LA-UR-04-6228 Effective Transport Kernels for Spatially Correlated Media, Application to Cloudy Atmospheres Anthony B. Davis Los Alamos National Laboratory Space & Remote Sensing Sciences Group (ISR-2) … with help from many others … Key References 1. Davis, A., and A. Marshak, Lévy kinetics in slab geometry: Scaling of transmission probability, in Fractal Frontiers, M. M. Novak and T. G. Dewey (eds.), World Scientific, Singapore, pp. 63-72 (1997). 2. Pfeilsticker, K., First geometrical pathlength distribution measurements of skylight using the oxygen A-band absorption technique - II, Derivation of the Lévy-index for skylight transmitted by mid-latitude clouds, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 4101-4116 (1999). 3. Buldyrev, S. V., S. Havlin, A. Ya. Kazakov, M. G. E. da Luz, E. P. Raposo, H. E. Stanley, and G. M. Viswanathan, Average time spent by Lévy flights and walks on an interval with absorbing boundaries, Phys. Rev. E, 64, 41108-41118 (2001). 4. Kostinski, A. B., On the extinction of radiation by a homogeneous but spatially correlated random medium, J. Opt. Soc. Am. A, 18, 1929-1933 (2001). 5. Davis, A. B., and A. Marshak, Photon propagation in heterogeneous optical media with spatial correlations: Enhanced mean-free-paths and wider-than-exponential free-path distributions, J. Quant. Spectrosc. Rad. Transf., 84, 3-34 (2004). 6. Davis, A. B., and H. W. Barker, Approximation methods in three-dimensional radiative transfer, in Three-Dimensional Radiative Transfer for Cloudy Atmospheres, A. Marshak and A. B. Davis (eds.), Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg (Germany), to appear (2004). … and others, as we proceed … Outline • Motivation & Background (atmospheric radiation science only) • Mean-field transport kernels – – – – Heuristic scattering-translation factorization Directional diffusion: Transport MFP revisited Spatial impact: Non-exponential tails Implications for effective medium theories (homogenization) • Anomalous photon diffusion: The basic boundary-value problem – Time-dependent (first, then …) – Steady-state • Observational corroborations – Time-domain lightning observations – Fine spectroscopy in oxygen absorption lines/bands • Summary & Outlook Motivation, 1: Surrealism • René Magritte, 1929 Motivation, 2: State-of-the-Art Conceptual Models • inside operational cloud remote sensing schemes (chez NASA et Co.), and • inside any Global Climate Model’s radiation module This is a cloud. Motivation, 3: Reality! • from Space Shuttle archive (courtesy Bob Cahalan) Approximation theory in atmospheric radiative transfer: Needs assessment • Variability: Resolved or not? – in computational grid – in observations (pixels) Large-scale radiation budget estimation: Unresolved variability effects • Clear-cloudy separation (’70s - ’80s) – The cloud fraction enters – A correlation scale enters: Stochastic RT in Markovian binary media – The Independent-Column Approximation (ICA) limit for very large aspect ratios • Cloudy part gets variable – – – – Stephens’ closure-based effective medium theory (1988) Davis et al.’s parameterization with power-law rescaling (1991) Cahalan’s ICA-based effective medium theory (1994) Barker’s Gamma-weighted/2-stream ICA (1996) • More effective medium theories – Cairns et al.’s renormalization theory (2000) – Petty’s “cloudets” (2002): large clumps as scattering entities • Recent numerical solutions for GCM consumption – And what about cloud overlap (vertical correlation)? – The McICA Project (2003-) Some definitions in 3D Radiative Transfer I(x,) I(x, y,z,sin cos ,sin sin ,cos ) I KI I0 I I 0 I0 KI0 K 2 I0 ... K n I0 ... 