SOC 209: STATISTICS FOR SOCIOLOGY _____________________________________________________________________________ Lecture: Section Number: 31247 Room: COB 110 Day: Tuesday & Thursday Time: 1:30-2:45 PM ______________________________________________________________________________ Instructor: Office: Office Hours: E-Mail: Kyle Dodson COB 337 Thursday, 11:30 AM- 12:30 PM (or by appointment) kdodson2@ucmerced.edu Course Description Much of our understanding of reality relies on statistics. The media bombard us with statistical claims about our opinions, consumer habits, economic-well-being, and even our bodies. Unfortunately, it is easy to misuse statistics to confirm one’s biases instead of making honest assessments of social processes. Social scientists need a basic foundation in statistics so they can critically evaluate others’ arguments as well as avoid mistakes when we conduct our own research. This course introduces statistical techniques appropriate for answering social science questions. It is intended to serve as a primer for the two-course sequence in graduate statistics that is required of sociology graduate students. No prior knowledge of statistics is assumed, but students must have a good understanding of algebra. If you have never taken a course in algebra at the high school level or above, you should consider taking one before taking this course. In addition to reviewing the basics of statistical analysis, this course will also introduce students to use of computing software for data analysis, primarily with the use of Stata. We will cover both descriptive and inferential statistics. Descriptive statistics describe or summarize sets of numbers. Inferential statistics use sample data to make estimates about the wider population of interest (for example, using surveys to find out which candidate will win an election, whether or not voters will recall a governor, or what’s the most popular TV show in America). This course will cover statistics that describe a single variable (e.g. what is the average income of Americans?) as well as statistics that describe relationships between multiple variables (e.g. what is the difference in income between men and women?). 1 Learning Objectives To achieve this goal students will learn how to: 1. Think critically about the causes and consequences of social inequality 2. Evaluate empirical sociological research Course Requirements: Required Text: Chava Frankfort-Nachmias and Anna Leon-Guerrero, Social Statistics for a Diverse Society. New York: W. H. Freeman. Thousand Oaks, CA: Pine Forge Press. 6th edition You are expected to read all assigned readings before they are listed for class. If you have any questions regarding these readings, please meet with me. You will be responsible for the material covered in the readings as well as lecture material. Required Statistical Software: Stata SE is installed in the sociology graduate computer labs. You can also purchase Stata IC or Stata SE (the choice is yours) from UCM Software. Attendance: I expect all students to attend class, be on time, not to leave early, and be prepared by reading the assigned material. Also, no makeup exams will be given, except in the gravest of (documented) emergencies. Also, we will setup times to meet outside of class (probably in the graduate computer lab) to discuss using Stata. We will arrange these meetings during the first week of class. My notes will not be made available to students. Therefore, it might be useful for you to get the name and email address of at least one classmate so that if you need to miss class you can obtain a copy of the notes and announcements. There is space to write this contact information later in this syllabus. I recommend getting this information after our second or third class meeting. Course Materials You should obtain a calculator for exercises we do in and out of class and exams. A cheap scientific calculator will be sufficient. You should bring your calculator with you to every class session. You will not be allowed to use cell phone calculators on the tests. 2 Exams—We will have three exams during the session. Exam 1 is on October 2; Exam 2 is on November 6; and the Exam 3 is on December 11. I will provide the necessary formulas so you do not need to engage in excessive memorization. The exams are semi-cumulative—it will focus on the material covered since the previous exam but also requires you to use the tools you learned before then. I do not give make-up exams, except under the most extreme circumstances. If for some reason you have to miss an exam, the chances of you being allowed to do a make-up exam increase if you make arrangements with me before the exam date and you give me proof of the circumstances that prevent you from taking the exam. If an unplanned emergency prevents you from taking an exam, you must contact me either by e-mail no later than the day of the exam. Problem Sets—Problem sets include calculation and interpretation questions, as well as questions designed to gauge how well you understand the