Biometry 109, Midterm 1, Spring 2007 Name (print):_____________________ I confirm that I am allowed only a calculator and one 3-by-5 inch note card of notes for this exam. I will not look at anybody else’s exam and I will take all necessary efforts to prevent others from seeing my exam. I will use the provided Z-table to cover up my work and answers. The consequence of using additional test aids, copying from others, or allowing others to copy my work will result in disciplinary action. I have read and agree with the above statement. Signature: _____________________ 1. 4pts. Answer:_____________. Using the values y1 2, y 2 7, y 3 6 calculate n y i 1 y . Show your work. 2 i For the following blanks, fill in whether the random variable is Categorical, Continuous, or Discrete. 2. 1pt. Answer:_____________ The number of mice in a litter. 3. 1pt.Answer:_____________ The length of a steelhead. 4. 1pt.Answer: _____________ How many students attend a Friday lecture. 5. 1pt.Answer: _____________ Blood type of a patient. Stem-and-leaf of Center N Leaf Unit = 1.0 2 2 88 8 3 034589 17 4 013355689 29 5 012223335589 42 6 0013345555678 (11) 7 00000113559 47 8 0033689 40 9 000124568 31 10 02222233556789 17 11 012257799 8 12 112 5 13 2577 1 14 1 15 0 = 100 6. 2pts.Answer: ______________The above stem-and-leaf plot shows the lengths of 100 ivy leaves. How many leaves were 8.3cm long? Name:_______________ Boxplot of Change in Temperature vs Treatment Change in Temperature 4 3 2 1 0 -1 cool hot Treatment nothing The above boxplot graph shows the increase in body temperatures of three different groups of students at the HSU health center after receiving one of three treatments (“cool”, “hot”, “nothing”). 7. 2pts.Answer:__________________ Which group has the greatest median increase? 8. 2pts.Answer:__________________ Which group has the greatest range? 9. 2pts.Answer: __________________ Which group has the largest difference between its 50th and 75th percentiles? 10. 2pts.Answer: __________________ Which group has the smallest interquartile range? Tally for Discrete Variables: hair hair black blond brown lightbrown red N= Count 6 31 20 8 4 69 11. 3pts.Answer:__________________The above tally is for the childhood hair color of 69 students in a class. If you were to create a pie chart of hair colors, how many degrees of the circle would be allocated to blond hair? Show your work. 2 Name:_______________ Suppose the female (sow) American Black Bear (Ursus americanus) has anywhere between 1 and 4 cubs at one time. The probabilities are listed below with the exception of some probabilities left blank. Let Y represent the number of cubs. y pdf: P(Y=y) cdf: P(Y y) 1 0.18 ?? 2 0.50 ?? 3 ? ?? 4 0.02 ?? 12. 4pts. Fill in the missing probability for the probability of a sow having 3 cubs. 13. 4pts. Fill in the cumulative distribution function (cdf) column. 14. 4pts. Answer:_________________Use the above table to calculate the number of cubs a sow is expected to have. That is, calculate E (Y ) . Show your work. 15. 3pts. Circle which sentence best describes the Central Limit Theorem. (a) If you sample many values from a population, the distribution of your sampled values will be approximately normal. (b) If you take many different large samples from a population, the population will be approximately normally distributed. (c) If you take many different large samples from a population, the distribution of the sample means calculated from the different samples will be approximately normally distributed. 3 Name:_______________ Let event A be defined as a person having a certain disease. Let event B be defined as a tested person testing positive for the disease. Suppose people are tested at random. Using the following probabilities, answer the following questions. P( A) 0.1 P ( B | A) 0.85 (true positive) P( B C | AC ) 0.95 (true negative) 16. 1pt. The probability of a person testing negative given that they do not have the disease, P( B C | AC ) 0.95 , is known as the__________________ of the test. 17. 1pt. The probability of a person testing positive given that they do have the disease, P( B | A) 0.85 , is known as the __________________ of the test. 18. 3pts. Answer:___________________ Calculate the probability of a random person not having the disease; i.e., P( AC ) . 19. 3pts. Answer: __________________ Calculate the probability of a random person having the having the disease and testing positive; i.e., P( A B) . Show your work. 20. 3pts. Answer: _______________ Calculate the probability of a random person testing positive; i.e., P(B). Show your work. (Hint, a tree may help you here.) 4 Name:_______________ 21. 2pts. In the above Venn Diagram, shade in the region represented by AC B 22. 2pts. In the above Venn Diagram, shade in the region represented by A B . 5 Name:_______________ Suppose the probability of a bear cub reaching maturity is 0.7. 9 cubs are tagged and followed until either death or maturity. Assume independence and equal probability of survival for each cub; i.e., think binomial distribution. Use this information to answer the following probabilities. 23. 3pts. Answer:________________ What is the expected number of cubs, µ, that will reach maturity. Show your work. 24. 6pts. Answer: ________________ Calculate the probability of exactly 5 out of the 9 cubs reaching maturity; i.e., P(Y=5). Show your work. 25. 3pts. Answer: ________________ Calculate the probability of 8 or fewer cubs reaching maturity; i.e., P(Y 8) . Show your work. 26. 6pts. Answer:_________________ Let Z be a standard normal random variable. Use the Z-table to calculate P(1.23 Z 0.57) . Show your work. 27. 3pts. Answer:_________________ Let Z be a standard normal random variable. Calculate the 67th percentile of the Z random variable. 6 Name:_______________ 28. 5pts. Answer:_________________ Suppose the length of a certain species of fish is normally distributed with 40 cm and 5 . Calculate the proportion of fish less than 42 cm; i.e., P(Y 42) . Show your work including the z-score. 29. 4pts. Answer: _________________ Calculate the 67th percentile of fish lengths. Show your work using the z-score. 30. 4pts. Answer: _________________ Suppose you were capture 25 fish at random. Calculate the probability of the average fish length being less than 42cm; i.e., P(Y 42) . Show your work including your z-score. 7