The Pulp Industry’s Response to Fluffless Cores David Allan, Editor, Nonwovens, RISI October 28, 2015 Hygienix 2015 1 ? Thesis • • • • Thinner is in Fluff pulp is here to stay Secret stuff still being developed A lot of work is aimed at adding – end-product functionality or – operational efficiency …somewhat around the margins 3 Agenda 1. Fluff pulp basics a) Who makes it b) Supply/demand outlook 2. Fluff pulp in hygiene products a) Our future is thinner b) What pulp makers are doing about it 4 Agenda 1. Fluff pulp basics a) Who makes it b) Supply/demand outlook 2. Fluff pulp in hygiene products a) Our future is thinner b) What pulp makers are doing about it 5 Fluff pulp – who makes it % of World Capacity 80% % of World Capacity 100% 90% 70% 80% 70% 60% 60% 50% 40% 50% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% GP, IP, Weyerhaeuser 6 All Others 0% North America Rest of World Agenda 1. Fluff pulp basics a) Who makes it b) Supply/demand outlook 2. Fluff pulp in hygiene products a) Our future is thinner b) What pulp makers are doing about it 7 More, thinner products: fluff demand growth in short-term Fluff gm/baby diaper Inco unit sales 12.0 60.0 11.5 50.0 11.0 40.0 10.5 30.0 10.0 20.0 9.5 10.0 9.0 0.0 2013 2015 8 2017 2019 2013 2015 2017 2019 World fluff pulp demand: growth averages 229,000 mt a year 8000 7000 E. Europe 6000 China 5000 Latin America 4000 Other Asia 3000 2000 Africa/Middle East 1000 Mature Markets (USA, CA, WEU, JP, OCE) 0 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 Demand growth concentrated in emerging markets 15.0% 12.0% Emerging Markets 9.0% 6.0% 3.0% 0.0% 00 -3.0% -6.0% -9.0% 10 02 04 Mature Markets 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 Fluff pulp – what is it used for • Cores – Traditional cores in diapers and AI products – Reduced-fluff cores – Airlaid cores (fem hy – often with debonding agent added to aid in defiberizing) • ADL (crosslinked fiber for improved wet resilience of fluff pulp fiber network) • Other airlaid products (pet pads, meat packaging etc.) • Combination technologies (Coform, Spinlace) 11 Global 2013 Fluff Pulp Usage by End-Use Baby Diapers Adult Incontinence Feminine Hygiene Airlaid/Other 0% 12 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% World fluff pulp supply: no shortage ahead • Almost 1 million tonnes of capacity projected to start up in 2H 2016 – enough potentially to satisfy all growth for next four years • Other paper-grade mills seeking exit strategy from their declining markets • Eucalyptus pulp makers diving into fluff too • Why all this investment? Agenda 1. Fluff pulp basics a) Who makes it b) Supply/demand outlook 2. Fluff pulp in hygiene products a) Our future is thinner b) What pulp makers are doing about it 14 The incredible shrinking diaper Wt of avg European diaper in grams 0.41 0.3924 0.39 0.3724 0.37 0.3661 0.3547 0.35 0.342 0.33 0.31 0.29 2010 Source: Ekotec/Hy-Tec 15 2011 2012 2013 2014 Thin is in – but why? • What is being promoted to ‘mom’? – ‘up to 12 hours overnight protection’ – ‘…gap free fit’ – ‘Adorable Mickey Mouse Disney design’ – ‘wetness indicator tells…when your baby might need a change’ 16 Some products using more SAP Product 17 SAP Content Huggies Little Movers ≥55% Huggies Snug & Dry ≥65% Private labels + some adult 50-55% Agenda 1. Fluff pulp basics a) Who makes it b) Supply/demand outlook 2. Fluff pulp in hygiene products a) Our future is thinner b) What pulp makers are doing about it 18 G-P’s Golden Isles family • “The unique functionalities of Golden Isles CO™ flu pulp are derived from a proprietary GP Cellulose process that modifies the structure of the cellulose. This structural modification results in a fluff pulp fiber that is conformable and flexible when converted to a high density absorbent core with the potential to capture and neutralize ammonia” • “Higher density absorbent cores wick fluids better leading to improved rewet performance” • “Improved emboss pattern retention may improve wicking of fluids from the point of insult” • “Provides an option for compressing cores to create higher density thinner products while retaining softness and flexibility” • “For higher SAP content cores in retail and light incontinence, our product may help you to improve