Saving the Antarctic: the (im)possibility of using legal instruments to prevent companies from drilling in light of environmental protection. Essay by Laura Lundahl – JUCN21 spring period 2016 Index Saving the Antarctic: the (im)possibility of using legal instruments to prevent companies from drilling in light of environmental protection. 1 I Introduction 3 II The Polar Regions: legal regime ANTARCTICA The Antarctic Treaty Madrid Protocol on Environmental Protection CCAMLR UNCLOS THE ARCTIC 3 3 4 8 12 13 15 III Risks of drilling 16 IV Possibilities of prevention BY NGOs BY STATES 17 17 17 V Conclusion 18 VI Bibliography 20 2 I Introduction Drilling and mining on Antarctica, is it possible? What happens when there is a leak, what risks are involved? But more importantly, is there a way, a legal way, of preventing companies from searching for oil on Antarctica? I will research these questions, with special focus on the legal regimes that control Antarctica and explore in which way they protect the environment of this icy continent. More specifically, I will first go deeper into the specific laws governing Antarctica as a kind of national level of legal instruments, to afterwards turn to the more general international level of UNCLOS, the treaty that governs the common laws of the seas. Later, I will elaborate just a little on the legal regime concerning the Arctic, namely to point out the differences with Antarctica. And finally I will consider the risks of drilling, after which we shall research whether there are ways to prevent this by NGOs and/or states. II The Polar Regions: legal regime ANTARCTICA The Antarctic region is governed by the Antarctic Treaty System (ATS). The ATS is an overarching network that manages and controls the activities occurring on this icy continent1. It includes both different treaties concerning Antarctica and its environment and a number of specific resolutions adopted by the governing body put in place by the Antarctic Treaty2. This body consists of all the consulting parties of the Antarctic Treaty, 1 Dastidar, Prahir G. And Persson, O., Mapping the Global Structure of Antarctic Research visà-vis Antarctic Treaty System, Current Science, 2005, p.1552. 2 Dupuy, P.-M., Viñuales, J.E., International Environmental Law, Cambridge University Press, 2015, p. 114. 3 currently 293, that have devoted and demonstrated their commitment to substantial and extensive Antarctic scientific research; and therefor have a vote within the regulation and management of the Antarctic region.4 Respectively I will research more in depth the Antarctic Treaty, the Madrid Protocol, CCAMLR and UNCLOS to get a clear image of the current mechanisms provided for by the ATS on one hand and by international treaty law, being UNCLOS, on the other that protect the Antarctic environment. The Antarctic Treaty Even though the Antarctic region is of very little value concerning human and animal inhabitation, several countries have tried to make territorial claims on it during the 20 th century5. The reason thereof is the richness of mineral resources of this area6. These territorial claims are made by seven states spread across the globe, complimented by the United States and Russia in the coarse of the second World War and the Cold War, during which both these states, prior not making any claims concerning Antarctic territory, showed increased interest. The seven claimants are Chile, France, United Kingdom, NewZealand, Australia, Argentina and Norway7. 3 Information retrieved from: http://www.ats.aq/devAS/ats_parties.aspx?lang=e , last visited on 17-05-2016. 4 Scott, K., Institutional Developments within the Antarctic Treaty System, International and Comparative Law Quarterly, 2003, Vol 52, Issue 2, p.475. 5 Grob, J., Antarctica’s Frozen Territorial Claims: A Meltdown Proposal, Boston College International and Comparative Law Review, 2007, Vol. 30, Issue 2 (Spring 2007), p. 462. 6 Sahurie, E.J., The International Law of Antarctica, New Haven Press, 1992, p.433. 7 Grob, J., Antarctica’s Frozen Territorial Claims: A Meltdown Proposal, Boston College International and Comparative Law Review, 2007, Vol. 30, Issue 2 (Spring 2007), p. 462. 4 8 This short summary of the history of this treaty is relevant because in order to exploit the resources found in Antarctica, these resources first have to be ‘appropriated’ by a particular state and thereby resign under that states sovereignty9. To dismantle a race towards territorial sovereignty and protection of the area, the Antarctic Treaty was established in 1959 and went into force in 196110. Originally there were twelve consulting parties (the seven original claimants, The United States, former Soviet Union, Belgium, Japan and South Africa)11 and today there are fifty-three parties to the Antarctic Treaty of which 29 have consulting votes12. The most important article in this treaty is the one that “freezes” all of these territorial claims, namely Article IV of the Antarctic Treaty, which states that no new claims can be made nor can states be forced to relinquish their own or be forced to acknowledge those of other states13. Other main principles embodied in this treaty are the ‘use for peaceful 8 Image retrieved from: http://discoveringantarctica.org.uk/how-is-antarcticagoverned/geopolitics/geopolitics-of-antarctica/ , last visited on 17-05-2016. 