Public Policy Toward Small Business and Entrepreneurship – The American Approach OECD Workshop – Understanding Entrepreneurship: Issues and Numbers 7/27/2016 William J. Dennis, Jr. Senior Research Fellow NFIB Research Foundation October 27, 2005 1 Approaching Policy Change A Typology - "Start Point" for Policy Change 7/27/2016 Unfavorable Favorable Culture Favorable Entrepreneurial Repressed (Bottom up) Unfavorable Policy Led (Top down) Stagnant 2 Assessing Policy A Typology of Public Policy toward Sm. Bus. Low Direct Assistance High High 7/27/2016 Impediments Low Compensating Nurturing Limiting Competing 3 Policy Options A Typology of Public Policy Objectives and Means Policy Means 7/27/2016 Economic Policy Objective Targeting High Potential People/Firms Social Direct Assistance Targeting Underrepresented Groups Eliminate Impediments Competition Confined Competition 4 The American Approach – A Competition, Not an Entrepreneurship (or SME) Policy The Policy – Vigorous (if not vicious) competition Few impediments (relative) Little direct assistance (relative) Creeping social policy A supportive culture Continued 7/27/2016 growth of social and environmental regulation 5 Why a competition, not an entrepreneurship or small business, policy? No policy for entrepreneurs has been announced nor is there a structure to coordinate disparate policies that impact them. The introduction to the Small Business Act of 1953 emphasizes that the primary purpose of the Small Business Administration (SBA) is to enhance competition. Entrepreneurs and small-business owners exhibit notable interest in policy impacting markets and notably little in direct support (evidence by survey, meetings such as White House Conferences, and trade associations). 7/27/2016 6 Why a competition, not an entrepreneurship or small business, policy? (cont.) Relative Importance – policy actions shaping markets vastly more important than direct assistance, e.g., Finance – govt. financially supports 1-2% of employing businesses each year; a negligible number of nonemploying businesses. Over 8 million small-business loans per year. Advice – govt. offers mgmt help to about 2% of employing business each year; though to a significant number of nonemploying/nascent businesses. Contrast – 59% ask an accountant for advice, 39% a lawyer, 29% a banker, etc. 7/27/2016 7 Impact of Competition Step 1 Exits Entry Incumbent Entry Incumbent Competition Competition Exits 7/27/2016 8 Impact of Competition Step 2 Exits Entry Incumbent Entry Incumbent Competition Competition Exits 7/27/2016 9 Major Areas of Economic Deregulation in the United States Transportation; the economists were right! Financial Services; last vestiges of the Depression. Energy; more than Enron. Retail; Wal-Mart isn’t alone. Telecommunications; from AT&T to the new world. Competitive Sourcing; a $400 billion industry. Trade; NAFTA, CAFTA, WTO and occasional backsliding. 7/27/2016 10 Major Areas Partially Deregulated Agriculture; Regulated, e.g., dairy, cotton, most grains, citrus Not regulated, e.g., beef, pork, vegetables Immigration; increasing – legal and illegal? Labor; world markets change labor realities 7/27/2016 11 Major Areas Not Yet Deregulated Health Care; the best and worst side-by-side. Elementary and Secondary Education; the American Achilles heel and a national disgrace! 7/27/2016 12 Financial Deregulation Helping Entrepreneurs as Consumers, Too Deregulation of Banking “Prudent-Man” Rule Credit Scoring Securitization "Junk Bonds" 7/27/2016 13 Number of FDIC-Insured Community Banks, 1985-2003 350 300 Total Banks 12000 250 200 8000 150 100 4000 50 Total Banks 7/27/2016 De Novo Banks 20 01 19 97 19 93 0 19 89 19 85 0 De Novo; Growth Banks 16000 Growth Banks 14 Percent Change in Competition for Small Business’s Banking Business 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Increase Decrease 1980 1982 1984 1987 1995 2001 Year 7/27/2016 15 Equity Capital Venture Cap Angel Cap 120 100 $Billions 80 60 40 20 7/27/2016 20 04 19 94 19 84 0 16 Moderating Tax Rates: Highest Federal Marginal Income Tax Rate by Year 80 70 Percent - Rate 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 70 9 1 80 9 1 90 9 1 00 0 2 Year 7/27/2016 17 Taxes – Salient Issues Graduated Corporate Income Tax Expensing Capital Gains – special treatment R&D, R&E tax credits State preferences Taxation of Internet sales 7/27/2016 18 Novel Approaches to Small Firms Small Business Innovation and Research Act (SBIR) Direct Assistance Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA; modified by SBREFA) Removing Impediments Graduated Corporate Income Tax and Expensing Some 7/27/2016 of both 19 Traditional Direct Assistance SBA loan guarantees – 115,000 loans USDA-RD loans – 8,000 HUD – tax credits for designated areas MBDA – 30,000 contacts/clients, advisory assistance State & local economic development - $50 bill. SBA counseling/training – 1.2 mill. contacts/clients 7/27/2016 20