OVERQUALIFICATION AMONG SALARIED WORKERS OF IMMIGRANT ORIGIN IN MONTREAL, TORONTO AND VANCOUVER: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS 1 Jacques LEDENT Institut national de la recherche scientifique Centre Urbanisation, Culture et Société Prepared for presentation in the Speakers Series of the Social Statistics Program, McGill University, November 23, 2011 Background Immigration represents an increasing proportion of the Canadian labour force, especially in the three metropolises (Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver) … and it is more and more diversified in terms of • geographical origin • ethnic origin / visible minority • language etc… The economic integration of the recent immigrants is more difficult Lower activity Higher unemployment Lower income … and more segmented owing to greater difficulties encountered by some groups (such as Arabic vismin, women coming from Africa etc…) 2 Motivation for comparing overqualification in Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver But the immigrant population is highly educated, especially the more recent cohorts, and thus it is more prone to overqualification than the non-immigrant population Starting point : Statistical analysis carried out for EmploiQuébec (with Alain Bélanger and Guillaume Marois) on the influence of birthplace and vismin membership on overqualification of salaried workers residing on the Island of Montreal This analysis = offshoot of the above that was carried out in the context of a summer internship awarded to AlinaNicoleta Dinescu, a master’s student in demography at the Université de Strasbourg Analysis more meaningful if for a true labour market => CMA level Increasing interest of the Metropolis Project for the pan-canadian dimension => MTV focus Employed rather than active salaried workers (to be able to distinguish full/part-time workers) 3 OVERQUALIFICATION: GENERAL REMARKS 4 Literature review (1) Initial impetus : Freeman (1976) Measurement is a major problem. Three approaches: Theoretical model : a qualified workforce larger than is necessary will settle for less => Returns to education should plummet => Reduced investment in education => Return to equilibrium But an increase in the demand for jobs with high skills has led to an even larger increase in educational level of workers. Hence, overqualification is a persistent issue Skills requirements determined by analyst (like in this presentation) Worker’s self assessment Comparison with a predefined educational distribution by occupation Most of the literature is on prevalence and determinants of the phenomenon and its impact on wages 5 Literature review (2) Burgeoning literature on factors of overqualification in a high immigration context Focus on ethnic differences US : Duncan / Hoffman (1991) UK : Sloan / Battu (2004) Focus on differences according birthplace/period of immigration Australia: Kler (2006) Canada: Galarneau / Morissette (2004, 2008) Quebec: Renaud / Cayn (2008), Bégin (2009) – See also Girard / Smith / Renaud (2008) OECD (2007) where main factors are Immigrant status Socio-demographic factors (gender, age) Human capital characteristics (origin of diploma, literacy proficiency, mother tongue) 6 Overqualification: Definition Overqualified worker = worker having a job that is not commensurate with his/her skills Level of education of the worker > Level of skills required by the job Skills level Education level D C B A D C B A Overqualified workers 7 Jobs’ skills levels 5 levels defined by Human Resources and Skills Development Canada from the 2006 National Occupation Classification Level D: Requires on-the-job training Level C: Usually requires secondary school and/or occupationspecific training Level B: Usually requires college education or apprenticeship training Level A: Usually requires university education Level 0: Management occupations 8 Workers’ education level 4 levels defined in agreement with EmploiQuébec on the basis of the highest certificate, degree or diploma (hcdd) completed: Level D: None Level C: High school diploma or equivalent Level B: Trade cdd; college, CEGEP and other