IEA Modernisation
Duncan Millard
IEA Chief Statistician
© OECD/IEA 2016
Overview
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IEA new structure
Open door
Ministerial Mandate
COP21
Dissemination
InterEnerStat
© OECD/IEA 2016
The IEA
Founded in 1974
• Formed in wake of 1973 oil embargo with mission to promote member country energy
security – autonomous agency of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and
Development (OECD)
29 member countries
• Asia Pacific: Australia, Japan, Republic of Korea and New Zealand
• North America: United States, Canada
• Europe: Austria, Belgium, Czech Rep, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece,
Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic,
Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey and United Kingdom
• European Commission also participates in the work of the IEA
• Chile and Mexico are in the process of accession to become members of the IEA
• China, Indonesia and Thailand are countries in Association
Headquarters: Paris
Decision-making body: Governing Board
• Consists of member country representatives
• Under the Governing Board, several committees are focusing on each area
Secretariat:
• Staff of around 240, mainly energy experts and statisticians
© OECD/IEA 2016
New Structure of the IEA
Economics and
Investment
Office
Energy Data
Centre
Office of
Communication
and Information
Office of Global
Energy Policy
Office of Legal
Counsel
Office of
Management
and
Administration
Executive Office
Dr. Fatih Birol (Executive Director)
Paul Simons (Deputy Executive Director)
Directorate of Energy
Markets
and Security
Directorate
of Global
ergy Economics
Keisuke Sadamori
Fatih Birol
Directorate of Sustainability,
Technology and Outlooks
Kamel Bennaceur
New Energy Efficiency Division in EMS
Training and Capacity building now part of EDC
WEO part of STO alongside ETP
© OECD/IEA 2016
IEA’s Global energy data Collection
Countries we have data for
Countries for which we
only have aggregate data
© OECD/IEA 2016
The changing nature of energy
Total Primary Energy Supply
Million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe)
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
1971
1980
1990
OECD
2000
2014p
Non-OECD
Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA, Paris, 2015.
© OECD/IEA 2016
Final energy use by sector
Commercial and public services
2000
1800
1800
Million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe)
Million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe)
Industry
2000
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1971
1980
1990
OECD
2000
2013
1971
1980
Non-OECD
OECD
1800
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
1980
1990
OECD
2000
2013
Non-OECD
Residential
2000
Million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe)
Million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe)
Transport
2000
0
1971
1990
2000
Non-OECD
2013
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1971
1980
1990
OECD
2000
2013
Non-OECD
Source: IEA World Energy Balances, OECD/IEA, Paris, 2015.
© OECD/IEA 2016
2015 IEA Ministerial Meeting
Energy ministers
from 38 countries
– including 9 key
partners – and
high-level
executives from
30 companies
took part in the
2015 IEA
Ministerial
meeting in Paris
© OECD/IEA 2016
Major Ministerial outcomes
 Mexican accession
 Energy & Climate Statement
 Activation of Association:
China, Indonesia, Thailand
 New mandates on
•
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Gas supply security
Broadening oil security
Strengthening IEA Technology
Collaboration Programmes
Long-term financial health
© OECD/IEA 2016
IEA engagement worldwide
IEA member countries
Accession countries 1
Countries in Association 2
Key Partner countries 3
Entities from countries
participating in IEA Technology
Collaboration Programmes
(IEA TCPs) 4
1.
2.
3.
4.
Accession countries are OECD member countries that have begun the formal process to become a full member of the IEA.
Countries in Association are partner countries with which the IEA has established joint activities.
Key Partner countries are countries with which the IEA is seeking enhanced engagement.
IEA member countries (except Estonia, Luxembourg and the Slovak Republic), Accession countries, Countries in Association (except Indonesia) and key Partner countries also
participate in IEA TCPs. Entities participating in (signatories to) IEA TCPs may represent governmental or non-governmental organisations. The Economic Community of West
African States (ECOWAS), the European Commission (EC), ITER, the Organisation for Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), the Regional Centre for Renewable Energy and
Energy Efficiency (RCREEE, located in Egypt), and the United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO) are also participants in IEA TCPs.
This map is without prejudice to the status of sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries, and to the name of any territory, city or area.
© OECD/IEA 2016
Paris Agreement: highlights
 Submission of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)
and a commitment to review the NDCs every five years, in line
with IEA suggestions.
