14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Report Final version of 23 May 2007 14th IHDP Scientific Committee Meeting 15 – 18 March 2007 Angra dos Reis, Brazil Participants (Scientific Committee members): Kate Brown, Geoff Dabelko (Vice-Chair), Roberto Guimaraes (Vice-Chair), Gernot Klepper, Jose Moreira (IT SSC), Carlos Nobre (ex-officio and IGBP Chair), Karen O’Brien, Jozef Pacyna, Anette Reenberg, Thomas Rosswall (ICSU, ex-officio), Sander van der Leeuw (Treasurer), Hebe Vessuri (Vice-Chair), Coleen Vogel, Oran Young (Chair) Invited Participants (IHDP Core Project Officers and ESSP Representatives): Joe Alcamo (GWSP), Ulisses Configlieri (GECHH), Shobhakar Dhakal (GCP), Michail Fragkias (UGEC), Lydia Gates (GWSP), Ann Henderson-Sellers (WCRP Executive Director), John Ingram (GECAFS), Hartwig Kremer (LOICZ), Tobias Langanke (GLP), Fritz Penning de Fries (MAIRS), Kevin Noone (IGBP Executive Director), Martin Rice (ESSP), Heike Schroeder (IDGEC) IHDP Secretariat Staff: Nina Mueller, Lis Mullin, Andreas Rechkemmer (IHDP Executive Director), Falk Schmidt, Laura Siklossy, Douglas Williamson Invited Participants (Observers): Frank Biermann (Institute for Environmental Studies, IVM, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam), Manuel Cesario (University of Franca, Brazil), Jürgen Weichselgärtner (LOICZ) Apologies (Scientific Committee members): John Church (WCRP Chair, ex-officio), Carl Folke, Roland Fuchs (ex-officio), Heide Hackmann (ISSC, ex-officio), Tatiana Kluvankova, Michel Loreau (Diversitas Chair, ex-officio), Roberto Sanchez, Leena Srivastava (as of 1 January 2007), Ernst-Ulrich von Weizsäcker (as of 1 January 2007) Table of Contents Joint Session of the Scientific Committees of IHDP and IGBP 1 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 1 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report 1 Welcome ......................................................................................................................................... 4 2 Project reports from jointly sponsored projects ........................................................................ 4 3 ESSP Joint Projects ...................................................................................................................... 5 4 Core Project Summary .................................................................................................................. 5 5 Brainstorm: IHDP-IGBP Collaboration ........................................................................................ 5 6 IHOPE (Integrated History and Future of People on Earth) ...................................................... 6 7 iLEAPS (Integrated Land Ecosystem-Atmosphere Processes Study) ..................................... 6 8 Brainstorm: Earth System Modelling .......................................................................................... 6 9 WCRP .............................................................................................................................................. 7 10 GCIAR (Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research) ..................................... 7 11 ESSP (Earth System Science Partnership) Issues..................................................................... 7 12 Concluding Remarks, IHDP - IGBP .............................................................................................. 8 13 Report of the Executive Director ................................................................................................ 11 15 MoU with UNU and IHDP Constitution ...................................................................................... 15 16 Presentation of the draft Strategic Plan 2007 – 2015 followed by a chapter-by-chapter review and a general discussion ............................................................................................... 16 17 Discussion on IHDP book series, publishes ............................................................................ 18 18 SC Subsidiary Bodies ................................................................................................................ 19 19 IHDP regional centers of excellence ......................................................................................... 19 20 Discussion on the 7th Open Meeting 2008 ................................................................................ 19 21 IHDP Core Project Presentations ............................................................................................... 21 19 Update on APN, IAI, MRI and PERN ........................................................................................... 24 20 New Scientific Initiatives ............................................................................................................. 24 21 SC Nominations and Ex-officio membership ........................................................................... 31 22 AOB (next SC meeting in 2008) .................................................................................................. 31 Summary of Decisions Made Decision 1: IHDP and IGBP should begin scoping a joint activity on bio fuels. Decision 2: IGBP and IHDP should begin planning a workshop on Integrated Earth System modeling (cf. Decision 10). Decision 3: Several suggestions were agreed upon regarding changes of the wording of IHDP’s Constitution: removing the words “important” in 3.3, “normally” in 2 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 2 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report 2.4 and 2.5, including ICSU and ISSC as members of the Executive Committee (3.2), deleting the words “through the Executive Committee” in 4.3, and changing the wording to say that the SC “governs” all matters of IHDP instead of “guides”. Decision 4: IHDP SC agrees to approve the MoU with the stated reservations regarding independence of the SC under the UNU Council Decision 5: IHDP SC agrees to commission Sander, Kate and Gernot to draft the above-mentioned sections, for inclusion in the text and subject to final approval by the rest of the SC Decision 6: The SC decided to delete the word “Systems Model” from the title of the Cube figure, at the same time strengthening the text and terminology around methodologies. Decision 7: The term “capacity development” is state of the art, so we should use it, but we don’t need to explain why it’s different from capacity building. Decision 8: For section 3.4 and parts of 3.5 of the Strategic Plan – use only one title. From 3.5 take it until the 2 bullet points and “IHDP has a variety of tools”… then also delete 3.6 title. Decision 9: In Section 4 of the Strategic Plan, the SC agreed upon the need to add a short paragraph on making policy relevant proposals Decision 10: Section 4.7 of the Strategic Plan needs a strong argument at the end, what research is needed in order to do this kind of interaction, as well as what should be supported (basic science, applied science, etc). Decision 11: Section 5.1 of the Strategic Plan should look forward more than looking back Decision 12: IHDP should explore the option of launching a scientific book series with MIT Press, making sure to get rights to the electronic documents/ PDF files. Furthermore, UNU Press should be contacted to explore the possibility of a second book series of a more practice-oriented nature. Decision 13: SC agrees to proceed with exploring this committee and contacting interested members (Secretariat) Decision 14: The SC supports the suggestion of extending Karen O’Brien’s term as GECHS chair for the synthesis process, up to 2 more years Decision 15: IHDP will appoint a science planning group for the Integrated Risk Management project, in consultation with the Chinese National Committee of IHDP and also needs input from other key communities. The function is to take this from broad, generic kinds of topics to something more focusable. It will then be circulated to the rest of the SC for more comment. Decision 16: The next stage of the process of for the Earth System Governance project should go forward, with the scientific planning process determining the nature of this proposal later on (core project of IHDP or cross-cutting theme) Decision 17: The SC finds the Vulnerability-Adaptation-Resilience scheme an attractive initiative, it enthusiastically requests the group to carry on and keep the rest of the SC informed about progress and possible decisions to be made Decision 18: The SC agrees to continue talks with Diversitas on a co-sponsored project Decision 19: The SC agrees to co-sponsor IHOPE but needs more research (such as an IGBP-IHDP workshop on coupled earth-system science modelling) before agreeing to sponsor AIMES. Decision 20: the SC endorses the process of involvement in the GECHH process. Decision 21: the SC endorses the nomination of new members Patricia Kmeri Mbote and Liu Yanhua, to start 1 January 2008. 3 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 3 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Decision 22: the SC decides to exceptionally hold its next meeting back to back to the 7th Open Meeting in India in October 2008, with an ad hoc meeting to be held before that date if deemed necessary. The meeting should be kept as short as possible considering the busy schedule that week. The cycle will generally remain every 12 months. Joint Session of the Scientific Committees of IHDP and IGBP Thursday, March 15th, 2007 Welcome Carlos Nobre (Chair, SC-IGBP) and Oran Young (Chair, SC-IHDP) welcomed the participants of both Scientific Committees to Brazil. Kevin Noone (Executive Director, IGBP) and Andreas Rechkemmer (Executive Director, IHDP) also welcomed participants and described their excitement for holding a first joint meeting. Project reports from jointly sponsored projects GLP (Global Land Project) Annette Reenberg (Chair, GLP) described the developments in GLP, which is a new project. Most of the developments are planning, rather than results as it is such a new project. Established Sept 2006 with the IPO at the University of Copenhagen, Denmark. Process of endorsement has been established (12 projects endorsed and 5 pending). There are 2 nodal offices (Japan and UK) with a possibility of a third in China. The offices are expected to have a thematic focus. The project is extremely broad and engages a large variety of communities, which creates challenges. GLP are contacting the former GCTE and LUCC networks (ca. 2600 recipients) as well as new scientists. A number of workshops are planned this year including data and model integration; Danish land system science workshop; globalisation and land use. Discussion Joint meeting with LOICZ was discussed last year with FAO/GTOS on landuse/cover. Has there been any progress? No. Thoughts/discussions on climate change and land-use driving desertification? Yes, would like to develop this, particularly with respect to Africa. How to practically set priorities within the broad scope of the Science Plan? This will be an issue for discussion at the next SSC meeting. LOICZ (Land Ocean Interactions in the Coastal Zone) Jozef Pacyna introduced developments in LOICZ over the past year. The IPO is now settled in Germany and a new Senior Science Coordinator, Jurgen Weichselgartner, has been appointed. LOICZ has developed a Business Plan for 2007-8. They have multiple partnerships within and beyond ESSP. There are a number of corresponding 4 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 4 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report SSC members who act as ambassadors for LOICZ and work closely with the regional nodes. Capacity building is also an important aspect of LOICZ. Three priority areas have been identified for the coming years: linking social and ecological systems in the coastal zone; assessing and predicting impacts on environmental change; linking governance and science in coastal regions. Discussion Pacyna was asked about typological tools eg. GDP, concentration. Bob Buddemeier works on mapping these parameters. Are LOICZ thinking of accommodating the social perception of the threat of sea level rise which is increased since the IPCC report was released? This is included in LOICZ and there will be a meeting “Sea Level Rise – Do we care?”