CAS Update Southwest Actuarial Forum December 3, 2004

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CAS Update
Southwest Actuarial Forum
December 3, 2004
Agenda

CAS Centennial Goal

Two Important Task Forces

Basic Education Initiatives

Research Working Parties

Continuing Education

Your Input
CAS Centennial Goal
The CAS will be globally recognized as the
preeminent resource in educating casualty
actuaries and conducting research in casualty
actuarial science. CAS members will be
recognized as the leading experts in the
evaluation of hazard risk and the
integration of hazard risk with strategic,
financial and operational risk
Implementing the
Centennial Goal

Centennial Goal Implementation Task Force
Subcommittee of Long Range Planning Committee
 Working with Vice Presidents and Committee
Chairs in setting goals.

Implementing the
Centennial Goal

Centennial Goal Implementation Task Force
Subcommittee of Long Range Planning Committee
 Working with Vice Presidents and Committee
Chairs in setting goals.


SAM Goals
Significant, Attainable, Measurable
 Interim milestones to help gauge progress towards
the Centennial Goal.

Two Important
Task Forces

Task Force on the ACAS Vote

Task Force on Classes of Membership
Historical Perspective
of Associates


Since 1914, two classes of membership.
Associate/Fellow designations have changed
over the years:
Initially, based on company responsibilities.
 Beginning in 1915, based on exams:

Number and content of exams has varied.
 Currently a two exam educational difference.


Currently little distinction between FCAS and
ACAS in the ability to perform professional
actuarial services.
Task Force on ACAS Vote
Why are we considering this issue?

Voting rights have not changed since
inception and represent a time when there
was a much clearer distinction between
Fellows and Associates.
Task Force on ACAS Vote
Why are we considering this issue?
Voting rights have not changed since
inception and represent a time when there
was a much clearer distinction between
Fellows and Associates.
 A significant minority (25-30%) of Associates
have stopped taking exams. We need to
recognize the career Associates.

Task Force on ACAS Vote
Why are we considering this issue?



Voting rights have not changed since inception and
represent a time when there was a much clearer
distinction between Fellows and Associates.
A significant minority (25-30%) of Associates have
stopped taking exams. We need to recognize the
career Associates.
Lack of true representation for Associates, despite
the fact that they pay full dues and contribute
significantly to committees, research etc.
Task Force on ACAS Vote
Why are we considering this issue?




Voting rights have not changed since inception and
represent a time when there was a much clearer
distinction between Fellows and Associates.
A significant minority (25-30%) of Associates have
stopped taking exams. We need to recognize the
career Associates.
Lack of true representation for Associates, despite
the fact that they pay full dues and contribute
significantly to committees, research etc.
Approval of Mutual Recognition.
Task Force on ACAS Vote



Right to vote should be given to members upon
attainment of Fellowship or five years after they are
recognized as Associates, whichever comes first. Right
to vote should be unrestricted.
All voting members should be allowed to stand for
election to the Board of Directors.
Voting Associates may hold all officer positions, with
the exception of:



President / President Elect
Vice President - Admissions
Committee membership is to remain restricted to
Fellows for Discipline, Education Policy, Syllabus.
Task Force on
Classes of Membership
Why are we considering this issue?

Current structure reflects a time when there was a much
clearer distinction between FCAS and ACAS.
Task Force on
Classes of Membership
Why are we considering this issue?


Current structure reflects a time when there was a much
clearer distinction between FCAS and ACAS.
Educational differences do not restrict an ACAS from
completing assignments like those done by a FCAS in the US.


Associate designation connotes lesser standing, even though the
ACAS is fully qualified to sign statements of actuarial opinion.
Two designations that each mean a fully qualified actuary is
confusing.
Task Force on
Classes of Membership
Why are we considering this issue?


Current structure reflects a time when there was a much
clearer distinction between FCAS and ACAS.
Educational differences do not restrict an ACAS from
completing assignments like those done by a FCAS in the US.



Associate designation connotes lesser standing, even though the
ACAS is fully qualified to sign statements of actuarial opinion.
Two designations that each mean a fully qualified actuary is
confusing.
ACAS not considered qualified outside the US.
Task Force on
Classes of Membership
Why are we considering this issue?


Current structure reflects a time when there was a much
clearer distinction between FCAS and ACAS.
Educational differences do not restrict an ACAS from
completing assignments like those done by a FCAS in the US.




Associate designation connotes lesser standing, even though the
ACAS is fully qualified to sign statements of actuarial opinion.
Two designations that each mean a fully qualified actuary is
confusing.
ACAS not considered qualified outside the US.
ACAS does not meet IAA “fully qualified actuary” criteria.


Not enough finance – even though far above in other areas.
This is an issue for the AAA (single membership class).
Task Force on
Classes of Membership
The Task Force recommended (May):





Only one class of membership - Fellow.
Certificate of Achievement in Casualty Actuarial Science.
All candidates under the Code of Professional Conduct.
ACAS continue to be awarded for a limited time.
Existing ACAS’s awarded FCAS after completing exams
or after five additional years have passed.