statistical concepts we are working with. These problems are assigned to ensure that you can perform the statistical analyses covered in class and to help you refine your interpretation skills. I will hand out problem sets regularly (generally every week) and you will have approximately one week in which to complete and return them to me to be graded (note: the due date will be at the top of each problem set and it is your responsibility to make sure you turn each problem set in to me on or before the due date). Problem sets are due at the beginning of class on the due date. Problem sets turned in after the due date will be penalized 10 percentage points for each day past the due date. Problem sets will not be accepted if they are turned in more than three days after the due date. Lab Assignments— To develop your statistical skills and make you more comfortable using statistical software, I require that you complete three application assignments throughout the semester. These assignments will involve a combination of hand calculations, analyzing data using software and interpreting results, as well as presenting statistical information in a variety of formats. You may consult with other students about these assignments, but each student must turn in their own assignment with their own output and calculations. Assignments are due at the beginning of class on the due date. Late assignments will be penalized 10 percentage points for each day past the due date. I will provide you with each assignment at least two weeks prior to the due date. 3 Grading Final Grade Breakdown Exams (3) Problem Sets (9) Lab Assignments (3) Total Final Grade Cutoffs A+ 97 – 100 C+ A 93 – 96.9 C A90 – 92.9 CB+ 87 – 89.9 D+ B 83 – 86.9 D B80 – 82.9 DF 30% 40% 30% 100% 77 – 79.9 73 – 76.9 70 – 72.9 67 – 69.9 63 – 66.9 60 – 62.9 <60.0 Computing You do not need to buy any software to do well in this course. We will be working in a computer lab for the lab sessions, which means you will need a UC-Merced user id to log on the computers (see http://it.ucmerced.edu/get-help for information on getting computing accounts). You will need to have some way of saving your work after lab sessions or when working on your group project. You can save your work to an external storage device such as a flash drive. We may also have to make special announcements outside of normal class hours via e-mail, so I strongly suggest you check your e-mail account daily. Disability Statement I am committed to providing assistance to help you be successful in this course. Reasonable accommodations are available for students with a documented disability. If you have a disability and may need accommodations to fully participate in this class, please visit the Disability Services Center. All accommodations must be approved through Disability Services (Kolligan Library, West Wing Suite 109). Please stop by or call 209-228-6996 to make an appointment with a disability specialist. Honor Code If you plagiarize, or otherwise cheat, on any exam or assignment, you will fail this course and your transcript will note your violation of the academic honesty policy. Plagiarism involves intentionally representing someone else’s words or ideas as your own. If you use outside sources—either in the form of quotes or ideas—you must cite them to indicate where they come from. Please see or email me if you need help with citations. When in doubt, ask! If you cheat, or let someone else represent your work as their own, you are in violation of the student code of conduct. You will fail this course and your failing grade will be identified on your student transcript as resulting from academic dishonesty. Please consult the office of student life web site if you require further information: http://studentlife.ucmerced.edu/ (then go to “Student Judicial Affairs” and look at the “academic honesty policy”). Your enrollment in this course indicates your willingness to comply with all requirements and policies. 4 Class Schedule Note: This is a tentative schedule. Readings and topics may be adjusted based on how quickly we cover material. If there are changes to this schedule, you will receive adequate notice. Exam dates will not change. Date Topic Readings Part I: Descriptive Statistics 8/28 Syllabus Introduction 9/2 Chapter 1 Data, Variables, and Causal Inference 9/4 9/9 Chapter 2 Frequency Distributions 9/11 9/16 Chapters 4 and 5 Summarizing Distributions 9/18 9/23 Chapter 3 Presenting Data 9/25 9/30 Catch-Up/Review 10/2 EXAM 1 Part II: Inferences for Univariate Statistics 10/7 Chapter 6 The Normal Distribution 10/9 10/14 Chapter 7 Sampling 10/16 10/21 Chapter 8 Confidence Intervals 10/23 10/28 Chapter 9: 256-270 Univariate Hypothesis Testing 10/30 11/4 Catch-Up/Review 11/6 EXAM 2 Part III: Inferences for Bivariate Statistics 11/11 Chapter 9: 270-284 Bivariate Hypothesis Testing 11/13 11/18 Chapter 10 Cross-Tabulation 11/20 11/25 Chapter 11 The Chi-Square Test 11/27 NO CLASS: Thanksgiving 12/2 Chapter 13 Correlation/Linear Regression 12/4 12/9 Catch-Up/Review 12/11 EXAM 3 5