ILLINOIS
MSA Indices & Forecast
Release
data
Issue
www.real.illinois.edu
5/15/2014
May 2004 / Mar 2015
2015.5
Note: Values shown on the “1 Year” forecast represent a pessimistic – optimistic scenario. For estimated values please see Appendix.
Comparing MSAs Indices with Chicago Indices
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
-10.00
-20.00
-30.00
04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14
Bloomington
Champaign
Davenport
Decatur
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield
Kankakee
*Values below (above) zero indicate that an MSA is performing less well (better) than Chicago.

From early 2007 to early 2009, all MSAs performed better than Chicago.

However, from Mid-2009 to late-2011, MSAs generally performed less well than Chicago
except for Bloomington-Normal.

After December 2012, all MSAs performed less well than Chicago.

According to the forecast for March 2016, Bloomington, Champaign-Urbana, Davenport,
Decatur and Peoria are likely to perform less well over this period than Chicago. All the
other MSAs will compare favorably to Chicago.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 5/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1

Bloomington-Normal (Reference Month – March 2015)
Current
86.25
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
87.99
91.42
105.23
Forecast
84.67
82.56
75.60
~
87.30
Bloomington - Normal MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
B-N
Chicago
90.00
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Bloomington-Normal MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

Compared to last month, Bloomington-Normal moved down 2 positions reaching the 7th
place of the rank.

In the 12 month growth league table Bloomington-Normal moved up 1 position to the 9th
place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 5/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2

Champaign-Urbana (Reference Month – March 2015)
Current
103.36
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
100.26
95.54
91.40
Forecast
94.16
91.37
78.99
~
99.82
Champaign - Urbana MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
C-U
Chicago
90.00
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Champaign- Urbana MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

Compared to last month, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul moved down 6 positions reaching
the 8th place of the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul moved down 2
positions reaching the 3rd place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 5/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3

Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (Reference Month – March 2015)
Current
100.95
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
99.89
98.40
90.64
Forecast
98.27
97.94
84.58
~
101.21
Davenport - Rock Island - Moline MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
D-RI-M
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Davenport – Rock Island–Moline MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth
Rate:

Compared to last month, Davenport-Rock Island-Moline moved up 4 positions reaching
the 6th place in the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Davenport – Rock Island – Moline remained in the
7th place in the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 5/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4

Decatur (Reference Month – March 2015)
Current
104.33
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
104.92
105.85
107.84
Forecast
103.39
100.35
94.73
~
95.39
Decatur MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
Decatur
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
Jan-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
70.00
Decatur MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to the previous month, Decatur moved down 2 positions reaching the 10th place
in the rank.

In the 12 months growth league table, Decatur moved down 4 positions reaching the 10th
place in the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 5/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5

Kankakee - Bradley (Reference Month – March 2015)
Current
100.86
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
99.56
97.91
89.61
Forecast
102.25
104.77
101.29
~
126.24
Kankakee - Bradley MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
K-B
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Kankakee - Bradley MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Kankakee – Bradley remained in the 1st place in the rank of the monthly growth league
table.

In the 12-month growth league table, Kankakee– Bradley moved up 3 positions to the 1st
position of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 5/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6

Peoria (Reference Month – March 2015)
Current
93.79
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
93.97
94.24
89.19
Forecast
93.54
92.92
85.45
~
105.90
Peoria MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
Peoria
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Peoria MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to last month, Peoria moved up 7 positions reaching the 2nd place of the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Peoria remained in the 8th place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 5/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 7

