Three-Dimensional Radiative Transfer in Clouds Warren Wiscombe NASA Goddard See new book, edited by Marshak and Davis, published late 2004 mainly shortwave (sunlight) dedicated to Gerry Pomraning and Georgii Titov 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 2 A motivation: Clouds cause 2–5 C range in predicted global average temperature increase for 2xCO2 1979 Report on CO2 and Climate, Woods Hole: “... the equilibrium surface global warming due to 2xCO2 will be in the range 1.5 to 4.5 C”. 2001 IPCC: Essentially the same as above. temperature range is pretty uniformly filled! 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 3 99% of atmospheric radiative transfer approximate{d,s} 3D clouds as 1D slabs Constraints were: slow computers, and inability to (a) specify cloud in 3D, (b) test models (cloud or radiation) 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 4 There’s an approximately 1D world overhead on a mountaintop on a clear day 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 5 But the real world of cloud radiation looks nothing like the tame, peaceful 1D world 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 6 What are the unique aspects of Earth atmospheric radiative transfer? Clouds & vegetation — extreme 3D, big scale range Strong, dense absorption lines Forward-peaked scattering phase function Surface BRDF important specular reflection, hot spot! Polarization — Rayleigh, aerosol, glint Beams from inside, outside Rapid variation — turbulent 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 7 Real cloud radiation looks turbulent, with occasional excursions above the 1D envelope 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 8 and it still looks intermittent for a 3–hr subset of total flux! 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 9 1D radiative transfer history in the atmospheric sciences Chandrasekhar (1950): – polarized radiative transfer Sekera & students (1950s) inspired by Chandrasekhar to study Rayleigh scattering atmosphere w. aerosol – polarized r.t. survived only in microwave until POLDER reinvigorated field van de Hulst, Twomey (1960s): adding-doubling Dave and others: spherical harmonics w. polarization – 1968 code still survives in UV project at Goddard! Dave: Mie scattering 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 10 Peaks of 1D theory were reached with Grant-Hunt version of adding-doubling (1969) Stamnes et al. discrete ordinates (DISORT, 1988) k-distributions (Lacis/Hansen and others, 1980s) Atmospheric radiative transfer field focused on the wavelength rather than the x-y spatial dimension. Lab spectroscopy measurements led to an hubris that models were correct without testing them in the open air. Thus the field became largely an indoor activity... 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 11 Thus, when theoreticians emerged into the open air, they were puzzled... “What is this strange alien object?” 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 12 I started in 3D and 1D-spherical r.t., devolved to 1D-slab... In 1970, the 3D world I entered was dominated by – – – – Monte Carlo methods discretize everything spectral-expand some things, discretize others diffusion, Eddington methods & variants First two were severely computer-constrained – random number generators were mediocre – linear algebra algorithms for large matrices were poor (this was even before LINPACK!) Atmospheric science inherited these methods but eventually improved on them considerably 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 13 then I rode the 1D to 3D transition in cloud radiation, mainly funded by ARM In radiative transfer methodology, the transition was somewhat predictable: – more photons in Monte Carlo (finally, enough!) – various stews of discrete vs. spectral for both angle and space dimensions, with some computationally hopeless, now-dead methods – avoidance of brute force methods because matrices can become so large (a small problem of 100x100x20 w. 80 discrete angles could lead to matrices of 16Mx16M) 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 14 The full range of 3D radiative transfer options are now used in cloud studies Diffusion and other approximations Analytical-numerical (quintessence: SHDOM, 1998) Monte Carlo Cases: - step cloud - 2D field from ARM radar - 3D field derived from Landsat - Sc and shallow Cu, Large Eddy model 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 15 Emerging subject, cloud micro-3D radiative transfer, challenges “elementary-volume” assumption embodied in phase function p Monochromatic Radiative Transfer Equation 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 16 What assumptions are being challenged? NumberOfDrops(radius r) = c x Volume According to high-time-resolution aircraft data, above a critical radius of ~14 mm: (1) NumberOfDrops(radius r) = c(r) x VolumeD(r) where 0 < D(r) < 1 (2) the larger drops are, the more they cluster 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 17 This is a numerical simulation of drop clustering based on aircraft data 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 18 But if we give up “elementary volume”, what can we do, radiative transfer-wise? First-principles Monte Carlo: each photon interacts with actual drops at specific spatial locations, rather than with a fictitious elementary volume. (At the outermost limit of what we can do computationally) Fractional differential equations: in the very simplest case of pure transmission through a fractal-clustered drop distribution, must solve: dI (x) small I(x) dx large large (x) I(x) (dx)D 0 no large drop at x 0 D 1, large (x) 1 large drop at x 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 19 Many details of 3D radiative transfer will be covered in the following talks, so because the 1D to 3D transition in cloud structure modeling was more unexpected, I will focus instead on: (1) cloud structure — theoreti-empirical, and instruments for measuring it (2) tentative steps toward incorporating 3D into routine activities of our field 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 20 Clouds are highly variable in x, y, z & t “Immense chaos amid immense order” (turbulence produces chaos, reigned in by overall physical controls that create & sustain large cloud systems) Clouds are the tip of the water vapor iceberg! – Typically <3% of water vapor in column condenses. Clouds represent only the tail of the relative humidity probability distribution; this already ensures high variability. 