities from India market 1. Mine development and operation- public and private sector Various - both from the public and private sectors, particularly in underground mining. On hand recently are opportunities from Coal India Limited /Subsidiaries, Hindustan Copper Limited and a number of private allottees 2. Mineral Beneficiation McNally Bharat - seeking a JV for (a) Coal Sizers, (b) Modern design of crushers/ screens, impacters 3. Collision avoidance systems Coal India Limited – for their subsidiaries with large open cast mines 4. Washeries: Various- private sector enquiries for technology and operational partners for washeries 5. Vocational training in Mining: Various- seeking courses in niche areas of mining, as well as consultancy for setting up a mining VET institution 6. Mine site rehabilitation expertise Australia Unlimited Successful Australian companies in India Australia Unlimited Successful Australian companies in India Australia Unlimited www.pwc.com Opportunities in India mining sector Oct 2012 Strictly Private and Confidential Draft October 11, 2012 Agenda Contents Page 1 Mining industry in India 1 2 Potential opportunities 8 3 Proposed reforms & implications 17 4 Procurement strategies 21 5 How can we work together 25 Section 1 Mining industry in India PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 1 Section 1 – Mining industry in India Overview of the economy and sector drivers • • A higher growth trajectory over the last two decades albeit under pressure lately. – 4.1% (1950-90) vs. 6.9% (1990-2012) 16 The fundamental drivers remain: 14 – change in structure of the economy: to services (59%), industry (27% of GDP) 12 – urbanization (28% to 41% by 2030) – infrastructure deficit • India: economic growth and structure Some key challenges to be addressed: – industry structure reform – proper use of natural resources – equitable growth – environment, safety, and health 10 8 6 4 2 0 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 GDP IIP Inflation (WPI) IIP – Index for Industrial Production WPI – Wholesale Price Index PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 2 Section 1 – Mining industry in India Doing business in India Source: World Bank Doing Business 2012 Rank Australia South Africa Brazil Mozambique India Overall Rank 15 35 126 139 132 Starting Business 2 44 120 70 166 Getting Credit 8 1 98 150 40 Dealing with construction permit 42 31 127 126 181 Getting electricity 37 124 51 172 98 Protecting Investors 65 10 79 46 46 Logistics 11 23 45 67 46 PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 3 Section 1 – Mining industry in India Structure of the Mining industry • Large listed state owned mining companies, integrated private mining-metal companies, and independent holdings. – SOMC dominate: 72% by value produced but differ by sector (92% in coal, 31% in iron ore). Share of minerals by value 2011 67% 2010 69% – metallic minerals: robust private sector activity and growing – focussed on domestic use – size: 2.26% of GDP (~$22 billion) 21% 18% 24% 3% 58% 0% 20% 3% 18% 63% 2007 2% 40% 10% 11% 21% 2% 66% • A large part of the industry is fragmented (573 2009 coal, 553 metallic, 1523 non-metallic mines) and in under-developed regions. 2008 – fuel minerals dominate 67% 9% 2% 60% 80% 15% 16% 100% Fuels (Coal & Lignite) Metallic Minerals Non-Metallic Minerals Source: Indian Bureau of Mines PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 4 Section 1 – Mining industry in India Coal sector scenario • The demand for coal is growing at annual rate of 6.37% per annum against local production of 5.79%. • Demand supply gap is rising - shortfall is now about 84 MT - estimated domestic shortfall is over 300 MT in medium term, if all LoAs issued are activated. Resource classification Proved 114.00 Indicated 137.47 Inferred 34.39 Total 1000 • The demand for coal is estimated at over 1.6 BT by 2025 (IEP, Vision 2025 @ 8% GDP) Demand vs. Indigenous Production MT contributes to ~70% of total demand 285.86 Source: Ministry of Coal • Power generation drives demand - In billion tonnes 500 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Demand Production Figures for future years are estimated figures. Source: Infraline database PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 5 The changes in downstream industries • Coal remains key to core sectors even over longer term. • Implications of market concentration in coal sector on downstream sectors, and its mitigation (e.g., regulation, competition) • Deregulation in key downstream industry e.g., retail competition in power Coal use by sector: FY12 Coal use by sector: FY32 21% 20% 58% 10% 3% 8% Electricity Others 10% 5% Iron & Steel Non-elect. Cement 60% 5% Electricity Others Iron & Steel Non-elect. Cement Source: PwC Analysis, India Energy Book 2012, (World Energy Council ,Indian Member Committee) PwC Section 1 – Mining industry in India Iron ore scenario • Significant iron ore reserves - 26 BT, cut