. START (Global Change System for Analysis, Research and Training) No oral report. A written report was presented in the papers. MAIRS (Monsoon Asia Integrated Regional Study) Frits Penning de Vries presented the Monsoon Asia Integrated Regional Study, MAIRS. A science Plan has been published, an SSC formed, IPO established in Beijing and MAIRS is accepted as the first ESSP IRS. A workshop was held on the Mountain Zone with an outcome concluding that we need better modelling in the mountainous regions. Crucial resource management issues are water, energy, food security, biodiversity, air quality and disasters. MAIRS integrates research in 4 zones: coastal, mountain, urban and semi-arid. Workshops for 2007: managing risks of flooding in connection to urban zones; interaction land surface-atmosphere in semiarid zones; cryosphere and natural hazards in the mountain zone; anthropogenic impacts on the Asian monsoon. Participation from core projects is welcome in these workshops. A rolling workplan is regularly distributed to ESSP-partners. Can we find common priorities in Hotspots and Vulnerability? Discussion If you want to look into research hotspots and vulnerability you need to look into the archaeological record. IHOPE are having an Asian workshop next week in Japan, which is an obvious link. Palaeoenvironmental data needs to be investigated to aid realistic prognostic models: this is a powerful link that needs to be made. AIMES/IHOPE have some ideas for working in Monsoon Asia and plan to link to MAIRS. ESSP Joint Projects GWSP (Global Water System Project) Joseph Alcamo described the status of the GWSP. The project has been initiated via a number of Fast Track Activities eg. Assessment of Governance of Water, Digital Water Atlas. Two offices have been established in Asia (Japan and China). Links to core projects of ESSP: LOICZ, IDGEC, GEWEX. The GWSP medium-term strategy has been developed with three global initiatives. There are also a number of communication and capacity building activities. Discussion 5 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 5 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report What is the niche of GWSP with respect to ecology in the freshwater system? It could be a very useful forum for understanding ecosystem goods and services in the freshwater system. Many developing ES models coming from GCM communities are thinking hard about regional downscaling. It would be good to make linkages to these communities. GECHH (Global Environmental Change and Human Health) Ulisses Confalonieri gave an overview of the status of the GECHH. The project is primarily focussed on public health rather than the Earth System. Public health issues range from biology to the social sciences. The Science Plan was launched in Beijing in November 2006. A session was presented at the OSC in Beijing 2006. Negotiations have taken place with IIASA for the establishment of an IPO. Interactions so far have mostly been DIVERSITAS. An SSC needs to be established this year. Links need to be strengthened with ESSP projects and programmes, especially IHDP. Major challenges include the formation of an international network of research centres on GEC & HH and the involvement of scientists from low-income countries. Discussion Martin Rice stressed that the WHO have been heavily involved in the planning of the project. Curious to hear that there are no impacts back to GEC: eg. control of bird species carrying bird flu. Impacts of population on aids has feedbacks to landuse. Human health is more than infectious diseases. This is true. Many, many issues will not be addressed as there needs to be a focus. The focus is on health issues that have an effect on the environment. Air Pollution is a major issue in Asia. It has huge effects on Environmental issues. This is included in the Science Plan. Oran Young stated that the IHDP has not yet endorsed this project – not because if its unimportance – but because they see opportunities to including other issues in this project which are important and offer integrating topics across ESSP. IHDP see a number of economic, cultural, social issues which are important (heat waves, hurricanes affect the vulnerable). A few champions have been identified within IHDP and the Task Force will meet in May to develop this type of input to the project. GCP (Global Carbon Project) Shobhakar Dhakal, Executive Director of the Japan GCP Office, gave an update from the GCP. The budget of the global annual CO2 in the atmosphere calculations resulted in press coverage around the world. Regional carbon budgets are being developed for different parts of the world. Hot spots such as the permafrost areas are areas of study. Vulnerability of frozen carbon and methane hydrates are two new topics. There have been a number of meetings on carbon regional management issues and more are planned for this year. Bio energy and the Earth System is an emerging activity which can be tackled with core projects of the programmes. Workshop/assessment planned for 2007. Interaction within ESSP are with AIMES, CLIC, IDGEC, UGEC, GLP, START, GECAFS, GWSP. Discussion 6 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 6 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Can there be developments using the emissions scenarios of IPCC? There is no current plan, although some SSC members are heavily involved in these scenarios. IPCC has until now created its own scenarios. Now they have decided to consult over development of these scenarios (experts meeting Sept 07). ESSP C&D decided to do something about giving input to this, but we are failing so far. It is a tricky issue and needs to be tackled by ESSP. Another question is whether land use will be prescribed in the scenarios too. Within ESSP we lack an active economics community, but otherwise we are a useful umbrella/forum for these discussions. C&D wrote to IPCC offering this, but IPCC have not yet picked up on the offer. IGBP would also like to participate in the bio fuels topic, although this is much broader than carbon. GECAFS (Global Environmental Change and Food Systems) John Ingram updated the SC on developments in GECAFS. He introduced the conceptual and methodological research and policy-relevant research at a regional level. GECAFS research supports regional policy formulation by agenda setting, building scenarios, assessing vulnerability, identifying adaptation and analysing feedbacks. He described the GECAFS Southern Africa Science Plan which was developed with networking help from the ICSU regional office. Ingram outlined some issues on which he would like to develop better collaboration with the core projects. There will be a GECAFS OSC in April 2008. Discussion Are there needs to develop networks in Indonesia and China, large countries in Asia? The priority is to start with some pilot projects which were outlined. There is the need to have a marine part of GECAFS. Yes, it is throughout the science plan, developed in collaboration with the core projects. We also need to understand the use of marine food eg. to feed terrestrial animals. GLOBEC input to GECAFS is active and continually welcomed. Links with the water system and carbon/energy (eg. via bio fuels) must be important too. Are these being considered? GECAFS are ready and expectant for ESSP organisation to be in place to have a proper forum to discuss exactly these issues. Malnourished people are more susceptible to disease. Is this being considered. Yes, this is a strong link between GECAFS and GECHH. Core Project Summary Kevin Noone and Andreas Rechkemmer each gave a presentation describing the projects of each programme and cross-cutting themes. Brainstorm: IHDP-IGBP Collaboration Kevin Noone introduced the topic with some provocative questions: What questions does your community have that cannot be addressed without input and collaboration with the other community? What would you most like to know about the other community? What is your greatest stereotype of the other community? The meeting broke into small groups to discuss these questions and report back to the plenary. Discussion 7 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 7 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Stereotype: that the other community was stereotyping us! A glossary could help us communicate. Collaboration opportunities: scenarios; air pollution/population growth, interaction of urbanisation/ megacities with human health and climate (IGAC, UGEC, GECHH, LOICZ, DIVERSITAS); bio fuels: scenarios and consequences (land-use, climate); aerosols/air quality and health; ozone and health; land-use and development in the tropics. Stereotypes: thought IHDP would be closer to the stakeholders. We need the ability to have a rapid response on key issues: bring together people quickly to address hot topics. Communication to decision makers is to be reinforced. We need to work at a regional/local scale for this rather than global. IMBER tried to write a theme to involve the human dimension in their science plan and tried to do this in collaboration with social scientists from IHDP, but got no response. We need to create mechanisms to make communication flow. Rechkemmer proposed emailing project Executive Officers and Secretariat staff members who will respond. Human relationships count. Rice proposed that IHDP identify a Secretariat liaison person to IGBP. Martin Rice is happy to be cc.’d as ESSP coordinator. Oran Young suggested phrasing questions that cannot be answered without input from both communities. Big questions need to be framed in ordinary language. All of the big questions (eg. posed by policymakers) need to be addressed by all communities. What does IHDP need from PAGES: the results ie. what has happened to climate in the past and what will happen in the future. What does PAGES need from IHDP: what are the mechanisms to get societies to change. Science Communication: how to get the information from the peer-reviewed literature to the policymaker – IHDP study this. Important to have people from both communities when setting agenda. Important to understand processes and interactions at the science-policy interface (IHDP study this). How do we change human habits? Social scientists can help with this. We need to improve on communication and responsiveness. We need to find ways to bridge questions of methodology (modelling, scenario building, operational measures). We must identify focused questions of strong interest to both communities (eg. bio fuels). There is interest and communication around the science-policy practice relationships. IHOPE (Integrated History and Future of People on Earth) Kathy Hibbard described the IHOPE Project which started in 2005 at a Dahlem conference. A Research Plan has been drafted and a Secretariat is funded in Stockholm. A first Asian IHOPE meeting will take place in Japan next week. Hibbard described the development of the dataset of archaeological to climate data and the evolution of the project. Discussion Sander van der Leeuw has worked on a number of models for IHOPE at a regional level which match well the Earth System Models. The data in the IHOPE system contains a huge wealth of archaeological data which is the only way to follow a civilisation over time. 8 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 8 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Humanity is very resilient to GEC. If you redefine crisis (to become the incapacity of society to deal with GEC) you move towards multicausality of crises rather than concluding single causes. Humanity may end up in a similar crisis to previous civilisations in the future. It seems that a lot of societal change in the past depends on how that society is subsidised from elsewhere. However, if current society cannot depend on subsidy from elsewhere, perhaps we cannot be compared with the past. Energy and matter create flows within society. However, it is language, knowledge, culture that keep a society together. Civilisations can disappear when people move away. We need to look at the modelling tools we have (from all sorts of developments in different research fields as well as elsewhere) and see which tools are best for addressing these questions. IHOPE are in the process of identifying a further number of datasets. iLEAPS (Integrated Land Ecosystem-Atmosphere Processes Study) Pavel Kabat gave a short presentation on iLEAPS and potential interactions with the IHDP community through the aerosol, clouds, aerosols precipitation project. Brainstorm: Earth System Modelling Kathy Hibbard presented some perspectives from AIMES on Earth System Modelling. Joint activities have been ongoing with WGCM (WCRP) and a number of other groups (IPCC, SPARC, IGAC). The idea is to turn the models on its head: instead of using WG3 scenarios to derive climate change, take climate changes and calculate emissions and therefore socio-economic scenarios. Another idea is Simple Integrated Models – integrating socio-economics. Modelling ecosystem goods and services is another form of integrated modelling being conducted within AIMES. A long-system agenda is needed. Discussion A new generation of models is required, rather than just tweaking existing models in the different communities. How do we resolve this? We need to come up with a new community which can be harvested from the visionaries in the existing communities and new people from eg. the policy community. Not all topics or types of models can be forced into this. Perhaps bio fuels however is suitable for this approach. We should get the communities together and talk about it and decide what we can do and what we can’t. From the economic side, we are working in bottomup mode, working on a small scale. It will be very difficult to upscale this, but we should talk about it. Maybe the name ESM should be reconsidered as in the different communities this means different things. The MIT Global Forum model could be a useful prototype. WCRP Ann Henderson-Sellers gave a presentation on WCRP. IPCC is a big activity for WCRP and there will be workshops this year with GCOS on developments following AR4 and towards AR5. 2008 is WCRP’s crisis year: larger than ever need for climate research but serious financial crisis. WCRP with GEO are going to archive the best results from IPY. WCRP network survey 2006 results were shown: some of the negative feedback could also relate to the other programmes. Merger with IGBP was frequently suggested. Ann introduced the white paper written by Lemke and Steffen 9 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 9 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report (discussed in IGBP meeting agenda item 8), particularly the need for an ESSP Secretariat. WCRP priorities 2008-2011 from strategic plan: abrupt climate change, comprehensive observations, ability to predict and move into policy, higher resolution models and more computing power/skill, seasonal climate predictions for agriculture and health, access to observing systems, higher resolution models. Discussion Nobre summarised the discussions at the IGBP-SC on the topic of WCRPIGBP merger. GCIAR (Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research) John Ingram and Steve Running presented the outcomes of a meeting between the CGIAR and ESSP scientists. GCIAR is a group of donor organisations and agricultural centres (5 million USD annual budget). A meeting was held of 15 CGIAR scientists (1 per centre), 15 GEC scientists (from across projects of the programmes incl. reps from the SCs) and 8 others. It was funded 50:50 by ESSP and CGIAR. The aims were to identify priority areas for active collaboration. The priority research themes identified were: hotspots of vulnerability in food systems; food security vs. bio energy vs. carbon credits; agro-ecosystem adaptation to climate change that improve productivity and sustainability; managing tropical lands for reduced greenhouse gas emissions and poverty alleviation; cross-scale stakeholder engagement; and crossscale policy analysis for mitigation and adaptation and agricultural development. If we are serious about continuing this collaboration we need to find 50:50 support from ESSP Secretariat and GCIAR. ESSP (Earth System Science Partnership) Issues ESSP Governance It has been decided that there will be a Scientific Committee for ESSP. The C&D have asked ICSU to appoint 4 members of that committee including the Chair (Rick Leemans, Neth), which has been done in very close consultation with the programmes. Other members include the Chairs and Directors of the 4 Programmes, representatives of the Joint Projects, MAIRS and START. They meet for the first time in October 2007. ICSU Review of ESSP Thomas Rosswall introduced the Terms of Reference for the review of ESSP, the review panel (Chaired by Louise Fresco) presented in the papers. The Panel will meet in April and October, in conjunction with the new ESSP SC which meets for the first time in October. The review will be finalised early 2008. At the same time reviews are being taken place of WCRP and IGBP. These reviews are to aid the development of the programmes/partnership, but also to inform the funding agencies. Discussion Adrian Fernandez is at this meeting to interview people about ESSP in relation to the review. ESSP Institute Kevin Noone presented some preliminary ideas developed at the 2005 IGFA (International Group of Funding Agencies for Global Environmental Change) meeting. An Earth System Institute could provide a focus for the ESSP both from a scientific and resource perspective. It could provide a complement to the current distributed network organisation. Create an IIASA-like research institute for GEC. Potential 10 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 10 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report structure would include: an institute with permanent research staff from the areas of the 4 programmes; a regular programme of visiting senior scientists and post-docs; a physical location (associated with a major university) with support staff and infrastructure; home for the ESSP Secretariat. Discussion The USNSF started a similar national centre 10 years ago in Santa Barbara which is extremely successful. It would be useful to talk to them about the development as the original concept is similar to this (Steve Running). It is focussed almost entirely on the natural sciences, but it is evolving to involve the social scientists. There are other research institutions in the world with these goals in mind (eg. PIK, Tyndall, Quest). What added value would the institute have? We could physically go there to do our work. Concluding Remarks Andreas Rechkemmer and Oran Young made a few suggestions for concrete areas of collaboration/communication: IHDP has a visiting scientist from France (physicist by training but masters in science communication). She will be responsible for communication with ESSP, IGBP etc. IHDP are already planning a meeting in Santa Barbara with a focus on energy. Propose that it is done jointly and focus on bio fuels. IGBP and IHDP should start a joint activity on GEC and vulnerability (perhaps a Dahlem workshop) A joint workshop should take place on Integrated ES modelling. Carlos Nobre added that he believes that there is not too much of a language barrier. The joint activities we have are proof of that. Some of the ideas emerging from this joint session are excellent. IGBP are particularly interested in pursuing collaboration on bio fuels. This is of particular interest to Brazil. We identify that adaptation/mitigation is becoming crucial. We should pursue more concrete steps on this. Carlos Nobre thanked Kevin Noone and Andreas Rechkemmer to make this meeting happen and to the logistic organisers, Jean Ometto, Sri Sahlin and Isabel Ávila. Decision 2: IHDP and IGBP should begin scoping a joint activity on bio fuels. Decision 2: IGBP and IHDP should begin planning a workshop on Integrated Earth System modeling (cf. Decision 10). ACTION 1: IGBP and IHDP Secretariats to develop joint activities/meetings on bio fuels and Earth System modelling. Friday, 16 March 11 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 11 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report The SC received the latest version of the Strategic Plan, in track changes mode in order to review the progression of and reasoning behind the document. It was explained that the idea for this Strategic Plan was brought up at the 13 th IHDP SC meeting Norwich, and that it was discussed at length in a draft form at the Officers and Project Leaders Meeting in Beijing, which also drafted the mission statement and goals of the document, as well as by the rest of the SC in the months since then by email. These edits were compiled in the IHDP Secretariat by Falk Schmidt, and editing done by Douglas Williamson. Significant discussion and input was given by the entire SC towards updating and streamlining the Strategic Plan. After lengthy discussion in the large group, several small groups or individuals drafted text to feed into the Strategic Plan. These suggestions were built into the document (again in track changes mode) and were promised to be circulated within approximately 2 weeks of the meeting in order to meet final approval from the SC. Report of the Executive Director Andreas Rechkemmer (IHDP Executive Director) presented