Unit Title: 1 Grade Level: Statistics grades 11-12 Timeframe: 22 days Essential Questions How do you create an appropriate display for a specific data set? How do you interpret graphical displays and statistical measures? Why do banks favor a single line that feeds several teller windows rather than separate lines for each teller? Standards Standards/Cumulative Progress Indicators (Taught and Assessed) CCSS: HS.S.ID.1: Represent data with plots on the real number line (dot plots, histograms, and box plots). HS.S.ID.2: Use statistics appropriate to the shape of the data distribution to compare center (median, mean) and spread (interquartile range, standard deviation) of two or more different data sets. HS.S.ID.3: Interpret differences in shape, center, and spread in the context of the data sets, accounting for possible effects of extreme data points (outliers). HS.S.ID.4: Use the mean and standard deviation of a data set to fit it to a normal distribution and to estimate population percentages. Recognize that there are data sets for which such a procedure is not appropriate. Use calculators, spreadsheets, and tables to estimate areas under the normal curve. HS.S.ID.5: Summarize categorical data for two categories in two-way frequency tables. Interpret relative frequencies in the context of the data (including joint, marginal, and conditional relative frequencies). Recognize possible associations and trends in the data. 21st Century Skills Standard and Progress Indicators: Critical thinking and problem-solving, Communication and media fluency. Instructional Plan Reflection Pre-assessment : Unit Pretest- Teacher created SLO - WALT CAR © 2009 Student Strategies Formative Assessment Activities and Resources Reflection Interpret relative frequencies in the context of the data (including joint, marginal, and conditional relative frequencies) • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-schoolstatistics-and-probability.html www.mathxlforschool.com ww.mymathlabforschool.com www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com CAR © 2009 Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html Summarize categorical data for two categories in twoway frequency tables • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-schoolstatistics-and-probability.html http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-id-5.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com CAR © 2009 Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html Represent data with plots on the real number line (dot plots, histograms, and box plots). • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-schoolstatistics-and-probability.html http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-id-1.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com CAR © 2009 Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html Use statistics appropriate to the shape of the data distribution to compare center (median, mean) and spread (interquartile range, standard deviation) of two or more different data sets. • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-schoolstatistics-and-probability.html http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-id-2.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Benchmark Assessment: Teacher created quiz CAR © 2009 Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html Interpret differences in shape, center, and spread in the context of the data sets, accounting for possible effects of extreme data points (outliers). • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-schoolstatistics-and-probability.html http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-id-3.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com CAR © 2009 Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html Use the mean and standard deviation of a data set to fit it to a normal distribution and to estimate population percentages. Recognize that there are data sets for which such a procedure is not appropriate. Use calculators, spreadsheets, and tables to estimate areas under the normal curve. • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare Benchmark Assessment: CAR © 2009 http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-schoolstatistics-and-probability.html https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-iimodule-4-topic-b-overview http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-id-4.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html Unit Title: 2 Grade Level: Statistics grades 11-12 Timeframe: 22days Essential Questions How we analyze categorical variables? What do we do when we want to see how to categorical variables are related? Standards Standards/Cumulative Progress Indicators (Taught and Assessed) CCSS: HS.S.ID.6: Represent data on two quantitative variables on a scatterplot, and describe how the variables are related. HS.S.ID.6.A: Fit a function to the data; use functions fitted to data to solve problems in the context of the data. Use given functions or choose a function suggested by the context. Emphasize linear, quadratic, and exponential models. HS.S.ID.6.B: Informally assess the fit of a function by plotting and analyzing residuals HS.S.ID.6.C: Fit a linear function for a scatter plot that suggests a linear association. HS.S.ID.7: Interpret the slope (rate of change) and the intercept (constant term) of a linear model in the context of the data. HS.S.ID.8: Compute (using technology) and interpret the correlation coefficient of a linear fit. HS.S.ID.9: Distinguish between correlation and causation. HS.F.LE.5: Interpret the parameters in a linear or exponential function in terms of a context. 