ILLINOIS
MSA Indices & Forecast
Release
data
Issue
www.real.illinois.edu
1/15/2016
May 2004 / Nov 2015
2016.1
Note: Values shown on the “1 Year” forecast represent a pessimistic – optimistic scenario. For estimated values please see Appendix.
Comparing MSAs Indices with Chicago Indices
80.00
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
-20.00
-40.00
Bloomington
04 06 08 10 12 14 16
Champaign
Davenport
Decatur
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield
Kankakee
*Values below (above) zero indicate that an MSA is performing less well (better) than Chicago.

From early 2007 to early 2009, all MSAs performed better than Chicago.

However, from Mid-2009 to present, MSAs generally performed less well than Chicago
except for Bloomington-Normal.

According to the forecast for November 2016, Davenport-Rock Island-Moline, Decatur,
Peoria, and Kankakee are likely to perform less well over this period than Chicago. All
the other MSAs will compare favorably to Chicago.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 1/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1

Bloomington-Normal (Reference Month – November 2015)
Current
90.00
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
87.88
84.39
85.81
Forecast
91.90
93.85
97.33
~
97.90
Bloomington - Normal MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
B-N
Chicago
90.00
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Jun-16
Nov-16
Jan-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Nov-11
Jan-11
Jun-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
May-09
Jul-08
Dec-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Bloomington-Normal MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

Compared to last month, Bloomington-Normal moved up 5 positions reaching the 4th
place of the rank.

In the 12 month growth league table Bloomington-Normal moved up 1 position reaching
the 4th place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 1/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2

Champaign-Urbana (Reference Month – November 2015)
Current
101.99
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
100.90
100.00
89.45
Forecast
103.13
106.25
120.74
~
147.18
Champaign - Urbana MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
C-U
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jun-16
Nov-16
Jan-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Nov-11
Jan-11
Jun-11
Aug-10
Mar-10
Oct-09
May-09
Jul-08
Dec-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Champaign- Urbana MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

Compared to last month, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul moved up 7 positions reaching the
1st place of the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul moved up 2 positions
reaching the 1st place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 1/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3

Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (Reference Month – November 2015)
Current
95.28
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
98.66
105.09
106.35
Forecast
91.98
86.73
69.66
~
89.90
Davenport - Rock Island - Moline MSA
120.00
110.00
100.00
D-RI-M
90.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Jun-16
Nov-16
Jan-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Nov-11
Jan-11
Jun-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
May-09
Jul-08
Dec-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Davenport – Rock Island–Moline MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth
Rate:

Compared to last month, Davenport-Rock Island-Moline moved up 2 positions reaching
the 8th place of the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Davenport – Rock Island – Moline remained in the
10th place in the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 1/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4

Decatur (Reference Month – November 2015)
Current
91.88
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
91.34
90.61
85.91
Forecast
92.59
94.13
78.74
~
99.49
Decatur MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
Decatur
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
Jan-16
Jun-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Nov-11
Jan-11
Jun-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
May-09
Jul-08
Dec-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
70.00
Decatur MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to the previous month, Decatur moved down 6 positions reaching the 9th place
of the rank.

In the 12 months growth league table, Decatur moved down 2 positions reaching the 9th
place in the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 1/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5

Kankakee - Bradley (Reference Month – November 2015)
Current
97.52
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
96.35
94.49
88.60
Forecast
98.34
97.37
77.34
~
94.93
Kankakee - Bradley MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
K-B
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jun-16
Nov-16
Jan-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Nov-11
Jan-11
Jun-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
May-09
Jul-08
Dec-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Kankakee - Bradley MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Kankakee – Bradley moved down 9 positions reaching the 10th place of the monthly
performance rank table.

In the 12-month growth league table, Kankakee– Bradley moved down 2 positions reaching the
8th place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 1/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6

Peoria (Reference Month – November 2015)
Current
93.44
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
92.76
91.91
91.68
Forecast
94.04
94.69
81.26
~
96.31
Peoria MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
Peoria
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jun-16
Nov-16
Jan-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Nov-11
Jan-11
Jun-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
May-09
Jul-08
Dec-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Peoria MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to last month, Peoria moved up 3 positions reaching the 3th place of the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Peoria moved up 2 positions reaching the 7th place
of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 1/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 7

