OCCA Presentation Enterprise Risk Management Pierre Laurin December 6, 2006 © 2005 Towers Perrin There are four phases of ERM Financial Market Political Operational Regulatory Enterprise Risks Human Assets Hazard Legal Liability ERM Framework and Processes Compliance and Governance © 2005 Towers Perrin Diagnostics and Analytics Solution Analysis and Review Transaction Execution / Risk Mitigation Proprietary and Confidential Not for use or disclosure outside Towers Perrin and its clients 2 ERM Value Framework Value Creation Maximize value by relating a firm’s decisions on the risks it takes to decisions on the capital it uses to finance its business Capital Costs Return on Risk Value Management Portfolio of Enterprise Risks Capital Adequacy Portfolio of Capital Resources Risk and Capital Management Capital Structure Risk Structure How much capital do I need? What type of capital do I need? Economic Capital © 2005 Towers Perrin Proprietary and Confidential Not for use or disclosure outside Towers Perrin and its clients 3 Specific Tasks under Enterprise Risk Management Economic Capital Reinsurance Optimization Asset Allocation Portfolio Optimization Economic Capital Model Building/Parameterization Database Operational Risk Management ERM Governance/Function Design © 2005 Towers Perrin Proprietary and Confidential Not for use or disclosure outside Towers Perrin and its clients 4 Why is Economic Capital economic? Based on economic, rather than accounting, balance sheet Market value of assets Expected economic cost of liabilities Also reflects distribution of economic, rather than accounting, profits (losses) Actual ultimate economic cost of liabilities Set to maintain a selected defined level of policyholder security Economic cost of ruin © 2005 Towers Perrin Proprietary and Confidential Not for use or disclosure outside Towers Perrin and its clients 5 Percent Change in Economic Capital What is Economic Capital? 0% Economic Capital covers the downside scenarios in all but the most extreme scenarios -100% Policyholder/depositor security risk relates to insolvency and non-performance Cumulative probability © 2005 Towers Perrin Proprietary and Confidential Not for use or disclosure outside Towers Perrin and its clients 6 From a corporate finance perspective, reinsurance should be viewed as a form of capital Debt Conventional approach Debt Net Risks Equity Reinsurance Gross Risks Debt Equity Framework approach Gross Risks Equity Reinsurance Strategic: Should I change the mix between paid up capital and contingent capital? © 2005 Towers Perrin Tactical: Given the amount of paid up capital, how much contingent should I buy? Proprietary and Confidential Not for use or disclosure outside Towers Perrin and its clients 7 The ERM value framework can be used to evaluate reinsurance and other portfolio hedging strategies Reinsurance can also create value when the cost of reinsurance is offset by a reduction in the required rate of return Market Consistent Required-Rate-of-Return (Opportunity Cost of Capital) Return Expected cost of reinsurance With reinsurance © 2005 Towers Perrin Without reinsurance Risk Proprietary and Confidential Not for use or disclosure outside Towers Perrin and its clients 8 Summary ERM: is an important process requires significant resources touches all aspects of the entreprise is an on-going process © 2005 Towers Perrin Proprietary and Confidential Not for use or disclosure outside Towers Perrin and its clients 9