Functional Ecology 1989, 3, 259-268 ESSAY REVIEW evolution Trade-offsin life-history S. C. STEARNS Zoological Institute,Universityof Basle, Reinsprung9, CH-4051 Basle, Switzerland Introduction 259 Trade-offsrepresentthe costs paid in the currency of fitnesswhen a beneficial change in one traitis linked to a detrimentalchange in another.Ifthere then selection would drive all were no trade-offs, traitscorrelatedwith fitnessto limitsimposed by historyand design. However, we find that many life-history traitsare maintainedwell withinthose limits.Therefore,trade-offsmust exist. Trade-offshave played a central role in the theory,fromGadgil & development of life-history Bossert (1970), Charnov & Krebs (1973), Schaffer (1972, 1974a, b) and Bell (1980) on to the present. They have been measured through field observations (e.g. Clutton-Brock,Guinness & Albon, 1982, 1983), throughexperimentalmanipulations in laboratory(e.g. Partridge& Farquhar,1981) and field (e.g. Askenmo, 1979), through-phenotypic correlationsin the laboratory(e.g. Bell, 1984a, b) and through genetic correlations (e.g. Rose & Charlesworth,1981a, b), to mentiononly a few of the more prominent studies. They have been reviewed by Stearns (1976, 1977), Bell (1980), Charlesworth (1980), Warner (1984), Reznick (1985), Partridge& Harvey (1985, 1988) and most thoroughlyby Bell & Koufopanou (1986). In addihave tion,the methods used to measure trade-offs been the subject of criticism (Tuomi, Hakala & Haukioja, 1983; Partridge,1987) and controversy (Reznick,Perry& Travis, 1986; Bell, 1986). The most prominent life-history trade-off involves the cost ofreproduction.It has two major components,costs paid in survival and costs paid in future reproduction. Two approaches to analysingthose costs were suggestedby Williams: genetic costs represented by antagonistic pleiotropy(Williams, 1957) and phenotypic costs representedby negativecorrelationsbetween current reproductiveeffortand futuresurvival and reproduction (Williams, 1966a, b). A third, physiological approach to trade-offshas been developed by Hirshfield& Tinkle (1974) and Calow (1979), among manyothers(cf.Townsend & Calow, 1981). In this extensive discussion, a few points have not always received the attentionthey deserve: (1) That trade-offs can be measured and analysed at the level of the genotype,the phenotype and what lies between (intermediatestructure) is well known and uncontroversialbut it has not always been emphasized that each of those levels makes an essential contribution to our understanding.It is not a question ofeithergenetic correlationsor phenotypic correlationsor physiological trade-offsbut of how such measurements combine to deliver informationabout potential evolutionaryresponses. A studyconducted at just one of these levels is likelyto be of as littleuse as the informationon the nature of the elephant delivered by one blind man holding its tail. (2) One can draw a useful distinctionbetween intraindividualtrade-offs- forexample, between the reproductive effortmade by a female in one season and the probabilitythatshe will survive to the next season - and intergenerationaltrade-offs - forexample, between a female's reproductive effortand the probabilitythat her offspringwill survive to the next season. Intraindividualtradeoffs(and only some of them) have received most attentionbut intergenerationaltrade-offs,which are arguablyjust as important,have been relatively ignored.They deserve more attention. (3) The genetic structureof a population, in particularthe genetic variance-covariance matrix fora set ofimportantlife-history traits,reflectsthe very recent past, describes the present and predicts the near-termfuture.There is no logical or directway to use the currentgeneticstructureofa thatconstrained population to inferthe trade-offs the past approach to the currentstate even ifthey occurred as recentlyas a few tens of generations ago (J.Travis, personal communication). (4) Our understanding of a trade-offcan be described as firstorder (slope known), second order(curvatureknown) or thirdorder(all details, including interaction effects,known). In a few cases we have reliable informationabout firstordereffects.In no case known to me do we have reliable information on second-order effects, which are importantin the theory(e.g. Schaffer, 1974a). Measurement of third-order effects, however desirable (Pease & Bull, 1988), remains a matterforfutureresearch. This content downloaded on Fri, 8 Mar 2013 14:25:04 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 260 Levels of analysis S. C. Stearns at the phenotypiclevel,the Thereare trade-offs genotypiclevel and in intermediatestructure, whichlies betweentheothertwo.By phenotypic on measurements level,I mean whole-organism and traitsdirectlyconnectedwithreproduction survival.By genotypiclevel,I mean all typesof evidenceclaimedtobe genetic,whetherarrivedat throughquantitative,Mendelian or molecular I mean all structure, genetics.By intermediate mechanismsconnectingthe genotypicto the levels,as heredefined.These include phenotypic physiologicaland developmentalmechanisms controlthatresultin the underendocrinological allocationof resourcesamong the functionsof growth,maintenance,storageand reproduction, survival. Knowledgeofall threeoftheselevelsis necesworks.Natural how a trade-off saryto understand selectionacts on phenotypes;phenotypictradepresented ofcovariation thepattern offsdetermine to naturalselection.The responseto selection depends on geneticvariation;genetictrade-offs measured by genetic covariance determine whether,and in what direction,a responseto modustructure selectionwilloccur.Intermediate it can lates the expressionof genetictrade-offs; changetheexpressionofgeneticcovariancesfrom positiveto