9 Dupuy, P.-M., Viñuales, J.E., International Environmental Law, Cambridge University Press, 2015, p. 114. 10 Grob, J., Antarctica’s Frozen Territorial Claims: A Meltdown Proposal, Boston College International and Comparative Law Review, 2007, Vol. 30, Issue 2 (Spring 2007), p. 462. 11 Information retrieved from: http://discoveringantarctica.org.uk/how-is-antarcticagoverned/geopolitics/geopolitics-of-antarctica/ , last visited on 17-05-2016. 12 Information retrieved from: http://www.ats.aq/e/ats.htm , last visited on 17-05-2016. 13 Suter, K., International law and the last wilderness, Australian International Law Journal, 1998, p.15. 5 purposes only’ principle14, pronouncing Antarctica as a demilitarised zone15, no nuclear tests or waste dumping16 and the principle of scientific research as a basic objective of any activity on Antarctica17. There are different strengths of the Antarctic Treaty, but also weaknesses. I will only elaborate further on the weaknesses relevant for this research, these being on the one hand the omission of a regulation concerning living and non-living resources and on the other the lack of reference to the protection of the Antarctic environment18. This first problem was solved by the later on negotiation of several treaties which I will discuss later: Agreed measures on the Conservation of Antarctica Fauna and Flora (which was designated no longer current in 2011)19, Convention for the Conservation of Antarctic Seals and the Convention on the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (“CCAMLR”). The latter omission of regulation, the one concerning the environment of Antarctica, was specifically of interest in 1988 when the consultative parties started working on “CRAMRA”, Convention for the Regulation of Antarctic Mineral Resource Activities. There was an incredible amount of pushback from environmental NGOs trying to stop this convention from being established, because they were convinced there should be no drilling or mining whatsoever on Antarctica; and regulating these activities would inherently also allow them in some circumstances. One of their main arguments was the pollution an oil leak, because of drilling/mining, would cause. Because of the cold temperatures the bio-degrading of this oil in the Antarctic environment would take a lot longer then somewhere in a warmer climate.20 Because of this environmental activism the convention never went into force but was replaced by a ban on all mining and drilling on Antarctica, by the 1991 Protocol on Environmental Protection to the Antarctic Treaty. I will elaborate further later on. 14 Art. I, Antarctic Treaty, Dec. 1, 1959. Art. I, Antarctic Treaty, Dec. 1, 1959. 16 Art. V, Antarctic Treaty, Dec. 1, 1959. 17 Art. II and III, Antarctic Treaty, Dec. 1, 1959. 18 Suter, K., International law and the last wilderness, Australian International Law Journal, 1998, p.21-22. 19 "Decision 1 (2011) - ATCM XXXIV - CEP XIV, Buenos Aires", Antarctic Treaty Secretariat, 1/7/2011, found online at: http://www.ats.aq/devAS/info_measures_listitem.aspx?lang=e&id=491 , last visited on 1905-2016. 20 Suter, K., International law and the last wilderness, Australian International Law Journal, 1998, p.23-24. 15 6 Even though CRAMRA is not in effect today, it is legally not dead. You can compare it with an active Convention being technically in the process of ratification, in a legal limbo sort of speak. Its relevance may have been overcome by the ban on all mining and drilling in the Madrid Protocol and states may now and in the foreseeable future not be inclined to ratify this treaty.21 However, there is a possibility that when necessary states will ratify this convention, because it remains open for ratification to parties of the Antarctic Treaty and there has not been set an expiration date on the possibility to enter into force by ratification in the convention itself22. Even though the Antarctic Treaty is a cornerstone in the legal aspect of the protection of Antarctica, it does not explicitly protect the environment as such. Article I (peaceful use only) provides indirectly for an environmental protection, but the scope thereof is narrow. Because non-peaceful activity such as military action might not have any impact on