Organization of Economic Statistics Statistics South Africa SCOPE OF ECONOMIC STATISTICS • Macro Economy with exception of trade in goods and services, and investment capital flows. • Informal Sector • Labour Statistics • Income and Expenditure • Poverty Conceptual Framework for Economic Data Collection • 1) National accounts – as an intermediate user, rather than final user (or GDP side of national accounts) – defines the primary framework for economic data collection. • 2) National accounts, in collaboration with source data, defines the priorities of Economic Statistics primarily though its concern with the quality of GDP. • 3) Identifying broader priorities beyond national accounts considerations, specifically micro economic analysis. Thrust of Economic Statistics • Level and movement of GDP • Timeliness – Quarterly GDP and Annual • Surveys organized to meet these objectives. • Real changes in GDP – CPI and PPI • Increasing user needs beyond GDP Stats SA and SARB High Level of co-ordination and co-operation Unusual division of labour StatSA responsible for estimating GDP from the production side SARB estimates from the expenditure side? Has various implications for further division of labour SARB – Expenditure Side • Estimates of GDP annually and quarterly. • Income and outlay accounts for institutional sectors, annually for corporations, annually and quarterly for general government and households. • Balance of payments, annually and quarterly • Financial accounts (flow of funds), annually and quarterly • SARB monitors the estimates of GDP from the production side by making their own estimates although not as detailed as Stats SA. • compiles all the basic and detailed data and the production account for the finance and insurance industries and for the general government sector. Government Accounts • With the exception of municipal data, the SARB obtains and estimate all other levels of government on a quarterly basis. This information is required for their GDP estimates (as calculated by the SARB). • • The SARB quarterly bulletin also has tables on the finances of all levels of government (income and expenditure); cash-flow statements, ownership of government debt, ets – Stats SA does not collect this type of information. • • For the purposes of compiling the National financial account, the SARB also obtains information from various sectors (foreign, monetary, Public Investment Commission, etc). • Backbone of Annual GDP • Breadth • An annual sample survey covering the formal market sector of the South African economy (Annual Financial Survey) • Financial data sufficient for the calculation of industry value added and gross profit, as well as some balance sheet items. • broad level of industry detail [1 and 2 digit SIC]. LSS Depth • The Large Sample Surveys [LSS] programme comprises a rolling set of industry surveys covering most industry sectors of the formal market economy every 3-4 years. • Greater industry detail (but the financial data set is the same) • LSS programme also collects value data [and quantity where appropriate] for product [goods and services]. Quarterly GDP • QFS ( more relevant to quarterly revisions) • Various monthly indicators critical to quarterly GDP • Increasing monthly indicators specifically in services