DRAFT REPORT 060713 Regional Economic Impact of the College of Liberal Arts Wright State University (WSU) is located in Southwest Ohio in the Miami Valley. WSU was founded in 1964 as a branch of Miami University and The Ohio State University, and became an independent institution in 1967. The University is composed of two campuses (Dayton, OH and Celina, OH) and serves nearly 17,000 students annually.1 WSU offers degrees through six academic colleges: Raj Soin College of Business; College of Education and Human Services; College of Engineering and Computer Science; College of Liberal Arts; College of Math and Science; and the College of Nursing and Health. WSU also has the Boonshoft School of Medicine, but its enrollment and other Institutional Research data are not included in this report. This study will assess the economic impact of the University’s largest academic college – the College of Liberal Arts (CoLA). The College of Liberal Arts has consistently housed the most students of any of the academic colleges over the last five years. The total headcounts provided in Figure 1 account for all of the students accepted into the respective colleges, as well as the students who are intending to study within that specific college.2 Figure 1: WSU Enrollment by College 5,000 College of Business 4,000 Education & Human Services 3,000 Engineering & Computer Science 2,000 College of Liberal Arts 1,000 Science and Math 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Nursing & Health Developed by the Center for Urban and Public Affairs (CUPA), this report quantifies the economic impact of CoLA within the local community. The College of Liberal Arts contributes to the economy of the region through spending on its operations, spending by faculty and staff, spending by students, and the spending by visitors. CUPA used IMPLAN, a tool for economic impact assessment to estimate the direct, indirect, and induced impacts of the CoLA operations on the sixteen-county Raider 1 Office of Institutional Research. Wright State University Fact Sheet, Fall 2012, http://webapp2.wright.edu/web1/newsroom/for-the-media/factsheets/ 2 The Office of Budget and Planning & Resource Analysis. Wright State University Academic Data Series 2011-2012 Edition. 1 DRAFT REPORT 060713 Country3 regional economy. CoLA operations, faculty and staff employment, student spending4, and hospitality impacts on the regional economy are estimated to generate a total of $56.7 million in sales, 622.1 permanent jobs, and $32.6 million in labor income. Refer to Table 1. For more specifics, see Appendix A. Table 1: COLA Operational Impact – Total Estimated Economic Impacts on the 16County Raider Country Regional Economy, 2013 Direct Effect Impact Type Employment Labor Income Value Added Output (Sales) Indirect Effect (COLA operations & employment, visitor & student spending) (Changes to other industries due to COLA operations & employment, and visitor & student spending) 415.3 $24,905,322.03 $26,933,454.78 $31,898,922.72 24.6 $ 1,053,438.70 $ 1,939,688.65 $ 3,692,564.96 CoLA Operations Effect The College of Liberal Arts contains the most majors of any of Wright State’s academic colleges. Enrollment in CoLA has been relatively stable, averaging 3,420 students per year (see Figure 2). Over the last five years, CoLA has experienced a 5 percent increase in enrollment overall going from 3,126 students in 2007 to 3,283 students in 2012, and including a 12 percent increase from 2007 to 2010 and an 11 percent decrease from 2010 to 2012. Induced Effect (Household spending) Total Effect 182.3 $ 6,592,134.26 $ 11,857,014.67 $ 21,074,606.61 622.1 $ 32,550,895.99 $ 40,730,159.10 $ 56,666,095.29 Figure 2: CoLA Enrollment 5,000 4,000 3,510 3,126 3,184 2007 2008 3,728 3,690 3,283 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 A breakdown of enrollment data is provided in Table 2 along with data on degrees awarded. On average, CoLA awards 732 degrees annually. From 2007 to 2012 there is a 36 percent increase in degrees awarded. This jump in 2012 can be explained by Wright State’s conversion to semesters beginning after Spring Quarter of 2012. Excluding the year 2012, there was a 3 percent increase in degrees awarded from 2007 to 2011. These numbers reflect both Main and Lake Campus figures. 3 Allen, Auglaize, Butler, Champaign, Clark, Clinton, Darke, Greene, Logan, Mercer, Miami, Montgomery, Preble, Shelby, Van Wert, and Warren Counties in Ohio. 4 Margins applied. 2 DRAFT REPORT 060713 Table 2: Enrollment & Degrees Awarded Year CoLA Enrollment Total Degrees Awarded 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 3,126 3,184 3,510 3,728 3,690 3,283 689 682 713 657 709 940 The educational services are funded through several revenue sources. Each of CoLA’s sixteen different academic departments brings in fee, subsidy, and miscellaneous revenue. The bulk of CoLA’s revenues come from student payments for tuition. In addition to the revenue brought in by the individual departments, CoLA administrative offices bring in revenue from the Dean’s Office, research, public service, academic support, scholarships, and student services - these revenues fall mostly under the subsidy and miscellaneous designations.5 (See Figure 3 and Table 3.) Figure 3: CoLA Revenue Fee Revenue Subsidy Revenue Misc Revenue 4% Table 3: CoLA Revenue Fee $44,913,476 Subsidy $13,825,923 Misc. $2,325,949 TOTAL $61,065,348 23% 73% Table 4 summarizes CoLA’s operating expenditures for fiscal year 2011-12. It should be noted that Research and Student Services are included in the operating expenditures, but relative to the other expenditure categories, these do not register as being significant when depicted in Figure 4. 