the environment whereas other peaceful activities, like tourism, might have a big negative effect on the Antarctic environment23. There is thus no specific protection of the environment as such in the Antarctic Treaty, let alone a protection against drilling and mining in specific. It is probably the case that the contracting parties assumed further specific measures under Article IX (1)(f) which states that parties may adopt measures for the protection of ‘living resources’. This formulation seems problematic in the way that it only covers the living resources and not the environment as a whole, but nevertheless this article provides, be it indirectly, a basis to protect the environment. Because how can you protect the living resources of Antarctica without inherently protecting the environment they live in?24 To conclude, we can say the Antarctic Treaty is inadmissible for Antarctica, but provides us only with indirect links to protect the environment against drilling and mining. 21 Stokke, O.S. and Vidas, D., Governing the Antarctic: the effectiveness and legitimacy of the Antarctic Treaty System, Cambridge University Press, 1996, p.171-172. 22 Art. 61 CRAMRA, retrieved online at: http://www.state.gov/documents/organization/15282.pdf , p.425, last visited on 23-052016. 23 Blay, S.K.N., New Trends in the Protection of the Antarctic Environment: The 1991 Madrid Protocol, The American Journal of International Law, 1992, Vol.86, p.379. 24 Blay, S.K.N., New Trends in the Protection of the Antarctic Environment: The 1991 Madrid Protocol, The American Journal of International Law, 1992, Vol.86, p.379-380. 7 Madrid Protocol on Environmental Protection This might be the most important source of regulation for this particular research question. In 1991 the Madrid Protocol on environmental protection in Antarctica was added to the above mentioned Antarctic Treaty because of the awareness that Antarctica has a crucial role in the prevention of ‘overheating’ of the earth, determining the oceanic movements and circulation patterns and the entire earths climate25. In this protocol Antarctica is seen as ‘a natural reserve, devoted to peace and science’26 and for our problem Article 3 is our main source of useful information. Article 3 of the Madrid Protocol contains the environmental principles that control the entire document and the activities of parties on Antarctica. This is a relatively long article, divided in different subsections, namely four: 1. That the protection of the Antarctic environment and the associated ecosystems and the importance of research shall be primary considerations when planning activities 2. (a) activities must limit adverse effects on environment and ecosystems (b) list of things activities must avoid (which makes clear the concept of damage to the Antarctic environment is not one of economic-propriety assessment but essentially one of ecological value!27) (c) activities must be based on information that is sufficiently accurate to determine the impact of these activities on the environment and ecosystems of Antarctica, and a list of what these judgements to determine the activities must take account of (d) regular and effective monitoring (e) the monitoring shall take place to facilitate the possible unforeseen effects of these activities 3. the priority of these activities must be scientific research and the preservation of Antarctica to make this research possible 4. conditions for the activities under Article VII (5) of the Antarctic Treaty, the activities for which advance notice is required The main purpose and contribution of this protocol is: 25 Hanifah, N.A. and Hashim, R., The Madrid Protocol 1991 and its environmental impacts towards the quality of life, Asia Pacific International Conference on Environment-Behaviour Studies, 2011, p.400. 26 Art. 2, Madrid Protocol, 1991, retrieved online at: http://www.ats.aq/documents/recatt/Att006_e.pdf , last visited on 22-05-2016. 27 Francioni, F., Madrid Protocol on the protection of the Antarctic environment, The Texas International Law Journal, 1993, p.60. 8 “The appropriate environmental principles are defined for this purpose; the scope of the basic provisions of the 1959 Treaty regarding scientific research is broadened; and a series of juridical and institutional measures are adopted. The latter includes consultation and cooperation among all parties in the different Antarctic instruments; the assignment of functions to the Consultative Meetings to enact and enforce general environmental policies; the creation of the Committee for Environmental Protection; and the incorporation of provisions to facilitate compliance by contracting parties, carry out inspections, respond efficiently in the face of accidents, and ensure the compulsory settlement of disputes.”28 As