Statistical Reviews for OECD Accession Working Party on Trade in Goods and Services 16 November, 2009 July 2009 Overview 1. Rationale for OECD enlargement 2. Role for statistics in accession reviews 3. A glimpse at the A5 countries 4. Accession: Statistical reviews and integration 5. Review Process: Trade in Goods and Services 6. Benefits to accession countries and to the OECD OECD Enlargement 2007: OECD embarked on an ambitious program of enlargement Formal accession applications by: Chile, Estonia, Israel, Russian Federation, Slovenia Formal “Roadmaps” for accession process Enhanced Engagement with: Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, South Africa Reflects the OECD Mandate as a hub for discussion of global issues Why include “statistics” in the enlargement process? In a globalised world, international comparisons are more important than ever. OECD is one of the world’s foremost and respected sources of internationally-comparable statistics Understanding definitions and methods is essential if country data are to be compared and analysed The Statistical Accession Process No Legal Instruments pertaining to Statistics…but Roadmaps included Statistics &Statistical Systems Statistics are fundamental Statistics underpin all the critical Policy Areas Basic obligation of OECD membership: “furnish the organisation with the information necessary for the accomplishment of its tasks”. STD developed a structured evaluation process Leading to a Formal Review by CSTAT Share in world GDP % 100 90 80 70 60 50 2000 2007 40 30 20 10 0 OECD Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database: April 2009 Accession countries Enhanced engagement countries Total OECD, Accession and Enhanced engagement countries Luxembourg Norway United States Switzerland Ireland Netherlands Canada Australia Austria Sweden Iceland Denmark United Kingdom Germany Finland Belgium Japan OECD - Total France Spain Italy Greece Korea Israel Slovenia New Zealand Czech Republic Portugal 90000 Slovak Republic Estonia Hungary Poland Russian Federation Chile Mexico Turkey GDP per capita Charts US dollars,depicting Current prices, PPPs,the 2008 A4 80000 70000 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 Russian Federation Slovak Republic Estonia Turkey Poland Slovenia Czech Republic Korea Chile Ireland Iceland Luxembourg Greece Israel Hungary Australia Spain Finland New Zealand Mexico Sweden Canada Norway Austria United Kingdom United States OECD - Total Switzerland Belgium Netherlands France Japan Denmark Germany Portugal Italy GDP growth 2001 to 2008 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 United States Japan Australia Turkey Russian Federation France OECD total United Kingdom Greece New Zealand Mexico Italy Spain Canada Portugal Norway Chile Iceland Poland Finland Germany Israel Korea Sweden Denmark Switzerland Austria Netherlands Slovenia Ireland Czech Republic Hungary Estonia Slovak Republic Belgium Luxembourg Trade in goods and services as percentage of GDP 2007 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Accession Schedule Committee reviews of four countries in 2009 OECD Council decisions in early 2010 All Committee reviews of Russia were delayed Work to continue through 2010 into 2011 Process for Statistical Assessments Review of Legal and Institutional Framework Review of Data Quality, Comparability, Integration Peer Reviews and Assessments Input from other Directorates CSTAT Reviewed the A4 countries on October 26 Formal Opinions to Council by December 2009 Legal and Institutional Framework Laws, regulations, policies and best practices to ensure sound, professional unbiased statistics Comparability of accession to OECD countries UN’s Fundamental Principles provided template Built on appraisals of other international organisations Focused discussions during Peer Reviews Data Quality and Comparability Fundamental criteria: “coverage” and “compliance”. The variables, time periods and geographic regions – required by the OECD; and – typically available from existing members Reviews by responsible staff in Secretariat In principle, covers all OECD statistics Structured reviews of all economic statistics where Statistics Directorate has full or shared responsibilities Statistics Directorate Responsibilities National Accounts Business Register Business Statistics Financial Statistics International Trade in Goods and Services Balance of Payments Prices and Purchasing Power Parities Labour and Labour Compensation Indexes of Production and Demand Short-term Financial Statistics Business Tendency & Consumer Opinion Surveys Trade in Goods and Services Review Process Two objectives: Assess quality and comparability Collect and integrate data – – Countries provided information on sources/methods Also filled standard data reporting forms Head of TAGS conducted fact-finding missions Trade in Goods and Services Review Process Four aspects examined: Compliance Coverage Timeliness Data and Metadata Transmission Three data programmes covered: Monthly Statistics of International Trade International Trade by Commodity Statistics International Trade in Services Statistics Peer Review by OECD Country Experts Several days of interviews by subject Identify any outstanding deficiencies Is country committed to resolve deficiencies? Are there realistic, funded plans in place? The Peers approved reports for CSTAT Peer Review Teams Chile Estonia Israel Carl Obst, Australian Bureau of Statistics Jeff Cope, Statistics New Zealand Bente Dyrberg, Statistics Denmark Wlodzimierz Okrasa, Statistics Poland Arunas Butkevicius, Eurostat Slovenia John Greenlees & Bob Eddy, Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA Paloma Seoane, INE, Spain Symon Algera, Statistics Netherlands CSTAT Review Special closed sessions to reach agreement “Formal Opinions” are Secret…yet to be approved Views on statistical programs were positive Numerous compliance and coverage gaps remain Enhanced metadata often requested Work programs are in place Some formal Progress Reports will be required Benefits to Countries Considerable work by accession countries to document, understand and assess statistics Congratulations and thanks Benefits to accession countries? International comparability; Share best practices Support and guidance to improve programmes Enhanced co-ordination within country Access to additional resources Benefits to the OECD First time for such a comprehensive review Improved internal relations and coordination Improved clarity and organisation of OECD statistical requirements Rationalisation of special OECD requirements ‘Jump start’ for effective new partner relationships And….. we have a better understanding of A4 data and metadata than we do for most OECD! CSTAT proposal on similar reviews for Members