5 The Office of Budget and Planning & Resource Analysis. Wright State University Academic Data Series 2011-2012 Edition. 3 DRAFT REPORT 060713 Table 4: Operating Expenditures 2011-12 Wages/Benefits $22,946,413 Dean’s Office Instruction $140,733 Research $9,886 Public Service $1,140,088 Academic Support $1,627,659 Scholarships/Fellowships $636,164 Student Services $33,370 TOTAL $26,534,313 Dean's Office Instruction 1% Figure 4: CoLA Expenditures Research 0% Public Service 4% Wages/Benefits 87% Other 13% Academic Support 6% Scholarships/ Fellowships 2% Student Services 0% Almost 90 percent of the CoLA’s operating expenses for fiscal year 2011-12 were devoted to employee compensation and benefits. The remaining expenditures, including: academic support, public service, scholarships/fellowships, Dean’s Office instruction, student services, and research, made up $3,587,900. 4 DRAFT REPORT 060713 Faculty and Staff Spending WSU employed 2,388 faculty and staff in 2011-12. Of the 2,388 faculty and staff, 331 worked in CoLA, approximately 14 percent. When analyzing faculty alone, CoLA employs 283 of the University’s 891 full-time faculty positions, roughly 32 percent (see Figure 5).6 Based on the wages/benefits listed above for CoLA Expenditures, it can be estimated that the average salary of a full time CoLA faculty or staff member is approximately $69,325. Figure 5: Faculty CoLA TOTAL Faculty and staff spend a large part of their salaries in the local community, providing an indirect stimulus to the local economy. This of course is dependent on the propensity of faculty and staff to consume local goods and services. WSU TOTAL 32% Faculty and staff also pay state and local taxes (income, sales, and property) which support government services and contribute to the state and local economies. Locally, faculty and staff salaries contribute an estimated $344,199 annually to the City of Fairborn. Figure 6: Student Population CoLA TOTAL WSU TOTAL 20% Student Spending Effect The primary function of the University is to provide educational services to students, so the spending of WSU students is an important factor in analyzing CoLA’s economic impact. Wright State University enrolls nearly 17,000 students annually. On average, 3,420 students are enrolled or intend to enroll in CoLA majors. CoLA students make up approximately 20 percent of WSU’s population (see Figure 6). Within CoLA, there are degree programs for both undergraduate and graduate students. Graduate students make up approximately 11 percent of the CoLA student body.7 Tuition fees are the primary incoming revenue 6 The Office of Budget and Planning & Resource Analysis. Wright State University Academic Data Series 2011-2012 Edition. 7 Office of Institutional Research. Student Fact Book: Fall 2012 – Semesters. Ed 36. 5 DRAFT REPORT 060713 source for CoLA. The tuition rates for undergraduate and graduate students are replicated below from the WSU Office of the Bursar (see Table 5). It should be noted that not all of the tuition paid by students goes to their respective colleges; tuition is also dispersed to fund administrative costs and programs in various WSU departments. Table 5: Student Expenses Tuition & Fees Room & Board (On-Campus Housing) Personal Expenses TOTAL UNDERGRADUATE In-State Out-State $8,354.00 $16,182.00 GRADUATE In-State Out-State $12,240.00 $20,792.00 $8,614.50 $8,614.50 $8,614.50 $8,614.50 $1,350.00 $18,318.50 $1,350.00 $26,146.50 $1,350.00 $22,204.50 $1,350.00 $37,56.50 The expenses listed are estimates that include the cost of books and supplies at the rate of $675 per semester.8 Rates for room and board reflect the average cost of oncampus housing. It is important to note that of WSU’s total student population, less than 3,000 live in on-campus housing, around 14 percent (see Figure 7). While a small percentage of students live on-campus, it is common for WSU students to live within walking-distance of campus in apartment-style housing located on Zink Road. The Office of Residence Services estimates that there are nearly 4,000 beds within walking-distance of campus. The number of private apartment beds expands to an estimated 9,000 when the radius increases to a fifteen minute drive from campus. Even though Wright State has a reputation of being a “commuter school,” 66 percent of the students live within a fifteen-minute drive, within walking distance, or on campus. 