Task Force was split on this issue.
Ideal number of exams for Fellowship is eight;
necessary material can be reorganized to fit.
Task Force on
Classes of Membership


In May 2004, the Board discussed the various
transition options in the Task Force Report.
Options ranged from
Immediately granting FCAS to ACAS and
discontinuing ACAS
 Completion of additional requirements
 Discontinuing ACAS after a transition period and
putting the ACAS into run-off.


Under no circumstances would current Associates
lose their status as members of the CAS.
Task Force on
Classes of Membership

Additional information was collected for the
Board’s consideration during the discussion at
September 2004 Board Meeting.
Survey of the Membership Advisory Panel (MAP).
 Feedback from Regional Affiliate Presentations.
 Interviews with recruiters on the effects of one class
of membership on attracting candidates.
 Interviews with actuarial science professors.
 Feedback submitted by members.

Task Force on
Classes of Membership

Summary of additional feedback received:
Over two-thirds (70%) of the MAP agreed with TF
recommendation of one class.
 More than three-fourths (77%) disagreed with the
TF recommendation to grant all ACAS the FCAS
designation without additional requirements.
 Most of the feedback has indicated that one class of
membership will not create a competitive
disadvantage for students.


Actuarial Science professors may disagree.
Task Force on
Classes of Membership
Board Motions at September Board Meeting:

That the Board instruct the Executive Council to
establish a TF to propose within the next year a set of
learning objectives by which FCAS can be attained:
 with less material than the current exams,
 with fewer than the current 9 exams,
 while meeting the requirements of the IAA,
 while being consistent with the Centennial Goal.
Task Force on
Classes of Membership
Board Motions at September Board Meeting:


That the Board instruct the Executive Council to
establish a TF to propose within the next year a set of
learning objectives by which FCAS can be attained:
 with less material than the current exams,
 with fewer than the current 9 exams,
 while meeting the requirements of the IAA,
 while being consistent with the Centennial Goal.
It is the Board’s sense that this can be accomplished
with eight exams (or seven exams with a workshop or
seminar).
Task Force on
Classes of Membership
Board Motions at September Board Meeting:

Inform the CAS membership of the foregoing action,
with an indication that the Board supports a move to an
eventual single class of credentialed membership, with
no more new Associates, concurrent with the
movement to a shorter syllabus; and will seek
membership reaction to this plan. (It is expected that
the then-current Associates will either complete their
remaining exams and become Fellows, or remain
Associates until they cease their membership in the
CAS.)
Membership Involvement



Board is committed to obtaining member input.
Granting voting rights requires an amendment to
the Constitution approved by Fellows, however,
the Board agreed to postpone further action on
the ACAS Vote, pending resolution of the
Classes of Membership issue.
Moving to one class of credentialed member may
not require a change to the Constitution, but
there will be a thorough exchange of ideas.
Changes to Preliminary
Education

Current

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Prerequisites: Linear Algebra and Statistics
Exam 1: Calculus and Probability (4 hours)
Exam 2: Interest, Economics, Finance (4 hours)
Exam 3: Actuarial Models– NOT JOINT (4 hours)
Exam 4: Actuarial Modeling (including applied stats)
(4 hours)
Changes to Preliminary
Education
Approved March 2004 Board Meeting

Starting Spring 2005

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Prerequisites: Linear Algebra and Calculus
Exam 1: Probability with Calculus (3 hours)
Exam 2: Interest (2 hours)
Exam 3: Actuarial Models & Statistics (4 hours)
Exam 4: Actuarial Modeling (4 hours)
Validation by Educational Experience:
Economics, Finance, Applied Stats
Validation by Educational
Experience

Option 1: Submit a course syllabus for
approval, and then a grade of B- or better in
the course.
Micro and Macro Economics
 Intermediate Corporate Finance
 Regression and Time Series (could be separate
courses)

Validation by Educational
Experience

Option 1: Submit a course syllabus for
approval, and then a grade of B- or better in
the course.
Micro and Macro Economics
 Intermediate Corporate Finance
 Regression and Time Series (could be separate
courses)


Option 2: Pass an acceptable exam, such as the
AP exams for Micro and Macroeconomics, CFA
exams, etc.
Validation by Educational
Experience

Option 1: Submit a course syllabus for approval,
and then a grade of B- or better in the course.





Micro and Macro Economics
Intermediate Corporate Finance
Regression and Time Series (could be separate courses)
Option 2: Pass an acceptable exam, such as the AP
exams for Micro and Macroeconomics, CFA exams, etc.
Option 3: Pass exams offered by the CAS. CAS
committed to offering these for at least 2 years.
Validation by Educational
Experience

Option 1: Submit a course syllabus for approval,
and then a grade of B- or better in the course.






