CLEAN TRUCKS IN CALIFORNIA PORTS: MODELLING EMISSIONS POLICY Christopher B. Clott1 and Bruce C. Hartman2 1University of St Francis, Joliet, IL USA 2American University, Washington DC USA Background •Containers are moved by heavy diesel trucks. •Rigs operated by independent owner-operators, older trucks, pay per load, low pay, low barriers to entry. • L.A. Basin- one of most air polluted regions within USA. • Growth of trade volume thru POLA and POLB in last two decades increased congestion and concentrated port truck traffic. • Civil suits filed against Ports on behalf of nearby residents suffering health problems. • Federal efforts to reduce diesel truck exhaust • have been ongoing since 1980’s. • State of California efforts thru CARB • reduce emissions beyond Federal EPA regulations. Clean Trucks Plan • Progressive goals – to ban old trucks from port – and require purchase of new trucks or refitting of trucks – to meet 2007 emission standards. • Concession agreement • part of POLA plan requires truckers to use employer driver workforce, phase out owner operators. • Opposed by a multitude of business interests • Violation of trucking deregulation by Congressional action in the 1980’s and 90’s. Port Trucking Industry • Typical port truck driver needs subsidy to purchase newer truck or retrofit. • Federal law (FAAAA Act, 1986) prohibits states and localities from imposing rules on motor carriers in interstate commerce. Labor Union Involvement • POLA argued need for legal authority to enact • Independent owner-operators by law cannot be policies to protect their financial interests under organized by labor unions. “market participant” doctrine. • If motor carriers are required to have employee • Ports drivers, of Longdrivers Beach, Oakland, Seattle, Tacoma and could be legally organized. New York/New Jersey have Clean Truck Programs in • Environmental, community and labor groups, operation. including Teamsters Union support POLA position. • ATA argues Clean Truck Program primarily a Union backed initiative to rewrite deregulation of trucking. Lawsuit and Court Proceedings • American Trucking Association (ATA) sued POLA arguing that concession violated • 2009: ATA appealed, won injunction Commerce Clause of US Constitution. against concession agreement. • Sept. 2008: US District Court ruled against • Litigation challenged trucking ATA allowing Port to proceed with plan as organization requirements; did not scheduled. challenge vehicle retirements and • FOMC other first opposed and then supported efficiencies. Clean• Truck Program. Oct 2009: Port of Long Beach agreed with ATA, dropped concession clause. And more Lawsuit and Court • April 2010: ATA lawsuit argued in U.S. District Court. Sept. 10: Upheld the POLA concession agreements. ATA challenged decision • Oct. 27: Preliminary injunction blocking implementation. At present: POLA will not appeal a • March 2011: Court of Appeals will hear case again. Court of Appeals ruling that struck down • Expected to go to the employer driver mandate in the • on primacy of federal law in ports clean truck program. The case interstate commerce. may still go to the U.S. Supreme Court. Modeling Port Emissions Control • Stakeholder interests conflict on pollution abatement. • Legal challenges prevented full implementation of some plans. • Ports must • maintain competitive position and service container traffic … and • reduce pollution by a target percentage within a particular time frame. • Should ports set own standards or wait for decisions on global or federal level, negating their individual agreements? • Insight from a simple game theory model of trucking process. Decision Relations • Port sets the goals, capital support for improvement, participant fees, other rules. • Each PTO selects motor • LMC selects OPS as employee carriers that are small and operators (higher wage rate) or owner-operators (lower wage rate) large. • LMC’s responsible for truck • SMC selects only OO’s at lower wage, perhaps piecework upgrades. SMC’s might or might not upgrade truck. • Subsidies can induce more cooperation to reach pollution goals. • Too low a subsidy may create reluctance to upgrade. Simple Game Model • Interaction of MC and OO a simultaneous move strategic game; MC chooses strategy p; OO chooses q • Payoff for each player is income less cost: – MC associating with OO: flt – cD (p – q) – OO associating with MC: wlt – cK (q – p) • flt, wlt are freight rate and wage/period – lt are average TEUs/trip, trips/period • cD , ck are cost per period to upgrade net of subsidy • Assume reasonable life of upgrade, e.g. 5 years, linear depreciation • Some ports may give different subsidies to MC and OO • Rational play and common knowledge Nash Equilibrium Outcome Model Results • Best response in upper or lower triangle. • Nash Equilibrium strategies on diagonal p=q. • Pareto order smaller to larger – Each player prefers smallest percent strategy it can. • Infeasible regions– cost exceeds income. Players’ Expectations Matter • If freight rates f or wages w are too low relative to subsidy, gray infeasible region creeps close to NE line. • Subsidies keep infeasible regions away from NE. • Different subsidies to OO and MC do not affect NE; simply change feasible regions. • If either f or w are expected to be volatile, player of that type might decide that risk it drops too low means she should not join game. •Relevant recently as freight rates plummeted. •Many truckers felt they could not hold on if rates went lower, and chose not to upgrade. •Result: truck shortage in some ports. •Volume handled with longer waits. Summary • Harbor Trucking - an interesting place. • Pollution Control Policies influenced by legal, lobby, and legislative decisions. • Ports have limited tools. • Mandatory percentages, subsidies must keep enough MCs and OOs in game to meet throughput volumes. Final Thought • Upgrade of trucks can be implemented by port management when rules are conditioned by understanding of choices made by participants • Actions must take into account freight rate fluctuations and wages that would cause parties not to generate a profit. • Risk factor means parties need expectation of success to participate. Questions? THANKS!