mentioned before, CRAMRA is not needed anymore because of the entire ban on activities related to mineral resources we find in Article 7 of the Madrid Protocol29. The only exception we find here is that of scientific research. As Bush commented in 1991, the distinguishing factor between scientific research and other mineral resources related activities is the intention behind it: why is the information being sought?30 On the other hand, Chile declared in an interpretative declaration to the protocol that it understood Article 7 as prohibiting all “mineral activities in all their phases” including the search for minerals to possibly exploit them later on. However, this prohibition is therefor not permanent because when the Antarctic Treaty Consultative Parties unanimously decide on a mineral resources regime, Article 7 might become inactive.31 The Madrid Protocol was established as a framework convention to which Annexes were added to specifically regulate the changing environmental issues concerning Antarctica.32 On the other hand, one should be critical towards the system of how annexes are adopted, this being by consensus. This mechanism of consensus has its foundation in the Antarctic 28 Stokke, O.S. and Vidas, D., Governing the Antarctic: the effectiveness and legitimacy of the Antarctic Treaty System, Cambridge University Press, 1996, p.181. 29 1991 Madrid Protocol on Environmental Protection in Antarctica, retrieved online at: http://www.ats.aq/documents/recatt/Att006_e.pdf , last visited on 23-05-2016. 30 Bush, W., Antarctica and International Law, PART AT91C, 23, cited by French, D., Sustainable Development and the 1991 Madrid Protocol to the 1959 Antarctic Treaty: the primacy of protection in a particularly sensitive environment, Journal of International Wildlife Law and Policy, 1999, p.305. 31 French, D., Sustainable Development and the 1991 Madrid Protocol to the 1959 Antarctic Treaty: the primacy of protection in a particularly sensitive environment, Journal of International Wildlife Law and Policy, 1999, p.305. 32 Francioni, F., Madrid Protocol on the protection of the Antarctic environment, The Texas International Law Journal, 1993, p.57-58. 9 Treaty itself already. But because consensus must be reached, a minority of states or even just one single state can block the coming into force of new annexes or adaptation of existing ones.33 Therefor the national issues of one or a few states can influence the entire way of perception and activities on Antarctica. That is how ‘own gain’ for states enters negotiations concerning the Antarctic environment and where the of the ban on all mining and drilling is vulnerable, because oil is money and money has power over decisions. Currently there are six annexes in force34: Annex I (Environmental Impact Assessment) Annex II (Fauna and Flora) Annex III (Waste Disposal) Annex IV (Marine Pollution) Annex V (Protected Areas) Annex VI (Liability) I will elaborate a little further on Annexe I because it is of particular interest for this research question. Article 8 of the Madrid Protocol and the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) we find in Annex I strengthen the obligation of Article 3.2(c) of the protocol which obliges activities in Antarctica to be subject to “prior assessments … and informed judgements” 35. In principle, all activities (governmental and non-governmental) on Antarctica that require prior notice are subjected to the EIA. The only ones excluded are those that are emergencies concerning human life36 and those likely to have a “minor or transitory impact” on the environment37. If not excluded under the latter notion, these activities shall be subject to an Initial Environmental Evaluation38, which is a more thorough investigation of whether or not an 33 Francioni, F., Madrid Protocol on the protection of the Antarctic environment, The Texas International Law Journal, 1993, p.58. 34 Information retrieved online at: http://www.ats.aq/e/ep.htm , last visited on 23-05-2016. 35 Art. 3.2(c), Madrid Protocol, 1991. 36 Art. 7, Annex I to the Madrid Protocol of 1991. 37 Art. 1, Annex I to the Madrid Protocol of 1991. 38 Art. 2, Annex I to the Madrid Protocol of 1991. 