The Theory of Alternative Stable States in Shallow Lake Ecosystems Dr Adrian E. Williams APEM Ltd, Enterprise House, Manchester Science Park, Lloyd Street North, Manchester, M15 6SE, UK. E-mail: ae.williams@virgin.net Overview The idea of alternative stable states was first proposed in the late 1960’s (1) and within ecological communities was described mathematically in the 1970’s (2, 3). The contemporary view of shallow lakes is that two alternative stable states can exist over a range of nutrient concentrations: a clear water state dominated by submerged macrophytes and a turbid phytoplankton-dominated state (4, 5, 6, 7, 8). Unique states maybe found at either end of the nutrient continuum but over a wide range of nutrient concentrations (<50 to several thousand µg l-1 TP) either of these two states can exist, stabilised by a number of buffer mechanisms (5, 6, 9, 10, 11). A ‘ball and cup’ diagram is a simple way to visualise this idea (Fig. 1). The position of the ecological system (the ball) can change between the two states and settles at the bottom of the cup (stable equilibrium). The slope of the cup determines both the speed and direction of the system change to a stable state. At either low or high nutrient levels one of the two stable states exists – the ball can only be in one location due to the slope of the horizon. However between these points the system can rest in either cup (state). The ease with which one stable state can be switched to the other is indicated by the position of the two balls with respect to one another and the slopes that separate them. Therefore if the starting position is a pristine, low nutrient (oligotrophic), macrophyte dominated, clear water lake, the nutrient levels can rise substantially before the only possible scenario is a turbid algal dominated lake. However to reverse the situation takes more than just reducing the nutrients as the ball can remain in the turbid state even at relatively low nutrient levels. To switch the state prematurely requires that a force be applied to the ball to push it over the edge of the algal cup and into the macrophyte state. 1 Fig. 1 ‘Ball and cup’ schematic of the potential for two stable states (clear water macrophyte dominated versus turbid algal dominated) to exist within a shallow lake under a wide range of nutrient conditions Therefore each stable state has a number of buffer systems that help maintain that state and through top-down and bottom-up processes fish, plankton, invertebrates, macrophytes and nutrients are all entwined in reciprocal feedback mechanisms that not only determine the state that is present (12, 13) but can also be manipulated to force a shift. Macrophyte buffer mechanisms that help maintain and stabilise a clear water state in shallow lake systems are numerous (4, 14, 15, 16). Macrophytes act as habitats and refugia for macro-invertebrates and cladocerans that reduce the epiphyton and 2 phytoplankton communities by grazing (6, 17). Davis (18) suggested that the plant bed environment, often de-oxygenated, favours grazers by discouraging their predators. Macrophytes may also release allelopathic chemicals (19), partake in the “luxury uptake” of nutrients, removing available nutrients for phytoplankton (20, 21, 22) and reduce available nitrate by anaerobic decomposition processes such as denitrification (23). Moreover certain species of macrophytes have been shown to oxidise the sediment and reduce the release of phosphorus. With less available phosphorus in the water column phytoplankton populations are reduced (24, 25). In addition stands of macrophytes reduce water movement within them. In consequence suspended sediment re-settles and turbidity falls, aiding the growth of macrophytes (26). Moss (10) suggests that even if light penetration is falling, submerged macrophytes may switch from low growing forms to taller species and that plants heavily encrusted with epiphyton may be able to shed their leaves and produce new growth. These processes competitively disadvantage phytoplankton and can buffer the macrophyte-dominated state. Once established on the other hand phytoplankton can buffer the switch back to a macrophyte state by growing much earlier in the season than macrophytes in temperate regions. In doing so they can curtail the development of turions, rhizomes or seeds by shading in spring or reduce the formation of propagules by shading and competition for CO2 in late summer (10). Submerged plants require carbon for growth but algae have shorter CO2 and HCO3 diffusion pathways owing to their small size thus removing the carbon available to the bulkier macrophytes (27). Some researchers have suggested that certain blue-green algae may even release chemicals toxic to macrophytes (28). In addition, phytoplankton-dominated open water has few refugia for grazing Cladocera, thus any Cladocera venturing forth are typically removed by zooplanktivorous fish. This may be compounded by the fact that, with reduced macrophytes, few large macro-invertebrates would be available to large fish, favouring smaller-sized fish feeding largely on zooplankton (6). Finally, in poorly flushed systems, phytoplankton species can consist of large filamentous or colonial blue-green algal species that are inedible to zooplankton. This and the above mechanisms all help to maintain phytoplankton-dominated water states over a wide range of nutrient concentrations. 3 By understanding the mechanisms that buffer and thus maintain the alternate stable states it is possible to attempt to force a shift or switch from one state to another by manipulating top-down and bottom-up processes. Such attempts are often made during lake restoration projects when there is a desire to shift an algal dominated turbid lake into a clear water macrophyte dominated state. However, the long-term success of lake restoration projects, though they use knowledge of top-down and bottom-up processes, is not guaranteed and unexpected results are common (29, 30, 31). The uncertainty that surrounds these outcomes often stems from a lack of understanding about the buffer systems that stabilise the alternative states within the specific lake under restoration and an over simplification of the top-down and bottom-up processes involved (13). 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