communicate2Me THE MILESTONES OF MASS TRANSIT CS 410 Blue Group A Brief Overview 2 • The Problem • Our Solution • Evaluation Plan • Four Phases o Staffing o Costs • What is being provided and what is not • Risks and their mitigation • Funding/Budget • Conclusion CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 Meet the Team 3 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 Overarching Problem 4 Passenger needs are not addressed by mass transportation systems. CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 The Wait 5 Hampton Roads Transit (HRT) routes can have passengers wait anywhere from 30 minutes to an hour in suburban areas such as Chesapeake or Virginia Beach. Source: http://www.gohrt.com/faresandinformation/busroutes/busroutes.html CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 Inclement Weather & The Chase 6 On average there is precipitation 115 days a year in Virginia. Passengers not waiting in the designated bus stop areas are often overlooked by the bus driver. Source: http://www.met.utah.edu/jhorel/html/wx/climate/daysrain.html CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 Heavy Passenger Loads & Bus Bunching 7 In July, there are currently at least 55 festival events in Norfolk. Routes like the Net in Norfolk and the Wave in Virginia Beach have buses running as close as 6 minutes apart. Source: http://www.festeventsva.org/calendar/currentevents/ CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 Missing the Bus 8 Causes: • Bus is Off Schedule • Passenger Late Arrival to Stop • Unaware of Real-time Schedules • Driver Unaware of Awaiting Customers Effects: • Schedule Problems • Lower Passenger Appreciation • Less Passengers • Less Revenue CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 Regional Transit Need is Increasing 9 • Hampton Roads has a population of 1.5 million • By 2025, Hampton Roads is projected for 2.5 million • Annual Ridership on HRT: 18.5 million • Buses in the HRT System: 343 • Average bus capacity is currently only at 15% • Severe congestion is expected on 1,221 lane miles in Hampton Roads in 2026 Source: http://www.hrtransit.org/pdf/hrtbrochure/HRT_Brochure.pdf http://www.gohrt.com/pdf/strategicplan/Strategic%20Plan%20Final%20--%20November%202008.pdf CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 A Proposed Solution: communicate2Me 10 Increase coordination of passengers and drivers by providing real time bi-directional information CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 The Solution 11 Real-time information for the driver such as: Prioritization of stops Number of commuters waiting at the next stop for their route Accessible and convenient to end users Reasonable cost for transportation companies CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 communicate2Me - The Solution 12 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 A Feasible Implementation 13 Passengers will be provided with methods to: • Allow Stop Reservations via: o Personal Computer and Web Site o Cellular Phone / Short Message Service(SMS) Texting • Have notifications of changes in schedule o SMS notification service o Email Result: • Increases Coordination between driver and passenger CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 Benefits 14 Passengers: • Better Service • More Interaction • Greater Satisfaction Bus Drivers: • Warning of Waiting Passengers • Increased Awareness of Future Loads • More Efficient Routes CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 Evaluation Plan 15 • Time o • Cost o • Measured against budget plan per phase Scope o • Measured against baseline project plan Measured against requirements document Quality o Measured by customer and end user satisfaction CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 {phase 0} - concept (60 days) 16 Milestones Acceptance Criteria Problem Area Development Feasibility Research Milestone Scheduling Website Development SBIR Proposals Review Board Acceptance CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 {phase 0} - organizational chart 17 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 {phase i} - prototype (130 days) 18 Milestones Acceptance Criteria Prototype Specifications Test Plan User Manuals Proposal Prototype Construction Demonstration Review Board Acceptance CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 {phase i} - prototype components 19 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 {phase i} - financials 20 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 {phase i} - hardware requirements 21 hardware SMS & Web Server Software Development Workstation Cellular Phones overall hardware costs CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 qty total 1 $1,500 1 2 $2,000 $800 $4,300 April 9th, 2009 {phase ii} - critical design (1 year) 22 Milestones Acceptance Criteria Web Interface Web Message Algorithm Interfaces with Google Transit Receives SMS Messages SMS Gateway Development Passes Tests Algorithm Development Algorithm Testing Transit Interface Interface Test CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 Connects with Transit Authority's Systems April 9th, 2009 {phase ii} - organizational chart 23 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 {phase ii} - major components 24 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 {phase ii} - financials 25 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 {phase ii} - hardware requirements 26 hardware qty cost Total SMS Server 2 $1000. $2,000 Web Server 1 $2000. $2,000 Algorithm Server SMS Service / Credits (yearly) 2 $2000. $4,000 1 $36,000 $36,000 overall hardware costs CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 $44,000 April 9th, 2009 {phase iii} - production & beyond 27 Milestones Acceptance Criteria Support Current Installations Market Penetration Improvement: Modifications to Interface Improvements to Algorithm Market Acceptance CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 Profitability April 9th, 2009 {phase iii} - organizational chart 28 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 {phase iii} - financials 29 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 in the box 30 • • Service to set up and maintain: o Short Messaging Service gateways o Web servers o Application servers Algorithm to communicate between end users and bus drivers CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 not in the box 31 • • • Buses Wireless communication between buses and Transit Center Tracking system for buses (GPS, RFID) CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 who is the customer? 32 Initial customers: Transportation • Hampton Roads Transit (HRT) • Metropolitan Transportation Authorities Future customers (Phase III+) Shipping • United States Postal Service (USPS) • United Parcel Service (UPS) Other Services • Cable • Utilities CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 price point 33 Costs: Yearly Cost to Customer: $400,000 Customer ROI: •Increases fuel mileage by 3%, saving $200,000 a year •Increases choice ridership, leading to more customers CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 current competition 34 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 risks & pitfalls 35 1. Interoperability problems 2. Latency Issues 3. Abuse of the system 4. SMS message costs 5. Phone incompatibility 6. Transit operator ignoring system 7. Down Time CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 risk mitigation 36 Interoperability: • Direct Communication with each Transit Authority's technicians Latency: • Optimize Incoming SMS Processing Time • Synchronize Driver Updates based on Position Abuse of the System: • No way to mitigate without tracking passengers Transit Operator Ignoring System: • Education • Tracking of Requests to Pickups CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 budget 37 Funding Source: Department of Transportation o SBIR – Phase 1: $100,000 o SBIR – Phase 2 : $650,000 o SBIR –Phase 3: Small Business Loan/Venture Capatilists http://www07.grants.gov/search/search.do;jsessionid=MgLfJcyflkGLZ3tLyF7Rj6GTJrn0PfTyyFvzsQtD1TNF10WzQqWS !-802466050?oppId=46140&flag2006=false&mode=VIEW http://www.gohrt.com/pdf/budget/Budget_2009.pdf CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 cost to develop 38 • • • • Phase 0: o Free Phase 1: o Hardware Resources - $4,300.00 o Personnel Resources - $14,525.00 Phase 2: o Hardware Resources - $44,000.00 o Personnel Resources - $443,114.00 Phase 3: o Hardware Resources - $37,200.00 o Personnel Resources - $286,860.00 Total - $829,999.00 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 breaking even 39 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 closing statements 40 Current Systems are One-Way: • Informing the passengers, not Interacting with them. communicate2Me promises to: • Connect Passengers with Drivers, and Vice Versa Each phase is feasible in terms of: • Cost • Requirements • Staffing let's do it! communicate2Me CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009 Any questions? 41 CS 410 Blue Group Spring 2009 April 9th, 2009