8 Office of the Bursar, http://www.wright.edu/bursar/tuition-fees 6 Figure 7: Student Residence Estimates On Campus Walking Distance Within 15 Minute Drive Other 29% 23% 34% 14% DRAFT REPORT 060713 Nearly 75 percent of all WSU students live within what is referred to as “Raider Country” as shown in Figure 8.9 Raider Country is a sixteen-county region, anchored by the Lake Campus in the North and the Dayton Campus in the South.10 While the Raider Country region is within relatively close proximity to the University, students from the northern counties coming to the main Dayton Campus may face up to a two-hour drive. These students are more likely to live-on campus or in nearby housing complexes rather than commute. Figure 8: Student Origin Raider Country Figure 9: "Raider Country" Enrollment by County Other Ohio Counties 4,885 Non-Ohio 17% 2,679 9% Figure 9 provides data on the enrollment of all WSU students from Raider Country and contains a breakdown by county. Montgomery County is the primary supplier of WSU students, at 39 percent, followed by Greene County, at 22 percent. Visitor Spending Effect The majority of prospective students to WSU visit campus for a tour or to meet with advisors in the Admissions Office. It is estimated that 125,000 visitors come to campus each year to attend open-houses and campus tours.11 Based on data from the Office of Institutional Research, an average of 502 incoming freshman are directly admitted or plan on being admitted into CoLA majors. This translates into approximately 18 percent of the total incoming freshman class. Since 18 percent of incoming freshman students 9 Office of Institutional Research. Wright State University Fact Sheet, Fall 2012 Wright State University. This is Raider Country, http://www.wright.edu/raidercountry/ (2013) 11 Estimate given by the Office of Enrollment Management. 10 7 Warren Van Wert Montgomery Miami Mercer Logan Shelby 124 229 93 81 Greene Darke Clinton 734 595 694 132 258 Preble 868 Clark Champaign Butler Auglaize 418 152 118 324 Allen 74% DRAFT REPORT 060713 are attracted to CoLA programs, it can be estimated that CoLA brings 22,500 visitors to the campus every year for open-houses and tours. Additionally, CoLA brings in over a thousand visitors each year through events such as the Arts Gala, musical theater performances and concerts, and special programming sponsored by the Women’s Center, Bolinga Center, and Asian/Hispanic/Native American Center. It is difficult to assess the economic impact of these events, as many of the attendees are already WSU students, faculty or staff, or local residents. However, it is important to note the social impact of such programming, as it adds to the quality of life in the Greater Dayton region. 8 DRAFT REPORT 060713 Appendix A: Regional IMPLAN Tables Regional Output Tables COLA Operations Operations, 2013 Impact Type Employment Labor Income Direct Effect 331.0 $22,946,268 Indirect Effect 17.2 $730,587 Induced Effect 167.2 $6,007,435 Total Effect 515.5 $29,684,290 Output $26,534,312 $2,692,482 $19,343,136 $48,569,930 On-Campus Residential Student Spending On-Campus Residential Student Spending, 2013 Impact Type Employment Labor Income Output Direct Effect 11.6 $310,302 $566,948 Indirect Effect 0.5 $24,297 $70,964 Induced Effect 2.2 $85,556 $253,309 Total Effect 14.3 $420,156 $891,222 Off-Campus Residential Student Spending Off-Campus (Out-of-Region) Residential Student Spending, 2013 Impact Type Employment Labor Income Output Direct Effect 40.4 $923,708.03 $3,006,052.72 Indirect Effect 3.7 $157,004.16 $505,527.97 Induced Effect 7.1 $277,156.07 $820,807.66 Total Effect 51.3 $1,357,868.26 $4,332,388.34 Visitor Spending Visitor Spending, 2013 Impact Type Employment Labor Income Output Direct Effect 32.3 $725,044 $1,791,610 Indirect Effect 3.1 $141,551 $423,591 Induced Effect 5.7 $221,987 $657,354 Total Effect 41.1 $1,088,582 $2,872,555 9 DRAFT REPORT 060713 Appendix B: Methodology The economic contribution of the College of Liberal Arts was calculated using an inputoutput model. Input-output models follow the flow of dollars throughout a local economy and can estimate the indirect and induced impacts on economic activity. This study utilizes the Impact Analysis for Planning (IMPLAN) economic modeling software and 2009 IMPLAN (Social Accounting Matrices (SAMs)) data sets for Allen, Auglaize, Butler, Champaign, Clark, Clinton, Darke, Greene, Logan, Mercer, Miami, Montgomery, Preble, Shelby, Van Wert, and Warren Counties in Ohio by the Minnesota IMPLAN Group Inc. (MIG), of Stillwater, Minnesota. The IMPLAN software is customizable for impact analyses; it can measure output and employment impacts on a county-by-county basis. The Social Accounts Matrices describe the structure and function of a specific economy, so that IMPLAN can create a highly localized model to investigate the consequences of projected economic transactions of a specific geographic region. Wright State University provided information on 2011-2012 expenditures, student enrollment, and the estimated number of visitors necessary to generate the model, which examines employment and output data, discussed in this report. IMPLAN makes certain assumptions about organizations within a region. These assumptions include: • • • An organization will purchase its goods locally based on BEA averages, if the goods are available in a sector The amount of locally purchased goods can be edited if the amount is known If a region has goods available, there will be enough goods to meet increased demand When a region is used, instead of a single area, results may differ due to: Average pay within the area Average output per employee Trade flow differences between areas The model is a snapshot of organizational activities, it cannot predict trends Events can take place in different years • Deflators are used to put the events occurring in future or past years in current dollars IMPLAN uses its own industry sector codes Some sector codes have been added and combined