Risa S. Proehl, Research Associate Population Research Center

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Risa S. Proehl, Research Associate
Population Research Center
College of Public and Urban Affairs
Portland State University
P.O. Box 751- PRC
Portland, Oregon 97207-0751
503-725-5103
proehlr@pdx.edu
Revised April 2016
Education

B.A. in Geography, San Diego State University, 1985

Graduate Certificate in Applied Demography, College of Urban and Public
Affairs, Portland State University, 1999
Professional Experience
Oregon Population Forecast Program Manager, Population Research Center,
College of Urban and Public Affairs, Portland State University, Portland, Oregon
(July 2015 to present)

Lead the production of Oregon’s official coordinated city/county population
forecasts

Engage community partners in the forecast process
Population Estimates Program Manager, Population Research Center, College of
Urban and Public Affairs, Portland State University, Portland, Oregon (July 2006 to
present)
 Production of Oregon’s official annual population estimates

Participation as Oregon’s representative in the Federal-State Cooperative for
Population Estimates with the U.S. Census Bureau

Development and management of commissioned research projects, including
preparation of research proposals and budgets
Demographic Analysis Coordinator, Population Research Center, College of Urban
and Public Affairs, Portland State University, Portland, Oregon (July 2000 to June
2006)
 Project coordination

Research design

Data needs assessment

Demographic analysis

Preparation of final reports/data products and technical documentation
Research Assistant, Population Research Center, College of Urban and Public
Affairs, Portland State University (July 1998 to June 2000)

Project database development

Data analysis

Assist with report writing
Reports and Projects

Coordinated Population Forecasts for Oregon Cities and Counties, Population
Research Center. Principal investigator (with Xiaomin Ruan, Janai Kessi,
Kevin Rancik, Jason Jurjevich, David Tetrick and Julia Michel). 2015present.

Annual Population Estimates for Metropolitan Planning Organizations in
Oregon, Oregon Department of Transportation. Principal investigator (with
Janai Kessi). Yearly 2015-present.

Annual Population Estimates for Urbanized Areas in Oregon, Oregon
Department of Transportation. Principal investigator (with Janai Kessi and
Kevin Rancik). Yearly 2014-present.

Annual Oregon Population Estimates and Report, Population Research Center.
Principal investigator. Yearly 2006-present.

Annual Review of Subnational population and housing unit estimates, U.S.
Census Bureau. Participant and reviewer for Oregon. Yearly 2006-present.

“Road to 4 Million” (tracing Oregon’s population growth from statehood in
1859 to reaching four million in 2015). Co-principal investigator with Charles
Rynerson (with Sheila Martin and Belinda Judelman). 2015.

Tracking Former Head Start Students and Assessing Absenteeism, Mt. Hood
Community College Head Start. Principal investigator (with Janai Kessi).
2015.

Community Assessment Report, Mt. Hood Community College Head Start.
Principal investigator (with Janai Kessi). 2015.

Estimates and Projections of Population Sub-groups, Multnomah County
Aging and Disability Services. Principal investigator (with Vivian Siu and
Kevin Rancik). 2014.

Coordinated Population Forecasts for Oregon Cities and Counties, Population
Research Center. Consultant (with Xiaomin Ruan, Janai Kessi, Kevin Rancik,
Jason Jurjevich, Carson Gorecki and David Tetrick). 2013-2015.

Community Needs Assessment, Portland Youthbuilders. Principal
investigator. 2013.

Correlation and Comparative Analysis of Service Area Population and
Program Funding of Providers Participating in the 5311 Program for Rural
and Small Urban Areas, Oregon Department of Transportation. Principal
investigator (with Kevin Rancik). 2012.

“Population Forecasts for Yamhill County, its Cities and Unincorporated
Areas 2011-2035”. Principal investigator (with Vivian Siu and Kevin Rancik).
2012.

Standardizing Service Area Definitions and Determining Populations in Nonurbanized Public Transit Service Areas of 5311 Program Participants for
Oregon Department of Transportation. Principal investigator (with Kevin
Rancik). 2010-2012.