the past year’s activity report and outlook. These documents were then handed out separately as print-outs of a power point presentation and covered the following topics: 1) A list of decisions made at last year’s SC and worked on since then. These included the development of IHDP’s strategic plan; an exploration of the UNUIHDP link ; the decision to highlight ESSP joint decisions (which led to the joint meeting in Brazil); the decision to strengthen the IHDP Executive Committee; a call for new scientific initiatives, new research themes, scouting workshops, and outreach to new communities; increased publications and outreach activities; a focus on the science-policy link (leading to the Berne workshop in September) and the upcoming first Bonn Dialogue in April; and finally the SC decision to support a UK National Committee, which was re-founded in October 2) Two new SC members: Ernst von Weiszäcker and Leena Srivastava 3) The recommendations at the last SC meeting in Norwich helped IHDP move towards a new institutional setup: an MOU between UNU, ISSC and ICSU is now in place, and IHDP is now part of UNU at UN campus with other UN offices in Bonn 4) A challenging funding situation still exists: BMBF did cut funds by 25% last year, but the Secretariat is still functioning at its normal level thanks to the move to UN and its tax advantages. In addition, there are negotiations being undertake n with other players for funding, including China, India, Japan, UK, and the EU 5) Several project accomplishments: GLP and UGEC are up and running, GECHS and IT are starting to prepare for their synthesis, so new projects are needed 12 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 12 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report 6) IHDP has also been paving the way for new scientific endeavors and crosscutting themes, and is likely to join the GECHSS project, as well as a possible connection to AIMES and iHOPE, a possible project with Diversitas on Human Dimensions of Biodiversity, and is exploring engagement in the sustainable development community 7) Finally, IHDP has been exploring links with the science-policy interface, through its Berne workshop, Bonn Dialogue series, an upcoming Health Conference, and others 8) The 7th IHDP Open Meeting is set to take place 9-12 October 2008 in New Delhi India. TERI is the local host and Dr. RK Pachauri has agreed to be cochair of the scientific planning committee. Dr. Leena Srivastava is on the international committee and also chair of the local planning committee. It is expected that significant support from the Indian government can be won – to this end, Andreas and are travelling to India in May to meet with local partners and government. 9) Budget: Disregarding fund specifically for the 5th IHDW in Chiang Mai, IHDP’s income in 2006 was around US $1.6 million. Expenditures for 2006 were around $1.5 million, leaving $100,000 for a strategic backup. 2007 budget expectations and income from core contributions are slightly higher than last year, in spite of cuts from Germany. Sander van der Leeuw is the new treasurer It was further noted that financial management at UNU is better equipped for IHDP’s kind of international work than was the case at the University of Bonn The fundraising strategy includes plan to diversify and broaden funding, out to other agencies in addition to national research agencies, as well as regional/ intergovernmental institutions, foundations, and the private sector. In addition, more possibilities will be explored to apply for longer-term project funding such as through the EU 10) As part of the Strategic Plan exercise, IHDP is also looking at its capacity development strategy, moving away from the term of capacity building. IHDP would like to broaden its activities in this area, reaching out to the sustainable development science community, including not just the global South but also the EU and North America. “Capacity Development”, as opposed to capacity building, purposely broadens the notion to include networks in the global North, reaching out to new audiences and targets, including the sustainable development science community 11) The 5th IHDW took place from 13-26 October in Chiang Mai, Thailand, on the topic of “Water, trade and development,” with IDGEC taking on the lead scientific role for the workshop. The IHDW was successful in creating a few 13 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 13 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report new linkages that we hadn’t had before, as well as strengthening ties to APN (which will be important for the next Open Meeting) 12) Seed grant initiative: 3 seed grants were given in 2006, each around $5,000 – for national workshops in Tanzania and Uganda, and an IHDP/ MRI side event in Mendoza in August. A final $5,000 for 2007 will be given for a national human dimensions workshop in Argentina in August. 13) 2006 was good year for IHDP regarding its national committees, as well as a new structuring of the Secretariat to have several people be contact points for key national committees such as UK, US, France, Norway and China instead of one person handling all activities. This diversification of Secretariat capabilities resulted in several personal meetings with national committees, linked to funding talks in the UK, US, France, China and Norway 14) Science-practice interface: A consultant (Johanna Bernstein in Brussels) was hired to review the relevant section in the Strategic Plan, Chapter 4, and give advice to IHDP on its specific niche and processes it could tap into. After Berne, there are plans to turn this Science-Policy dialogue into a series, perhaps the next one focusing on energy (perhaps biofuels) 15) Along these lines, the Bonn Dialogues on Global Environmental Change is a new series of expert roundtables combined with public panel discussions, in cooperation with UNU-EHS and other relevant local partners. The first event on “Climate change: control adapt or flee?” will take place on April 17th, and more information can be found at www.bonn-dialogues.org 16) Communications and outreach: A new format for the IHDP Update newsletter as well as the IHDP website, perhaps with a member zone, is being drafted. IHDP has a new logo, as agreed upon by the Executive SC – this will be circulated within the next few weeks. Discussion on the report of the Executive Director Concern was expressed that regarding IHDP’s new logo and website, the ESSP common image still needed to be upheld. This was confirmed by the Executive Director and it was mentioned that the current website suggestions were in draft form only As the power point presentation was difficult to see, print-outs were also made for the SC members so they could look at them overnight and come back the next day with questions Questions were raised about the Bonn Dialogues and who sets the agenda for them, as well as a request to inform the SC well in advance so that long-term planning can be done. Furthermore, for the next Bonn Dialogue, if IPY is involved, IHDP should consult with other players (ICSU). Finally, once the Strategic Plan is set, it should guide such future efforts. 14 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 14 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Andreas Rechkemmer noted that this is very much a Bonn-placed event, and that the Science-Policy Workshop is an idea stemming from Norwich, linked to the Strategic Planning Process, which has now evolved into a series of workshops. It was also noted that IHDP is one of three organizers and that the potential themes have been brought up in a planning meeting context. Unfortunately there wasn’t time to consult the SC for this first one, but in the future this will certainly be different. On the financial issue, a question was raised as to the BMBF grant for 100,000 in the budget, and also money allocated for knowledge and social learning. These figures should be made more clear in future budgets. Andreas Rechkemmer noted that the cross-cutting theme is a Siebenhühner initiative and it’s his budget, but he would like to work with us. Also, the 100,000 included in the budget was earmarked for the move to Langer Eugen. Regarding the IHDP UPDATE, in the future 3 are foreseen per year, as well as 3 e-zines. There was some confusion about calling this a “peer-reviewed” journal, which is not, but a peer-reviewed book series and policy brief could still be good tools. Another suggestion (LOICZ) was for an information digest, geared toward different communities. Finally, it was noted that the UPDATE is well established and is well positioned to produce useful knowledge and findings, especially with the help of guest editors. Saturday, 17th March Chair: Roberto Guimaraes Discussion on the UNU agreement Some background and clarification of the agreement with UNU was also requested by the SC, at which point the Chair explained that as of a year ago, the association was not yet that clear and covered a wide range of options from UNU acting as a mere “landlord” to IHDP becoming part of UNU. The resulting agreement is something between those extremes. Back at Norwich an ad hoc committee was formed, including representatives from the SC, core projects and staff, as well as representatives from existing sponsors. After the options were explored, in late September the group recommended that UNU become a third sponsor and more than a landlord, providing more substance, but not advocating a merger of the organizations. Here it was very important that IHDP maintain its autonomy and independent SC. Furthermore, lengthy discussions were help with BMBF and the University of Bonn to make sure that IHDP wouldn’t be “punished” for this move. Several questions were raised on what exactly the trade-offs and compromises were in negotiating with UNU, as well as whether the MoU was already in force or not - i.e., if certain terms could still be negotiated 15 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 15 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Concern was also raised over the independence of the SC as stipulated on page 2, point 6, whereby the SC would be under the UNU Council. Oran Young noted that the MoU is not yet formally in force. The terms are firm, the document will be signed. Thus, the Secretariat was already moved as well. People became also a bit impatient with the negation process. Geoff’s question is not easy to answer. We think we are better positioned now with the agreement. So: it’s good, given the overall German situation (BMBF). The MoU is a compromise, yes, but all major points of ours are in, i.e. we keep our independence, operate under our own constitution. Andreas Rechkemmer commented that we had an oral agreement after the meeting in Bonn, June 2006. It was another step to get the written draft. We kept our autonomy, both of the SC and financial autonomy. There are a few details which are a bit problematic. We are quite happy now that UNU agreed as well. Thomas Rosswall also reminded the group that the MoU is an agreement between the three sponsors, praising Oran’s work in this process ICSU and ISSC had quite early a draft. We went back and forth on several issues, but