negativeacross a rangeof environmentalconditions. betweentwo If a negativegeneticcorrelation existsbut thepopulationis growingunder Lraits conditionsin which mostof the environmental variationwithinand betweenthe two traitsis induced and the geneticdifferenvironmentally then encesare not expressedin thephenotypes, will notbe presentin thephenotype thetrade-off & Dingle, andno selectionwilloccur(e.g.Groeters 1988). On the otherhand, if thereare strong negativephenotypiccorrelationsbetween two traitsthathave,however,no geneticbasis whatsoever,a selectionpressuremay exist but no evolutionaryresponse is possible. Further,if mechanismsassociatedwithgrowthand phenomodulatetheexpressionofgenetic typicplasticity covariation betweentwo traits,so thatthe correlation is positive under some conditionsand negativeunderothers,thenwe would perceivea trade-off as existingunderthelatterbutnotunder the formercircumstances(Gebhardt& Stearns, 1988).Finally,whenevera variableenvironmental factoraffectsone traitmore than another,the betweenthetwotraitswill correlation phenotypic andwillalterthe environments across also change selection gradients.For example, the phenotypic correlationbetween developmental rate and size at metamorphosis in frogs can be altered from positive to negative within a full-sib family by varyingfood level and distribution(Travis, 1984). These effectsare all important.They determine whethera trade-offis exposed to selection in the phenotype,whetherthe geneticresponse to selection behaves like a trade-offand whether the trade-off appears at all, depending on the environment. Phenotypic and genetic trade-offsare both well anchored in the literature. That intermediate structurecan modulate the expression of genetic correlationsis not as well appreciated. This effect is thereforeillustratedhere fortwo trade-offs:(1) age vs size at maturityand (2) reproductiveinvestment vs survival. (These examples are intended to illustratewhat can happen, notwhat musthappen in every case. Necessary conditions are not yet known.) Age vs size at maturity.Consider a population living in an environment heterogeneous for growth conditions. In some places and at some times, growthis rapid; in others,growthis slow. Organisms living in such an environmentshould evolve a reaction norm forthe maturationevent. The commonesttype of reactionnormforage and size at maturityis one in which the organisms mature early at a large size when growthis rapid and later at a smaller size when growthis slow (Stearns & Koella, 1986). Each polygenicgenotype will have a differentreaction norm. There are many relations among reaction norms that will produce a sign change in geneticcorrelations.Two of these are not uncommon and could explain many observationsof sign change: (a) the largest and latest maturing genotype under good growth conditions is the largestbut earliest maturing genotype under poor growth conditions,and the restofthe genotypespreserve this ordering (Fig. 1). The reaction norms may cross, as depicted here but this is not a necessary condition; (b) growth rates have negative genetic correlations with maximal size, i.e. the fastest-growing genotypesproduce the smallest adults, so that the extrapolated growth curves of the different genotypeswould intersectiffollowed farenough. Under this assumption, the reaction norms of the different genotypesneed not intersect.(Iftheydo, their intersection strengthensthe effect.)Fig. 2 plots growth curves and reaction norms for the maturationevent forthreegenotypes.The growth curves change theirrank order,measured earlyin This content downloaded on Fri, 8 Mar 2013 14:25:04 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 261 in Trade-offs 0J~~~~s ~~correlation life-history evolution curves l1orGrowth 3 genotypes Positive genetic 2 3 // - in "good" nvironment Crossingreactionnorms forage and size at \ Size maturity 2 Growthcurves for 3 genotypes in itpoori environment / Negative genetic correlation Age a changein signof forproducing Fig.1. One mechanism geneticcovariance:thereactionnormsofthegenotypes growthcurvesforthreegenotypes cross.Hypothetical rapidandslowgrowth. aredrawnfortwoenvironments; foreach The squaresdenotetheage and size at maturity The word 'genotype' genotypein each environment. should be takento mean the polygenicgenotypeof the whole genome, genetics,representing quantitative two-allelegenotypeofpopulation notthe single-locus, genetics. life,across environmentsbut the reaction norms do not. The heavy points indicate maturation events foreach genotypeunder each growthcondition. The genetic correlationbetween age and size at maturitychanges frompositive under good growthconditions, at the left,to negative under poor growthconditions,at the right. Thus genetic covariance changes frompositive to negative eitherwhen the growthcurves of the genotypescross orwhen theirreactionnormshave differentslopes or ranges. When growth condi- Reaction norms Ail = Growth curves $3 Good ~~~~~~~2 habitat Size Correlation Poor habitat Age Fig. 2. A secondmechanismforproducinga changein sign of geneticcovariance:the growthcurves cross size have negativegenetic rateand asymptotic (growth curvesforthreegenogrowth correlations). Hypothetical (2) and slow (3) growthtypes- fast(1),intermediate Thesquaresdenotethe areplottedfortwoenvironments. foreach genotypein each age and size at maturity the heavy lines representthe reaction environment; normsofdifferent genotypes. tions vary, we can expect genetic covariances to varyfrompositive to negative as well. This effectis more than a theoreticalpossibility. Giesel, Murphy & Manlove (1982) measured large changes in genetic correlationsbetween various life-historytraits in Drosophila melanogaster Meigen raised at three