Measuring Manufacturing Production - Singapore Presentation at International Workshop “From Data to Accounts: Measuring Production in National Accounting” 9 Jun 09 Statistical System Singapore Department of Statistics (SDOS) Central statistical authority responsible for official statistics on Singapore’s economy and population Decentralised statistical system Official statistics collected and compiled by the SDOS and Research and Statistics Units (RSUs) in various government ministries and statutory boards RSUs specialise in statistics on key areas under the purview of their parent organisations GDP by Production Approach Industrial classification Singapore Standard Industrial Classification (SSIC) 2005 Based on ISIC Rev. 4 Current base year: 2000 Profile of Manufacturing Industry Trends in Economic Structure, 1960-2008 Million $ 300,000 GDP at Current Market Prices Manufacturing Services Producing Industries 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 2008 2005 2002 1999 1996 1993 1990 1987 1984 1981 1978 1975 1972 1969 1966 1963 1960 0 GDP by Industry at Current Prices, 2008 2008 (S$ million) Share of GVA (%) GDP at Current Market Prices 257,418.5 Goods Producing Industries 67,438.1 26.0 Manufacturing 50,275.2 19.4 Construction 13,255.8 5.1 3,729.2 1.4 177.9 0.1 Services Producing Industries 178,074.8 68.8 Wholesale & Retail Trade 44,347.7 17.1 Transport & Storage 23,317.5 9.0 Hotels & Restaurants 5,433.5 2.1 Information & Communications 9,612.7 3.7 Financial Services 33,789.4 13.1 Business Services 36,295.6 14.0 Other Services Industries 25,278.4 9.8 Ownership of Dwellings 13,373.3 5.2 Less: FISIM 16,730.1 Utilities Other Goods Industries Gross Value Added At Basic Prices Add: Taxes on Products 242,156.1 15,262.4 Structure of Manufacturing Industry Major economic sector Change in structure over time Manufacturing Clusters Share of Nominal Manufacturing VA (%) 1990 2008 100.0 100.0 Electronics 31.1 26.3 Chemicals 16.0 10.2 Biomedical Manufacturing 5.3 22.2 Precision Engineering 16.7 14.0 Transport Engineering 9.4 16.1 General Manufacturing Industries 21.4 11.2 Total Manufacturing Quarterly and Annual VA Compilation Base Year (reconciled) VA Index of Industrial Production Quarterly Constant Price VA Annual Constant Price VA Singapore Manufactured Products Price Index Quarterly Current Price VA Annual Current Price VA Census of Manufacturing Activities Benchmarked Annual Current Price VA Index of Industrial Production (IIP) Monthly index of real manufacturing output Main indicator of manufacturing performance Available about one month after reference month Index of Industrial Production (IIP) Compiled based on a fixed basket of industries, commodities and weight-pattern Rebased about once every 3 - 4 years to reflect the latest structure of Singapore’s manufacturing sector Current base year is 2007 Compiled by RSU in Economic Development Board Specialises in manufacturing statistics Singapore Manufactured Products Price Index (SMPPI) Monthly price index measuring changes in prices of goods produced by local manufacturers Available about one month after reference month Census of Manufacturing Activities (CMA) Annual current price VA estimates are benchmarked against CMA Preliminary principal statistics e.g. total output, employment and VA are available 2 months after reference year Breakdown of current price VA into output and intermediate consumption can be obtained from CMA Improvements and Challenges Rapidly changing structure of industry Need for indicators to remain relevant Frequent rebasing of IIP Move towards annual chain-linking of IIP Improving response rate of surveys by increasing ease of response Varied modes of submission via internet, fax etc Allowing respondents to report in their home currencies Improvements and Challenges Difficulties in measuring output for certain industries E.g. pharmaceuticals: lumpy production, changes in product-mix result in volatility in pharmaceutical output Lack of suitable price deflators for some industrial services e.g. ship-building, shiprepairing Thank You