off grade of 55% - almost double if cut off grade 45% • Fourth largest producer in world: Current production >200 MTPA • Share in mineral value: 17% • Resource utilisation: - new steel capacity; value addition requirement in most states exports (duty on ore increased to 30% and withdrawn from pellets - Dec „11) • Large quantity of low grade in-situ reserve, low grade fines and slimes. - IBM directive for iron ore produced with Fe 45-55% stacked at mine for future use PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC 250 Iron ore production & exports 219 213 200 213 213 188 150 100 102 91 98 69 68 50 - 0 0 Domestic production 1 0 Exports N/A Imports Source: Ministry of Mines October 11, 2012 7 Section 2 Potential opportunities PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 8 Section 2 – Potential opportunities Estimated investment potential in mining UCG/Coal to Liquids Iron ore mining Bauxite/ Alumina and Aluminum Consultancy services in Mining For additional 170 million tons per annum capacity in next 5 years For 50000 barrels/da y in next 510 years For meeting domestic demand from steel industry in 2020 of 190 MTPA Investmen t in mining, refinery & smelters Varies from 1-5% of total investment USD 3.5 billion USD 3.5 billion USD 4 billion USD 5 billion USD 0.4 to 4 billion Coal Mining Coal Beneficiation To reach target production capacity of 1.5 billion tons per annum by 2025 USD 24 billion Source: PwC Analysis with Ministry of Coal & Ministry of Mines, Ministry of Steel data PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 9 Section 2 – Potential opportunities International collaborations (Govt. of India) Source: Ministry of Coal, Ministry of Mines Mining Activities Geophysic al Exploratio n / 3D Seismic survey European Union √ South Africa Germany √ CBM/ CMM/ AMM/ VAM/ UCG Deep shaft for coal mines √ √ √ √ √ √ USA √ Russia √ Mechani zation of UG mines Thick seam and steep seam mining Mining technolo gy services PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC Training related to safety √ √ √ √ √ √ Japan Australia Clean coal tech., and coal preparati on √ √ √ October 11, 2012 10 Section 2 – Potential opportunities Rising private participation in mining industry Ongoing projects in state owned coal companies • State owned mining companies viz. CIL, SCCL, NMDC are expanding their production capacity to meet growing demand. Entity • They are adopting various modes of PPP to accelerate development: CIL 138 5.1 397 SCCL 29 0.7 47 NLC 5 2.3 7/ 1750 (MW) – Bhubaneswari OCP has been awarded to Essel Mining for 20 MTPA. – Magadh (20 MTPA), Amrapali (12 MTPA) projects of CCL are likely to be on PPP. – Ore handling plant (2.5 MTPA) of OMC to be on PPP – Reject beneficiation (NMDC) to be on PPP • 100% FDI permitted in coal and non-coal mineral sectors. Potential opportunity with competitive auctions. No. of ongoing projects Estimated investments (USD bn) Capacity addition (Mty) Source: Ministry of Coal 200 150 FDI in non-coal mining ($m) 174 141 80 100 50 34 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Indian Bureau of Mines PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 11 Section 2 – Potential opportunities Opportunity size for contract mining in coal 28 24 20 Contract mining market potential (billion tons) Investment size of USD 5.9 billion 14.2 16 12 8 4 4.6 4 0 Steel Power Mining capability Lack mining capability/Target PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC Others October 11, 2012 12 Section 2 – Potential opportunities Opportunities in coal beneficiation • • Coal washing was notified as approved end use for coal in 1993. The Ministry of Environment and Forests mandates thermal power plants located 1,000 km away from pithead and in other environmentally-sensitive areas to use coal with ash content not exceeding 34%. • Construction of beneficiation plants on Build-own-operate (BOO) basis is also allowed. • 100% FDI is allowed in setting up coal beneficiation plants. Beneficiation capacity MTPA 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 - 140 70 70 32 Present Additional (XII plan) Coking Coal washing Capacity PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 13 Section 2 – Potential opportunities Opportunities in iron ore sector • Exploration in proposed exploration zones – – – – • Odisha: Bonai - Keonjhar belt, Tomka Daitari and Umerkoke belt Opportunities for value addition projects and agglomeration plants for fines utilisation – Jharkhand: All major high grade ore deposit contain low grade lateritic ores. Karnataka: Bagalkot, Tumkur and Chitradurga districts. Maharashtra: Sindhudurg, Gadchiroli, Gondia – Chattisgarh : All 14 deposits of Bailadila range, Dantewara district – Andhra Pradesh: Cudappah, Kurnool, Karimnagar, Adilabad and Guntur District. PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC • fines production in country in 2009-10 ~ 126 MT, while – pelletisation capacity ~24 MTPA – sintering capacity ~ 29 MTPA Scope for domestic / foreign firms in upcoming PPP opportunities. – JV or technical participation with midcap players with lease/license and seeking capital, expertise, and technology. – in coal mines with auctions; and iron ore mines with larger scale October 11, 2012 14 Section 2 – Potential opportunities Opportunities in services... Opportunity Contract Mining Implications • NTPC ( Kerendari A – 6 million tons per annum) • Mahaguj (Mahanadi coal block - over 20 million tonnes per annum) • OMC (2.5 MTPA iron ore beneficiation plant) • Excavator (10-12 cubic meters bucket capacity) • Rope shovels (20 and 42 cubic meters bucket capacity) • Dumper (150T, 190t and 240 T) • Crawler Dozer (850 HP) • Wheel Dozer (460 HP) • In various public and private mining companies • Surpac, Minex, Vulcan, Geological modelling software, Simulation software to predict underground mine environment (MDO opportunities) Equipment procurement with maintenance and repair contracts Software (IT solutions) PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 15 Section 2 – Potential opportunities Opportunities in services... Opportuity Low grade iron ore beneficiation BHQ/BHJ beneficiation Jharia Master Plan Implications • In integrated mining companies and large mining licensees. • Requirement for jigs, spirals, teeter bed separators • Requirement for low/high intensity, high gradient magnetic separators • Flotation banks • In integrated mining companies and large mining licensees. • Requirement for crushers, screens & teeter bed • Investment potential of over 2 billion over next 10 years through GoI initiatives. • Opportunities for mine fire control • Mine environment improvement • Infrastructure development PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 16 Section 3 Proposed reforms & implications PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 17 Section 3 – Proposed reforms & implications Sector reforms and opportunities Proposed reforms Implications Opportunities Auction of coal licenses/non-coal minerals via competitive bids • More robust licensing process • High capacity/suitable and investment security. • Opportunity in coal: 54 coal blocks (reserves of 16 BT). The auction route is pure-play as well as tariff based bidding. • Coal block auctions only after exploration and Geological Report to provide better clarity of asset base. PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC equipment configuration to help the owners aim higher efficiency to win bids. • Mining and beneficiation equipment suppliers tie-up with prospective bidders. • Equipment leasing. • Market for new technologies (e.g. Coal to gasification and CMM capture and usage). October 11, 2012 18 Section 3 – Proposed reforms & implications Sector reforms and opportunities Proposed reforms Implications Opportunities Reconnaissance Permit/ Prospecting License • Open sky policy with non- • Mineral exploration exclusive RPs to be allowed i.e. open to all interested. • Assured transition of licences; transfer of RP/PL allowed. • New composite license for high technology RL/PL to explore deeper deposits companies may apply for exploration in thrust areas like copper, lead and zinc. • On successful discovery the same may be transferred to prospective miners. • Incentivize investment and technology flows Coal Regulatory Authority/ National Mining Regulatory Authority • Will review sustainability, pricing, supply agreements. • Ensure timely allocation of mineral licenses. • Information systems • GIS /RFID system use by regulators and licensees • Sustainability reporting • Check illegal mining. PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 19 Section 3 – Proposed reforms & implications Sector reforms and opportunities Proposed reforms Implications Opportunities Safety Conference recommendation implementation • Will help in increasing safety • Market for underground Profit Sharing with host population • 26% profit sharing local Sustainability reporting introduced • Will encourage scientific in open-cast mines and and opencast safety underground mines in light of equipment, technologies. mechanisation. • R&D opportunities with CMPDIL population. mining • More efforts to reduce • R&R framework set on a clearer, standard basis for mine owners. • Sustainability reporting • Technologies for mitigation efforts. adverse impact on environment PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 20 30 Section 4 Procurement strategies PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 21 Section 4 – Procurement strategies Procurement strategies State owned companies State-owned companies are required to follow strictly defined guidelines. Two or three stage process. • issuing a public tender (can be accessed by all interested bidders) • interested suppliers are invited to submit a qualification proposal. • they are then invited to submit technical details of their asset against the minimum acceptable technical