differenttemperatures. Preliminaryevidence indicates that the genetic covariance between age and size at hatching in Drosophila mercatorum Patterson & Wheeler changes frompositive when larval growthis rapid on a rich diet to negative when larval growthis slow on a poor diet (Gebhardt& Stearns,1988). G. de Jong(personal communication and in preparation) has analysed both an explicit two-locus model and a polygenic model and concludes that 'the change in sign of genetic covariance is much easier to obtain than to avoid' when genes have unstructuredpleiotropic effectson growth rates and reaction norms. Crossingreactionnormsare a particularlystrong case ofgenotypex environmentinteractions.Such interactions are expected to be pervasive for componentsoffitness,forwhen reactionnormsdo not cross, when one always lies above the other, then that reaction norm is superior across all environments and will be fixed. This process should continue untilthe only reactionnormsleft in the population are those that cross, i.e. where genotypes reverse ranking across environments. When reaction norms cross, genetic correlations are likelyto reversesign. Reproductiveinvestmentvs survival. A similar analysis can be constructedforany othertrade-off among traits that are phenotypically plastic. Reaction norms can also be predicted for the trade-offbetween reproductive investment and survival,one ofthe two classical costs ofreproduction (Uchmanski& Stearns,in preparation).Where. genetic variation exists for such reaction norms, one expects only the crossing norms to be maintained. In Fig. 3, the overall phenotypictrade-off, measured across a range of environmentalconditions and for many genotypes, is negative: an ellipse drawn around all points observed would have a majoraxis runningfromtheupper leftto the lower right. However, within that phenotypic variation are importanthidden details that make all the difference.Genetic variation in reaction norms, simplified here as linear norms for only threegenotypes,is expressed in crossinggenotype x environmentinteractions. In the left-handportionofthe diagram,withlow survival and high investment,the genetic correlation between reproductive investment and This content downloaded on Fri, 8 Mar 2013 14:25:04 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 262 S. C. Stearns To thatit should be added thatenergeticinvestment must be measured but almost never has. Exemplary attemptshave been made by Calow & Positive genetic \ / \\ w t) . Woollhead (1977), Hirshfield(1980) and Rekkie & ?t correlation Bazzaz (1988a, b). The most commonly used measures of 'reproductive effort,''reproductive 0-u allocation' and 'reproductive allotment' are indirectand hard to interpret. No genetic Figs 1-3 depict a type of interactionbetween correlation genetic and phenotypic variation and covariation in which physiological mechanisms make a big Adult Survival to the next Age Class difference,for they embody the constraintsthat betweenreproductive forcethe reactionnormsor growthcurves to cross, Fig.3. Ifone measuresa trade-off at a certainage and survivalto thenextage that cause changes in rank of genotypes across investment theoverall environments.We have almost no informationon conditions, acrossa rangeofenvironmental maybe negativebutwithinthat correlation phenotypic thatlead to those changes in rank; phenotypicvariationthe expressionof geneticcorre- the mechanisms in rank are common, that inforchanges if such or zero environments, some in negative lationsmaybe mation will become crucial. in someand positivein others. non-significant Ne ative genetic correlation o Reaction norms survival is negative. In the right-handportion of the diagram, with high survival and low investment the genetic correlation is positive. In the middle,thereis no geneticcorrelationbetween the two traits.Although that portion of the diagram lies in the centreofa phenotypiccorrelationthatis negative,no geneticcorrelationis expressed under those environmentalconditions and therewill be no response to selection in environmentscorresponding to the middle ofthe diagram. People who are tryingto measure trade-offs throughexperimentalmanipulations may want to ask themselves whether the variation in the environmentcreated by the manipulation takes place entirelyon the leftor the rightof Fig. 3 or whetherthe manipulations create a mixtureofthe two extremes.In the lattercase, the resultswill be difficultto analyse unless an unusual amount is known about both genetic and environmental sources of variation. Fig. 3 depicts one ofthe simplest possible types of genotype x environmentinteractions.In real data sets, reaction norms may cross and recross each other several times and genetic correlations between traits may change back and forthfrom positive to negative repeatedly as an environmental factor changes continuously across its normal range. In some species, genetic correlationswill be negative in well fed and positive in poorly fed populations. In other species with different physiologies,genetic correlationswill be positive in well fed and negative in poorly fed populations. Fig. 3 depicts only one of these possibilities; theyare not exhaustive and can only be distinguishedby experiment. oftrade-offs The measurement Genetic methods In their thorough review of trade-offs,Bell & Koufopanou (1986) noted a patternwithimportant implications. When people have triedto measure genetic correlations with breeding designs, crosses or usually variations on full-sib/half-sib di-allele crosses, the results have been mixed. Sometimes the genetic correlationsare negative, sometimes positive, sometimes insignificant. However, when the sign of the correlations has been measured throughthe correlatedresponse of one trait to