Scaling up the coordination and resources
for implementation of the SNA
Building a Strategic Plan for Uruguay
Lourdes Erro
lerro@bcu.gub.uy
Meeting on Scaling up the coordination and
resources for the implementation of the SNA.
Luxemburg 28-29 May 2013
Building a Strategic Plan for Uruguay
1. A strategic plan in the framework of the Regional Plan
2. Strategic Plan for Uruguay
3. What support is required?
Building a Strategic Plan for Uruguay
1 A Strategic Plan in the framework of the Regional Plan
2 Strategic Plan for Uruguay
3. What support is required?
• The Strategic Plan for LAC countries was approved in 20092010, but it has been facing many difficulties
• Situation in LAC countries:
– is very unequal
– has special institutional challenges (in 16 countries NA compilers
are Central Banks)
• The Plan is now emphasizing a different strategy:
incremental work

Use pilot countries to expand
the experience to other countries in a
second stage
Building a Strategic Plan for Uruguay
1 A Strategic Plan in the framework of the Regional Plan
2 Strategic Plan for Uruguay
3. What support is required?
Work in the pilot countries: design and implement a National
Action Plan with the support of ECLAC:
• establish objectives and resources
• determine inter-institutional agreements, responsibilities and
deadlines
• work hand in hand by ECLAC staff and national staff to monitor the
Plan
Spread the experience to others: adapt and learn from the
pilot countries experience (with horizontal cooperation and
technical assistance)
2 Strategic Plan for Uruguay
2.1 Background
2.2 Diagnostic
2.3 Implementation Plan
• Implementation of 1993 SNA released in March 2009:
• 2005 base year
• current and constant annual SUT (intermediate
consumption matrix, national and foreign origin detailed)
• without Institutional Sectors Accounts
• Lack of resources (recent years):
• in supporting economic statistics, mostly supplied by NSI
• In NA team: by adding the responsibility of compiling BOP
with no additional resources
2 Strategic Plan for Uruguay
2.1 Background
2.2 Diagnostic
2.3 Implementation Plan
• An opportunity (2012):
– Strategic Plan for the Central Bank: a strategic initiative: to
improve the scope
recommendations
of
NA
and
to
adopt
international
– Strategic Regional Plan: apply to become a pilot country
• Ask for the ROSC (IMF) and for ECLAC support
2 Strategic Plan for Uruguay
2.1 Background
2.2 Diagnostic
2.3 Implementation Plan
Diagnostic (2012) based on recommended tools (ECLAC
mission and ROSC (IMF):
1. Statistical Requisites auto diagnostic
2. Milestones for the implementation
3. Minimum Requirement Data Set (MRDS) (Minimum,
Recommended, Desirable)
4. Conceptual Compliance Questionnaire
5. Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF-IMF)
2 Strategic Plan for Uruguay
2.1 Background
2.2 Diagnostic
2.3 Implementation Plan
Conclusions of the Diagnostic:
•
limited SNA scope (Uruguayan NA don’t fulfil Minimum
Required Data)
•
accuracy and reliability problems (mostly due to lack
of statistical sources)
2 Strategic Plan for Uruguay
2.1 Background
2.2 Diagnostic
2.3 Implementation Plan
What are the main national policy challenges?
• quick knowledge about the impact of the international situation, deal
with inflation, exchange rate policy, fiscal policy
• retain foreign capital when the situation in developed countries
improves
• open new foreign markets for goods and services
• achieve improvements in infrastructure investment (increase
productivity and competitiveness)
• improve investment without neglecting the environment
• achieve improvements in human capital; continue to reduce poverty
and to improve distribution of income
• public sector reform and sustainability of social security system
2 Strategic Plan for Uruguay
2.1 Background
2.2 Diagnostic
2.3 Implementation Plan
What are the implications for the scope and detail of the
accounts and supporting statistics?
• Better short-term statistics (mostly on the expenditure
side)
• Financial accounts statistics by sectors
• Government accounts
• Distribution of income accounts
• External sector statistics (FDI, Exports of Services, etc)
• Capital formation, Employment, Productivity
• Environmental statistics
2 Strategic Plan for Uruguay
2.1 Background
2.2 Diagnostic
2.3 Implementation Plan
In summary, high priority to:
 Institutional Sector Accounts
(N/A since 1990)
 some improvement on short term
statistics
2 Strategic Plan for Uruguay
2.1 Background
2.2 Diagnostic
2.3 Implementation Plan
Plan based on 4 pillars:
1. Strengthen the institutional framework for basic statistics
(dimension worst evaluated by ROSC)
2. Compile a new benchmark base year (jointly for NA and
BOP) using SUT
3. Expand the present NA scope (including Institutional Sector
Accounts, and at least to satisfy all Minimun Required and
most of Recommended Data)
4. Adopt new recommendations in a priority framework
2 Strategic Plan for Uruguay
2.1 Background
2.2 Diagnostic
2.3 Implementation Plan
Stages of the Plan
Stages
Activities
Span/Deadline
Stage 0
Statistics
Sources
and Training
Stage 1
Reference
compilation
IEA)
Stage 2
Annual
and
quarterly NA series
(2012-2018)
compilation
Stage 3
Release
year
(SUT,
Description
2013-2014
29 statistical or software projects
2015-2016
Data consistency and arbitrage
process.