specifications. • should the asset meet required specifications, Typical Qualification Criteria: • Net worth : generally 10-25 % of Project Cost. • Turnover: generally 1.5-2 times of expected annual revenues from Project • Cash Accrual: Varies (seen on occasion) • O&M experience: 3-5 years of experience Other conditions: • Earnest Money Deposit : generally 1-2% of Project Cost in form of demand draft • Bank guarantee (on winning): generally 5% of Project Cost bidders then be invited to submit their price • Board approval: necessary in big projects or quote. At this point, contracts will almost always in case of strength of affiliate company. awarded on the most competitive price. PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 22 Section 4 – Procurement strategies Procurement strategies...continued Private and Listed companies Other influencing factors • The procurement processes varies based on the • Price remains a key procurement criteria even for private companies in India, as many services/licenses are competitive bid and serve a cost conscious market. • Expectation of discounts at negotiation stage and the inability to secure discount can lead to a failed negotiation. • Ongoing maintenance is often required to be given free of charge or at a discount i.e., as a bundled offering. • Soft factors such as offering design services, testing, training, experience sharing etc are valued and helps strengthen relationship. • Incorporating them in the global play can appeal to their wider group interests. value, technical complexity, importance to the procuring company and its governance. • Private companies typically follow a similar process to state-owned companies • Not as strict on purchase from the lowest cost supplier, but seek “value” which may include other services and financing. • Past experience with suppliers and the quality of business relationships is a significant factor. • Many tenders may sent to preselected parties i.e., extend invitations to those they are more familiar with – including to just 1-2 suppliers based on existing business relationships or known specialist expertise. PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 23 Section 4 – Procurement strategies Procurement strategies...continued Capital expenses in an Indian Coal Company Capital expenses in an Indian Integrated Metal Company 2010 2010 2nd highest expenditure on development 2011 2012 0% 20% 40% More than 90% expenditure on plant & 60% machinery 80% 100% 2011 2012 0% 20% 40% Over60% 80% 100% 60% expenditure on plant & machinery Plant & equipment Telecommunication Railway siding Furniture and office tools vehicle Development Prosecting and boring PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC Plant & equipment Furniture and Fixtures Vehicles Freehold Land and Roads Development of property Buildings Office Equipments Railway Siding Freehold Buildings Lease hold October 11, 2012 24 Section 5 How can we work together PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 25 Section 5 – How can we work together Procurement strategies...continued PwC Mining Industry Advisory can support across our services: • Investment and Business development - bid advice on tendered projects and services, post-award reviews, business alliances - opportunity identification and country / state / sector attractiveness • New entry and investments into new business segments - entry strategy, market assessments, business plans • Production location and optimization - site decisions, supply sourcing, cost optimization, supply chain advisory • Tax planning and investment structuring • Partnering, Financing and Acquisitions - target search, M&A advisory, local fund raising PricewaterhouseCoopers, India • Indian Mining Industry PwC October 11, 2012 26 Thank you The information contained in this document is provided 'as is', for general guidance on matters of interest only. PricewaterhouseCoopers is not herein engaged in rendering legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice and services. Before making any decision or taking any action, you should consult a competent professional advisor. © 2012 PricewaterhouseCoopers Private Limited. All rights reserved. In this document, “PwC” refers to PricewaterhouseCoopers Private Limited (a limited liability company in India), which is a member firm of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, each member firm of which is a separate legal entity. Modular Mining, An Australian Case Study in India Mr Greg Sweeney Mine Production Management Software ©2007 Modular Mining Systems, Inc. 38 About Presenter • Greg Sweeney – Business Development Manager • Live on the Central Coast NSW • Qualification is in accounting, CPA. Started with MMS as Commercial Manager in 2000 • Spent the past 8 years in Business Development for MMS, various markets including Australia, Indonesia, SE Asia, but most time/effort has been in India • Currently a Director of our Indian operation