10 activity van be excluded because of the “minor or transitory impact” with an addition of monitoring of the activity when labelled as minor or transitory39. When an activity is likely to have more than a minor or transitory impact, a Comprehensive Environmental Evaluation shell be prepared.40 Every decision made in light of that activity afterwards shall be based on this Comprehensive Environmental Evaluation 41 and this activity, if allowed to proceed, shall be monitored42. It is however very important to not that, unlike CRAMRA, the final decision whether an activity can proceed or not, has a minor or transitory impact or not, is determined by the involved state party and not a central institution.43 Therefor we should look critical towards this mechanism because it basically relies on self-monitoring and self-assessment of the states.44 Since there is possibly a huge amount of money to be made with the oil exploited in Antarctica, this might cause some states to not prioritise the Antarctic environment but rather their own economy or at least be under a lot of pressure from lobbying groups from the oil industry. Last we have Annex VI concerning the liability of state parties. This Annex gives more power to article 16 of the Madrid Protocol because there we find the general liability for damage by states whereas in the Annex we find the specifics. Because of the special and incredibly important nature of Antarctica it is a must that a liability regulation is based on prevention rather that reparation because in most cases reparation is not possible or very difficult. 45 39 Art. 2.2, Annex I to the Madrid Protocol of 1991. Art. 3, Annex I to the Madrid Protocol of 1991. 41 Art. 4, Annex I to the Madrid Protocol of 1991. 42 Art. 5, Annex I to the Madrid Protocol of 1991. 43 French, D., Sustainable Development and the 1991 Madrid Protocol to the 1959 Antarctic Treaty: the primacy of protection in a particularly sensitive environment, Journal of International Wildlife Law and Policy, 1999, p.304. 44 Redgwell, C., Environmental Protection In Antarctica: The 1991 Protocol, International and Comparative Law Quarterly, 1994, p.621. 45 Joyner, C.C., The 1991 Madrid Environmental Protection Protocol: Contributions to Marine Pollution Law, Marine Policy, 1996, p.191. 40 11 CCAMLR The Convention on the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources of 1980 is an essential instrument in connection with our subject. This ecosystem based approach differs from the traditional approach concerning exploitation and use of species and groups of species because it regulates the ecosystem as a whole. It approaches Antarctica and its seas, which contain most of the living resources found in the Antarctic region, as a multispecies ecosystem that should be protected and regulated as a whole. Thereby this treaty was the stepping stone to elevate this ecosystem approach to a component that had to be born in mind concerning all activities on Antarctica and not just concerning the living resources of the sea.46 This was made official in 1991 with the Madrid Protocol. More specifically interesting is Article II of the CCAMLR: 1. (…) 2. (…) 3. Any harvesting and associated activities in the area to which this Convention applies shall be conducted in accordance with the provisions of this Convention and with the following principles of conservation: (a) (…) (b) (…) (c) prevention of changes or minimisation of the risk of changes in the marine ecosystem which are not potentially reversible over two or three decades, taking into account the state of available knowledge of the direct and indirect impact of harvesting, the effect of the introduction of alien species, the effects of associated activities on the marine ecosystem and of the effects of environmental changes, with the aim of making possible the sustained conservation of Antarctic marine living resources. But also Article V: 1. 2. 3. The Contracting Parties which are not Parties to the Antarctic Treaty acknowledge the special obligations and responsibilities of the Antarctic Treaty Consultative Parties for the protection and preservation of the environment of the Antarctic Treaty area. The Contracting Parties which are not Parties to the Antarctic Treaty agree that, in their activities in the Antarctic Treaty area, they will observe as and when appropriate the Agreed Measures for the Conservation of Antarctic Fauna and Flora and such other measures as have been recommended by the Antarctic Treaty Consultative Parties in fulfilment of their responsibility for the protection of the Antarctic environment from all forms of harmful human interference. (…)47 46 Redgwell, C., Protection of Ecosystems under International Law: lessons from Antarctica, Oxford University Press, 1999, p.206. 47 Convention retrieved online at: https://www.ccamlr.org/en/organisation/camlrconvention-text , last visited on 21-05-2016. 