“Population Forecasts for the Tri-City Service District, Clackamas County
Service District #1, Clackamas County Service District #1 with All Damascus,
and the City of Milwaukie 2010-2040” for Clackamas County. Principal
investigator (with Kanhaiya Vaidaya, Bimal Rajbhandary, and Kevin Rancik).
2011.

District and Sub-area 2011 Population Estimates, Tualatin Valley Water
District. Principal investigator (with Bimal RajBhandary). 2011.

Development of Community Indicators for Earl Boyles Elementary School
Catchment Area Phase 1, Early Learning Development Project (partnership
with Children’s Institute and a multi-departmental collaborative of PSU
researchers, led by Beth Green, under the support of Cradle to Career project
funding, with Children’s Institute of Portland). 2011.

Annual Population Estimates by Age, Race/Hispanic Origin and Sex for
Census Tracts, Multnomah County Health Department. Principal investigator
(with Kanhaiya Vaidya and Bimal Bajrahndary). Yearly 2006-2011.

Forecasts of Membership and Population in the Portland Metropolitan Threecounty Area for Multnomah Athletic Club (with D.R.Lycan and Jason
Jurjevich). 2011.

District and Sub-area 2010 Population Estimates, Tualatin Valley Water
District. Principal investigator (with Vivian Siu). 2010.

Group Quarters Review, Census 2010 Count Review Program, U.S. Census
Bureau. Participant. 2010.

Housing Unit Review, Census 2010 Count Review Program, U.S. Census
Bureau. Participant. 2010.

District and Sub-area 2009 Population Estimates, Tualatin Valley Water
District. Principal investigator (with Webb Sprague). 2009.

Community Assessment of Metro’s First Opportunity Target Area, Cabbel
Group. Principal investigator. 2009.

Community Needs Assessment, Portland YouthBuilders. Principal
investigator. 2009.

Community Assessment, Mt. Hood Community College Head Start and Early
Head Start. Principal investigator. 2009.

Twenty-year Coordinated Population Forecasts, Lane County. Principal
investigator (with George Hough, Danan Gu, and Ken Radin). 2009.

Estimates and Forecasts of Population and Poverty for Ages 0-5, Oregon
Department of Education. Principal investigator (with Danan Gu). 2009.

Housing Study for Metro Regional Government (with Sheila Martin, George
Hough, Jr., and Gerry Mildner). 2008.

Twenty-year Coordinated Population Forecasts, Marion County. Principal
investigator (with Charles Rynerson and Ken Radin). 2008.

Migrant-Seasonal Head Start Community Assessment Update, Oregon Child
Development Coalition. Principal investigator (with Oliver Smith and Moriah
McGrath). 2008.

Third Addendum to Community Assessment Report, Portland Public Schools
Head Start. Principal investigator (with Joseph Smith-Buani). 2008.

Portland River District Planning Area/Old Town/Chinatown Population and
Housing Estimates, Zimmerman Community Center and Central City
Concern. Principal investigator. 2008.

Second Addendum to Community Assessment Report, Portland Public
Schools Head Start. Principal investigator (with Oliver Smith). 2007.

Population Estimates by Age and Disability Status, Multnomah County Office
of Aging and Disability. Co-principal investigator with Arlene Wallace. 2006.

Enrollment Forecast, Lake Oswego School District. Principal investigator
(with Vicky Buelow). 2006.

School Census, Forest Park Elementary School Attendance Area, Portland
Public Schools. Lead (with Arlene Wallace). 2006.

Twenty-year Enrollment Forecast, Portland Public Schools. Co-Principal
investigator (with Charles Rynerson and Vicky Buelow). 2006.

Addendum to Community Assessment Report, Portland Public Schools Head
Start. Principal investigator (with Renee Ramey). 2006.

Program Evaluation, Boys and Girls Club of Portland, Part 2. Principal
investigator (with Barry Edmonston and Renee Ramey). 2006.

Community Assessment, Portland YouthBuilders. Principal investigator.
2006.