Rockford (Reference Month – November 2015)
Current
101.45
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
101.35
101.07
95.84
Forecast
98.47
98.10
89.80
~
103.42
Rockford MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
Rockford
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jun-16
Nov-16
Jan-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Nov-11
Jan-11
Jun-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
May-09
Jul-08
Dec-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Rockford MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to last month, Rockford moved down 1 position reaching the 5th place of the
rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Rockford moved up 2 positions reaching the 6th
place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 1/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 8
 Springfield (Reference Month – November 2015)
Current
102.95
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
97.95
91.67
86.63
Forecast
108.44
117.39
110.16
~
122.23
Springfield MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
Springfield
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jun-16
Nov-16
Jan-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Nov-11
Jan-11
Jun-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
May-09
Jul-08
Dec-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Springfield MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to last month, Springfield remained in the 2nd place of the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Springfield remained in the 2nd place of the rank.
Notes:
MSA Indices series are available in the appendix
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 1/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 9
Appendix
May-04
Jun-04
Jul-04
Aug-04
Sep-04
Oct-04
Nov-04
Dec-04
Jan-05
Feb-05
Mar-05
Apr-05
May-05
Jun-05
Jul-05
Aug-05
Sep-05
Oct-05
Nov-05
Dec-05
Jan-06
Feb-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
B-N
86.87
88.37
88.86
89.63
90.87
92.66
95.09
97.84
100.22
101.65
101.84
100.82
99.24
97.77
96.70
95.93
95.57
95.59
96.01
96.72
97.62
98.57
99.00
98.70
97.92
97.00
96.33
96.13
96.46
97.34
98.63
100.04
101.27
102.23
102.86
103.10
103.16
103.06
103.04
103.34
104.20
105.72
107.70
109.86
C-U
103.52
105.93
105.90
105.94
106.16
106.69
107.32
107.67
107.43
106.71
105.88
105.17
104.68
104.46
104.39
104.47
104.81
105.59
106.64
107.48
107.96
108.16
108.27
108.31
108.47
108.89
109.60
110.67
112.11
113.85
115.62
117.03
117.78
117.89
117.48
116.77
115.94
115.25
114.63
114.31
114.46
115.17
116.40
117.74
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
D-RI-M
100.09
91.92
92.48
93.10
94.07
95.44
97.04
98.73
100.10
100.95
101.48
101.93
102.26
102.50
102.75
102.98
103.24
103.48
103.73
104.14
104.73
105.40
106.05
106.60
107.17
107.74
107.96
108.08
108.87
110.51
112.32
113.12
112.62
111.75
111.14
111.05
111.59
112.56
113.54
114.28
114.45
114.18
114.04
114.24
Decatur
102.65
95.08
95.93
96.67
97.22
97.75
98.27
98.66
99.04
99.50
99.97
100.45
101.01
101.59
102.23
102.99
103.92
104.90
105.84
107.16
109.15
111.56
113.40
114.29
114.58
114.73
115.11
115.72
116.47
117.16
117.50
117.45
117.22
116.96
116.82
116.72
116.30
115.42
114.38
113.46
112.73
112.13
111.71
111.71
Peoria
96.76
96.23
96.22
96.08
95.86
95.70
95.81
96.44
97.61
99.11
100.66
102.04
103.20
104.16
104.91
105.47
105.90
106.15
106.31
106.53
107.01
107.79
108.57
109.20
109.79
110.38
110.88
111.47
112.36
113.48
114.81
116.34
117.79
118.78
119.23
119.35
119.32
119.21
119.02
118.84
118.71
118.77
119.01
119.37
release 1/15/2014