12 Another important fact worth mentioning is the existence of a Commission: the Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources48. The task of this Commission is to make sure all the objectives and general principles of the CCAMLR are implemented 49. But are the regulations and documents initiated by this Commission hard law, meaning binding in all its forms for the contracting parties, or rather soft law? The measures adopted by the Commission are subjected to an opt-out or objection procedure, so not hard law as such50. UNCLOS The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea51 of 1982 is the instrument that regulates all maritime issues in international context. It is interesting to analyse this document in comparison with the specific regulations of Antarctica mentioned above, which we could see as the ‘national’ laws of Antarctica. UNCLOS defines all areas outside national jurisdiction as common heritage of mankind52 which means the resources found here are jointly owned by the global community. The underlying issue concerning UNCLOS in Antarctica therefor is that is no territorial claim is recognized, neither can territorial seas, exclusive economic zones or continental shelves be determined. This is exactly what article Antarctic Treaty does by freezing all of the territorial claims of the states. Rather problematic when you see that the the broad definition of continental shelves in UNCLOS was meant to put most of the resources, including oil, found in the sea-bed under national jurisdiction of coastal states.53 48 Art. VII CCAMLR Redgwell, C., Protection of Ecosystems under International Law: lessons from Antarctica, Oxford University Press, 1999, p.215-216. 50 Redgwell, C., Protection of Ecosystems under International Law: lessons from Antarctica, Oxford University Press, 1999, p.216. 51 Convention retrieved online at: http://www.un.org/depts/los/convention_agreements/texts/unclos/unclos_e.pdf , last visited on 27-05-2016. 52 Art. 136 UNCLOS 53 Ward, J., Black Gold in a White Wilderness – Antarctic Oil: the past, present and potential of a region in need of sovereign environmental stewardship, Journal of Land Use and Environmental Law, 1998, Vol.13, Issue 2, p.370. 49 13 Under Article 76 and 77 UNCLOS coastal states possess a continental shelf. This gives them the right to exploit all living and non-living resources residing within that territory54. All seven claimants of territorial sovereignty on Antarctica are members of UNCLOS and are by definition coastal states in the sense of the treaty because of their respective claims on parts of Antarctica. Concerning the articles of UNCLOS these states should have full exploitation rights of their coastal territories.55 The problem is however, the Antarctic Treaty that governs Antarctica and ‘freezes’ all of these claims (see supra). To make it even more difficult, there has to be made a distinction between the area south of 60° South Latitude, which is ruled by the Antarctic Treaty56, and the area north thereof, which falls outside the scope of the Antarctic Treaty but is still subject to the CCAML and the Antarctic Treaty System (ATS). We call this last area the sub-Antarctic islands. Then the question of possibility of expanding the maritime rights of these claiming states rises; because their claims are not frozen north of the 60°South Latitude UNCLOS should regulate this area which means creating exploitation rights. But the claims them self fall within the scope of the Antarctic Treaty meaning they are frozen. 57 In article 76 UNCLOS we see that the continental shelve of a coastal state goes up till 200 nautical miles from its coast and if it extents further, the state has to make a submission with the Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelve which then makes recommendations on which the final and binding limits will be based.58 However, the question of these extended continental shelves on the sub-Antarctica islands in relation with the Antarctic Treaty System is yet unsolved. It is highly important because the rights and obligations under UNCLOS must coincide with those of the Antarctic Treaty System.59 As mentioned before, the area north of 60° South Latitude does not fall within the scope of the Antarctic Treaty System, but does fall within the scope of the CCAMLR so if claiming states 54 Art. 77 UNCLOS Hemmings, A., The Extended Continental Shelves of Sub-Antarctic Islands; implications for Antarctic Governance, Polar Record, 2010, Vol.46, Issue 239, p.313. 56 Art. VI, Antarctic Treaty 1959. 57 Hemmings, A., The Extended Continental Shelves of Sub-Antarctic Islands; implications for Antarctic Governance, Polar Record, 2010, Vol.46, Issue 239, p.314. 58 information retrieved online at: http://www.geolimits.com/services/extendedcontinental-shelf/continental-shelf/ , last visited on 27-05-2016. 59 Hemmings, A., The Extended Continental Shelves of Sub-Antarctic Islands; implications for Antarctic Governance, Polar Record, 2010, Vol.46, Issue 239, p.321. 