Rockford (Reference Month – March 2015)
Current
102.24
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
101.50
100.19
92.84
Forecast
102.98
104.55
105.70
~
120.28
Rockford MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
Rockford
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Rockford MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to last month, Rockford moved up 1 position reaching the 3rd place of the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Rockford remained in the 2nd place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 5/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 8
 Springfield (Reference Month – March 2015)
Current
98.32
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
95.89
93.51
88.16
Forecast
100.87
103.93
95.88
~
124.00
Springfield MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
Springfield
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Springfield MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to last month, Springfield moved down 3 positions reaching the 9th place of the
rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Springfield remained in the 5th place of the rank.
Notes:
MSA Indices series are available in the appendix
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 5/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 9
Appendix
May-04
Jun-04
Jul-04
Aug-04
Sep-04
Oct-04
Nov-04
Dec-04
Jan-05
Feb-05
Mar-05
Apr-05
May-05
Jun-05
Jul-05
Aug-05
Sep-05
Oct-05
Nov-05
Dec-05
Jan-06
Feb-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
B-N
83.25
84.84
84.40
84.04
83.91
84.23
85.18
86.67
88.28
89.53
89.77
88.85
87.34
85.91
84.60
83.42
82.71
82.70
83.50
85.01
86.91
88.71
89.85
90.09
89.90
89.60
89.26
88.98
88.95
89.16
89.56
90.14
90.84
91.63
92.29
92.69
92.93
93.27
94.08
95.50
97.40
99.65
C-U
105.54
109.05
108.73
108.22
107.53
107.14
107.10
107.23
107.27
107.16
107.30
107.66
108.04
108.33
108.44
108.31
108.00
107.97
108.25
108.77
109.59
110.57
111.25
111.29
110.90
110.42
109.80
109.12
108.51
108.12
107.89
107.76
107.73
108.05
108.84
110.01
111.36
112.67
113.64
114.30
114.66
114.82
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
D-RI-M
99.03
101.44
101.78
102.21
102.99
104.17
105.59
107.13
108.46
109.33
109.81
110.12
110.25
110.23
110.15
110.05
109.97
109.85
109.76
109.91
110.40
111.10
111.79
112.34
112.79
113.13
113.10
112.97
113.37
114.48
115.80
116.42
116.03
115.25
114.46
113.89
113.76
114.03
114.45
114.86
114.93
114.68
Decatur
93.52
100.49
97.30
94.37
91.96
90.18
89.10
88.72
88.72
88.75
88.66
88.39
87.82
87.00
85.86
84.37
82.79
81.62
81.15
81.19
81.35
81.47
81.95
82.99
84.33
85.65
86.61
87.03
86.94
86.58
86.28
86.23
86.44
86.83
87.37
88.03
88.87
89.99
91.27
92.49
93.52
94.47
Peoria
95.17
93.99
94.52
95.05
95.60
96.11
96.65
97.48
98.81
100.60
102.33
103.65
104.44
104.83
105.04
105.28
105.65
106.09
106.60
107.24
108.00
108.79
109.39
109.73
110.01
110.38
110.83
111.55
112.69
114.07
115.66
117.37
118.85
119.63
119.87
119.77
119.55
119.26
118.87
118.45
118.14
118.14
release 5/15/2014
Rockford
101.31
103.79
104.35
104.82
105.15
105.36
105.53
105.76
106.07
106.47
106.96
107.47
107.93
108.26
108.43
108.53
108.64
108.83
109.14
109.64
110.32
111.04
111.75
112.39
112.93
113.41
113.74
114.03
114.37
114.84
115.41
