OECD INDICATORS OF ECONOMIC GLOBALISATION by Thomas Hatzichronoglou, STI/SPD Table of Contents A. GLOBALISATION AND THE FINANCIAL CRISIS B. DYNAMICS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INVESTMENT C. FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT D. PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT E. THE ACTIVITY OF MULTINATIONALS IN THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR F. THE ACTIVITY OF MULTINATIONALS IN THE SERVICE SECTOR G. LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY OF AFFILIATES UNDER FOREIGN CONTROL, AND OF PARENT COMPANIES IN THE HOST COUNTRY AND ABROAD H. THE INTERNATIONALISATION OF INDUSTRIAL R&D I. THE INTERNATIONAL DIFFUSION OF TECHNOLOGY J. INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION OF HIGH-SKILLED PERSONS K. TRENDS IN THE INTERNATIONAL TRADE OF GOODS AND SERVICES L. INTRA-REGIONAL TRADE M. INTERNATIONAL TRADE OF MULTINATIONALS N. OTHER ASPECTS OF TRADE GLOBALISATION O. ASPECTS OF GLOBALISATION LINKED TO ENVIRONMENT K. TRENDS IN THE INTERNATIONAL TRADE OF GOODS AND SERVICES K.1 TRADE AS A PERCENTAGE OF GDP K.2 TRADE BALANCE AS A PERCENTAGE OF GDP K.3 TOTAL EXPORT MARKET SHARES K.4 WORLD EXPORT MARKET SHARES IN GOODS AND SERVICES K.5 GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION OF EXPORT SHARES IN GOODS IN OECD, ACCESSION COUNTRIES AND ENHANCED ENGAGEMENT COUNTRIES (2007 VERSUS 2000) K.6 GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION OF EXPORT SHARES IN SERVICES IN AVAILABLE OECD COUNTRIES (2005 vs 2000) K.7 IMPORT PENETRATION OF GOODS AND SERVICES K.8 MERCHANDISE TRADE WITH PARTNERS CHINA AND HONG KONG (CHINA) K.9 TRADE IN GOODS WITH THE REST OF THE WORLD K.10 INTRA-INDUSTRY TRADE K.11 INTERNATIONAL TRADE OF GOODS BY TECHNOLOGY INTENSITY K.12 SENSITIVITY OF TRADE FLOWS TO PRICE AND INCOME CHANGES World export market shares in goods and services % Unites States 14%(2000) 2000 2007 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Source: OECD Trade Indicators, September 2009 and UNSD National Accounts Main Aggregates database. OECD Accession Countries OECD Enhanced Engagement Countries World export market shares in goods of OECD countries at current prices, in per cent 2007 2000 Germany United States Japan France Italy Netherlands United Kingdom Belgium Canada Korea Mexico Spain Switzerland Sweden Austria Australia Poland Norway Ireland Czech Republic Turkey Denmark Hungary Finland Slovak Republic Portugal New Zealand Greece Luxembourg Iceland USA 2000 (12.5) 0 2 Source: OECD Trade Indicators, September 2009. 4 6 8 10 % World export market shares in services of OECD countries at current prices, in per cent 2007 2000 USA 2007 (14,6 ) 2000 (19,5) United States United Kingdom Germany France Japan Spain Italy Netherlands Ireland Belgium Switzerland Luxembourg Sweden Korea Canada Denmark Austria Greece Norway Australia Turkey Poland Portugal Finland Mexico Czech Republic Hungary New Zealand Slovak Republic Iceland 0 2 Source: OECD Trade Indicators, September 2009. 4 6 8 10 % 20 highest exports shares of goods into EU25 among OECD+, in percentage, current prices 2007 2000 Germany Netherlands France Belgium Italy United Kingdom United States > China Spain > Russian Federation Poland Norway Switzerland Japan Austria Sweden Czech Republic Ireland Hungary Denmark 0 5 10 15 Note: OECD+ groups OECD, accession countries and enhanced engagement countries (40 countries). Source: OECD ITCS database, and UN Comtrade for non-OECD countries. 20 % 20 highest exports shares of goods into the United States among OECD+, in percentage, current prices 2007 2000 CAN 2007 (22.5 ) 2000 (26.4) Canada > China Mexico Japan Germany United Kingdom Korea France Italy > Brazil Belgium Netherlands Ireland > India > Israel Switzerland Sweden > Indonesia Spain > Chile 0 5 10 15 Note: OECD+ groups OECD, accession countries and enhanced engagement countries (40 countries). Source: OECD ITCS database, and UN Comtrade for non-OECD countries. 20 % 20 highest exports shares of goods into Japan among OECD+, in percentage, current prices 2007 2000 CHN 2007 (29.1 ) > China United States USA 2000 (29.6) Australia Korea > Indonesia Germany Canada France United Kingdom > Russian Federation > Chile > South Africa Italy Switzerland > Brazil Netherlands Belgium > India New Zealand Ireland 0 5 10 15 Note: OECD+ groups OECD, accession countries and enhanced engagement countries (40 countries). Source: OECD ITCS database, and UN Comtrade for non-OECD countries. 20 % 20 highest exports shares of goods into China and Hong Kong (China) among OECD+, in percentage, at current prices 2007 2000 JPN 2007 (25.5 ) 2000 (30.1) Japan Korea United States Germany Australia France > Russian Federation > India Italy United Kingdom > Brazil > Indonesia Canada > Chile Switzerland Belgium Netherlands > South Africa > Israel Sweden 0 5 10 15 Note: OECD+ groups OECD, accession countries and enhanced engagement countries (40 countries). Source: OECD ITCS database, and UN Comtrade for non-OECD countries. 20 % US merchandise trade with China and Hong Kong (China), US$ billion Net balance (X-M) (right axis) Imports Exports 400 400 350 300 300 200 250 100 200 0 150 -100 100 -200 50 -300 0 -400 1999 Source: OECD ITCS database. 