Trade and Poverty Experiences from Cambodia CUTS Conference on

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Trade and Poverty

Experiences from Cambodia

CUTS Conference on

“Trade, Development and Poverty Linkages:

Lessons and Future Directions”

June 23, 2009, Jaipur, India

Content

1. Overview on Cambodia Economy

2. Overview on Cambodia Trade

3. Linkage between Trade and Poverty

– Experiences from Cambodia garment trade

– Experiences from Cambodia tourism trade

– Experiences from Cambodia agricultural trade

4. Challenges ahead

1.1. Overview on Cambodian Economy

• Double digit growth during last 4 years (2004-2007)

– Fast growing sectors: Garment export, Tourism trade services,

Construction

– Other sectors grew at a moderate rate

• 2008 GDP growth = 5.2 percent

• 2008 GDP = US$10.3 billion

• 2008 GDP per capita = US$703

1.2. Cambodian Economic Growth

Agriculture

Paddy

Industry

Garments

Construction

Services

Tourism

Total GDP

Non Agriculture GDP

2004

-1.0%

-12.2%

17.0%

24.9%

13.2%

13.2%

23.4%

10.3%

15.8%

2005

15.5%

43.7%

12.9%

9.2%

22.1%

13.1%

22.3%

13.3%

12.3%

2006

5.5%

4.3%

18.4%

20.4%

20.0%

10.1%

13.7%

10.8%

13.0%

2007

5.1%

7.5%

8.4%

10.0%

6.7%

10.2%

10.3%

10.2%

12.2%

Source: NIS and EIC

2008e

4.8%

3.6%

3.1%

2.0%

3.0%

6.7%

5.7%

5.2%

5.4%

1.3. Cambodia’s Economic Growth 2008

(Selected Sectors)

0%

-5%

-10%

-15%

-20%

20%

15%

10%

5%

Crops Textile Tourism Real Estate GDP

QM2008 QJ2008 QS2008 QD2008

Source: EIC data compiled from NIS

1.4. Economic Growth for 2009

-15%

2009 2008

-10%

Total GDP

Hotel & Restaurants

Construction

Textile & Garment

-5%

Agriculture

0%

2,0%

5,2%

5% 10%

Source: Data compiled from NIS and EIC

2.1. Trade and Economy

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

1990 1993 1996

Exports of Goods (% GDP)

1999 2002 2005

Imports of Goods (% GDP)

2008

Source: NIS and EIC

2.2. Export Share by Sector

Others

Animal and vegetable 13%

Textiles 73%

Source: NBC

Total exports reached US$4.7 billion in 2008.

2.3. Export Share by Country

Others

UK 5%

Germany 8%

US 63%

Source: MOC

2.4. Import Share by Sector

Garment 25%

Others

Petroleum

25%

Construction

Material

Vehicles and

Motor

Source: NBC

Total imports reached US$6.5 billion in 2008.

2.5. Import Share by Country

Others

Hong Kong

18%

Vietnam 9%

Taiwan 13%

China 18%

Thailand

14%

Source: MOC

2.6. FDI Share by Sector

Garment 21%

Others

Beverage 4%

Wood

Product 8%

Tourism 12%

Agriculture

9%

Telecom 10%

Source: NBC

FDI reached US$3.8 billion in the first quarter of 2008.

2.7. FDI Share by Country

Others

China 16%

Malaysia 14%

Vietnam 5%

Singapore 7%

Korea 7%

Taiwan 9%

Thailand 10%

Source: NBC

US$806 million FDI flew into Cambodia in 2008.

3.1. Trade and Poverty

Trade

Trade volume increase by 10-20 percent per year

Incomes and Employments

Poverty Rate

Poverty rate reduced by 1 percent a year

It was about 35 Percent in 2004

3.2. Garment trade

• Export-Oriented Industry

• High labor standard compliance required before exporting

(Key linkage between trade and poverty)

• Generates direct incomes and employments to more than

320 000 workers

• About 1 million people indirectly are deriving their income from garment industry:

– Business around the factory such as food, housing, transportation, etc

– Remittance: Families who have daughters/sons working in the garment sector are seen as better than those who are not.

• Garment trade helped to push poverty reduction pace

3.3. Tourism trade

• Siemreap province is the most popular tourist site in

Cambodia.

• Siemreap is still among the poorest province in the country

– Income and employment for tourist activities concentrate mostly in the

Siemreap town

• Tourism trade has limited contribution to poverty reduction pace. Missing linkages are:

– Lack of infrastructure that connects towns to rural areas

– Lack of human resources

3.4. Agricultural trade

• Agriculture is the most important sector to Cambodia as 60-70 percent of Cambodians are farmers

• Agricultural export represents about 20 percent of total good exports, but mostly done through informal channels

• However, the poorest people are mostly found among farmers.

– Lack of market news and marketing skills among farmers, thus price is manipulated by external traders

– Farmers lack knowledge on procedure/standards of export products

– Lack of adequate infrastructure and irrigation system.

4. Challenges ahead

• During current global crisis:

– Current decline in Garment exports in 2009

– Lower tourists in Cambodia in 2009

– Current decline in FDI in 2009

• How to promote agricultural trade?

Thank You

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