Automated Swimmer Surveillance Solution
Profession Workforce Development
Feasibility Presentation
CS 410 Orange Team
Improve safety at public pools & water parks
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
1
Orange Team
Kate Nguyen
Project Manager
Scott Seto
Software Specialist
Cesar Barbieri
Marketing Specialist
Brandon Simpkins
Hardware Specialist
Dave Larnerd
Finance Specialist
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
2
Silent Drowning
Over 2000 people drown every year in pools staffed with certified lifeguards due to a lack of real-time information available to the lifeguard.
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
3
How Long Will We Wait?
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
4
Recent Drownings
June 20, 2007
4-year-old Wakefield Girl Drowns
Great Wolf Lodge in Williamsburg, VA
July 4, 2007
Lifeguards Unable To Revive 29-year-old Woman In Wave Pool
(Splashin' Safari)
Holiday World in Santa Claus, IN
July 13, 2007
4-year-old Boy Drowns In Wave Pool
Great America Amusement in Santa Clara, CA
NOVEMBER 14, 2007
For more information see Appendix A.1 in the feasibility documentation
5
Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
Drowning
• “Six people drown in U.S. pools every day. Many of these pools are public facilities staffed with certified professional lifeguards
.”
--Centers for Disease Control
• “19% of drowning deaths involving children occur in public pools with certified lifeguards present.”
--Drowning Prevention Foundation
• “Drowning is the second-leading cause of unintentional, injury-related death among children under the age of 15.”
--National Center for Health Statistics
• “Drowning is the 4th leading cause of accidental death in the United States, claiming
4,000 lives annually. Approximately onethird are children under the age of 14.”
--American Institute for Preventive Medicine
• “A pool is 14 times more likely than a motor vehicle to be involved in the death of a child age 4 and under.”
--Orange County CA Fire Authority
For more information see Appendix A.2 in the feasibility documentation
6
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
Drowning Deaths By Age
60 to 64
55 to 59
50 to 54
45 to 49
40 to 44
0 to 19
35 to 39
30 to 34
25 to 29
20 to 24
From 1999-2004 total drowning deaths = 17,710
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 http://webappa.cdc.gov/sasweb/ncipc/mortrate10_sy.html
7
Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
Additional Consequences
• For every child who drowns, four are hospitalized for near drowning.
American Academy of Pediatrics
• Non-fatal residual effects of drowning
- Brain Damage
- Lung Damage
- Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS)
- Aquatic phobia
• initial medical treatment costs at least $75,000 and about $250,000 a year for long-term care. The cost of a single near-drowning that results in brain damage can be more than $5.5 million. www.usa.safekids.org
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
8
What Are We Doing About It?
Many parks have added more lifeguards and installed various drowning detection systems (such as
Poseidon TM ) in response to silent drowning. These attempts at a solution are not adequate and they are expensive.
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
9
Competition Matrix
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
10
Lifeguard Challenges
• Ellis & Associates study of lifeguards
• Vigilance capacity – only 30 minutes
- Heat
- Noise / Distraction
- Monotony
- Stress
- Fatigue
- Poor diet
- Dehydration
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
11
Jeff Ellis & Associates Firm
• International Aquatic safety and risk management consulting firm that has revolutionized lifeguard training in the U.S.
• Study – how quick lifeguards could spot swimmer in trouble underwater. 500 tests at more than 90 locations varying sizes and lifeguard staff.
• Each case: manikin placed underwater in pool; tester started clock once fully submerged.
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 www.jellis.com
Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
12
Ellis Study Results
Effects over Time
Death and Brain Damage
Cardiac Arrest and ARDS
Aqua phobia www.jellis.com
Average Rescue Time - 1:14
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
13
Poseidon TM
• Cost – the cost of a Poseidon TM system ranges from $75,000 to $150,000 (High hardware costs)
• Poseidon uses complex imagery analysis which is very complicated in difficult environments (murky water, high amounts of glare)
• Limited detection – Poseidon TM can only detect motionless victims on the bottom of a pool and it does not detect depth
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poseidon_drowning_detection_system#Success_and_failure http://www.isrm.co.uk/recreation/documents/REJan05pp36-39Lifeguard.pdf
http://lear.inrialpes.fr/people/triggs/events/iccv03/cdrom/iccv03/0532_eng.pdf
Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
14
Market Analysis
Would your organization be interested in technology that would help prevent or reduce drowning incidents?
Aquatics Director Prince William County Park Authority:
“Always, Anything that will help prevent or reduce the likelihood of a drowning would be worthy of exploring.”
Ocean Breeze water park manager:
“Yes, but cost is a major consideration.”
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
15
Triton Solution
GOAL: Provide an effective, reliable, low cost system that will decrease silent drowning incidents at pools and waterparks around the world. It is our commitment to meet this goal and seek continued innovation and solution improvement.