selection on another, negative correlations,genetic trade-offs,have been measured much more frequently.The results of breeding designs and selection experimentscarried out on the same traitsand oftenthe same species have not been consistentwith each other. Given the statistical problems inherent in breeding designs, this may not be surprising.It is usually difficultin practice to raise enough families to avoid sampling problems, to which the estimates of covariances are especially sensitive. In selection experiments,it may be easier to start with and to maintain a largereffectivepopulation size. This could explain why the results of a large number of such experimentsare more consistent. Many people are now attemptingto measure genetic trade-offs.The pattern noted by Bell & Koufopanou (1986) suggeststhatapproaches using correlated responses to selection could be preferredto breeding designs because they produce more consistent, replicable results. Selection This content downloaded on Fri, 8 Mar 2013 14:25:04 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 263 Trade-offsin life-history evolution experimentsalso have an inherentlogical advantage: they predict correlatedresponses to natural selection directlythroughcorrelatedresponses to artificialselection ratherthan indirectlythrough breedingdesign. However, ifFigs 1-3 are correctit will also be necessary to measure correlated responses to selection under at least two and preferablythree environmental conditions representingthe range naturallyencountered. Anotherresponse to the inconsistencyofresults frombreeding designs can also be justified. The results mentioned mightnot be due to sampling variationbut an accurate reflectionofreal patterns. If so, then some inherentadvantage of breeding designs over selection experimentsshould not be the informationextractedper individual forgotten: is higher; it is easier to control environmental conditionsforthe durationofthe experiment;and some breeding designs can be completed more rapidly than some selection experiments. Physiological mechanisms or Whetherone perceives a physiological trade-off not depends on the type of organism examined. That successive reproductive attemptsshare the same resource pool is unlikely in small birds and mammals,in which high metabolic rates leave no room forstorage.A shrew or a hummingbirdmust use what ithas eaten in thelast fewhours to suckle or produce its eggs. They are 'income its offspring breeders', using currentincome forreproductive investment(Thomas, 1986). Income breedershave a very short-term'physiological memory'. The suctorian Tokophrya is a particularly clear example of an income breeder. It feeds on Paramecium and produces one offspring for each Paramecium eaten. Kent (1981) could constructa wide range of fecundityschedules by varyingthe amount offood offered. Greattitsmay be income breeders in one sense but not in another. Pettifor,Perrins & McCleery (1988) found no evidence fora trade-offbetween clutch size and adult survival in great tits, but Tinbergen (1987), Smith, Killander & Nilsson (1987) and Linden (1988) all found a trade-off between clutch size and success ofsecond broods. While Tinbergen(1987) and Linden (1988) found no effectofincreased clutch size on adult survival, Nur (1984) found such evidence in blue tits. One might define tits,where short-termcosts within costs are not at all seasons are clear but longer-term clear, as capital breeders within seasons but income breeders between seasons. Sibly & Calow (1984, 1986) referto income breeders as having 'direct costing' - the cost of reproductionbeing drawn out of currentrevenue. On the other hand, 'capital breeders' store energythat can be mobilized later for reproduction. This creates a mechanical linkage between current and future and reproduction. Good examples of capital breeders include red deer (Clutton-Brock,Guinness & Albon, 1983) and Daphnia (Goulden & Hornig,1980). Sibly & Calow (1984, 1986) refer to capital breedersas having 'absorption costing' - the cost of reproduction is drawn against physiological savings previously made. The mathematics of direct and absorption costing differ;most lifehistorytheoryassumes absorption costing,which involves primarily physiological mechanisms. The direct costing used by income breeders is more easily related to behavioural mechanisms, such as decisions on how long to forageeach day, than it is to costs of reproduction. Income and capital breeders represent the extreme points on a continuum. It would be interestingto know whether disruptive selection tends to shape any given species towards specialization for one type or the other but not some intermediate mixture. Some data bear on this point. If kestrels are allowed through manipulations to increase their income, they start breeding earlier, lay the larger clutches that are normally found earlier in the year, and also get fatter(Meijer,Daan & Dijkstra,1989). They appear to mixthe two alternatives.The poeciliid fishesare a family that contains the full spectrum from 'capital breeders', such as guppies (Poecilia) and swordtails (Xiphophorus), to 'income breeders', such as Heterandria formosa Agassiz (Turner, 1937). Comparative studies among species within this familycould get at the reasons forthe evolution of the differencebetween capital and income breeding(J.Travis, personal communication). Most physiological decisions on growth,storage and reproduction are mediated by hormones. Hormones affectmany processes simultaneously, creating patterns of correlations among many responses. Of course, these patternsdepend both on the concentrationofhormonesin the body and cell typesto those on the sensitivityofthe different hormones.Both can be changed in evolution. That sex hormones