1 K K k( x , ;x,) [] dx d 4 Medium 1 x x ) k( x , ;x,) = exp[ (x ,x)] s ( x ) p( x , x x x x 2 translate scatter position-angle coupling single - scattering albedo : Pr{scattering | x } = 0 ( x ) = s (x ) / ( x ) 1 | x ) = 2 p( x ,cos s ) dcos s phase function : dPr(cos s = free - path PDF : dPr(s x x | x, x ) = exp[ (x ,x)] ( x ) ds 1 ( x ,x) (x, x ) x x (x (1 )x ) d 0 optical distance : s ( x , , s x x ) ( x ,x x s) ( x ) d 0 Directional diffusion QuickTime™ and a TIFF (LZW) decompressor are needed to see this picture. phase function (uniform case) : dPr(cos s ) = 2 p(cos s ) dcos s asymmetry factor : g = E[cos s ] = +1 cos dPr(cos ) s s -1 Start with cos 0 1 ( 0 0) E[cos1 ] = E[cos s ] = g cos n cos n1 cos s sin n1 sin s cos s, for n 1 E[cos n ] = E[cos n1cos s ] = E[cos n1]E[cos s ] = gE[cos n1 ] E[cos n ] = g n (by induction), an exponential decay in n Directional diffusion: Spatial impact phase function (uniform case) : dPr(cos s ) = 2 p(cos s ) dcos s asymmetry factor : g = E[cos s ] = +1 cos dPr(cos ) s s -1 free - path PDF (uniform case) : dPr(s) = exp[s]ds Mean - Free Path (MFP) : = E[s] = sdPr(s) = 1/ 0 Start with z0 0, also x 0 y 0 0, and 0 0 E[z1 ] = E[z0 + s0cos0 ] = 0 + E[s] 1 = E[z2 ] = E[z1 + s1cos1 ] = E[scos s ] = E[z3 ] = E[z2 + s2cos 2 ] = E[z ] = g n0 n 1 g E[s]E[cos s ] = g g g 2 , etc. = "transport" MFP t ... without diffusion approximation! After n* ≈ (1–g)–1 scatterings, directional memory is lost. -6 n (coarse-grained) pdf 120 100 0.02 0 … x 112 = 78 ev ents Prob{-20< Š20} ­ 0.70 —> 80 60 0.01 40 20 0 -180 x , n = 0,…,16 -12 140 -120 -60 0 60 scattering angle, 6 120 0 180 histogram (7x16=112 events) Directional diffusion and its spatial impact illustrated in 2D (c) Prob(d) = [(1g2)/(1+g22gcos)] (d/360) for asymmetry factor g = E(cos) = 5/6 0.03 12 n 0 0.0 0 1 2 … 2 0.5 g = 5/6 6 16 • 16 1.0 n E(z ) = g i n 0 1.5 • 16 12 n=0 1 2 mean-free-path (mfp) = E(s) = 1 cos -1(gn) gn = E(cos ) 2.0 transport mfp = /(1-g) = 6 n t 15 2.5 Total path ( n >> 1) : Ln si n n 0 t [(1 g)n] # isotropic scat's n/n t 9 (1g)z = z/ zn , n = 0,…,16 3 1 Effective (i.e., mean) transport kernels: the actual photon free-path distributions Pr{s x x | x, x } exp[ (x, x )], or Pr{s X | x,} exp[ (x,x X)], hence E[s | x,] s exp[ (x,x s)] ds. d ds 0 Now let (x,x s) (x,;s) random variable s parameter 1 s where (x,;s) (x ) d . s 0 We are interested in the analytical properties of Pr{step s} exp[ (x,x s)] exp[s(x,;s)] averaged over ( x,) and eventually all realizations of the 3D " disorder," especially when (say) the statistical moments of (x,;s) are only weakly dependent on s. Need for long-range spatial correlations! white noise (x)/ (a) 2.0 2.0 (b) standard deviation 0.25 wn, s=1 wn, s=11 wn, s=101 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 40 bins from 0.0 to 2.0 0.0 0.0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 0.0 10.0 position, x (arbitrary units) Brownian motion (x)/ (a) 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 histogram (% ) 2.0 2.0 (b) standard deviation 0.25 Bm, s=1 Bm, s=11 Bm, s=101 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 15 bins from 0.3 to 1.7 0.0 0.0 0 200 400 600 800 position, x (arbitrary units) 1000 1200 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 histogram (% ) 20.0 25.0 Synthetic scale-invariant media that are turbulence-like Three remarkable properties of effective free-path distributions We consider T(s) q exp(qs) and d T(s) exp(s) ds [some characterisitic function theory 1. E[s] 1 1 ] : variability increases MFP d 2. ln T(s) generally not s (only when is degenerate, uniform medium) ds 3. E[s ] (q 1) q q : exponential PDF underestimates high order moments For 2.