116.09
116.83
117.53
118.15
118.61
118.90
118.93
118.72
118.37
117.94
117.42
Springfield
85.61
107.28
106.83
106.35
105.94
105.87
106.02
106.13
105.95
105.76
105.90
106.48
107.08
107.36
107.27
106.77
106.01
105.21
104.57
104.25
104.36
104.80
105.61
106.71
107.70
108.17
107.94
107.07
105.73
104.28
103.21
102.78
103.13
104.22
105.86
107.75
109.56
111.07
112.16
113.15
114.11
115.06
www.real.illinois.edu
K-B
97.54
103.25
103.03
102.88
102.84
103.03
103.55
104.28
104.98
105.59
106.14
106.66
107.13
107.47
107.66
107.82
108.17
108.80
109.80
111.15
112.62
113.56
113.66
113.12
112.29
111.58
111.14
111.02
111.23
111.83
112.79
114.18
115.80
117.16
117.99
118.25
118.15
117.80
117.11
116.04
114.85
113.92
page
10
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
May-11
Jun-11
Jul-11
102.11
104.41
106.05
106.82
106.86
106.39
105.70
105.00
104.12
103.06
102.14
101.72
101.93
102.68
103.99
105.82
107.91
109.89
111.68
113.31
114.86
116.16
117.05
117.55
117.46
116.63
115.47
114.40
113.52
112.94
112.87
113.14
113.41
113.32
112.55
111.07
109.13
107.14
105.28
103.99
104.15
105.74
107.61
109.01
109.93
115.02
115.34
115.80
116.21
116.37
116.51
116.92
117.56
118.39
119.14
119.25
118.38
116.55
113.93
110.66
107.05
103.40
100.08
97.37
95.28
93.85
93.01
92.58
92.40
92.38
92.54
92.75
93.02
93.54
94.21
94.71
94.86
94.82
94.56
94.04
93.26
92.18
90.91
89.77
88.95
88.42
88.26
88.36
88.57
88.83
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
114.53
114.65
114.83
114.77
114.40
113.85
113.36
112.84
112.23
111.50
110.66
109.69
108.53
107.18
105.51
103.43
101.02
98.66
96.58
94.65
92.99
91.77
91.08
90.79
90.59
90.35
90.06
89.73
89.43
89.17
88.80
88.34
87.98
87.76
87.60
87.45
87.26
87.22
87.43
87.82
88.46
89.34
90.16
90.69
90.84
95.26
95.76
96.05
96.40
96.92
97.70
98.73
99.99
101.40
102.87
104.37
105.93
107.37
108.60
109.64
110.58
110.82
110.08
109.01
107.97
107.20
106.90
107.02
107.37
107.78
108.16
108.16
107.42
106.07
104.46
102.90
101.75
101.22
101.10
101.16
101.23
101.09
100.87
101.33
102.74
104.60
106.35
107.70
108.46
108.84
118.45
118.94
119.40
119.51
119.02
118.09
117.02
115.88
114.89
114.13
113.42
112.50
111.07
109.02
106.29
103.09
99.63
96.44
93.98
92.21
90.98
90.17
89.62
89.20
88.95
88.91
89.00
89.20
89.86
91.11
92.57
93.95
94.95
95.44
95.65
95.78
95.57
94.79
93.45
91.97
90.84
90.20
89.93
90.07
90.63
release 5/15/2014
116.87
116.27
115.63
114.92
114.19
113.37
112.41
111.36
110.27
109.15
107.87
106.34
104.50
102.34
99.91
97.42
95.09
93.08
91.46
90.31
89.66
89.45
89.50
89.63
89.72
89.79
89.88
90.08
90.35
90.66
90.90
91.06
91.16
91.23
91.31
91.42
91.55
91.65
91.63
91.45
91.10
90.64
90.14
89.68
89.34
116.27
117.85
119.53
120.86
121.54
121.41
120.53
119.17
117.69
116.45
115.48
114.56
113.61
112.56
111.34
109.95
108.10
105.75
103.36
101.39
100.01
99.22
99.01
99.36
100.12
100.97
101.66
102.22
102.60
102.68
102.42
102.06
101.85
101.89
101.99
101.75
100.82
99.13
97.07
95.12
93.40
91.81
90.35
88.99
87.81
www.real.illinois.edu
113.40
113.10
112.93
113.21
113.64
113.69
113.38
112.87
112.22
111.39
110.44
109.34
107.92
106.05
103.96
102.21
101.08
100.56
100.43
100.36
100.16
99.83
99.41
98.95
98.59
98.49
98.62
98.90
99.04
98.98
98.56
97.65
96.54
95.43
94.41
93.52
92.58
91.50
90.35
89.22
88.41
87.94
87.72
87.85
88.22
page