mediate trade-offsis stronglysuggested by evidence fromthe human reproductive system:female sex hormones thatpromotereproduction early in life are also involved in disturbances to calcium metabolism later in life. Could this be an example ofhow antagonisticpleiotropy shapes the evolution of senescence? Endocrine This content downloaded on Fri, 8 Mar 2013 14:25:04 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 264 S. C. Stearns regulation is an obvious aspect of intermediate structurewith impact on phenotypic correlations that has received almost no attention in lifehistoryresearch.Workin this area should become a higher priority. Endocrine mechanisms may prove to be only the tip of an iceberg of physiological mechanisms thatmodulate the expression ofgenetic covariance. Whymight we get positive correlations when we expect negative ones? Life-historytheorypredicts negative correlations among certain traits;however, observations indicate thatthese traitsare oftenpositivelycorrelated, especially when the measurements are made on individuals within populations (Bell & Koufopanou, 1986). van Noordwijk & de Jong (1986) have pointed out a simple interactionthatcan lead to positive, zero or negative correlationsbetween two traits that are nevertheless involved in a classical physiological trade-off.Suppose thatthe energy acquired in food, A, is strictlyallocated withineach individual eitherto reproduction,R or to survival, S: A = R + S. This is just the Principle ofAllocation asserted by Levins (1968) and Sibly & Calow (1986). However, as stated it does not make explicit the variation among individual organisms that always occurs. In this context,individuals vary in the amount of energy acquired, A, and in the fraction of the energyacquired thatis allocated to reproduction, B. If we indicate each individual by a subscripti, then we have Ifwe observea positive correlationwhere theory tells us to expect a negative one, this analysis suggests the critical empirical questions that should be asked. Do the organisms vary more in the amount ofenergyacquired than in the fraction ofenergyallocated to each function?How do those two variances (in A and B) change across environments in nature?The answers to those two quesis tionswill help us to decide whetherthe trade-off importantin naturalpopulations or not. S (b) (a) 3 B = 033 2 2 s 3 50 B 1 A1 1 =0~~~ ~~.66(c A2 A3 2 3 R i R S C R (R) and betweenreproduction Fig. 4. Considera trade-off survival(S). The totalamountofenergyacquired is set by A, where A = R + S. The fractionof energyallocated to reproductionis determinedby B, so Ri = BiAi In (a), the general possibilities are sketched. In (b), the variation among individuals in energyacquired (A) is largebut the variation in fraction allocated to reproduction (B) is small. The result is a positive correlation between reproduction and survival. In (c), the variation in A is small but the variation in B is large. The result is a negativecorrelationbetween reproductionand survival. Characterizingtrade-offs Ri = BiAi, Intraindividualand intergenerational Si = (1 -Bi)Ai have received attentioncommenNot all trade-offs surate with their probable importance. Intraindividual trade-offshave played a much larger role to date than intergenerationaltrade-offs. However,to takejust one example, any change in a female's allocation strategyis likelyto have implications forjuvenile mortalityin those organisms, like birds,manyfish,insectsand mammals,where parental care or provisioningis important.Such intergenerationaleffectscan be quite real. In the poeciliid fish Heterandria formosa, there is a between numberofbroods and offspring trade-off size, and larger offspringhave better survival (Henrich, 1988). Similar effectscan be found in wild radishes (Stanton, 1984). Here an intraindividual trade-offbetween brood number and offspringsize becomes an intergenerationaltrade-off between brood intervaland juvenile survival. The point thatvan Noordwijk & de Jongnoticed is thatthe sign ofthe correlationbetween R and S will depend on the relative degree to which each varies among individuals. This is most easily seen in a graph (Fig. 4). van Noordwijk & de Jong(1986, p. 141) explain this result with an analogy to economics: 'ifthebudgetis fixed,people spending moreon housingshould spend less on cars. In fact, the amount of expendable income is variable, and in many situations positive correlations are observed between the per-familyexpenses on housing and on cars. There is little problem in identifyingrich and poor familieson this basis... Where biologists have observed positive correlations between life-historytraits, they have oftenalso identifiedindividuals thatperformwell or poorly.' This content downloaded on Fri, 8 Mar 2013 14:25:04 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 265 Trade-offsin life-history evolution Consider Table 1, whose entries number the As an exception to the widespread concenpairwise trade-offs forconvenientreference.Note trationon only a few trade-offs,10 trade-offs(13, thatsome entriesare notindependent (CR = NO x 17 and 39 plus seven others involving age at SO), that not all possible trade-offsare listed, and maturityand interbroodintervalnot listed in the that no such general description can cover all table) were systematically analysed in Sibly & types of organisms. Calow (1986, Chapter4) using methods developed Of the 45 possible trade-offsamong these 10 in Sibly & Calow (1982). traits, only five receive much attention in the literature: numbers 1 (current reproduction vs The scope of application ofgenetic structure survival); 2 (current vs future reproduction); 3 (currentreproductionvs parental growth);4 (curMany people have been measuring genetic corrent