21st Century Skills Standard and Progress Indicators: Critical thinking and problem-solving, Communication and media fluency. Instructional Plan Pre-assessment SLO - WALT Represent data on two quantitative variables on a CAR © 2009 Reflection Unit Pretest- Teacher created Student Strategies • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning Formative Assessment *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Activities and Resources Reflection http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-schoolstatistics-and-probability.html http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-id-6.html Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html scatterplot, and describe how the variables are related. • Project-based Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Distinguish between correlation and causation. • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Project-based Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-schoolstatistics-and-probability.html http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-id-9.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com CAR © 2009 Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html Informally assess the fit of a function by plotting and analyzing residuals • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Project-based Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-schoolstatistics-and-probability.html http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-id-6b.html Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Fit a linear function for a scatter plot that suggests a linear association. • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Project-based Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-school- Teacher will create using: statistics-and-probability.html http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-id-6a.html http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-id-6c.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: CAR © 2009 http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Interpret the slope (rate of change) and the intercept (constant term) of a linear model in the context of the data. • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Project-based Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-school- Teacher will create using: statistics-and-probability.html http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-id-7.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Benchmark Assessment: Compute (using technology) and interpret the correlation coefficient of a linear fit. CAR © 2009 Teacher created quiz • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Project-based Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pair- *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-schoolstatistics-and-probability.html http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-id-8.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html Share www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Fit an exponential function for a scatter plot that suggests a exponential association. • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Project-based Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher based on rubric http://www.shmoop.com/common-coreTeacher will create using: standards/ccss-hs-s-id-6a.html http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Benchmark Assessment: Summative Written Assessments Summative Performance CAR © 2009 Unit Benchmark Test Students will conduct an experiment and analyze the Assessment results. Unit Title: 3 Grade Level: Statistics I grades 11-12 Timeframe: 22 days Essential Questions How we think about the type of variable we’re summarizing? What we do to help us see the story the data have to tell? How we summarize distributions of quantitative variables numerically? Standards Standards/Cumulative Progress Indicators (Taught and Assessed) CCSS: HS.S.IC.1: Understand statistics as a process of making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population. HS.S.IC.2: Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given data-generating process, e.g., using simulation. For example, a model says a spinning coin falls heads up with a probability 0.5. Would a result of 5 tails in a row cause you to question the model? HS.S.IC.3: Recognize the purposes of and differences among sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies; explain how randomization relates to each. HS.S.IC.4: Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling. HS.S.IC.5: Use data from a randomized experiment to compare two treatments; use simulations to decide if differences between parameters are significant. 21st Century Skills Standard and Progress Indicators: Critical thinking and problem-solving, Communication and media fluency. Instructional Plan Pre-assessment CAR © 2009 Reflection Unit Pretest- Teacher created SLO - WALT Student Strategies Formative Assessment Understand statistics as a process of making inferences about population parameters based on a random sample from that population. • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualiz ed Teacher feedback based on rubric Activities and Resources http://www.regentsprep.org/regents/math/algebra/ad1/Tdata.htm http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-school-statistics-andprobability.html http://www.cpalms.org/Public/PreviewResourceLesson/Preview/714 74 https://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~nolan/Papers/NCTM.pdf http://www.math.uakron.edu/amc/DataAnalysis_Statistics/OldDataSt at/RandomSampling.pdf http://www.shmoop.com/common-core-/ccss-hs-s-ic-1.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Reflection Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflect ion.html Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Recognize the purposes of and differences among sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies; explain CAR © 2009 • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualiz ed Teacher feedback based on Students will be given scenarios and asked to develop surveys, experiments or observational studies and explain how randomization relates to each. http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-school-statistics-andprobability.html http://www.cpalms.org/Public/PreviewResourceLesson/Preview/714 74 http://www.regentsprep.org/regents/math/algebra/ad1/Tdata.htm https://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~nolan/Papers/NCTM.pdf Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflect ion.html how randomization relates to each. • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pair. rubric http://www.shmoop.com/common-core-standards/ccss-hs-s-ic3.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given datagenerating process, e.g., using simulation. • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualiz ed Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-school-statistics-andprobability.html http://serc.carleton.edu/nnn/datasim/examples/reeses.html http://courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_inst01/PDFS/river.pdf https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-ii-module-4-topic-aoverview http://www.shmoop.com/common-core-standards/ccss-hs-s-ic2.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: CAR © 2009 Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflect ion.html http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Benchmark Assessment: Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling. Teacher created quiz. • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualiz ed Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-school-statistics-andprobability.html https://www.illustrativemathematics.org/contentstandards/HSS/IC/B/4/tasks/2096 https://www.illustrativemathematics.org/contentstandards/HSS/IC/B/4/tasks/2073 https://learnzillion.com/lesson_plans/7178-determine-likelihoodthat-a-hypothesis-is-reasonable https://learnzillion.com/lesson_plans/7833-approximating-asampling-distribution-from-a-simulation# https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-ii-module-4-topic-coverview http://www.shmoop.com/common-core-standards/ccss-hs-s-ic4.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: CAR © 2009 Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflect ion.html http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Use data from a randomized experiment to compare two treatments; use simulations to decide if differences between parameters are significant. • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualiz ed Teacher feedback based on rubric https://learnzillion.com/lesson_plans/6546-decrease-the-size-of-aconfidence-interval https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-ii-module-4-topic-doverview http://www.shmoop.com/common-core-standards/ccss-hs-s-ic5.html https://www.khanacademy.org/math/probability/statisticalstudies/hypothesis-test/e/hypothesis-testing-in-experiments https://www.amstat.org/education/stew/pdfs/AnAmazingCompariso n.pdf www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com CAR © 2009 Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflect ion.html Benchmark Assessment: Summative Written Assessments Summative Performance Assessment Unit Benchmark Test Students will conduct a survey a create a report of their findings. Unit Title: 4 Grade Level: Statistics I grades 11-12 Timeframe: 22 days Essential Questions Why we compare groups and looking for patterns among groups and over time? Why we shifting and rescaling the data? Standards Standards/Cumulative Progress Indicators (Taught and Assessed) CCSS: HS.S.CP.1: Describe events such as subsets of a sample space (the set outcomes) using characteristics (or categories) of the outcomes, or as unions, CAR © 2009 intersections, or complements of other events ("or", "and", and "not"). HS.S.CP.2: Understand that two events A and B are independent if the probability of A and B occurring together is the product of their probabilities , and use this characterization to determine if they are independent. HS.S.CP.3 Understand the conditional probability of A given B as P(A and B)/ P(B), and interpret independence of A and B as saying that the conditional probability of A given B is the same as the probability of A, and the conditional probability of B given A is the same as the probability of B. HS.S.CP.4: Construct and interpret two-way frequency tables of data when two categories are associated with each object being classified. Use the two-way table as a sample space to decide if events are independent and to approximate conditional probabilities. For example, collect data from a random sample of students in your school on their favorite subject among math, science, and English. Estimate the probability that a randomly selected student from your school will favor science given that the student is in tenth grade. Do the same for other subjects and compare the results. HS.S.CP.5: Recognize and explain the concepts of conditional probability and independence in everyday language and everyday situations. For example, compare the chance of having lung cancer if you are a smoker with the chance of being a smoker if you have lung cancer. HS.S.CP.6: Find the conditional probability of A given B as the fraction of B's outcomes that also belong to A, and interpret the answer in terms of the model. HS.S.CP.7: Apply the Addition Rule, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B), and interpret the answer in terms of the model. HS.S.CP.8: Apply the general Multiplication Rule in a uniform probability model, P(A and B) = P(A)P(B|A) = P(B)P(A|B), and interpret the answer in terms of the model. HS.S.CP.9: Use permutations and combinations to compute probabilities of compound events and solve problems. 21st Century Skills Standard and Progress Indicators: Critical thinking and problem-solving, Communication and media fluency. Instructional Plan Pre-assessment CAR © 2009 Reflection Unit Pretest- Teacher created SLO - WALT Describe events such as subsets of a sample space (the set outcomes) using characteristics (or categories) of the outcomes, or as unions, intersections, or complements of other events ("or", "and", and "not"). Student Strategies • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare Formative Assessment Activities and Resources Reflection *Graphic Organizer http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-schoolstatistics-and-probability.html Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-iimodule-4-topic-a-overview http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-cp-1.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Apply the Addition Rule, P(A or B) = CAR © 2009 • Inquiry-­­ based *Graphic Organizer http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high-schoolstatistics-and-probability.html Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B), and interpret the answer in terms of the model. Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-iimodule-4-topic-a-overview http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-cp-7.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Understand the conditional probability of A given B as P(A and B)/ P(B), and interpret independence of A and B as saying that the conditional probability of A CAR © 2009 • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pair- *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-highschool-statistics-and-probability.html https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-iimodule-4-topic-a-overview http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-cp-3.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html given B is the same as the probability of A, and the conditional probability of B given A is the same as the probability of B. Share Apply the general Multiplication Rule in a uniform probability model, P(A and B) = P(A)P(B|A) = P(B)P(A|B), and interpret the answer in terms of the model. • Inquiry-­­ based Learning courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-highschool-statistics-and-probability.html https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-iimodule-4-topic-a-overview http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-cp-8.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com CAR © 2009 Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html www.jmp.com www.spss.com Find the conditional probability of A given B as the fraction of B's outcomes that also belong to A, and interpret the answer in terms of the model. • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-highschool-statistics-and-probability.html *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-iimodule-4-topic-a-overview Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-cp-6.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Understand that two events A and B are independent if the probability CAR © 2009 • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-cp-2.html http://www.mathsisfun.com/links/core-high- Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html of A and B occurring together is the product of their probabilities , and use this characterization to determine if they are independent. Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric school-statistics-and-probability.html https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-iimodule-4-topic-a-overview www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Calculate the expected value of a random variable; interpret it as the mean of the probability distribution. CAR © 2009 • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare *Graphic Organizer *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-iimodule-4-topic-a-overview www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Weigh the possible outcomes of a decision by assigning probabilities to payoff values and finding expected values. Analyze decisions and strategies using probability concepts (e.g., product testing, medical testing, pulling a hockey goalie at the end CAR © 2009 • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led *Graphic Organizer https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-iimodule-4-topic-a-overview *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com *Graphic Organizer https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-iimodule-4-topic-a-overview *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.html of a game). Construct and interpret two-way frequency tables of data when two categories are associated with each object being classified. Use the two-way table as a sample space to decide if events are independent and to approximate conditional probabilities. Benchmark Assessment: CAR © 2009 Team Learning • Think-pairShare • Inquiry-­­ based Learning • Cooperative Learning • Projectbased Learning • Peer Led Team Learning • Think-pairShare Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com *Graphic Organizer https://www.engageny.org/resource/algebra-iimodule-4-topic-a-overview *Exit Slip *Peer Assessment *Individualized Teacher feedback based on rubric http://www.shmoop.com/common-corestandards/ccss-hs-s-cp-4.html www.statcrunch.com www.learner.org/courses/againstallodds/ Lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL www.census.gov/data.html courses.ncssm.edu/math/Stat_Inst/Notes.html www.bbn-school.org/us/math/app_stats/ www.interactivemaths.net/index.php?q=category/1/76 Software-calculators, commercial software: http://education.ti.com/en/us/home www.datadesk.com www.minitab.com www.jmp.com www.spss.com Teacher will create using: http://electronicportfolios.com/reflection.htm Summative Written Assessments Summative Performance Assessment CAR © 2009 Unit Benchmark Test Students will create a game based on chance and analyze the possible outcomes.