11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Nov-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
110.57
111.13
111.57
111.64
111.02
109.65
108.05
106.72
106.05
105.86
105.84
105.93
106.09
105.99
105.63
105.22
104.85
104.55
104.21
104.02
104.18
104.51
104.79
105.02
105.23
105.21
104.67
103.45
102.04
100.98
100.29
99.92
99.83
99.81
99.54
98.94
98.04
96.79
95.13
93.25
91.42
89.71
87.99
86.25
84.67
89.08
89.40
89.76
90.18
90.70
91.24
91.37
90.97
90.11
88.94
87.74
86.69
86.03
85.96
86.38
87.10
87.88
88.53
89.20
89.92
90.57
91.06
91.28
91.37
91.40
91.48
91.57
91.78
92.18
92.80
93.55
94.14
94.54
94.72
94.79
94.73
94.54
94.29
94.15
94.45
95.54
97.51
100.26
103.36
94.16
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
90.67
90.36
90.02
89.65
89.35
89.35
89.85
90.71
91.51
92.05
92.31
92.30
92.08
91.80
91.55
91.34
91.30
91.49
91.68
91.62
91.29
90.88
90.60
90.55
90.64
90.94
91.40
91.95
92.50
93.14
94.04
95.22
96.37
97.33
98.29
99.34
100.18
100.09
99.23
98.48
98.40
98.97
99.89
100.95
98.27
109.30
109.99
110.46
110.69
110.74
110.66
110.47
110.08
109.96
110.26
110.59
110.78
110.76
110.42
109.81
108.86
107.75
106.60
105.80
105.61
105.83
106.31
106.79
107.23
107.84
108.61
109.38
110.14
110.86
111.27
111.18
110.93
110.46
109.59
108.65
107.91
107.36
107.08
106.81
106.36
105.85
105.37
104.92
104.33
103.39
91.43
92.14
92.64
93.17
94.00
95.22
96.67
98.04
99.07
99.54
99.65
99.56
99.15
98.32
97.12
95.60
93.87
92.22
90.99
90.24
89.77
89.53
89.46
89.40
89.19
88.92
88.71
88.72
88.98
89.52
90.34
91.43
92.57
93.54
94.12
94.40
94.48
94.46
94.46
94.37
94.24
94.17
93.97
93.79
93.54
release 5/15/2014
89.10
88.97
88.93
88.94
89.01
89.20
89.54
89.96
90.37
90.72
90.98
91.11
91.11
91.06
91.05
91.14
91.36
91.71
92.04
92.25
92.33
92.42
92.54
92.70
92.84
92.93
93.02
93.15
93.28
93.39
93.56
93.85
94.35
95.09
95.99
96.93
97.78
98.51
99.13
99.66
100.19
100.80
101.50
102.24
102.98
86.93
86.56
86.76
87.27
87.92
88.60
89.21
89.62
89.54
89.02
88.42
87.88
87.42
87.03
86.74
86.65
86.77
86.84
86.44
85.62
85.02
85.14
85.92
87.04
88.16
89.20
90.00
90.21
89.85
89.32
88.90
88.84
89.34
90.37
91.72
93.08
94.06
94.38
94.10
93.64
93.51
94.16
95.89
98.32
100.87
www.real.illinois.edu
88.76
89.48
90.19
90.66
90.93
91.24
91.57
91.64
91.29
90.61
89.77
88.99
88.34
87.71
87.01
86.39
85.91
85.53
85.36
85.49
85.98
86.73
87.64
88.62
89.61
90.41
90.83
90.89
90.68
90.22
89.56
89.16
89.37
90.18
91.38
92.79
94.24
95.49
96.48
97.28
97.91
98.54
99.56
100.86
102.25
page
12
May-15
Jun-15
July-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
83.40
82.56
82.14
82.06
82.17
82.28
82.22
81.87
81.24
80.37
79.36
92.34
91.37
91.09
91.20
91.38
91.33
90.89
90.02
88.80
87.33
85.72
97.93
97.94
98.02
97.94
97.57
96.88
95.82
94.37
92.52
90.38
88.17
102.02
100.35
98.66
97.19
96.09
95.37
95.00
94.92
95.06
95.39
95.88
93.21
92.92
92.79
92.91
93.29
93.85
94.44
94.90
95.13
95.09
94.84
103.74
104.55
105.46
106.51
107.70
108.99
110.32
111.59
112.75
113.74
114.52
102.89
103.93
103.95
103.36
102.81
102.87
103.92
106.05
109.04
112.49
115.95
103.58
104.77
105.88
106.98
108.15
109.40
110.68
111.93
113.08
114.09
114.95
Notes
B-N=Bloomington-Normal
C-U=ChampaignUrbana
K-B= KankakeeBradley
D-RI-M=Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 5/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page
13