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 EU15 merchandise trade with China and Hong Kong (China), US$ billion Net balance (X-M) (right axis) Imports Exports 400 400 350 300 300 200 250 100 200 0 150 -100 100 -200 50 -300 0 -400 1999 Source: OECD ITCS database. 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Japan merchandise trade with China and Hong Kong (China), US$ billion Net balance (X-M) (right axis) Imports Exports 160 80 140 60 120 40 100 20 80 0 60 -20 40 -40 20 -60 0 -80 1999 Source: OECD ITCS database. 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Import elasticity of price, 1970-2006 Mexico Iceland Canada Italy Portugal Turkey Japan Norway United States Germany* France Spain Finland Netherlands Luxembourg Ireland Sweden United Kingdom Denmark* Austria Belgium -1.4 -1.2 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 * Estimates are significant only at the 10% level. Note: Australia, Greece, Korea, New Zealand and Switzerland's estimations have not been included in the chart as their values are of no statistical significance. Source: OECD Annual National Accounts database and World Bank, World Development Indicators database. Export elasticity of price, 1970-2006 Luxembourg Ireland Turkey Canada Sweden Netherlands Portugal United Kingdom Finland Spain Australia* Germany Korea* New Zealand Denmark Norway* Austria France Switzerland Belgium -1.4 -1.2 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 * Estimates are significant only at the 10% level. Note: Greece, Iceland, Italy, Japan, Mexico, and US' estimations have not been included in the chart as their values are of no statistical significance. Source: OECD Annual National Accounts database and World Bank, World Development Indicators database. L. INTRA-REGIONAL TRADE L.1 SHARE OF INTRA-REGIONAL TRADE IN WORLD TRADE L.2 SHARE OF INTRA-REGIONAL TRADE IN TOTAL REGIONAL TRADE L.3 INTENSITY OF THE REGIONAL TRADE L.4 INTROVERSION OF THE REGIONAL TRADE L.5 REGIONAL TRADE OPENNESS Preferential trade agreements notified to the GATT/WTO and in force, by date of entry into force, 1948-2008 250 Number of PTAs 200 150 100 50 0 Year Source: WTO, International Trade Statistics. World trade shares of intra-regional trade, by region EU-27 (left scale) NAFTA (left scale) ASEAN (right scale) Mercosur (right scale) 30% 1.50% 25% 1.25% 20% 1.00% 15% 0.75% 10% 0.50% 5% 0.25% 0% 0.00% 1999 2000 2001 2002 Source: WTO, International Trade Statistics. 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 M. INTERNATIONAL TRADE OF MULTINATIONALS M.1 EXPORT AND IMPORT PROPENSITY OF AFFILIATES UNDER FOREIGN CONTROL IN THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR IN SELECTED OECD COUNTRIES M.2 INTRA-FIRM TRADE IN SELECTED OECD COUNTRIES M.3 US TRADE BALANCE AND INTRA-FIRM TRADE IN GOODS BY PARTNER COUNTRY M.4 JAPANESE TRADE BALANCE AND INTRA-FIRM TRADE BY INDUSTRY AND BY PARTNER COUNTRY M.5 INTRA-FIRM IMPORTS OF AFFILIATES UNDER FOREIGN CONTROL IN TOTAL IMPORTS OF SELECTED MANUFACTURING SECTORS Export and import propensity1 of affiliates under foreign control in the manufacturing sector, 2006 Export propensity Import propensity Ireland (2) Finland Sweden (2) Poland France Italy (2) Japan (2) United States (2) 0 20 1. Exports and imports as a percentage of GDP. 2. Trade in goods only. Source: OECD, AFA, FATS and STAN databases, 2009. 40 60 80 100 % Export and import propensity1 of affiliates under foreign control in the service sector, 2006 Export propensity Import propensity France Sweden (2) Japan (2) Poland Spain United States (2) (2004) Italy (2) 0 10 1. Exports and imports as a percentage of GDP. 2. Trade in goods only. 3. Source: OECD, AFA, FATS and STAN databases, 2009. 20 30 % Share of intra-firm exports in total exports of affiliates under foreign control % 90 80 Sweden 70 60 Netherlands Italy United States 50 40 Poland 30 Japan 20 10 0 1996 1997 1998 Source: OECD, AFA database, 2009. 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Share of intra-firm imports in total imports of affiliates under foreign control % 90 United States 80 Italy 70 60 Japan 50 Netherlands 40 Poland 30 20 10 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Note: Data for Poland refer to the manufacturing sector only. Source: OECD, AFA database, 2009. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 N. OTHER ASPECTS OF TRADE GLOBALISATION N.1 IMPORT CONTENT OF EXPORTS N.2 INDEX OF OUTSOURCING N.3 INDEX OF OUTSOURCING ABROAD OF GOODS AND SERVICES Import content of exports of goods Luxembourg Hungary Estonia Ireland Czech Republic Slovenia Belgium Korea Mexico Finland Netherlands Denmark Austria Spain Sweden Portugal Italy Poland China Canada Germany Greece France Turkey United Kingdom Indonesia South Africa Norway Japan Brazil Australia India United States 2005 1995 0% 10% 20% Source: OECD, Input-Output database, 2009. 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Index of outsourcing abroad, 2005 Manufacturing intermediate import ratio of manufacturing sector Manufacturing intermediate import ratio of services sector Services intermediate import ratio of manufacturing sector Services intermediate import ratio of services sector 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Source: OECD, Input-Output database, 2009.