ultimately the independence was kept. We used an existing MoU with WCRP. Yes, this is the best what we can get, and we should sign it now. ICSU and ISSC will watch carefully. It was also noted that trust is important on both sides: Hebe Vessuri, who is also on UNU’s Council, mentioned that usually there is no interference of UNU with the UNU centres - This is a fact, although the wording sometimes seems a bit different. And: we have two other sponsors. I am optimistic. Roberto Guimaraes reiterated while it is true that this is an agreement between the sponsors, the SC committee was also very much involved as well, which is very good. Yes, there is a heavy burden on trust. It was also noted that the MoU has certain implications for IHDP’s constitution, whereby Oran reminded the group that IHDP’s constitution can be modified by the SC to reflect the new situation – this should also be agreed upon at the same time as the MoU is agreed. Concern was raised about UNU’s presence in the Executive Committee, and it was agreed upon by the SC that the Executive Committee does not make special decisions, it simply is a pragmatic tool to implement decisions of the SC between meetings Finally, concern was raised regarding section 4.2, whether the UN post would require only UN bureaucrats to fill it, or would there be freedom to select good “outside” scientists as well Decision 3: Several suggestions were agreed upon regarding changes of the wording of IHDP’s Constitution: removing the words “important” in 3.3, “normally” in 2.4 and 2.5, including ICSU and ISSC as members of the Executive Committee (3.2), 16 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 16 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report deleting the words “through the Executive Committee” in 4.3, and changing the wording to say that the SC “governs” all matters of IHDP instead of “guides”. Decision 4: IHDP SC agrees to approve the MoU with the stated reservations regarding independence of the SC under the UNU Council ACTION 2: IHDP SC members to hand in further suggestions, if any, to revise the Constitution to the Secretariat for incorporation in the text Draft Strategic Plan 2007 – 2015 Discussion and chapter-by-chapter review It was noted that the process of deciding upon the general structure of the SP is a long one – starting at the last SC meeting in Norwich, continued at Berne, through the OPL in Beijing. That has resulted in the current draft divided in its 5 chapters. This document is meant to provide a framework to steer our work, not prescribe it – which also has implications for new projects. Special care should be taken to pay attention to emerging issues, with much discussion surrounding this. Regarding section 2.3, Sander suggested and drafted with Kate 5 questions creating a mechanism to improve IHDP’s look at societal problems – addressing the need to develop a truly social science perspective on major issues, such as climate change. This would highlight the unique contribution of IHDP, establishing a coherent theoretical framework beyond sectoral case studies. Need also to address multiple timescales and cultural dynamics Gernot Klepper also suggested and drafted a section on looking at the social issues/ research questions and priorities of IHDP over the next 10 years We need to make this a language understandable by outside readers, particularly potential funders and other partners – they are eagerly awaiting the results of this exercise. The Strategic Plan is fairly generic, so we also need some kind of memo saying what are our new scientific initiatives at various stages of development Andreas Rechkemmer clarified that it is also foreseen in this draft to have an Executive Summary, perhaps there is also room for a summary for decision makers to make it more applicable/ relevant for them Decision 5: IHDP SC agrees to commission Sander, Kate and Gernot to draft the above-mentioned sections, for inclusion in the text and subject to final approval by the rest of the SC ACTION 3: IHDP Secretariat to draft an implementation strategy for the Scientific Plan, delineating priorities and action plans in short (1-2 year) time frames, based on and as a subset to the Strategic Plan text Discussion: Mission Statement in the Strategic Plan 17 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 17 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report There followed a very in-depth, detailed discussion on the points listed in the Mission Statement, including the creation of several new points and merging or editing of others. This made the text more coherent and less repetitive, with the aim of making this section attractive and understandable to outside readers and policy makers. ACTION 4 IHDP Secretariat to gather all suggestions from the SC, make changes to the text, and re-circulate among the SC members for final approval on the wording of the Strategic Plan. Discussion Strategic Plan (cont’d) It was noted in the Strategic Plan that placing a new emphasis on the issues in section 3, and especially on the science-policy interface, would have implications for the budget and the staff as well. It’s an issue of reallocation of resources. For this, additional resources must be found. Kate Brown raised a further question about section 2.2, and the examples it lists. Oran Young then noted that some revision must be needed here, since it was intended as a means to connect their work with the GEC community. It’s about a strong relationship with the overall social science. We have to interest prominent social scientist in our agenda Finally, the group discussed the usefulness of the “cube” figure, expressing some concern that the methods are problematic and the logic of its three dimensions would suggest that each project is or should be working on each of the cross-cutting themes. Decision 6: The SC decided to delete the word “Systems Model” from the title of the Cube figure at the same time strengthening the text and terminology around methodologies. ACTION 5: Oran Young and/ or Kate Brown to provide a paragraph on connecting the Global Environmental Change community with the rest of the social science community for inclusion in the Strategic Plan Chair: Geoff Dabelko Discussion on Strategic Plan (cont’d), on a chapter-by-chapter basis Decision 7: The term “capacity development” is state of the art, so we should use it, but we don’t need to explain why it’s different from capacity building. Decision 8: For section 3.4 and parts of 3.5 – use only one title. From 3.5 take it until the 2 bullet points and “IHDP has a variety of tools”… then also delete 3.6 title. Decision 9: in Section 4, we need to add a short paragraph on making policy relevant proposals ACTION 6: Gernot Klepper and/ or Geoff Dabelko to address the science-policy interaction (not interface) in more detail, add other actors 18 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 18 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Decision 10: Section 4.7 needs a strong argument at the end, what research is needed in order to do this kind of interaction, as well as what should be supported (basic science, applied science, etc). Decision 11: Section 5.1 should not read like a history lesson, it should look forward as a Strategic Plan ACTION 7: This section to be re-written to be more forward-looking Discussion on publications While the general merit of books itself was debated, it was agreed that a book series of high quality would be beneficial. Oran is currently negotiating with MIT Press over an IDGEC synthesis series, and the same could be considered with UNU press. Perhaps a joint series, or two series? There was discussion surrounding the fact that MIT is academically better, but UNU is reaching out to other communities – and open access is important. Such books are important for synthesis volumes, but also for attracting young scientists and are still necessary in many fields if you want to get tenure. Decision 12: IHDP should explore MIT this time, making sure to get rights to the electronic documents/ PDF files. ACTION 8: The Executive Director should work out a concept note/ strategy for future publications, including the idea of perhaps affiliating IHDP with a journal and the concept of a policy brief March 18, 2007 Chair: Hebe Vessuri Discussion: Subsidiary bodies Background (Andreas Rechkemmer): at Norwich we discussed the science-policy interaction, also the idea of building this into our Strategic Plan as well as two subsidiary committees. The idea is that we could invite a few eminent persons in science as well as policy, such as Hal Mooney, Klaus Toepfer, Roger Kaspersson, etc. Decision 13: SC agrees to proceed with exploring this committee and contacting interested members (Secretariat) Discussion: centers of regional excellence Background (Andreas Rechkemmer) regarding regional centers of excellence: many organizations (ICSU, and also projects such as GLP or LOICZ) have regional nodes or offices. This can be tricky because sometimes donors don’t like to see a proliferation of organizational costs. However, we think IHDP should start thinking about regional representation in the form of scientific hubs or centers of excellence 19 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 19 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report where IHDP science is already strongly represented. Combing a system of excellence with a regional could be a good one, but we must have a special body for this. Heike Schroeder noted that another potential service could be to provide textbooks or teaching materials for dissemination of IHDP findings, which could be a good way to distribute and get the research out there Some concern was raised that we have to explore this idea very carefully so that we don’t compete with existing centers of excellence. Also, investing in this kind of thing takes a lot of funds and manpower We could look at existing examples and possibly tie into that ACTION 9: The Executive Director/ Secretariat should work out a concept note/ strategy for IHDP centers of excellence, taking stock of current IHDP presence/ specialization at universities and how they might play a stronger regional role Discussion: 7th Open Meeting, October 2008 in India Background (Andreas Rechkemmer): In a few minutes we have at teleconference set up with new SC member Leena Srivastava to discuss the next Open Meeting and give us an update on OM planning. The last OM set a trend, a landmark for future meetings, in Bonn. Lis will continue leading this effort, and Nina will also be involved, as well as a student intern. We submitted a proposal to APN for two assistants to help with capacity-building efforts, one in Bonn and on in Delhi. TERI is the local host and organizer, and the IHDP Secretariat will be handling the organizational planning. There will be 2 organizing committees, one local committee in India, and the other interrnational scientific planning committee. This ISPC will meet for the first time in Bonn at the end of June and will be co-chaired by Oran and RK Pachauri, including representation from each of our core projects and a few other eminent people, for example from the Wuppertal Institute, Tom Burns