Micro and Macro Economics
Intermediate Corporate Finance
Regression and Time Series (could be separate courses)
Option 2: Pass an acceptable exam, such as the AP
exams for Micro and Macroeconomics, CFA exams, etc.
Option 3: Pass exams offered by the CAS. CAS
committed to offering these for at least 2 years.
Option 4: Other experiences.

Courses/seminars designed specifically for VEE credit
Transition

2000 Syllabus





Exam 1  Exam 1
Exam 2  Exam 2 + VEE for Econ & Finance
Exam 3  Exam 3
Exam 4  Exam 4 + VEE for Applied Stats
Pre-2000 Syllabus


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Part 3A  VEE for Applied Stats
Part 4A  Exam 2
Part 4B  Exam 4
Part 5A  VEE for Economics
Part 5B  VEE for Finance
Why VEE?

Most candidates take Econ and/or Finance



No need to examine topics that require background
but not mastery.
But verification is needed to meet international
standards.
Test questions for Applied Stats stress
memorization rather than application.


Our candidates need to learn how to appropriately
apply regression and time series models to real data.
This competency cannot easily be validated in a
timed paper-and-pencil exam.
Impact on Travel Time

Actuarial Science majors currently graduate
with exams.



Unlikely to have much effect on these candidates.
Other majors who take VEE courses in
school benefit from learning experience.
Candidates who did not have VEE courses in
school:



Can tackle VEE while studying for Interest exam.
Or between exam “seasons.”
VEE pass rates on first attempt should be very high.
Computer-Based Testing

Computer-Based Testing
Targeting 2005 pilot for Exam 1.
 Expand to 4-6 computer-based administrations in
2006.
 Candidate will receive preliminary results
immediately (by the end of 2006).
 Intent is to expand to other exams if successful.
 Approved by both CAS and SOA Boards.

Modeling Workshop

Education in risk integration techniques is
consistent with Centennial Goal.
DFA added to Syllabus in 2000.
 DFA taken off Part 8 in 2003 due to inability to test
in a paper-and-pencil environment.


Modeling Workshop Task Force established.
Pilot a hands-on workshop experience in early 2005.
 Consider adding this as a future FCAS requirement
and/or continuing education opportunity.

Research Working Parties

Research task forces charged to produce a
research product over a short timeframe.
Research Working Parties


Research task forces charged to produce a
research product over a short timeframe.
Should produce more cohesive, accessible
material in a consistent format, through the
collective, managed nature of the process.
Research Working Parties



Research task forces charged to produce a
research product over a short timeframe.
Should produce more cohesive, accessible
material in a consistent format, through the
collective, managed nature of the process.
Should help the CAS effectively address longstanding research problems, and harness the
research energy of individual researchers.
Research Working Parties




Research task forces charged to produce a research
product over a short timeframe.
Should produce more cohesive, accessible material in a
consistent format, through the collective, managed
nature of the process.
Should help the CAS effectively address long-standing
research problems, and harness the research energy of
individual researchers.
Have proven to be effective research mechanisms for
GIRO, the general insurance research organization of
the Faculty and Institute of Actuaries (UK).
Research Working Parties
2003-04
 Correlations and Dependencies Among All Risk
Sources
 Executive-Level Decision-Making Using
Dynamic Risk Modeling
 Elicitation and Elucidation of Risk Preferences
 Quantifying Variability in Reserves Estimates
Research Working Parties
2004-05
 Dynamic Risk Modeling Handbook
 Public-Access DFA Model
 Bornhuetter-Ferguson - Initial Expected Losses
 Tail Factors
Continuing Education
AAA Exposure Draft recommends that the
Qualification Standards apply to all “statements of
actuarial opinion” defined as follows:
… an opinion expressed by an actuary based upon actuarial
considerations, and intended by the actuary to be relied upon by
the outside person or organization to whom the opinion is
addressed. The phrase “outside” person or organization refers to
persons or organizations other than the actuary’s direct employer.
A statement of actuarial opinion, although usually
conveyed in writing, may also be conveyed orally.
2005 Calendar of Events
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Seminar on Ratemaking
March 10-11, 2005, New Orleans, LA
ERM Symposium
May 1-3, 2005, Chicago, IL
CAS Spring Meeting
May 15-18, 2005, Phoenix, AZ
Seminar on Reinsurance
June 6-7, 2005, Hamilton, Bermuda
Casualty Loss Reserve Seminar
September 12-13, 2005, Boston, MA
CAS Annual Meeting
November 13-16, 2005, Baltimore, MD
I welcome your input
regarding . . .

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CAS Centennial Goal
ACAS Task Forces
Basic Education Initiatives
Research and Publications
Continuing Education
International Issues
Green Bay Packers
CAS Role Outside Traditional P/C Insurance
What’s On Your Mind?
Questions?
Thank You!
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