Section 7.1 1 • A parameter is a number that describes some characteristic of the population. In statistical practice, the value of the parameter is usually not known because we cannot examine the entire population. • 𝜇 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝜎 • A statistic is a number that describes some characteristics of a sample. The value of a statistic can be computed directly from the sample data. We often use a statistic to estimate an unknown parameter. • 𝑥 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑆𝑥 Parameter v. Statistic 2 • For the sample of 54,100 households contacted by the CPS, the mean income was 𝑥 = $68,424. • Statistic – • Parameter – Example 3 • The value of a statistic varies in repeated random sampling. • We will do a penny activity on Monday Sampling Variability 4 • Take a large number of samples from the same population. • Calculate the statistic for each sample. • Make a graph of the values of the statistic. • Examine the distribution displayed in the graph for SOCS. What would happen if we took many samples? 5 • The sampling distribution of a statistic is the distribution of the values taken by the statistic in all possible samples of the same size from the same population. Sampling Distribution 6 • The population distribution give the values of the variable for all the individuals in the population. • If we would have combined all of the data before finding the mean of our pennies and put them all on one dotplot, we would have made a population distribution. Population Distribution 7 • Don’t confuse the sampling distribution with a distribution of sample data, which gives the values of the variable for all individuals in a sample. • Example – • In your groups you made distributions of sample data. • As a class, we made a sampling distribution. • If we had all of the years of all pennies, that would be a population distribution. Be careful! 8 • A statistic used to estimate a parameter is an unbiased estimator or a biased estimator. Bias means that the center (mean) of the sampling distribution is not equal to the true value of the parameter. • It is called “unbiased” because in repeated samples, the estimates won’t consistently be too high or too low. It doesn’t mean it will be perfect! Describing Sampling Distributions 9 • The variability of a statistic is described by the spread of its sampling distribution. • The spread of the sampling distribution does not depend on the size of the population, as long as the population is at least 10 times larger than the sample. • Larger samples give smaller spread. Variability of a Statistic 10 • When trying to estimate a parameter, choose a statistic with low or no bias and minimum variability. • Don’t forget to look at shape of the sampling distribution before doing inference. Extra Stuff! 11 • Pg 428 (5, 6) • Pg 439 (31, 36) • Pg 459 (54, 56) Homework 12