Iban Chabay, Sander and also Kasperson have been invited. For all of our projects, even if they cannot attend personally it would be important for them to be on the committee or as in past years, delegate this task to a member of their SSC. Comments: Frank Biermann commented that we all enjoyed Bonn a lot, but there could be better selection for the abstracts next time, leading to better quality and results Coleen Vogel said that one of the tensions is that this community is very bottom up and there is a huge pool out there, so we haven’t wanted to close the door to the huge feeding mechanism from the outside, introducing new ways of thinking. When we’re more internal we restrict this nurturing growth. We should showcase IHDP, but also invite non-IHDP scientists Heike Schroeder noted that at the Bonn OM, the projects had an open role, what about for next OM? This helped strengthen the IHDP branding, but we don’t want it to be IHDP dominated. What is the best balance? Andreas Rechkemmer reminded the group that at the 12th SC meeting, we made a decision that the OM is the IHDP meeting, with a stress on IHDP. However, the rest is left up to the planning committee. There is expected to 20 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 20 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report certainly be a regional focus in Asia, and also on our cross cutting themes, plus of course there should be a focus on our existing projects Teleconference with Leena Srivastava: Leena Srivastava commented that they have made local arrangements for October, we are making hotel bookings done in 3 or 4 months, with a large range of options. Andreas Rechkemmer noted that the dates are the 8th of October, an evening opening ceremony, and then the conference from the 9-12th at the Habitat Centre in New Delhi. The location is also reserved from 5th to 8th for pre-OM training seminars. Leena Srivastava informed the group that the largest auditorium has 500 seats. For plenary and meetings, we could also have a link with other room there Andreas mentioned that the dates for the ISPC are 22-24 of June in Bonn, and the main themes will be drafted. We will also have electronic connection for those who are interested in participating that way. In a few weeks, Lis and I will also meet you in Delhi. Now to fundraising. Leena Srivastava commented that we should be able to get the government of India on board and maybe some funding for Asian participants, dinners and things. We have also had preliminary discussions with the University of Japan, and they have expressed an interest. We should return to them when we have more set. Andreas Rechkemmer reiterated that the Indian government is a key player, once we have oral consent then we can have trilateral MoU with TERI, Indian government, and IHDP Oran Young asked if we know some of the Indian committee members? Leena responded that other members are currently are in TERI’s tech and information sections and that she can forward a list of further suggestions. We should also have ministers of finance technology and environment. Oran requested whether there are University connections? For Outreach? Leena responded that yes, we could invite university people who are doing IHDP type work for outreach to other universities Andreas noted that since we now have Sander as treasurer, we should put our heads together for fundraising. Discussion: Lis reminded the group that in Bonn, the largest room we had seated 550, which was big enough although we had over 1,000 people registered and paid. There was also discussion that this OM should be interesting and different. 21 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 21 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Hebe Vessuri noted that this time we should try to raise the quality Shobhakar Dhakal mentioned that he has been to the Habitat Center, they have everything there. We could also have a connection to the Tokyo university and mitigation initiative. I will meet the relevant person next week and mit initiative Heike Schroeder noted that recognizing our three pillars, I see capacity development at the next OM, but what about science-policy interaction, how do we best involve policy makers? In Bali, some came, but we should start thinking about this early, have a liaison on the committee Hebe Vessuri suggested approaching DevNet for outreach efforts- they have an office in the Habitat Center Karen O’Brien noted that after the last meeting we had a book idea which and fizzled out. We should think about this beforehand, what kinds of things are going to be published out of it? Jose Moreira wanted to know how will the OM be organized as to core projects? Andreas: There will be 4 ways to engage: 1) oral presentations and posters, 2) plenaries like at the last OM showcasing our projects, 3) side event, for which rooms will be available, and 4) pre -open meeting training workshops, this time with START. IT has already expressed interest in doing one of the workshops Core project presentations IDGEC Heike Schroeder presented the IDGEC Synthesis as a process that started two years previously to make sure we cover all important things. It had 3 goals: 1) showcasing our results, 2) exploring the policy relevance, and 3) identifying key themes for future research in this field for new projects In Bali, we focused on two geographical areas: the polar regions and Southeast Asia. Pre conference workshops to strengthen collaboration. During the conference itself, one day was dedicated to a synthesis of research from the science plan of IDGEC, also asking respondents to respond to research, not only scientists but also knowledge brokers. Then half a day for applied research activities, not only IDGEC but also from a wider community. Then there was a half day of policy and learning, co-chaired by the Ministry of Environment of Indonesia. The last day was dedicated to next steps from institutional change to looking at new steps Several outcomes came from the IDGEC main themes of fit, interplay and scale (please see IDGEC slides). Discussion 22 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 22 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Questions from Hebe Vessuri and Andreas Rechkemmer: what is the publication strategy? Answer: we thought about a series, an IHDP series, but making it happen might take longer than we would like, so that is not an option now. With MIT we will have several volumes Oran Young: one of these publications will come out as a UNU publication, one of the other volumes may or may not be a UNU publication, but main vehicle will be MIT press. They will make a mechanism to show these belong to the same set of publications. The IDGEC project now needs to some to an end- the money is out, a few final determinations are still following from the Bali conference, but the basic continuing funding is finished. Heike is now off to Oxford, and we will be making a proposal for how to carry this kind of research forward Falk Schmidt. The conference was a big success, and IDGEC attracted 6 of the 9 IHDP projects Oran noted that this was a tricky conference, 1 synthesis, people there by invite, the 2 we wanted it to be open, so we called for sub missions, was very successful, new people were interested in the major findings and also initiating new things, lots if interest. A note of thanks and recognition to Heike, Oran, Frank Biermann and Agus Sari GECHS Karen O’Brien passed out a page on future plans, with a highlight of activities for the year . GECHS has existed since 1999. We haven’t always followed our science plan but have developed into a strong network of human security people. In December we got funding from Norwegian research council for adaptation to climate change. Adaptation as a social process in Norway but also international. Project objectives were describe (see slides) Upcoming international workshop: Shifting the discourse to ethics and equity, June 21-23. There is a larger question of where GECHS is going. Our current funding goes until July 2008, if we extend and go through a synthesis process, the Norweigan research council could probably be convinced to fund the synthesis. Do we follow the IDGEC model for winding down? How does project fit into IHDP phase 2? And where does IHDP see GECHS fitting in? Discussion Oran Young noted that the normal practice is to have a maximum of 2 terms of 6 years each, but in exceptional cases, we can adjust, I think we can see that Karen should be extended for some time as chair Karen O’Brien stated she could be interested for perhaps another 18 months, we can see what the SSC of GECHS has to say 23 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 23 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Decision 14: The SC supports the suggestion of extending Karen O’Brien’s term as GECHS chair for the synthesis process, maybe 2 more years IT Jose Moreira presented an activity report on the Industrial Transformation project. Metastudy in Asia, and 6 papers to be published. Other research has been done on water use by region from 1995 – 2025, as well as energy use in emerging economies (see slides for more details). Are also approaching our end phase and synthesis process Discussion Andreas Rechkemmer: the Secretariat needs to start the planning process now for IT’s synthesis process, and on IT’s side it would be good to think beyond winding down - how do you want to develop the cross-cutting themes of thresholds and transitions? It would be good to have a meeting in Delhi next year to discuss this pre synthesis workshop UGEC Michail Fragkias presented on the Urbanization project. Progress report, details on four key themes and activities presented on slides. Discussion: Andreas Rechkemmer: How can the Secretariat and the SC support the UGEC project? Michail: we could increase number of activities, right now only 2 SSC members are committed so far to leading activities, plus we could have some support from Bonn for a workshop in Bonn. Coleen Vogel: How are your relations with Dan Severez and other members of ASU? Michail: Most of my initial activity has been to meet everyone at ASU, now involved in discussions with other faculty members; many will become project associates or have other special roles. The SSC meeting is important and it is soon – there we are going to discuss these chances for interactions. The Dan Severez group is different and outside. MRI ,PERN, APN and IAI Andreas Rechkemmer: PERN has submitted a fact sheet, which you can find in your briefing books. MRI has not submitted one, but we are working together for submissions on a possible new initiative/ project in the Swiss mountains. APN and IAI are key funders of IHDP, and Heike will represent IHDP at APN’s annual meeting in Honolulu next week. IAI has been a bit difficult lately, and the next Open Meeting is far from Latin America, but we are still hopeful for support New Scientific Initiatives 24 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 24 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Oran Young: A top priority for the afternoon is how to deal with new scientific initiatives, drafting committee will have something to say about it. We have