reproduction vs parental condition) and 36 relations among life-historytraits to get at con(numbervs size ofoffspring). Othersare notas well straintson evolution. For a numberofreasons, the investigatedas the five discussed but could procurrentgenetic structureof the population may duce importanteffects.For example, does parental not tell us much about the past conditions that growthtrade-off with offspring condition (number could have been decisive forthe life-historypat29)? That would seem plausible in organismswith ternseen today. For example, ifthe currentstateof indeterminate growth and parental care and the population has been produced by strongselecwould be a type of parent-offspring tion in small, inbred populations, then epistatic conflict.Does parental survival trade-off with offspringsurvival and dominance interactions probably played a (number17)? more importantrole than additive variances and The normal assumption for analyses of the covariances. Genetic covariances are especially trade-offbetween offspringsize and offspring sensitiveto changes in gene frequenciesand to the number is that a certain level of reproductive substitution of genes with differentpatterns of investmenthas already been fixed,thus fixingthe pleiotropic effects. Furthermore,if genotype x relationship between reproduction and parental environment interactions of the sort discussed above were present, a simple change in the survival,and thatthe trade-offoccurs within that framework.There is no reason, a priori,to believe environment could strongly modify the exthis is the case. If reproductive investment, pression ofgenetic covariances. For all these reasons and more, one should parental survival, offspringsize and offspring approach with caution any claim that negative survival define a four-dimensionalsurface,then genetic correlations measured today have relparental and offspringsurvival can be seen as evance forthe historicalpath thatled to the current elements of a two-traittrade-off with just as much justificationas reproductive investmentand off- state. We can ask two questions about life-history patterns: what constrains future evolution and springsurvival. Table 1. An incomplete trade-off matrixforlife-history traits.Parental survival and parentalgrowth:fromthe current reproductiveepisode to the next.Parentalcondition:takenbetween thisreproductiveepisode and the next,preferably on a standard date criticalforsurvival (e.g. late winter).Size of offspring: to be reportedas a series ofsizes forspecies with parental care (birth,fledging,independence). Additional columns could be added to representthe trade-offs associated with maturation.Intraindividual trade-offsare indicated in bold type. Intergenerationaltrade-offsare indicated in italics. Trait 2 Trait 1 Currentreproduction Parental survival Future reproduction Parental growth Parental condition Number of offspring Size of offspring Offspringgrowth Offspringcondition Offspringsurvival CR PS FR PG PC NO SO OG OC OS PS FR PG PC 1 - 2 10 - 3 11 18 - 4 12 19 25 - NO 5 13 20 26 31 - This content downloaded on Fri, 8 Mar 2013 14:25:04 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions SO 6 14 21 27 32 36 - OG OC 7 8 15 22 28 33 37 40 - 16 23 29 34 38 41 43 - OS 9 17 24 30 35 39 42 44 45 266 S. C. Stearns what produced the patterns we see today? Measurement of genetic trade-offscertainlyilluminatesthe firstbut may not be as relevantforthe second as might be hoped (J. Travis, personal communication). This comment is not so much a council of despair as an indication of a research program. Geneticcovariances could be measured in a set of closely related species. If the structure of the correlationmatriceswere similar,it would count Forthe long-termstabilityof trade-offstructures within populations and against the cautionary commentabove. If they differedin closely related species that had originated recently, it would The speciation events countforthisinterpretation. in the study group should be recent and datable and breedingor selection experimentswould have to be possible on a scale thatwould yield reliable estimatesof differences. functions Signs and shapes of trade-off A negative relationshipbetween two traitscan be linear,convex, or concave, to mentionthe simplest possibilities. Schaffer's (1974a) theoretical work demonstratesthat such differencesin shape can strongly influence the predicted evolutionary responses. Thus we always have three important questions to ask about the relationship between two traits:(1) is it positive or negative?;(2) what is its shape?; (3) what are its interactionswith other traitsand environmentalfactors? The firsttwo questions would be answered ifwe knew the signs of the firstand second partial derivativesof the second traitwith respect to the first.The matrixof firstpartial derivativesdefines the first-ordertrade-offstructure,the matrix of second partial derivatives defines the secondordertrade-off structureand the matrixcontaining a graph in each cell definesthe complete two-way trade-of structure.Any trade-offsthat are nonlinear in a complex fashion can only be properly described by the thirdmatrix,the complete tradeoffstructure.Interactioneffectsamong trade-offs would go beyond that (Pease & Bull, 1988). The graph in each cell for the complete trade-off structuremighthave to describe a complex surface in threeor more dimensions,ratherthan a line in two dimensions,to show interactioneffectsamong two or more trade-offs. These matricesrepresentthe manner in which the organism is integratedwith respect to lifehistory traits. They abstract the developmental physiological and ecological implications that each traithas forthe others.Schaffer's(19 74a) and Bell's (1980) analyses of the trade-offsbetween