which is based in Pune, close to Mumbai ©2007 Modular Mining Systems, Inc. 39 About Modular Mining • First company to develop GPS based Fleet Management Systems (FMS) in 1979 • 12 offices around the globe. Corporate office is located in Tucson, Arizona • 100% owned by Komatsu Ltd, but operate largely independently • Products include GPS based FMS, which incorporates fleet optimisation, material blending, operator performance and safety ©2007 Modular Mining Systems, Inc. 40 About Modular In India • • • • 1st system installed in 2004 1st employee in 2004, working from home We now have 4 mines, 30+ employees From our Pune office we provide support for all of our Indian customers, plus provide some back office support for our other global offices • Our main effort in the early years was directed towards the very large government deals. Our more recent focus has been on the rapidly expanding private sector • Modular does not use agents/third parties. We set up shop in each country once it becomes commercially viable ©2007 Modular Mining Systems, Inc. 41 Learning's • Be Patient! Do not expect anything to happen as quickly or as smoothly as they do at home • Develop a market strategy based on extensive research. Clearly identify your target market sector, specific customers, understand the differences between the different sectors • Use the Austrade resources wherever available. They have a lot of experience and resources to help you to understand the market, pitfalls, identifying customers, market intelligence etc • Also suggest getting in contact with your State Government who supply valuable market information and even financial grants ©2007 Modular Mining Systems, Inc. 42 Learning's • Take part in organised Tradeshows and Trade Missions. Helps you build your brand, and generate in country contacts • Be wary if using local agents. You will be approached by many. Even large multinational companies have suffered due to poor choice of representative • Companies need to carefully consider how they will operate in country. Need to weigh up having higher costs and control (employees) vs. using third party agents which have a lower initial commercial impact but also less control ©2007 Modular Mining Systems, Inc. 43 Learning's • Modular initially focussed on Government tenders, which represent a bigger potential prize, but these deals come with a lot of pitfalls including bureaucracy, corruption, L1 pricing, time delays – we spent a lot of money understanding this • We have been more successful with Private companies, who are more agile and are looking to buy our systems to extract value. Private companies are still very price sensitive, but they are more transparent to deal with • Modular will continue to tender for the government jobs, they are too big to ignore, but we will certainly approach them differently based on our experience to date ©2007 Modular Mining Systems, Inc. 44 Learning's • In India you need to sell on value/features, there will always be someone who will beat you on price. • It is a price sensitive market • You need to invest time with the decision makers to educate them on the advantages of your product, why it is better than the cheaper offerings, what advantages you can bring to them • Buyers want foreign products to get better quality and greater features, but you still need to demonstrate capability and a track record ©2007 Modular Mining Systems, Inc. 45 Learning's • Try and get in early on any deal to establish relationships. • Often we are asked to write the technical specification document as they do not have the prior knowledge • Expect deals to take longer than you would like • Invest time in fostering the relationships and education • Where possible, ask for a technical ranking to be included in the evaluation process, get away from purely a price decision ©2007 Modular Mining Systems, Inc. 46 Finally, if you like cricket, then study up. If you don’t, then start. It is the best conversation starter! ©2007 Modular Mining Systems, Inc. 47 Austrades’ Market Activities December 2012 • Mining Technologies and Mining Education Seminar at Kolkata on 04 December, 2012 • IMME 2012 mining exhibition in Kolkata, with an Australian Pavilion, from 5-8 December, 2012 First Quarter 2012 • Resource Suppliers Mission to India, covering Kolkata, New Delhi and Mumbai, and with visit options to a coal or metals mine ( To be confirmed ) Second Quarter 2012 • Webinar on Business prospects in the Indian mining sector Australia Unlimited Indian network Amit Khaira Kylie Bell Trade and Investment Commissioner Partha Sen Ramakrishna Dastrala Bhavin Kadakia Australia Unlimited Contact us for assistance: Isaac Court Austrade, Newcastle (Australia) T: +61 2 4925 8777 Sectoral E: Isaac.Court@austrade.gov.au opportunities Kylie Bell Austrade, Mumbai (India) T: +91 22 6116 7117 E: Kylie.Bell@austrade.gov.au Partha Sen Austrade, Kolkata (India) T: +91 33 4003 3610 E: Partha.Sen@austrade.gov.au