 A single framework to track progress of NDCs for all countries
with built-in flexibility for Parties' different circumstances.
Submitted
INDCs
© OECD/IEA 2016
Paris Agreement: highlights
 Launch of Mission Innovation and the Breakthrough Energy
Coalition and support for accelerating technology innovation.
 All Parties invited to communicate, by 2020, mid-century long-term
low GHG development strategies (mindful of < 2C goal, and
national circumstances).
 Strengthened capacity building framework for developing
countries, for transparency (GHG inventories and tracking progress
toward achievement of NDCs) but also more generally for
implementation
Implications for IEA Statistics
 Capacity-building in national statistics for inventories
 Expand IEA energy statistics to track energy sector transformation
at country level (e.g. demand-side indicators)
© OECD/IEA 2016
Whilst the energy markets
continue
Crude oil prices
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2005
2007
2009
North Sea
2011
Dubai
2013
2015
WTI
© OECD/IEA 2016
Impacts on energy data?
“We welcome, in particular, the five key opportunities recommended to reduce
GHG emissions from the energy sector. …..This must all be supported by highquality energy statistics” IEA Ministerial Statement on Energy and Climate
Change
Ministers also noted …..the vital role that high-quality energy statistics and
analysis play in understanding energy markets
Summary of the Chair, The Hon. Ernest J. Moniz, U.S. Secretary of Energy
2015 IEA Ministerial Meeting
Energy security
Energy access
Renewables
Prices
Monitoring
Production
Off grid generation
RD&D
Investment
Energy efficiency/use
Training and capacity building
© OECD/IEA 2016
Dissemination Developments
during 2015
• Redesign of free monthly stats release (changed name
from surveys to statistics), include bullet commentary,
promoted on stats website
• Partial redesign of books (more this year), all have
summary trends sections, data moved forward
• Trends sections reproduced as free PDFs
• First web news release on what data say: production and
renewables
• Redesign website
• Free on line headline annual time series data from end
October
• New summary 2015 data from monthly surveys – March
2016
© OECD/IEA 2016
New format for Monthly Statistics
Impact 750 downloads a month (Feb) to 7,500 (Sept)
© OECD/IEA 2016
Release of free excerpts of publications
Impact:
3,000
downloads
of OECD
balances in
first 3 weeks
© OECD/IEA 2016
Statistics on the IEA website – August,
2015
© OECD/IEA 2016
Pre COP21 - Release of free factsheets –
RD&D and CO2 emissions
© OECD/IEA 2016
EDC Free Data launched November
Mission: to provide a set of free headline data in a user-friendly format
Output: Freely downloadable Excel-file on the IEA-website including:
a) Time series 1971-2013 for 11 products, 5 flows for ~45 countries
and regions, out of total of 75 products, 95 flows in full data
b) Data definitions
c) Interactive Pivot-chart (example on the right)
Around 50,000 downloads a month
© OECD/IEA 2016
Maximising use of Monthly Statistics
Headline provisional annual data for
2015 published 5th April 2016
OECD electricity generation from wind
and solar grew 16% in 2015
Latest IEA data reports also highlight
US-led gains in oil and gas production
© OECD/IEA 2016
IEA Energy Data and Statistics
Books
Mobile App
Key World Energy
Statistics available in
iPhone, iPad , Android
and Windows Phone
applications
IEA Stats
CDs
Internet
Booklet
10 000 copies
and over 100 000
downloads a year
for the IEA Key
World Energy
Statistics
The statistics web
page is by far the
most visited page of
the IEA website
© OECD/IEA 2016
InterEnerStat
Cooperation between 20+ organisations
Initial work on Harmonisation of all flows and products, leading to IRES
Latest meeting September 2015
IRES – aim is to have finalised and published by end year. Once published a review
could start, but a review of SIEC could happen in advance.
Organisations to produce a short summary document that all can publish on own
websites, explaining the differences vs IRES for own presentation of balances.
Organisations to share information on sources/quality of data with other orgs on
request and to consider how/if more information on sources could be made public.
Organisations to hold a meeting in 2016 with focus on energy efficiency / end-use
data – IEA to circulate draft plan / proposed areas for discussion
Cooperation on training and capacity building, SDGI, classifications
© OECD/IEA 2016
• Energy Security
• Environmental Protection
• Economic Growth
• Engagement Worldwide
© OECD/IEA 2016