Metodi Quantitativi per Economia, Finanza e Management Lezione n°2 Business Intelligence Business intelligence(*) (BI) refers to skills, knowledge, technologies, applications, quality, risks, security issues and practices used to help a business to acquire a better understanding of market behavior and commercial context. For this purpose it undertakes the collection, integration, analysis, interpretation and presentation of business information. BI applications provide historical, current, and predictive views of business operations, most often using data already gathered into a Data Warehouse or a Data Mart. BI applications tackle sales, production, financial, and many other sources of business data to support better business decisionmaking. Thus one can also characterize a BI system as a Decision Support System (DSS). (*) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_Intelligence Business Intelligence & Data Sources Business Intelligence systems are data-driven DSS. Internal Data • Operational digital transaction • CRM digital transaction External Data • Public Data Base (Bureau of Census, Central Bank,..) • Private Data Base (Consodata, D&B,..) • Market Research Business Intelligence & Internal Data Operational & Strategic Marketing Hints Business Intelligence DW agents call center Management systems portals operations data collection data modelling & processing data analysis Business Intelligence & Internal Data • • • • Interaction between Customers & Company Digital transactions Billions of data Data Warehousing – Marketing Data Mart - Customer DataBase • Data Mining(*) • Customer Profiling (*) Data Mining is the process of extracting hidden patterns from data. As more data are gathered, data mining is becoming an increasingly important tool to transform this data into information. It is commonly used in a wide range of profiling practices, such as marketing, fraud detection and scientific discovery. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_Intelligence Customer Profiling & Data Mining Segmentation How to select target marketing segments? Evaluation of results Identify business area Marketing Datamart Make behavioural Marketing plan data available implementation Analysis and classification Strategic decisions Marketing Datamart Propensity Models Who are the best prospect to target for the campaign? Identification of prior cross-selling segment Evaluation of results Campaign implementation Marketing Datamart Extract sample data Scoring model building Tactical actions Customer Profiling & Data Mining Scoring Model Behavioural Segmentation Credit Scoring Basel II Credit Scoring Acceptance Score Card Needs Based Segmentation 2000 1990 Mail Order Teleco New Media Finance Publishing Social Network Analysis Business Intelligence & External Data • Public Data Base (Bureau of Census, Central Bank,..) • Private Data Base (Consodata, D&B,..) • Market Research – – – – – – Interaction between Customers & Company No digital transactions Sampling Few data – Customer Table Classical Statistical tools Demand Segmentation – Competitive Positioning Le ricerche di mercato Ricerche Qualitative L’ obiettivo è approfondire la conoscenza di un fenomeno di mercato, mediante la raccolta e l’analisi di dati qualitativi destrutturati. Ricerche Quantitative L’ obiettivo è fornire un’accurata misurazione del fenomeno oggetto di ricerca, mediante la raccolta e l’analisi di dati quantitativi e/o dati qualitativi strutturati. Le ricerche di mercato Cati Metodi basati su questionario Indagini quantitative Indagini qualitative Capi/face-to-face Cawi Postali/fax/auto compilazioni Focus group Interviste in profondità Le ricerche di mercato L’esecuzione di una ricerca di mercato può essere schematizzata in quattro fasi: a)-fieldwork: la raccolta dei dati elementari; b)-trattamento elementare dei dati raccolti; c)-analisi dai dati; d)-presentazione dei risultati. Quantitative Market Research Set-up Protocol Business Aim Targeted population Characters to be assesed Choice of sample Sampling error Fieldwork Techniques of data collection Data Audit Set-up questionnarie Data Analysis Pre-test questionnarie Presentation N_IDD_1 D_2_1 D_2_2 D_2_3 D_2_4 D_2_5 D_2_6 D_2_7 D_2_8 D_2_9 D_3 D_4_1 D_4_2 H1 1 5 9 1 4 4 1 2 2 1 2 9 9 H2 1 6 9 8 7 3 3 6 2 1 2 7 8 H3 1 6 8 5 3 3 1 7 4 1 2 9 9 H4 1 7 6 3 8 7 2 2 4 1 4 9 9 H5 1 9 8 7 8 6 2 6 7 6 1 8 9 H6 1 9 9 7 2 2 2 6 8 6 1 9 7 H7 1 7 7 4 8 7 6 9 8 6 7 9 8 H8 1 5 3 6 1 5 1 4 5 1 2 7 9 H9 1 8 7 5 5 5 7 8 4 5 7 9 8 H10 1 8 5 2 2 8 8 6 5 1 1 8 6 H11 1 8 9 5 7 6 2 1 3 4 2 4 7 H12 1 6 5 4 9 7 2 8 3 1 4 6 9 H13 1 3 4 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 4 5 8 H14 1 5 8 1 9 3 1 2 1 1 4 9 9 H15 1 6 5 8 9 4 1 5 2 1 4 9 9 H16 1 6 7 4 3 3 3 4 6 1 2 6 8 H17 1 7 4 6 9 8 2 5 3 1 4 8 7 H18 1 9 5 4 8 6 1 7 3 2 4 9 7 H19 1 9 9 1 9 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 9