-3., using a very different approach, see: Kostinski, A. B., 2001: On the extinction of radiation by a homogeneous but spatially correlated random medium, J. Opt. Soc. Am. A, 18, 1929-1933. Variability scales of 3D-transport interest? Consider extinction (x) or “local” (pseudo-)MFP 1/(x). How much does it typically change, on a relative scale, between two discrete transport events (emission or injection, scattering, absorption or escape)? 1/(1 g) 1 1 Estimate ln ... and maybe [], or take a []dx over some scale a. 1: "fast" variability, only matters (exponential kernels are OK) b. O(1) : "resonant" variability, expect 3D RT effects (non - exponential steps) c. 1: "slow" variability, apply 1D RT locally (then average as needed) N.B. Extreme cases are well-known in stochastic RT theory for binary Markovian media, respectively, the limits of: a. “atomistic” mixing (i.e. optical homogeneity using mean values); c. linear mixing by volume fraction (a.k.a. the ICA/IPA in atmospheric work). An illustration with binary media: Implications for effective medium theories: * will all fail at large-enough scales; * watch for correlations over the (actual) MFP. Expectations for Earth’s cloudy atmosphere, 1: Barker et al.’s (1996) LandSat Analysis Gamma distributions capture many cloud optical depth scenarios. From: Barker, H . W., B. A. Wieli cki, and L. Parker, 1996: A parameterization for computing gridaveraged solar fluxes for inhomogeneous marine boundary layer clouds - Part 2, Validation using satelli te data, J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 2304-2316. Expectations for Earth’s cloudy atmosphere, 2: Effective transport kernels are power-law (a) Gamma Probability Density Functions with s = (s) = 1, a = 1/var[(s)] 1 p(; , ) ], 1 exp[ ( ) dPa/d(s) from Eq. (62) 2.0 1/2 1 3/2 2 4 8 • 1.5 1.0 where 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 (s) = s (step s is constant) 2.5 Assuming s = H (thickness) in previous slide: 3.0 1 2 1 2 , yields and T(s) exp[s] 1 1 1 s 1 1 1 . 1 s ( 1) Solar photons multiply scattering in the cloudy atmosphere Anomalous diffusion through a finite medium: Time-dependence for transmission s is drawn from the relevant step PDF Start at x 0 0 and use x n 1 x n s, where is a Bernouilli coin flip ( g = 0 in 1D) x n si , a 1D random walk (stationary/independent increments) n 1 var[ s] : x n 2 var[ s] : x n ~ ~ 2 t n, a (standard) diffusion process t n, "anomalous" diffusion with = min {q : E[sq ] = }, the Lévy index q N.B. We require here that > 1 so that t = E[s] . … from free space to a finite slab (thickness H): xn ~ tn hence pathlength n T L ~ H / T t t , where H / n T ~ H H / (1 g) t 1 t Anomalous diffusion through a finite medium: Steady-state transmission A lesser - known result for ( = 2) diffusion in a semi - infinite medium : Pr{" return time" n} ~ 1/ n Frisch and Frisch (1995) generalize to any PDF for s, hence any . Frisch, U., and H. Frisch, 1995: Universality in escape from half space of symm etrical random walks, in L v y Flights and Related Topics in Physics, Eds. M. F. Shlesinger, G. M. Zaslavsky, and U. Frisch, Springer-Verlag, New York (NY), pp. 262-268. 0.0 … from a half-space to a finite slab (thickness H): T(H) -0.5 Pr{return time n where H / T t log ~ H / } ~ H / t -2.0 (1 g) , hence T( ) ~ [(1 g) ] 2 . For a more rigorous approach: -1.5 2 t 2.00 1.75 1.50 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.50 0.25 -1.0 10 Transmission (probability) is -2.