non-university ccd; university cdd less than a baccalaureate Level A: University cdd at least equal to a baccalaureate 9 Overqualification: Measure for the Montreal CMA Skills level Education level D C B A D C B A 0 59855 84590 41651 2001 8318 196415 64065 163416 89884 14727 27496 359588 56491 220353 258731 71934 51098 658607 9837 58635 67550 210126 62828 408976 190248 526994 457815 298788 149740 1623585 Raw index = 100 * (# of workers in green cells) / Total # of workers = 29.4% But D-level workers cannot be overqualified => Corrected index = 100 * (# of workers in green cells) / Total # of workers in last three rows = 33.4 % 10 Note : No standardised skills and jobs levels => Comparison impossible between studies Overqualification index: Salaried workers, Montreal CMA, 2006 50 46 45 41.2 40 35 33.4 31.4 31.3 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Canada All Outside Canada Birthplace No Yes Vismin membership 11 Overqualification index Variable All Value Montreal 33.4 Toronto 34.4 Vancouver 34.4 12 Overqualification index Variable Value All Birthplace Montreal Toronto Vancouver 33.4 34.4 34.4 Canada 31.4 27.6 29.0 Outside Canada 41.2 40.9 41.9 13 Birthplace appears to influence overqualification a bit less than membership in a visible minority group Overqualification index according to birthplace or vismin membership Variable Value All Birthplace Vismin membership Montreal Toronto Vancouver 33.4 34.4 34.4 Canada 31.4 27.6 29.0 Outside Canada 41.2 40.9 41.9 No 31.3 28.0 28.5 Yes 46.0 43.5 44.1 14 THE STATISTICAL ANALYSIS 15 Objectives and research questions Q1 : What are the net effects of Being born outside (rather than in) Canada Belonging (rather than not belonging) to a visible minority after controlling for differences in other individual characteristics? How do these net effects compare between Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver? Q2 : What are the main risk factors of overqualification for salaried workers with an immigrant origin? How do they compare with the corresponding factors for the remaining salaried workers? What are the similarities and differences in those factors between Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver ? 16 Practical considerations Recourse to the 2006 census microdata (20% sample) accessible at QICSS Utilization of a logistic regression model where Being overqualified or not = f (birthplace, visible minority membership, other individual characteristics) 17 Other individual characteristics • Socio-demographic characteristics • Gender Age Family status Human capital characteristics Highest certificate, degree or diploma completed Place of study Number of hours worked per week Proficiency in the official languages 18 Note regarding interpretation of the results For each risk factor, the parameter corresponding to a given category is an odds ratio (OR) which expresses the relative change in the propensity to be overqualified if one belongs to that category rather than to a fixed category considered as the reference category, everything else being equal Example : Influence of the genre : If OR = 1.20 for women (versus 1 for men) => Women are 20% more often overqualified than men, all other characteristics being the same Significance levels : *** 0.0001 ; ** 0.01 ; * 0.1 19 RESEARCH QUESTION 1 : Influence of birthplace and visible minority status 20 Equation 1 Variables / values Birthplace(Canada) Outside Canada Montreal Toronto Vancouver 1.53 *** 1.81*** 1.76*** 21 Equation Variables / values Montreal Toronto Vancouver 1 Birthplace(Canada) Outside Canada 1.53 *** 1.81*** 1.76*** 2 Vismin membership (No) Yes 1.87*** 1.99*** 1.98*** 22 Equation Variables / values Montreal Toronto Vancouver 1 Birthplace(Canada) Outside Canada 1.53 *** 1.81*** 1.76*** 2 Vismin membership (No) Yes 1.87*** 1.99*** 1.98*** 3 Birthplace(Canada) Outside Canada 1.16*** 1.34*** 1.29*** Vismin membership (No) Yes 1.67*** 1.67*** 1.69*** 23 In the end, only vismin membership really counts, for birthplace outside Canada has little influence Equation Variables / values Montreal Toronto Vancouver 1 Birthplace(Canada) Outside Canada 1.53 *** 1.81*** 