reproduction and survival and between current and futurereproductionsuggestedthatthe curvature of some trade-offsis a critical piece of information.Whetheran organism should invest everythingin currentreproduction,to the detriment of growthand survival, or choose an intermediate level of reproductive investment, reservingsomething for the future,depends on whether those trade-offsare convex or concave. This is a qualitative condition - we just want to know whetherthe lines bend up or down - but it has proven to be quite elusive. Bell & Koufopanou (1986) summarized the few attemptsto measure thatcurvature(e.g. rotifers,annual meadow grass) and in every case concluded that the patternwas not detectablydifferent froma straightline. Trade-offsor dynamic linkages? If genotype x environmentinteractionsare pervasive and iftheyhave the sortsofeffectsdepicted in Figs 1-4, then it is natural to ask whether we should continue to use the word 'trade-offs'at all. Trade-offs are usually conceived of as static, dependable relationships:moreofthis,less ofthat. They certainlyapply to energeticrelationswithin individuals. When we move fromthe individual to the population, things become more complex. If interactionsthere are as dynamic and flexibleas Figs 1-4 would suggest, and the relationship between two traitscould easily change frompositive to negative over the normally encountered environmental range, then the more general phrase 'dynamic linkage' mightbe preferableto 'trade-off' as a descriptor of the underlying mechanisms. Population-level trade-offs differ qualitatively from trade-offsamong functions withinindividuals. Conclusion Measuring the cost of reproductionhas proven to be difficult.The perspective advanced here will not make it any easier. Both phenotypic and genetic correlations among traits must be measured across the range ofenvironmentsnaturally encountered beforeone can claim that costs and selection gradientshave been estimated.Genetic correlations are more reliably measured in selection experimentsthan withbreedingdesigns. Correlated responses to selection must also be measured across a range of environmentalconditions to estimate reliably the impact of genetic correlationson evolutionarychange. Much more This content downloaded on Fri, 8 Mar 2013 14:25:04 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 267 Trade-offsin life-history evolution attentionneeds to be givento the mechanical basis of trade-offsin aspects of intermediatestructure. The relationship between endocrine action and genetic and phenotypic correlationin particular deserves more attention. Acknowledgments This work was supported by the Swiss Nationalfonds. Comments by Jacqui Shykoff,Martin Gebhardt, Bruno Baur, Elke Hillesheim, Arie van Noordwijk,JoostTinbergen,David Reznick, Peter Calow, Joe Travis and Paul Harvey improved the presentation. The ideas in Figs 1 and 2 were developed in cooperation with Jacob Koella and MartinGebhardt. References Askenmo, C. (1979) Reproductive effortand returnrate of male pied flycatchers.American Naturalist, 114, 748-753. Bell, G. (1980) The costs of reproduction and their consequences. American Naturalist,116, 45-76. Bell, G. (1984a) Measuring the cost of reproduction. I. The correlationstructureofthe lifetable ofa plankton rotifer.Evolution,38, 300-313. Bell, G. (1984b) Measuring the cost of reproduction.II. The correlation structure of the life tables of five freshwaterinvertebrates.Evolution, 38, 314-326. Bell, G. (1986) Reply to Reznick et al. Evolution, 40, 1344-1346. Bell, G. & Koufopanou, V. (1986) The cost of reproduction. In OxfordSurveysin EvolutionaryBiology,Vol. 3, (ed. R. Dawkins & M. Ridley), pp. 83-131. Oxford UniversityPress, Oxford. Calow, P. (1979) The cost of reproduction - a physiological approach. Biological Reviews, 54, 23-40. Calow, P. & Woollhead, A.S. (1977) The relationbetween ration,reproductiveeffortand age-specificmortality in the evolution of life-historystrategies - some observationson freshwatertriclads.JournalofAnimal Ecology,46, 765-782. Charnov, E.L. & Krebs, J.R. (1973) On clutch size and fitness.Ibis, 116, 217-219. Charlesworth,B. (1980) Evolution in Age-Structured Populations. CambridgeUniversityPress, Cambridge. Clutton-Brock,T.H., Guinness, F.E. & Albon, S.D. (1982) Red Deer. Behaviour and Ecology of Two Sexes. Universityof Chicago Press, Chicago. Clutton-Brock,T.H., Guinness, F.E. & Albon, S.D. (1983) The cost ofreproductionto red deer hinds. Journalof Animal Ecology,52, 367-383. Gadgil, M. & Bossert, W. (1970) Life history consequences of natural selection. American Naturalist, 104, 1-24. Gebhardt,M.D. & Stearns,S.C. (1988) Reaction normsfor developmentaltimeand weightat ecolosion in Drosophila mercatorum.JournalofEvolutionaryBiology,1, 335-354. Giesel, J.T.,Murphy,P.A. & Manlove, M.N. (1982) The influenceoftemperatureon geneticinterrelationships of life history traits in a population of Drosophila melanogaster: what tangled data sets we weave. American Naturalist,119, 464-479. Goulden, C.E. & Hornig, L.L. (1980) Population oscillations and energy reserves in planktonic cladocera and theirconsequences to competition.Proceedingsof the National Academy of Sciences, USA, 77, 17161720. Groeters,F.R. & Dingle, H. (1988) Genetic and maternal influences on life historyplasticityin milkweed bugs (Oncopeltus): response to temperature. Journal of EvolutionaryBiology,1, 317-333. Henrich, S. (1988) Variation in offspringsizes of the poeciliid fish Heterandria formosa in relation to fitness.Oikos, 51, 13-18. Hirshfield, M.F. (1980) An experimental analysis of reproductiveeffortand cost in the Japanese medaka Oryzias latipes. Ecology, 61, 282-292. Hirshfield,M.F. & Tinkle, D.W. (1974) Natural selection and the evolution of reproductiveeffort.