55 14 want to exploit these waters to which they have the exclusive right under UNCLOS, they must do so in line with the articles of CCAMLR.60 This means bearing in mind all the provisions of CCAMLR when exploiting these continental shelves, by for example drilling or mining, but as we mentioned before, no explicit prohibition for drilling or mining. These explicit prohibitions we do find when we go to the area south of 60° South Latitude because there we fall under the Antarctic Treaty, CCAMLR and the Madrid Protocol on environmental protection. THE ARCTIC I will only give the main bullet points for the legal regime of the Arctic to point out the difference with Antarctica. First, a big difference is the territorial claims, now frozen, on Antarctica. This is an issue we don’t see in the Arctic because all of the land areas found in the Arctic are firmly divided among the Arctic states meaning these areas fall under their respective national regimes and exclusive maritime jurisdictions.61 Second, most of the regulations concerning Antarctica are legally binding, meaning a “hard law” approach whereas the regulation of the Arctic is mostly based on “soft law” principles.62 And third, the approach towards environmental issues. The Antarctic is dominantly ruled by the principles of prevention and precaution. We clearly see this in the issue of the exploitation of mineral resources because even though no mineral resource had yet been mined, there was a potential so the consultative parties of the Antarctic Treaty decided 60 Hemmings, A., The Extended Continental Shelves of Sub-Antarctic Islands; implications for Antarctic Governance, Polar Record, 2010, Vol.46, Issue 239, p.321-322. 61 Kolvurova, T., Environmental Protection in the Arctic and Antarctic: can the polar regimes learn from each other?, International Journal of Legal Information, 2005, Vol. 33, Issue 2, p.211. 62 Kolvurova, T., Environmental Protection in the Arctic and Antarctic: can the polar regimes learn from each other?, International Journal of Legal Information, 2005, Vol. 33, Issue 2, p.214. 15 mining could only happen after being regulated clearly.63 The Arctic doesn’t have the same incentive because it it governed by national regimes. III Risks of drilling Mining for minerals, which takes place on the continent, and drilling for hydrocarbons, which happens offshore, have a different range of possibly big risks for the oceanic environment of the Antarctic region. First, there is the pollution of the atmosphere and the waste produced by a mining sludge built to support the mining operations which take place onshore.64 Second, offshore wells to drill for oil can produce oil blowouts in the waters of Antarctica. And then there is the risk of pollution by transport vessels; they might pollute the Antarctic marine environment by tanker accidents where the load of petroleum is spilled in the Antarctic sea causing great damage to its environment and dependent ecosystems. 65 Even if the oil is not yet being transported but just being exploited, there is the grave risk of floating icebergs, pieces of frozen ocean that crack off and start roaming the seas around Antarctica because of which they are a threat to the drilling platforms that are based offshore.66 Another risk is storage, because the Antarctic seas make regular shipments difficult large storages for the oil would be needed. But there is the high risk of being hit by gouging icebergs, these are icebergs so large that their bottom scrapes the bottom of the ocean and because of which they leave a big gaping trail behind. Storages would therefor not be able to be built on the bottom of the ocean, but neither floating on the surface because of the risk of floating icebergs.67 Third, because personnel is needed to perform these activities, the inhabitation of people on Antarctica will increase which includes more waste, a bigger ecological footprint and less 63 Kolvurova, T., Environmental Protection in the Arctic and Antarctic: can the polar regimes learn from each other?, International Journal of Legal Information, 2005, Vol. 33, Issue 2, p.215. 64 Joyner, C.C., The 1991 Madrid Environmental Protection Protocol: Contributions to Marine Pollution Law, Marine Policy, 1996, p.189. 65 Joyner, C.C., The 1991 Madrid Environmental Protection Protocol: Contributions to Marine Pollution Law, Marine Policy, 1996, p.189. 66 Carroll, J., Of Icebergs, Oil Wells and Treaties: Hydrocarbon Exploitation Offshore Antarctica, Stanford Journal of International Law, 1983, p.209. 67 Carroll, J., Of Icebergs, Oil Wells and Treaties: Hydrocarbon Exploitation Offshore Antarctica, Stanford Journal of International Law, 1983, p.211. 