Answer Sheet Land Use Impact on Water Quality Part 1 1. Describe the spatial patterns of measured phosphorous in 1991. Is there a pattern by State/ Province? By size of the tributary? • Larger tributaries have higher raw phosphorous • There is more phosphorous in Vermont and Quebec than in New york 2. How is the spatial pattern of 1991 phosphorous levels different when we divide by area? Why is it important to consider the area of a tributary when we are looking at phosphorous measures? • Particular tributaries stand out: Rock, Pike, Mill, Stevens, Indian Brook, LaPlatte, Mettawee, and low levels in New York stand out even more • Larger drainage areas causing higher phosphorous is a given and we want to factor that out to find out what has high phosphorous per given area. 3. Why might a Resource Manager want to see data normalized by area or not normalized by area? • Tell different stories- highest contributing tributaries versus highest contributing per hectare. • Raw tributary data may correspond better to phosphorous levels in parts of the lake, but normalized data more important for policy considerations. 4. Which tributaries have stayed consistently high in phosphorous measures across the years? Which have stayed consistently low? (Hint: use the identify tool to get the names of those tributaries and compare the data.) • Pike, Missisquoi, Mettawee- consistently high • Saranac, Salmon, Ausable- consistently low 5. For the 1991 phosphorous measures data choose equal interval as the classification method. Move your class number up to 30 or higher. Which tributary becomes highlighted? • Rock 6. Now change the method to quantile and the number of classes to 4. This breaks up the data so that there are an equal number of tributaries of each color. This way we can easily see the top 25% percent and the bottom 25%. Where are the lowest phosphorous values grouped? Why is it important to know the top 25% and bottom 25%? • New York -Adirondack Park area • Answers will vary for why important- for policy, for analysis, etc. 7. Now choose standard deviation as the classification method. You can change the colors on the color ramp to a color scheme which makes sense to you. This classification method applies the data to a bell curve, and highlights the outliers that are far away from the average phosphorous measure. Which color schemes best highlight these outliers? • Answers will vary- something which goes from a dark/ saturated color through a neutral, to another dark/ saturated color. 8. Which classification scheme do you find most useful for visualizing the 1991 phosphorous data and why? • Answers will vary- why is important for explanation of what pattern they want to show 9. How might a resource manager portray the data? How might a policy maker portray the data and why? • Answers will vary- look for understanding how different data displays suggest different interpretations. Part 2 10. What areas in the watershed have a higher percentage of forest? What areas stand out as having a high percentage of agriculture? • New York has higher forest • Agriculture high in northern tributaries and Addison County 11. What patterns do you notice between the land use and the phosphorous levels? Are there tributaries which don’t follow this pattern well? Where are they? • High and Midphosphorous loads come from high percent agriculture and percent urban • Lower phosphorous loads come from heavily forested areas • Answers will vary for tributaries that don’t follow pattern depending on data display, but may include Bouquet, East, Mississquoi, Lamoille, Winooski 12. Why are phosphorous estimates useful? Who might use these estimates? • Help estimate phosphorous loading in different geographies- like by town • Help correlate with land use • Resource Managers, Policy Makers, Scientists, etc. 13. Describe the pattern between the 1992 Land Use and 1992 Phosphorous estimates. • High agriculture/ urban produced high phosphorous estimate • High forest produces low phosphorous estimate 14. What type of phosphorous loading comes from areas with a large increase in urban land and decrease in agricultural land? Where are these areas? • Moderate/ average phosphorous load. Specifically in Otter, Winooski, Lamoille • Mississquoi is the exception. • (This data on land use change was actually prepared to better estimate phosphorous loading from agricultural sources- and demonstrate urban land use has a higher impact on phosphorous loading than previously thought). Part 3 15. What is the predominant type of land use for towns significantly below the average phosphorous load per hectare? • Forest 16. Where are towns below average clustered? • New York- Adirondack Park, as well as other clusters on Vermont and Quebec on edge of watershed 17. Describe each of the areas with significantly high phosphorous loading. What general area or towns have high phosphorous loading? What is the predominant land type contributing to the phosphorous loading in each of these areas? • In Rock Area- high agriculture • Northern Vermont- moderately high agriculture • Greater Burlington- high urban • Ferrisburgh/ Vergennes- high agriculture • Granville? – high forest (possible data error?) • Queensbury/ Glens Falls- high urban • Plattsburgh- moderately high urban, moderately high agriculture 18. What types of land use may be contributing to phosphorous loading in your area? • Answers dependent on location