Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 1 I risultati dell’Italia nell’indagine OCSE “Education at a Glance” 15 September 2004 Andreas Schleicher Head, Indicators and Analysis Division OECD’s Objectives 2 Producing a small but critical mass of policyoriented indicators ... Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher … that provide truly comparative insight into the functioning, development and impact of learning... … within a framework of agreed standards, established collaboratively by countries … The idea: By seeing themselves in the light of other countries’ performance… … countries can identify their own strengths and weaknesses Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 3 In the dark, all education systems look the same… Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 4 But with a little light…. Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 5 But with a little light…. …important differences become apparent…. I risultati dell’Italia nell’indagine OCSE “Education at a Glance” 6 1. Where we are today Continued growth in educational participation… … and its impact for individuals and economies The financing of education Student learning conditions and teacher working conditions The quality of educational outcomes Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 2. Where we can be What the best performing countries show can be achieved 3. How we can get there Policy levers that emerge from international comparisons 7 Education at a Glance 2003 – Andreas Schleicher More people are completing higher levels of education than ever before… …in some countries, growth has been spectacular… …but others have fallen behind. Growth in baseline qualifications 8 Approximated by the percentage of persons with uppersecondary qualfications in the age groups 55-64, 45-55, 45-44 und 25-34 years (2002) A2.2 Portugal Mexico Turkey Spain Italy Korea Ireland Belgium Switzerland 0 Australia 10 Hungary 20 United States Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 30 Iceland 40 France 50 Finland 60 With serious consequences for those who have not 22 completed this level – Only 39% of women without upper secondary25 education are employed, compared with 61% of those with upper secondary and 79% of those with tertiary education – Women without upper secondary education earn only 3 84% of upper 11 13 24 26 15 secondary graduates and little more than half of tertiary graduates United Kingdom Japan 70 Sweden 80 Canada 90 1970's 1980'sall people 1990's In1960's Italy, progress to ensure that obtain strong baseline qualifications (at upper 3 1 8 12 secondary level) has been limited Norway Germany 100 A3.2 Mexico 21 22 Portugal 10 Austria 1980's Turkey 19 Italy Greece 7 Korea 20 Spain France New Zealand 1970's Ireland Poland Czech Republic Germany Japan Finland Hungary 1960's Australia United Kingdom Switzerland Sweden Canada Netherlands 40 Denmark Norway United States Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 9 Growth in university-level qualifications Approximated by the percentage of persons with ISCED 5A/6 qualfication in the age groups 55-64, 45-55, 45-44 und 25-34 years (2002) 1990's 30 8 4 24 26 0 Current entry rates suggest that the growth will continue 10 Sum of net entry rates for single year of age in tertiary-type A and tertiary-type B education Australia entry rates Swedenin universities Iceland suggest Finland Today’s that the Poland for higher Newqualifications Zealand United Hungary strive willStates continue… Netherlands Half of an Spain Denmark Italyin Australia, age cohort now enter university, and Finland, Iceland, Poland and Sweden 70% or Japan more Korea United Kingdom Slovak Republic University-entry in Italy is, at 50%, at the average level Ireland France Germany Switzerland 80 70 50 Mexico Belgium Austria … but not everyone completes with a degree 40 Czech Republic Drop-out in Italy is, at 52%, the highest in the OECD – Drop-out is somewhat lower in the new short university programmes 30 20 10 zech Republic Austria Belgium Mexico Switzerland Germany France Ireland Japan lovak Republic nited Kingdom Korea Italy Denmark Spain Netherlands Hungary United States Poland Finland New Zealand C3.1 Iceland Sweden 0 Australia Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 60 Higher tertiary participation is becoming visible in the qualification of the workforce 11 Percentage of 25-64-year-olds with academic or vocational tertiary qualification (10 countries with steepest growth + Italy) 45 United States Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 40 Belgium 35 France 30 Australia 25 Ireland Denmark United Kingdom 20 Korea 15 Spain Canada 10 Country mean 5 Italy 0 A3.4 1991 1995 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Foreign students in tertiary education Education is rapidly becoming and international domain by country Foreign enrolment in tertiary educationofinstudy OECD (2002) countries rose by 35% between 