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
16
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
17
Sensor Technology
Standard WiFi
802.11
ZigBee
802.15.4
Bluetooth
802.15.1
RuBee
P1902.1
RFID
Application
Data
Battery Days
Bandwidth KB/s
Net Size
Range M
Security
Base $
Voice Data Monitor
Control
1 MB +
.5-1
11,000
32
1-300
4 -32KB
10-100
20-150
No-limit
1-100
High
$60-$500
Node $ $15-$50
Visible Assets, Inc.
©
NOVEMBER 14, 2007
Cable
Replace
250 KB
1-7
720
7
1-10
High High
$100-$500 $50
$15-$50 $50
Visibility
10KB
4,000
1
No Limit
1-30
High
$1 - $200
$0.1-$10
Tracking
0.1 KB
NA
100
48
1-5
Low
$500-$1,500
$0.05-$4
Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
18
Rubee Characteristics
• Magnetic Spectrum : RuBee uses a 131 kHz carrier which is entirely magnetic, therefore the protocol is almost unaffected by harsh environments
• Active Xmit : RuBee tags are radiating transceivers and actively transmit their own signal, where as RFID tags work in backscatter transmission mode and just reflect radio signals.
• Sensor add on : RuBee tags can be outfitted with sensors and have a small 4 bit CPU with a small amount of memory on them.
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
19
Triton Advantages
• Increased detection rate
• Low cost
• Easy to install and maintain
• Less privacy concerns
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
20
Our Customers
Primary Customers: Water Parks (>1000 in U.S.)
Secondary Customers: Recreation centers
Apartment complexes
Schools and Universities
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
21
Customer Benefits
• Triton bracelets can be rented out to customers or subsidized in entry cost.
• Triton provides a safer swimming environment and the pool can be marketed as such
• Avoidance of law suits (reduced insurance costs)
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
22
Project Management
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
23
Triton
•Hardware
•Software
Database
•MS SQL
Software
•Display GUI
•Sensor Interface
•Triton Algorithm
Development Plan
Start
Start
Integration
&
System
Testing
Operations
& Maintenance
Project
Analysis
Development
Project
Design
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
24
Phase 0 Organization
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
25
Gantt Phase 0
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
26
Phase 1 Organization
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
27
Phase 1 Staff Budget
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
28
Phase 1 Hardware Budget
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
29
Gantt Phase 1
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
30
Phase 2 Organization
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
31
Phase 2 Staff Budget
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
32
Phase 2 Hardware Budget
(Water Park Wave Pool)
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
33
Gantt Phase 2
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
34
Phase 3 Organization
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
35
Phase 3 Staff Budget
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
36
Phase 3 Hardware Budget
Customer & System Cost
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
37
Gantt Phase 3
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
38
Funding Plan
• Phase 1 - NSF SBIR Grant of Up To $100,000
• Phase 2 - NSF SBIR Grant of Up To $750,000
• Phase 3 – Various Investment & Loan Sources including:
Venture Capital Firms
Rich Uncles
Small Business Loan
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
39
NOVEMBER 14, 2007
Budget Recap
Phase I & II SBIR Grants
= $850,000
Difference = $84,891
Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
40
Breaking Even
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
41
Risk Management Plan
• Identify project risks
• Determine the phase that the risk is in
• Categorize risks according to probability and impact
• Reduce risks before or as they happen with mitigation actions
• Continue to reevaluate risks during all phases
• Watch for new risks
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
42
Risk Matrix
Potential Risks
A HW & SW Interoperability
B Legal Liability
C Hardware Availability
D Unit Malfunction
E False Positives
F Market Competition
Impact
5
4
3
2
1
D
F C
E
A
B
NOVEMBER 14, 2007
1 2 3 4 5 Probability
Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
43
Risk Management
A
Potential Risks
HW & SW
Interoperability
B Legal Liability
D Unit Malfunction
Risk Management
Adequate hardware and software testing
Seek legal assistance
C Hardware Availability Seek COTS products
System software will have hardware diagnostics
E False Positives
F Market Competition
Tune sensitivity of system
Effective pricing strategy & reliable product
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
44
Evaluation Plan
• Time
– Measured against baseline project plan
• Cost
– Measured against budget plan by phase
• Scope
– Measured against requirement document & reports of reduced drowning/near drowning rates
• Quality
– Measured by customer feedback
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
45
Evaluation Phases
• Phase 0
– Idea developed
–
Project website developed
–
Funding secured
• Phase 2
–
Product design
– Software module development
– Software module testing
– Integration testing
– Finished product
• Phase 1
– Prototype design
–
Working prototype
–
Initial customer demonstration
• Phase 3
– First sale completed
– Product released
–
Marketing plan developed
–
Successful marketing
– New contracts acquired
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
46
Conclusion
Silent drowning is a problem
Available, affordable, and proven technology ready to assist lifeguards save lives
Manageable project scope, achievable milestones
NOVEMBER 14, 2007 Safety, Cost Effective, Reliability
47