for the 2008 data All employees will come from the region being analyzed The IMPLAN software generates the model or multipliers that analysts use to report the total impact an industry, project, or one-time event may have on the local economy. All 10 DRAFT REPORT 060713 businesses and events have “direct,” “indirect,” and “induced” impacts on the local economy. IMPLAN modeling software uses Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) statistics to build multipliers by economic sector and to identify the direct, indirect, and induced impact economic actions have on the study area. • • • Direct effects refer to the actual jobs and income created in the local economy from businesses that can come about by investments and any purchase of goods and services needed for the initial investment (in this case, the construction of the facility). The direct effect is measured by output, the value of production by industry; employment, the number of employees; labor income, the sum of employee compensation and proprietor income; and total value added, the payments made by a company to workers, interest, profits and indirect business taxes . Indirect effects are measured by output, which are the goods and services used in the operation of the company in the direct effect; employment, the number of employees needed to produce the goods or services being purchased by the company making the initial investment; labor income, the sum of employee compensation and proprietor income; and total value added, the payments made by a company to workers, interest, profits and indirect business taxes. Induced effects are changes or impacts generated in the local economy by the increased sales of goods and services in the local economy from spending by employees (households) due to the changes in direct and indirect production. The total impact on the local economy by each industrial sector can be calculated through an economic model known as a “multiplier.” The multiplier expresses the number of additional jobs or amount of additional income created by each new job or each dollar earned. For example, every dollar spent on COLA operations will generate additional dollars in other sectors of the local economy. Another way of expressing these impacts is that every dollar the construction manager uses to purchase building materials for the job site from a local supplier generates income for the local proprietor. The local proprietor saves or invests some of the revenue and purchases additional goods or services from another local vendor with the remainder of the funds, which becomes income for a third establishment and this activity continues to ripple through the local economy. Another way to look at multipliers is the impact economic activities have on the workforce. For example, if the CoLA operations maintain laborers in the local economy, which creates an additional 30 local jobs to support operational activities, the multiplier would be 1.3. For each new job generated in the local economy, an additional 0.3 jobs (1 + 0.3 = 1.3) would be created in existing industries in the local economy. 11 DRAFT REPORT 060713 IMPLAN only provides modeling capability to estimate the impacts of employment and payroll for state & local government, education. It was assumed that the operations of a public university more closely resembles the daily operations of private university than a governmental entity or local school district (Sector 438), CUPA customized Sector 392 (Private junior colleges, colleges, and universities) and replaced the private sector value added, employment, and output with the CoLA data provided by the University for this study. Estimating the economic impact of the College of Liberal Arts requires the following information12: (1) CoLA operational expenditures and employment, (2) the profile of the College and its student body since 1982, and (3) data on visitor spending in the Dayton region. It is important to note that student wages were not included in the analysis and student and visitor spending is based on estimates of COLA’s share of the University’s reported number of total visitors and on-13 and off-14 campus residential students. 12 Data on the CoLA profile and student body was obtained from the WSU Office of Institutional Research. Information on visitors was also obtained from the WSU Office of Admissions. 13 On-campus residential student expenses: Estimated student class related-expenses provided by Dan Bertsos, Wright State University Residential Services - $1,350/semester Personal discretionary spending estimates – $361/month (entertainment, personal care products, technology, etc.). Source: Harris Interactive, Alloy Media + Marketing College Explorer Survey, July 2010. 14 Off-campus residential student expenses: Estimated student class related-expenses provided by Dan Bertsos, Wright State University Residential Services - $1,350/semester Personal discretionary spending estimates – $361/month (entertainment, personal care products, technology, etc.). Source: Harris Interactive, Alloy Media + Marketing College Explorer Survey, July 2010. Grocery spending estimates – USDA, U.S. Average at Four Cost Levels, January 2013 – Thrifty Plan ($163.40/month). Median contract rent estimates – United States Census, 2011 American Community Survey, median contract rent (zip code 45324) - $661. 12