a need to think creatively about new scientific initiatives. Two of our core projects have been completed, the other two will also be moving there soon. We have a couple of new ones and our portfolio needs to be restocked. It is timely to give the cross cutting themes more substance. . Also other new scientific initiatives could take different forms – one is similar to a core project and is related to risk governance. Several other new initiatives are coming out of work in the last years, such as governance. Then there’s something with a different character, which is the Vulnerability-Resilience-Adaptation process which has produced some good content over the past few years. Then some ideas came out of our joint meeting, for example fast track initiatives like bio fuels IHDP Integrated Risk Governance core science project: Ye Qian presented on this project initiative, which came up during the ESSP OSC, and was officially submitted by CNC-IHDP. After suggestions made by Oran Young and others, it was approved by CNC –IHDP advisory board, with a first draft sent out to experts from different countries for feedback, from Australia, Britain, Japan, etc. An office could be provided at Office at CNC-IHDP. Key scientific issues are integrated risk management, mechanism, theory, model and dynamics/ IRG model and simulation, information-sharing platform and technical support system. All existing projects can give input to this project, and this project could learn a lot from existing ones/ get feedback. The Chinese central government is paying great attention on emergency management of public security (lesson learned with SARS), and prevention of different risks and sustainable development were integrated closely in national 11th – year plan. $300 million US research funding is going into it. In June 2007, there will be an IHDP-IRG core science plan expert meeting in Beijing. 10 international experts recommended by IHDP and CNC IHDP members will meet to revise the IHDP-IRG science plan. December 2007 will see the 2nd international IHDP-IRG science plan expert meeting in Beijing to finalize the Science Plan In January 2008, we will submit the Science Plan to the IHDP Scientific Committee, with the hopes of launching the project in February 2008. Discussion Coleen Vogel: what is the added value of this group/ project in terms of the science of risk governance? Also is it possible to think of what reviewers there 25 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 25 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report are of this project? It might be useful to focus down on a few key things, bring external scientific perspective from wider community Oran Young: various groups and communities are thinking about things like this (ex Coleen), we could point you to some of the players/ groups who ought to be informed and participating Oran Young: the normal procedure would be first a review process, then the meeting of the scientific planning group, with representatives from different communities responsible for identifying scientific foci – one member of the SC with knowledge would helpful for its international advisory capacity. So far Roger Kasperson has had a look, but the document has not yet been formally circulated for peer review Sander van der Leeuw: a key component of IHDP projects is their international scope, so that scope still needs some work in this case. It would be good to identify some themes working in different parts of the world to compare how risk is managed in different societies/ cultures We need to do a pre-project study involving Chinese scientists and international scholars. This could be a Chinese project in the end, but IHDP could make a contribution to prepare the science plan Oran Young: That may be a process entrusted to the scientific planning group Andreas Rechkemmer: Let’s not lose track of the fact that we need new core projects. But they need to be much more specific, there needs be an international body, need to give it more time – this is an in depth, breadth investment Jozef Pacyna: We have an IPO dealing with this kind of work and we are also interested in modelling IRG. LOICZ is very interested in working with group Geoff Dabelko: I think we need to see this as a multi-step process. There is a whole universe of projects out there - but we need to look at alternatives and not just accept one sitting in front of us. We need to take some time, need to be reminded that we need to think about and have opportunity to say that the world is our oyster Oran Young: Projects are ultimately community-driven, not SC-driven. If we are negative, or unresponsive to serious groups that are coming forward with ideas, I think that sends a terrible message. No one is suggesting we adopt this document as a new IHDP core project. There is a process issue we need to follow. We should say we received this proposal with interest, it has significant potential, but a series of steps are required before we adopt this as a core project or a process of any kind. EX IDGEC process was 3 years, including a peer review of the draft scientific plan, but this long process was ultimately a beneficial one. Coleen Vogel is interested not in being a committee member, but in helping with correspondence and making connections to others who are working on similar topics Decision 15: IHDP needs to appoint a science planning group in consultation with the Chinese and needs input from other key communities. The function is to take this from broad, generic kinds of topics to something more focusable. It will then be circulated to the rest of the SC for more comment. 26 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 26 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report ACTION 10: The Executive Director/ Secretariat should identify a scientific planning group to give input on the Integrated Risk Governance science plan, and circulate comments to the rest of the SC. Earth System Governance Frank Biermann presented. IDGEC project is now over, but there is a strong interest in continuing some of the research. This would not necessarily be an IDGEC 2, but there is significant interest to support the case for continuing this research. The synthesis conference had 200 participants, strong representation from ESSP and other core projects. This form of continuation must respond to 3 different changes since the conception of the IDGEC project: The social science context has changed to include governance IDGEC has changed (we do have results!) The global change community has changed (IDGEC 2 needs to react to changes in the research context, including the emergence of the ESSP How can our communities respond to these kinds of changes? Furthermore, the research must broaden from merely the work of institutions, to take into account the entire governance issue - a process which brings together actors in the public and private sphere to steer subparts of society by a variety of mechanisms - including institutions, but also partnerships, networks etc At the first ESSP conference in Amsterdam in 2001, it became clear that we need strategies for Earth System management, an ethical framework for global stewardship. But perhaps “management” is too technocratic, top-down an approach? Is “governance” a better description? FCCC COP targets on global temp rise, sea level rise, etc Clearly, work needs to be done on integrated earth system analysis models. Earth System analysis is overlapping with Earth System governance, and natural and social sciences should be open to cooperation where possible, while the social sciences still need to keep their disparate methods and traditions. Several research questions guide this new effort: architecture, agency (beyond state), adaptive governance (adaptiveness), accountability, and allocation. We need to find a mechanism to link a governance project with the other IHDP core projects and cross-cutting activities. Could focus as a nodal point, cross-cutting activity of IHDP. This initiative calls for an integrative steering group, science plan and international project office (probably in Bonn). The next Amsterdam Conference can serve partially as a follow-up to Bali: May 07, “Earth System Governance: Theories and Strategies for Sustainability”. Also, we 27 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 27 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report recently received funding for four years of an EU Marie Curie Summer School on “Earth System Governance”. Timeline: We will continue discussions in May, planning to have a first draft of the science plan in October, then launch in 2008. Discussion Roberto Guimaraes: we need to make a distinction between governance and management - understanding what governance means for systems best captures the human dimensions of global environmental change Andreas Rechkemmer: I would urge you to add a 6th analytical focal theme on arbitration (a legal dimension), paying attention to the legal notion of governance and legal instruments. Secondly, I suggest engineering a broader conceptualization around governance thought to connect to others - get some other schools on board, such as Tom Burns, etc. Thirdly, I like the idea of a core group and a mechanism on board to provide a matrix for projects to buy into and apply their findings. And fourthly, it is a good idea to locate the IPO in Bonn, but we need extra funding for it – we could perhaps ask DFG to help us in providing a link between this project and rest of IHDP. Lydia Gates: to use the GWSP example, we also follow an integrative approach covering 1 small area of a big project already integrative in place, recognizing the linkage of governance in all new 3 focus themes defined by integrated study areas. We heavily rely in the future on support from IHDP to feed into our project and other directions. So we appreciate follow-up and are happy to assist in the process of securing the livelihood of joint projects. Geoff Dabelko: I am encouraged by the management-governance discussion. To take an example from the GECHS community, the human security term turns off some who don’t do that – I understand why terms connect to a certain audience, but so much of our responses have been multilateral agreements in an international framework, so there is a bias towards that to exclusion of others. How can we frame these sorts issues and have people participate? Kate Brown: I think there is a compelling case for research in this area, presently with coherent issues. My first point: this could get very big, too many things in it. It will take more work to focus this effort, and it must be strategic and selective. My second point reiterates Geoff’s, although talk about multiscale essentially global focus reflected in framing, makes it even bigger. Thirdly: I like the suggestion for an integrative science plan, with a research core linking to other programs and projects, but again I caution us to be selective, look into areas of research, not just tacking governance on every area – we must find the human dimensions component. Finally, I liked the idea of starting with these concepts, the heart of the conceptual analysis. It gives a strong quality of science at the heart of something like this. It’s an exciting area with lots of potential. 