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 log H 10 Buldyrev, S. V., S. Havlin, A. Ya. Kazakov, M. G. E. da Luz, E. P. Raposo, H. E. Stanley, and G. M. Viswanathan, 2001: Average time spent by Lvy fli ghts and walks on an interval with absorbing boundaries, Phys. Rev. E, 64, 41108-41118. 2.5 Observations, 1a: Differential absorption spectroscopy at very high resolution x-section density pathlength From: Min Q.-L., L. C. Harrison, P. Kiedron, J. Berndt, and E. Joseph, 2004: A high-resolution oxygen A-band and water vapor band spectrometer, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D02202, doi:10.1029/2003JD003540. I( ) I0 exp[ L] ? estimating molecular cross - sections in the laboratory known/not : ? monitoring amounts of chemical effluent in situ ? scattering/reflection diagnostics of media permeated with gas d I( ) I(k ) I0 exp[k L] p(L) dL (equivalence " theorem" ) L ln I(k ) dk 0 Observations, 1b: Ground-based Oxygen Spectroscopy Cases near the =2 line are very overcast, and those near =1 are for sparse clouds, as expected from model. <LT'>/< transp> 1000 100 10 1 10 Pfeilsticker, K., 1999: First Geometrical Pathlength Distribution Measurements of Skylight Using the Oxygen A-band Absorption Technique - II, Derivation of the Lvy-Index for Skyli ght Transmitted by Mid-Latitude Clouds, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 4101-4116. A single cloud layer (=2) with variable thickness H the slope of the linear path vs optical depth plot. A complex cloud situation (1<<2) with multi-layers, some broken; power-laws in will fit the data. Min, Q.-L., L. C. Harrison, and E. E. Clothiaux, 2001: Joint statistics of photon path length and cloud optical depth: Case studies, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 7375-7385. 100 H'/< transp> Observations, 2a: FORTÉ data Dtphys = ? Source VHF Optical ws Dtprop = distance / c FORTÉ Dtphys due to scattering in clouds Dtscat wf Suszc ynsky, D. M., M. W. Kirkland, A. R. Jacobson, R. C. Franz, S. O. Knox, J. L. L. Guill en, and J. L. Green, 2000: FORTƒ Observations of Simultaneous VHF and Optical Emissions from Lightning: Basic Phenomenology, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 2191-2201. Observations, 2b: Lévy analysis for FORTÉ From: Davis, A. B., D. M. Suszc ynski, and A. Marshak, 2000: Shortwave Transport in the Cloudy Atmosphere by Anomalous/Lvy Photon Diffusion: New Diagnostics using FORTƒ Lightning Data, in Proceedings of 10th Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Science Team Meeting, 03/13-17, 2000, San Antonio (Tx), U.S. Dept. of Energy, on-line at http://www.ar m.gov/docs/documents/technical/conf_0003/davis-ab.pdf. Summary & Outlook • Diverse modeling approaches to unresolved variability – – – – Analytical (effective medium parameters in 2-stream theory) Semi-analytical (gamma-weighted/2-stream ICA) New transport theories (stochastic RT, anomalous photon diffusion) Numerical solutions for GCM consumption (McICA project) • Effective transport kernels – Actual MFPs longer than expected from mean extinction – Never exponential except for uniform media – Always sub-exponential spatial correlations sustained over the scale of the MFP) (if • Power-law tails in the effective transport kernel – Anomalous photon diffusion (APD) theory – Supporting observational evidence • Reconcile climate-scale computations and observations – US DOE Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program, etc. – Need realistic yet tractable models, such as APD, to interpret data – Get the cloud physics/dynamics right! La Grande Famille • René Magritte, 1963