Enrollment Forecast, Klamath Falls City Schools. Principal investigator.
2005.

Enrollment Forecast/Feasibility Study for Horizon Christian School in Hood
River, Oregon, Donald J. Hoffman, The Crest Company. Principal
investigator. 2005.

Mapping Impediments to Fair Housing, City of Portland Bureau of Housing
and Community Development. Principal investigator. 2005.

Revising Bridge Worker Estimates and Projections, 2004-2012 for Group
AGB, LLC (sub-contractor on the OTIA III State Bridge Delivery Program to
Oregon Bridge Delivery Partners (OBDP) and Oregon Department of
Transportation). Principal investigator. 2005.

Identifying Geographic Areas with Potential Housing Segregation in Oregon,
Fair Housing Council of Oregon. Principal investigator (with Arlene
Wallace). 2005.

Twenty-year Enrollment Forecast, Portland Public Schools (with Barry
Edmonston, and Sonoko Endo). 2005.

Community Assessment, Portland YouthBuilders. Principal investigator.
2005.

Enrollment Forecast, Greater Albany Public Schools. Principal investigator
(with Sonoko Endo). 2005.

Program Evaluation, Boys and Girls Club of Portland, Part 1. Principal
investigator (with Barry Edmonston and Renee Ramey). 2005.

Community Assessment Reports for Portland Public Schools, Albina, Mt.
Hood Community College Head Start and Early Head Start of Portland.
Principal investigator (with Melissa Peterson and Renee Ramey). 2005.

Bridge Worker Projections from 2004 to 2012 for Group AGB, LLC (subcontractor on the OTIA III State Bridge Delivery Program to Oregon Bridge
Delivery Partners (OBDP) and Oregon Department of Transportation).
Principal investigator (with George Hough, Jr.). 2004.

Enrollment Forecast for Portland Public Schools (with Barry Edmonston,
Richard Lycan and Sonoko Endo). 2004.

Bridge Worker Estimates in 2004 for Group AGB, LLC (sub-contractor on the
OTIA III State Bridge Delivery Program to Oregon Bridge Delivery Partners
(OBDP) and Oregon Department of Transportation). Principal investigator
(with George Hough, Jr.). 2004.

“Addendum to the Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast 2004-2015”
(with D. Richard Lycan). 2004.

“Housing Market Area Analysis of the Clatskanie Area for Bert Mitchell
HSM Development, LLC”. Principal investigator (with Sonoko Endo). 2004.

Service Area definition and Community Assessement for Portland
Youthbuilders. Principal investigator (with George Hough, Jr.). 2004.

Multnomah County Poverty Research for the Commission of Children,
Families, and Community (with George Hough, Jr.). 2004.

“Enrollment Forecast for Lake Oswego School District 2003-2010”. Principal
investigator (with Sonoko Endo). 2004.

“Enrollment Forecast for Portland Public Schools 2004-2015” (with D.
Richard Lycan and Sonoko Endo). 2004.

Quality of Life Indices for San Diego County Alcohol and Drug Services
Agency, Phase 2 (with Irina Sharkova and Melissa Peterson). 2003.

“The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2003- to
2010” (with Barry Edmonston and D. Richard Lycan). 2003.

Addendum to Community Assessment Reports for Portland Public Schools
Head Start and Albina Head Start. Principal investigator (with Eve Pepos).
2003.

Farm Worker Housing Market Area Determination, Housing Development
Corporation. Principal investigator (with Arlene Wallace). 2003.

Submittal of Application to place the Population Research Center on the State
of Oregon Housing and Community Services list of Approved Housing
Market Analysts. Principal applicant. 2003.

Housing Study for Washington County Housing Services Department. Project
Manager (with Barry Edmonston, Eve Pepos, and Arlene Wallace). 2003.

Bi-State Regional Housing Partnership Housing Study. Project Manager (with
Barry Edmonston, D. Richard Lycan and Arlene Wallace with consultation
from George Hough, Jr.). 2003.