16 untouched natural environment for animals because there is only a small area which is not permanently frozen, and this is a breeding spot for a lot of animals but also the place where humans built there stations and residences.68 IV Possibilities of prevention BY NGOs Since international conventions and treaties are only open to states, and in some cases supranational and international organisations, non-governmental players are as such excluded from the legal decision making. However, they are not entirely put on the side line. Especially big environmental organisations such as the WWF and Greenpeace have a big influence by lobbying. In light of the Antarctic environment they have been prominent in seeking its protection, decreasing the human population in the Antarctic region and trying to get Antarctica as a whole designated as “World Park”.69 This idea of World Park in short means pronouncing Antarctica as an international park. In Greenpeace’s proposal the Antarctic Treaty System stays in place and therefor Antarctica would remain demilitarised, a non-nuclear zone and with scientific research as its main purpose.70 BY STATES States are obliged to make sure their system of environmental protection is in line with the earlier mentioned legal instruments that govern the Antarctic region. They also have to bear in mind the precautionary principle declared by the environmental impact assessment system. This document has not yet been declared in effect, but the precautionary principle is a recognised legal principle in international law which states have to respect71. 68 Joyner, C.C., The 1991 Madrid Environmental Protection Protocol: Contributions to Marine Pollution Law, Marine Policy, 1996, p.189. 69 Hempel, G., Antarctic Science: global concerns, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelbarg, 1994, p.20-21. 70 Deihl, C., Antarctica: an international laboratory, Boston College Environmental Affairs Law Review, 1991, Vol.18, retrieved online at: http://eds.b.ebscohost.com/eds/detail/detail?sid=654ed9ae-d45e-44f0-b3b5de20bb8f7cd7%40sessionmgr103&vid=7&hid=111&bdata=JnNpdGU9ZWRzLWxpdmUmc2Nv cGU9c2l0ZQ%3d%3d#AN=edslexFD923795&db=edslex , last visited on 28-05-2016. 71 Dupuy, P.-M., Viñuales, J.E., International Environmental Law, Cambridge University Press, 2015, p.61-63. 17 Since the states parties to the 1991 Madrid Protocol on environmental protection are bound by the ban on all activity related to exploiting mineral resources72 they can legally not drill for oil without repercussions. There is however one remark that should be made. This full ban on mining and drilling lasts for 50 years from the date of entry of the Madrid Protocol. 73 This means that any state party to the protocol can ask for a review conference in 2048; and if a majority is reached, amending or abolishing the ban of Article 7.74 This risk is more than real and especially when energy needs grow in the future, the United States and like-minded countries will not hesitate to push aside the ban on drilling. There are no signs that point in the direction of a declining demand for oil and that in combination with the instability in many of the oil-exporting countries, like the Middle East, make the threat of future drillings and mining on Antarctica real and pressing.75 So can states prevent companies from drilling in the Antarctic region? Yes, they can if the majority of them chooses not to abolish neither amend Article 7 of the Madrid Protocol. Another way to prevent drilling and mining for commercial reasons is adopting the proposal mentioned above to make Antarctica a World Park. V Conclusion As we can conclude from the research above, the current status quo on banning mining and drilling from Antarctica is still in place and should remain so for the next years. The risk is however, that states change their minds because of changing economies, societies or any other factor concerning the need for oil. This means that as long as there is an incentive to protect Antarctica, drilling shall not be allowed. But as we have discovered, there is also the law of the seas ruled by UNCLOS that raises some questions and could open the door for the search for oil. Nonetheless, there is still the pushback from environmental NGOs trying to save the last wildernesses of this earth from human greed, that we can count on. 72 Art. 7 Madrid Protocol of 1991. Art. 25(2) Madrid Protocol of 1991. 74 Scott, K.N., Ice and Mineral Resources: Regulatory Challenges of Comercial Exploitation, Exploring the Last Continent: an introduction to Antarctica, 2015, Springer International Publishing, p.501. 75 Ward, J., Black Gold in a White Wilderness – Antarctic Oil: the past, present and potential of a region in need of sovereign environmental stewardship, Journal of Land Use and Environmental Law, 1998, Vol.13, Issue 2, p.378-379. 73 18 So as to conclude, currently Antarctica is protected against drilling and mining as long as these rules stay in place. Maybe more coordination with the immensely important treaty of UNCLOS is recommendable, because it would give the regimes governing Antarctica more strength and support. 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