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 21 Real regularity in clouds happens when waves overpower turbulence, and is rare 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 22 This deep tropical convection from Shuttle is more typical of the “immense chaos” 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 23 Coast of Holland shows how surface variability adds to cloud variability Landsat image These cloud waves would cause mild bump in power spectrum 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 24 Nevertheless, following Occam’s Razor, clouds were modeled as cubes, 1975-90 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 25 the ultimate Euclidean cloud... 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 26 Lovejoy (1982) showed that clouds have a fractal not Euclidean character if Euclidean: area perim 2 the data show: area perim 1.5 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 27 What other evidence of fractality was found? Cloud liquid water power spectra from field campaigns: - scaling behavior over a range 10 m to ~50 km! - no preferred scale 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 28 How was the idea of modeling clouds as fractals received? Euclidean cloud papers survived into the early 1990s Fractal models not taken seriously until extended: – beyond the monofractals in Mandelbrot’s book – beyond cloud geometry, to cloud liquid water Two attractive features finally won the day: – simpler than Euclidean models (fewer parameters) – better connected to the underlying scaling physics exemplified in Kolmogorov approach to turbulence 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 29 Nowadays we routinely model statistical clouds using empirical information 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 30 Scaling analysis for Landsat cloud radiances revealed a scale break at ~0.5 km... not seen in cloud optical depth. 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 31 3D radiative smoothing has three regimes Analysis of the Landsat scale break led to the basic ideas underlying multiple scattering lidar 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 32 Another way to specify a cloud is to use a “cloud-resolving model” Dynamical and dynamical/microphysical cloud models were mainly for thunderstorms. Models for more horizontally extensive cloud forms remained primitive through the 1980s, but have matured since then and are now routinely used to provide input to 3D radiative transfer models. Most 3D radiation modelers use both fractal and cloud-resolving models for specifying clouds, according to the situation. 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 33 Ron Welch, Bill Hall and I pioneered radiation-cloud physics collaboration Hall/Clark model: - 2D thunderstorm! - explicit drop size categories We horizontally averaged Hall’s results to use in a 1D radiation model — ugh... 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 34 I3RC (Intercomparison of 3D Radiation Codes) uses cloud-resolving model input for some cases http://i3rc.gsfc.nasa.gov/ 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 35 What simple ways have been put forward to deal with or account for 3D variability in climate models? 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 36 1D error has two very different natures depending on pixel size Independent Column 3D Rad Transf in Clouds Plane-Parallel 37 Cubic clouds gave an extreme view of the perils of ignoring 3D cloudy cubes have optical depth 50 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 38 The simplest and oldest method for dealing with 3D is “cloud fraction” Cloud fraction (“oktas”) has sentimental and historical value in meteorology. Cloud fraction Ac is used as a linear weight: (1D) (1D) I Ac I cloudy (1 Ac ) I clear 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 39 So what’s wrong with cloud fraction? Stephens (1988), showed that Ac (radiative) Ac (true) (equality only when no correlations between fluctuations in the radiation and cloud fields) This inequality makes it impossible to test retrievals of Ac(radiative) against an alternative, non-radiative definition. (done still) Sometimes Ac(radiative) < 0 to get the radiation right! 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 40 The next band-aid beyond cloud fraction was cloud overlap random, maximum, and maxrandom were all tried...but none seem to work well 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 41 The first decent 1D approximation to 3D was the Independent Column Approximation (ICA) Requires the probability distribution of optical depth pdf(t) in the cloudy part of the scene, instead of just the mean optical depth. Since the low-t part of pdf(t) is very hard to get, in practice we still fall back on cloud fraction... 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 42 Application to Global Climate Models 100-500 km Approximations to incorporate 3D effects into a 1D framework: -Cahalan, -Barker/Oreopoulis, -Cairns, -Pincus/Barker. 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 43 Serious limitation of slab model is partitioning of space into two disjoint halfspaces, one containing Sun, other the Earth so from any point, can view reflected or transmitted light, not both Davis has proposed a spherical cloud model more in accord with everyday experience 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 44 Davis uses illuminated and shaded sides of each cloud to retrieve “optical diameter” t eff 2 Robs 1 g Tobs generalization of familiar 2-stream theory with redefintion of R, T, t 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 45 How do 3D effects impact typical 1D retrievals of cloud properties? 