Small Area Enrollment Forecasts, Portland Public Schools. (with D. Richard
Lycan). 2003.

“Mt. Hood Community College Early Head Start Community Assessment”.
Project manager (with Eve Pepos). 2003.

Addendum to Community Assessment Reports for Portland Public Schools
and Mt. Hood Community College Head Start Programs, and Early Head Start
Family Center of Portland. Project Manager (with Eve Pepos). 2002.

“Enrollment Forecast for Portland Public Schools, 2002-2015” (with Barry
Edmonston and D. Richard Lycan). 2002.

Hypothetical boundary change study, Lake Oswego School District
(confidential). Principal investigator. 2002.

“Quality of Life Community Collaborative Demographic Profiles Technical
Documentation”. Co-author with Irina Sharkova. 2002.

“Lake Oswego School District Enrollment Forecast, 2002-2010” (with D.
Richard Lycan). 2002.

“Lake Oswego School District Enrollment Forecast, 2002-2003” (with D.
Richard Lycan). 2002.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast (with Barry Edmonston and D.
Richard Lycan). 2002.

“Housing Portland’s Families”, National Housing Conference (with Barry
Edmonston). 2001.

Community Assessment Reports for Head Start Programs of Multnomah
County (4). Project manager (with Barry Edmonston and Sarah Leffert).
2001.

“Housing Market Analysis for Independence Development, LLC”. Principal
Investigator. 2001.

“School Enrollment, GIS, and Census 2000”. Co-author with George Hough,
Jr. 2001.

“Lake Oswego School District Enrollment Forecast, 2001-2002, Lake Oswego
School District (with D. Richard Lycan). 2001.

“Lower Columbia College Enrollment Forecast, 2000-2015”. Lower
Columbia College (with Barry Edmonston). 2000.

“Serving Those in Need: Utilizing American Community Survey in Housing
and Community Development”. Co-author with Irina Sharkova. 2000.

“Changing Times, Changing Enrollments: How Recent Demographic Trends
Are Affecting Enrollments in Portland Public Schools” (with Barry
Edmonston and D. Richard Lycan). 2000.

“Eagle Point School District Long Term Enrollment Forecast, 2000-2015”,
Eagle Point School District (with Barry Edmonston). 1999.

“Affordable Housing Study for Link Community Development Corporation”
(with Irina Sharkova). 1999.

City of Bend Annexation Enumeration Project, City of Bend (with Barry
Edmonston) 1999.

“Lake Oswego Enrollment Forecast, 1999-2000”, Lake Oswego School
District (with D. Richard Lycan) 1999.

“Sample Market Area Analysis for Affordable Housing Developer
Applicants” (with Irina Sharkova). 1999.

“Oregon Community Housing Profiles”. Co-principal investigator (with Irina
V. Sharkova) 1999.

“Kelso School District Population and Enrollment Forecast, 2000 to 2015”
(with Irina Sharkova and Barry Edmonston) 1999.

“Hockinson School District 98 Enrollment Forecast, 1999 to 2015” (with Irina
Sharkova and Barry Edmonston). 1999.

“Enrollment Forecast for Beaverton School District” (with Irina Sharkova).
1998.

“Enrollment Forecast for Oregon Trail School District” (with Irina Sharkova).
1998.
Conference/Workshop/Presentations (selected)

“Preliminary Population Forecasts and Assumptions for Future Growth,
Region 2”, Local Governments and the Public (representing counties along
the Columbia River Gorge, and in Eastern Oregon). February-March 2016
(with Xiaomin Ruan).

“Oregon Population Forecast Program”. Oregon Modeling Steering
Committee. Salem, OR. October 2015 (with Xiaomin Ruan).

“Demographic Outlook in the Portland Metro Area”, Metro Economic
Advisory Committee. Portland, OR. December 2014.

“Population Estimates and Annexations”, Regional Boundary Annexation
Group Meeting, Metro Regional Government. Portland, OR. May 2014.

“Uses of Population Estimates in Cost Sharing Formulas”, Portland Bureau of
Emergency Communications User Board Meeting, Portland, OR. February
2014.