1998 and 2002 Other OECD Netherlands Italy saw a rise of 24%,OECD but partner foreign enrolment is still limited 6% countries Austria 1% Only 2.2% of Italian students study abroad (OECD 4.1) 5% 2% 12 Sweden Italy 1% 2% Switzerland United States 2% 30% Belgium 2% Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher Spain 2% Japan 4% United Kingdom France 12% C3.6 9% Germany Australia 12% 10% The 1990’s was the decade when women moved ahead of men in terms of educational attainment 13 Percentage of Tertiary Type-A qualification awarded to women 100 90 80 Italy is strong in women graduation rates 70 Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 60 50 40 30 20 10 0A4.2 In Italy, the proportion share of women among first degree Higher All fields of study holders is,ofatwomen 61%, one of the highest in the OECD Italy is the only country in which the number of men Health and welfare and women graduating from mathematics and Life sciences, physical science computer science is equal and agriculture Gender differences in fields of study at university Mathematics and computer level are already mirrored in the educational science aspirations of 15-year-olds Humanities, arts and education – Career expectations of boys were far more often Social business, law associated with physics, mathematics orsciences, engineering (on average 18% of boys versus 5% and of services girls) Engineering, manufacturing and – While girls more frequently expected occupations Higher proportion construction relatedof tomen life sciences and health (20% of girls compared to only 7% of boys) OECD average Italy Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 14 15 Education at a Glance 2003 – Andreas Schleicher Why education matters more than ever… Growing educational success pays off. The earnings advantage of education 16 Relative earnings of 25-64-year-olds with income from employment (upper secondary education=100) 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 100 80 60 Male-tertiary A3.2 Female-tertiary Male-below upper sec Spa in wZ eal and Ne mar k Den ea Kor ly No rwa y Sw itz erl and Ge r ma ny Bel giu m Ire l an d Ne the rlan ds Ita Can ada Aus tra l ia n Sw ede gdo m Kin lan d Uni ted Fin nce Cze Fra uga l ch Rep ubl ic es Por t Sta t ted Hu ng ary 40 Uni Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 120 Female-below upper sec Trends in the earnings advantage 17 Trends in relative earnings of 25-64-year-old tertiary graduates (upper secondary=100, countries with 5% or more attainment growth +I) 200 Growing benefits in many of the countries with the steepest attainment growth 190 180 170 Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 160 150 140 130 120 110 Belgium Canada In the countries in which tertiary attainment increased OECD by mean more than 5 percentage points since 1995 (Australia, Denmark Finland Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Iceland, Ireland, Japan, Korea, Spain and the UK) most have seenFrance Germany falling unemployment and rising earnings benefits In Australia, Canada, Germany, Hungary, Ireland and theHungary UK, the earnings benefit increased by between 6 and 14Ireland per Italy centage points between 1997 and 2001 Among the 15 countries with comparable data, only NewKorea New Zealand Zealand, Norway and Spain have seen a decline in earnings Norway benefits Spain 100 A11.2 Australia Sweden 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Switzerland United Kingdom The driving forces of GDP per capita growth Average annual percentage change (1990-2000) 18 Working-age population/total population Employment/working-age population Labour productivity GDP per capita growth 6.5 6 5.5 •But in almost all countries, the biggest •Increases4.5in employment rates made a big •Ireland, Korea, Mexico and Turkey were the contribution came from increased 4 to growth in some countries contribution only countries where demography made a labour productivity 3.5 But3 where does labour productivity growthimpact come on from… significant positive GDP per capita growth… 2.5 …and why does it vary so much across countries? 2 …in others1.5it is beginning to act as a slight drag on growth 1 0.5 0 -0.5 A12 •While declines in employment rates reduced growth in others Switzerland New Zealand Germany2 Japan Sweden Italy Iceland France Mexico Canada Greece Denmark Belgium Austria Norway1 United Kingdom Turkey Finland United States Netherlands Australia Spain Portugal Korea -1.5 Luxembourg -1 Ireland Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 5 Enhancements in human capital contribute to labour productivity growth 19 Average annual percentage change (1990-2000) Hours worked Level of education Hourly GDP per efficient unit of labour Labour productivity 5 4 3 1 0 New Zealand Netherlands France Canada Germany Norway Italy Australia Portugal Denmark Sweden United Kingdom A12 Finland -2 United States -1 Ireland Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 