1.76*** 2 Vismin membership (No) Yes 1.87*** 1.99*** 1.98*** 3 Birthplace(Canada) Outside Canada 1.16*** 1.34*** 1.29*** Vismin membership (No) Yes 1.67*** 1.67*** 1.69*** 1.01ns 1.06*** 0.96* 1.29*** 1.32*** 1.22*** 4 (w. control variables) Birthplace(Canada) Outside Canada Vismin membership (No) Yes 24 However, recent immigrant workers are more often overqualified than workers belonging to the 3rd generation, but less so in Vancouver ….. Influence of the status/period of immigration 1.6 Gen 2/ 1 parent born outside Canada Gen 2 / 2 parents born outside Canada immigrated before1971 1.5 1.4 1.3 Immigrated in 1971-1980 1.2 Immigrated in1981-1990 1.1 Immigrated in 1991-1995 1 Immigrated in 1996-2000 0.9 Immigrated in 2001-2006 0.8 Non permanent resident 0.7 0.6 Montreal Toronto Vancouver Ref. cat: Gen 3+ On the contrary, immigrant workers who immigrated before 1981 are less often overqualified than workers belonging to the 3rd generation 25 3 vismin groups (Filipinos, Blacks and Latino-Americans) are much more overqualified in the 3 metropolises, 2 other groups (South Asians and Southeast Asians) are more overqualified in Toronto and Vancouver and a last group is slightly more overqualified in Toronto (Arabs) Influence of the visible minority group Chinese 2.2 South Asian 2.0 Black 1.8 Filipino 1.6 Latin American Southeast Asian 1.4 Arabic 1.2 West Asian 1.0 Other 0.8 Montreal Toronto Vancouver Ref. cat.: White - Blacks and especially Filipinos (who include many educated women accepted as NPRs in CIC’s Living-in caretaker program) are somewhat more overqualified than Whites - On the contrary, Chinese and West Asians are less overqualified than Whites 26 A birthplace outside Canada reinforces the vismin effect Born outside Canada Vismin membership Born outside Canada and vismin membership Net effects with interaction between birthplace and vismin Vancouver Toronto Montreal Vancouver Toronto Montreal Vancouver Toronto Montreal 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 27 RESEARCH QUESTION 2 The risk factors of overqualification in the target and comparison groups 28 Schematic representation of the population of immigrant origin Vismin membership Birthplace No Yes Canada Outside Canada Population of immigrant origin (target group) Remaining population (comparison group) 29 Being a female, being young or not having a spouse results in more overqualification Montreal CMA Socio-demographic characteristics Both groups Gender (Males) - Females 1.15*** Age (25-44 yrs) - 15-24 yrs - 45 yrs and over 1.68*** 1.01ns Family status (Spouse) - Not in economic family - Lone parent - Child / Grandchild 1.40*** 1.20** 1.91*** Target group Comparison group 30 The influence of socio-demographic factors appears to be similar in both groups with one exception (child) Montreal CMA Socio-demographic characteristics Both groups Target group Comparison group Gender (Males) - Females 1.15*** 1.24*** 1.13*** Age (25-44 yrs) - 15-24 yrs - 45 yrs and over 1.68*** 1.01ns 1.80*** 1.02ns 1.63*** 1.01ns Family status (Spouse) - Not in economic family - Lone parent - Child / Grandchild 1.40*** 1.20** 1.91*** 1.32*** 1.11** 1.58*** 1.43*** 1.23*** 2.02*** 31 The influence of socio-demographic factors appears to be similar across cities with one exception (45 yrs and over) Target group Socio-demographic characteristics Montreal Toronto Vancouver Gender (Males) - Females 1.24*** 1.40*** 1.49*** Age (25-44 yrs) - 15-24 yrs - 45 yrs and over 1.80*** 1.02ns 1.75*** 1.13*** 1.61*** 1.09*** Family status (Spouse) - Not in economic family - Lone parent - Child / Grandchild 1.32*** 1.11** 1.58*** 1.16*** 1.18*** 1.36*** 1.26*** 1.31*** 1.42*** 32 Having a Level B education, having studied elsewhere than in a Western country or working between 10 and 30 hours weekly results in more overqualification Montreal CMA Human capital characteristics Both groups Education level (Level A) - Level C - Level B 0.32*** 1.39*** Place of study (Canada) - Western country - Elsewhere 0.86*** 1.39*** Hours worked (30 hours or more) - Less than 10 hours - Between 10 and 30 hours 1.30*** 1.79*** Target group Comparison group 33 Again, the influence of human capital characteristics appears to be similar in both groups (except place of study) Montreal CMA Human capital characteristics Both groups Target group Comparison group Education level (Level A) - Level C - Level B 0.32*** 1.39*** 0.25*** 1.21*** 0.34*** 1.46*** Place of study (Canada) - Western country - Elsewhere 0.86*** 1.39*** 0.91*** 1.89*** 0.69*** 1.05ns Hours worked (30 hours or more) -Less than 10 hours -Between 10 and 30 hours 1.30*** 1.79*** 1.27*** 1.60*** 1.31*** 1.85*** 34 The influence of the human capital characteristics appears to be similar across cities with two exceptions (Level B education, study in Western country) Target group Human capital characteristics Montreal Toronto Vancouver Education level (Level A) - Level C - Level B 0.25*** 1.21*** 0.20*** 1.05*** 0.22*** 0.96** Place of study (Canada) - Western country - Elsewhere 0.91*** 1.89*** 0.86*** 1.73*** 0.98ns 1.81*** Hours worked (30 hours or more) - Less than 10 hours - Between 10 and 30 hours 1.27*** 1.60*** 1.27*** 1.80*** 1.35*** 1.72*** 35 Target group (Levels A and B) : The higher the (specific) diploma, the lower is overqualification Level B ( other < Bacc) hcdd Trades cdd Nonuniversity studies: less than 1 year Nonuniversity studies: 1 to 2 yrs Nonuniversity studies: more than 2 yrs University certificate below bachelor level Montreal Toronto Vancouver 2.00*** 2.08*** 1.97*** 1.37*** Level A (>= Bacc) hccd Montreal Toronto Vancouver 1.83*** Bachelor’s degree 1 1 1 1.52*** University certificate above bachelor level 0.80*** 0.79*** 0.70*** 1.22*** Degree in medecine etc .. 0.25*** 0.51*** 0.51*** Master’s degree 0.43*** 0.49*** 0.46*** Earned doctorate 0.14*** 0.25*** 0.18*** 1.55*** 1.53*** 1.16*** 1.05* 0.93* 1 1 1 36 Proficiency in the official languages None of the language variables in the census has a discriminating capacity Proficiency in either official language (English or French) is better for those who speak it at home and, a fortiori, for those who have it as a mother tongue As a result, our variable of language proficiency is obtained by cross-classifying the three language variables (Mother tongue, home language and Knowledge of the official languages) => 7 categories reflecting a continuous variation in language proficiency 37 For the target group, overqualification increases with diminishing proficiency in the official languages, in the 3 metropolises, not just in Montreal ! Target group: Influence of proficiency in the official languages HL=Non official, KOL=Neither Fr nor En HL=Non official, KOL=Fr or En HL=Non official, KOL=Fr and En Vancouver MT=Non official, HL=Official, KOL=Fr or En Toronto Montreal MT=Non official, HL=Official, KOL=Fr and En MT=Official, HL=Official, KOL=Fr or En MT=Official, HL=Official, KOL=Fr and En (ref) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 38 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 39 Main findings Influence of birthplace and vismin Strong influence of vismin membership Reinforcing role of birthplace outside Canada 3 groups in all three cities: Filipino, Black and Latino American South Asian and Southeast Asian in Toronto and Vancouver Arab in Toronto Nevertheless strong influence among recent (2001-2006) immigrants Influence of other individual characteristics Similar influence in both target and comparison groups (with a few exceptions including the linguistic variable) Similar influence across the 3 cities Clear gradient in the impact of the proficiency in the official languages (target group only) 40 Policy implications and future research Policy implications Target salaried workers belonging to the vismin and especially the Filipino, Black and Latin American groups “No size fits all” programs intended for those born outside Canada but rather promote programs Targeting recent immigrants Aiming to attenuate the negative effects of risk factors such as being a female, young, having obtained a diploma in a non Western country, lacking proficiency in the official languages) Research development Pursue the analysis by level of education (already in progress) Refine the dependent and independent variables 41