SAP retention and eliminate hard spots for a comfortable and soft absorbent core” 19 Domtar Lighthouse fluff • “Recognized globally for its ease of fiberization, Domtar’s Lighthouse fluff pulp is a high quality cellulose pulp made using the world’s best fluff pulp fiber available – loblolly pine from the Southeastern U.S. forests. • “This unique wood source produces long bulky fibers that are perfectly suited for making highly absorbent products that effectively distribute liquids and provide high pad integrity. • “Absorbent products made with the quality fibers in Domtar’s Lighthouse fluff pulp are known for optimum fluid retention, liquid distribution (wicking) and pad integrity. • “This is especially important with the demand for thinner products, such as diapers and with the use of super absorbent polymers.” 20 What are fluff pulp mills doing: address other needs of customers • Offer value-added capability – Higher moisture content – getting into same range as paper-grade pulps • Compressibility without getting ‘boardy’ • Reduces static in converting operation – Modified pH to control odor • Emphasize renewability of resource 21 Emphasizing renewable resource aspect – niche or mass market opportunity? • UPM Rauma – “The wood pulp we convert to BIOBRIGHT TCF is bleached without chemicals containing chlorine. – “We want to offer our TCF-grades as an alternative to those producers and consumers who want to choose a product which is manufactured without any chlorine, chlorine dioxide nor any other chlorine chemical compounds. – “By choosing TCF you choose the alternative with no AOX (that defines the amount of organic chlorine compounds) spreading in water nor in any environment.” – Product is FSC and PEFC certified. – “BIOBROWN is the most environmental friendly, unbleached fluff pulp choice with beautiful brown colour.” 22 About higher moisture content • Traditional fluff used to be 6-6.5%. – Fears related to mold growth – Desire to optimize operation of hammermills • Common moisture content now in 9.5-10% range – Compressibility without getting “boardy” – Static control in converting plant – Could current range go higher? 23 About optimized pH • The idea: neutralize ammonia in urine, in the process keeping pH in optimal range for skin health. • What is most economical/effective place to add the active ammonia-neutralizing agent? – Spray on surface of fiber at converting plant – Incorporate in fiber at the pulp mill 24 WEYERHAEUSER CELLULOSE FIBERS 435 SKIN WELLNESS GRADE Superior Diaper Performance & Function for Baby and Adult Products Courtesy of N.Milanovich, PhD nick.milanovich@weyerhaeuser.com WEYERHAEUSER CELLULOSE FIBERS 435 SKIN WELLNESS GRADE pH Balanced 1 Organic active ingredient helps neutralize ammonia 2 26 Excellent Core Qualities Improved densification Softness 3 Seamless Manufacturing Conversion Standard rolls Fits current production processes THE PATH TO HEALTHY SKIN Urine Ammonia Neutralization 435 Skin Wellness Grade Lower pH Ammonia Healthy Skin Increased pH v Decreased Skin Barrier Function Standard Grade 27 Healthy Skin Unhealthy Skin No Ammonia + Ammonia Play video here R&D in the pulp industry • Owners of IP want to control its commercialization by restricting use • Restricted sales reduces ability to spread R&D costs across larger customer base • P&P as a whole industry does less R&D in-house than it used to – Today’s model makes increased use of private/university partnerships 32 Not much patent activity – compared to some industries • Two 2014 patents from Nonwovens Markets with fluff as key to invention – Weyerhaeuser – sized fluff pulp – IP – fire-retardant treated fluff pulp web • Caveats: – This may not be unusual for a ‘commodity’ sector – Small sample may not be representative 33 Conclusions • Fluff pulp producers can’t change progression to thinner products – Instead, trying to add other areas of value • In our timeframe, market is moving to thinner, not thinnest, leaving fluff pulp with most of its traditional role • Much of move to ‘thinner’ has already happened in mature markets • Significant emerging markets still growing their use of high fluff-using diapers. 34 Thank you for your attention! 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