Rockford
101.22
102.62
103.29
103.84
104.20
104.37
104.48
104.67
104.96
105.41
106.06
106.76
107.41
107.91
108.22
108.39
108.49
108.63
108.87
109.30
109.94
110.67
111.53
112.41
113.20
113.89
114.34
114.65
114.96
115.34
115.87
116.59
117.43
118.29
119.10
119.75
120.21
120.37
120.21
119.84
119.29
118.63
117.94
117.24
Springfield
92.86
114.83
116.12
117.49
118.84
120.04
120.78
120.64
119.41
117.41
115.28
113.54
112.28
111.44
110.94
110.71
110.73
110.82
110.82
110.79
110.89
111.05
111.41
111.87
111.94
111.52
110.88
110.03
108.91
107.56
106.27
105.28
104.63
104.19
103.85
103.64
103.58
103.81
104.52
105.77
107.28
108.70
109.80
110.42
www.real.illinois.edu
K-B
100.07
99.04
100.27
101.45
102.45
103.24
103.89
104.48
104.89
105.03
105.02
105.07
105.19
105.40
105.77
106.22
106.71
107.35
108.15
109.04
110.02
110.71
110.98
110.86
110.56
110.38
110.54
111.02
111.73
112.76
114.19
116.01
118.15
120.04
121.12
121.41
121.28
120.95
120.38
119.38
117.94
116.43
115.35
114.94
page
10
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
May-11
Jun-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Nov-11
111.72
112.75
112.73
112.06
111.20
110.30
109.40
108.68
108.27
108.38
109.16
110.43
111.82
112.68
112.87
112.82
113.12
113.99
115.25
116.40
117.03
117.09
116.76
116.17
115.57
115.19
114.99
115.00
115.11
115.20
115.13
114.81
114.22
113.22
111.59
109.32
106.72
104.58
103.78
104.31
105.22
105.89
106.18
106.16
105.87
105.36
104.76
118.85
119.38
119.31
118.89
118.38
117.90
117.51
117.09
116.30
114.82
112.83
110.67
108.37
105.82
103.02
100.25
97.88
96.06
94.80
93.92
93.19
92.39
91.54
90.72
90.05
89.74
90.21
91.41
92.82
94.03
94.83
95.04
94.62
93.70
92.37
90.78
89.28
88.19
87.55
87.34
87.51
87.94
88.56
89.22
89.75
90.03
90.25
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
114.60
114.80
114.79
114.74
114.91
115.11
115.15
114.94
114.37
113.30
111.58
109.30
106.37
102.81
98.94
95.40
92.44
89.92
87.93
86.58
85.97
85.88
85.92
85.89
85.72
85.45
85.20
84.98
84.63
84.26
84.07
84.08
84.23
84.48
84.69
85.04
85.61
86.40
87.40
88.59
89.72
90.53
90.92
90.97
90.89
90.78
90.66
112.18
112.73
113.09
113.29
113.49
113.74
113.99
114.36
114.65
114.61
114.06
112.70
110.27
107.03
103.90
101.32
99.27
97.68
96.47
95.43
94.41
93.56
93.01
92.70
92.73
93.37
94.71
96.42
98.03
99.09
99.45
99.34
99.10
98.92
98.91
98.89
98.61
98.13
97.82
98.02
98.74
99.83
101.04
102.03
102.81
103.53
104.22
119.72
119.71
119.19
118.38
117.65
117.19
116.97
116.94
116.90
116.62
115.74
114.04
111.43
108.05
104.16
100.27
97.01
94.50
92.65
91.37
90.50
89.87
89.44
89.20
89.05
89.01
89.36
90.12
90.95
91.66
92.18
92.58
93.04
93.62
94.05
93.96
93.27
92.30
91.50
91.12
91.13
91.50
92.25
93.23
94.14
94.84
95.55
release 1/15/2014
116.50
115.70
114.81
113.77
112.60
111.35
110.09
108.80
107.33
105.59
103.55
101.23
98.71
96.15
93.75
91.68
90.02
88.87
88.23
88.03
88.07
88.16
88.20
88.23
88.31
88.55
88.96
89.45
89.88
90.21
90.43
90.59
90.74
90.91
91.13
91.31
91.34
91.19
90.80
90.28
89.72
89.21
88.86
88.67
88.64
88.73
88.88
110.30
109.49
108.20
106.62
104.97
103.51
102.45
101.97
102.06
102.58
103.40
104.42
105.61
106.85
107.83
108.28
108.18
107.83
107.41
106.92
106.45
106.20
106.25
106.47
106.51
106.12
105.39
104.46
103.48
102.59
101.80
101.27
100.97
100.70
100.24
99.51
98.61
97.65
96.64
95.67
94.75
93.60
92.18
90.66
89.30
88.30
87.63
www.real.illinois.edu
115.26
116.32
117.43
117.58
116.68
115.12
113.27
111.20
108.99
106.95
105.42
104.26
103.28
102.61
102.40
102.66
103.12
103.44
103.48
103.31
102.97
102.55
102.00
101.27
100.40
99.49
98.72
98.34
98.15
97.67
96.73
95.51
94.22
92.97
91.62