28 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 28 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Karen O’Brien: I also support Geoff’s comments - how do we integrate this into IHDP? I propose to consider this a core project rather than a core crosscutting theme Shobhokar Dhakal: This was an interesting presentation, and I was lucky back in Bali that I had a chance to hear some of this as well. From a GCP perspective, I am happy to go back to our SSC and try to see if our committee is happy to get involved – I sense that there would be a lot of interest. Frank Biermann (answers to questions): regarding the science-policy interface, I personally share Roberto’s perspective that the key of the program should be science, understanding the system in a critical and scientific way. Also to Gernot, having the IPO hosted in Bonn would ensure larger contact with people from MEA, better linking. Regarding Andreas, all themes are already inherently legal questions, we already have a lot of legal work implied here. Although the “arbitration” theme would certainly be a way to get lawyers stronger involved in the community, I am not sure if we need an extra bullet point on this. Imp broaden communities, reach out more people working in field not necessarily IHDP. We must be very selective, careful to focus on particular IHDP/ ESSP projects most promising (3-4), focus and try do research together. There is a role for some kind of clearinghouse function for all projects, but again we must be selective. Our biggest fear is that the governance group will become a clearing house where we just send a literary list on experts (which is better done by Google). Also, the name of the project is not as important as the fact that it is a “project” – in other words, it can be core or cross-cutting, as long as it is not a network, alliance, coalition, etc. It must have a strong social science core in order to engage academic, intellectual and career development. Finally, we would not have a big independent IPO but likely folded into Bonn. I suggest the ED be entrusted with identifying a planning group (6-8) people with a timetable and a bottom line of OM Delhi 2008 are attractive and feasible. Decision 16: The next stage of the process of for this project should go forward, with the scientific planning process determining the nature of this proposal later on (core project of IHDP or cross-cutting theme) ACTION 11: The Executive Committee should help facilitate the setting up of a small planning group (6-8 people) which can begin to respond to issues related to new projects and prepare a plan to circulate back to the rest of the SC on how to proceed. Vulnerability-Adaptation-Resilience Sander van der Leeuw gave background information on the VAR of GEC, which came out of a successful workshop held 2 years ago at ASU at the initiation of the SC (Feb 05 Arizona, with Lin Ostrom and Marco Janssen) – Coleen could tell us more about this. We had a paper coming out on the governance issue, and the idea was that we could make this into a longer-term cross-cutting theme in the actual Strategic Plan. 29 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 29 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report There’s been some negotiations in recent months about how to go about this: between the new Mistra Center in Stockholm, Kate’s center in Norwich and our center in ASU which could take the lead. We contacted the Resilience Alliance (Sander, Kate and Carl Folke are also members of the RA), which draws on these 2 communities, and the purpose is to try and insert people either emerging from existing core projects or drawn into them, taking a particular look at this perspective to begin to build something more comparative from a theoretical point of view, drawing on people from that perspective to improve and accelerate our thinking. In the next 9 months, we plan to build up a database of interested people, make contact with different core projects to get their ideas on how they fit in and where there’s a need for something be done, then come back to the SC. Our other main activity is to begin organizing a 1st workshop somewhere in 2008, bringing together people in core projects with different people. Discussion: Kate Brown: I would also like to draw everyone’s attention to a big resilience meeting in Stockholm in April 2008, and an earlier one in Corsica in autumn 2007. Coleen Vogel: Thank you to everyone for following up on this, and thanks to Sander for taking the lead to do this, we also need to draw in other IHDP communities (for example, GECHS was not really involved in the last process). Oran Young: I agree that this was a successful venture, a spun up process, with a workshop and publication, which is now able live to live on in a constructive and creative way in the scientific agenda. Sander van der Leeuw: A nice thing is the enthusiastic response from the resilience people- they’ve been very supportive and enthusiastic – particularly those self- identified and not only people thinking about VAR. Since Kate and I are on both sides, it would be difficult to do this without their involvement. Decision 17: The SC finds the Vulnerability-Adaptation-Resilience scheme an attractive initiative, it enthusiastically requests to group to carry on and keep the rest of the SC informed about progress and possible decisions to be made Possible joint project with Diversitas, “Human Dimensions of Biodiversity” Sander van der Leeuw gave some background on the next case. It didn’t really come out of the IHDP community, but was a request from some prominent people in the Diversitas group who wanted a closer relationship, and also had the involvement of one vice-chair ASU – which led to this kind of proposal. Time is riper for this than it has been for awhile. There have been some ups and downs about IHDP and Diversitas participation in that project, but in July a new Chair came into Diversitas, meaning a new chair behind this kind of approachment. With considerable caution as to how to substantiate this coming together, I feel it is a timely moment because ESSP needs to start exploring ways this could be done. Seems to be all we would like is basically a mandate to go and talk to them. 30 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 30 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report Discussion: Kate Brown: I would not want to discourage talking to them, but this is a pretty broad subject, and so far the social science is not really well developed. There should be specific areas identified where it is jointly beneficial. Oran Young: the Strategic Plan could be helpful in making it more IHDP compatible. Let’s talk to them, give them a positive signal. I’m happy to join in as needed. Decision 18: The SC agrees to continue talks with Diversitas on a co-sponsored project Decision 19: The SC agrees to co-sponsor IHOPE but needs more research (such as an IGBP-IHDP workshop on coupled earth-system science modelling) before agreeing to sponsor AIMES. Global Environmental Change and Human Health Manuel Cesario is prepared to take on leadership of this task force - he understands the issues and problems with making a more comfortable relationship with IHDP, but is very positive on the expected outcome. At the Sustainable Global Health conference in Bonn in May, the task force with propose material to insert into GECHH Science Plan and help IHDP in its preparations to be the 4th sponsoring organization of this project. Decision 20: the SC endorses the process of involvement in the GECHH process. Climate change and energy Climate change and energy are bullet points in the draft of the Strategic Plan. Discussion: Gernot Klepper: Let me make a process suggestion. These bullet points in the Strategic Plan cover a number of issues of general interest to human society, asking: What are problems? What can we contribute to analyse them? Do we want to engage in one or other of these activities? How do we join other groups outside IHDP? All are covered by many different institutions/ organizations, not only by us. I propose we start a process to end up with activities/ portfolio. Sander van der Leeuw: We need to come up with a process to formalize, identify for each of these 4 themes a person who is in one of those topics, part of our community, who could kick start or point the direction in which we could 31 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 31 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report go, could set into motion of moving forward to come up with some more mature and agreed plans. ACTION 12: The Executive Committee/ Secretariat to find people, identify for each of the four themes a person who is involved on one of these topics and part of our community. These people should come back to the rest of the SC with 2-3 pages of bullet points, discussing how to proceed. Decision 21: the SC endorses the nomination of new members Patricia Kmeri Mbote and Liu Yanhua, to start 1 January 2008. ACTION 13: The Executive Committee to send out further nominations of SC members in the next 6-8 weeks AOB Next SC meeting in 2008 Sander van der Leeuw gave a presentation on the issue of when the next SC meeting should be held. There is a certain logic to having 1 SC meeting per year, this is in our constitution and it is also practice of ICSU/ ISSC and also other programs. Traditionally we have had 1 SC meeting in March, and 1 Officers and Project Leaders (OPL) meeting at the end of the year, usually November or December. But BMBF cut funds this year for SC meetings (25% this year), plus no funds for OPL meetings. Money resources are one thing, but time is another. As an exception, we suggest holding the next SC in October preceding the Open Meeting. This makes in order to ensure that everyone can attend, plus we use remaining funds to have the OPL at the beginning of 2008. Discussion: Jozef Pacyna: I support this idea, but can we survive staying a bit longer at this conference? Sander van der Leeuw: I suggest fixing an SC meeting at the OM in New Delhi, and if there is a major need for an earlier meeting and we have the finances then we could do that, but we should definitely aim at least for October. I don’t like the idea personally either. In fact, we need eventually to do a lot of this by video. Andreas Rechkemmer: I think we should meet before the Open Meeting - we already have booked rooms and also pre-OM training seminars, so people will be spent. If we do it afterwards, it could turn into like it was in China in November. Geoff Dabelko: If we are not doing something like we did with the UK community or like now with IGBP, do we need 3 or 2 days? I would like to ask 32 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 32 14th IHDP SC Meeting, 15-18 March 2007, Report the Secretariat to be mindful of keeping the time down, and task them with keeping it lean. Decision 22: the SC decides to exceptionally hold its next meeting for 2 days in October 2008, with an ad hoc meeting to be held before that date if deemed necessary. The cycle will generally remain, every 12 months. 33 of 33 D:\99025708.doc 33