2 Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 20 21 Education at a Glance 2003 – Andreas Schleicher In many countries, the expansion was accompanied by massive financial investments …while in others student numbers grew faster than expenditure Annual expenditure per student 25 on educational institutions, in equivalent US dollars converted using PPPs 6,000 levels do not translate into strong results HighUSD spending OECD USD 2,000 Italy pp er U Te rt ia ry nd ar y S ec o ec o nd ar y USD 0 B1 EU USD 4,000 S (10.6 in primary education, the lowest in the OECD) USD 8,000 Annual intended instruction hours for students are high but teaching hours for teachers are low Pr im ar y Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher USD Much10,000 of spending is invested in very low student/staff ratios er Spending per primary and secondary student in Italy is well above OECD average USDthe 12,000 Why is spending high but teacher salaries are low? Lo w Cumulative expenditure on educational institutions per student over the average duration of tertiary studies 26 Annual expenditure on educational institutions per student multiplied by average duration of studies, in equivalent US dollars converted using PPPs (2001) Equivalent US dollars converted using PPPs 80000 Each segment of the bar represents the annual 70000 expenditure per student. The number of segments represents the number of years a student remains on60000 average in tertiary education. 50000 30000 20000 10000 Mexico Korea Greece Hungary Australia Ireland Spain France Japan Italy Finland Germany Denmark Austria United Kingdom B1 Netherlands Sweden 0 Switzerland Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 40000 Changes in spending per student in primary and secondary education 27 relative to different factors (1995=100, 2001 constant prices ) Change in expenditure Change in expenditure per student Change in the number of students Index of change (1995=100) 180 170 166 160 157 145 140 130 Portugal Poland Ireland Australia Spain Mexico Netherlands Japan United States Italy Finland Sweden 103 United Kingdom B1 94 Switzerland 80 103 100 Germany 100 109 106 114 114 112 France 110 125 124 122 120 90 131 129 Norway Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 150 Basic teachers' salaries in lower secondary education Annual statutory teachers' salaries in public institutions in equivalent US dollars converted using PPPs, and ratio of salary after 15 years of experience to GDP per capita (2002) 28 Salary after 15 years of experience/minimum training Starting salary/minimum training Salary at the top of scale/minimum training US $ 80000 70000 60000 50000 30000 20000 Slovak Republic Hungary Iceland Mexico Greece Sweden Italy Norway Portugal France Austria Belgium (Fr.) New Zealand Denmark Belgium (Fl.) Finland Spain Ireland Netherlands England Australia Scotland Japan Korea Czech Republic D3 Germany 0 United States 10000 Switzerland Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 40000 Changes in teachers' salaries in lower secondary education between 1996 and 2002 29 Index of change between 1996 and 2002 (1996=100, 2002 price levels using GDP deflators) Salary after 15 years of experience Starting salary Salary at the top of scale Index (1996=100) 180 160 120 100 Ireland Belgium (Fr.) Netherlands Switzerland Greece Belgium (Fl.) Austria Portugal Japan Italy England Norway Scotland Denmark Australia Finland New Zealand D3 Hungary 80 Mexico Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 140 0 Japan Korea Spain Finland Hungary Italy Austria Greece Czech Republic France Norway Iceland Portugal Denmark Slovak Republic Belgium (Fr.) Belgium (Fl.) Ireland Germany Hours per year Australia Netherlands Scotland New Zealand United States Mexico Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 30 Percentage of teachers’ working time spent teaching Lower secondary education Primary education Upper secondary education, general programmes 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 32 33 Education at a Glance 2003 – Andreas Schleicher But what about the quality of education? OECD’s PISA assessment allows to compare the knowledge and skills of 15-year-olds across countries. PISA - The OECD Programme for International Student Assessment 34 The most comprehensive international assessment to date Geographic and economic coverage Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher – 340,000 15-year-old students randomly sampled – 43 countries in 2000 and 2003, 60 countries in 2006 Subject matter coverage – Reading, Mathematics, Science – Cross-curricular competencies Variety of task formats – Open-constructed responses, multiple-choice Depths – A total of 7 hours of assessment material High Performance 35 550 Finland Canada High performanceNew Zealand High performance 530 Ireland Australia Hong Kong Korea Low social equity High social equity United Kingdom Japan Sweden 510 Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher Strong impact of social background on performance -25 Belgium United States Switzerland Czech Republik 490 Low performance Low social equity Germany Hungary 470 Austria Iceland France Norway Denmark Spain Moderate impact of social background on performance Italy Poland Greece Portugal Low performance High social equity 450 LuxembourgLow 0 Performance 25 High Performance 36 550 Finland Canada New530 Zealand High performance Australia Ireland Kong Korea Low social equity High socialHong equity United Kingdom Japan High performance Sweden Belgium 510 Austria France Norway United States Denmark Switzerland Czech Republik 490 Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher Strong impact of social background on performance -25 Germany Hungary Low performance 470 Low social equity Spain Iceland Moderate impact of social background on performance Italy Poland Low performance Greece Portugal High social equity 450 -20 -15 -10 Low Luxembourg 0 -5 Performance 5 10 15 . 20 25 Is it all innate ability? Variation in student performance 37 170 150 130 110 90 70 Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 50 30 10 Un ite d 19 10 1 de n 9-11 Sw e Fin lan d 17-21 Sp ain 3-9 d re a Ko Kin gd om s te St a 4-9 5-9 5 Ir ela n 10-20 3-10 6 7 16 ite d 19-24 8 Un rm an Ge 21 Ja pa n 21-25 y -30 22 It aly -10 Is it all innate ability? Variation in student performance 38 100 80 60 40 20 0 Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher -20 -40 -60 Un ite d 10 1 de n 9-11 Sw e lan d 3-9 19 17-21 Fin 4-9 5 Sp ain 6 Ir ela nd 5-9 Kin gd om 10-20 3-10 7 Ko re a 16 St at es 19-24 8 Un ite d rm an Ge 21 Ja pa n 21-25 y -100 22 It aly -80 Is it all innate ability? Variation in student performance 39 100 Variation of performance within schools 80 60 40 20 0 -40 Variation of performance between schools Un ite d 10 1 9-11 de n 3-9 19 17-21 Sw e 4-9 5 lan d 6 Fin 5-9 Kin gd om 10-20 3-10 7 Sp ain 16 St at es 19-24 8 Un ite d rm an Ge 21 Ja pa n 21-25 y -100 22 It aly -80 Ir ela nd -60 Ko re a Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher -20 40 Education at a Glance 2003 – Andreas Schleicher How we can get there. Policy levers that emerge from international comparisons. Analytic framework 41 Domain 1 Domain 2 Domain 3 Impact of Learning Outcomes or constrain policy Quality and distribution of knowledge and skills Individual attitudes, engagement and behaviour Social background of the learners Outputs and Policy Levers Antecedents That shape that contextualise Outcomes Level A Individual learner Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher Level B Instructional settings Level C Schools 1.A Quality of instructional delivery 1.B Variation in institutional performance 1.C Level D Country or system 1.D Overall system performance 2.A 3.A Student learning Learning conditions and practices and teacher working classroom climate conditions 2.B 3.B The learning environment, autonomy, accountability of schools 2.C Community and school characteristics System-wide structures, resources and policies National educational, social and economic context 2.D 3.C 3.D Policy Levers 42 Student approaches to learning The ability to manage one’s learning is both an important outcome of education and a contributor to student literacy skills at school – Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher Different aspects of students’ learning approaches are closely related – Learning strategies, motivation, self-related beliefs, preferred learning styles Well-motivated and self-confident students tend to invest in effective learning strategies and this contributes to their literacy skills Immigrant students tend to be weaker performers … but they do not have weaker characteristics as learners Boys and girls each have distinctive strengths and weaknesses as learners – – Girls stronger in relation to motivation and self-confidence in reading Boys believing more than girls in their own efficacy as learners and in their mathematical abilities High Performance Students perceived teacher support 550 Finland High degree of support Low degree of support Canada New530 Zealand Australia Ireland United Kingdom Hong Kong Korea Japan Sweden Belgium 510 Austria France Norway United States Denmark Switzerland Czech Republik 490 Strong impact of social background on performance Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 43 -25 Germany Hungary 470 Spain Iceland Moderate impact of social background on performance Italy Poland Greece Portugal 450 -20 -15 -10 Luxembourg Low 0 -5 Performance 5 10 15 . 20 25 Governance of the school system 44 In the best performing countries Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher Decentralised decision-making is combined with devices to ensure a fair distribution of substantive educational opportunities The provision of standards and curricula at national/subnational levels is combined with advanced evaluation systems – That are implemented by professional agencies Process-oriented assessments and/or centralised final examinations are complimented with individual reports and feed-back mechanisms on student learning progress High Performance E.g. Learning environment and course offering 45 High degree of school-level autonomy 550 Low degree of school-level autonomy % Variance between schools Finland 11% Canada New530 Zealand Australia Ireland United Kingdom 20%Kong Korea Hong Japan 9% Sweden Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 76% Strong impact of social background on performance -25 75% Germany 71% Belgium 510 Austria France Norway United States Denmark Switzerland Czech Republik 490 Hungary 470 Spain 7% Iceland Moderate impact of social background on performance Italy Poland Greece Portugal r=.51 450 -20 -15 -10 Luxembourg Low 0 -5 Performance 5 10 15 . 20 25 Organisation of instruction 46 In the best performing countries Schools and teachers have explicit strategies and approaches for teaching heterogeneous groups of learners – A high degree of individualised learning processes – Disparities related to socio-economic factors and migration are recognised as major challenges Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher Students are offered a variety of extracurricular activities Schools offer differentiated support structures for students – E.g. school psychologists or career counsellors Institutional differentiation is introduced, if at all, at later stages – Integrated approaches also contributed to reducing the impact of students socio-economic background on outcomes High Performance Early selection and institutional stratification 550 Finland High degree of integration Early selection and stratification Canada New530 Zealand Australia Ireland United Kingdom Hong Kong Korea Japan Sweden Belgium 510 Austria France Norway United States Denmark Switzerland Czech Republik 490 Strong impact of social background on performance Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 47 -25 Germany Hungary 470 Spain Iceland Moderate impact of social background on performance Italy Poland Greece Portugal 450 -20 -15 -10 Luxembourg Low 0 -5 Performance 5 10 15 . 20 25 Support systems and professional teacher development 48 In the best performing countries Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher Effective support systems are located at individual school level or in specialised support institutions Teacher training schemes are selective The training of pre-school personnel is closely integrated with the professional development of teachers Continuing professional development is a constitutive part of the system Special attention is paid to the professional development of school management personnel Common characteristics Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 49 Uniformity Diversity “hit and miss” Universal high standards “Inputs” Outcomes Bureaucratic Devolved responsibility Look up Look outwards Received wisdom Data and best practice Evaluation to control Prescription Motivating feedback and incentivising success and innovation Informed profession One challenge – different approaches 50 The future of education systems needs to be “knowledge rich” Informed professional judgement, the teacher as a “knowledge worker” Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher Informed prescription National prescription Professional judgement Uninformed prescription, teachers implement curricula Uninformed professional judgement The tradition of education systems has been “knowledge poor” Consider South Korea 51 1960s Beginning of 21st Century Wealth Below all South American countries. Around level of Afghanistan. 20th in OECD. Educational expenditure Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 1st in OECD in % of GDP. Educational attainment completing secondary – 24th in OECD. completing tertiary – 20th in OECD. completing secondary – 1st in OECD. completing tertiary – 3rd in OECD. Educational quality 4th in reading, 1st in mathematics 1st in science in OECD. Educational equity 1st in OECD. Further information 52 www.oecd.org www.pisa.oecd.org email: pisa@oecd.org Andreas.Schleicher@OECD.org Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher … and remember: Without data, you are just another person with an opinion 54 Education at a Glance 2003 – Andreas Schleicher The distribution of decision-making responsibilities has changed… …but in different ways across countries. Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher D6 Greece Mexico Japan Turkey 1 Australia Iceland Regional and local Finland Spain Austria France Germany Luxembourg Norway Portugal Belgium (Fr.) Denmark School Italy Sweden Korea Slovak Republic Czech Republic Hungary % New Zealand England Netherlands 55 Percentage of educational decisions taken at each level of government Lower secondary education (2003) Central and state 100 80 60 40 20 0 Education at a Glance 2004 – Andreas Schleicher 58