Towards Inclusive Green Growth
- Additional input for further discussion Tomonori SUDO, Ph.D.,
Advisor, Office for Global Issues and Development Partnership
Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)
Urban population by Region
Urban populations have increased sharply and now comprise half of the world’s
population. This is projected to grow to around 6.4 billion ― 70 % of the world’s
population by 2050. This rapid urbanization is seen prominently in developing regions
such as Asia and Africa and has caused various environmental and urban problems.
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division: World Urbanization Prospects, the 2011 Revision. New
York, 2012
Toward Low-Carbon Development
Hypothesis：Society with high resource productivity≒Low Carbon Society
・Seeking possible style on sustainable production and consumption.
・It is fundamentally recognized that increase of energy consumption and GHG emission in the lifecycle has
been led by increase of production/consumption of goods→resource saving and low carbon development
are deeply related.
Breakdown of Kaya Identity in resource consumption aspect
CO2Emission＝POP×
GDP
POP
×
Energy Consumption
CO2Emission
×
GDP
Energy Consumption
CO2Emission Resource Cons Energy Cons
CO2Emission
＝
×
×
GDP
GDP
Resource Cons
Energy Cons
Identification of factors to
increase CO2Emission by
economic growth and its
forecast
Factor analysis of
CO2Emission focus on
resource consumption
Analysis on possible
Leapfrogging development
path for dev’ing countries
Design of Social –Economic
system with high resource
productivity
Possibility on Compact city,
“Rental/Lease society
Service economy, use of ICT
Quantification of possible
reduction of energy
consumption by recycle
use and/or cascade use of
resource
Resource recovery from
waste and stocks
International division of labour
and International material
cycle
Possibility of CO2Emission
Reduction by alternative
resource use (esp. focus
on Renewable resources)
Alternate fossil fuels by
use of biomass, energy
from waste
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