“Determining Population in Non-urbanized Public Transit Service Areas (of
5311 Program Participants)”. Public Transportation Advisory Committee
Meeting, Oregon Department of Transportation. Salem, OR. May 2012.

“Oregon’s Population Estimates, as Developed by the Population Research
Center – What, Why and How (and what’s going on in Lane County)”. Joint
Elected Officials Meeting, Lane County. Eugene, OR. May 2011.

“Oregon’s Population Estimates, as Developed by the Population Research
Center – What, Why and How (and what’s going on in Oregon)”. PA 516,
Public Administration, Hatfield School of Government, Portland State
University. April 2011.

Assessing ACS Data. American Community Survey Group Quarters Data
Users Workshop. Panelist. Committee on National Statistics, the National
Academies, Washington, DC. December 2010.

“Population Research Center’s Population Estimates Program.” Annual
Oregon Census State Data Center Meeting. Portland, OR. April 2008.

“Washington County and the Need for Community Housing Profiles”,
Comprehensive Plan Stakeholders Meeting, Hillsboro, OR. April 2004.

“Technical Development of San Diego Quality of Life Indicators.” San Diego
Regional Quality of Life Stakeholders Meeting, San Diego, CA. June 2002.

“School Enrollment, GIS, and Census 2000.” ESRI International User
Conference. San Diego, July 2001 (with George Hough, Jr.).

“Conducting an Affordable Housing Market Analysis.” Panelist. 2000 Oregon
Housing Conference sponsored by Oregon Housing and Community Services.
Portland, OR. June 2000.

“Serving Those in Need: Utilizing American Community Survey in Housing
and Community Development”. ESRI International User Conference. San
Diego, July 2000 (with Irina Sharkova).

“Washington County Community Housing Profiles”. Washington County
Housing and Community Services Development Meeting. Salem, OR. April
2000 (with Barry Edmonston).

“Oregon Community Housing Profiles”. Oregon Housing and Community
Services Development Meeting. Salem, OR. October 1999 (with Barry
Edmonston and Irina Sharkova).

“Portland Neighborhood Profiles Project.” Community project stakeholders
meeting (with Sharon Meross). December 1998.
Media Interviews and Quotes (selected)

“2015 Census estimates: Oregon population growth nearly hits pre-recession
rate”. The Oregonian. March 24, 2016.

“Bend population cracks 80,000 (again)”. The Bend Bulletin. December 26, 2015.

“Corvallis grows 1.5 percent as Oregon population tops 4 million”. Corvallis
Gazette-Times. November 18, 2015.

“Oregon population tops 4 million for the first time”. KGW TV News. November
17, 2015.

“Oregon population hits 4 million”. KOIN TV News. November 17, 2015.

“Oregon population passes 4 million, new estimates show”. The Oregonian.
November 17, 2015.

“Will growth kill Portland?” Go Local PDX News. March 24, 2015.

“The Road to recovery”. The Register Guard. November 24, 2014.

“PSU: Gresham population growth outpaced by Portland, Hillsboro”. November
20, 2014.

Oregon population up 1 percent in year”. The Statesman Journal. November 19,
2014.

“Oregon’s population rises as in-migration accelerates”. The Oregonian.
November 19, 2014.

“Umatilla, Morrow counties are growing – the opposite of other rural Oregon
counties”. The Associated Press. December 12, 2013.

“Population estimates reflect Oregon’s improving economy”. OPB News Radio.
November 19, 2013.

“Risa Proehl on tracking population and trends”. 1859 Magazine. October 16,
2013.

“Oregon’s population up despite lagging economy”. The Statesman Journal.
March 14, 2013.

“Census Bureau: Oregon’s largest counties grow while rural areas empty”. The
Oregonian. March 14, 2013.

“Urban Growth. What’s next for the region? Hermiston primed for more growth”.
Hermiston Herald. October 20, 2012.

“Oregon’s minority births on rise”. The Oregonian. May 17, 2012.