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA, 72, 2227-31. Kent, E.B. (1981) Life-historyresponses to resource variation in a sessile predator,the ciliate protozoan Tokophyralemnarum Stein. Ecology, 62, 296-302. Levins, R. (1968) Evolution in Changing Environments. PrincetonUniversityPress, Princeton. Linden, M. (1988) Reproductive trade-offbetween first and second clutches in the great tit Parus major: an experimentalstudy.Oikos,51, 285-290. Meijer, T., Daan, S. & Dijkstra,C. (1989) Female condition and reproduction:Effectsoffood manipulationin free-livingand captive kestrels.Ardea, 77, in press. Minchella, D.J., & Loverde, P.T. (1981) A cost of increased early reproductiveeffortin the snail Biomphalaria glabrata.American Naturalist,118,876-881. van Noordwijk,A.J.& de Jong,G. (1986) Acquisition and allocation ofresources: theirinfluenceon variationin life historytactics. American Naturalist, 128, 137142. Nur, N. (1984) The consequences of brood size for breedingblue tits.I. Adult survival,weightchange and the cost of reproduction.Journalof Animal Ecology, 53, 479-496. Partridge,L. (1987) Is accelerated senescence a cost of reproduction?Functional Ecology, 1, 317-320. Partridge, L. & Farquhar, M. (1981) Sexual activity reduces lifespan of male fruitflies. Nature, 294, 580582. Partridge,L. & Harvey,P. (1985) Costs of reproduction. Nature, 316, 20-21. Partridge,L. & Harvey,P. (1988) The ecological contextof lifehistoryevolution. Science, 241, 1449-1455. Pease, C.M. & Bull, J.J.(1988) A critique of methods for measuring life history trade-offs.Journal of EvolutionaryBiology,1, 293-303. Pettifor,R.A., Perrins, C.M. & McCleery, R.H. (1988) Individual optimization of clutch size in great tits. Nature, 336, 160-162. Reekie, E.G. & Bazzaz, F.A. (1988a) Reproductive effort in plants. 1. Carbon allocation to reproduction.American Naturalist,129, 876-896. This content downloaded on Fri, 8 Mar 2013 14:25:04 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 268 S. C. Stearns Reekie, E.G. & Bazzas, F.A. (1988b) Reproductive effort in plants. 2. Does carbon reflectthe allocation ofother resources? American Naturalist,129, 897-906. Reznick, D.N. (1985) Cost ofreproduction:an evaluation ofthe empirical evidence. Oikos, 44, 257-267. Reznick,D.N., Perry,E. & Travis,J.(1986) Measuring the cost of reproduction: a comment on papers by Bell. Evolution,40, 1338-1344. Rose, M. (1983) Theories of life-historyevolution. American Zoologist, 23, 15-24. Rose, M. & Charlesworth,B. (1981a) Genetics of life historyin Drosophila melanogaster. I. Sib analysis of adult females. Genetics,97, 173-186. Rose, M. & Charlesworth,B. (1981b) Genetics of life history in Drosophila melanogaster. II. Exploratory selection experiments.Genetics,97, 187-196. W.M. (1972) Evolution of optimal reproductive Schaffer, strategies.PhD thesis, Princeton University,Princeton. Schaffer,W.M. (1974a) Selection foroptimal life histories: the effectsof age structure.Ecology, 55, 291-303. Schaffer,W.M. (1974b) Optimal reproductive effortin fluctuatingenvironments.American Naturalist, 108, 783-790. Sibly,R.M. & Calow, P. (1982) An integratedapproach to life-cycleevolution using selective landscapes. Journal of TheoreticalBiology,102, 527-547. Sibly, R.M. & Calow, P. (1984) Direct and absorption costing in the evolution of life cycles. Journal of TheoreticalBiology,111, 463-473. Sibly, R.M. & Calow, P. (1986) Physiological Ecology of Animals. Blackwell ScientificPublications, Oxford. Stanton,M.L. (1984) Seed variationin wild radish: effect of seed size on components of seedling and adult fitness.Ecology, 65, 1105-1112. Smith,H.G., Kallander, H. & Nilsson, G.A. (1987) Effects ofexperimentallyalteredbrood size on frequencyand timingof second clutches in the great tit. Auk, 104, 700-706. Stearns, S.C. (1976) Life historytactics: a review of the ideas. QuarterlyReview of Biology,51, 3-47. Stearns,S.C. (1977) The evolution of lifehistorytraits:a critiqueofthe theoryand a review ofthe data. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics,8, 145-171. Stearns, S.C. & Koella, J.C. (1986) The evolution of traits:predictions phenotypicplasticityin life-history of reaction norms forage and size at maturity.Evolution,40, 893-913. Thomas, V.G. (1986) Variationin food supply. Condition and clutchsize. Abstracts,19thInternationalCongress of Ornithology,Ottawa. Tinbergen,J.M.(1987) Costs ofreproductionin the great tit: intraseasonal costs associated with brood size. Ardea, 75, 111-122. Townsend, C.R. & Calow, P. (eds) (1981) Physiological Ecology. An EvolutionaryApproach to Resource Use. Blackwell ScientificPublications, Oxford. Travis, J.(1984) Anuran size at metamorphosis:experimental test of a model based on intraspecificcompetition.Ecology, 65, 1155-1160. Tuomi, J.,Hakala, T. & Haukioja, E. (1983) Alternative costs ofreproduction, concepts ofreproductiveeffort, and selection in life-historyevolution. American Zoologist, 22, 25-34. Turner, C.L. (1937) Reproductive cycles and superfetation in poeciliid fishes. Biological Bulletin, 72, 145-164. Warner,R.R. (1984) Deferredreproductionas a response to sexual selection in a coral reeffish,a testofthe life historicalconsequences. Evolution, 38, 148-162. Williams, G.C. (1957) Pleiotropy,natural selection and evolution of senescence. Evolution, 11, 398-411. Williams, G.C. (1966a) Adaptation and Natural Selection. PrincetonUniversityPress, Princeton. Williams, G.C. (1966b) Natural selection, the cost of reproduction, and a refinementof Lack's principle. American Naturalist,100, 687-690. Received 23 November 1988; revised 19 January 1989; accepted 19 January1989. This content downloaded on Fri, 8 Mar 2013 14:25:04 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions