SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS 0.1 The purpose of this note is to provide further guidance and advice to boroughs on the process for setting and agreeing targets as part of their second Local Implementation Plans (LIPs). It builds on advice given at the LIP preparation workshops held in January and February 2010 and should be read in conjunction with the Guidance on Developing Second LIPs. 1.0 Background 1.1 Under section 145 of the GLA Act 1999, each London borough is required to produce a LIP setting out how they intend to contribute towards the implementation of the Mayor’s Transport Strategy (MTS). As well as outlining the borough’s local transport objectives, a LIP should detail the specific interventions and schemes intended to contribute towards meeting the MTS goals, challenges and opportunities. A clear strategy for monitoring performance should also be included. Boroughs are currently in the process of producing their second round LIPs, which are due to be effective from 2011/12. 1.2 As part of the process of monitoring LIPs, progress will be tracked against five strategic performance indicators on which boroughs are required to set locally specific targets. These five indicators are shown below: Indicator Description Mode share The proportion of personal travel made by each mode Excess wait time for all high-frequency services running within a particular borough The total number of KSIs and total number of casualties Tonnes of CO2 emanating from ground-based transport per year The proportion of principal road carriageway where maintenance should be considered Bus service reliability Road traffic casualties CO2 emissions Asset (highway) condition 1.3 Each of the indicators relate to key priorities within the MTS over which London boroughs have a degree of influence. It is recognised that boroughs will be required to work with local partners and other organisations to achieve their targets, including TfL, Primary Care Trusts, businesses and employers, bus operators, schools and neighbouring authorities. Hence whilst the target will be ‘owned’ by the borough, in much the same way as Local Area SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 1 Agreement targets, in practice joint working will be required if the targets are to be met. 1.4 Definitions for each of the indicators, including data sources and collection intervals, are available. 1.5 In addition to targets on the five mandatory indicators, boroughs may chose to identify several local targets within their LIPs. The setting of local targets may assist in: • • • • Clarifying the need for funding for transport. This is particularly pertinent in the context of reduced transport budgets. Demonstrating the delivery of improvements on the ground and complementary smarter travel interventions The provision of evidence for use in a borough’s Three-Year Impact Report 1 Identifying causal factors relating to the achievement or not of the borough’s mandatory targets 1.6 Local targets are likely to relate to key priorities for the borough that are not covered by the mandatory indicators, for instance a reduction in crime rates at transport hubs or an increase in public satisfaction with the road network. To supplement the mandatory target on bus reliability, boroughs are being encouraged to set local targets on run time for up to four bus routes between specified corridors. Further detail on this can be found on page 14 of this note. 1.7 Where a borough chooses to set local targets, it is important that robust arrangements are in place (or can readily be put in place) for the collection of the necessary data needed to judge progress. 2.0 The purpose of LIP targets 2.1 As a statutory document, it is important that a LIP can be assessed to determine whether it is delivering its objectives and the outcomes set out in the MTS at a borough level. The setting of strategic performance indicators and targets is intended to provide a mechanism to enable the success of a LIP to be judged. 2.2 The setting of targets enables a borough to focus its efforts and provide a clear sense of what should be aimed for. In a business sense, targets can form a crucial link between strategy and day-to-day operations. In setting targets, boroughs are advised to identify key actions that are needed to achieve the targets and this is likely to aid the development of transportrelated interventions to be delivered through the LIP. 1 At the end of the second LIP period, in 2014, each borough should produce a Three-Year Impact Report detailing the impact of the LIP on its locality and achievement of objectives SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 2 2.3 Should monitoring of progress against the targets reveal underperformance to the degree that a target is not on track to be met, a number of steps can be taken. This might include, for instance, a refocus of the Delivery Plan or closer working with local partners. 2.4 TfL recognises that the aim of all targets may not be to bring about improvement. In some cases, where current performance is adequate (or where funding availability dictates that improvement is unrealistic), a target may not be for improvement but for a continuation of the borough’s current performance. In all cases boroughs are expected to provide justification for their targets and evidence that each target is both ‘ambitious’ and ‘realistic’, and identify risks associated with their achievement. 2.5 Data on each of the mandatory indicators will be collected by TfL. This has the twin benefits of ensuring a level of consistency when assessing LIPs, insofar as the same method of data collection is being used pan-London, and reducing monitoring burdens for boroughs. Moreover, the total cost of monitoring is reduced through economies of scale. 2.6 It is planned that data will be reported directly to boroughs on an annual basis as part of a wider liaison process on LIP delivery 2 . The data is also to be reported within TfL’s Travel in London reports on an annual basis. 3.0 The process for agreeing targets 3.1 Boroughs are required to identify and agree targets for each of the indicators with TfL. This approach, as opposed to TfL setting targets on behalf of the boroughs, is intended to provide boroughs with greater flexibility to reflect local circumstances. In addition, providing boroughs with the opportunity to set their own targets can help to ensure the boroughs take greater ‘ownership’ of their targets and, by extension, their achievement. 3.2 To aid boroughs in the development of their targets, TfL has provided background data for each of the indicators in the form of a benchmarking tool. Where available, other data can be provided on an ad-hoc basis on request and a number of boroughs have contacted TfL in this respect. When additional data becomes available that is considered to be useful to all boroughs, further updates to the benchmarking tool will be issued. 3.3 Whilst no rigid process has been put in place for the agreement of targets, it is anticipated that boroughs will approach TfL to discuss their intended targets in good time before the submission of the draft LIPs by the 20 December 2010 deadline. Agreeing targets in good time before the deadline will provide both TfL and the boroughs with comfort that this will not be an issue within the draft LIPs, thereby allowing boroughs to focus on the remaining sections of their 2 Subject to availability in the case of data on CO2 emissions SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 3 LIP prior to submission. Boroughs are encouraged to discuss their intended targets with TfL before the end of September 2010. 3.4 To facilitate the process of discussion, boroughs are strongly encouraged to send a note to TfL setting out their intended targets for each of the indicators, together with a justification on why the targets are considered to be both ambitious and realistic. It is suggested that this note includes: • • • • • A brief overview of past performance against the indicator Key influences on the target eg. an indication of planned interventions by the borough and other partners that will affect the target, Londonwide or national targets relating to the indicator etc Baseline data, and values for each of the target years Trajectories and milestones in the form of a simple graph (see Figure 3.1 in the Guidance on Developing Second LIPs) A summary of risks associated with meeting the target This note need not be longer than five or six pages, and should form the basis of the borough’s Performance Monitoring Plan section of their LIP. Boroughs may find it useful to refer to Proforma B as set out in Appendix C of the Guidance on Developing Second LIPs. 3.5 The interim targets to be agreed should cover the period 2010 (or 2010/11) to 2013 (or 2013/14), with annual milestones, but should reflect a longer-term target reflecting the timeframe of the MTS. This long-term target should be explicitly set out in both the Performance Monitoring Plan and the note sent to TfL. The longer-term target should be based on the expected future situation once sustained investment has had time to make an impact (eg. between 2020 and 2031). 3.6 Should TfL consider that any of a borough’s proposed targets are not sufficiently ambitious or realistic, one of several courses of action may be taken. TfL may, for instance, seek additional justification as to why the target is considered to be appropriate, for example on local circumstances that dictate the target should be higher or lower than what it might otherwise be. Depending on the outcome of this, proposals may be put forward for alternative targets on which both parties will be able to negotiate. Ultimately it is intended that the targets are locally relevant to each borough, and TfL will seek to work with each borough to ensure the targets are mutually satisfactory wherever possible. 3.7 When setting targets, boroughs are required to base them on a scenario which assumes no major scheme funding will be awarded, beyond that already committed. Should additional funding for major schemes be subsequently secured, boroughs will be expected to update their targets accordingly. SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 4 4.0 Factors to be taken into account when setting targets 4.1 In the interests of setting robust targets based on sound justification, a number of different factors should be considered. The factors taken into account are likely to vary depending on the indicator to which the targets relate. 4.2 Factors to be considered when setting targets may include: • • • • • • • • • • • • Funding availability, including non-LIP related funding Evidence of what has worked well in recent years in terms of influencing the indicators First round LIP trends Background data, for instance that reported in Travel in London The performance of other ‘comparable’ boroughs as an indication of what is achievable (perhaps through use of the benchmarking tool) Views of important stakeholders (including TfL) and key officers within the borough National and London-wide targets relating to the targets Planned local interventions that will influence the indicators Expected impacts (positive or negative) of any planned developments or infrastructure investment invested by TfL over the life of the MTS eg. the Cycle Superhighways schemes Expected impacts (positive or negative) of relevant Mayoral policy decisions, for instance in relation to public transport fares Expected impacts (positive or negative) of initiatives and developments by other parties which may impact on achievement of the targets (eg. the adoption of cleaner vehicle technology leading to reduced C02 emissions) Key performance indicators set out in TfL’s Business Plan (2009/10 – 2017/18) 4.3 The consideration of all relevant factors and the taking of different approaches to the setting of targets will assist in challenging, verifying and refining the targets. 4.4 Although the identification of risks to meeting the targets and potential mitigation measures is not required as part of the process of agreeing the targets, this should be set out as part of the borough’s Performance Monitoring Plan. Boroughs are advised to give consideration to the risks associated with meeting a particular target as the target is being developed. 5.0 Reviewing targets and setting targets for third round LIPs 5.1 At the end of the second LIP period, in 2014, boroughs will be required to produce a Three-Year Impact Report setting out a concise account of the achievements of the second LIP, so that TfL can assess the strength and breadth of what has been achieved. This should cover the period April 2011 to March 2014, and be submitted to TfL in July 2014. SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 5 5.2 An important focus of the report should be on progress made against each of the agreed targets, including any local targets, together with an interpretative analysis on achievement or non-achievement. Where targets have been achieved, accompanying commentary need not be extensive, but further explanation should be provided if they have not been met. Boroughs should also provide information on proposed remedial action for the third round LIP to help achieve the long-term target or move it closer to its intended trajectory. 5.3 Once a borough’s second LIP is approved by the Mayor, it is not expected that the agreed targets will be revised over the course of the second LIP period. However, performance against targets over the course of the second LIP period should be a key consideration when developing targets for the third LIP period. At the end of the second LIP period, in appropriate circumstances boroughs may also consider proposing a revision to their long-term targets for each indicator (ie. reflecting the timeframe of the MTS) for discussion with TfL. 5.4 TfL will undertake an assessment of the Three-Year Impact Reports and arrange a formal meeting with each borough to discuss its overall progress on the second LIP. This process should inform the setting of targets for the third round LIPs, covering the period 2014 (or 2014/15) to 2017 (or 2017/18). Further guidance on how TfL will formally assess the second round LIP Impact Reports will be published no later than December 2013. 6.0 Additional information on each indicator 6.1 A rigid formula-based methodology for setting targets is neither available nor desirable, and the agreement of targets will ultimately be based on a subjective assessment carried out by both TfL and borough officers. 6.2 To provide TfL with a foundation for agreeing targets with boroughs, consideration has been given to what may constitute appropriate targets and milestones for each of the indicators. This has been done on a borough-byborough basis, but does not take into account local circumstances that may have an impact on the targets. TfL will consequently consider this as a starting point for the verification and negotiation of individual targets / milestones, which will be supplemented by other relevant information provided by boroughs. 6.3 Given the borough-led approach to setting targets, it is not proposed that this information will be shared with boroughs. However, additional advice on each of the mandatory indicators that may be useful in indentifying targets and milestones is set out below. SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 6 6.3 Mode share This indicator measures the proportion of personal travel made by each mode. Boroughs are required to set targets on (1) walking mode share and either (2a) cycling mode share based on LTDS or (2b) cycling levels based on their own data. TfL has not considered what might constitute appropriate targets / milestones for targets based on cycling levels as data will be provided by individual boroughs. Data source London Travel Demand Survey Data availability Data is available from 2006/07. For reasons of sample size, figures are reported as three (financial rather than calendar) year averages meaning that currently only one set of figures is available (2006/07 – 2008/09). It is thus not possible to look at past trends using LTDS data without compromising the statistical significance of the data. Base year 2006/07 – 2008/09 Trajectory data • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2010/11 should be the average of the three years 2007/08 to 2009/10 • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2011/12 should be the average of the three years 2008/09 to 2010/11 • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2012/13 should be the average of the three years 2009/10 to 2011/12 • The interim target to be met at the end of year 2013/14 should be the average of the three years 2010/11 to 2012/13 Key considerations when setting targets • The MTS includes a London-wide aim of achieving a 5% modal share for cycling by 2026 (paragraph 444) • The mode shares of walking and cycling trips are interdependent, insofar as some new cycling trips are likely to be previous walking trips and vice versa • Work has been undertaken by TfL Policy Analysis looking at the potential for cycling trips by borough it is advised that this be considered this when setting targets based on cycling SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 7 6.4 Bus service reliability This indicator measures excess wait time (EWT) (ie. waiting time experienced by passengers over and above what might be expected of a service that is always on time) for all high-frequency services running within a particular borough. High-frequency services are defined as those with a scheduled operation of five or more buses per hour. Data source Quality of Service (QSI) indicators Data availability A mean EWT figure is available by borough by year, going back to 1999/00 Base year 2008/09 Trajectory data • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2010 should be the figure for 2009/10 • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2011 should be the figure for 2010/11 • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2012 should be the figure for 2011/12 • The interim target to be met at the end of year 2013 should be the figure for 2012/13 Key considerations • The MTS includes an aspiration of maintaining bus reliability at 2006 levels, especially if measures such as road user charging are implemented • The Business Plan includes the following projections for EWT across London: 2010/11 1.1 • • • • 2011/12 1.2 2012/13 1.2 2013/14 1.2 2014/15 1.2 2015/16 1.2 2016/17 1.2 2017/18 1.2 Boroughs may wish to use the Business Plan projections as a basis for setting targets / milestones (weighted by base year data) EWT data derived from the iBus system is currently planned to be available from April 2011. It is not yet known how this data will differ from that collected through QSI observations. Boroughs should set targets on the basis of QSI data and if necessary, TfL will factor the targets accordingly based on benchmarking work that is currently being undertaken. The EWT of any service at any given measurement point will reflect accumulated delays occurring on the whole route, in many cases including sections of the route running outside of the borough in question. Local authorities should work together and with TfL to achieve the best results. See also Appendix A for information on setting local targets based on bus route run times SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 8 6.5 Road traffic casualties This indicator measures (1) the total number of people killed and seriously injured (KSI) from road traffic accidents and (2) total casualties. Data source Modal Policy Unit, Surface Transport Data availability Data is available in three year averages, going back to 1997-1999 Base year 2006 – 2008 Trajectory data • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2010/11 should be the average of the three years 2007 to 2009 • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2011/12 should be the average of the three years 2008 to 2010 • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2012/13 should be the average of the three years 2009 to 2011 • The interim target to be met at the end of year 2013/14 should be the average of the three years 2010 to 2012 Key considerations • The DfT have consulted on a series of national targets, applicable to all local authorities. The proposed targets applicable to this indicator are (1) to reduce the number of people killed in road collisions by at least 33% by 2020 and (2) to reduce the number of people seriously injured in road collisions by at least 33% by 2020, both compared to a baseline of the 2004-2008 average. • A further target to reduce the number of child KSIs by 50% by 2020, compared to a baseline of the 2004-2008 average, may also be applicable to boroughs choosing to set a local target specifically relating to child casualties. • No national targets have been proposed for total casualties • Many boroughs have indicated there is a decreasing scope for reducing casualty numbers through engineering measures going forward, and increased emphasis will be placed on influencing driver behaviour. The impact of this shift in approach to improving road safety should be considered when setting targets. SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 9 6.6 CO2 emissions This indicator measures CO2 emissions from all sources of ground-based transport (GBT). Where applicable this includes emissions emanating from road traffic (including trunk roads and motorways), railways, shipping and airports (ground-based aviation) 3 . Data source GLA London Energy and Greenhouse Gas Inventory (LEGGI) Data availability London-wide data is available for 1990, 2005 and 2008, and is planned to be collected on an approximately annual basis going forward Base year 2008 Trajectory data • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2010 should be the figure for 2009 • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2011 should be the figure for 2010 • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2012 should be the figure for 2011 • The interim target to be met at the end of year 2013 should be the figure for 2012 Key considerations • The Mayor has set a target of a 60% reduction in London’s CO2 by 2025, from a 1990 base. Boroughs should take this target into consideration when setting their targets. • To assist in this process, an indicative borough-level trajectory has been produced in line with this target. Boroughs are advised to have regard to this trajectory when setting targets. • Boroughs are also advised to discuss proposed targets with colleagues who are responsible for the Local Area Agreement, and particularly National Indicator 186 (per capita reduction in CO2 emissions in the local authority area) • Figure 61 of the MTS sets out mid-range estimates of CO2 reduction impacts of transport policy areas by 2025 Notes and assumptions on indicative trajectory • The MTS (paragraph 590) states that transport sector CO2 emissions in the range of 5.3 to 4.6m tonnes will be required in 2025 to meet the Mayor’s target. A range is provided to reflect the range in estimates of how the 60% overall reduction will pan out across the various sectors. • The relative contribution that each sector (ie. transport / homes / workplaces) will make towards the reduction will vary 3 Note that CO2 produced outside London for the generation of power via the National Grid that is then used inside London (principally to power electric trains) is also included SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 10 • • • The upper point of the range given in the MTS (5.3m tonnes) has been scaled to include all GBT emissions including those generated outside of London (see footnote 3), giving a target figure of 4.74m tonnes. This figure has been used for the purpose of producing a trajectory Based on total GBT emissions in 2008, a 45.3% reduction is required between 2008 and 2025. This equates to a 3.49% reduction per year, in respect of the previous year. The trajectory figures given are weighted by the base year figure for each borough SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 11 INDICATIVE CO2 TRAJECTORY DATA Borough Definition Base year Base year value Target year 2010 2011 2012 2013 Long-term (2025) target Target year value Trajectory data Barking & Dagenham % reduction in CO2 2008 157.00 2013 131.47 146.24 141.14 136.22 131.47 85.88 Barnet % reduction in CO2 2008 402.00 2013 336.64 374.46 361.40 348.80 336.64 219.89 Bexley % reduction in CO2 2008 232.00 2013 194.28 216.10 208.57 201.30 194.28 126.90 Brent % reduction in CO2 2008 231.00 2013 193.44 215.17 207.67 200.43 193.44 126.36 Bromley % reduction in CO2 2008 283.00 2013 236.99 263.61 254.42 245.55 236.99 154.80 Camden % reduction in CO2 2008 172.00 2013 144.03 160.22 154.63 149.24 144.03 94.08 City of London % reduction in CO2 2008 48.00 2013 40.20 44.71 43.15 41.65 40.20 26.26 Croydon % reduction in CO2 2008 269.00 2013 225.26 250.57 241.83 233.40 225.26 147.14 Ealing % reduction in CO2 2008 394.00 2013 329.94 367.00 354.21 341.86 329.94 215.52 Enfield % reduction in CO2 2008 336.00 2013 281.37 312.98 302.07 291.53 281.37 183.79 Greenwich % reduction in CO2 2008 223.00 2013 186.74 207.72 200.48 193.49 186.74 121.98 Hackney % reduction in CO2 2008 131.00 2013 109.70 122.02 117.77 113.66 109.70 71.66 Hammersmith & Fulham % reduction in CO2 2008 155.00 2013 129.80 144.38 139.35 134.49 129.80 84.79 Haringey % reduction in CO2 2008 164.00 2013 137.34 152.76 147.44 142.30 137.34 89.71 Harrow % reduction in CO2 2008 159.00 2013 133.15 148.11 142.94 137.96 133.15 86.97 Havering % reduction in CO2 2008 355.00 2013 297.28 330.68 319.15 308.02 297.28 194.19 Hillingdon % reduction in CO2 2008 1563.00 2013 1308.87 1455.91 1405.15 1356.16 1308.87 854.96 Hounslow % reduction in CO2 2008 356.00 2013 298.12 331.61 320.05 308.89 298.12 194.73 Islington % reduction in CO2 2008 130.00 2013 108.86 121.09 116.87 112.80 108.86 71.11 K Kensington i t & Chelsea Ch l % reduction d ti in i CO2 2008 126.00 2013 105.51 117.37 113.27 109.33 105.51 68.92 Kingston upon Thames % reduction in CO2 2008 177.00 2013 148.22 164.87 159.12 153.58 148.22 96.82 Lambeth % reduction in CO2 2008 180.00 2013 150.73 167.67 161.82 156.18 150.73 98.46 Lewisham % reduction in CO2 2008 196.00 2013 164.13 182.57 176.21 170.06 164.13 107.21 Merton % reduction in CO2 2008 164.00 2013 137.34 152.76 147.44 142.30 137.34 89.71 Newham % reduction in CO2 2008 235.00 2013 196.79 218.90 211.27 203.90 196.79 128.55 2008 266.00 2013 222.75 247.77 239.14 230.80 222.75 145.50 Redbridge % reduction in CO2 Richmond upon Thames % reduction in CO2 2008 295.00 2013 247.04 274.79 265.21 255.96 247.04 161.37 Southwark % reduction in CO2 2008 227.00 2013 190.09 211.45 204.07 196.96 190.09 124.17 Sutton % reduction in CO2 2008 121.00 2013 101.33 112.71 108.78 104.99 101.33 66.19 Tower Hamlets % reduction in CO2 2008 218.00 2013 182.56 203.06 195.98 189.15 182.56 119.25 Waltham Forest % reduction in CO2 2008 177.00 2013 148.22 164.87 159.12 153.58 148.22 96.82 Wandsworth % reduction in CO2 2008 214.00 2013 179.21 199.34 192.39 185.68 179.21 117.06 Westminster % reduction in CO2 2008 307.00 2013 257.08 285.97 276.00 266.37 257.08 167.93 6.7 Asset condition This indicator measures the proportion of the borough’s principal road network (excluding TLRN) where maintenance should be considered. Data source Detailed Visual Inspection data collected by LB Hammersmith & Fulham Data availability A mean asset condition figures is available by borough by year, going back to 2002/03 Base year 2009/10 Trajectory data • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2010 should be the figure for 2009/10 • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2011 should be the figure for 2010/11 • The milestone to be met at the end of year 2012 should be the figure for 2011/12 • The interim target to be met at the end of year 2013 should be the figure for 2012/13 Key considerations • The level of improvement that boroughs are able to achieve largely depends on the maintenance budget available (made up of LIP and non-LIP funding). Indicative LIP maintenance allocations for 2011/12 are available on TfL website. • A realistic target does not necessarily have to be based on an improvement. In some cases a continuation of the existing situation may be acceptable, and in others a deterioration may be acceptable if the borough’s baseline figure is lower than the average for inner / outer London. • The 2009/10 data was collected prior to the severe winter weather of 2009/10, which resulted in a deterioration in asset condition for many boroughs SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 13 Appendix A – Local target on bus route run times A1.1 Improving public transport reliability is one of the key proposed outcomes of the MTS, and for this reason bus service reliability is included as a mandatory LIP indicator. In recognition of the limited role that boroughs have in influencing borough-wide bus EWT, and given that alternative measures of bus service reliability are available, it is recommended that the mandatory target be supplemented with a local target based on scheduled bus route run times. A1.2 To aid this process, TfL is able to provide bus route run times (minimums, maximums and averages) and standard deviations between any two userdefined bus stops on a given route / section. This data is derived from the iBus system, and will enable boroughs to set more localised targets for specific corridors (or sections of corridors) based on current conditions and proposed actions. The data can be provided on an annualised basis. A1.3 It is recommended that boroughs identify up to four corridors per year for the period of 2011/12 to 2013/14, based on the following factors: • Bus frequencies • Where there are known traffic delays, typically such locations are often found on the approaches to the main town and local centres 4 A1.4 Boroughs can then select start and end bus stops and a representative bus route on that corridor for which you require the iBus information on scheduled bus route run times (minimums, maximums and averages) and standard deviations. It is anticipated that data would be required for a maximum of four bus routes per borough for each year under consideration. 4 Note that bus operator hot-spot locational information can also be provided if required SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 14 Appendix B - Anticipated MTS outcomes Goals Challenges Economic development and population growth Supporting population and employment growth Delivering an efficient and effective transport system for people and goods Quality of life Enhancing the built and natural environment Improving health impacts Safety and security Improving road safety Climate change Reducing CO2 emissions Olympic legacy Developing and implementing a viable and sustainable legacy for the 2012 Games Expected outcomes of the strategy on 2031 Public transport, walking and cycling mode share increases by 6% to 63% Bus reliability expected to be maintained especially if measures such as road user charging are implemented Increased number of pedestrians and ease of movement of pedestrians anticipated in town centres Cycling to increase by 400% from 2000. Increased walking Anticipated fall in the number of Londoners and visitors killed or seriously injured on London’s road networks by 2031 Anticipated reduction in ground-based transport CO2 emissions in London of more than 3m tonnes per year by 2025 Increased mode share of walking and cycling within five Olympic host boroughs SETTING TARGETS FOR SECOND ROUND LIPS – FINAL v1.1 Base year 2006 2006 2010 2000 2010 2010 2010 2010 15