“Study finds population growing in Union County”. La Grande Observer.
December 21, 2011.

“Oregon’s population growth slows, thanks to the economy, but a rebound may be
in the offing.” The Oregonian. December 15, 2011.

“State, county growth small”. Polk County Itemizer. November 22, 2011.

Oregon experiences slower population growth”. OPB News. November 16, 2011.

“Census shows an aging county”. Tillamook Headlight-Herald News. December
29, 2010.

“Hermiston set to take the population title.” Hermiston Herald. December 11,
2010.

“State added 20,730 people in year’s span PSU estimates.” The Oregonian.
November 18, 2010.

“Oregon’s new population total”. KEX Radio. November 17, 2010.

“Surprise: Oregon’s still growing, though slowly.” KTVZ New Channel 21, Bend
Oregon. November 16, 2010.

“Census: local growth nearly double state’s.” Yamhill Valley News Register. June
28, 2010.

“Company's data shows fewer people moving to Oregon.” Oregon Public
Broadcasting. January 5, 2010.

“Growing by births and bound.” The Oregonian. December 26, 2009.

“Oregon adds population in past year but more slowly.” The Oregonian.
December 23, 2009.

“Oregon slips in popularity race.” The Oregonian, November 19, 2009.

“Oregon keeps growing, but at slower rate.” OPB News Radio. November 18,
2009.

“No place to gather: Economic forces strip vital services from Oregon outposts”.
The Oregonian. October 3, 2009.

“Hispanic surge is reshaping Oregon.” The Oregonian. May 14, 2009.

“More Subtle but No Less Heated, Oregon’s Immigration Debate.” The
Oregonian. February 8, 2009.

“Population estimate over by 250”, East Oregonian. December 11, 2008.

“Polk’s Population Increase Slowing.” Polk County Itemizer-Observer. December
5, 2008.

“More Latinos Call Oregon home.” The Oregonian, August 7, 2008.

“Hello, goodbye.” The Oregonian, February 16, 2008.

“Rural residents fight resort developments in central Oregon.” The Oregonian.
December 31, 2007.

“Oregon’s Bounty of Babies.” The Oregonian. December 15, 2007.

“Sandy grows by 7.4 percent.” The Sandy Post. December 6, 2007.

“Polk County is state’s 3rd fastest growing”. The Statesman Journal, Salem,
Oregon. March 23, 2007.

“Baker City population crests 10,000.” Baker City Herald. December 19, 2006.

“Hermiston disputes estimated population growth.” East Oregonian. November
22, 2006.
Conference Posters

“Identifying Areas with Potential Housing Segregation in Oregon”. ESRI User
Conference. San Diego, July 2005 (with Arlene Wallace).

“Serving Those in Need: Utilizing American Community Survey in Housing and
Community Development”. ESRI International User Conference. San Diego, July
2000 (with Irina Sharkova).
Community Service and Professional Memberships

Member, Steering Committee, Federal-State Cooperative for Population
Estimates, 2012-present.

Member, Research and Methods Sub-committee, Federal-State Cooperative for
Population Estimates, 2011-present.

Member, Federal-State Cooperative for Population Projections. 2008-present.

Oregon Representative in U.S. Census Bureau’s Federal-State Cooperative for
Population Estimates. 2006-present.

Member, Population Association of America, 2006-present.

Member, Rules Advisory Committee for Oregon Population Forecast Program,
Department of Land Conservation and Development, 2014-2015.

Member, Data Input Sub-committee, Federal-State Cooperative for Population
Estimates, 2011-2015.

Member, Geography Sub-committee, Federal-State Cooperative for Population
Estimates, 2012-2014.

Chair, Mentoring Sub-committee, Federal-State Cooperative for Population
Estimates, 2008-2011.

Member, Nominating Committee, Federal-State Cooperative for Population
Estimates, 2006-2011.

Member, Mentoring Sub-committee, Federal-State Cooperative for Population
Estimates, 2006-2008.

Member, Association of Pacific Coast Geographers, 2000- 2009, 2011-2014.
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