SUT and IEA for the reference year.
Harmonization BOP-NA
2017-2018
SUT and IEA for 2012-2018.
Chained volume measures
2019
New web platform for users
3. What support is required?
3.1 Advocacy and institutional agreements
3.2 Supporting statistics
3.3 The users
3.4 Training, Horizontal Cooperation, Technical Assistance
 There are first order problems and secondary problems
First order problems
(Fundamental problems;
long term resolution)
Secondary problems
(Tools to support the
implementation)
Advocacy
Training
Institutional agreements
Horizontal Cooperation
Supporting statistics
Technical assistance
Commitment of users
Manuals and Handbooks in the
appropriate language
3. What support is required?
3.1 Advocacy and institutional agreements
3.2 Supporting statistics
3.3 The users
3.4 Training, Horizontal Cooperation, Technical Assistance
 It is necessary:
• to raise political support to the project
• to establish institutional commitments
beyond individual responsibilities
Memorandum of Understanding (MOU): ECLAC-CBU-NSI
Targets:
Agreed:
Cooperation agreement; Support for NSI
• Inter-institutional Working Groups to improve basic statistics
(Classifications, Business Register, Economic Survey and Construction
Statistics, already working)
• Following Commission
• Twice a year report to authorities with the support of ECLAC
3. What support is required?
3.1 Advocacy and institutional agreements
3.2 Supporting statistics
3.3 The users
3.4 Training, Horizontal Cooperation, Technical Assistance
• MOU provides political support:
– raises awareness among the authorities
– assists on the accountability by monitoring the National Plan
• MOU expedites and supports institutional agreements:
• Facilitates: diagnostic and establishment of priorities in a
cooperatively way
• Promotes joint work: Inter-institutional Working Groups
• Provides tools for monitoring
3. What support is required?
3.1 Advocacy and institutional agreement
3.2 Supporting statistics
3.3 The users
3.4 Training, Horizontal Cooperation, Technical Assistance
 In Uruguay it is not possible to improve the scope of SNA
(let alone the implementation of 2008 SNA):
 without looking for new basic statistics
 without involving National Statistical Institute (NSI)
 International support is necessary to better involve the
National Statistical System in an integrated statistical approach
3. What support is required?
3.1 Advocacy and institutional agreement
3.2 Supporting statistics
3.3 The users
3.4 Training, Horizontal Cooperation, Technical Assistance
 Major gaps in information:
On the supply side:
On the expenditure side:
• Enterprises register
• Economic Activity Structural
• Household Expenditure Survey
Surveys
• Agricultural costs
• Construction activity
• Informal sector
Cross elements:
• Trade margins are outdated
(most from 1997)
is outdated (2006)
• Gross Capital Formation
• Exports and Imports of Services
Institutional Sectors:
• Companies accounting data
from Tax Declaration Registry
are not available
• It doesn’t exist a Central
Balance Sheet Data Office
3. What support is required?
3.1 Advocacy and institutional agreement
3.2 Supporting statistics
3.3 The users
3.4 Training, Horizontal Cooperation, Technical Assistance
 Although results only will be visible in the long run, it is
very important to involve users along this process
Users often don’t ask for NA, as they are not aware of its
usefulness
• In medium term something can be done to encourage this:
• Examples:
• Organize Seminars: to explain NA uses, to allow discussions
between researchers on suggested subjects
• Organize Users Surveys and feedback
3. What support is required?
3.1 Advocacy and institutional agreement
3.2 Supporting statistics
3.3 The users
3.4 Training, Horizontal Cooperation, Technical Assistance
• Training:
• introductory courses for the new team
• advanced courses and international workshops to discuss specific
topics
• Horizontal Cooperation:
to learn about procedures and practical
issues, mainly to compile Institutional Sector Accounts
• Technical Assistance: mainly for basic statistics
• Manuals and compilation guides in appropriate language
Scaling up the coordination and resources
for implementation of the SNA
Building a Strategic Plan for Uruguay
Lourdes Erro
lerro@bcu.gub.uy
Meeting on Scaling up the coordination and
resources for the implementation of the SNA.
Luxemburg 28-29 May 2013