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 46 1D retrieval of cloud optical depth at increasingly oblique angles shows 3D effect 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 47 Remote retrieval of cloud optical depth t using 1D algorithms incurs considerable bias Each dot corresponds to a 50x50 km area with t averaged separately over all illuminated vs all shaded pixels 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 48 Cahalan inhomogeneity parameter is rough measure of 3D bias in optical depth exp(ln t ) t where t is cloud optical depth 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 49 What instruments do we currently use to probe and characterize clouds? Major categories are passive & active (probes) We must extrapolate 1D or 2D data into 4D: – ground-based probes: t-z – aircraft-based probes: mix of t–z and x–z – space-based probes: x-z – all are dimensionally challenged! 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 50 Current aircraft cloud sampling probes PMS FSSP-100 (Forward Scattering Spectrometer Probe) Rosemount total temperature probe PMS 2D-P optical array probe King liquid water probe 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 51 Aircraft cloud probes sample cm3 volumes Remote sensing instruments sample much bigger volumes: – > m3 for radars – approaching km3 for satellites Other problems: – aircraft fly horizontally ; cloud radars point vertically – clouds evolve while aircraft fly through them To match aircraft scale with radar and/or satellite scale (both time and space!), aircraft would need to perform “long-range scans”! 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 52 ARM Oklahoma: A “Field of Beams” 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 53 ARM let theoreticians do things like... help lead field programs (“IOPs”) suggest new instruments and take observations! 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 54 Lidar can detect cloud base but usually not cloud top (except for cirrus) Micropulse lidar (Spinhirne) inside trailer at ARM Oklahoma site 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 55 We prefer to remote-sense in the microwave spectrum because clouds are relatively transparent there... and also because (a) gases do not dominate absorption; (b) scattering, except by ice, is relatively negligible. 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 56 Passive microwave radiometers can retrieve cloud liquid water path directly Microwaves satisfy a simple radiative transfer equation with only thermal emission, but: – ice is invisible – clouds of low optical depth are invisible – rte-based retrieval has been less successful than empirical 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 57 mm radar can see through most clouds but is confused by drizzle and insects MilliMeter Cloud Radar at ARM Oklahoma site (35 GHz ~ 1 cm wavelength) 2D time-height slice but not whole 4-D cloud field 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 58 In sum, active cloud-probing instruments struggle to characterize a single 4-D cloud Lidars and radars are “dimensionally challenged” Lidars can’t see deeply into a cloud Space lidar beams are ~100 m wide at cloud level; creates multiple scattering artifacts Passive microwaves can’t see ice or thin clouds Cloud radars are sensitive to drizzle, insects, ... 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 59 Only by combining different kinds of instruments can we hope to characterize clouds Whole Sky Imager IR thermometer atop microwave radiometer Experimental Nephelo; rotates to scan sky 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 60 Some new instruments and methods to capitalize on advances in 3D radiative transfer understanding 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 61 Now: Two-channel 3D cloud optical depth retrieval uses these two instruments Cimel (French); designed for aerosol but now has added a “cloud mode”; over 100 deployed in global network 3D Rad Transf in Clouds Two-channel NFOV (Narrow Field of View) 62 Now: THOR lidar shoots lidar straight down then measures time-resolved scattered photons in bulls-eye rings around central spot THOR retrieves geometric thickness of op. thick clouds THOR was based on advances in Green’s function theory and radiative smoothing in 3D clouds 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 63 Now: IceSat lidar getting Equator to pole cloud topography & some internal structure (and apparently IceSat is showing cloud fraction ~ 70% 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 64 European 4-D Clouds Project: 2–mm cloud radar and 22–channel microwave radiometer can scan clouds fast, simultaneously 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 65 Future: Understand EOS 1D cloud property retrievals from a 3D perspective 1D cloud optical depth from two solar channels (MODIS) 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 66 Future: In situ lidar senses extinction in expanding spheres around aircraft One of new class of instruments designed using extensive Monte Carlo simulations curve steepens when light bubble hits edge of cloud 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 67 Future: CloudSat radar will see cloud drops (not just rain drops like TRMM) with complementary measurements from other cars on “the A-train”: - CALIPSO: lidar - PARASOL: polarized radiances (French) - Aqua, Aura: last great multi-instrument Eos platforms 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 68 Future: Cloud tomography was pioneered by cloud physicist Warner in the 1980s 69 Warner’s 1986 tomography from two surface microwave radiometers 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 70 In summary, 3D cloud radiative transfer exploded in the 1990s and has many applications Publicly available 3D models like SHDOM and Pincus or Mayer Monte Carlo build on a solid foundation of 1D models like DISORT, SBDART, CHARTS, etc. Can simulate realistic cloud structures using fractals, wavelets, and statistical methods from turbulence Quantum leaps in dynamical/microphysical cloud models A new breed of cloud experiments: SUCCESS, SHEBA, ARM, 4D Clouds,... New instrumental concepts exploiting the time dimension and multiple scattering (Davis WAIL, Cahalan THOR lidars) Instruments and measurement strategies for field campaigns simulated in advance with 3D radiation models Discussion time! 3D Rad Transf in Clouds 71