90.33
89.27
88.46
88.15
88.16
88.32
88.68
89.08
89.43
89.88
90.40
90.83
page
11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
July-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
104.00
102.87
101.65
100.69
100.20
100.10
100.27
100.32
100.07
99.52
98.73
97.81
96.88
96.24
96.05
96.26
96.78
97.20
97.14
96.56
95.64
94.38
92.53
90.12
87.80
86.16
85.41
85.43
85.81
86.23
86.56
86.70
86.56
86.02
85.19
84.23
83.32
82.68
82.34
82.30
82.39
82.53
82.79
83.38
84.39
85.94
87.88
90.74
91.67
92.64
93.39
93.72
93.68
93.42
93.10
92.76
92.52
92.40
92.15
91.72
91.38
91.48
91.93
92.37
92.52
92.31
91.73
90.88
89.84
88.77
87.88
87.42
87.44
87.83
88.50
89.45
90.39
91.02
91.35
91.54
91.82
92.33
93.16
94.42
96.07
97.88
99.23
99.95
100.17
100.13
100.06
100.00
100.20
100.90
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
90.59
90.83
91.53
92.55
93.49
94.17
94.66
94.98
95.21
95.46
95.71
95.83
95.94
96.13
96.23
96.00
95.51
95.08
95.03
95.34
95.83
96.51
97.38
98.38
99.50
100.87
102.62
104.60
106.35
107.73
109.11
110.58
111.82
111.83
110.74
109.67
109.36
109.98
111.08
112.08
112.62
112.27
110.68
108.09
105.09
101.93
98.66
105.04
105.99
106.75
107.07
106.23
104.10
101.40
98.64
96.20
94.23
92.77
91.79
91.19
90.86
90.48
89.76
88.81
87.79
86.90
86.19
85.53
84.94
84.50
84.24
84.10
84.22
84.69
85.23
85.91
86.92
88.15
89.36
90.33
90.88
90.98
90.75
90.16
89.06
87.82
87.08
87.15
87.97
89.13
90.08
90.61
90.95
91.34
96.52
97.86
99.46
100.97
102.11
102.70
102.82
102.55
101.82
100.55
98.91
97.15
95.45
93.91
92.87
92.28
91.83
91.42
91.01
90.55
90.00
89.46
89.05
88.88
88.95
89.26
89.86
90.73
91.68
92.50
92.98
93.20
93.20
93.07
92.95
92.78
92.55
92.32
92.06
91.94
91.98
92.01
91.94
91.88
91.91
92.20
92.76
release 1/15/2014
89.08
89.38
89.77
90.19
90.56
90.83
90.98
91.01
90.96
90.96
91.07
91.34
91.78
92.32
92.78
93.01
93.05
93.06
93.12
93.26
93.42
93.58
93.78
94.06
94.33
94.57
94.87
95.28
95.84
96.56
97.40
98.31
99.17
99.93
100.54
100.94
101.12
101.14
101.04
100.85
100.75
100.78
100.85
100.92
101.07
101.23
101.35
87.26
87.13
87.17
87.44
87.88
88.36
88.78
89.02
89.12
89.20
89.41
89.87
90.56
91.31
91.82
91.91
91.91
92.10
92.34
92.37
92.05
91.39
90.44
89.19
87.78
86.68
86.23
86.27
86.63
87.28
88.06
88.75
88.96
88.60
87.84
86.97
86.24
85.90
86.21
86.96
87.72
88.39
89.13
90.14
91.67
94.09
97.95
www.real.illinois.edu
91.18
91.71
92.45
92.94
92.93
92.55
92.03
91.49
90.97
90.36
89.43
88.40
87.50
86.63
85.85
85.40
85.57
86.29
87.29
88.41
89.56
90.60
91.45
92.01
92.12
91.58
90.48
89.29
88.60
88.52
88.89
89.68
91.04
92.92
94.82
96.22
96.85
96.87
96.63
96.34
95.81
95.08
94.49
94.25
94.49
95.25
96.35
page
12
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
June-16
July-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
90.00
91.90
93.20
93.85
94.08
94.24
94.59
95.22
96.04
96.88
97.61
98.23
98.84
101.99
103.13
104.47
106.25
108.63
111.48
114.41
116.98
118.86
120.04
120.74
121.34
122.20
95.28
91.98
89.06
86.73
85.00
83.75
82.76
81.84
80.92
80.00
79.13
78.40
77.84
91.88
92.59
93.40
94.13
94.58
94.58
94.05
93.02
91.64
90.07
88.51
87.07
85.84
93.44
94.04
94.45
94.69
94.78
94.70
94.39
93.70
92.54
90.81
88.47
85.53
82.04
101.45
98.47
98.32
98.10
97.78
97.39
96.98
96.61
96.36
96.27
96.37
96.64
97.05
102.95
108.44
113.54
117.39
119.46
119.82
119.00
117.74
116.69
116.14
116.04
116.05
115.76
97.52
98.34
98.37
97.37
95.46
93.00
90.46
88.24
86.64
85.78
85.69
86.24
87.27
Notes
B-N=Bloomington-Normal
C-U=ChampaignUrbana
K-B= KankakeeBradley
D-RI-M=Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 1/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page
13